AVGO Broadcom Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on AVGO:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AVGO Broadcom prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 170usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $13.70.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Broadcom
AVGO: This pullback is a buy opportunity.Broadcom is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.908, MACD = 4.100, ADX = 23.045) as it remains near its All Time High. However it is consolidating as the 1D MA50 is holding. As long as the 1D MA200 supports on the bottom of the long term Channel Up, the long term action is bullish. Aim for at least a +122% rise (TP = 285).
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Technical Analysis of Broadcom Inc (AVGO)The stock ( AVGO ) is in a long- and medium-term uptrend.
In the short term, it is undergoing a retracement phase, having been rejected twice by the POC 1, which reflects the volume area starting from November 2023, when the latest uptrend began.
After the second rejection from POC 1, which confirms its strength, the price is heading towards the $171 area, corresponding to a second volume zone, POC 2. This area acts as resistance, having already rejected the stock once, and we will see if it holds again.
To summarize, in the short term, the stock is retracing, using POC 1 as support and POC 2 as resistance. This phase has resulted in lower highs and higher lows, forming a pattern known as a symmetrical triangle.
The symmetrical triangle is generally considered a continuation pattern, meaning that the breakout often (but not always) occurs in the direction of the trend prior to the triangle's formation. However, it can also signal a consolidation phase or market indecision.
Interpretation:
Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks the resistance (the descending trendline of lower highs) and moves above POC 2, this would be a bullish signal.
Bearish Scenario: Conversely, if the price breaks the support (the ascending trendline of higher lows) and moves below POC 1, this would be a bearish signal.
It is important to confirm the breakout with an increase in volume, as a breakout without strong volume may indicate a false signal.
Broadcom Stock Struggles After Disappointing EarningsBroadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) Faces Challenges Post Earnings: What Investors Need to Know?
Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AVGO ), a key player in the semiconductor and software sectors, has seen its stock tumble after the company reported a loss in its fiscal third-quarter earnings. The loss was primarily attributed to merger-related expenses and amortization costs associated with its recent acquisition of VMware. Here, we dive into the fundamental and technical aspects of Broadcom’s stock, analyzing the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead.
Earnings Report Highlights:
- Broadcom swung to a net loss of $1.875 billion in its fiscal third quarter, compared to a profit of $3.3 billion in the same quarter last year.
- Adjusted earnings, which exclude significant acquisition-related expenses, came in at $1.24 per share.
- The company’s revenue for the quarter met expectations, but its forward guidance of $14 billion for the fiscal fourth quarter fell just shy of analyst predictions.
- CEO Hock Tan emphasized the continued strength of Broadcom’s AI-driven semiconductor solutions, noting a projected $12 billion in AI-related revenue for the full year, driven by ethernet networking and custom accelerators for AI data centers.
Merger Impact:
The recent acquisition of VMware has added significant restructuring costs to Broadcom’s financial statements. The integration of the software firm is crucial for Broadcom's long-term strategy of diversifying its revenue streams beyond semiconductors, particularly as it aims to capitalize on the rapidly growing demand for AI and data center solutions.
Market Reaction:
Broadcom’s stock dropped over 6% in after-hours trading following the earnings release. Despite this pullback, the stock has risen approximately 40% year-to-date, benefiting from the market’s appetite for AI-related growth stories. However, the recent dip underscores investor concerns about the near-term impact of acquisition-related expenses and the company’s modest revenue outlook.
Technical Analysis
Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown:
Broadcom’s stock has been consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern on declining volume since mid-June, a formation that often precedes a breakout or breakdown. The recent disappointing revenue outlook has pushed the stock below the triangle’s lower trendline, indicating a bearish breakdown that could signal the start of a new downward trend.
Key Support Levels to Watch:
1. $141 Level: This level is near a consolidation zone that formed between March and June, marking the first potential area of support. If this level holds, it could provide a buying opportunity for investors looking for a near-term bounce.
2. $120 Level: Should the stock fall below $141, the next significant support lies at $120, an area aligned with prominent swing lows from earlier in the year. This level could attract buyers who see the pullback as a chance to enter at a more attractive price.
3. $110 Level: Further downside could take Broadcom to $110, near the low of a retracement that occurred in early January following a strong December rally. This level could serve as a critical test for Broadcom’s longer-term uptrend.
RSI and Market Sentiment:
Currently, Broadcom’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around 40-45 in premarket trading, placing the stock in oversold territory. This indicates that the recent sell-off may be overextended, potentially setting up the stock for a short-term rebound. However, the broader sentiment remains cautious given the company's near-term financial headwinds.
Outlook for Broadcom: Is the Stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?
Broadcom's mixed earnings report and subdued revenue guidance have introduced a degree of uncertainty into the stock’s near-term trajectory. While the company’s ongoing integration of VMware and its focus on AI and data center solutions present long-term growth opportunities, the immediate impact of acquisition costs and a lukewarm revenue outlook have weighed heavily on investor sentiment.
For those with a long-term investment horizon, the current pullback could present a buying opportunity, especially if Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) manages to stabilize at one of the key support levels mentioned. However, traders should remain vigilant for potential further downside, particularly as the stock navigates the aftermath of its recent technical breakdown.
In summary, Broadcom’s fundamentals remain strong, underpinned by its leadership in AI-driven semiconductor solutions. However, the stock’s technical indicators suggest caution is warranted in the short term. Investors should watch closely for signs of stabilization before committing new capital, particularly given the broader market's current volatility.
AVGO potential Buy setupReasons for bullish bias:
- Price is at trendline plus horizontal support
- Harmonic XABCD pattern formed
- No divergence
- Overall a bullish trend
Here are the recommended trading levels:
Entry Level(CMP): 147.85
Stop Loss Level: 127.19
Take Profit Level 1: 168.51
Take Profit Level 2: 182.84
Take Profit Level 3: Open
BROADCOM The next expansion wave to $285 has begun.Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) has already completed 2 weeks of gains that essentially recovered the majority of the July-led correction. This rebounded not only largely maintained the long-term Channel Up pattern that started on the October 2022 market bottom but also managed to keep the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) intact.
This is an extremely bullish long-term combination as it should technically start the stocks 3rd long-term expansion wave as illustrated on today's 1W chart. As you can see the previous two peaked at +121% and +133% respectively. As a result our new long-term Target as of now is $285.00 (+121% from the recent bottom).
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Broadcom - Just be careful...NASDAQ:AVGO is quite overextended and retesting resistance so you have to be careful.
Broadcom is rallying. This is a pretty obvious fact, considering that Broadcom is up roughly +330% over the past 1.5 years. Eventually we will see a correction, the only question is when and where. Currently, Broadcom is retesting a resistance trendline which has been pushing price lower for over a decade. Maybe this is a good area to close partials and monitor price closely.
Levels to watch: $1.840, $1.140
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
BROADCOM Short-term pull-back in order?Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) easily hit the 1800 Target that we set on last month's analysis (May 22, see chart below) and made a new Higher High at the top of the 20-month Channel Up:
The symmetrical leg at the end of 2023, got rejected right below the 3.0 Fibonacci extension back to the 2.0 Fib. Even the 1D RSI is on the same levels as December 18 2023. As a result, we are turning bearish short-term on AVGO, targeting 1670.
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Mind the gap! What next for Broadcom?Broadcom (AVGO) has been a major beneficiary of the AI boom, with its stock soaring 53% since the beginning of 2024 and more than doubling year-to-date. While not reaching the astronomical heights of NVIDIA (NVDA), Broadcom's performance remains remarkable.
The company's Q2 revenue report was a resounding success, showing a 43% year-over-year increase, while EBITDA grew 31% year-over-year. This strong performance prompted Broadcom to announce a 10:1 stock split on July 15th, a move that will make the stock more accessible to smaller retail investors.
The sustainability of this growth in the rapidly evolving AI landscape remains a key question for any AI-related company. However, Broadcom's forward P/E ratio of 35 appears relatively modest compared to its AI peers like NVIDIA (50), CrowdStrike (95), and AMD (46). This suggests that Broadcom may still have room for further valuation expansion.
Following the impressive earnings report, the stock surged 12% on June 13th and continued to trade higher in after-/pre-market activity. The technical picture is also positive, with the price comfortably above its short, mid, and long-term moving averages, indicating strong momentum. The recent surge in volume, reflected in the Volume Oscillator, further underscores the heightened interest in the stock.
While the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently in overbought territory at 79.23, this is not unusual following a major earnings announcement. Importantly, the RSI's moving average has been trending upwards since early May, suggesting that the bullish momentum behind AVGO may not be exhausted yet.
Furthermore, the overall market sentiment towards AI remains positive, which could continue to support Broadcom's growth trajectory. Yet it remains important to monitor Broadcom's competitive position in the Semiconductor Solutions & Infrastructure Software market, as the landscape is constantly evolving.
Risk Management: Despite the positive outlook, investors should be mindful of potential risks, such as a slowdown in AI adoption or increased competition, and employ appropriate risk management strategies.
Broadcom's Robust Earnings, Strategic Stock Split, and AI-DrivenBroadcom Inc. has showcased strong financial performance and strategic advancements in its latest quarterly report. The company exceeded analysts’ expectations with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $10.96 and revenue of $12.49 billion for the second fiscal quarter. This impressive outcome led to a 10% increase in after-hours trading.
In addition, Broadcom announced a 10-for-1 stock split effective July 15, aimed at increasing share accessibility for retail investors.
AI technology remains a significant growth driver for Broadcom. The company reported $3.1 billion in AI-related revenue for the quarter and increased its AI revenue forecast for 2024 to $11 billion. Broadcom’s diversified AI operations and partnerships with tech giants like Google position it well for future growth.
The 5G market also presents substantial opportunities for Broadcom. The company generated $5.9 billion in 5G revenue in 2023 and expects continued growth as the global market expands.
Despite facing challenges such as competition from Qualcomm and geopolitical tensions, Broadcom’s strategic acquisitions and strong market presence support its positive outlook.
Broadcom (AVGO): Set for a New High or Due for a Pullback?Since the COVID-19 low in March 2020 at $155, Broadcom has seen an incredible surge, similar to Nvidia's performance. The stock has skyrocketed by an astounding 840% since that low. This massive run-up makes the analysis challenging, but we've identified the Wave (1) and Wave (2) structures of this upward movement.
The internal wave structure is not clear, making it difficult to analyze further. Broadcom has had only one sideways range between $780 and $922. Otherwise, the stock has been moving parabolically upwards.
A significant trendline, initially touched at Wave (1), has been broken five or six times, with the seventh touch holding as support. Given the upcoming earnings report, we believe Broadcom could rise to the $1,600 to $1,800 range, with a maximum potential target of $2,300 or higher.
Realistically and statistically, we anticipate a pullback for Wave (3) between the 227.2% and 261.8% levels. However, it's also possible that Broadcom continues its upward trajectory without interruption, similar to Nvidia.
Today's earnings report will be crucial in determining the next move for Broadcom. We will be watching closely to see if the stock continues its parabolic rise or if we get the pullback.
BROADCOM accumulating. Last opportunity to buy on this pull-backBroadcom Inc. (AVGO) has been trading within a long-term Channel Up since the October 13 2022 market bottom. The stock is now within the new Accumulation Phase that is being supported by the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
Based on the previous Accumulation Phase, we should get one (or two max) more pull-back towards the 1D MA100, before the price breaks upwards aggressively towards the Channel's top (Higher Highs trend-line).
Last time the ultimate buy signal was when the 1D RSI made a Double Bottom. Our Target is $1800, which will be on the 3.0 Fibonacci extension, similar to the December 15 2023 High.
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Correction Coming for AI? AI technology has been recognized as the new future since the end of 2022. The rapid advancements in AI and its stock prices sparked debates regarding the sustainability of its current valuations.
Indeed, AI technology has a long runway ahead, but like all journeys, it will eventually encounter a bend. In today's tutorial, we are going to study its fundamental and technical reasons why we may have to prepare for a windy and bumpy ride ahead.
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Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
AVGO Broadcom Options Ahead of EarningsAfter the Head and Shoulders chart pattern was perfectly completed:
and the bullish trend started:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AVGO Broadcom prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 1380usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $129.85.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Broadcom Revenue Beats Estimates As AI Powers DemandTech giant Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) surpasses market expectations for first-quarter revenue fueled by heightened demand for advanced networking chips powering artificial intelligence (AI) applications. However, shares dip post-announcement amidst mixed investor sentiments.
Key Highlights:
Broadcom's robust performance in the first quarter underscores the pivotal role of AI in driving demand for cutting-edge networking solutions, particularly within cloud infrastructure. While smaller rival Marvell Technology faces challenges with weak demand for custom AI chips, Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) stands resilient with its diversified portfolio and strategic positioning in the AI computing landscape. Despite maintaining a conservative annual revenue forecast, Broadcom's continued growth trajectory and expansion into software and tech firms affirm its status as a key player in the evolving tech ecosystem.
Market Dynamics:
The surge in demand for infrastructure upgrades, driven by the proliferation of generative AI applications, propels Broadcom's semiconductor solutions segment, albeit falling slightly short of revenue estimates. Infrastructure software revenue experiences a significant uptick, surpassing expectations and contributing to Broadcom's overall revenue growth.
Future Outlook:
Broadcom's entrenched position in AI-driven data center infrastructure positions it as a prime beneficiary of the ongoing AI revolution. Continued investments in software and tech acquisitions, coupled with sustained innovation in networking solutions, are poised to drive Broadcom's future growth and market relevance.
Conclusion:
Broadcom's ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) resilience in navigating market challenges while capitalizing on emerging opportunities reaffirms its status as a leading player in the tech industry. As AI continues to reshape the technological landscape, Broadcom's ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) expertise in providing essential networking solutions places it at the forefront of innovation and growth.
AVGO Chipmaker in an ascending channel SHORTOn a 30-minute chart, like several other computer chip manufactures has approached or
reached a near-term top. Overall Broadcom has gained 19% YTD. Earnings are in about two
weeks. I see this as a short trade to follow AVGO from the top of the channel down to about
1225 in time to catch earnings at the bottom of the channel to end the swing trade and instead
go long from there. I intend to close the trade two days before earnings and flip sides
hunting the beat on the earnings.
AVGO: Eyeing an aggressive bullish breakout. Broadcom Inc is overbought on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 75.003, MACD = 23.960, ADX = 31.411) but on the long term it is only testing the middle of the 1 year Channel Up pattern. This recent rally was initiated after the 1D MA50 held on December 6th. If the middle of the Channel Up breaks, we will go long and target the top (TP = 1,300) as it could be a bullish breakout as aggressive as May 26th. If it doesn't break, we will wait for another pullback to the 1D MA50 and then buy towards the middle again (TP = 1,100).
See how our prior idea has worked:
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Broadcom Ltd (NASDAQ: $AVGO) Growth MomentumPrice Momentum
AVGO is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
The 50-day Moving Average is above the 200-day moving average meaning NASDAQ:AVGO may continue its Bullish Trend.
NASDAQ:AVGO 's 50-day moving Average crosses the 100-day Moving Average indicating a partial "Golden Cross".
Investors have been pushing the share price higher, NASDAQ:AVGO still appears to have upward momentum. This is a positive sign for $AVGO.
Broadcom Closes $69 Billion VMware Deal After China ApprovalBroadcom (AVGO.O) closed its $69 billion acquisition of cloud-computing firm VMware (VMW.N) after receiving regulatory approval in last major market China and ending a months-long saga.
The deal, one of the biggest globally when announced in May 2022, was the latest in CEO Hock Tan's efforts to boost the chipmaker's software business.
However, the transaction faced tough regulatory scrutiny across the world and the companies had delayed the closing date three times.
China's regulatory approval came through on Tuesday after ongoing tensions with the U.S. around tougher chip export control measures had stoked fears among some investors on the company's ability to close the deal before the Nov. 26 deadline.
"The improved mood music after the meeting between China's President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Joe Biden earlier this month helped to settle remaining nerves," Danni Hewson, head of financial analysis at AJ Bell, said on Tuesday, after the companies said they planned to close the transaction on Nov. 22.
The European Commission had approved the acquisition after Broadcom offered remedies to help rival Marvell Technology (MRVL.O) while the UK's Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) gave its green light following an in-depth investigation.
Big Tech mergers such as Microsoft's (MSFT.O) now-closed $69 billion purchase of the "Call of Duty" publisher Activision have faced heightened regulatory pressure from the U.S. Federal Trade Commission under its Chair Lina Khan.
Price Momentum
AVGO is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
What does this mean?
Investors have been pushing the share price higher, and the stock still appears to have upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
$AVGO Broadcom Inc. Bull FlagA pull back to the orange line will be my buying opportunity, break below and confirm stop out. The mention of a "Bull Flag breakout" in relation to NASDAQ:AVGO (Broadcom Inc.) suggests a specific pattern in technical analysis that indicates potential bullish momentum. Here's a breakdown of what this means:
1. **Bull Flag Pattern**: This is a continuation pattern that occurs after a strong price movement upwards, followed by a consolidation phase that forms the 'flag.' The flag is typically a slight downward or horizontal sloping rectangle formed by parallel trendlines against the preceding uptrend. This pattern is considered bullish because it often signals that the stock is gathering strength before a further upward move.
2. **Breakout**: A breakout in this context means that the stock price has moved above the upper boundary of the flag pattern. This is usually accompanied by an increase in volume and is seen as a confirmation that the stock is resuming its prior uptrend.
3. **Implications for NASDAQ:AVGO **: For Broadcom Inc., the observation of a Bull Flag breakout implies that the stock might be entering a phase of continued upward price movement. Investors and traders often interpret this as a buying opportunity, anticipating further price increases.
4. **Technical Analysis Considerations**: When analyzing a Bull Flag breakout, it's important to consider the volume during the breakout (higher volume provides stronger confirmation), the height of the mast (the initial price surge before the flag formation), and whether other technical indicators support the bullish sentiment.
5. **Risk Management**: While Bull Flag breakouts can be powerful signals, they are not infallible. It’s crucial to incorporate risk management strategies, such as setting stop-loss orders, to protect against the possibility that the breakout does not lead to the expected upward trend.
6. **Fundamental Factors**: Beyond technical analysis, it's also essential to consider Broadcom's fundamental factors, such as its financial health, industry trends, and overall market conditions, as these can impact the stock's performance irrespective of technical patterns.
Remember, technical analysis like the Bull Flag pattern is just one tool in a broader investment strategy. It's always recommended to consider a range of factors and perform comprehensive analysis before making investment decisions.