How Do 'Whales' Trade ? Hey! Now calm down and erase all of your coffee fortune-telling stories, throw the pump and dump signals you've been waiting for!
You can only draw trend lines and long-term channels.
If you're still not mad at me, we're starting now !
Trade is a relative concept and the buyer meets the seller relatively.
Therefore, trendlines and channels can provide little information about trendlines in relatively time-dependent breaks.
I am not a licensed broker at first, but I spent a lot of time in the CFTC and COT section, especially in interpreting Commercial positions with all other relative indicators and volume.
The so-called concept of the whales in recent times is actually producers and owners of large official capital.
They have to divide the amount of sales they find in their sales because the positions they carry are huge.
While the price is falling while buying, they have to make gradually while the price is rising.
Or they will not find buyers for their goods.
Now we will consider a trade cycle with reasonable figures in the figures you see in the picture.
We are doing it first bar after signal with average price as real trade :
Example Rule : Our position size : Last block * 1.5
Distributional Buy Blocks :
1.Buy point = 1298.3 ( Position size = %1 )
2.Buy point = 1214.1 (Position size = %1.5 )
3.Buy point = 1194.5 (Position size = %2.25 )
4.Buy point = 1193.1 (Position size = %3.375 )
Cost = (1298.3 * 1 + 1214.1 * 1.5 + 1194.5 * 2.25 + 1193.1 * 3.375) / 8.125 = 1210.4
Distributional Sell Blocks :
Example Rule :
Let's divide our sales into same levels according to our expectations.
But in risky places that we think to be a definite negative trend, let's definitely empty our position and not carry a position.
If the negative trend came after the first sale, then let's clear it all.
All experts draw channels and trends for this.
(I started using my high-end system, but channels and trend lines are still important, because I think everything that shows relativity in trade is very important! )
Our buy levels was 4 and sum of ratios = 8.125
1. Sell block = 1 / 8.125 = %12.3
2. Sell block = 1.5/ 8.125 = %18.46
3. Sell block = 2.25 / 8.125 = %27.69
4. Sell block = 100 - (1.sell block + 2.sell block + 3. sell block ) = 41.55
Finally : Sell Points
1. Sell point = 1223.923 (3 consecutive purchases were shortened in one buy , If I had sold 3 times in a row, my wife would have been much higher because the rate would have increased in the hills, but the sample would have been too long.Although I use a very successful system, I divide it into 10 and I empty all of them in the definite negative trend.You may divide by 15 or 20 with distributional buy too or decrease dist ratio.Here you can not sell anywhere in the whole position can be seen when you see the negative signs, I do not prefer only as a stoploss I use this last safety.)
2. Sell point = 1243.57
3. Sell point = 1285.67
4. Sell point = 1310.93
Average sell point : (1223.923 * 12.3 + 1243.57 * 18.46 + 1285.67 * 27.69 + 1310.93 * 41.55 ) / 100 = 1280.798
RESULTS :
Net profit = ((1280.798 - 1210.4) / 1210.4) * 100 = 5.816
As a result, our senior investor has already increased per unit 5.8 percent in a short time.
In doing so, commercials provided liquidity to the markets and did not have the problem of not finding buyers.
Stoploss here means emptying the whole position, for me 4 bars means stoploss in all directions.
I will adjust the rates and use it in real ideas and real trade.
Stay tuned! Noldo.
Broker
XNGUSD Long BiasHello everyone.
This is natural gas analysis.
As we have given demand analysis in our previous post some time ago. Though price just validated the previous higher time frame monthly demand zone but there are some chances to retrace back because as we know market always makes fresh zones on lower time frames after confirming higher time frame’s zones. So here is the small gap we can earn from. There is a chance to retrace back after touching 2.4700 area so we can set out TP on the said area.
But after a small retrace market would give us another bullish move so lets see.
Happy Trading
GbpnzdHello everyone!
Hope you guys doing good.
as we discussed a month ago in our previous post. Gbpnzd just reacted to the previous monthly strongest supply area and now drops are heppening. Always make an enrty zone to zone and get earned.
We don't use fundamentals, news etc we just follow SD imbalances.
Previous analysis linked with the post.
Good Day
NZDUSD: Much Indecision
hey traders,
nzdusd is standing on a 6 years low on a weekly.
recent false breakout of a previous structure low on a daily leaves us clues
that bearish pressure is exhausted.
currently, the market is started to contract within a symmetrical triangle formation
- a clear indication of high indecision.
though according to a common rule, we trade such triangle, waiting for a breakout and the side of breakout does not matter,
I will trade only in case of a bullish breakout following my observations of weekly and daily charts.
target levels will be 0.6345 and 0.6395
stop goes below the last higher low of a triangle.
*if you like this idea, please, like it and leave a comment! thanks :)
USDCAD: Short Trade With Confirmation
USDCAD: Short Trade With Confirmation
very peculiar trading setup on USDCAD .
on 4H the market has recently touched a falling resistance of a descending triangle
and we see a row of multiple rejections.
on 1H we see a double top formation and for confirmation, we only need to wait for
a bearish violation of minor support beneath it to short the pair.
T1 - 1.325
T2 - 1.324
Gbpnzd short biasHello welcome to everyone!
This is gbpnzd analysis.
Price is reacting to the monthly strong supply area and there is a small room still there to be filled. As we know in SD method lower timeframes always respect higher timeframes. So this is the tool to analyse better.
So hopefully we see good drops soon.
Short bias right now on Gbpnzd.
Enjoy the weekend.
Happy Trading.
Apple Short BiasWelcome to everyone.
as mentioned long ago in previous post of Appl price is in monthly supply area and possibly it could drop. So it dropped as per our plan and now it is creating new supply imbalances in lower timeframes. Let the higher time frames align with lower time frame charts.
Always trade when price gives pull backs.
So short bias right now on Appl.
Happy Trading.
Gold Short BiasWelcome to everyone!
This is xauusd analysis.
As we have seen previous price action of xauusd. Price just smashed previous higher time frame strong areas and rallying steadily.
So we have another monthly strong area on 1550. Which is not easy to break. I hope we can see a good drop when market reaches there.
We don’t use indicators, news or anything we just see supply and demand clear imbalances which give us plus odds.
So short bias on xauusd.
Best of luck.
Happy Trading
Usdsgd short biasWelcome to everyone!
This is usdsgd analysis.
There is a very strong level up there on daily time frame. We should set our limit orders right now.
Price must respect that level and after that we could see good drops.
So short bias right now in the usdsgd daily.
Enjoy the weekend.
Happy Trading
Nzdjpy Long BiasWelcome to eveyone!
This is nzdjpy analysis.
Price just stayed in the weekly supply area and may be we get confirmed weekly small demand level down there and after there we could see another rally for strong weekly supply area nested in the monthly Supply Areas. Price is just doing alignment with lower time frames lets see what happens next.
Happy Trading.
WTIUSD is just pushing for upwardsWelcome to everyone!
This is wtiusd analysis.
however price gave us several pull backs in lower time frames to break the supply area thus due to price action it dropped again and now it is coming with more pressure to break the zone. So lets wait.
Long bias right now on wti.
Happay Trading.
Bitcoin Supply and Demand Weekly ZonesWelcome to everyone.
here are some bitcoin analyzed SD zones on weekly time frame. Price respects these zones and there are chances to change the trend's dirrection after touching these areas.
As we know there is a prediction of btc price. In this year price could possible to touch around 30k usd.
so waiting for the strong move.
Enjoy the Weekend.
Happy Trading
Cadjpy strong weekly supply areaWelcome to everyone!
This is cadjpy analysis.
market gave us so many pullbacks to break this area but it couldn't successful. Though it is not reached yet to the projected point because there are few strong points in lower time frames nested in the weekly zone. But hope when market gives another strong move and touches that area then again we may see a good drop.
So lets see what happens next.
enjoy the weekend and Happy Trading.