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Broadeningtop

BTCUSD: 0.618 Retrace Likely Before Continuation HigherBitcoin has Formed a Peak during after a 5th wave while trading at the top of a Broadening Consolidation Structure and showing Bearish Divergences. If things were to go as one would expect, I would think BTC should have around a 20% pullback to about 23k which would take us back to the POC and would be a 61.8% Retrace of the Local Low to High. If we can then begin a rally from the 61.8% retrace, it will then be a Potential Partial Decline which would almost guarantee that BTC Bullishly Breaks out of the Broadening Pattern upon making contact with the upper trend line. If this were to happen I would say BTC could very easily see 40k but I also think that it's very likely that this will be the pivotal point that begins Bitcoin's greater rally up to $60,000 then $146,387 as can be projected via the volatility trends that can be seen in this chart below:
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by RizeSenpai
📢 The Broadening FormationA technical chart pattern recognized by analysts, known as a broadening formation or Megaphone Pattern, is characterized by expanding price fluctuation. It is represented by two lines, one ascending and one descending, that diverge from each other. This pattern typically appears after a significant increase or decrease in security prices and is denoted by a sequence of higher and lower turning points. Normally this pattern is visible when the market is at its top or bottom. The greater the time frame is better the pattern will work. 🔹How to identify Generally, the Broadening Formation consists of 5 different swings. But the swing has to have a minimum of two higher highs and two lower lows. A trend line is drawn by connecting point 1 and point 3 while points 2 and 4 are also joined together to draw a line. These two lines create a shape that looks like a megaphone or inverted symmetric triangle. These swings’ highs and lows have to close above or below its pivot line and therefore they will create swing high as pivot high (R1, R2, and R3) and swing lows as pivot lows (S1, S2, and S3). A breakout occurs when the line does not respect its support or resistance line and closes outside the shape after making the 5th swing. 🔹Volume Volume plays an important role when it comes to the recognition of this pattern. In the Broadening Top, volume usually peaks along with prices. An increase in the volume, on the day of the pattern confirmation, is a strong indicator. 🔹Failures This pattern also can be traded when it fails but is necessary to identify the failure perfectly. A failure can be spotted when it fails to break the trend line (upper or lower as the case may be) after completing the 5th swing. Suppose in a bull market condition, this pattern is formed and if it fails to break the upper trend line, traders go short when the price goes below 3rd swing high (R2). Similar is the scenario, when the market is in a bear phase and it fails to break the lower trend line (S2), traders take a long position when the price closes above the 3rd swing high. 👤 @AlgoBuddy 📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators ❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Education
by QuantVue
4
NYSE Comp: Broadening Top Potential Macro WarningThe NYSE composite has spent the last year building a classic broadening top pattern. The pattern develops as strong hands distribute to weak hands, and when it occurs, often marks a transition from bull to bear. 1. Broadening formations are relatively rare and because the pattern itself is difficult to trade systematically (as the boundaries are continually moving farther apart) aren't given a lot of attention in literature. a. Edwards and Magee in their seminal "Technical Analysis of Stock Trends" suggest that the broadening top, as a rule, only appears near the end or in the final phases of long bull markets. b. Shabacker in his classic "Technical Analysis and Stock Market Profits" also remarks that the pattern is rare, but extremely important, often marking an important transition from bull to bear. 2. In my experience both Shabacker and Edwards and Magee are correct. They are rare and generally very hard to trade (so I don't bother) but they do offer an important warning of a potential phase transition. 3. Note that the pattern isn't always well defined, with overthrows and underthrows of the pattern boundaries occuring regularly. This is what makes it hard to trade or design a trading strategy around. a. The pattern is extremely compelling when it appears in individual equity charts. As I see it, these are the important chart elements. 1. The composite broke the trendline from the March 2020 low. This changed the weekly trend from up to neutral. 2. After breaking the trendline, the Comp spent most of the next year moving laterally and tracing out a clear broadening formation, warning of a potential phase transition. 3. Over the last few weeks the Comp violated the rising trend line (marked on the chart) along the last three internal trend line lows, and accelerated to the lower boundary of the pattern. 4. I have included the 10 and 40 week moving averages. The two averages are roughly equivalent to the 50 and 200 day averages. Note that the 10 has rolled over and is moving to meet the flattened out 50. Often a narrowing between two moving averages marks an important market decision point. Its interesting that it is occuring at the very moment when the broadening formation appears to be nearing a conclusion. 5. If the market does begin to breakdown there are several initial move targets that can be constructed. I like to look for confluences of move targets and chart supports. The more the merrier. a. I like to overlay the .382, .500 and .618% retracement targets first. b. Next I locate chart supports. In this case, the area around the 14183 high from early 2020 can be expected to generate at least some buying interest. c. There is also a measured move target that can be generated using the width of the broadening top, it projects to roughly 14400. d. 14089 is the .382% Fibonacci retracement. 6. The support confluence provided by the pivot, the Fibo and the measured move suggest an initial support zone between 14089 and 14400. I would clearly watch this roughly 2% wide zone for reversal behaviors to either reduce shorts or perhaps, if the right behaviors develop, consider new longs. But again, the MAIN point is not so much generating trading targets as recognizing the pattern as potentially a harbinger of an important trend change. This is particularly important against the context presented in the macro overview posts of the last few weeks. Good Trading: Stewart Taylor, CMT Chartered Market Technician Shared content and posted charts are intended to be used for informational and educational purposes only. The CMT Association does not offer, and this information shall not be understood or construed as, financial advice or investment recommendations. The information provided is not a substitute for advice from an investment professional. The CMT Association does not accept liability for any financial loss or damage our audience may incur.
Editors' picks
TVC:NYAEducation
by CMT_Association
45
$DJI Broadening Top Pattern appearance Hello everyone, First of all excuse my english, plus, this is my first ever Tradingview idea I decided to publish. Yay! These days everyone talking about bear market is about to hit us, so I was like let me check $DJI and see if I can figure something :D I consider myself a beginner with technical charts & I really like classical pattern trading so I wanted to share this with you (feel free if you want to correct me or give me some information to add to my brain :D) This is a Weekly DJI chart that shows a Broadening Tops Pattern. this pattern appears like a (Megaphone with higher highs and lower lows that widen over time) and it considered a short-term bullish continuation. I am not sure what to expect here as we're very close to the resistance, however, I guess we would see a short-term decline to 25-28k levels (above 200-EMA) and then volatility might increase to see a breakout. However, someone would say, we can also see a breakout and a continuation of bull market. This is also possible. No one knows. All I can say that 2020 market is super special and I am glad trading it & I cannot wait to see what will happen. What do you think? & Happy Trading! Thanks,
TVC:DJI
by Elliotation
VET/USDT - A very BULLISH long term outlook on Vechain.After some previous ideas of trying to find the bottom with Vechain, I've decided to wait until a better set up arrives. Now that we've been waiting for some time now, we now have a lot of different patterns that could potentially give us a Blue Sky Breakout , one of the most fun breakout patterns in a ticker. Some of the patterns are a broadening top pattern, something that is similar to the SPX, this could either mean life or death for a ticker but in this case we have a bullish Falling Wedge pattern that gives us confluence that this broadening top pattern could be used as a bullish setup. This will mean that we need to watch resistance breakouts at 0.023 to 0.0267 levels to confirm this case. Another bullish confluence is the nice bounce off the monthly trendline and CAM R4, a bounce off CAM R4 is a big telltale sign of bullish continuation which adds on to the breakout of the falling wedge pattern. If these bullish patterns are confirmed then we'll be able to see a fun ride above the blue sky breakout levels. I will also keep an eye on other VET pairs, more importantly VETBTC and VETETH. Leave a like/comment if this idea helped you at all! I am not a financial advisor, trade at your own risk.
Long
by pjgonzales
3
Broadening top formation on Gold is breaking down. 1440 soon?Gold was chopping around in this broadening top formation, and ended up breaking it to the downside. We then tested the previous rising support trend line as new resistance, and were rejected. Gold is now trading underneath the previous rising support trend-line, and is hanging on by a little bit to this 1490 support zone. Ultimately I think Gold heads lower toward the prior resistance zone around 1430-1440, which should now act as new support. Levels to watch: 1490 (Current support zone.) 1430-1440 (Prior resistance zone which should now act as new support.) Rising support trend-line; watch and see if it continues to act as resistance, or if it is reclaimed as support. -This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and own due-diligence before investing and trading, as for investing and trading comes with high amounts of risk. I am not liable for any incurred losses or financial distress.
TVC:GOLD
by Deftsuo
Aurora Cannabis Broadening Top - High Growth PotentialWe see a large amount of potential in Cannabis stocks as Cannabis has moved from illegal to a multi-billion dollar business. Aurora cannabis is of particular interest as it has grown remarkably as Canada legalised cannabis in Oct 18 and the firm made a number of key aquisitions and is planning the acquisition of Hempco Food and Fiber Inc furthering the firm's reach into the edibles business. However, Aurora Cannabis as with any stock in an industry in it's infancy should be traded with caution as prices tend to be volatile which could present opportunities for swing trading. Prices spiked to an all time high of 12.53 CAD on the 16.10.18 with ATR peaking, but dropped sharply and followed a downtrend as prices hugged the lower Bollinger Band. The downtrend reversed as prices moved away from the lower band and we now see the a broadening top pattern with a potential breakout back towards all time highs with the lower trend line acting as support.
ALong
by KQMarkets