Btc!
Next Volatility Period: Around February 16
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USDT and USDC are both renewing their ATH.
I think the gap increase of USDT and USDC is a sign of funds flowing in.
Therefore, we can see that a lot of funds are flowing into the coin market.
(BTC.D 1M chart)
If BTC dominance rises above 62.47, altcoins are likely to show a larger decline, so you should think about a response plan for this.
The rise in BTC dominance means that funds in the coin market are concentrated toward BTC.
BTC dominance does not mean that BTC is rising or falling.
(USDT.D 1M chart)
The rise in USDT dominance is likely to lead to a decline in the coin market.
If USDT dominance rises above 4.97, the coin market is likely to plummet.
Also, it is likely that it is already in a downward trend.
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Why is it falling when funds are flowing into the coin market?
I think it's because there's been a lot of upside, so it's expensive to buy now and profit taking is happening.
BTC is still in an ambiguous position to say that the downtrend has started.
I think that in order for the downtrend to start, it needs to fall below the Fibonacci ratio point of 1.618 (89050.0) and show resistance.
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(BTCUSD 1D chart)
What we need to pay attention to is the trading volume.
If the price falls as the trading volume increases, it is likely to lead to further declines.
In other words, the possibility of continuing the downtrend increases.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
I think indicators such as Bollinger Bands or Price Channels well express the nature of returning to the mean by forming a channel and confirming the convergence and divergence of the channel.
Currently, since it is maintaining a state of falling below the lower line of the Price Channel indicator, it shows that the force to fall is strong, and at the same time, it shows that the force to return to the mean is getting stronger.
Accordingly, if it rises above the lower line of the Price Channel indicator and maintains the price, it is expected to quickly return to the mean.
The currently set Price Channel indicator uses the MS-Signal indicator as the median, so the key is whether it can rise above the MS-Signal indicator and maintain the price.
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The newly added indicator this time is the StochRSI 50 indicator.
The most commonly used interpretation of the StochRSI indicator is the movement when it leaves the overbought or oversold zone.
However, as I mentioned earlier, the basic principle of the chart is regression to the mean, so the 50 point of the StochRSI indicator has an important meaning.
Therefore, it is judged that when the StochRSI indicator passes the 50 point, it is likely to act as support and resistance.
However, since the StochRSI indicator is located at both ends of the price candle as an auxiliary indicator, it may be difficult to intuitively see and interpret, so it was added to the price chart.
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Due to this decline, the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is likely to move from the 94742.35 point to the 97226.92 point.
Accordingly, the existing 97461.86 point is expected to play an increasingly important support and resistance role.
Therefore, when the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator falls to around 97461.86, the key is whether the price can rise and be maintained around that level.
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This volatility period is expected to continue until February 10.
The next volatility period is expected to be around February 16 (February 15-17).
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If the price falls while trading spot, it is not a good idea to wait without taking any action because you are at a loss.
However, if you respond too hastily, you may suffer double losses due to volatility, so you need to be careful.
Therefore, you need to check the point where you can realize profits in the big picture and have the mindset to sell a portion of the purchase principal at any time.
For this, I provide the MS-Signal indicator, BW (100), and HA-High indicators as representative indicators in my chart.
The fact that BW(100) and HA-High indicators were created means that it has fallen from the high point, so it means that the indicator point is likely to be the resistance point.
Therefore, it means that when it shows resistance near the indicator point, it is the time to sell in parts.
Since the MS-Signal indicator is an indicator for viewing trends, a drop below the MS-Signal indicator means that the trend is likely to turn downward.
If you sell some of the coins when these indicators show resistance and buy back the amount sold when the price drops, the number of coins (tokens) you hold will increase.
Ultimately, the longer the investment period, the greater the profit will be.
I call this method increasing the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profit, or increasing the quantity.
If you sell the amount corresponding to the purchase principal in this way, the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profit will eventually remain, and this will be in a state where the average purchase price is 0.
If you increase the number of coins (tokens) with an average purchase price of 0 in this way, you will always be in a state of profit even if there is a large volatility.
Then, you will be able to conduct transactions more stably.
At this time, what you need to pay attention to is the average purchase price provided by the exchange.
You should ignore this and conduct transactions based on the purchase price.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems that it has been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
That is, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
As you can see from the LOG chart, the uptrend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
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$BTC Current Decline Analysis - 2/11/2025CRYPTOCAP:BTC Update:
Wave (e) revealed the pattern (wxy), highlighting the complex structures of waves w and x, which looks like a 'distribution' behavior. This leaves us with a fast pace decline in wave y, targeting a projected level that coincides with wave (e) target of $87,222
#BTC #BTCUSD #Bitcoin CRYPTOCAP:BTC
* This is how I see it, just sharing my view!
Cheers!
BITCOIN short term bearish bias#bitcoin #btc price has been declined from 4H Ema ribbons and ichimoku span resistance. In my previous ideas, i said CRYPTOCAP:BTC has entered distribution zone and the last phase (major sign of weakness) hasn't confirmed, yet but it' s proceeding! Only a new ATH (with not fake movement for only taking liquidations) may invalidate Wyckoff' s distribution schematic #btcusd has been in.
CAKEUSDT Falling Pattern Setup with 100%-150% Potential Gains CAKEUSDT has recently formed a Falling Pattern, a chart formation that typically signals a period of consolidation or potential reversal. This pattern is often seen in markets that are in the process of finding a bottom before making a sharp upward move. For CAKEUSDT, the pattern is accompanied by good volume, which indicates that there is solid market interest and a buildup of potential for a breakout. With a projected gain range of 100% to 150% or more, traders are watching this pair closely, hoping to capitalize on what could be a significant upward move once the price breaks out of the pattern's resistance.
The Falling Pattern typically shows a series of lower highs and lower lows, followed by a potential breakout when the price moves through the key resistance level. The increasing volume during this phase suggests that buyers are starting to take control, positioning themselves for a potential rally. Investors are growing more interested in CAKEUSDT as it shows signs of bottoming out and setting up for an explosive upward movement. If this pattern follows through, traders could see substantial returns as the price looks to reclaim its previous highs.
As with all chart patterns, the success of the Falling Pattern in CAKEUSDT depends on several factors, including broader market conditions and the overall sentiment in the crypto space. However, the good volume backing this pattern suggests a higher likelihood of a strong reversal. If CAKEUSDT can break above the resistance formed by the Falling Pattern, the next phase could be a sharp rally, potentially pushing the price higher and providing traders with significant profit opportunities.
Traders should remain cautious and monitor key support and resistance levels to make informed decisions as the price action unfolds. If the market continues to favor bullish momentum, CAKEUSDT could experience a strong breakout that leads to notable gains. Given the current technical setup and investor interest, this pair could be one to watch closely in the coming days or weeks for those looking to capitalize on the next big move.
"Gold Price Rebounds from Major Support, Eyeing Key Resistance LThis chart represents a 1-hour time frame analysis of gold (XAUUSD). The price recently tested a major support zone and showed signs of rejection, indicating potential bullish momentum.
A possible target for the upside move is around the 2,926 resistance zone, with the first target at 2,904. The price structure suggests that if the support holds, buyers may push the price toward these levels. However, a failure to hold above the support zone could signal further downside.
DOTUSD - Cup and handle filled with green candles tea ?Very simple trade idea ?
my average is around 4.5 and will leave next month probably
for now at very good support (0.236 fib + previous high)
can go more down to test that black trendline for example but at the end the target is 6.5 in a few days/weeks
stop loss depends if btc goes under 95.8
cheers
USD/JPY Bullish Outlook Can the Pair Hit 160.00? Key Levels USD/JPY is trading at approximately 152.50. Your target price of 160.00 suggests an anticipated upward movement of 750 pips. This projection aligns with a bullish outlook, potentially driven by support and resistance dynamics.
Recent technical analyses indicate that USD/JPY has tested the 152.55 resistance level and experienced a bearish pullback, maintaining a negative outlook in the near term. Analysts anticipate a retest of the 151.05 support level, with a potential decline toward 149.80 if this support is breached.
The pair is currently trading near its 200-day EMA, a critical indicator for trend direction. A decisive move above this level could signal a continuation of the upward trend toward your target. However, failure to break above may result in consolidation or a potential downturn.
Key support levels to monitor include 151.12 and 148.42, while resistance levels are identified at 152.77, 154.39, and 155.52. A sustained break above these resistance levels would bolster the bullish case toward the 160.00 target. Conversely, a decline below the support levels could invalidate the bullish scenario
In summary, while the USD/JPY pair exhibits potential for an upward move toward 160.00, traders should closely monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as the 200-day EMA, to confirm the bullish trend. Staying informed about fundamental factors influencing the USD/JPY pair will also be crucial in making informed trading decisions.
SUPER Long Swing Opportunity Market Context:
SUPER is trading in a key support zone, offering a high-probability long entry. If support holds, we anticipate a bullish continuation toward key resistance levels.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: $0.58 - $0.78
Take Profit Targets:
$1.00
$1.34
$1.60
Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.54
This setup provides a strong risk-to-reward opportunity, aligning with broader market sentiment. Monitor price action for confirmation! 📈🔥
BTCUSDT VIP Signal № 367Panic Rising, Opportunity Brewing
Bitcoin is headed for $130-140K this cycle is a reasonable target. Right now, the market is drowning in fear, with traders getting ready for a steeper drop. But let’s be real—that’s exactly when the big players make their move.
The Trend Is Still Our Friend
Sure, markets can be chaotic, but probabilities are still leaning bullish. Just take a look at the price action—the trendline has already proven itself as support twice. The demand is there, institutional money is pouring in, ETFs are shaking up the game, and with a crypto-friendly Trump back in the picture, the narrative is stronger than ever. Besides, the bullish scenario seems to be supported by the Elliott wave theory as well.
I’m Stacking Bitcoin
Sharp pullbacks wipe out weak hands, but they also set the stage for massive upside. Fear is the fuel for opportunity. Or as Baron Rothschild once put it: "The best time to buy is when there’s blood in the streets—even if it’s your own."
BITCOIN - Time to buy again!As you can see, the price is forming two bullish patterns on the daily timeframe, If my view is correct, btc will rise to 120k .
And if this pattern is correct and breaks, higher targets are possible.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Gold (XAUUSD) Holding Key Support – short term buy This gold (XAUUSD) chart on the 15-minute timeframe shows an uptrend within a rising channel. The price is currently testing a key support zone around 2,906. If this support holds and the price doesn’t break below, a potential buying opportunity could emerge, targeting the 2,914–2,926 resistance zone. However, if the support fails, a deeper pullback toward lower levels may occur. Watch for price action signals at the support zone for confirmation.
short 107900 with tp at 100500 sound legit target it will go here easily and i think much more or bit more
but for no risk i take this legit target after the rally he just done its amazing
i not make stop loss in this scenario coz if he go to 110 000 i will had 1 lot and keep my target
if he go 115 000 same...no leverage if u have small balance then apply your RR
Bitcoin may drop to support line before reboundingHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. We can observe how the price entered a range when analyzing the chart. It initially dropped to the support level, aligning with the buyer zone at the lower boundary of the range. After spending some time trading near this level, the price dipped further into the buyer zone but quickly rebounded, rising to the upper boundary of the range. Following this, the price reversed and fell back into the buyer zone, where it consolidated for a while before climbing back into the range. Shortly afterward, Bitcoin rallied to the resistance level, corresponding to the seller zone, breaking out of the range and eventually surpassing the 104600 level to reach a new all-time high (109000 points). However, BTC then began to decline within a downward channel, where it broke below the 104600 level again and dropped to the channel’s support line. Although the price attempted to recover, it failed and rebounded from the seller zone back to the buyer zone. Subsequently, the price moved back into the channel, creating a false breakout, and continued its downward movement within the channel. Given the current structure, I anticipate that BTC might drop to the channel's support line before initiating a new upward movement. Based on this outlook, I’ve set my target price (TP) at 101300 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
HelenP. I Bitcoin will exit from triangle and reach $101K pointsHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Looking at this chart, we can see that the price reached a resistance level aligned with the resistance zone and broke through it. Afterward, BTC continued its upward movement but eventually corrected, dropping below the 102600 level. However, it quickly reversed direction and made a strong upward impulse, breaking through the 102600 level once again. The price hovered around the 102600 level for some time before breaking below it and continuing to fall. Following this move, BTC reversed direction and, in a short period, rallied to the trend line, breaking the 102600 level yet again. After that, the price began to decline within a triangle pattern and soon dropped through the 102600 level, reaching the support zone, which coincided with a key support level. From there, BTC made a sharp upward move to the resistance level but immediately corrected again. Bitcoin fell to the support level and then rebounded upward. At the moment, it’s trading near the trend line. I expect that BTCUSDT will make a minor correction before rebounding to 101K, breaking through the trend line, and exiting the triangle formation. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
"Gold Bullish Continuation XAUUSD is expected to reach 3000 soonThis chart shows a strong bullish momentum in gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour time frame, with a clear breakout above a recent high. The price action is following a rounded trend, indicating a continuation of the bull run. A key support zone (spot area) has been tested, and the price is pushing higher.
The 1st target is around 2,935, the 2nd target at 2,970, and the final target at 3,000. If gold holds above the spot area and continues respecting the trendline, it could move towards these targets. However, a breakdown below the spot area might lead to a pullback before further upside.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Analysis – Divergence and Bearish Setuphello guys!
Divergence Between Price and RSI:
The chart shows a clear bearish divergence between price action and the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
Price made higher highs, while the RSI formed lower highs, signaling weakening bullish momentum and the potential for a reversal.
Price Action Analysis:
The price reached the QML2 zone (~$103,000), and there is a clear rejection, suggesting selling pressure.
The price is now heading toward QML1, located at around $95,600.
If the price breaks QML1 and holds below, the next support target is around $93,455, where further downside could be expected.
Support and Target Zones:
Support Area 1: QML1 (~$95,600) – key level to monitor for possible breakdown.
Support Area 2: QML2 (~$93,455) – potential next stop if QML1 breaks.
Resistance Zone: Around $103,000 – the price has been rejected from here, acting as a strong resistance level.
RSI Analysis:
The RSI is showing signs of bearish divergence, which often precedes a price correction or reversal.
RSI Below 50: If the RSI drops below the 50 mark, it could indicate increasing bearish momentum.
Trade Setup:
Bearish Setup:
Entry: Short position below $95,600 (if price breaks QML1 and retests it as resistance).
Take Profit: First target at $93,455, then possibly lower towards $91,000.
Conclusion:
Bearish Bias: The combination of price rejection at the upper resistance level and RSI divergence points to a potential price decline.
Key Levels to Watch: The immediate breakdown below $95,600 and subsequent test of $93,455 will be critical for further downside.
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 06.02.2025Market Analysis:
Previous Price Action:
The price was consolidating in a range (blue zone) before a breakout.
A strong bullish move followed, but then price retraced sharply.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Key Support Zones: 2,910 – 2,902 and 2,898 – 2,890
Key Resistance Zones: 2,928 and 2,942
Price Behavior:
The price is currently testing 2,910, a critical zone.
If this support holds, we expect a bullish reversal.
If it breaks, the next support at 2,898 will be the next key level for buying.
📈 Trading Signal & Entry Plan:
✅ Setup 1: Buy from 2,910
Entry: 2,910
Stop Loss (SL): 2,902 (below recent support)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 2,928
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 2,942
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2+
👉 If SL (2,902) is hit, move to the second setup.
✅ Setup 2: Buy from 2,898 (if price breaks below 2,910)
Entry: 2,898
Stop Loss (SL): 2,890
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 2,928
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 2,942
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (higher probability trade)
📌 Conclusion & Trading Plan
✔ First buy at 2,910 – If it holds, price should move up to 2,928-2,942.
✔ If SL (2,902) hits, buy at 2,898 with a tighter stop.
✔ Both setups have a good risk-reward ratio, following a bullish bias.
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BTC.D Update = What happened to the ALT SEASON?I had this possibility on the back of my mind but didn't think it'd play out since things are much different this time
I obviously missed the last downward movement (even though I had it marked on USDT.D + some alts)
PS. Trust me, BS news you see is just an excuse. It's almost always in the chart (in this case, tariffs) = This is how I was able to predict 5th August bottom (in that case, it was the Japanese Yen news but in reality, it's all in the chart but I missed it this time and I'll accept it, I was too busy so never looked at it.. the reason I stopped posting after November)
It would be wonderful if you guys interact and keep things on your panel too!