Patience is The KEY! But BITCOIN is Facing The WALL of Decision!Dear Friends :)
No speech. No intros, no long stories, let's just jump in...
Once again we are taking a look at our favorite coin. And once again we will take a look at the 4h BTC/USD Chart. We will never be tired of Bitcoin. And after a long day of sideways movement, Bitcoin has to make a decision very soon - and we are in for a treat! We will soon see firework...
As you can see we are in a descending broadening wedge (you might also argue that we are in a normal descending wedge in small dotted lines). Please pay attention to my red circles, and notice how we after some up-sideways movements has bumped into the wedge wall, and how we hereafter fell in a steep down trend. So the question is, will it happen again?
We have a lot of bullish signs in fact. We are in an ascending triangle in purple. We have had Regular Bullish Divergence on MACD and on RSI, also a bullish MACD-cross. All that in isolation is telling us, that this downtrend could be over, and we will go into an uptrend now.
But, but.. We are squeezed into an ugly zone of confluence support and resistance everywhere! This is not a place to be in if you suffer from claustrophobia. We have all the EMAs from 20 to 200 just above our head. We have 8,2k support under us. We have 8,000 USD which also acts as huge support due to it is a even number and also is P.O.C. (Point of control - most trades are generated at this price point ever).
So here is D4rkEnergY's advice for you. Believe it or not - I care about you. So this is still a no trading zone so far. Let other people gamble with their money! Go to a casino play some Roulette instead. We are aware of the market conditions, and when there are no reason to take unnecessary risks! THAT is how we become a better trader.
When that is said: I believe we will very soon - when we get closer to The Wall of Decision - that we will see a SPIKE in one of the directions. I also believe it is most likely, that we will go in an uptrend at around 7,800 USD or maybe have we already bottomed now!
I promise to keep you updated!! While I'm writing this, I can see the bears are trying to escape the triangle cage......
D4 Loves You <3
Aaand as always. I would appreciate a big LIKE if you enjoyed my analysis. Thanks in advance, my friends :)
Broadening Wedge
BTCUSD - broaden descending wedge and head and shoulder patternIf we were to complete the measured move within the broaden descending wedge, BTC will be bottomed around 14th, which is the same day as NY Consensus. Broaden descending wedge is a bullish pattern that targets right below 10K with over 70% chance.
BTC Bullish- Ascending Broadening Wedge Although we are in a downtrend from the 9/27 cross on the Daily this could be what breaks us out. We seem to be respecting the Ascending Broadening Wedge as depicted here: excellenceassured.com I am bullish with Consensus meeting today and New Moon in Taurus, the sign of the Bull Tomorrow, Tues. May 14th.
USDCHF technicalthe price is forming a Broadening triangle with correctional waves and intermediate waves, minor and minute waves are also in count, this is not included in the chart as is will be too much on the chart..
the price have been in a strong uptrend the last couple of weeks, and a correction to the break of the triangle, can occur any time soon. a short position can be taken, with a SL at the last top. where tp will be around 0.98500.
If you look at the weekly chart for the pair, a weekly evening star have been forming, and could be indicating a correction back to the triangle, before further upside.
Tuesday PPI m/m for CHF will be released where the numbers are expected to be greater than previously. this can help the price to make the correction,
Possible Ascending Wedge on the 15-MinuteThere seems to be broadening wedge on the 15-minute chart. Price movement is contained and is alternating between the two non-parallel trend-lines (white lines). This tends to suggest the end of a rising price trend and the start of a reversal. Good risk/reward ratio. Will short here.
Average Entry Price: $9435
Stop Loss: $9603
Final Target Price: $8884
Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.07
I will also be watching the $9200 level, as there is decent support there. Will update accordingly.
WABI Ascending Broadening WedgeWabi appears to be in an ascending broadening wedge formation, right now with a partial pullback out of it's channel.
Look for a reversal once it reaches the top at 1.272 (0.00014309)
Breakout is most likely downwards from this pattern, with a 10-15% drop likely, retrace back to Fib 0.618 (0.00011388) or even the 0.5 Fib retrace.
Litecoin And Classical Charting - No Elliott Waves. Promise!Hello Dear Friends! :)
Today we are gonna look at only classical charting, and try to identify the different patterns. This is an educational chart - I hope you will enjoy it!
Let's start from the left:
1. Bear Flag (Steep downtrend, followed by a small consolidation to the upside, and then another steep downtrend)
2. Broadening Ascending wedge (bearish pattern)
3. Down Channel
4. Ascending Triangle (bullish pattern)
5. Symmetrical Triangle (neutral)
6. Another Bear Flag
7. Ascending wedge (bearish pattern)
8. Bullish MACD-Cross (When the blue line crosses the orange, which means that the bulls are gaining momentum)
9. RSI - Regular Bullish Divergence (The price is making lower lows, but the RSI is making higher lows, which means, that we are about to end our downtrend and will go into a reversal)
Can you find other patterns?
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Here Is The BITCOIN-Path You Need To Know About - I Will Show U!Dear Friends!
D4rkEnergY is back with his A-game. It's a tough market at the moment, but I have been pretty spot on lately. I'll admit when I'm wrong - and I have been that several times - but we have to remember to give our self credit, when we do a good job too.
I can still see in the comment sections, that some ignorant (meant in a good way) people believe or think, that a good trader can be right all the time. Let me quote MY MAN, Peter L. Brandt, profitable trader since 1970s and authors to many books about TA and trading. He wrote the following on Twitter yesterday:
"I am wrong 60% of the time. This means that my default emotional expectation on a trade should be that this next trade will be a loser"
So next time you feel the urge to shout "WRONG AGAIN" to any Top Author here on TradingView on Twitter, then just have the above mentioned quote in your mind. One of the most famous traders in the world is "only" right 40 % of the time!
Now let's take a look, at the 1D BTCUSD Chart. So far it is going according to my prediction. I told you about our sideways movement for a while, and the corrective ABCDE-pattern. At this moment we are riding on the E-wave and I expect we will go a bit higher. We have a bullish MACD-Cross and the RSI, that give us room to finish our corrective pattern.
Hereafter I expect that we will fall. The ABCDE-pattern is a bearish sign in a bear market, and it will also match with the time we hit RSI resistance at level 45. We will then fall down to around 6,000 which will give us a bounce because of the double bottom and due to the fact that we are in a descending broadening wedge.
BUT it will NOT be enough to send us in an uptrend though. We will eventually fall lower again, and when we reach the....
.... MAGIC NUMBER.....
4,888.7 USD, we will FINALLY go in an uptrend and to EUROPA!
D4 Loves You <3
As always guys - Please hit that LIKE-BUTTON. It means a lot to me - thx in advance, my friends :)
Unclear ARDR directionLike many of the Altcoins ARDR has been in a long slow decline. The bottom support of 0.0000300 BTC have been tested a couple of times and seem to hold. During the last four days ARDR have forming a Symmetrical Broadening Wedge which is an indication of increasing price volatility but no indication of direction as these wedges can go up or down. The Bollinger Bands are tightening which indicates there is price movement on the way. The upper resistance have been touched four times. The MACD shows an upward trend. The RSI is staying above the 50 line.
Most of the indicators are positive but low volumes will likely see a drop to around the 0.000032 BTC level by the end of the weekend and then a slow climb and possible breakout around 30 May. Suggest a wait and see approach before making any ARDR decisions.
As always do your homework and make your own investment decisions.
BTC Busted BottomHad BTC broken out upwards, it would have confirmed the existence of ascending triangle which in turn, along with broadening descending wedge, would have confirmed that bottom was reached. However, breakout downwards suggests that it was a rising wedge which acted in line with the prior move, as per the direction of the butterfly.
BTCUSD Bullish after Declining broadening wedge, buy&sell quickHi Guys, quick Analysis,
i spotted a declining broadening wedge on BTC USD. After H&S formation the support couldnt even be broken by the downtrend after H&S, now trend switches probably and goes for formation target at the first highest high of formation @ 15300 USD after breaking declining broadening wedge top-line.
Wait for confirmation and once it breaks the falling trendline on top buy for quick profits with sell order at 15300 or close below.
Formatino confirmed by 2 touches on each line !!
Broadening wedge earnings playUSM is now in a broadening wedge pattern. Past volatility has proven profitable, hence my long order is till 50 MA and my short order is till the last low.Also, the volume has decreased showing there maybe a large breakout about to come and the Coppock curve is in a horizontal pattern and has also gone negative so it may rebound and go positive.
Ascending broadening wedge - two possible scenariosThis is an interesting move folks; identifying an ascending broadening wedge pattern has the same chance more or less to continue downward or to breakout and go upward. In my opinion, based on the bigger trend's descending triangle wedge, and the minor descending triangle wedge following it (the fib retracements placed on the graph), my bet would go towards the bearish breakout.
What do you guys think?
Below are some interesting facts to use in your strategies:
Bearish breakout
If the wedge’s lower support line breaks, the probability that the price will reverse and continue back up is higher than it falling lower. The odds are close at about 51:49.
Selling at a downward break of the mid line of the pattern greatly improves the odds of success. If the price breaks the mid line of an ascending broadening wedge, there’s a 53% chance that a further downward move will happen.
Bullish continuation
From historical currency data, there is about a 55% probability of a further bullish advancement after a break of the upper resistance line. The bullish move lasts at least for the same duration as the pattern itself.
Based on historical forex data, the ascending broadening wedge typically ends in a bearish or downwards correction in price. But only just.In 47.8% of the patterns, the upside move was greater.
Reference/Read more at:
forexop.com