"Scenario B" for Potential Bearish of Broadening WedgeThe 1st scenario is Broadening Wedge with rebound and break resistance, and then raise to another record with possible to break $2700 first.
In this "scenario B" , I try to make some exception for the resistance. Concern the resistance is too strong after the rebound, therefore we will find the correction until it break the support. After that we will find some retrace or swing high about 50% of last wave, and continue with the pressure to 2614 which is known as point B or point 2.
After the dip correction, please becareful with new demand probably will push the price for another uptrend. Well at least it corrected first before making new high on NFP next friday, right?
Broadening
Broadening Wedge Pattern in JKCEMENETOn Daily timeframe, Broadening wedge pattern breakout occured in JKCEMENT near 4600 level. after this breakout expected strong upside rally upto 5016+ level with intermediate target of 4800 in this stock. This breakout will fail if stock starts trading below 4450 level.
ADA - A good opportunity for LONG tradeBINANCE:ADAUSDT (1D CHART) Technical Analysis Update
ADA is currently trading at $0.6642 and showing overall bullish sentiment. Currently ADA has formed a broadening wedge pattern and now the price is bouncing from the support line. We have a good opportunity a long trade.
Use smaller capital than normal
Entry level: $ 0.6639
Stop Loss Level: $ 0.5606
TakeProfit 1: $ 0.72
TakeProfit 2: $ 0.79
TakeProfit 3: $ 0.88
TakeProfit 4: $ 0.96
Max Leverage: 3x
Don't forget to keep stop loss.
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GreenCrypto
Vuvuzela Pattern for the JSE ALSI 40 target to blow up to 75000 Well, well, well, we've identified the tumultuous and monotonous pattern on the chart finally.
It's known as a Broadening Triangle or what I call a Vuvuzela Formation.
The price diverges instead of converges in a triangle pattern...
Now this can be a continuation or a reversal pattern. It all depends on the breakout.
Looking at the D&S and liquidity it looks like the JSE really wants to break above the formation and head to new highs of the year.
75,000 is a decent first target...
Also with Smart Money Concepts we can see there is a Sell Side Liquidity Order Block showing how Smart Money is sweeping selling and buying into it, hence there isn't a major push down in price just yet...
I'm bullish with this Vuvuzela. Now we need the JSE to blow up.
Trading the MegaphoneEuro is trending up while the dollar is heading lower. We're at the bottom of the broadening formation, a break in LTF structure is a good trigger for a long to the top of the megaphone, not that I believe in LTF structure breaks per se - I'm already long.
Trade will take 2 - 4 days I expect. You can take profit at the top of structure (BSL), at the top of the broadening formation or at the daily swing high all the way up at 1.236 :)
Bearish on Bajaj AutoBajaj Auto (NSE Ticker: BAJAJ_AUTO) is forming two back to back bearish patterns on the hourly chart.
First bearish pattern: Broadening formation
Second bearish pattern: Head & Shoulders
We see high probability of fall in price in the coming days toward measured move and 200SMA target of 4410.
📢 The Broadening FormationA technical chart pattern recognized by analysts, known as a broadening formation or Megaphone Pattern, is characterized by expanding price fluctuation. It is represented by two lines, one ascending and one descending, that diverge from each other. This pattern typically appears after a significant increase or decrease in security prices and is denoted by a sequence of higher and lower turning points. Normally this pattern is visible when the market is at its top or bottom. The greater the time frame is better the pattern will work.
🔹How to identify
Generally, the Broadening Formation consists of 5 different swings. But the swing has to have a minimum of two higher highs and two lower lows. A trend line is drawn by connecting point 1 and point 3 while points 2 and 4 are also joined together to draw a line.
These two lines create a shape that looks like a megaphone or inverted symmetric triangle. These swings’ highs and lows have to close above or below its pivot line and therefore they will create swing high as pivot high (R1, R2, and R3) and swing lows as pivot lows (S1, S2, and S3).
A breakout occurs when the line does not respect its support or resistance line and closes outside the shape after making the 5th swing.
🔹Volume
Volume plays an important role when it comes to the recognition of this pattern.
In the Broadening Top, volume usually peaks along with prices.
An increase in the volume, on the day of the pattern confirmation, is a strong indicator.
🔹Failures
This pattern also can be traded when it fails but is necessary to identify the failure perfectly.
A failure can be spotted when it fails to break the trend line (upper or lower as the case may be) after completing the 5th swing.
Suppose in a bull market condition, this pattern is formed and if it fails to break the upper trend line, traders go short when the price goes below 3rd swing high (R2).
Similar is the scenario, when the market is in a bear phase and it fails to break the lower trend line (S2), traders take a long position when the price closes above the 3rd swing high.
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PEOPLEUSDT broadening pattern in ActionThe price is testing the daily resistance inside a broadening pattern.
At the moment the price is testing the 0.5 Fibonacci level on the Daily timeframe.
How to approach it?
IF the price is going to have a clear breakout and retest the resistance as new support, According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order
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Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ black structure -> <= 1h structure.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
CADCNH to Continue Lower?CADCNH has completed the broadening top pattern and the price is now in consolidation. I expect CAD to continue gaining strength against CNH and to reach the broadening top's objective, which lies near 5.
We can short the pair once the price breaks below the small consolidation trendline.
⚠️⚠️ ✔️ OR ❌️ ? Is it the bottom for #bitcoin? ⚠️⚠️Building on my previous $BTC logarithmic regression chart, there has now been an almost perfect bounce off of the yellow, dotted, inversion-curve line. This coincides with daily, weekly and monthly RSI's being at extremely oversold levels with the 4hr RSI moving down into oversold territory. Personally, all my limit orders were hit perfectly so it seems I may have at least bought "A" bottom here. This abrupt price drop also has now created a broadening edge pattern, which typically will break to the upside when formed at the bottom of a downtrend. All of these confluences may just spell the final bottom price for $BTC in the short term and validate my "inversion-curve" theory. Of course this can still be invalidated by a close below the inversion-curve line. If that occurs, I would still believe an inversion could be possible, but over a much longer time period. In that scenario, my target range for a price bottom would be between $10,770 & $12,694.
#btcinversion #btcbottom
*These are my personal opinions, based on chat data. This is not financial advice.*
Elrond (EGLD) Surged 24% Today as the Broader Crypto Market SlipToday, the cryptocurrency project Elrond saw a surprising double-digit surge of 24% in the price of its native coin EGLD. In contrast, the overall crypto category slipped 2% as investors processed through the Federal Reserve's decision yesterday to increase interest rates by 0.75% -- marking the largest single-day hike since 1994.
EGLD is often called eGold, which seems fitting today as its price across cryptocurrency exchanges jumped as high as $57.50 over the past 24 hours -- it has retraced a bit since then, however. It also had a whopping 85% pump in trading volume over the same timeframe as a mini-FOMO run that appears to be occurring around one of the few bright spots today within the crypto space.
At the time of writing, most other cryptos in the top-10 projects based on market value were trading down including Bitcoin, Ethereum, BNB, Cardano, and XRP. By comparison to those other blockchains, Elrond's website boasts that it's 1000 times faster than it used to be and able to process 15,000 smart contracts per second while providing settlement for each of those transactions in seconds for only fractions of a penny.
ES1!/SPY Short - Broadening Decisive Break - LOPMAYou short, anon?
Lots of evidence pointing to the downside here. (I am currently aware of a bug for people viewing my posts on various devices where they see nothing. Something to do with my firefox configuration which I will fix soon, until then you can visit my chart link to see my charts if unable to see here)
I think we have only just started downside similar to the covid crash, evident by a few metrics. Things such as the daily candle gap of today's candle (similar to covid crash), My homemade indicator showing deviation bearishly and printing of multiple instances of hidden bear divergence.
So much to say, such little time...
Good luck, have a great one.
[Bitcoin] Possible scenarios in future#Bitcoin #Daily #ElliottWave #Scenario #Tommy
- These are some of many scenarios that I am personally considering from the Elliott Wave Theory perspective. Numerous technical factors that are observed frequently especially in recent financial market such as widening patterns, stop hunting price action, parallel channels, and master patterns have been taken into account. Let's take a look at each one.
- Let’s start with A, my most bearish scenario. This is a wave counting where the whole bullish wave from $32.9K low formed in January, is regarded as a big dead-cat bounce, expecting another bearish wave cycle. I interpreted the sideway structure that came out after January as a green wave B within the 5-3-5 ABC correction. If we see another bullish trend breaking top of the black channel above, possible target prices for wave B are $53.6k~$54.8k and $57.2k~$58.4k. In a bigger picture, red wave C can be targeted at $22.3k~$23.6k and $17.8K~$19.5K which can also be considered as possible resistances. This scenario becomes more likely if bottoms of the black and green channel fail supporting.
- Scenario B is my bullish counting that assumes $32.9K low as the end of the corrective wave cycle and regarding the bullish wave after as an impulsive. It seems that support of the red upward trend line is currently being tested and if successfully supported, we cannot exclude the Leading Diagonal wave 1 scenario. If it fails supporting and cause more bearish momentum, I would say $37.8K~$39.5K is a significant zone which is a confluent zone of the black channel bottom and HVP(High volume peak) level. This scenario is to be ignored if Bitcoin makes a swing low, breaking $32.9K and forming LL(Lower Low). If somehow Bitcoin becomes very bullish making a higher high, the target prices for the impulsive wave can be deducted as $72.5k-$74.0k and $77.5k-$79.0k.
- The following two scenarios have considered wave structure above $28K as 3-3-5 Flat Correction. Scenario C has taken widening or broadening patterns into account which are commonly observed these days. Considering 3-3-5 Expanded Flat correction, this scenario expects to break the $28.9K bottom, making a V-shaped price action at the stop-hunting level and the bottom of the disjoint channel. If the $53.6k~$54.8k resistance fails rejection, this wave counting becomes invalid. The green wave 5 or red wave C can be targeted at $22.3k~$23.6k and $17.8k~$19.5k below.
- Scenario D is similar to C, but has a shorter green wave 5, meaning Truncated wave 5 or C is expected. This very case interprets the wave structure as a running flat corrective and expects to not break the bottom of the black or green channel below. $37.8K~$39.5K would be a decent target range. If bottom of the upward channels fails supporting, $29.1k~$30.8k which is the bottom of the smaller widening pattern formed after $32.9k, can also be considered as a short-term support zone.
- (Summary) The most imminent point to pay attention currently is to confirm whether the red bullish trend line can successfully support. The next support levels to keep our eyes on are around the bottom of the black and green channels. However, if this zone breaks, I would become very bearish expecting price to drop and reach $28.9k which is a very important LVP(Low Volume Peak) pivot level. If the market becomes worse making another huge drop, the area where the lower widening pattern and the stop-hunting level overlap around $22.3k~$23.6k and $17.8k~$19.5k, would be one of the most attractive buy zones. If additional bullish rallies are observed, the resistances to consider in between are $53.6k~$54.8k and $57.2k~$58.4k. Lastly, in a much bigger picture, if Bitcoin successfully swings high making a new historical high, I would say $72.5k~$74.0k and $77.5k~$79.0k are areas to expect some rejections.
When will the rising beam of Russia and Ukraine end?#Bitcoin #4 hour #Binance #Tommy
- 4 hours of Bitcoin. BTC broke the blue downtrend channel upwards on 3/1, but BTC re-entered the channel again without showing any retest support at the top.
- Since then, BTC is moving towards lower highs and lower lows with resistance from the black inward trend line. In the case of a break above this intrinsic trend line, I think the upper part of the widening pattern and the upper part of the blue downtrend channel overlap the resistance zone.
- The corresponding resistance section is 40 .5k~41.1k, and it is a section that we are paying attention to as it is located at pre-LVP , 200 EMA of 4 hour, and black rising channel EQ. If BTC reaches it before 3/9 21:00, you can respond with a sell position, but if BTC successfully break through that section, additional buying may occur.
- The additional resistance section we are looking at is 42.8k-43.5k, where several LVP, the 0.705-0.786 retracement of the downtrend, and the short-term upside channel retest overlap.
- One part of concern is that, like the image above, these days, Expanding triangle patterns often appear. In the current situation, if BTC cannot successfully break through the trend line and go to lower the low once again, there is a high possibility that BTC will flow into a similar state to the 2/20~2/24 down wave.
- 34.9k~35.5k, the 1st support section, where the lower triangle (lower widening), green short-term downtrend line retest, pre-LVP, black uptrend channel bottom, and 1.13~1.272 stop-hunting extension level of the uptrend pass at the same time It is under consideration and is valid until 3/12 19:00.
- If this support line breaks, it is likely to show that the second support section, 32.2k~32.8k is open. Reaching this far means that the 32.9k, which is the major bottom, has been breached, so if there is no significant rebound, it is better to respond while clearing the volume (split stop loss)
Broadening Formation & Wedge – Indices – EU50 - Daily - ShortCAPITALCOM:EU50
Looking at the upward trend from March 2020, we can see that you will get various readings depending on where you place your trend line.
Due to this and not specifically knowing if the stock is in a downtrend, I placed my trendline to match the newest low. This is because, in an uptrend, this could be the retracement followed by a move higher, and this has been known to happen in indices. Remember that indices are a collection of top-performing companies, so the price typically goes up.
Based on this, now I make my analysis. I can comfortably say that if it is pushed past this new low, the uptrend is probably over.
You can see the ascending broadening formation that begins in April 2021 and move, creating new higher highs till January 2022, where the price starts to lose its momentum. It subsequently creates a wedge with a series of lower highs but is still supported by the bottom support level, which is proving difficult to push past.
If you take note of the volume for each valley that hits this support level, you will see that it is above average. This happens every time the price moves there. This means that the support level in this area is a potent one. Not to mention if we look at the price here, you will find it sitting at a tidy round number (4000 EUR). From this, we can assume that buys have bought in here and are determined not to let price breakthrough.
However, if we look at the tightening wedge, along with the series of lower highs, the partial decline, and the volume just days prior signaling all the selling pressure, we can perhaps be inclined to think that a decline in price is on the way. Moreover, the wedge has formed what looks like a double top, but we will have to wait for the price to break the 4000 (Euro) mark in order for it to be confirmed.
I would suspect that if the price drops and closes below 4000, then there would be a potential short position. You might think that the previous valleys with their large volume would be a barrier to the short move if it does break, but I think they are too close within the price reach to be of any significance.
You could perhaps look at the first valley as your profit target. That would be approximately at a price 3853.
If you jump in at 4000 or just below as I suggest, you are looking at a target of 5 to 1. Remember that your stop would be just above 4000. This is because in the event that this is just a retracement, you would want to be out of the position immediately.
You could even tighten up your stop to increase your risk to reward, but I would wait to see what the indices does before taking this strategy.
NQ!1 - Wild Ride into the Darkness of Winter Solstice - in 3DBTC in a bull flag after the falling wedge break-out, NAS and SPX with reversal days, the 10 Year with an iH&S relief rally stuffed after completing the break. Two days left in a low volume trading week. Top watch is the Metabook and the 4 hour iH&S after the gap fill.
AAPL - Sign and ConfirmationThe long upper wick of the candle is a sign of price rejection.
The first bearish pin bar on November 22, followed by another higher high long upper wick candle on December 1, is a sign that the trend is about to bend. Confirming the two sign is followed by another higher high with Bearish Engulfing Candle, this candle pattern could be the confirmation that the upward trend is done.
And also, if you draw a line, you can see that there is a Bearish Broadening Wedge forming.