Britishpoundfutures
BRITISH POUND FUTURES (6B1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropType : Bearish Momentum
Resistance : 1.1953
Pivot: 1.1895
Support : 1.1783
Preferred Case: On the H1, with price moving below the ichimoku cloud and along the descending trendline, we have a bearish bias that price will rise and drop from the pivot at 1.1895 in line with the pullback resistance to the 1st support at 1.1783 where the 161.8% fibonacci extension and 100% fibonacci projection are.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and rise to the 1st resistance at 1.1953 where the pullback resistance is.
Fundamentals: With no major news events ahead, and the dovish sentiment across the UK and the Eurozone, further downside can be expected, which gives us a bearish bias on the British Pound.
BRITISH POUND FUTURES (6B1!), H1 Potential for Bearish DropType : Bearish Momentum
Resistance : 1.2201
Pivot: 1.2109
Support : 1.1952
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving below the ichimoku cloud, we have a bearish bias that price will drop to the pivot at 1.2109 in line with the swing low support, 78.6% fibonacci projection and 78.6% fibonacci retracement. Once there is downside confirmation, we would expect bearish momentum to carry price to intermediate support at 1.2063 where the swing low support, -27.2% fibonacci expansion, 161.8% fibonacci extension and 78.6% fibonacci retracement are. Should price break intermediate support structure, we would expect price to drop to the 1st support at 1.1952 where the swing low support and 100% fibonacci projection are.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may rise rise to the 1st resistance at 1.2201 where the overlap resistance is.
Fundamentals: With inflation at 9.1 percent, the BoE raised the UK interest rate to 1.25 percent. Retail sales in the UK decreased by 4.7% year over year as a result of rising costs having an impact on consumer spending. This gives us a medium bearish bias towards the British Pound.
BRITISH POUND FUTURES (6B1!), H1 Potential for Bearish DropType : Bearish Momentum
Resistance : 1.2124
Pivot: 1.2057
Support : 1.1855
Preferred Case: On the H1, price is moving below the ichimoku cloud which supports our bearish bias that price will drop from our pivot at 1.2057 in line with the swing high resistance to the 1st support at 1.1855 in line with the 78.6% fibonacci projection and 161.8% fibonacci extension.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break through pivot structure and rise to the 1st resistance level at 1.2124 in line with the pullback resistance, 23.6% fibonacci retracement and 78.6% fibonacci projection .
Fundamentals: In the central bank notes, a third of the six members who voted for a hike viewed that the latest increase marked the end of the current hiking cycle while peak inflation revised to more than 10%, adding to the stagflation fears; possible GDP contraction in 2023, giving us a mixed bias for British Pound Futures.
BRITISH POUND FUTURES (ZR1!), H1 Potential for Bearish MomentumType : Bearish Momentum
Resistance : 1.2563
Pivot: 1.2514
Support : 1.2432
Preferred Case: On the H1, price is moving within the descending channel and is below the ichimoku cloud which supports our bearish bias that price will drop from our pivot at 1.2514 in line with the overlap resistance to the 1st support at 1.2432 where the swing low support, 100% fibonnaci projection and 78.6% fibonacci projection .
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break through pivot structure and rise to the 1st resistance level at 1.2563 in line with the swing high resistance and 78.6% fibonacci projection
Fundamentals: We have a mixed bias on the British pound futures since the focus on the pound remains on the political front, with Downing Street indicating no plans for a cabinet change and a resolution to the North Ireland issue likely to be disclosed next week.