Bitcoin - A pattern you can't ignoreThis is the key that will help you make money on Bitcoin
According to my sources The Cryptocurrency Reserve in the US will be approved in May. But it will be too late to buy. When politicians get to cryptocurrencies it means it's our time to get out of the market.
And now I'll explain why the entire market will be down in September.
May through September will be the biggest bitcoin distribution, it will be much higher than the prices that are now
Since 2015, I have been fixating on this pattern:
The bull market always lasts 151-152 weeks (2.9 years).
A correction is 51-53 weeks (1 year).
And it worked without errors :
2017 : Peak in December - $19,783 (exactly within the cycle).
2018 : Bottom in November - $3,122 (in the bullseye again).
2021 : ATH in November - $68,789 (the cycle didn't fail).
2022 Bottom in November - $15.832 (in the bullseye again).
There are many publications with the same timings and decision-making
А 2023-2024 ? This was my record year! I bought when everyone was yelling “Crash!” and sold when the crowd was yelling “To the moon!”. All thanks to cold calculation instead of emotion .
🧠 Why does it work? Because the crowd is blind
When everyone is in a panic - I activate the algorithm :
А 2023-2024 ? This was my record year! I bought when everyone was yelling “Crash!” and sold when the crowd was yelling “To the moon!”. All thanks to cold calculation instead of emotion.
🧠 Why does it work? Because the crowd is blind
When everyone is in a panic - I activate the algorithm :
Timing : I enter at the end of a bearish cycle and exit at the peak of a bullish cycle.
Discipline : No “maybe it's time?” - just numbers.
Adaptation : Is the market evolving? My model is too. In 2025, my Academy will release an updated course - where I will share the most acutal information.
💥 Why am I disclosing this now?
Because there's not much time left until the end of the bull cycle, and I want you to be ready.
📉 “But isn't that risky?”
Risk is when you follow the crowd.
🔥 The END of 151 weeks will start sooner than you expect. Do I want you to miss out on the opportunity? Subscribe, save the post, write comments - and let's make money while others are looking for “magic indicators”.
Questions? Doubts? Write in the comments.
P.P.S. This is not “another prediction.” This is the key to the market, which I have been grinding for 11 years. And it's yours - if you have time.
Bitcoin's future is bright!
Best regards EXCAVO
BTC
Bitcoin’s Roller Coaster Ride: More Volatility Until March 7?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has been acting like a Roller Coaster in the last few days, and one of the main reasons for the high momentum movements is Donald Trump's speech . Generally, this market behavior detriments investors and trades. Such movements may continue until March 7 ( Let us recall that Donald Trump will meet with industry representatives at the “first crypto summit” at the White House on March 7 ).
So please pay more attention to Capital Management these days .
It seems that Bitcoin's Main Support is 200_SMA(Daily) , which failed to break yesterday and started to increase again. Now, Bitcoin has succeeded in breaking the Resistance zone($87,100-$85,800) .
According to Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect Bitcoin to once again attack the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,250) and rise to at least the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Do you think Bitcoin is still Correcting or ready for another major up move?
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $85,000, the possibility of Bitcoin increasing again will decrease.
Note: If Bitcoin can break the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,250) and the Resistance lines, we can even hope for a new All-Time High(ATH).
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BTC Distribution towards 65k / 50k - ExplanationIn this video, I break down why Bitcoin's market structure is shifting bearish.
I explain the distribution phase, the key signs to watch for, and why I believe price is likely to trade lower. To give you a clearer picture, I also show a real example for comparison.
🚀 Topics Covered:
BTC structure switching bearish 📉
Understanding the distribution phase
Why I expect price to drop 🔻
A real example for comparison
If you find this analysis helpful, like & subscribe for more insights!
Let me know your thoughts in the comments.
Bitcoin may reach resistance line and then drop to 83400 levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. A few days ago, Bitcoin entered a descending wedge and began to decline within it. Soon after, the price dropped to the seller zone, which aligned with a resistance level, and eventually broke through. Following this move, BTC quickly fell to the 83400 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and even dipped below, breaking through the level. After reaching the wedge’s support line, Bitcoin immediately reversed and started moving upward. In a short time, the price reclaimed the 83400 level, performed a retest, and continued its upward movement. Later, BTC climbed to the resistance level and briefly entered the seller zone, where it consolidated near the wedge’s resistance line before dropping back to the buyer zone, breaking through 93600. Within the buyer zone, the price touched the wedge’s support line before making a strong impulse upward, breaking back above 83400. Currently, BTC is still moving higher, and I anticipate that the price will reach the wedge’s resistance line before reversing downward. Based on this scenario, my target is set at the 83400 support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC - Just a Correction!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As long as we don't see a weekly candle closing below the $90,000 mark, this remains a correction phase 📉.
Since we're near the lower bound of the weekly range, we'll be looking for short-term longs on lower timeframes 📊.
For the next long-term bullish phase to begin, a break above $110,000 is required 🚀.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BITCOIN Like a well tuned Swiss clock...Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has had a red February with a correction that touched its 1D MA200 and almost hit the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), spurring massive liquidations and ETF outflows. On the wider picture though and the long-term technical trend of this Cycle, this looks nothing more than a normal technical pull-back at the start of the last year of the Bull Cycle.
More specifically, since the start of the current Bull Cycle following the November 2022 market bottom, BTC has been replicating to almost perfection the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle. As this chart on the 1W time-frame shows, every medium-term top and bottom since July 2023, matches harmonically the tops and bottoms since July 2015.
In addition, the 1W RSI is now on its 2nd bottom of the 'Buy the dip Volatility Phase', which started after the Higher Lows trend-line that was initiated on the market bottom, peaked and turned sideways. In 2016 - 2017, that was the ultimate guide to buy low through Bitcoin's last year of Bull Cycle all the way to the Top.
Based on this analogy, BTC should now form a Channel Up that might form the next Higher High in June, pull-back in July, then new Higher High in August, pull-back in September and final push for a Cycle Top around November. Based on this pattern, this may very well be around $200k but again, a 1W RSI top sell signal is more fitting.
But do you think the market will continue replicating the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle all the way to the top? And if yes, is a $200k peak plausible? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Bottom Confirmed & Price Dynamics —Buy OpportunityBitcoin is not trading at $200,000 just yet and I know this can be depressing, but the action we are seeing now is very interesting and reveals a few things:
1) The bottom is in. Last week's drop, touch and go, is the perfect bottom signal. We can take the bottom being in at $78,300. A 28% drop from the $109,000 All-Time High.
2) Classic retrace. After a strong bullish breakout, there is always a retrace. This is good.
Instead of massive force, straight up and higher, we are seeing a classic retrace and this is good because it means that the market (Bitcoin) will take its time to build up strength. Taking time to grow is good and the only way it can work if we are set to move higher based on the long-term.
On average, +$500 daily or +$800 daily can reveal how long it will take to reach higher prices and higher levels in the coming months. An example shared in a previous publication (visit by profile) mentions $120,000 as a possibility next month.
The low is in. What actions to we take now? Buy and hold.
The market is giving you a second opportunity. A second entry. Did you miss the jump from $85,000 toward $95K? If yes, now you have the chance to buy at relatively low prices. The market always gives a second chance. This is great.
Remember the simple strategy, we are in the accumulation phase.
Bitcoin is going up and will continue to grow long-term.
The bottom is in.
Thank you for reading.
Feel free to leave a comment with your questions.
All thoughts and opinions are welcome. Do not hesitate to comment if you have something negative to say. We appreciate you and welcome all feedback. If positive, please take time to say something. You are appreciated.
Namaste.
HelenP. I Bitcoin may reach trend line and then drop to $83000Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. A few days ago, the price surged from the resistance zone, aligning with the resistance level, and climbed toward the trend line. However, it soon reversed and began to decline within a wedge pattern, eventually dropping back to the resistance zone. After that, the price bounced off and moved up to the trend line before resuming its downward movement. Not long after, the price fell to the wedge’s support line, briefly breaking through the resistance level. However, it quickly recovered and returned to the resistance zone, where it consolidated for some time. Shortly after, BTC reached the trend line, which also acted as the wedge’s resistance line, and then dropped again to the support level, this time breaking below 96600 and exiting the wedge pattern. Following this breakout, Bitcoin started to rally and eventually climbed close to the trend line, before making a correction down to the 83000 support level. Recently, BTC has shown signs of recovery once again, so I anticipate that BTCUSDT will retest the trend line before reversing downward toward the support level. Given this setup, my goal is set at 83000. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTCUSD: Historic comparison shows hyper rally about to begin.Bitcoin turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.581, MACD = 979.600, ADX = 19.348) as it recovered last week's selloff and rebounded on its 1D MA200. Technically the pattern since 2024 is identical to 2020 as you can see on the chart above. The moment Bitcoin crossed again above its 1D MA50, a new hyper rally started. This suggests that a final target inside the 160,000 - 200,000 Zone is quite possible to take place.
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What About The MACD? This Is The Reason Why $120,000 Will Not...This one is even better. While Bitcoin is trading at a very strong price, near $90,000, the MACD hit the lowest ever, since 2021 in this chart. This chart only goes back to 2021 so can't really say about other times. But the daily MACD went through a full flush and this type of dynamic tends to be ultra-bullish.
It is the equivalent of seeing the daily RSI with a reading of 10 while prices trade at $90,000 within a bullish trend.
Here is Bitcoin's daily MACD (true bottom):
Once the bottom is hit, you get a rise.
There is a bullish cross already present so the histogram turned from red to green. This means that the MACD is already rising.
There is a divergence here as well. The MACD is producing lower lows while Bitcoin is producing higher lows.
Based on these signals, the MACD and RSI, it is only a matter of time before the next Cryptocurrency bullish phase that will end in a bullish run.
It is a long-time for Bitcoin to go sideways for three months and then crash. It is the exact same dynamic as in early to mid-2024. Bitcoin peaked in March 2024 and went sideways for months before crashing in early August. The crash in early August marked the bottom.
Bitcoin peaked in December 2024 and went sideways just to crash in late February 2025. The crash in late February marked the bottom. From the bottom we grow.
We are seeing sideways, bullish, accumulation, consolidation before maximum growth.
We will experience slow and steady growth long-term. On average, we are going to be looking at +$800 to +$1,000 daily in price gains. So, in 30 days, Bitcoin should trade around $120,000 (more or less).
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
What About The RSI? BitcoinDaily MA200 has been working as support; support confirmed, for Bitcoin on the daily timeframe. This is a good signal, a strong one and all is good.
I also looked at the trading volume and this is also good. Clearly rising for a while now. A bullish bias.
I was wondering about the RSI.
How is Bitcoin's daily RSI looking like?
Great news.
Bitcoin's daily RSI hit its lowest level in February 2025 since August 2023. That's a strong one.
The low in February on this oscillator ended up being higher than August 2024. This produces the hidden bullish divergence signal. Very interesting.
MA200 sits perfectly between 0.5 and 0.618 Fib. retracement level support. This level now sits at $83,000. Bitcoin will never trade again below 80K. The bottom is in.
Hold on, I have more. Let's revisit an update that I shared in a previous publications (5 days ago) related to the correction dynamics.
🅱️ Bitcoin's Correction Is Over
An advance from $74,000 to 110K is not the same as an advance from $20,000 to 74K.
The correction from 74 to 49K, -33%, took five months because of the prolonged consolidation between 20,000 and 74,000.
The correction from 110 to 78K totals a nice -28%. Support is found at 0.5 Fib. retracement in relation to the previous bullish phase. This is the exact same level that was hit in the previous correction from 74 to 49K in July/August 2024. The current correction does not need to extend any longer.
The rise from 49 to 110K amounts to 124%.
The rise from 20 to 74K amounts to 270%.
It is logical for the previous correction to be stronger than the current one because of the size of the bullish wave. Since this bullish wave was smaller, the correction also becomes small.
We are now in 2025 and everybody knows that Bitcoin is going up.
If the market couldn't push Bitcoin past 49K last year when doubt was the norm, remember the evil tendencies of the SEC, why would the market produce a stronger correction now when the SEC has been transformed to reasonable and conscious? Instead of a weapon this institution is now doing the job that it was supposed to do in the first place; guidance and support. The SEC is now offering strong support to the Cryptocurrency market and this is great.
Conditions are better now and fundamentals continue to improve.
There is reason to believe that the bottom is in, not only based on the correction size but also based on the fact that Altcoins are turning strongly green.
The correction is over. This is great news.
We are going up.
Once the market hits bottom... The new All-Time High will happen in late 2025.
Bitcoin can easily hit $180,000, $200,000 or more (can be $500,000 to $1,000,000). The Altcoins portion of the market will blow up. Not everything will grow, but most of the market will.
All those projects without a real base will lose momentum and the real Cryptocurrencies will shine the most.
There are lots of choices; choose wisely.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
BTCUSD - Bull Extension Price right now has relatively been contained within an upward channel
In this chart i suggest a breakout of this trend line / channel and extension up to create a new ATH for this bull run
I have used the bars pattern from the 2016 - 17 run
Lets see what happens.
Daily chart
BITCOIN and the People's Bank of China Liquidity.Bitcoin / BTCUSD is often correlated with traditional assets that can be easily related to like the USD, stock indices etc.
On this idea we introduce the Liquidity of the People's Bank of China and as you can see there is a strong correlation between the two.
Every time China's central bank pumps money into the markets, BTC enters a strong Bull Phase. On the contrary, when it starts tightening, BTC enters a Bear Phase.
For the past two years we've been inside a Bull Cycle. Towards the end of 2025, the Liquidity should have topped based on the Time Cycle tool, and that should be our signal to exit the market with the highest profit possible in this Cycle.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Bitcoin - 200 EMA is holding Strong#BTC #Analysis
Description
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+ Bitcoin has successfully tested the 200 EMA line and rebounded effectively.
+ However, caution is still advised, as the price may revisit the EMA support line.
+ The strong performance of the EMA is a positive indicator, suggesting the bullish trend could persist after a few retests.
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Bearish until 98-100K Morning folks,
So, Old Donny euphoria was over on the next day, as we've suggested. ETH was even worse than BTC...
And we're skeptic on coming Crypto Summit tomorrow. What could happen in three days? A lot of speech and empty promises definitely will sound, but where the real deals? Recently. S. Lummis said that BTC Reserve issue is still under question and no guarantees that it will be formed. That's it... Nothing is prepared for BTC Reserve forming. Coming D. Trump talks could shake the market, but that will be only emotions.
Speaking practically, we suggest that until BTC stands under 98-100K area - context remains bearish. We see a few patterns, and this butterfly one of them. If you want to go short - this is the point that you have to think about. Based on the butterfly, the risk is not too big.
If even we will get "222" Sell - setup remains bearish, because upside AB=CD agrees with daily Fib resistance level. Only upside breakout of 98-99K will give BTC theoretical chances to start wobbling in 100-108K range.
Thus, for now we're not ready to speak about BTC buying. Albeit you want to make a bet on Summing euphoria tomorrow.
Where can Bitcoin turn bullish again? (2D)Before anything, pay attention to the timeframe of the analysis. This is a 2-day timeframe, so it will take time.
The green zone is where Bitcoin can start moving toward the specified targets. If the ATH is broken, Bitcoin could also move toward $120K and $140K. However, based on the chart, there is currently no certainty about Bitcoin’s final target.
Reaching the green zone may take more than 4 to 5 weeks.
We are looking for buy/long positions in the green zone.
A daily candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin - The Uptrend Remains 100% Valid!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) can create a textbook break and retest:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of weeks we have only been seeing a consolidation on all cryptocurrencies, governed by the slow movement on Bitcoin. With today's drop Bitcoin is now approaching the previous all time highs, which are now acting as a major support, pushing price much higher.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
The key is whether it can be supported and rise at 89294.25
Hello, traders.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
After the volatility period, it shows an upward trend above the HA-Low indicator (89294.25) on the 1D chart.
The key is whether it can be supported near 89294.25 and break through the M-Signal indicator on the 1D and 1W charts.
If the upward breakout is successful, it is expected to lead to an attempt to rise to around 94742.35.
However, since the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought zone, I think that the area around 94742.35 is likely to act as resistance.
-
If it falls below 89294.25, it is likely to eventually meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
Accordingly, the maximum decline is expected to be around 73499.86.
At this time, it is expected that the trend will be determined again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
-
In order to turn into an uptrend, the price must rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart and maintain its value.
However, considering the currently formed support and resistance points, I think that it is highly likely to turn into an uptrend if it rises to around 94742.35 and shows support.
Therefore, the section where we can proceed with the trade is
1st: 89294.25
2nd: 94742.35
I think it is possible when we see the support near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
In order for the uptrend to continue, it must rise above the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart.
Therefore,
1st: 97226.92
2nd: 101947.24
It must break through the 1st and 2nd sections above.
If not, the above section will act as resistance.
-
As I mentioned earlier, the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought section.
Therefore, I think it would be good to check whether it can be used as a trading reference indicator in the future by looking into how to resolve this.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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Bitcoin Daily: MA200 Beautiful Recovery, Higher Prices ConfirmedMA200 has been confirmed as support. It was challenged twice on a wick but the close happened much higher...
Good afternoon my fellow trader, we have some really good dynamics developing today.
Crypto is bullish. Bitcoin is bullish and the Altcoins are moving up. Slowly but surely but that's how we get into long-term growth. A long-term bullish phase tends to start slowly, it takes time to develop, but once momentum grows the rising wave can last many months. In previous bullish moves all the growth was compressed within 30 days. That is, 1-2 months of consolidation and then another month for the final advance. Now it will be different. The final advance can last anywhere between 2-4 months. It will be awesome.
Bitcoin is producing a very beautiful and strong recovery. It is my pleasure to say that we are all on the same page now, we can all agree; Bitcoin is going up.
This is a short-term view, zoomed-in, a rising triangle with the next target being $97,700 follow by $103,000. There will be more growth for sure. We have the full trade numbers with 10X in a previous publication. This is will be a long-term trade for those interested in Bitcoin with lev.
It is still early. Bitcoin is a great buy below 90K, also below 100K based on the long-term. Bitcoin will never move below 80K. This is very unlikely. Most likely, we will see growth daily, for months, and then some more.
If you enjoy the content, feel free to follow.
Leave a comment if you have any questions.
If you agree, comment.
If you disagree, comment again. Your views and opinions are very important, share them with the rest of us. We can learn from each other, and, after all, we are here to learn.
Namaste.
BTCUSD - Similar Channels Current channel can be contrasted to the previous 2017 run
We are at the stage before aggressive bulls take control pushing above this channel
The verge of a large breakout for crypto across the board
I don't know if price will surpass 1m but it definitely will be pushing new ATH's probably each week
Weekly chart
BTC/USD 1D Chart ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC. When we enter the one-day interval, we can see how the BTC price is moving in the formed downtrend channel in which we are again approaching its upper limit.
Here you can see how the current rebound has approached the resistance zone from $ 92,851 to $ 95,975, which the price cannot break through, only when we exit it upwards will the path open towards resistance at $ 99,903.
Looking the other way, we can see that in the first place we have a significant support zone from $ 93,477 to $ 79,907, which currently manages to keep the price from larger declines. However, when the zone is broken, we can see the price going down to the level of $ 75,354.
On the MACD indicator we can observe a fight to return to the upward trend in which we have a lot of room for price increases, while on the RSI indicator we are approaching the middle of the range which still gives room for growth, however, at this level we could previously see a reaction, which is something to watch out for.