BITCOIN - LIGHTS OUT ! - The road to $14,000. Bitcoin was just dealt the most bearish chart pattern there is in my book : The upside flash. Huge move higher that has HFT written all over it, followed by a huge move downward, all in the span of a few hours. The FLASH. I have severely down graded BTC. We still bounce at $25,000 area, but we'll give it all back on the grinding road to $14,000. There are a few rescue moments that can occur in between, and I will map those out as I go. Sorry guys, better to know now that later right?
Btc!
BTC to 124k - Quick ThoughtsBitcoin is currently in a consolidation phase and is simply waiting to expand further toward 124k.
Ideally, we’d like to see the price take out the key low first and then head toward 124k.
If the price ignores the key low and goes straight to 124k, we can be pretty sure it will retrace at that level and then look to take out the key level afterward.
Whether the bottom section will be formed is the key
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(USDT 1D chart)
USDT appears to have turned into a gap downtrend.
If it does not rise quickly, the coin market is expected to show a sharp decline.
(USDC 1D chart)
Fortunately, USDC is maintaining a gap uptrend, so there seems to be a possibility of price defense to some extent.
However, since USDC has a lower influence on the coin market than USDT, if USDT maintains a gap downtrend, the coin market is expected to eventually show a decline.
What we need to do is check the stop loss point of the coin (token) we currently hold rather than increasing new transactions and think about how much we should cut loss.
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The point to watch is whether the movement of BTC is as updated last time.
If the HA-Low indicator is created, it means that the current wave is finished and a new wave is starting, so whether there is support is an important key.
There is a possibility that the HA-Low indicator will fall after being created and show a stepwise downtrend, but the fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that it is ultimately forming a bottom section, so it is a time to buy.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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Total Crypto Market Capitalization prediction for 2025The basis for the analysis in today's idea about the future of the total capitalization of the crypto market is our idea from 2 years ago, where we assumed that the “bottom” has already been reached and that we will continue to see strong growth. Read it 👇
Since then, the total capitalization of the crypto market has grown 4 times from $800 billion to $3.2 trillion. This is mainly due to the growth of the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price from $16k to the current $95k and its BTC.Dominance index from 39% to the current 58%.
Many altcoins are still depressed, many of them failed to update their ATH, so let's assume that there hasn't been a real altseason yet)
And here's how the capitalization of other financial assets has changed approximately over 2 years:
end of 2022👉end of 2024
SP500 - $33 trillion 👉 $45 trillion
Gold - $11 trillion👉 $18 trillion
Silver - $1 trillion 👉 $1.8 trillion
Cryptocurrencies - $800 billion 👉 $3.2 trillion
Crypto rules, at least in terms of growth!)
In addition, two fundamental events have taken place since then: BTC ETFs and ETH ETFs are gateways for the infusion of large institutional money into the crypto market, but also flags for the regulation of the crypto market.
And then, only modeling in the mix with our fantasies and desires for 2025)
1️⃣ Previous cycles of rapid growth of the crypto market lasted 550 days after the #Bitcoin halving, so we assume that the current one will last at least until the end of October 2025.
2️⃣ The “growth power” of the total capitalization of the crypto market decreased by 6 times with each cycle, which means that in the current cycle it should reach at least $7-8 trillion
3️⃣ But this time, we have a “dark horse” - ETFs, and who knows how many more of them will be approved in the future and how this will affect the crypto market. Moreover, the number of cryptocurrencies is no longer thousands or tens of thousands, but millions. Memecoins are created in 30 seconds and rolled out to a multi-million dollar capitalization in weeks) And it is still commonly believed that the “naive and hungry” retailer with the eternal FOMO syndrome, who buys anything at any price, has not returned to the crypto market.
4️⃣ Therefore, purely hypothetically, simply based on fractal analysis and a combination of fibo levels, we assume that the crypto market can “swing” up to a cosmic $53 trillion
5️⃣ Further, according to the same fractal analysis, the current correction of prices on the crypto market and its total capitalization should not be very long, well, at most another -10% from the current $3.2 trillion to $2.85 +|-
6️⃣ Everything is very fantastic and promising, doesn't it?) Then let's put the icing on the cake and go to celebrate the New Year 2025.
According to our forecast from 2 years ago, the OKX:BTCUSDT price has every chance of reaching $355,000 by the end of 2025 👇
Bitcoin is Ready to Fall by Flag Pattern!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) managed to break the 50_SMA(Daily) in the past days, and this could be a sign for a further fall of Bitcoin .
Bitcoin is currently moving in a Heavy Support zone($95,000-$90,870) and is breaking the Support lines .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , the Bearish Flag Pattern can cause Bitcoin to fall further.
I expect Bitcoin to drop towards $91,000 minimum after breaking the Support line and a possible pullback, and if the Heavy Support zone($95,000-$90,870) is broken, we should expect more dumps .
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance lines, we can hope for a further increase in Bitcoin.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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2024 REVIEW MARKET STOCKS !! AND 2025 PROYECTIONS Why Stock Prices Tend to Rise Over Time
It's easy to get caught up in the ups and downs of the stock market, but zoom out, and you'll see a clear trend: stock prices generally increase over the long term. Here's why:
Economic Growth: As economies grow, so do corporate earnings. Companies expand, innovate, and become more profitable, which naturally pushes stock prices up.
Inflation: Over time, inflation erodes the value of money, but stocks can act as a hedge. As the price level increases, so do the nominal values of stocks.
Dividend Reinvestment: Many companies pay dividends, and when these dividends are reinvested into more shares, it compounds growth. This reinvestment can significantly boost the value of an investment over decades.
Market Sentiment: Optimism about the future can drive stock prices higher. When investors believe companies will do well, they're willing to pay more for stocks today.
Low Interest Rates: In recent decades, low interest rates have made borrowing cheaper for companies, fueling growth, and also made stocks more attractive than low-yield bonds or savings accounts.
Technological Advancements: Innovation leads to new industries and improves efficiency in existing ones, driving up stock values through increased productivity and new market opportunities.
BITCOIN's Distribution, Greed and Dutch TulipsThe **Tulip Mania** of the 1630s was the original bubble—and it was as absurd as it was dramatic. Picture this: a single tulip bulb sold for the price of a luxurious Amsterdam townhouse. Traders flipped tulips like hotcakes, fortunes were made overnight, and the humble flower became a symbol of outrageous wealth and speculation.
Then, in February 1637, the fever broke. Buyers disappeared faster than a Dutch winter thaw, and the market collapsed like a poorly built dike. Those who had mortgaged their futures for tulips were left with nothing but petals and regret. It was a dazzling rise and a catastrophic fall—a timeless lesson in the dangers of speculative greed!
🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉
Why do I write about the Tulip Crash?
These days, not many young Trader and Investors know about it. And why not learn from the past?
Happy profits all.
ENA (ENA/USDT) – Technical Analysis UpdateCurrent Consolidation & Support Levels:
ENA has consolidated near June's high, showing strong support around $0.9538, reinforced by December 20th's daily candle tail and the 40 EMA.
Token unlocks increasing supply are likely to delay a rally until after January 1st, keeping near-term upside muted.
Key Downside Targets:
If the $0.9538 support fails, watch for:
$0.8824 – December 28th's swing low.
$0.8465 – Key levels from December 20th and 10th.
$0.7600 – November 25th's bullish weekly gap, a likely higher timeframe support zone.
Resistance Levels & Upside Scenarios:
$0.9961: December 26th's bearish gap.
$1.0299: December 21st's rejection point. A break above this zone could trigger profit-taking at:
$1.1223: December 23rd's swing high and December 21st's bearish gap.
Outlook:
ENA is range-bound in the near term, with a bearish bias if token unlocks intensify supply pressure.
Bulls need a decisive reclaim of $0.9961–$1.0299 to regain control. Until then, $0.9538 support remains critical, with the risk of testing lower levels.
This setup highlights near-term caution but leaves room for a bullish breakout once overhead supply dynamics stabilize.
#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #Analysis #DUMP #MarkDown #Eddy#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #Analysis #DUMP #MarkDown #Eddy
It was my mistake to give a big short analysis of Bitcoin before the distribution structure was formed.
Currently, by combining the analytical styles of Dow Theory & Wyckoff Theory with the combination of the classical price action technical analysis, RTM & ICT, we are witnessing confirmation of the market decline, while the majority have a bullish view of the market, having fallen into the trap of the market maker.
Look for a heavy Bitcoin sell position from the marked premium area, don't forget to get confirmation based on your style and manage risk and capital.
My Bitcoin Big Short Setup Targets :
Shiro Could Surge 700% in the Coming DaysGATEIO:SHIROUSDT BINANCE:SHIBUSDT The partnership between Shiba Inu (SHIB) and Shiro Neko (SHIRO) is an exciting innovation in the cryptocurrency market, and adding SHIRO to your portfolio could be a strategic move.
With the introduction of a dual-staking mechanism, investors can stake SHIB to earn SHIRO and vice versa, creating enhanced opportunities for returns and diversification. This collaboration strengthens both communities and increases the utility of their platforms, making them more appealing to the market.
SHIRO demonstrates significant growth potential, driven by increasing engagement and an innovative model that encourages retention. Moreover, its strategic alignment with Shiba Inu, one of the most popular memecoins, positions SHIRO as a promising addition to your portfolio.
By including SHIRO, you not only diversify your investments but also position yourself to benefit from the potential growth of a coin that combines innovation, attractive rewards, and a growing community.
Bitcoin's 2024 Halving to 2025 Peak: Will BTC Reach $294K?📌Historical Observations
- 2012 Halving → 2013 Top:
Duration: ~1 year.
Price increase: ~8,600% (from ~$12 to ~$1,150).
- 2016 Halving → 2017 Top:
Duration: ~1.5 years.
Price increase: ~2,900% (from ~$650 to ~$19,500).
- 2020 Halving → 2021 Top:
Duration: ~1.5 years.
Price increase: ~900% (from ~$8,600 to ~$69,000).
- 2024 Halving → Projected 2025 Top:
Halving price: ~$64,000.
📌Identified Patterns
- Time from Halving to Peak: Peaks occur around 1.33 to 1.5 years after the halving.
- Diminishing Returns: Growth rates decrease with each cycle:
2012 to 2016: ~66% reduction in returns.
2016 to 2020: ~69% reduction in returns.
Expected reduction for 2024 cycle: ~60-70%.
📌Projection for the 2024 Cycle
Duration to Peak:
Add 1.33 to 1.5 years to the halving date (April 2024).
Projected top: June to October 2025.
Price Growth:
Assuming diminishing returns, we estimate 300% to 360% price growth from the halving price.
Next Top Price=Halving Price×(1+Growth Rate)
300% growth: $64,000 × 4 = $256,000.
360% growth: $64,000 × 4.6 = $294,400.
📌Final Projection
Next Bitcoin Peak Price: Estimated between $256,000 and $294,400.
Timing: Likely between June and October 2025.
Here’s to a successful and prosperous trading year ahead! 🎉
You’ve got this! Let’s make 2025 your best trading year yet.
~ Rich
BTC ShortThe chart reveals a classic distribution pattern in the Bitcoin market, marked by a significant peak followed by a consolidation phase. Distribution occurs after a strong uptrend, and as the price stalls and starts to move lower, it signals a potential reversal.
Our target is set at the 50% retracement level of the upmove, located around $78,682. This level represents a key support area and is a typical target for a corrective pullback after a distribution phase.
Price has shown weakness at the recent highs, and as we move forward, we anticipate further downside toward this target zone which would offer a nice buying opportunity in discount for further upside.
Bitcoin VS AppleApple's product releases came out today.
But it has nothing to do with this publication, just a coincidence.
As you know, I've been analyzing fractals of other assets for a long time. I find the comparison between Apple and Bitcoin very interesting and similar.
I'm inspired by this analysis as much as the previous ones
And the end of this bitcoin market will be around September 2025.
I don't listen to the noise that's coming from everywhere.
I'm following my own plan.
Best regards EXCAVO
HelenP. I Bitcoin can break support level and fall to 88KHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price rebounded from the trend line and rose to the support level, which coincided with the support zone. Then price some time traded below the support level and later finally broke it. After this, BTC rose a little and then made a correction to the support zone, after which it turned around and started to grow to a resistance level. When the price reached the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, it made a correction movement to the support zone, after which at once turned around and started to grow back. Later BTC reached the resistance level and broke it, after which grew to 108400 points and then dropped to the support level, breaking the resistance level. Then BTC some time traded near support level and then rebounded and tried to grow. But recently it fell back to this level, which coincided with the trend line, and continues to trades close. For this reason, I expect that BTCUSDt will make a small movement up. After this, the price turns around and starts to fall, breaking the trend line with the support level, after which make retest, or not and continue to fall. Therefore I set my goal at 88000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
test 1 2 3 fending of the bears The DCA Champion & The Bears of Bitcoin
The moonlight glinted off the tall glass skyscrapers lining Satoshi Boulevard. Inside one of those sleek towers, a lone figure stood at the helm of a glowing command console. Charts flashed red and green across massive holographic screens, and the tension in the air was palpable.
They called him the DCAChampion. By day, he was just another crypto enthusiast working a regular job. By night, he donned his digital armor—an advanced suit of blockchain code and unwavering conviction. His mission? Steady, methodical accumulation of Bitcoin, come rain or shine, bull or bear.
Bitcoin: The Cyclic Pattern Unfolding Again?Analyzing the current BTC weekly chart reveals striking similarities to the past, specifically the cycle seen at the end of 2023 and the beginning of 2024. Let’s break it down step by step.
1. Price Movement Comparison
Late 2023 vs. Late 2024: At the end of 2023, Bitcoin experienced a sharp rally of around 65%, moving from the lows to a significant peak. Fast forward to late 2024, and we see a nearly identical pattern—again, approximately 65% growth from the bottom to the recent high. The symmetry is hard to ignore.
2. WaveFlow Indicator
On both occasions, the WaveFlow indicator paints an eerily similar picture. It shows a strong push from the lows to the highs, followed by an expected pullback before another rally. If history repeats itself, the current setup implies that BTC will form a second peak following an intermediate bottom in the near term.
3. PrimeMomentum Long-Term Signal
The red diamond signal from the PrimeMomentum Long-Term Signal BTC indicator appears in a nearly identical spot:
The beginning of 2024: Red diamond signaled a top before a significant correction.
Late 2024: The same signal has just appeared, aligning with a possible cyclical correction phase.
4. PrimeMomentum Oscillator
At the bottom of the chart, the PrimeMomentum oscillator shows behavior that mirrors the end of 2023. This resemblance reinforces the idea that Bitcoin’s price action is following a cyclic pattern.
5. Expectations and Forecast
January Correction: Based on these indicators and historical patterns, we anticipate a pullback at the beginning of January 2025, targeting a mid-range consolidation or support zone.
February–March Rally: Following the correction in the second half of January, a rally is expected, peaking around March 2025, similar to early 2024’s price action.
Post-March Decline: After March, we could see another downward phase, mirroring the price behavior in mid-2024.
Conclusion: The Power of Cyclicality
This chart showcases the undeniable rhythm of Bitcoin’s cyclicality. Indicators like WaveFlow and PrimeMomentum provide clear parallels between the current market state and historical movements. If the cycle repeats as expected:
Short-Term: Prepare for a correction.
Mid-Term: Watch for a strong rally.
Long-Term: Plan for another cyclical downturn.
The data strongly suggests that Bitcoin’s market structure continues to adhere to predictable cyclical trends. With this knowledge, traders can better anticipate key market movements and position themselves accordingly.
BTC, clear H&S top - more down to comeIt looks as though we have a head and shoulders top in play with BTC. Left, head and right are clearly marked on the diagram. If, the red neckline should be broken then we go down to the 70s which will present a wonderful buying opportunity for those who are not in or want to buy a little more. Long-term, we're still very much on the upward trend but be careful if you have any day trades for longs as the most likely probable outcome is down. Follow for more.
NOTHING !!After breaking the descending wedge, the price fell to the support line. As you can see, the price has now formed an ascending wedge, which is promising. The price could rise to FWB:98K or more than after breaking this wedge, but considering the Christmas holidays, this might take a bit longer.
Give me some energy !!
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Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
They wanna Cill us, But we will rise again soon!Bitcoin is oscillating in a rather boring price range, while altcoins have experienced a significant price drop. However, we shouldn't lose hope. A historical comparison suggests that we can expect growth in altcoins. This is not an investment advice, and I do not consider myself an expert analyst. Please invest in the crypto market with risk management in mind. Wishing you all the best!