GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe British Pound (GBP) has been on a rough ride lately, closing out its fifth consecutive week in the red. But a late-week rally brought some hope, pulling the GBP/USD back from its lowest point in five months. Now, all eyes are on the upcoming week, which is packed with key economic data and a crucial Fed decision.
In this video, we'll analyze the GBP/USD currency pair, examining the potential for a bullish rebound in light of the upcoming economic releases and the Fed's likely rate cut.
With the Federal Reserve's September meeting on the horizon, investors are keenly focused on the potential for a rate cut. Current rate markets have priced in the beginning of a rate cut cycle, with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) expected to meet on September 18. Although the probability of a 50 basis point cut was previously high, expectations have adjusted slightly. According to the CME’s FedWatch Tool, there is now a 53.5% chance of a 50 bps cut in September, with further cuts anticipated later in 2024.
Next week’s economic calendar is packed with key data. On Tuesday and Wednesday, we’ll receive the US Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation reports, which could provide crucial insights into market direction. Additionally, US Retail Sales and updates from the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Survey will offer more context for economic trends.
Given these developments, the big question is: will the British Pound be able to maintain its bullish momentum as we head into the new week? Join us as we dive into the charts, analyze the current market conditions, and discuss potential trading opportunities.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound maintain buying pressure above $1.27500 and the ascending trendline next week? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Britishpoundsignals
⚠️GBPUSD will Fall by Double Top Pattern⚠️🏃♂️ GBPUSD is moving inside a 🔴 Heavy Resistance zone($1.2670-$1.2410) 🔴 and Ascending Channel .
💡We saw two Bull Traps over the 🔴 Heavy Resistance zone($1.2670-$1.2410) 🔴.
💡Also, these two Bull Traps formed a Double Top Pattern .
🔔I expect GBPUSD to at least drop to the lower line of the ascending channel after the pull back is completed.
British Pound/ U.S.Dollar Analyze ( GBPUSD ), 4-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
British Pound Plunges as Bank of England Holds Interest RatesI bring today is far from uplifting. As you may already be aware, the British Pound (GBP) has taken a significant hit in the wake of the recent decision by the Bank of England (BoE) to hold interest rates steady. This unforeseen turn of events has left many traders like yourself feeling disheartened and uncertain about the future of GBP.
The BoE's decision to maintain interest rates has sent shockwaves throughout the financial markets, triggering a substantial decline in the value of the British Pound. This unfortunate turn of events has left the currency vulnerable and exposed to further downside risks. While it is indeed disheartening to witness such a decline, it is crucial for us to adapt and seize opportunities even in the face of adversity.
Given the current state of affairs, I would like to encourage you to consider taking advantage of the situation by exploring short positions on GBP. The downward trajectory of the British Pound may present an opportunity for you to potentially profit from this unfortunate turn of events. However, please remember that trading involves risks, and it is essential to conduct thorough analysis and consider your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
In times like these, it is crucial for traders like yourself to stay informed and adapt to the ever-changing market conditions. Monitoring economic indicators, central bank decisions, and geopolitical developments will be key in navigating the turbulent waters of the foreign exchange market.
If you require any further information or assistance regarding shorting GBP or any other trading-related queries, please don't hesitate to comment below. We are here to support you and provide you with the necessary guidance to make informed trading decisions during these challenging times.
Remember, even in the face of adversity, the trading world remains full of opportunities. By staying informed, adapting your strategies, and seeking professional advice, you can navigate these uncertain waters and potentially turn this unfortunate situation to your advantage.
GBPUSD break support line of wedge and can continue to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about British Pound. Watching the chart, we see how the price bounce back from the level 1.2545, went down, retested the buyer zone 1.2370-1.2345 and increased. The British Pound made a small correction, continued to rise, and subsequently broke through the resistance level 1.2545. Over time, the price has created an upward wedge in which he traded for a long time. After a retest of the current support level, the British Pound continued its upward movement and reached a resistance level 1.2665, which coincide with the resistance line of wedge. Not long ago, the price began to decline from resistance level and broke through the support line and left the upward wedge. The British Pound can retest the current resistance line and continue to fall. I think the price could drop to the support level. In that case, I decided to set 2 targets at level 1.2575 and support level 1.2545. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GBPUSDWith the recent weakness of the USD, we are expecting it to gain some grounds against the British pounds apparently. Looking at the current trendline on GBPUSD chart you can also observe its slopping into a downtrend; execution of your trade should be what matters the most. I have used the short position tool to show where I'll be taking my short position from with a calculated risk to reward ratio.
💵British Pound/Japanese Yen 💵Analyze !!!British Pound/Japanese Yen made one of the expected correction patterns at the weekly timeframe. The name of this pattern is Expanding Flat (3-3-5).
British Pound/Japanese Yen was able to complete the Expanding Flat in the resistance zone, and I expect that it will go down at least to the trend line and targets that I showed in my chart.
🔅British Pound/Japanese Yen Analyze (GBPJPY) weekly timeframe⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends, Thanks, and Trade safe.
💵British Pound/U.S.Dollar 💵Analyze (10/10/2022)!!!British Pound/U.S.Dollar moved as I expected ✅👇
British Pound/U.S.Dollar is making the Zigzag correction while it seems the end of wave A was completed by Double Bottom Pattern.
I expect the British Pound/U.S.Dollar will go up until the target that you can see in my chart.
🔅British Pound/U.S.Dollar ( GBPUSD ) Timeframe 1H⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
💵British Pound/Canadian Dollar 💵 Analyze!!!British Pound/Canadian Dollar is running in the Heavy Support zone and near the lower line of descending channel.
I expect the British Pound/Canadian Dollar to go up to the middle line of the descending channel.
It should be noted that this growth will be temporary.
🔅British Pound/Canadian Dollar (GBPCAD) Timeframe 4H⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
💵British Pound/Australian Dollar💵 Analyze(Short term)!!!British Pound/Australian Dollar was able to make a Falling wedge & Inverse Head and Shoulder near the Heavy Support zone!!!
British Pound/Australian Dollar can touch at least the upper line of the falling wedge in the next few days.
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence (RD+) between Price and MACD Indicator.
🔅British Pound/Australian Dollar Analyze (GBPAUD) Timeframe 4H⏰
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position that you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
💵British Pound/New Zealand Dollar 💵Analyze !!!British Pound can make a Regular Contracting Triangle, and now it seems that the Pound was able to find point D of the Triangle in the Support Zone & the lower line of the triangle & SMA 100 (Daily TF). I expect that the Pound can go UP to the upper line of the Triangle, and then again Pound will go DOWN to the Important Support Line.
🟢Support Zone🟢: 1.932 NZD until 1.924 NZD
🔅British Pound/New Zealand Dollar Analyze ( GBPNZD ) Time frame 8H⏰
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends, Thanks, and Trade safe
GBP/USD bearish OUTLOOK medium termZEYAN here!!!!
I'm looking at the market as a bear, and as far as I can tell, in the medium term, it's more bearish then bullish
This is a general idea of how I view the market; I use algorithms to determine trend and different entry techniques; please do not take this information at face value; conduct your own research.
If you want me to analyze your charts, please let me know in the comments.
like for more!!!!!!!!!
This is not financial advice; please conduct your own research and use this information as confirmation in addition to your own analysis.
GBP/JPY - BUY ANALYSIS ( FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL )In this video, I breakdown why the pound has been going up in value against the Japanese Yen since 2020 as higher interest rates in the UK is attracting money out of Japan and into the UK.
I also show why currency traders are only buying this currency pair as UK Rates make it profitable to hold this trade open overnight as you get paid FREE money into your account by your broker. Known as the carry trade rollover.
Enjoy !
GBP/JPY - Pound Bullish on BoE Rate Hike Expectations
Fundamentals
Key Points:
1. Markets are expecting UK Inflation to overshoot the central banks' 2% target and reach 3.35% in the coming years.
2. UK 10 Year Bond yields have been rising as a result of high inflation expectations.
3. Against countries like Japan, Switzerland & Germany the UK 10 Year Government Bond Yield is more attractive for investors causing money to move into the UK from these countries and the pound has been getting stronger against all three currencies as a result of the UK's Bond Yield rising.
4. The Bank of England said on May 27th that if people are moved off furlough back into work at a faster pace than previously expected, The Bank of England may be forced to withdraw some of its monetary stimulus and potentially raise interest rates as inflation will rise as the demand for goods and services rise from employment and the re-opening of the economy.
5. High levels of employment will boost price pressures at a time when inflation is already expected to be high from supply shortages caused by the pandemic.
6. This scenario means the central bank will be forced to act and withdraw its monetary support to curb inflation by reducing its bond-buying program, causing the price of bonds to decline and pushing up the Yield due to their inverse correlation.
7. A rate hike would also cause UK short-term rates to move into a profitable carry trade against currencies like the Japanese Yen & CHF & EUR.
What To Watch
Employment Data
Rate Hike Expectations
UK Bond Yield’s
Trade Idea’s
EUR/GBP - SELL
GBP/JPY - BUY
GBP/CHF - BUY
Technicals
GBP/JPY - Key Resistance ¥160.00
GBP/CHF - Key Resistance 131.000
EUR/GBP - Key Support €183.500
ATR Volatility
GBP/JPY - 4.76%
GBP/CHF - 4.06%
EUR/GBP - 3.72%
Bull Flag Consolidation For British Pound Index Reason To LONGBritish Pound shows an upbeat movement even though in the light of Brexit struggles. I can totally understand why the market is on sideways or consolidation phase. The trigger for British Pound to become bullish will be the favourable deal on Brexit anytime soon.
Key Trading Plan:
i) LONG if the price breaks the resistance of 126.00 with the Take Profit Target of 131.00.
ii) SHORT if the price breaks the trend line of at least below 124.00 to the support (Take Profit Target of 122.00).
‼️Disclaimer: Please be advised that we are NOT Financial Advisors. We are not responsible for the results of your Forex or CFDs trading. The only person responsible for profits or losses is yourself. You should not consider any market information, educational and analytical material as trading advice that defines your trading actions but purely as educational market material. Please be advised that S.I.D. Capital shall not be liable for any errors in quotes and trading platform software errors.
‼️This Channel and all information is intended for educational purposes only and does not give financial advice. S.I.D. Capital Signals is not a service to provide legal and financial advice; any information provided here is only the personal opinion of the author (not advice or financial advice in any sense, and in the sense of any act, ordinance or law of any country) and must not be used for financial activities.
GBPNOK Sell SignalPattern: Channel Down.
Signal: Bearish as the price is below the 1W MA20.
Target: 11.1000 (potential contact with the 7 year Higher Lows trend-line).
** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. **
Previous GBPNOK signal:
GBPJPY Sell SignalPattern: Parabolic rise on 1D.
Signal: Bearish as it is approaching a Symmetrical Resistance level (rejected the price 8 times since 2016) with the RSI on 3 year highs.
Target: 137.000 (Symmetrical Support).
*Such long term symmetries are useful and quite accurate. I have successfully implemented this approach on my last GBPJPY buy signal:
Bad for oil and good for poundYesterday marked of news regarding the oil market and its prospects. Moreover, this news has a one-sided impact in terms of the impact on oil quotes.
On the supply side, we have a message about the discovery of a huge oil field in Iran. It is about 50 billion barrels. To understand if it is a lot, let’s have a look at the statistics. Proved oil reserves in Iran rank fourth largest in the world (150 billion barrels). Accordingly, 50 billion = 30% will be added to existing stocks. That is a lot. It should be noted that while Iran is under sanctions, that is an accumulated potential than a real injection of additional supply on the market. But from the perspective of a market development strategy, the signal is undoubtedly bearish.
Especially when you consider the news that Global oil demand may peak within the next 20 years, according to an assessment included in the prospectus for Saudi Aramco's initial public offering and, and further it will only decline. This news does not solve much in terms of supply/demand. But the prospects look extremely alarming for oil buyers.
Sum up, in the short term, this news does not have that much impact. But in the long term, the oil market looks increasingly vulnerable. Knowing the markets and their general timidity, we will refrain from buying oil at current prices and will prefer its sales on the intraday basis this week. Until it becomes clear that investors and traders are fully aware of the situation.
Yesterday, the foreign exchange market was relatively calm. The only exception is the British pound. Moreover, the reason for its splash was not macroeconomic statistics, which would be logical, since the data were published very important (GDP and industrial production), but traditionally news regarding Brexit.
Nigel Farage has said the Brexit party will not field any candidates against the Conservatives in the 317 seats they won at the last general election. Motivation is the desire to prevent a second referendum on Brexit.
The pound on this news naturally grew, since the chances of a “soft” Brexit increased. However, we believe that in the current political situation, any “scenario” play into the hands of the pound. So its purchases, in our opinion, remain relevant.
Our idea is confirmed by yesterday’s reaction of the pound to rather weak macroeconomic statistics. Industrial production in September fell by 0.3% (forecast: -0.1% m / m), and GDP for the third quarter grew by only 0.3% (forecast: + 0.4%), and the state of the trade balance significantly worsened ( -12.541 billion against -10.825 in August). However, the pound has grown steadily
We also do not forget to sell the Russian ruble, which again trades above 63.50, hinting that paired with the dollar its next target is 65.
GBPUSD forming a bearish Shark | Upto 24.50% expectedPriceline of British Pound / US Dollar forex trading pair is forming a bearish Shark and entered in potential reversal zone to start the formation of last leg soon insha Allah.
Price action is also hitting the support of bollinger bands.
RSI is oversold.
Volume profile of complete pattern is showing less interest of traders at this area.
Stochastic is oversold.
But Stochastic did not give bull cross sofar and MACD is still strong bearish therefore I would suggest to wait for MACD to turn weak bearish or for Stochastic bull cross signal then buy.
The potential reversal zone can be used as stop loss in case the complete candle stick closes below the PRZ area.
I have used Fibonacci sequence to set the targets:
Buy between: 1.22420 to 1.17505
Sell between:
Secure targets:
1.27537 to 1.38147
Aggressive targets (upto the completion of leg)
1.41488 to 1.46370
Regards,
Atif Akbar (moon333)