Bull Move in BTC started or trapping?When we discussed last that it can touch 92k, price action made a complex wave formation which depicted that price will go up after a correction.. Now after being side for many hours, i see a bullish sentiment on hourly candle.. lets see if it sustains or trap again on upper levels..
bottom Level around 85K and upper 92k and more, above lac as well, but thats on daily chart so will take time.or could be soon.. Volume is needed to break the upper resistance.
This is my sentiment cycle indicator..
green background "BUY"
Red background "SELL"
and no background or your charting color means no sentiment developed and you can avoid trade otherwise it'll hit your SLs only.
Btc!
BITCOIN buying pressure indeed stronger than any Cycle before!Three months ago (August 12, see chart below) we published our view on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) claiming that on the current levels and compared to the relative stages it was in previous Cycles, the bullish trend was stronger than ever before:
At the time the price was 'just' at GETTEX:59K and yesterday it touched the $90000 level. This shouldn't surprise you as the pattern has been 'playing out' in a similar way to both the 2019 - 2021 and 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycles.
In fact it is so strong that we now need to readjust the green parabolic channel of the current (2023 - 2025) Bull Cycle to a more aggressive pattern in order to fit the enormous rally that started in September.
As you can see this comparison with the previous Cycles suggests that BTC can reach at least the -0.618 Fibonacci extension, which is a little over $170000, like the other two did. It also highlights how the current Cycle has been more aggressive than the previous as the price reached the All Time High faster (March 2024) than the previous two but also the amazing symmetry among them as the current (final) parabolic rally that started on the August 05 2024 bottom took place 90 weeks (630 days) after the November 2022 bottom. As you see both in 2020 and 2016 the final parabolic rally also started 90 weeks after their respective Cycle bottoms.
So do you agree that the current rally shows the current buying pressure is more aggressive than in previous Cycles at this stage? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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CPI Day: Bitcoin Holds, Alts StruggleVolatility is expected to skyrocket today with the release of the CPI data.
#Bitcoin remains steady at GETTEX:87K , while #Altcoins are taking a hit.
Looking for an ideal entry point on Bitcoin? Around $80K the Yellow zone marked on the chart could be your spot.
What’s on the horizon? A potential push toward $100K.
11/11/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $81,532.47
Last weeks low: $66,852.48
Midpoint: $74,192.48
BITCOIN ATH! After a Republican victory in the US election. A massive moment in history and the markets have reflected the enormity of the moment. Since the announcement of a new president BTC burst through the $74,000 ATH price has continued to climb all the way to a weekly high of $81,500 a +10% move and +22% move for the week, very strong PA!
Investors have clearly taken well to the news as BTC has a net inflow of $1.63B last week from the various ETFs, a staggering sum! Clearly an indication of investor confidence, and to prove that point even more GOLD has taken a tumble at the same time BTC is making new highs, a shift to a more risk-on environment that is further fuelled by the 25bps cut during last weeks FOMC.
This week we have some important data news coming with CPI on Tuesday and PPI on Thursday. Traditionally these events can be volatile however I believe this time they will have less of an effect on the market just due to what's happening in the broader macro environment, the rate cut plus a more pro-growth presidency is enough for a more bullish/risk-on bias.
This week the main focus is on altcoin analysis of first movers, strong performers and what's lagging. Having a plan for when BTC hits its first FIB EXTENSION @ $83,500 depending on how price reacts to that level, it would be reasonable to expect a pullback in which I would say $77,500 is the level I would like to hold.
Good luck everyone!
I'm starting to sell BTC. Here is my planIn my previous BTC analysis, I mentioned my belief that Trump would win the election, potentially driving BITSTAMP:BTCUSD to a new all-time high. However, I don’t expect this surge to lead to a sustained bull market. Instead, I anticipate this to be an emotional reaction, with prices likely falling after a few days.
Now, with BTC trading above $80,000, I’m preparing to build a short position. Here’s my strategy:
Since there are no clear resistance levels above this point, I plan to make my first short sale at $82,000 and the next at $87,000, giving me an average entry of $84,500. I’ll set my stop-loss at $89,500, and my target is $74,500, aiming for a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio.
I acknowledge that this trade is based more on intuition than on solid technical analysis, and I’m fully aware that it goes against the prevailing strong uptrend.
My rationale is that if BTC were to reach $100,000 in a sustained move now, without a solid drop before, it would be “too easy”—perhaps even too expected by all the traders.
And if I’m wrong, well, we can’t win them all, and I’ve already accounted for the potential loss in my outlook.
Inverse #Cramer SELL ALL YOUR #Crypto!! :)I still see disbelief at this rally
I'm starting to see anger at having missed the bottom and lower entry points
Some noobs and some crypto OG's are still holding #stablecoins
having locked in their losses.
I see crypto total market cap at over 5 trillion in 2 years
Life changing money is to be had, but the multiples rapidly shrink the higher these prices go,
I believe we pump into May
sell and go away till sept could be an aggressive strategy
Or jus hold for 2 years .. couldn't be easier
A new gold rush?After the American elections are over, we can declare that the big winner was none other than Elon Musk. Or was it Donald Trump?
Following this, the newest American president publicly called on institutional investors to buy, mainly to buy cryptos. Will the dream of the “lovers” on duty come true, and will BTC become the new global legal tender currency?
Or will we see BTC become the newest store of value, surpassing the precious metal called gold?
After the new president's speech, I see that the crypto rush has had an effect, and I realize that the precious metal (gold) is losing strength.
Now, I will ask the final question. Will we have a new record in SPX, and especially in BTC?
It's worth remembering that the red lines are support points for gold at the moment!
Do your analysis and good business.
Be aware, if you buy, use stop loss.
MA OSCILLATOR RISK METRIC | BTC COLOURED CANDLES [DAILY]As promised, post showing the 'MA OSCILLATOR RISK METRIC' indicator on the daily time frame for you to explore.
This post shows BTC's behavior to historic over / under extension to price and historic levels of volatile in prior cycles on the Daily chart.
Feel free to interact with the chart on a computer via this post (phone apps only show the static image with trading view posts).
MA OSCILLATOR RISK METRIC | BTC COLOURED CANDLES [Weekly]Hi All. Since my prior post on this indicator, I have been asked to show this indicator with risk level colours against price. I initially built this functionality in originally (during the development of this indicator) a number of different ways but ended up simplifying to using pine scrip 'bar color' function.
This post shows BTC's behavior to historic over / under extension and volatile ranges in prior cycles on the Weekly chart. I will follow this post showing the daily chart.
Feel free to interact with the chart on a computer via this post (phone apps only show the static image with trading view posts).
Bitcoin on the Path to Unprecedented Success. Trade plan!Technical Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
Chart Observations
Falling Wedge Pattern:
A bullish reversal pattern is forming, indicating potential upward momentum if the price breaks above the resistance trendline.
Breakout scenarios typically target the previous high or a significant resistance level.
Support and Resistance Zones:
Resistance Zone: Around $91,000-$92,000, visible as the upper orange zone.
Support Zone: Around $78,000-$79,000, visible as the lower orange zone.
Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently at 38.08, showing oversold conditions and a potential for upward momentum.
Stochastic Oscillator: Indicates bullish divergence with oversold conditions, suggesting a potential upward price movement.
HMA (Hull Moving Average): Neutral to slightly bullish, sitting at 53.63.
Money Flow Index (MFI): Showing outflows (red), indicating possible selling pressure.
Volume:
Relatively low, suggesting a lack of conviction in either direction. A breakout accompanied by high volume will confirm the next major move.
Divergences:
Visible bullish divergences on the VMC Cipher B suggest a potential reversal if the falling wedge resistance is broken.
Trading Plan
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout
Trigger: Break and close above the falling wedge resistance with strong volume confirmation.
Entry: Place a long position at $86,500-$87,000.
Targets:
First Target: $90,000 (conservative).
Second Target: $92,000 (major resistance zone).
Stop Loss: Below the wedge breakout level at $84,500.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for 3:1.
Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown
Trigger: Break and close below the wedge support with strong volume.
Entry: Place a short position at $84,000-$83,500.
Targets:
First Target: $80,000 (conservative).
Second Target: $78,000 (lower support zone).
Stop Loss: Above the wedge support at $86,000.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for 3:1.
Risk Management
Allocate 1-2% of your portfolio per trade.
Monitor key levels and indicators, particularly volume spikes, RSI, and stochastic trends.
Keep an eye on macro news and Bitcoin-related announcements that could influence market sentiment.
If the price remains range-bound within the wedge, avoid over-trading and wait for a breakout confirmation.
Ensure all trades are backed by stop-loss orders to manage potential losses effectively.
For an altcoin bull market, BTC dominance must fall...
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
There was a shake up and down.
This movement can continue until the next volatility period, around November 16-19 (up to November 15-20).
What we need to look at is when the StErr Line or the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart rises and touches.
This phenomenon can be seen as occurring because the disparity is too large.
In any case, the key is whether we can withstand this shake.
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(BTC.D 1M chart)
I think that in order for altcoins to rise, they need to show a concentration of funds toward altcoins.
Therefore, I think that BTC dominance should fall below 55.01 and remain there or show a downward trend.
Currently, BTC dominance is showing an upward trend in BTC's shaking.
Otherwise, altcoins are likely to gradually move sideways or show a downward trend.
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(USDT.D 1M chart)
If USDT dominance remains below 4.97 or shows a downward trend, I think that the coin market is likely to show an upward trend (bull market).
However, in order for altcoins to rise in line with the upward trend of BTC, as I mentioned earlier, BTC dominance must also show a downward trend.
Otherwise, there is a possibility that a strange market will be formed where only BTC rises.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale upward trend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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BITCOIN Weekly Chart Update !!Bitcoin has completed a cup-and-handle breakout on the weekly timeframe, accompanied by strong volume, which signals robust bullish momentum. This pattern is typically a bullish continuation pattern, suggesting that BTC has the potential to enter a strong uptrend following this breakout.
The Ichimoku Cloud is also showing a bullish signal, with price action above the cloud, confirming a trend shift in favor of buyers. The cloud's bullish alignment suggests that the current rally has further room for upward movement, potentially setting BTC on course for new highs.
However, pullbacks are common after breakouts as the price retests the previous resistance as support. A pullback to the handle or prior resistance zone would provide an opportunity for bulls to gather strength before pushing Bitcoin to new peaks. Key support levels to watch include previous highs or areas around the handle region, which should act as a launching point for the next leg up if bulls hold steady.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other coin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
BTC is in the range of $85-90kAs you can see, BTC has made large upward movements in recent days, resulting in a move of approximately 35%, which broke the critical point around $84,600, reaching nearly $90,000. You can see how we are struggling to maintain this movement and the price itself is in the range of $85,000-$90,000.
However, here you can see another resistance point at the level of $90,900, then very strong resistance may appear at the price of $94,400, and then the zone in the range of $98,400 to $99,760 will be important, which is a strong psychological barrier.
In a situation where we see further price recovery, support is visible at the level of $84,580, then there is a support point at $81,235, then we have the level of $78,481, $75,727 and $71,784.
You can see how the price is climbing along the upward trend line and looking at this line, we can expect an attempt to rebound towards this trend line.
Idea for the next 2 weeks for BitcoinBitcoin flew up perfectly according to my scenario. Bitcoin went without reaching the full correction as I expected. It only reached 65300.
US elections determined the winner, Bitcoin reached the maximum point of 75000.
A. The descending channel is destroyed. The euphoria has passed, now we expect a correction according to the chart
1 - 70000
2 - 65000
Next, Bitcoin can calmly grow to 80000.
B. It is less likely to go straight to 80000 and then correct from there to 70000
Please like my post