EURGBP Double Resistance rejection. 1D MA50 pull-back in focus.The EURGBP pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern on the 1D time-frame since the March 07 market low, which only broke for one day. That came on June 14 when the price was forcefully rejected on both the 1W MA200 (red trend-line) and the 0.87200 Resistance that has been holding since February 26, 2021.
This is where the pair is currently at, touching both the 1W MA200 and the Resistance Zone two days ago, with the price rejected sideways. The current consolidation on such high levels seems to be the sell accumulation phase before a leg downwards. With are selling this set-up, targeting the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). We will turn bullish either on the 1D MA50 or at the bottom of the Channel (Higher Lows trend-line). In both cases the target will be 0.8700. In order to extend buying towards the top of the Channel, we would like to see a candle close above the Resistance Zone.
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Britishpound
GBP/USD weekly chart: falling wedge headed to 37-year support?The British pound ( GBP/USD ) hit an intraday low of 1.1406, temporarily breaking below Covid-20 lows and hitting the lowest level in 37 years, before recovering to 1.147 as of this writing.
The GBPUSD weekly chart reveals intriguing long-term patterns:
The major long-term trend is represented by a falling wedge, with the lower support line set by January 2009's and October 2016's lows and upper resistance line by November 2007's and May 2021's highs.
The ultra-ten-year falling wedge contains two lateral ranges (May 2009-June 2016 and July 2016-September 2022), both characterised by a similar 20% width.
The long-run falling wedge's direction collides with the all-time low and support level of 1.051 hit in February 1985.
If 1.14 defines a new multi-year resistance level and a new 20% side range is established, the next long-term support could be as lows as 0.95.
Idea written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodity analyst at Capital.com
💵British Pound/Canadian Dollar 💵 Analyze!!!British Pound/Canadian Dollar is running in the Heavy Support zone and near the lower line of descending channel.
I expect the British Pound/Canadian Dollar to go up to the middle line of the descending channel.
It should be noted that this growth will be temporary.
🔅British Pound/Canadian Dollar (GBPCAD) Timeframe 4H⏰.
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💵British Pound/Australian Dollar💵 Analyze(Short term)!!!British Pound/Australian Dollar was able to make a Falling wedge & Inverse Head and Shoulder near the Heavy Support zone!!!
British Pound/Australian Dollar can touch at least the upper line of the falling wedge in the next few days.
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence (RD+) between Price and MACD Indicator.
🔅British Pound/Australian Dollar Analyze (GBPAUD) Timeframe 4H⏰
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position that you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
British Pound / U.S Dollar 4hr gbp/usdtarget 1.19 bullish case, we are in down trend, although falling wedges tend to break to the upside 68% of the time. looking for a bounce of the trend line, hit resistance, then test, slight downside before a break of resistance to 1.19. could take couple weeks to play out,
Day's Range 1.1602 - 1.1694
52 Week Range 1.1602 - 1.3913
Ask 1.1648
long term we could see alot of downside for gbp as dire forecast from Citigroup, which expects UK inflation to reach 18.6% next year for the first time since 1976 as energy prices rocket amid the cost of living crisis.
GBP-USDIn the chart, you can see in blue GBP-USD and in black the yield differential of the UK and US 10-year bonds.
Usually, the two lines are correlated; whenever this correlation has been lost, it has always been GBP-USD that has realigned with the yield differential (as evidenced in 2020 and as was also the case at the turn of 2018).
Now a new divergence has formed. It is not certain that GBP-USD will start to rise from today, but sooner or later it will realign, as it has done in the past, with the yield differential.
GBPJPY Neutral within the 1D MA50 & MA200 until a break-out.The GBPJPY pair has turned its trading pattern into a Triangle since the June 09 High, with the Lower Highs trend-line as the Resistance and the Symmetrical 160.00 - 159.400 Zone as the Support. Practically it has been neutral within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) since July 29, offering an excellent medium-term scalping range.
Until that breaks either way, the trend is neutral and we can keep selling the high and buying the low. A break below the 1D MA200, is a bearish break-out signal towards the 155.650 Low, while a break above the Lower Highs of the Triangle, is a bullish break-out signal targeting the 168.740 Resistance. On the long-term, with the CCI still on Higher Lows isnce March 01, the bullish trend should be favored.
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GBPUSD Approaching the bottom of the Channel DownThe GBPUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the May 27 2022 High. The price is approaching the Lower Lows trend-line (bottom) of the pattern, which happens to be a 3.0 Fibonacci extension and chances of a short-term rebound are high. Potential targets first the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the Lower Highs trend-line (top) of the Channel Down in extension. Keep in mind that only a 1D MA100 (green trend-line) break-out is capable of sustaining further uptrend. Until then, trading within the Channel Down is the go to on the short-term.
Keep in mind though that on the long-term we may be ahead of a strong bullish reversal as the RSI on the 1W time-frame has been on Higher Lows since May 16, while the actual price has been on Lower Lows, i.e. giving a Bullish Divergence.
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GBPNZD Excellent buy level for a rally to the end of the yearThe GBPNZD pair has been following exactly our trading plan since our last update a month ago, getting rejected on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and hitting the Higher Lows zone of the long-term Triangle pattern that it has been trading in since the April 02 2020 High:
The initial rebound after the August 12 Low is seeing a pull-back in the last 10 days and that may be the perfect opportunity for those who missed it, to buy again. Our long-term target for the end of the year is just below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 2.010. Those who seek more risk, there is also the Symmetrical Resistance if the Triangle breaks to the upside.
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GBPCHF Will the 10 year Support come to the rescue?The GBPCHF pair has been on a bearish trend since the April 2021 Top, which has been accelerated since June 2022 as the price has failed to recover and trade above the 1D MA50 (red trend-line). In fact, this month has entered the huge Support Zone that dates all the way back to the August 2011 low! Within those 11 years of trading, the lowest level has been the March 2020 COVID crash of 1.1125.
The RSI on the 1M time-frame is at the lowest level since October 2016. All these paint the picture of a strong multi-month Support Zone right ahead. On a long-term basis, it is worth building up buy positions or trade the break-out above the 1D MA50, with a long-term target on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which during this 10 year span was always hit when the price broke above the 1D MA50.
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GBPAUD Strong buy on a monthly basisThe GBPAUD pair has started the week on a strong note, with the current 1W candle being the longest green (so far) since September 21 2020. That shows incredible buying sentiment especially following a 1W MACD Bullish Cross and the 1W RSI being on Higher Lows since April 04 2022. When the price is on Lower Lows, as is the case now, this is a Bullish Divergence potentially indicating a trend shift upwards.
We saw the very same set of parameters align back in the July - December 2020 sequence. After a Support re-test, the price started a strong long-term uptrend above the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. If you are on this for the long-term, there are few better levels to buy and target the 1.5 Fib at 1.8340.
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EURGBP Rejected on the 1D MA200The EURGBP pair has been trading within a Channel Down since the June 15 High. It is making Lower Lows on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension each time. On Friday the price got rejected on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and today it is reversing lower. Keep in mind that the previous Lower High got rejected on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). It appears that this is an ideal sell opportunity on the medium-term. You can target 0.8250, which isn't just the 1.382 Fib extension but also the April 14 Low, rendering this level as the next horizontal Support.
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GBPCAD preparing a strong rally to the 1D MA200The GBPCAD pair broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) this week for the first time since February 24 and is consolidating. This is the first sign that the trend might be changing from long-term bearish to bullish. This is evident on the 1D RSI which has been on Higher Lows for months. The very same pattern was last seen in Q3/ Q4 2021. After the price broke above the 1D MA50 on November 26 2021 and got rejected, it posted an end-pattern rally to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). As a result we are bullish long-term on this pair, targeting at least the 1D MA200.
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GBPNZD targeting 2.010 after this pull-back is completedThe GBPNZD pair is trading below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the past week. This is not an unfamiliar trading set-up as the same W pattern was last seen from October 2018 to October 2019. The last Lower High of the long-term Triangle pattern was on February 03 2022 so currently, in terms of RSI also, we are on the last pull-back before the final rally to complete the pattern. Our long-term target is the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 2.010.
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GBPCHF Long-term Buy OpportunityThe GBPCHF pair has been trading within a Bearish Megaphone pattern since the April 05 2021 High. Every Lower Low has been on the 1.786 Fibonacci extension from the previous and the recent series of Lower Highs have been rejected on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
The price is now testing the Lower Lows trend-line and that makes it an automatic buy. The short-term target is the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and long-term the 1D MA200. Invalidation of the Megaphone is a sell signal, targeting the 1.786 Fib extension again.
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