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BUY / SELL INDICATOR| CYCLE 4 ATH UpdateAssuming we reach the Light Red line again of the BUY / SELL indicator, as per our analysis in the below post this could suggest an ATH for CYCLE 4 could land in the 117K to 157K region. It is noted while it was the second top in CYCLE 3; our purple line met / crossed but did not exceed past our orange signal line materially (see red arrow above). This marked the second and ATH of Cycle 3. We are approaching this scenario with the orange and purple line as we approach the mid 90K region (see cross and second red arrow above). Worth tracking on your radar. Again if we continued on as we have with prior cycles and reach either or both the Red Lines of the BUY / SELL indicator we would be expecting a very parabolic period ahead.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Brodie
CYCLE 4 ATH Mapping DETAILED - Price Levels & Time Frame AnalysiAs we now have confirmation of the election result and following our assumption this will lead to seasonal trends of a Santa rally for stocks and bonds as we close out the year, it is now worth mapping this scenario in more detail. This post looks at CYCLE 4 and maps where this cycle All Time High (ATH) may reach and when, base on historic Indicator behavior / Price Action / Measured Moves / Fib Extensions & Historical Past Cycle Lengths. Assuming BTC continues similar cyclic behavior to prior cycles. Please explore the below post interactively (which captures all discussed items) to review measured periods and to understand where items have come from with reference to this post. Historical Cycle Lengths Measuring from the Bottom to the top of each past cycle recorded the approx. number of days * Cycle 1 Bottom to ATH Top = ~ 742 Days * Cycle 2 & 3 Bottom to ATH Top = ~ 1,064 Days (For both Cycles) * Cycle 3 Bottom to 1st (Technical High - TH) Top = ~ 854 Days Plotting these on the chart (see blue dashed horizontal lines) it would be historically possible to see CYCLE 4 ATH land between December 2nd 2024 to March 24th 2025, and historically more likely between March 24th 2025 and October 20th 2024. It is noted the trend that cycles are increasing in length (particularly when measuring from ATH to ATH of previous and current cycles). The suggest time frames currently look reasonable, considering our Cycle Pivot Indictor (CPI), risk indicator, other charts we like to review for ATHs and current projected trend line channels etc. Fib Extensions Following analysis looks at the Fib Extensions from prior cycle top to current cycle bottom to estimate current cycle top. Please review the embedded post above if you are unsure how these have been calculated. * Cycle 2 ATH ($19,666) ~ reached just shy of golden pocket ratio of 2.618 ($20,382) * Cycle 3 TH ($64,895) & ATH ($69,000) ~ reached just above of golden pocket ratio of 1.618 - 1.65 ($61,327 - $65,047 respectively). If BTC hits the 1.618 golden pocket ratio extension again in Cycle 4, this would result in an ATH of $157,362. Measured moves suggest reaching these levels are possible, however they are considered the more bullish view of market possibilities at this point in time. It is noted the entire sequence drop in fib ratios from Cycle 2 to Cycle 3. While repeating this again would not make sense for this cycle, if we continue to half the difference for Cycle 4 we fall in the region of the 1.272 ($95,835) and 1.414 ($117,467) fib ratio regions. My current take on this analysis would be if BTC does exceed the 100K region, 117K may be a good target to look towards (just shy of the nice round number of 120K people could be targeting). If BTC struggles to make 100K then 95K might be the point where BTC has trouble.... Indictors * RSI - based on above, RSI on the weekly has just approached back into our uptrend region and heading into the overbought zone which it can stay for some time during the bull run period of the cycle. I would be looking to make sure BTC does not put in lower highs in the RSI as bearish divergences in this region in the past has formed in the making of Prior Cycles ATHs. Currently the RSI looks to have consolidated enough over the March - October 2024 period to make a decent run at finishing off the bull period in Cycle 4 (it has done what we wanted from an investor point of view). * Modified Osilator Wave Trend - similar analysis to the RSI is observed with historic behavior in this indicator. Note historically this indicator can run in the overbought region for some time during bull runs and establishing ATHs * MA OSCILLATOR Risk Profile Indicator - This indicator is at the right historically to suggest we are in the start of the exponential period of the bull run (after a pullback consolidation post the halving period). ATHs in cycles have been reached during 'Red Zone' price extension periods of my custom indicator. Hope the above makes sense. I intent to follow this up with some simpler analysis of other indicators.
by Brodie
Is the ADABTC bottom in?Here are a couple potential ADAUSD prices if it can reach the ≈0.00006 level of the prior two bull runs. 150k BTC = $9 ADA 200k BTC = $12 ADA These ADA prices are most likely at the high end of probable tops for ADAUSD. ADABTC very well may not reach its prior highs, but once BTCUSD slows down similar to early 2021 expect ADA to gain a lot ground. Cardano is a staple in the cryptocurrency scene and will not be left behind this bull market. A 100k+ Bitcoin will bring a lot of attention and people will see ADA as a "cheaper" alternative to Ethereum and Solana and identify its potential for large gains. I am confident ADAUSD will reach its prior ATH and then some.
Long
by mascher7675
Entered the important Fibonacci ratio point 2.618 - 1.618 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) It has risen by more than 10% for the first time in a long time. It has touched the target range of 2.618 (87814.27) ~ 1.618 (89050.0). Accordingly, it is expected to determine the trend again. If there is an additional sharp rise, it is possible to touch the area around 3.618 (98841.11). The next volatility period is around November 16 (November 15-17). - (1h chart) The creation of the BW(100) line means that a high point has been formed. Therefore, when the BW(100) line is created, it will mostly show a downward trend. However, since we do not know how much it will fall, we need to check the movement at the support and resistance points. In addition, when a real decline begins, it ignores all support and resistance points and falls, so in fact, the support and resistance points do not have much meaning. However, it can be used as a location to proceed with a split sell. - We have several indicators that can respond to the decline. BW(100), HA-High, StErr Line, MS-Signal (M-Signal on 1M, 1W, 1D charts), and 5EMA on 1D charts are included. The first to appear among these are BW(100) and StErr Line. The next to appear are HA-High and MS-Signal. Therefore, when it falls below a certain indicator, you can choose whether to sell in installments or buy more. - Since BTC has risen by more than 10%, it is highly likely that it will move sideways in the current section. At this time, the point to watch is whether the HA-High indicator rises and is created. When the HA-High indicator is created, it will be easier to respond because it creates a box section. However, since there is a process of shaking up and down to form a box section, caution is required at this time. This is because it is not possible to know whether a box section is formed or a decline is in progress. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points. We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto
Bitcoin Analysis: Buzzing with OpportunityBy The Cryptohoney Trader Kingdom Hello, fellow traders and crypto enthusiasts! Just like bees finding the sweetest nectar, I've been diligently monitoring Bitcoin's price movements and have identified some critical areas and targets that could guide our trading strategy in the upcoming weeks. This idea is a gift from me to our community, and it represents our collective vision of thriving in the crypto market. Dangerous Price Area: 46,195.00 to 48,222.00 Think of this zone as a hive under threat. Historically, significant volatility and potential sell-offs have occurred here. Keep a close eye on this area for potential reversals or continuation patterns that could either sting us or offer a sweet opportunity. Retracement Price Area: 53,000.00 to 59,000.00 A strong retracement to this zone could be like finding a rich patch of flowers. Look for signs of consolidation or a bullish reversal to enter long positions. This area could provide an excellent buying opportunity, much like bees gathering honey from abundant blooms. Key Breakout Requirement: For Bitcoin to confirm a robust bullish trend, it needs to close above 69,789.00 for at least 2 consecutive days. This will indicate strong buying pressure, similar to a bee colony thriving with energy, and likely continuation towards higher targets. Cycle End Target: 86,410.94 Based on my analysis, the ultimate target for the current cycle is 86,410.94. This target aligns with historical price patterns and key Fibonacci levels, representing the pinnacle of our honey-gathering efforts. Stay vigilant and adjust your strategies according to market conditions. Let's keep our hive buzzing with success. Happy trading!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by The_CryptoHoney_Trader
BITCOIN Mega Bull Run?!📈 BTC/USDT Elliott Wave Analysis 📈 🚀 BTC appears to have completed a corrective ABCDE structure within a descending channel, and it has since broken out, establishing a new impulsive trend. This suggests a bullish outlook and an extended Wave 3 formation in progress. 🔍 Wave Analysis: 🔸 ABCDE Pattern Completion: The previous downtrend ended with a clear ABCDE pattern, potentially part of a larger complex correction like WXYXZ. This was followed by a breakout, marking the end of the corrective phase and the start of a new bullish impulse wave. 🔸 Wave 1 and Wave 2: After the breakout, BTC completed Wave 1 upwards, with Wave 2 retracing back to test the breakout level. This pullback aligned with the 0.5 Fibonacci level, creating a confluence zone and confirming strong support. 🔸 Wave 3: The current Wave 3 appears to be an extended wave, signaling a strong bullish trend. This extended wave often includes five smaller sub-waves within it, targeting higher Fibonacci extensions. Based on historical patterns, the initial target for Wave 3 aligns with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension, with a secondary, more ambitious target around 3.618 if the trend remains strong. 🎯 Target Levels: 📌 Blue Wave 3 Target 1: Around $97,645 – This is the first target within the smaller structure of the current extended wave. 📌 White Wave 3 Target 1: Around $102,731 – A significant level, representing a larger Wave 3 target. 📌 Wave 5 Target 1 and Target 2: Final targets for the overall wave structure at $112,903 and $119,420 respectively, which may be reached if the bullish momentum continues through to Wave 5. 📊 Conclusion: 💹 The extended Wave 3 suggests a strong bullish trend, with targets extending as high as $119,420 in Wave 5. Keep an eye on the volume and momentum 📈 as BTC progresses through these key levels. ⚠️Disclaimer:⚠️ ⚠️ This is not financial advice! All information provided is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Trading carries a high risk and may result in the loss of capital
Long
by RhinoAkaBear
5
BITCOIN Cup and Handle into Channel Up targets $350kBitcoin / BTCUSD is only at the very start of an insane rally, coming off hot from the U.S. elections. The Bear Cycle into the Bull Cycle was a Cup and Handle pattern, which has now transitioned fully into a Channel Up that is being supported by the 1week MA50. As long as it holds, the Channel Up should remain intact and as in December 2022, we are now at the very start of the Channel's new bullish wave. This should last until the end of 2025 and if the Cup and Handle goes for a full 2.0 Fibonacci extension target with two similar bullish waves of +379.50%, then the Cycle should peak at $350k! Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
1
When and Where this Bull Market Ends / BTC.D and TOTAL3 BehaviorCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D Bitcoin Dominance and Alt Season Trigger: The chart indicates that when Bitcoin Dominance reaches around 59%-64%, there’s a high chance of an BTC dominance market correction. This level often signals the end of a Bitcoin rally and the start of funds flowing into altcoins. You can use this dominance level as a timing signal to anticipate the start of the next alt season. Historical Patterns and Timelines: Key vertical markers show important dates from past cycles, such as 2018, 2021, and projected points for 2025. These points highlight recurring patterns that can help forecast the end of the current Bitcoin rally. TOTAL3 Index Trends Relative to BTC: The TOTAL3 index (all altcoins excluding BTC and ETH) shows that after Bitcoin Dominance declines, TOTAL3 often experiences a sharp rise. This pattern has repeated in previous cycles, hinting at a potential similar move in the upcoming alt season. Bitcoin Price Rallies and Corrections: The lower chart shows Bitcoin's bullish and bearish phases, typically lasting between 450 to 550 days. This timeframe can help estimate the remaining duration of the current Bitcoin rally. Future Predictions: Based on the chart, Bitcoin Dominance is expected to reach critical levels again in 2025, potentially marking the start of the next major alt season. While this timeline depends on market conditions and investor behavior, it offers a general framework.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by CrazyS
What is next for BTC?Hi, it has been a long time since my last post but I feel like I should give my thoughts in the future of BTC. I believe the we will see the same pattern that we had in the 2021 bull run and BTC could potentially hit a new ATH this year. I don't think we will have the strenght to reach 100K but 80K BTC can be done. If this is your first bull run I advise you to trade carefully since the bottom of BTC might still come before the next leg up. In the previous bull run we started strong in the first few months and then slowed down in June and July. I think the same will happen this year (first BTC and then altcoins). If my predictions are correct I will post a BTC chart when its time to sell. Comment what you think and follow please! Note: This is not financial advice, trade carefully.
Long
by Devan-CryptoCharts
BTC, very bullish outlookAs promised here is my interpretation of the Bitcoin chart using Elliot wave analysis. The flag breakout is very close to the final confirmation with a break above 69400. We completed a first 1 - 2 setup at the 6th of September. The most likely case is, that we are in the third wave now, leading towards 80k, with a final target for this cycle around 88k. If BTC will confirm this scenario tomorrow with a break above the mentioned 69400 level, there is no reason the test the flag again soon. First target is 73k to the the ATH.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Kyrean
Secrets of the 350-Daily Moving Average(350-DMA)🔮Hi, everyone👋. Today I want to tell you the secrets of 350-Daily Moving Average(350-DMA) in the monthly time frame. By reading this post, you might find an approximate target for Bitcoin before the 2024 Halving. First of all, I suggest you read the following two posts, and maybe our strategy puzzles will be completed before the 2024 Halving.🧩 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 🔮 Secrets of the 350-Daily Moving Average(350-DMA): Between two consecutive Halvings, Bitcoin must go below 350-Daily Moving Average(350-DMA) once. The duration of Bitcoin under the 350-Daily Moving Average(350-DMA) is between 335-396 days (the movement between the two Halvings of 2022 and 2024 is very similar to the movement between the two Halvings of 2012 and 2016). After the monthly candle closes above the 350-Daily Moving Average(350-DMA), Bitcoin has never gone below 350-DMA again before the next Halving. After the monthly candle closes above the 350-Daily Moving Average(350-DMA), Bitcoin starts its growth for a new All Time High(ATH). Due to the similarity of the recent movement of Bitcoin to the movement of Bitcoin between the two Halvings of 2012 and 2016, if we use the Bar Pattern tool, Bitcoin can have a price of about $ 50,000 before the Halving of 2024 . 🎉 In the coming days, I will try to share other secrets with you, and maybe our puzzle will be completed soon. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSD ), Monthly time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy, this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by pejman_zwin
6