Btc!
Inverted Head & Shoulders Pattern for BTC??!!!??!Bitcoin appears to be trading in an inverted h&s pattern.
Which coincides with a bullish breach of a Bullish Expanding Triangle highlighted in red to the upside!!
A double bottom is where the head of the inverted triangle can be formed, the space between the two bottoms forms the apex of the head of triangle.
First upside target of $90k USD
Second upside target is $260k USD
BTCUSDT hitting daily resistance but eying weekly resisatnce 98kBTCUSDT has bounced well from weekly support WS1 and currently heading towards daily resistance DR1 around 87k-88k zone. Once it breaks this, the next target would be weekly resistance WR1 which is the next resistance on its way. This resistance is sitting around 95k-98k zone. I think, the price is eying that zone and in coming days and week we will see the price trading there. However, this WR1 zone would definitely make the price push back on firts hit. But the price will definitely make another go there before either breaking of giving up for a while again. The resistance WR1 will be the only obstacle before the price can hit all time high and beyond again. Therefore, this weekly resistance will not give the way easy as this will be a strong supply zone. But I would not worry much once the price reaches there. This will evnetually signal that we are going beyond ATH and further higher. It would be just a bit of struggle there and some consolidation and some boring price action for a while, and then there will be clear sky.
Bitcoin Bottom- i saw many traders using vrvp or vpvr like and claiming BTC will go 10k.
- They just don't know how to use this tool and didn't understand how it works.
- if u don't know how to use a tool, simply don't use it. so less people's will rekt. this is an advanced trading tool.
- The Timeline of those tools are VERY IMPORTANT, they cannot be set up from 2015 or 2013.
What happened when BTC was Bearish :
- Actually when BTC dipped from 30,000$ ish, the columns started in the vrpv darker zone ( Less Demand )
- BTC reached 20,000$ and columns started to grow ( Demand Zone but Fear "Retailers" )
- Then dipped 17,500$ and the columns diminished size ( Good Demand " Smart Money" )
- This is at this point that you can detect a BOTTOM Zone. ( Darker zones + Small Columns )
Then what happened when BTC was Bullish :
- if you watch VRVP when BTC was growing you will notice the inverse.
- The Main demand was around 30,000$.
- BTC Reached 50,000$ and VRVP started to be darker ( More Demand impulse "FOMO" ).
- Then BTC reached 70,000$ ( No Demand ). ( Darker zones + Small Columns )
- i will post an exemple under this post to show a bad use of VRVP/VPVR. please don't use it that way.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Choose your Side- i often compare TheKing with Nasdaq right now.
- Have a main reason :
- NAS100 (Nasdaq) have mostly "Top Tech Companies" acting as Thermometers in this index.
- SPX (SP500) have Tech Companies + traditional ones. Nasdaq Companies are also included in SPX, but 500 Companies start to be a lot.
- DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is a Mastodons, i don't use it much because this top 30 is too mixed ( coca cola, boeing, techs, big banks, nike.. etc).
- i mostly use very high TFs, i prefer look from far, less noise, more easy and less headaches.
- i use sometimes to trade with 1D, H12, H4 TFs but when we are bullish. In bearmarket, it's hard to find entries points in bearish mode.
- i don't short markets and accumulate more coins/tokens, so i just DCA, Dollar Cost Averaging is investing a fixed amount of money into a particular investment at regular intervals.
- so this chart is basically only about MACD :
- it's really interesting to see Nasdaq making another red columns in 3W TF, while the markets should recover slowly.
- if you take a look at BTC, columns stayed in Light Red Color and reducing size.
What could it means ?
- Keep in mind that BTC is not a STOCK.
- One of the most pivotal events on Bitcoin's blockchain is the halving, when the supply of new bitcoins is cut in half (2024).
- BTC have 21M Supplies and that's all. no more will be created.
- At any time BTC could stop to follow Nasdaq and do his way, TheKing used to do that before already.
- A small bounce in Nasdaq could be also a huge move for BTC.
- " Choose your side " and DCA the money you don't need for living.
Happy Tr4Ding !
The Black Swan Method- Making TA as a trader is like reading a magical ball but some major unpredictable events are out of control.
- i usually accurate most of the time but i should be a fool to think i am always right, it's impossible to make TA in that markets conditions.
- So this post is not to make some kind of predictions but to warn peoples on what's going on right now.
- i will try to explain very basically the situation (with my bad english skills, so forgive me if i make some mistakes) :
1/ the first attack was based on Luna and UST, some entities started to short UST/Luna with some billions $, FTX and SBF surely did it. Luna tried to save the situation with their BTC reserve but it was effortless. they lost all. (Luna have never been hacked, important to specify this )
2/ the fail of UST was the first step to create a snowball effect.
3/ 3AC, Celsius, Voyager, and much more were all involved in Luna/UST and Anchor Protocol witch was giving 18% returns on UST. They used customers funds in UST and staked, when the situation started to turn really bad for Luna, they tried to save the situation trading customers funds and they failed. (any of those companies have been hacked, important to specify this )
4/ FTX used customers funds and started to short their own products, FTT, SOL, SRM, etc , Binance saw the move and twitted that they will drop all their FTT.
FTX locked their customers wallets. FTX used 8B$ Customers funds to short markets. they are still right now trying to short USDT on Binance. (FTX have never been hacked, important to specify this).
5/ The snow ball started to be transformed in an avalanche. The damage here is huge. An exchange implosion of this magnitude is a gift to bitcoin haters all over the world.
6/ Sam bankman-fried was a Trojan horse in the crypto space, surely backed by banks and govs, a kind of worm witch have to be eradicated.
7/ Soon bankers will tell you, " u saw what happened with your exchanges ??!!, better use CDBC and stick with Banks!! ", this is their ultimate goal.
- i pray for everyone who got caught up in this mess and lost money with those bad actors.
- i hope you take care of yourself and continue to be a part of this journey.
- i hope it doesn't turn you off of crypto witch are here to stay in the future.
- BTC is resilient. No matter the magnitude of the earthquake.
- Buy BTC
- Store in Ledger, Trezor or Paper Wallet.
- Hodl and come back later.
Have faith in what you believe and fight. Thanks for reading!
PS : Not sure this post will get me banned or censored, but at this point the freedom of speech is an human right.
BTC Diamond Ser ?- While bears see bearish pennants, I see diamonds in the rough.
- I remain bullish, not due to the price, but for the sake of humanity.
- This isn’t an analysis, just a light-hearted joke, so please don’t roast me too hard! 🙏.
- Remember, diamonds are forever.
- Hodl!
Happy Tr4Ding!
BRIEFING Week #16 : ObservationHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
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Phil
BTC | FAKE REVERSAL - Here's WhyI'm not convinced of the recent "bullish" price action. In fact, I say it's likely the calm before the next bearish move down.
In a downtrend, there are a few tale tell signs that the price has gone into full bear mode . In this video, I discuss two of them.
Make sure you catch up on ALTCOINS, and their ideal buying zones HERE 👀👇
__________________
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
The Road to The Mooni like to make some graphs like that when peoples are in Dispair mode.
- i used a modified ADX indicator with a Monthly Timeframe ( thanks to the creator by the way )
- Look at the Mountains and tell me when in past bullruns we stopped at 100 ? - Never -
- The Highest Point is 160+
That said my advice for now is : " You don't really care if TheKing will back to 20k, what you have to care is the Highest point TheKing will reach! "
- Don't Think it's the end of this bullrun
- Don't Listen Fuders
- Use indicators for the Long Term
- Believe in Trends and cycles movements
- Believe in the future of cryptos
- Believe in TheKing because Theking cannot die.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin are you Worried ?Everything is in chart.
- Like i said many times, more you look from far, more it's easy to predict the future.
- This Monthly Chart combinated with indicators show you how BTC moved in 2016-2017 BullRun so keep eyes open and you will find the way for 2020-2021.
- We cannot compare a Bullrun from 400$ to 20,000$ with a Bullrun From 4000$ to 3XX,XXX+$, the chart will be exponential. We are now playing with big numbers.
- imo right now we are in fake bear market stage, this stage happened also in 2016-2017 pre-bullrun ( but Numbers were smallers...), whales are just trying to create fear and remove retails investors.
- Actual stage could be a Consolidation Phase, if Whales see there's a lack of interest, they will push BTC up, or we could get a quick fast Trap to 20,000$ if Whales feel Retails not fear enough (Not sell their BTC).
- 100 000$ Target is still very preservative, past this stage it will be the FOMO Stage to go Higher!
TheKing is dead??? Long live TheKing!! :D
Happy Tr4Ding !
HelenP. I Bitcoin will drop, thereby breaking trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Recently, price has been trading in a narrowing structure, forming a triangle pattern with a strong ascending trend line acting as support. This bullish line began developing after the price reversed from the 78500 - 79000 support zone, where buyers showed a clear reaction, initiating a sustained upward move. As the price kept bouncing along the trend line, it gradually climbed toward the upper boundary of the triangle. Eventually, Bitcoin reached the resistance area near 86500, which aligns with the broader resistance zone between 86500 and 87000 points. This zone has previously acted as a ceiling for price action, and once again, it triggered selling pressure. After the rejection from this area, the price corrected back to the trend line and is now hovering near it, testing its strength. Given the structure of the triangle, the repeated rejection from the resistance zone, and the current consolidation under resistance, I expect BTCUSDT to break below the trend line and decline. That's why I set my goal at 82000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTCUSDT – System-Based Long Signal (3D Timeframe)
📅 April 19, 2025
Yesterday’s 3D candle closed with a clear PSAR flip, shifting from bearish to bullish — an early signal of potential trend reversal.
In addition, price is now trading above the 200 MA, which confirms a return into long-term bullish territory.
🟢 Based on these two system signals, we have a valid long entry setup forming.
However, the system is not fully aligned yet:
⚠️ MLR < BB Center < SMA
This suggests the internal momentum structure is still weak.
We are above 200MA and have a PSAR trigger, but the trend metrics aren't in full confluence.
📌 Strategy suggestion:
- Consider a partial spot entry only
- Avoid leverage until full confirmation
- Wait for MLR to flip above BB Center for added strength
This is a trigger-before-confirmation type of setup — and in such cases, discipline > excitement.
Symmetrical Triangle Nearing Resolution: Breakout or Breakdown?BTC/USD H4 Analysis – Symmetrical Triangle Nearing Resolution: Breakout or Breakdown?
📊 Technical Outlook – 4H Timeframe
Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a clear symmetrical triangle, with price tightening ahead of a potential major breakout. The chart shows price testing the upper boundary of the triangle, supported by MA13 and MA34 from below.
Key resistance zones: 86,594 and the extended target zone at 88,753. A successful breakout above this region could trigger a strong rally toward 90,000+.
Key support levels: 81,397 – 78,725 – 75,102, acting as critical retracement zones in case of downside rejection.
The structure suggests two primary scenarios:
Bullish breakout to 86,594 → 88,753, followed by a pullback and continuation higher.
False breakout or breakdown, leading to a sell-off toward 78,725 and possibly down to 75,102 if market sentiment deteriorates.
🌍 Macro Context & Market Sentiment
Investor sentiment remains fragile, impacted by ongoing geopolitical risks and the Fed’s cautious stance on monetary policy.
Altcoins are underperforming, signaling that capital rotation remains limited – often a precursor to short-term correction or distribution in BTC.
Volume is fading as price coils inside the triangle, typically a precursor to a sharp move in either direction.
🧠 Trading Strategy Ideas
Watch closely for price action near 86,594 – 88,753. If rejection or wick rejections occur, short-term pullback trades may be viable.
A breakdown below the triangle support (~84,000 area) could open up downside targets at 81,397 and 78,725.
A clean breakout with volume confirmation? Look for retest buys around 86k with continuation potential.
⚠️ Caution Advised
BTC is in a “calm-before-the-storm” zone. This is not the time to chase moves or overleverage. Let the market confirm direction and trade based on structure, not emotion.
💬 Are you leaning bullish or bearish on BTC’s next move? Will we see 90k or a drop back to 75k? Share your thoughts below! 👇👇👇
levels to watch The market has formed a W pattern and is currently trading above the neckline. The measured move from this pattern points to a target of 91,300.
What’s particularly interesting is that 91,300 also coincides with the neckline of a previous top, which could act as a significant resistance level — likely sparking a strong battle between buyers and sellers at that point.
If the market manages to reclaim and hold above 91,300, we could see a continuation toward the 108,000 and 125,000 levels.
I’m currently long on BTC from 78,000. My plan is to take partial profits around 88,130 and close the remainder at 91,300. From there, I’ll reassess based on the market’s reaction and look for the next directional cue.
BTC.D Wave 5 is formingWe are now in the final wave of the btc.d market share
The black V wave is in the final stage
In my opinion, btc.d is in the red wave 4 and is expected to have another red uptrend to complete 5 waves and at the same time, it will also have 5 black V waves
If all the waves are complete, we will have a btc.d break and the altcoin season will take place
We can see that altcoin is at the bottom and is recovering, this uptrend is likely to increase (because btc.d is decreasing wave 4) then btc.d goes up to the red wave 5 as analyzed above, the altcoin will test the possible double bottom pattern (with some strong coins that can slightly recover to the 50% fibonacci and then go up)
to go up, the weaker ones can have triple bottoms
Anyway, we are at the end of btc.d and it is also the altcoin season that is about to begin
Bitcoin is currently trading around 85,269.35 USDT. Bitcoin is currently trading around 85,269.35 USDT.
Support Zone: A crucial support zone marked in green suggests strong buying interest between 80,000 and 81,000 USDT.
Resistance: The upper trend line indicates resistance; if Bitcoin can break it, it could target levels close to 88,000 USDT.
Bullish Case: A breakout above the upper trend line could lead to an upward rally towards 88,000 USDT or above.
Bearish Case: If the price breaks below the support zone, a downward move towards 75,000 USDT can be expected.
Monitor the trade closely to see how it reacts around these crucial levels. Adjust your strategy accordingly based on the price action. If you have further questions or need analysis on specific indicators, feel free to ask!
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Global M2 MONEY SUPPLY VS GLOBAL LIQUIDITYWhich is the best to track ₿itcoin price action?
Lots of macro gurus have been arguing over the two.
For comparison, I have indexes for both metrics on a 12-Week Lead, tracking the 4 largest central banks:
The Federal Reserve (including TGA & RRP), People’s Bank of China, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan.
Let’s start by defining each.
Global M2 Money Supply covers physical cash in circulation and cash equivalents such as checking and savings deposits, as well as money market securities.
Global Liquidity covers a broader measure of liquid assets driven by central bank balance sheets, private sector financial activity (e.g., lending, corporate cash), and cross-border capital flows.
Historically, both move closely in lock-step and act as a great leading indicator for ₿itcoin, however we can see that Global Liquidity can have more drastic fluctuations.
We saw a large divergence in CRYPTOCAP:BTC PA with both metrics when the Blackrock iShares ₿itcoin ETF appeared on the DTCC list, a procedural step signaling progress toward potential approval.
When you look at the charts of all three, you can see there are points where either metric might follow CRYPTOCAP:BTC PA a bit closer, so in the end I would say it’s best to track both to find confluence in the signal.
BITCOIN's secret catalyst. The Gold-to-Crypto Rotation Is ComingBitcoin (BTCUSD) is attempting to form a new medium-term bottom here, following the Tariffs-led sell-off of the past 2 months. While the crypto market is consolidating and accumulating, the Gold market is smashing every historic All Time High (ATH) after the other.
This is not the first time we see this divergence between Gold and BTC and this is what historically delivers what we call 'Gold-to-Crypto Rotation'. This happens when Gold peaks, making its Bull Cycle Top, initiating a capital transition to BTC, hence starting the final rally of its Bull Cycle.
This has already taken place 3 times in its short history and Gold's sheer ferocity of the 2025 rally, indicates that we may possibly be about to repeat another one.
So what do you think is Gold about to top and offer a mass exodus a capital to Bitcoin, hence kickstarting a massive rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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