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Broadermarket

are we bottoming out in vix?its too early to tell the weekly picture, but the daily and 4hr appear to be turning the tide for the broader market in a bearish direction, and that mean uvxy could see high $5s. if we do create a top in spx, and uvxy does begin to climb today i would only at first assume its a temporary pop, but if we truly start unravelling uvxy could see high $6s. count on the market and spx returning to bull as long as were in this weekly inside bar scenario. i am all cash until we pick a direction.
AMEX:UVXY
by cerealpatterns
short vol coming off near outside upweve gained in the market, shed short volume on vix, shed weight on short vix, and lost slightly in svxy. if you study the long term picture svxy is near breakout. 69.69 and 79.79 roughly are levels to beat before were really in the green to clear $100 as the market rebounds. ive drawn a path that can hopefully outline what the topping out proccess could look like as uvxy heads for 1:10 reverse split. normally we revisit the fib bands when price comes off overbought, but im still bullish while were above mon-wed lows targeting 66.66
AMEX:SVXYLong
by cerealpatterns
lets talk about a broader turn around in technologytechnology has led the market down. semiconductors have led technology. this stock has exhibited particular rate of change and other bullish volume based oscillations. bil williams ma, vwma, ema, trama as well as displaced ma are also bullish along trend lines. this leads me to a swing vased strat for continuation following the concordant supports, resistances and resulting ghost feed. this goes for stock like NVDA, and the broader market too. i am selling as spx approached 4035-4037, and i am hedging on pullbacks in taiwan semiconductor by buying SOXS and scalping for a few pennies at a time. im long the broader market with TQQQ on breaks of resistance or support on daily higher lows.
NYSE:TSMLong
by cerealpatterns
right here, right meowin a perfect world we would be able to say that this is the start of a broader market recovery with an almost absolute degree of certainty. this is the real world however, and we all have to keep in the backs of our minds that things could still go very badly for longs. that being said bulls do appear to be keeping control of this bounce, and shorts look like theyre ready to start hitting pretty major stoplosses starting a massive squeeze. if we stay over this area, and steer all signals upward im banking on hitting those upper levels, and if we dont... then we dont. we are probably headed back to the lows at the very least, and possibly much lower if we cant maintain this momentum. however we are quite near confirmation of the first weekly higher low in more than a year. that is major.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by cerealpatterns
whether to go bull based on this daily bounce alonei onlywant to long bull breech of this pivot, short the upper horizontal, long the lower horizontal, or short a bear touch of this pivot. if sss and qqe go long, im long. if qqe and sss go short, im short. if trama gets touched,and heads down with price that adds to a bear case. if trama acts as support and rises that adds to the bull case. this applies to the full broader market spectrum, and the crypto space when the dollar is bearish for a bull crypto scenario, and dxy is bullish for a bear crypto scenario.
AMEX:SPYLong
by cerealpatterns
vix coming to critical level of supportweve only seen this low in uvxy 3 times, they were all this year, and they all happened with broader markets in a downtrend. all im seeing right now is buys on uvxy, and if the selloff continues with multiple sectors like xlf, xlv, spy, qqq, iwm, and especially soxl hitting new lows of the day at the same time its almost a guarantee that vix pops once again at this level on the daily targeting the upper horizontal (high 13s/low 14s), and if the bounce continues with sector rotation occuring and consolidation forming in major indices this etf is headed for the lower horizontal (high 8s/low 9s).
AMEX:UVXY
by cerealpatterns