BLZ Bullish CaseHi friends! Welcome to PoopTrader's forecast for $BLZ
There are a lot of reasons to believe $blz is about to melt faces and could very well steal the limelight from waves and $strat.
First reason, a bullish diversion signal appeared in 1D Chart which spans to over 30 days.
Second is that it recently broke out from a falling wedge which is bullish.
Third is that it is about to complete a full blown broadening wedge at the bottom which could be prelude to huge bullish targets in the coming days.
Poop targets are in the chart.
This could be overly optimistic targets for some but you all know what crypto is capable during #altseason.
This is just a guide, not a trading advise.
Hit like and follow for more chart updates!
Thanks
-Your Bullish Poop Trader
Broadening Wedge
Komodo ($KMD) Wyckoff Accumulation AnalysisHi friends! Welcome to Poop's Wyckoff Analysis on Komodo.
Ever since I learned about Wyckoff Method, I began to include it in my trend trading strategy for the simple reason that it is among the best tools a trend trade could use to spot bottoms and top formation. Today I'm showing you how it looks on $KMD Chart and hopefully aid you in your trading.
$KMD is on a slight variation Wyckoff Schematic -2, That looks like a broadening wedge bottom, specifically its already at its Phase D on Wyckoff Events and Phases.
It of began to show signs of forming accumulation on an broadening wedge bottom on Aug 22 last year specifically on the Secondary Test on wyckoff events after a correction from the point of Automatic Rally . This is the point where I began to follow its progress.
Currently, it is sitting at the Back UP or the Last Point of Supply after it has corrected from its recent top which was a Sign of Strength in the Wychoff Events. This point is coincides with the end of wave 2 (Elliot Wave Count) a buy opportunity to take advantage of the trend reversal which could potentially give us a 70% mark up . After this target it will likely have a correction that could likely bounce at a resistance turned support (Upper blue line). This will be our second buy opportunity that can give us a target of 65% move .
The entire projected move is around 150% from its current price level.
That's it friends, I looking forward for your comments on this analysis.
A definition of terms on the labels included in the chart is at the bottom, for your appreciation.
This is just a guide, not a trading advise.
Hit like and follow for more chart updates!
Thanks
-Your Wychoff Poop Trader
Definition of Terms Included in the chart label:
PS—preliminary support , where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a prolonged down-move. Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
SC—selling climax , the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually climaxes and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom. Often price will close well off the low in a SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests.
AR—automatic rally , which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly diminished. A wave of buying easily pushes prices up; this is further fueled by short covering. The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation TR.
ST—secondary test , in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand balance at these levels. If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be significantly diminished as the market approaches support in the area of the SC. It is common to have multiple STs after a SC.
Test— Large operators always test the market for supply throughout a TR and at key points during a price advance. If considerable supply emerges on a test, the market is often not ready to be marked up. A spring is often followed by one or more tests; a successful test (indicating that further price increases will follow) typically makes a higher low on lesser volume.
SOS —sign of strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume. Often a SOS takes place after a spring, validating the analyst’s interpretation of that prior action.
LPS —last point of support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after a SOS. Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistance, on diminished spread and volume. On some charts, there may be more than one LPS, despite the ostensibly singular precision of this term.
BU—”back-up” . This term is short-hand for a colorful metaphor coined by Robert Evans, one of the leading teachers of the Wyckoff method from the 1930s to the 1960s. Evans analogized the SOS to a “jump across the creek” of price resistance, and the “back up to the creek” represented both short-term profit-taking and a test for additional supply around the area of resistance. A back-up is a common structural element preceding a more substantial price mark-up, and can take on a variety of forms, including a simple pullback or a new TR at a higher level.
Wall Street: Broadening wedgeThere is a visible broadening wedge pattern better seen on the 1H time frame of Wall Street. It is basically a megaphone in a horizontal direction.
There are probabilities for both the south and the north. Guesstimated ranges of price are shown - but this is not a prediction, as I do not know the future.
The markets can do as they like and 'disobey' any technical expectations.
Upward break of broadening wedge creates higher high + inv h&s After what seemed like neverending volumeless sideways movement, we finally broke up bullishly and we have now hit the breakout target of the descending broadening wedge give or take a quarter of a pip and have also hit a very strong former resistance line just below the neckline of the inverted head and shoulders that we are now finishing the right shoulder on. In achieving the higher high we also invalidated a possible normal head and shoulders pattern by going above the peak of its head. interestingly enough the diamond patterns bullish break target was the exact same as the broadening wedges breakout pattern which created perfect confluence of the wedge and the diamond bottom. If we can manage to continue the higher high trend and trigger this inverted head and shoulders pattern 5.2k is looking very possible. Of course yet another inverted head and shoulder fakeout is just as possible right now so wise to set smart stoplosses close to the neckline.
Storm Broadening Wedge-Broadening bottom formation
-Bullish Divergence
-Interesting Volume
-Trend Resistance Breakout
Targets on the Chart
Not a financial advise!
Bitcoin back to $3740 res of a broadening or falling wedge?The way I see it, this is either a broadening wedge or a falling wedge. The difference is that if this is a falling wedge, we might be approaching the falling wedge resistance to around $3740 which coincides with a 38.2 fib retracement to the 29 November high. There is also bullish divergence on the 1H MFI so expecting a move to $3740. We either then have a strong break out above the falling wedge with volume to our $4025 resistance (61.8 fib retracement to our 29 November high), or we fall back to the falling wedge support at around $3200 for another bounce to the wedge resistance at around $3500.
On the other hand, if this is a broadening wedge playing out, we still might break above wedge resistance when we get to $3740, however if we drop from there, we'll move towards our broadening wedge support at around $2800 before bouncing back towards resistance.
If we do have a bullish breakout, I'm expecting a move to our $4950 resistance (138.2 fib ext) then to either our daily SMA50 which coincides with a 161.8 fib extension at around $5236 and if we break above the SMA100, then we can expect to test SMA100 at around $5950.
We still need to test these moving averages at some point and there is bullish divergence on the 1D. The only problem is volume and the fact that we have hidden bearish divergence on the 4H so we might have a drop from our $3740 resistance. Then we'll see if our support lies at $3220 or $2800.
Good luck and happy trading!
Down to retest $3kBitcoin currently forming a rising wedge and showing strong hidden bearish divergence on the 4H MFI. If the larger formation is a broadening wedge, then we have already touched resistance twice and should be making a move towards our most recent trend line support which has been holding since 1 December. This is also a 20.75% drop from the 4 December high and coincides with a 138.2 - 161.8 fib extension which gives a target of $3000 and a buy zone between $2880 - $3080.
StochRSI is also oversold and a drop below the wedge support is also a drop below our median bollinger band on the 4H.
We're not ready for a sustained move to the upside just yet since there is still no volume and we'll probably only find it once we have tested the lower $3k area.
Good luck and happy trading!
Previous chart:
Bitcoin still has a little bit of upsideBitcoin is printing a bullish ascending triangle on the shorter time frames and currently playing out within a broadening wedge which is itself within a larger broadening wedge so there is potentially further room to the upside for btc and a lot of room to the downside if we drop below SMA200 on the weekly.
The target of the ascending triangle is around 5% to the broadening wedge resistance and a 127.2 fib extension from the base of the flag pole to around $3730. We might then either retrace to the broadening wedge support (127.2 fib extension from resistance) at around $3150 before bouncing or if we have enough volume, we'll move towards the resistance of the larger broadening wedge at around $4000 which is a 161.8 fib extension from the smaller wedge support. Let's hope we have a strong bullish break above resistance if we get there for the broadening wedge to play out the bullish version otherwise we'll be retesting it's support.
If btcusd breaks below the current broadening wedge support, then we'll also drop below the weekly SMA200 which could turn ugly considering support for the larger wedge is around the $1k zone.
Good luck and happy trading!
Bullish Patterns - BITCOIN!Descending Broadening Wedge (Bullish), Also some Bull Divergence in the RSI.
This is not financial advice, I'm a beginner and I've never charted these patterns before.
The horizontal black line is the support since 2013 - which is now probably a big resistance. The bulls need to get the price above it in the next few days.
-Hawk
Dow Likely Entering Bear Market: Broadening Top; Bear Flag Ominous portents. Broadening top in September led to the microcrash in October and US Equities have been struggling since.
November usually one of the best months for stocks, has only been a down month in 3 years of past 20; those were in Bear Markets...
Some very fine textbook chart formations appearing over past few months. The Zig-Zag Correction has led to what appears to be the end of the Great Bull.
Fed will hike again next month and if they hike twice more we will get a recession starting in 2019. Earnings have already passed their halcyon days, look at Apple and NVidia, IBM and many other issues already entering bear markets. The power to drive this market to new heights has leaked out of the balloon, I'm afraid.
Spent a weekend reading Murphy's Technical Analysis of Financial Markets, Chapter 6: Continuation Patterns is a lovely read, quoted for your reading pleasure:
"The Broadening Formation is an unusual variation of the triangle and is relatively rare.... looks like an expanding triangle... also called a 'Megaphone Top.' In other triangular patterns, the volume tends to diminish as the swings grow narrower; in the broadening formation, volume tends to expand along with wider price swings. This situation represents a market that is out of control and unusually emotional. Because this pattern also represents an unusual amount of public participation, it most often occurs at major market tops. The expanding pattern, therefore, is usually a bearish formation. It generally appears near the end of a major bull market."
-Murphy, 1999 Revised Ed., pages 140-141.
"The flag and pennant represent brief pauses in a dynamic market move. One requirement... is they be preceded by a sharp, almost straight-line move. They represent pauses in which that market 'catches its breath' before running off in the same direction. Flags and pennants are among the most reliable continuation patterns and only rarely produce a trend reversal. ...Flags and pennants are said to 'fly at half-mast' from a 'flagpole,' as they appear at the midpoint of a major move. Pennants and flags on downtrends are completed very quickly, often in only 1-2 weeks, after which the breaking of the lower trendline in the pennant signals the resumption of the downtrend. The break down will take place on heavy volume, and the magnitude of the move is estimated by measuring the vertical distance of the preceding move from the breakout point of the pennant . Flags are small parallelograms that slope against the prevailing trend. Pennants resemble small horizontal symmetrical triangles."
-Murphy, 1999 Revised Ed., pages 141-145.
Well, this flag started flying on 14 Nov, I reckon it might snap off after the holiday week, maybe sooner, who knows? Expect it to fly a bit higher, to form a right shoulder which might be expected to occur around 25600 on Dow. We saw 25500 very briefly Friday on Trumptweet, another such tweet could top off the flag. Good luck!
As always this is an educational post for your amusement and does not constitute investment advice; trade at your own risk!
IcOn - Ethereum's alternative - bottom 0.0000880First of all - Technical analysis of any sort is based on historical price action. Any future price action prediction is a theoretical view of an author in regards to speculated price movement.
Trader/analyst/investor by using chosen set of tools hopes to gain profit from those trading pairs which seems to follow rigoristic criteria.
Icon/Bitcoin is now one of those pairs from my point of view.
Major focus :
1. Theory: my ideas always fail.
2. A trend is your friend.
3. Importance of Rsi (Relative Strength Index).
4. Patterns / Formations.
Analysis :
It is obvious that we are certainly not in a bull market. As an author of this analysis, I am assuming we found a bottom in the ICX/BTC pair. RSI indicates signs of bullish divergence (12'th of September vs 12'th of November) - volume is dropping, bears are slowly losing steam. We can clearly see falling wedge (white) and bullish broadening wedge (blue) - both indicate a possible change of price movement to the upside. Targets are divided into 2 categories (green and yellow) - green is most likely to happen in a relatively short period of time (up to 90 days) yellow is a longer term investment. If bottom at 0.0000880 is broken and candle closes below, we can expect the price to drop down to previous low (around 0.0000770) - I would advise here tight Stop-Loss at 0.0000840 level.
This analysis will be regularly updated.
Broadening Wedge & Potential Large Drop
Signs I think are showing us an opportunity to short again:
-BTCUSD looks ready for the continuation downward to "C" heading for completion of the corrective wave down from $7400.
-Price looks like its worked its way up then bounced back down from an area around the .5 & .618 fib retracement of the previous fall.
-BTCUSD appears to be heading for fulfillment of a broadening wedge inside another broadening wedge.
-There has been a noticeable decline in volume since the 3rd wave on the 3 hour from September 20th paired with the additional volume decline since the 3rd wave of the 3rd wave on September 27th.
-Its been roughly the same amount of time before falling so far during the 5th wave of the bounce that it has been for the other 2 since September 11th.
-Price seems to be forming a Head & Shoulders aiming down with the top on September 21st
-We still havent hit a daily oversold mark on the RSI since the run in December like the crash of 2014 had to before it could come back up.
Wave "A"-"B" down from $7400 was approx 17% which is usually a similar distance for "B"-"C" meaning we could be in for a pretty nice short if this plays out.
*Im still very bullish long term on Bitcoin.
Broadening Descending Wedge could signify a possible bull rally!Traditionally, as seen historically with broadening descending wedges , we may see a breakout up to the low $7000s soon. These types of moves happen quite often in these patterns, 3 touches of the bottom of the wedge and 3 touches of the top followed by a partial decline before the breakout.
Warning: I am currently in no position, I will wait for further confirmation with a clean breakout before entering any trade.