📢 The Broadening FormationA technical chart pattern recognized by analysts, known as a broadening formation or Megaphone Pattern, is characterized by expanding price fluctuation. It is represented by two lines, one ascending and one descending, that diverge from each other. This pattern typically appears after a significant increase or decrease in security prices and is denoted by a sequence of higher and lower turning points. Normally this pattern is visible when the market is at its top or bottom. The greater the time frame is better the pattern will work.
🔹How to identify
Generally, the Broadening Formation consists of 5 different swings. But the swing has to have a minimum of two higher highs and two lower lows. A trend line is drawn by connecting point 1 and point 3 while points 2 and 4 are also joined together to draw a line.
These two lines create a shape that looks like a megaphone or inverted symmetric triangle. These swings’ highs and lows have to close above or below its pivot line and therefore they will create swing high as pivot high (R1, R2, and R3) and swing lows as pivot lows (S1, S2, and S3).
A breakout occurs when the line does not respect its support or resistance line and closes outside the shape after making the 5th swing.
🔹Volume
Volume plays an important role when it comes to the recognition of this pattern.
In the Broadening Top, volume usually peaks along with prices.
An increase in the volume, on the day of the pattern confirmation, is a strong indicator.
🔹Failures
This pattern also can be traded when it fails but is necessary to identify the failure perfectly.
A failure can be spotted when it fails to break the trend line (upper or lower as the case may be) after completing the 5th swing.
Suppose in a bull market condition, this pattern is formed and if it fails to break the upper trend line, traders go short when the price goes below 3rd swing high (R2).
Similar is the scenario, when the market is in a bear phase and it fails to break the lower trend line (S2), traders take a long position when the price closes above the 3rd swing high.
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Broadening-top
CADCNH to Continue Lower?CADCNH has completed the broadening top pattern and the price is now in consolidation. I expect CAD to continue gaining strength against CNH and to reach the broadening top's objective, which lies near 5.
We can short the pair once the price breaks below the small consolidation trendline.
Broadening Formation & Wedge – Indices – EU50 - Daily - ShortCAPITALCOM:EU50
Looking at the upward trend from March 2020, we can see that you will get various readings depending on where you place your trend line.
Due to this and not specifically knowing if the stock is in a downtrend, I placed my trendline to match the newest low. This is because, in an uptrend, this could be the retracement followed by a move higher, and this has been known to happen in indices. Remember that indices are a collection of top-performing companies, so the price typically goes up.
Based on this, now I make my analysis. I can comfortably say that if it is pushed past this new low, the uptrend is probably over.
You can see the ascending broadening formation that begins in April 2021 and move, creating new higher highs till January 2022, where the price starts to lose its momentum. It subsequently creates a wedge with a series of lower highs but is still supported by the bottom support level, which is proving difficult to push past.
If you take note of the volume for each valley that hits this support level, you will see that it is above average. This happens every time the price moves there. This means that the support level in this area is a potent one. Not to mention if we look at the price here, you will find it sitting at a tidy round number (4000 EUR). From this, we can assume that buys have bought in here and are determined not to let price breakthrough.
However, if we look at the tightening wedge, along with the series of lower highs, the partial decline, and the volume just days prior signaling all the selling pressure, we can perhaps be inclined to think that a decline in price is on the way. Moreover, the wedge has formed what looks like a double top, but we will have to wait for the price to break the 4000 (Euro) mark in order for it to be confirmed.
I would suspect that if the price drops and closes below 4000, then there would be a potential short position. You might think that the previous valleys with their large volume would be a barrier to the short move if it does break, but I think they are too close within the price reach to be of any significance.
You could perhaps look at the first valley as your profit target. That would be approximately at a price 3853.
If you jump in at 4000 or just below as I suggest, you are looking at a target of 5 to 1. Remember that your stop would be just above 4000. This is because in the event that this is just a retracement, you would want to be out of the position immediately.
You could even tighten up your stop to increase your risk to reward, but I would wait to see what the indices does before taking this strategy.
NQ!1 - Wild Ride into the Darkness of Winter Solstice - in 3DBTC in a bull flag after the falling wedge break-out, NAS and SPX with reversal days, the 10 Year with an iH&S relief rally stuffed after completing the break. Two days left in a low volume trading week. Top watch is the Metabook and the 4 hour iH&S after the gap fill.
Classic broadening top formation in Ultratech CementNSE:ULTRACEMCO is in process of forming a classical 5 point broadening top pattern. This is typical of a top and prices take a fall once this formation is complete. If many stock form this pattern in a given market then that is a forewarning of a potential bear market. For this patten to come in play, prices should go down and break the lower trend line but if that doesn't happen then there is nothing to worry ;-)
SNAP Broadening Formation BreakoutHere we see a right angle broadening formation, with the accumulation line on the bottom.
What appears to be an island reversal pattern appeared in the daily chart, marked by the yellow rectangle, which is typical of congestion patterns like this.
Broadening formations are typical of late stage bull markets and are accompanied by irregular volume throughout.
A majority of broadening formations carry bearish implications, and a breakout occured today in SNAP, although not by the generally "safe" 3% margin.
I would expect a throwback, but the pattern implies a -65% move to the downside to 17.5, although not necessarily soon.
Broadening TopWhat Is a Broadening Formation?
A broadening formation is a price chart pattern identified by technical analysts. It is characterized by increasing price volatility and diagrammed as two diverging trend lines, one rising and one falling. It usually occurs after a significant rise, or fall, in the action of security prices. It is identified on a chart by a series of higher pivot highs and lower pivot lows.
Understanding Broadening Formations
Broadening formations occur when a market is experiencing heightened disagreement among investors over the appropriate price of a security over a short period of time. Buyers become increasingly willing to buy at higher prices, while sellers find ever more motivation to take profits. This creates a series of higher interim peaks in price and lower interim lows. When connecting these highs and lows, the trend lines form a widening pattern that looks like a megaphone or reverse symmetrical triangle.
The price may reflect the random disagreement between investors, or it may reflect a more fundamental factor. For example, many countries experience broadening formations due to heightened political risk ahead of an upcoming election. Different polling results or candidate policies may cause a market to become very bullish at some points and very bearish at other points.
Broadening Tops: Important Bull Market Results
Overall performance rank for up/down breakouts (1 is best): 22 out of 39/28 out of 36
Break even failure rate for up/down breakouts: 18%/27%
Average rise/decline for up/down breakouts: 42%/13%
Throwback/pullback rate: 67%/67%
Percentage meeting price target for up/down breakouts: 66%/42%
The above numbers are based on 1,215 samples for upward breakouts and 804 for downward breakouts.
Broadening Formation?The market is currently bullish, and it continues to be bullish until the market says otherwise.
This idea is not to try to be a fortune teller, telling the market what to do,
but a possible scenario that could happen so if the market is deciding to act on it, we will have it in our mind and follow its bidding to the downside.
The trend is your friend, so keep listening to it...
$DJI Broadening Top Pattern appearance Hello everyone,
First of all excuse my english, plus, this is my first ever Tradingview idea I decided to publish. Yay!
These days everyone talking about bear market is about to hit us, so I was like let me check $DJI and see if I can figure something :D
I consider myself a beginner with technical charts & I really like classical pattern trading so I wanted to share this with you (feel free if you want to correct me or give me some information to add to my brain :D)
This is a Weekly DJI chart that shows a Broadening Tops Pattern. this pattern appears like a (Megaphone with higher highs and lower lows that widen over time) and it considered a short-term bullish continuation.
I am not sure what to expect here as we're very close to the resistance, however, I guess we would see a short-term decline to 25-28k levels (above 200-EMA) and then volatility might increase to see a breakout.
However, someone would say, we can also see a breakout and a continuation of bull market. This is also possible. No one knows. All I can say that 2020 market is super special and I am glad trading it & I cannot wait to see what will happen.
What do you think? & Happy Trading!
Thanks,
Pattern Cheatsheet: Identfying a Broadening Top PatternThe Broadening Top pattern appears when price makes a straight upwards run (similar to the "Flagpole" of a Bull Flag Pattern, then swings between two expanding broadening trendlines with at least 5 touches.
It is a neutral pattern which means it can break out in either direction, on the bottom right examples i have explained how the pattern is identified, measured and traded for both Bullish & Bearish breakouts.
The idea is to get a entry early by identifying the pattern, (point A) which allows for a better Risk:Reward ratio and closer stop loss. The second potential entry is at point B, which is considered a Bullish or Bearish retest ( Support/Resistance flip it is also known as), but this area is a bit risker and has less "room to move".
The pattern can give a a sign that the price may have a higher chance in heading in a certain direction, and we can measure the height of the straight run upwards, aswell as the height of the two LARGEST SWINGS within the pattern to get two possible price targets ; one conservative and one less so.
The Broadening Top appears frequently on Bitcoin & Ethereum and has one of the better success rates out of all the different Broadening Patterns and is one of the easiest to trade & identify because often it works similar to a Bull Flag pattern.
If you found this idea informative, Dont forget to show your support by liking & commenting thank you traders!
INOV, Broadening Top (bearish)I found this pattern at tickeron website with the following data:
STATUS = Confirmed
CURRENT CONFIDENCE = 71%
TARGET (EXIT) PRICE = 18.49 USD
BREAKOUT (ENTRY) PRICE = 19.51 USD
DISTANCE TO TARGET PRICE = 4.45%
EMERGED ON = Nov 09, 07:00 AM (EST)
CONFIRMED ON = Nov 10, 10:11 AM (EST)
WITH CONFIDENCE LEVEL = 78%
The Broadening Top pattern forms when a security price makes higher highs (1, 3, 5) and lower lows (2, 4) following two widening trend lines. The price is expected to move up or down past the pattern depending on which line is broken first. What distinguishes a Broadening Top from a Broadening Bottom is that the price of the security is rising prior to entering the pattern formation.
This type of formation happens when volatility is high or increasing, and when a security’s price is moving with high volatility but little or no direction. It indicates growing investor nervousness and indecisiveness.
Trade idea
If the price breaks out from the bottom pattern boundary, day traders and swing traders should trade with a DOWN trend. Consider selling the security short or buying a put option at the downward breakout price level. To identify an exit, compute the target price by subtracting the pattern height from breakout point. The pattern height is difference between the pattern’s highest high and its lowest low.
To limit potential loss when price suddenly goes in the wrong direction, consider placing a stop order to buy back a short position or sell a put option at or above the breakout price.
$SAP #SAP ... all hands on deck! Support area is 89 -79 USDHi and welcome to my analysis on SAP (NYSE, USD).
Yes, we had some news from the software provider that attracted sellers. Trading in Germany on XETRA is closed and no prisoners were taken...
In my first chart you can see a broadening top in the stock. SAP was not able to activate this formation to the upside in September...the upper trendline produced heavy resistance and forced a minor reversal...
In combination with a bearish engulfing pattern as per end of September...
...and last week's break below the KAMA21 the stage was set for a downturn...
The lower megaphone supportline is at 89 USD...this is a target if the bears remain in control.
POC (2016 to date) is showing the point of control around 79 USD.
Would be nice if you support me with a thumbs up and follow me...
Best,
Tom Jansen
Chief Investor-Guard
© Copyright TA Investor-Guard 2020. Charts powered by TradingView. All rights reserved.
The information provided here is of a general nature and not legal, tax or investment advice.
EIDX, Broadening Top (bullish) I found this pattern at tickeron website with the following data:
STATUS = Confirmed
CURRENT CONFIDENCE = 77%
TARGET (EXIT) PRICE = 77.06 USD
BREAKOUT (ENTRY) PRICE = 75.17 USD
DISTANCE TO TARGET PRICE = 2.53%
EMERGED ON = Oct 07, 12:00 PM (EDT)
CONFIRMED ON = Oct 07, 12:12 PM (EDT)
WITH CONFIDENCE LEVEL = 87%
Once the price breaks out from the top pattern boundary, day traders and swing traders should trade with an UP trend. Consider buying a security or a call option at the upward breakout price/entry point. To identify an exit, compute the target price by adding the pattern height (H on the chart) to the breakout price. The pattern height is the difference between the pattern’s highest high and its lowest low.
To limit potential loss when the price suddenly goes in the wrong direction, consider placing a stop order to sell at or below the breakout price.
The Broadening Top pattern forms when the price of a security progressively makes higher highs (1, 3) and lower lows (2, 4) following two widening trend lines. The price is expected to move up or down past the pattern depending on which line is broken first. What distinguishes a Broadening Top from a Broadening Bottom is that the price of the security is rising prior to entering the pattern formation.
This type of formation happens when volatility is high or increasing, and when a security’s price is moving with high volatility but with little or no direction. It can potentially indicate growing investor nervousness and indecisiveness.
Expending Triangule or Broadening?In my point of view, we are in an Expending Triangule with 3 major options:
A ➜ If June ends above the US$ 9,750, breaking the market structure, the next target will be our all time highest high near to US$ 18,000, but I think its is Improbable.
B ➜ Closing June bellow US$ 9,750, we will still inside this long bear trend, aiming to test the bottom of the triangle, but its very possible that movement is just a Beautiful Bear Trap, climbing fast the prices back to US$ 10,000 with a breakout in a few weeks, and our next target will be $17,800.
C ➜ The saddest option, without strong bulls, the bears hit the bottom of the triangule, triggering several stops orders, backing us to 3 years ago with the prices in $ 1600 and then $ 800.
So... What do you think?
SPX - 2 different scenarios. BEARS / BULLSplease show support by liking this analysis. I am not a financial advisor and i do not recommend taking any of my trades because of the risk. This analysis is purely for entertainment only and a possible idea what could happen with the market. If you have any questions feel free to ask, i would gladly help.
+BlackStockOfficial
Rene Pungartnik
Dow Likely Entering Bear Market: Broadening Top; Bear Flag Ominous portents. Broadening top in September led to the microcrash in October and US Equities have been struggling since.
November usually one of the best months for stocks, has only been a down month in 3 years of past 20; those were in Bear Markets...
Some very fine textbook chart formations appearing over past few months. The Zig-Zag Correction has led to what appears to be the end of the Great Bull.
Fed will hike again next month and if they hike twice more we will get a recession starting in 2019. Earnings have already passed their halcyon days, look at Apple and NVidia, IBM and many other issues already entering bear markets. The power to drive this market to new heights has leaked out of the balloon, I'm afraid.
Spent a weekend reading Murphy's Technical Analysis of Financial Markets, Chapter 6: Continuation Patterns is a lovely read, quoted for your reading pleasure:
"The Broadening Formation is an unusual variation of the triangle and is relatively rare.... looks like an expanding triangle... also called a 'Megaphone Top.' In other triangular patterns, the volume tends to diminish as the swings grow narrower; in the broadening formation, volume tends to expand along with wider price swings. This situation represents a market that is out of control and unusually emotional. Because this pattern also represents an unusual amount of public participation, it most often occurs at major market tops. The expanding pattern, therefore, is usually a bearish formation. It generally appears near the end of a major bull market."
-Murphy, 1999 Revised Ed., pages 140-141.
"The flag and pennant represent brief pauses in a dynamic market move. One requirement... is they be preceded by a sharp, almost straight-line move. They represent pauses in which that market 'catches its breath' before running off in the same direction. Flags and pennants are among the most reliable continuation patterns and only rarely produce a trend reversal. ...Flags and pennants are said to 'fly at half-mast' from a 'flagpole,' as they appear at the midpoint of a major move. Pennants and flags on downtrends are completed very quickly, often in only 1-2 weeks, after which the breaking of the lower trendline in the pennant signals the resumption of the downtrend. The break down will take place on heavy volume, and the magnitude of the move is estimated by measuring the vertical distance of the preceding move from the breakout point of the pennant . Flags are small parallelograms that slope against the prevailing trend. Pennants resemble small horizontal symmetrical triangles."
-Murphy, 1999 Revised Ed., pages 141-145.
Well, this flag started flying on 14 Nov, I reckon it might snap off after the holiday week, maybe sooner, who knows? Expect it to fly a bit higher, to form a right shoulder which might be expected to occur around 25600 on Dow. We saw 25500 very briefly Friday on Trumptweet, another such tweet could top off the flag. Good luck!
As always this is an educational post for your amusement and does not constitute investment advice; trade at your own risk!
CBRL Broadening Top and Upcoming Dividend! (Price target: ~$176)The Broadening Top pattern forms when the price progressively makes higher highs (1, 3) and lower lows (2, 4) following two widening trend lines. The price is expected to move up or down past the pattern depending on which line is broken first. A bit of a toss up since the broadening top formation appears much more frequently at tops than at bottoms, and therefore usually has bearish implications. In this case, however, we see a strong up-trend with an Average Directional Index just shy of the 25 mark. Set limit order above market price to be sure we are looking at a bull broadening top, or for added risk buy the retracement when RSI corrects below 70. For best results take 50% position at each. Consider stop-loss below breakout price.
Added confidence from the fact that Cracker Barrel is recording a $1.20/share dividend on Jan 11th, issued on Feb 5th. Dividend hunters could help drive this trend up. CBRL reports earnings 02/20 BMO and Estimize revenue expectations are 0.77% higher than Wall Street's.
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EurUsd - Broadening topCurrency wars. Everyone is printing money: Japan, Europe, USA.
Every superpower is trying to weaken their own currency. Why? Because of export.
Your product is cheaper if your home currency is weaker.
In these situation no wonder if the EurUsd is topped in a broadening top fashion.
As the two trendlines diverge from the apex, the pattern resembles a reverse version of a symmetrical triangle. This pattern is considered quite rare, but is useful to identify swing trades.
The EurUsd's daily cycle just topped today morning. The question will we see a daily cycle low during the net 2 weeks or an intermediate cycle low during the next month.
FTSE - Broadening triangleFTSE 100 Index on the weekly chart has formed a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern at the top end of broadening triangle. The mentioned pattern requires confirmation in form of a lower weekly close. The immediate downside support is at 7120 level. A breach of this level will lead to a failed breakout in the index and it may head lower towards 6700 - 6600 level. The RSI (14) indicator on the weekly chart is exhibiting a negative divergence.