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Broadening Wedge

EURO/USD reversing or just testing?Is the euro/usd reversing or just testing? I see it closing the week in a expanding wedge, which indicates a continuation. We will have a retracement but I don't believe it to be true till a reversal pattern is evident. Sunday/Monday I will be looking for the head and shoulder to form or fail. FX_IDC:EURUSD As always I left a link for my last post so you can track my accuracy. Made with love. I upload signals almost everyday, If you want to get daily signals remember to FOLLOW and turn your NOTIFICATIONS ON! 🤗 You can always show your support by liking, following or commenting! Much love to all, have a great day traders! Disclaimer The material and information contained in this analysis is for general information and educational purposes only. You should not rely upon the material or information on any of my analysis as a basis for making any business, legal, or any other decisions.
Long
by BostonJoe
Why this time things might be different for BTCHello, Looking at the bigger picture, Bitcoin is very close o confirming one huge achievement: exiting the enormous descending triangle it had entered 2017. I think if the breakout gets confirmed on the weekly timeframe, the other two patterns I have on the chart might have a chance to play out: 1) V-shape bottom, with a target close to 16k 2) Descending broadening wedge pattern, with a target close to 18.6k. I observe that no one is talking about this pattern. I just spotted it. What's interesting about this scenario is that the possibility to touch 3,8k price was there all the time and COVID-19 was only the spark(the story that the big players needed). Jesus, only if I could've spotted this in February! :) This pattern also implies that if BTC doesn't continue its rise, and will reenter the broadening wedge, the price can hit 2k, near the lower part of the broadening wedge. An unlikely scenario, if you ask me. Can we fall from 9.9k(where we are at this moment)? Absolutely! But I think we are getting more and more close to entering a bull market. Will it be this year? Will it the next year? I don't know. :) Good luck with your trades! Sisif
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Sisif_trader
1
Ethereum - Broadening Wedge PatternsBroadening Wedge Patterns - “Megaphones” A Broadening Wedge is a range where the price is holding between two trend lines that are moving apart. The pattern is also named a “Megaphones” because of its shape. These chart patterns are similar to triangles, wedges, flags and pennants. Broadening Wedges can be either Bullish or Bearish depending on how they form within an existing trend. There are some clues in the pattern itself that suggest whether the market is likely to continue the same trend or reverse. You can trade these chart patterns as range trades between the highs and lows of the support/resistance lines. They can of course also be traded as breakouts ==================================== Targets> Featured area - gray box BEARISH in the short term ADVANCED Long term ==================================== #ETH #ETHEREUM #ETHER #BUTERIN #VITALIK
BITMEX:ETHUSD.PShort
by BlackMEX
USDCHF ShortALOHA Hope your May is on pace for dominance! There have been a lot of nice moves that I was not personally to capture but still stoked to be watching the strategies play out. I am currently sitting at -1% for the month with 3 BE trades. I am currently look at USDCHF reversal short. D - Price does not always have to touch a resistance or support line, the ray lines represent areas which is why i condsider this a triple top in my analysis. Within an overall side ways channel. 4hr - Overall price on USDCHF is moving in nice patterns. Ascending channel, within horizontal flag. Multple touches before price moves. , nice confirmations. The only thing however, is the 4hr 50ema being in the way. I'm anticipating price hovering around that area which will then decide where the market wants to go. 1hr - broke below 50ema, creating a minor hover just under it after nice bearish engulfing run. Waited to put entry until new market day. Will hold over the weekend or get taken out. It is what it is. Thanks for reading. have a good weekend traders. Since typing this up, trade was triggered due to spreads. It is what it is.
Short
by Reid_Hicks
1
Dow Jones Monthly 38.2% Fib TestThe Dow Jones monthly chart shows price testing support at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level in the total Fibonacci range from the 2009 Global Financial Crisis low to the February 2020 all-time high. Price had previously breached the 38.2% Fib level during the initial coronavirus selloff while also breaking below the broadening wedge pattern and finding support at the 50% Fib level which is the midpoint of the total Fib range. Price remaining above the 38.2% Fib level and lower line of the broadening wedge indicates that traders are attempting to keep the overall trend bullish. A breach below the 38.2% Fib level would indicate that traders are losing bullish conviction and that a re-test of the 50% would be likely. The 50% Fib rests in the same area that price previously topped out at in 2015 as the Federal Reserve began monetary tightening with the first interest rate hike since the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. The main level to watch is the 50% Fib as a move below that level would likely indicate downtrend continuation with a loss of 50% of the gains seen since the 2009 low; a move below the 61.8% Fib level would be confirmation of bear market continuation. The monthly RSI is below the 50 level which indicates bearish momentum behind price; an RSI reading above 50 is considered bullish while a reading below 50 is considered bearish. The PPO is declining but remains above the 0 level, though a cross below it looks likely. A PPO reading above 0 is considered bullish while a reading below 0 is considered bearish.
TVC:DJIShort
by PrepForProfit
REPBTC Broadening Wedge| Structural Resistance| 200 MAEvening Traders! Today’s technical analysis will focus on REPBTC, in a valid broadening wedge formation with a failed partial raise at structural resistance. Points to consider, - Trend bearish – consecutive lower highs - Structural resistance being tested - 200 MA – local support - RSI trading in a channel - Stochastics in upper regions - Irregular volume present Augur is in a clear defined down trend on the macro scale and is travelling in a broadening wedge that will be confirmed with a break of its ascending support line. The current local support is being established by the 200 MA, a break of this will be in confluence with a break of the broadening wedge. Staunched structural resistance has been respected multiple times; it is in confluence with the .382 Fibonacci. A close above and consolidation will likely test the upper resistance line of the broadening wedge. The RSI is in a clear channel, currently neutral, breaking this channel will dictate the direction of the price. Stochastics are currently in the upper regions, can stay trading here for an extended period of time, however lots of stored momentum to the downside. Augur has irregular volume being present, common in broadening wedge patterns , an influx will be prevalent with a decisive break. Overall, in my opinion, Augur needs to consolidate above structural resistance and create multiple higher lows to negate this pattern. A break of lower support line will however increase the likelihood of testing lower lows. What are your thoughts? Please leave a like and comment, And remember, “If you can learn to create a state of mind that is not affected by the market’s behaviour, the struggle will cease to exist.” – Mark Douglas
RShort
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
UBER Falling Broadening WedgeSupport/resistance lines 1. $41.95 2. $33.96 Trend lines 1. The first main trend line begin with the IPO lunch and forms the support line for the falling wedge. 2.The second main trend line begin with the initial structure high at $47.16 and forms the resistance line for the falling wedge. Falling Broadening Wedge We can see the Falling Broadening Wedge forming slow with the Highest point at $47.17 and the lowest point at around $15. The resistance trend line has been touched 2 times and the support trend line has been touched 3 (4) times since the form. In the falling broadening wedges the most usual scenario is the the price consolidation when falling in that two trend lines and in some point the price to break the resistance trend line and form a breakout. RSI 1. 5-Period Rsi In that period i used it to define the main swings/waves of the charts.Based on oversold-overbought areas. 2. 14-Period Rsi In that period i used to define possible divergences. Scenario
NYSE:UBERLong
by we_axolotl
1
Broadening Wedge Support TestThe Dow Jones Industrial Average(DJI) closed at $19,989, down -6.3% today and fell below the $20,000 level for the first time since 2016 meaning that stocks have now given back all of the gains made in the past 4 years. The market is now down -32% from the all-time high of $29,568 made on February 12th meaning that it has taken a little over a month to wipe out four years of gains. This is a massive move and the steepest, fastest decline in market history. Traders sold price down below the lower line of the broadening wedge, but ended up closing price above the wedge line indicating that this lower line is acting as a technical price support level as expected in previous charts highlighting this wedge pattern. The lower wick of the candle today shows that traders also sold price below $19,000 during the trading day, but ultimately enough buyers stepped in to keep price above the lower wedge line, indicated by today’s candle body being above the wedge line. There is also added support at the lower red line which stems from an historic level of interest by traders back in 2015 which was pointed out in the previous price chart shared. The hold above these technical levels comes as the US government announced a $1.2 trillion stimulus package which includes company bailouts as well as financial support to US citizens via a $1,000 check in April and a $1,000 check in May. In my previous chart, I expected both a test of the lower wedge line and bounce due to technical traders buying this level, as well as fundamental traders buying stimulus news. Now that we have witnessed both the technical levels being reached and the fundamental stimulus news, I’m expecting more selling as the stimulus package appears to be too small, and arriving too late, in the face of an outbreak that is still growing exponentially. Until more extreme measures are taken to control the outbreak, thus limiting the long-term affect to the economy, traders will remain fearful due to the ongoing hit to company revenue and earnings as case counts rise. The current stimulus package is enough to float markets for two months, but nothing is being done from a health perspective in order to ensure that the virus is slowed, let alone stopped, within two months. We may see a bounce tomorrow and Friday as this technical level and stimulus provide some short-term hope to traders, but the bounce will likely not last as the underlying issue is not being dealt with in a forceful enough manner. As case counts continue to rise, so will traders fear of the governments ability to contain the outbreak with just money. As I mentioned before, if the only tool the government has to fight a crisis is money, then every problem has to look like a money problem. This coronavirus is most certainly not a money problem, it is a public health problem that needs a cure or extreme containment countermeasures to combat. The most important level to watch this week is the lower wedge line as a close below this level would be bearish/negative from a technical point of view and indicate that it is no longer a support level. Traders may also flip back to being fearful that the government’s stimulus is not enough to prevent further hits to the economy. Overall view remains neutral with the expectation of a short-term bounce due to technical support levels being reached and fundamental support via massive Federal Reserve and government bailouts. View will switch back to bearish if lower support levels are breached which is expected as US coronavirus case counts rise.
TVC:DJI
by PrepForProfit
Dow Jones Broadening Wedge Test(Lower)The Dow Jones saw another massive decline today, down -13% and nearly $3,000 in a single session making this the new record one-day point decline in history for the Dow and smashing the previous record of -$2,000 which was made last week. High volatility has been expected over the past two weeks and we are getting it in extraordinary fashion as traders appear to be experiencing emotionally-driven panic selling on top of the unknown in company and economic fundamentals which is causing selling as well. It is yet to be known how long this coronavirus is going to be affecting the economy as more states and businesses are forced into lockdown. Without knowing what impact this will have on revenue and earnings going forward, it makes sense to sell from a fundamental point of view, but the speed and rate of decline appear to be mostly emotional selling. In the panic selloff seen today there may be a glimmer of hope from a technical perspective. Traders have now sold price down nearly -32% from the all-time high and are now testing the lower line of the broadening wedge pattern. We have yet to see a significant bounce during the decline other than the last minute bid witnessed as President Trump made the state of emergency declaration on Friday afternoon going into the market close. We saw a +10% gain mostly made in the last 15 minutes of trading on Friday which indicates that there is an appetite to buy the dip from traders, but the weekend news cycle put them back in fear mode by the time markets re-opened today. Such a strong fear mode that not even the Federal Reserve’s second emergency interest rate cut within a week-which took the Federal Funds rate down to 0%-nor the announcement of a return to Quantitative Easing could ease. Markets are beginning to look very oversold in the short-term and I’m thinking we could see a technical bounce off of the lower wedge line if enough technical traders are still around and watching the charts. Along with the lower wedge line, there is also the horizontal support/resistance line stemming from the 2015 price peak which was created when the Federal Reserve announced monetary tightening by raising interest rates back then. Traders became fearful as rates went up as they feared it would slow economic growth, but ultimately began buying again as forward guidance from the Fed eased their fears. This red trendline is also another technical level where traders could be tempted to buy due the severe oversold conditions we are seeing, and due the fact that previous resistance levels normally turn into support in technical analysis. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnunchin has also been working at a fast pace to provide some fiscal stimulus to the economy which is what traders mostly want to see aside from just Federal Reserve intervention in the banking sector. Fiscal stimulus would add much needed relief to not only struggling companies, but also to the American consumers via deferred tax payments for companies as well as a complete payroll tax suspension for employers through the rest of the year. The expected fiscal stimulus amount is $800 billion, but Mnunchin and other economic officials could surprise markets with an even larger amount in economic relief which wouldn’t be too surprising considering that we’ve recently seen the Federal Reserve surprise markets with two emergency interest rate cuts within a week as well last weeks surprise announcement of $1.5 trillion in REPO. If we get a combination of a price test of the lower wedge line along with more solid details of the economic relief package being pushed through the House this week it would give both technical and fundamental traders cause to buy at the same time which more than likely would lead to a record-breaking move to the upside. Whether or not that potential bounce would hold would largely depend on the coronavirus though. That is still the major unknown in markets right now and if case and death rates in the US continue higher and lead to more states shutting down, or potentially the entire country, traders could quickly return to selling. For now the overall price trend remains down, but a bounce tomorrow or Wednesday is expected due to technical levels of support being reached and the expectation of a large amount of fiscal stimulus to be announced by Thursday. Current view has now changed from bearish to neutral due to oversold conditions along with the technical levels reached and expected fiscal stimulus
TVC:DJI
by PrepForProfit
GBPUSD - Repeat StoryIt seems I made a lot of mistakes in the previous ideas about this pair. Previously I saw a pattern formed as a flag, but apparently after I looked back, the result was a Descending Triangle. I once made a post about what the pair's movements might look like in my first idea, you can see it in the related link below with the title " GBPUSD - A Little Story ". Which of that idea I predicted about the possibility of forming an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern and the existence of a Broadening Wedge pattern. Yahhh !! this is how humans are, always making mistakes. Maybe even this later could be wrong again. But, we should really have to learn from mistakes to be better. Is it not like that? So, let's multiply make mistakes, but don't be intentional. Hopefully this not completely wrong, otherwise I only make garbage analysis.
by daltray
AUDNZD Updated Analysis!Previously I already wrote a little about this pair. You can see it in the related link below. Until now there have been no signs of reversal. The existing pattern forms a broadening bottom, a pattern of continuing trend. The key point lies in the support line, if the line is broken then it has the potential to test the next support. But if it fails, and shows signs of reversal, the next move has the potential to be form higher-high in the broadening pattern. Examples of reversal signs: Bullish Engulfing, Pinbar with long lower tail, Hammer etc .
by daltray
2
Bullish consolidation pattern - needs confirmation!Apart from all the FUD these days in the crypto space on the daily timeframe the forming chart pattern could be identified as a broadening wedge pattern which is more likely to be resolved to the upside in this case. This demands of course that the current low is the final low in this pattern and therefor the 200 day SMA holds the price action (currently it looks like it does). So in the next days/week we could see a rebound at least to the upper line marking this broadening wedge. If the touch of the upper line of this wedge is happening BUT the BTC price doesn't manage to break out of this pattern we are more likely to make a next lower low before breaking out of this chart pattern.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by p4917
1