ETHUSD - I still believe (on the H&S pattern)While I'm not an hyper fan of H&S pattern but this one forming is already so beautiful that I want it to happens to illustrate my futures arguments,
saw a lot of ppl talk about h&s pattern the past days on BTC, the leg would have started on November and bring us to 80k, something like this. Not a pro but I learnt that the pattern has to be kinda well drawn to be called an H&S, forming proper top and lows with proper neckline, and be well timed.
that is/was absolutely not the case for BTC and that why I remain bullish for now (yes, I risk it a bit saying that here and now)
even in the case where BTC goes under 90k, we can't call this an H&S, by respect of all the real H&S out there. That's also why most of the times it looks like ppl fail using this pattern, they use it on everything
BUT in this case for ETH this looking really juicy atm, I don"t have specific target for now I dont think eth will pass above 12K for this year but lets see
Cheers, have a good day
Btc!
#BTC. BTC FROM TOP TRADER!! LAST CHANCE!! REVIEW FROM 10.01.25BINANCE:BTCUSDT
#BTC 8H
Hi lovelies! 🌸
Once again, I’ve proven how precise, clear, and absolutely spot-on my Bitcoin predictions are. And yes, I keep repeating myself, but I really want you to pay attention to this yet again.
This is hands down the most accurate Bitcoin forecast on TV and in the CIS crypto community, and we’re diving right in! 🚀
Key Observations
I’ve noticed a huge liquidity cluster around the $92,000 level, which large players are currently protecting by buying up Bitcoin at these price points (for now). However, as soon as they stop doing this, the price will easily drop.
As I’ve said before, and I’ll repeat again: we might see BTC drop to $91,500 - $89,000, where I’ve already set pending long orders.
The $92,500 - $89,500 zone is being bought up quickly, as this area holds significant limit buy orders, helping to prevent further price drops.
Scenarios
1️⃣ If the $92,000 level is broken, the price could quickly fall to $88,000 - $85,000, which I consider a conservative entry point for every trader.
2️⃣ It’s also possible for the price to dip to $84,000 to collect liquidity (I’m 100% sure it won’t go lower).
3️⃣ If buyers hold the $92,000 level in the coming days, this would be a positive signal, potentially leading to a price increase to ~$98,000 - $100,000.
However, on a second retest of $92,000 (in case of another correction), it would be almost impossible to hold this level.
My Strategy
As long as #BTC doesn’t consolidate above $100,000, I’ll stick to my original plan of expecting the price to drop to $88,000 - $84,000.
These thoughts, this analysis – they’ll go down in history as the most accurate and legendary forecast. Remember my words. 💎
I’ll be patiently waiting for this setup to play out – no rush, just following the plan! 💖
As always, DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and trade wisely! 💖
Hugs,
Your crypto girl
IS BULLISH TREND ON BTC STARTING AGAIN??Hello everyone..
As i see and that seems to be for me.. in daily timeframe we can see the pull back from STRONG SUPPORT AERA and after that we can find out a EX-PANDED TRIANGLE that moves to the up and it seem LIQUIDITY SUPPLY has been finished.. if TODAY CANDLE could be closed on upper side of SUPPORT LANE, we can expect that BULLISH TREND has beed started and will be touch the edges very soon..
I know what's NEXT for Bitcoin!I recently shared two thoughts on Bitcoin price action to come..
In one of them I call for a retrace to 85K or lower, in the other I call for a new ATH. I know this might be a bit confusing so let's shed some more light on it.
Here you see BTC on the 1W Timeframe. I am using the Dynamic Fib Retracement indicator to do some trend analysis based on Fibonacci.
The blue colored zone/band is the golden pocket as calculated by the indicator from pivot highs/lows within a certain lookback range. The lines are the 0.236 (Preliminary), 0.382 (Secondary) and 0.5 (Median) Fibonacci retracement lines calculated in the same way. The purple line is the 1.618 retracement line (aka the ''Target Line'').
Now you understand this I can explain my thought process:
Scenario A (Bullish)
If price can manage to get back above the blue preliminary fib line and hold that range (around $98,550), I am convinced we see a new ATH for Bitcoin. The purple target line suggests the target for that would be around $117,000+ USD per BTC.
Scenario B (Bearish)
If price cannot get back above the blue preliminary fib line and finds resistance in that range around $98,550, I am convinced we see a bigger retracement for Bitcoin. The blue zone/band suggests the target for that would be around 80-83K USD per BTC as of right now, but this golden pocket band will slightly adjust higher so lets say $85,000 per Bitcoin.
Do you agree or do you have other ideas? Let me know!
Deceptive market at the beginning of the yearThe first week of the new year is coming to an end, I want to review the market situation. The year for ether and bitcoin opened in the 90-95k and 3250-3500 flat zones. Due to this, the new annual candle is swinging quite calmly. However, in my opinion, this lull is deceptive. The current wave of purchases is so far only a retest of the key 100k level for bitcoin, from where the probability of a bear attack is high. For many altcoins that have shown growth to date, this is also only a retest of the last resistance.
The foreign exchange market also closed the first week extremely negatively, with a steady rise in the dollar. In my opinion, from the current pullback in the crypt, there is a high probability of a resumption of sales, which we observed at the end of the year, with an attempt to continue the trend in bitcoin in order to work out a retest of 75-85k. In this case, today or tomorrow, the crypto market may align with the currency, with significant sales, up to the turning point of the week for individual coins.
In an optimistic scenario, ether will hold 3500 and open a new week higher, by increasing the gap in the eth/btc pair, due to the opening of the year above 0.0035. In this case, with smooth stable sales of bitcoin, altcoins will have opportunities for growth and a further 15% increase in the altcoin index. In my opinion, the probability of this scenario still prevails.
In a more negative scenario, sales of bitcoin and ether will be more aggressive. In this case, bitcoin can show a sharp increase in dominance and money from the market will be used to smooth out the fall of bitcoin. At the same time, the altcoin index may drop down to a 9% retest, which will lead to fractures for most coins.
With the current picture and the threat of a 75k hike in bitcoin, I still recommend carefully weighing money management and reducing positions for those who did not do so in the wake of growth before the new year. Next week, it will be possible to weigh the activity of sellers and make more confident forecasts.
As I expected, there was another manipulation of binance tags this week. It was not for nothing that before the change of year I recommended sales for troy with a likely hike to 0.0025, even then it became obvious that there was no working out of higher goals and a reversal to retest loyalties. After assigning the tag, a test of 0.0015-25 is likely.
As I wrote in the last article, if there is no assignment of the monitoring tag, vib becomes the most interesting tool in the current market. If binance did not consider the dynamics of the token too weak, there is a high probability of continued growth to reverse the medium-term bullish trend with an exit to 0.25+ and the addition of futures. There has already been a successful cancellation of year-end sales and an attempt to return to the trend. With an optimistic scenario and an exit above 0.00000100 for vib/btc, there is a possibility of a powerful impulse to break last week and pair with udt. In the current overbought market, vib remains the most oversold token on binance, which retains a high growth potential. There has also been a rise in vib against bitcoin more than once, creating a gap in vib/btc. A similar pattern could happen again this week. In case of a successful breakdown of vib, vite can also show pleasant dynamics, which also remains the most oversold on binance, having very high technical targets for retest. But because of the monitoring tag, vite growth attempts most often occur last before the week closes.
On average, for most altcoins, I still expect synchronous movement with the altcoin index, before determining further dynamics in the tops in the new week. In my opinion, the probability of fashionable breakouts or steady growth ahead of the altcoin index in the new week is rather weak.
All you need for Bitcoin to see top, bottom or a crash.These charts show everything you will ever need to buy and sell Bitcoin.
5 day BTC chart.(right chart)
Orange vertical lines on chart show when the RSI touches the pink horizontal line after it touches the top red horizontal line. This indicates a bear market.
Yellow vertical lines on chart show when RSI rose above orange line after touching the blue line but failed to touch the red horizontal line before hitting the pink horizontal line. This indicates a crash is coming.
The green arrows on chart show whenever the blue EMA8 goes below the yellow MA55 after being above it.
This indicates either BTC has entered a bear market or a crash like setup similar to covid. If we get another green arrow you will know what to do as it will be a crash or bear market.
The green trendlines on chart show each bull run Bitcoin touches this trendline 3 times or more before it has a parabolic move. The anamoly being the covid crash. So far this bull run it is only twice that Bitcoin has touched the green trendline.
On the LMACD the green vertical lines show everytime the 5day LMACD crosses down (blue LMACD line going under orange LMACD line) when it is above the horizontal yellow line. This has happened 21 times with only 1 time (red vertical line) where price did not drop to the EMA21 (orange moving average line) on the chart.
BTC just did this cross on LMACD so it has a 95% chance of moving down to touch the orange EMA21.
Based off all this clear evidence it is easy to see that you sell Bitcoin when RSI hits red horizontal line. Confirmation of bear market is as per indicators mentioned above.
You buy when RSI touches blue horizontal line.
You won't sell the exact top or buy the exact bottom but very close to it. You would need a different chart to calculate the exact top.
This chart will stand the test of time if history keeps rhyming for Bitcoin.
Monthly BTC chart.(left chart)
On the monthly chart the orange vertical lines indicate whenever the Stoch RSI went above the green horizontal line. The yellow vertical line on the chart shows the covid crash as the Stoch RSI did not stay above the green horizontal line for very long.
The green arrow on the Stoch RSI shows when it fell straight through the red horizontal line after being above the green horizontal line. This indicated a bear market.
The pink arrows on the Stoch RSI show the crossover of the Stoch RSI (blue RSI line crosses under orange RSI line) after it fell below the green horizontal line and bounced off the blue or red horizontal lines. This indicated the top and a bear market.
After seeing this current information on the Stoch RSI (bounce off blue line) it looks like the upcoming crossover will be a pink arrow.
These arrows indicate time to exit the market as you can see.
Falling wedge on Bitcoin - A bullish signal - End of correction?I can see a falling wedge or flag pattern on the BTC-USD chart. The price hit the support zone around 92K and triggered a bullish price action that might be the end of the correction. I expect a short-term reversal from a bearish to a bullish trend in a neutral medium-term trend as long as the price stays within the wedge or flag. If the price breaks the pattern up, the medium-term trend could change into bullish again. If the trends turn bullish, the price might attempt to break the resistance zone around $105k by March 2025.
Bitcoin Analysis: A Break in the Uptrend – What’s Next? 25.01.10Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today, we’re analyzing Bitcoin (BTC) and its recent market movements.
Recent Bitcoin Trends
Bitcoin has been facing resistance at the 99380 level (yellow box) since December 20, 2024.
As mentioned in previous briefings, a breakout above this level could signal a potential trend reversal.
The green box resistance zone aligns with the December 19, 2024 high of 102800, which has now become a critical resistance level.
Following this resistance, one might wonder if Bitcoin's trend has fully reversed.
The Break of the Long-Term Uptrend
Bitcoin’s long-term uptrend, which began on October 10, 2024, broke down yesterday.
This breakdown occurred in the orange box, marking a significant shift in momentum.
Why Is This Concerning?
Daily 60 EMA Resistance:
Bitcoin is now facing resistance at the 60 EMA for the first time in a long while, indicating bearish sentiment.
The last time Bitcoin faced resistance at the 60 EMA was in October 2024 (red box), right before the start of the previous uptrend.
Support Breakdowns:
Bitcoin appears to be breaking through key support levels, one by one.
Key Support Zone:
The green box range (90200–85160) is expected to provide strong support.
However, if Bitcoin breaks below this zone, it would trigger:
A breakdown below the daily Ichimoku Cloud.
A full trend reversal, potentially opening the door to the yellow support line, approximately 26% lower than current levels.
What Does Bitcoin Need for a Rebound?
For Bitcoin to rebound, it must break above the orange box resistance at 100700.
Why This Level Matters:
A breakout above this level would signify a trend reversal.
It would also push Bitcoin out of the Ichimoku Cloud on the daily chart, turning the cloud into a support zone rather than resistance.
Conclusion
Bitcoin has broken its long-term uptrend and the moving averages (20 EMA, 60 EMA) have shifted from support to resistance, indicating further downside risk.
Key Support Zone: 90200–85160.
If this zone holds, it could provide a strong foundation for a rebound.
If it breaks, Bitcoin will likely enter a prolonged bearish phase.
Currently, the trend is leaning bearish, and traders should keep a close watch on these critical levels to anticipate the next major move. 🚀
QM PATTERNhello friends
We have come up with a good and frequent pattern.
This pattern starts with a sharp movement in the direction of the trend, and its return must hit the previous ceiling, and we enter the trade in the determined pullback.
The first target is the previous ceiling and the second target is twice its movement.
*Trade safely with us*
Trade trainingHello guys
This time we came with classic price action training.
As you can see, after a strong upward movement, the price entered suffering and made a ceiling and made a heavy fall, which caused the failure of the previous floor.
Now we can enter into a sell transaction with the first pullback, and our target will be the defined support range.
Now that the price has entered the channel after the spike, we can still enter into a sell transaction with any upward move until we see signs of trend reversal.
*Trade safely with us*
What do you think?Hello guys
We came with the analysis of us500.
There are two scenarios:
1- From here, open a long trade and move to the resistance range, and in case of a further drop, add volume at the second point.
2- Wait until the price reaches the resistance range and open a sale transaction in the two specified ranges.
What do you think?
*Trade safely with us*
Is ZEN Preparing for a Bounce? Key Levels to WatchZEN recently broke down from a 10-day descending triangle, signaling bearish continuation with strong selling volume. This triangle forms the B wave of an ABC corrective pattern, indicating further downside is likely before any potential reversal. Let’s dive into the technical details and key levels to watch.
Key Observations and Levels:
1.) Descending Triangle Breakdown:
The measured move target of the descending triangle lies at $18.7, aligning perfectly with multiple confluences:
The 0.702 Fibonacci retracement from the recent lows.
The previous trading range highs, adding historical support to this level.
2.) Fair Value Gap (FVG):
Back in December, ZEN broke out of its previous trading range, leaving an unfilled FVG around $19.5, our previous high on December 7th, 2024.
This gap represents a significant area where price may return before resuming its trend.
3.) Support Zone – $20 to $18.7:
The $20 psychological level is a key point and aligns with our support trendline from previous lows.
The Fibonacci negative 1 extension of the descending triangle also targets $18.7, further reinforcing this level as a significant support.
4.) Trade Setup:
The $20–$18.7 zone presents a strong support area with multiple confluences, making it a favourable entry point for a long position.
However, confirmation is essential! Watch for bullish candle patterns and volume signals before entering.
Conclusion:
ZEN’s breakdown from the descending triangle suggests further downside, but the $20–$18.7 zone offers a robust support area with several technical alignments: Fibonacci retracements, the descending triangle target, historical range highs and an unfilled FVG.
This zone presents an attractive long opportunity, provided confirmation signals are present. Monitor the price action closely in this range to capitalise on a potential bounce.
Happy trading everyone!
Where is Bitcoin’s support?Bitcoin has entered a weekly correction and this price correction will continue until we reach oversold levels on the weekly time frame.
My prediction for the end of this weekly correction is between $79,000 and $81,000 .
At this price, we also reach the trend curve that has the power to reverse the price upwards.
This price correction is likely to last another 4-5 weeks.
By reaching this support, if Bitcoin remains in the range, altcoins can grow.
Until then, it is better to avoid emotional trading.
This analysis will be violated if the price goes up and breaks above 106,500.
Don’t forget to boost, comment and follow.
Ali Rezaei
AIXBT/USDT: 30% Breakout Potential From Range Consolidation Here's a simple trading idea for AIXBTUSDT 🎯
AIXBT Breakout Play Setup 📈
AIXBTUSDT 1H Chart
Strategy: Bullish Breakout from Consolidation
Entry Zone: 0.28-0.29
Target: 0.38 (30.75% potential)
Stop Loss: Below 0.27 - 4H CLOSE
Key Points:
- Price consolidating in range
- Strong uptrend support
- Clear breakout structure forming
Wait for convincing break above 0.31000 with volume before entry.
Risk responsibly! Not financial advice." DYOR ---
This is a straightforward breakout trade setup with clear entry, target, and stop levels. The idea is easy to follow and execute for traders of any experience level. Would you like me to explain any part in more detail?
ADA Masterclass: Spotting the Perfect TradeHappy New Year, everyone! I hope 2025 is off to a fantastic start for you, filled with success, joy and of course, profitable trades. ADA has been a shining example of technical precision in recent months, offering reliable and rewarding setups. Let’s explore what the charts are telling us as we move forward into the new year.
Market Overview:
ADA has consistently respected key technical levels. Recently, the market completed a perfect ABC correction to the trend-based Fibonacci extension 1:1 at $0.7655, almost to the dollar. Following this correction, ADA has seen a strong rally, now approaching critical resistance levels, while the $1 support zone emerges as a pivotal area.
Key Observations and Levels:
1.) Resistance Zone – $1.079–$1.1108
ADA is approaching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the broader downtrend from $1.3264 to $0.7624, located at $1.1108.
This level is a significant resistance zone, marking a potential turning point where sellers could step in to take control.
2.) Short Trade Idea:
A short trade setup can be executed at $1.1108, targeting the $1 support zone for a potential 8–9% gain.
Trade Setup Details:
Entry: $1.1108
Stop Loss: Above the 0.666 Fibonacci retracement.
Target: $1
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 3:1
Risk: 2.75%
3.) Support Zone at $1:
The $1 level remains a critical support zone due to multiple confluences:
Psychological significance as a round number.
A single print zone between $1.001–$1.003, indicating a key liquidity area.
Alignment with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the current wave (1st January low to 3rd January high).
Anchored VWAP from the recent lows is also sitting at $1, adding further weight to this level as a strong support zone.
Long Trade Idea:
A long trade can be considered if ADA revisits the $1 support zone, but ensure to wait for volume confirmation to validate buying strength before entering.
BTC Not Looking GoodTeam,
We have a blood diamond on the BTC 2 Day Chart. Typically when we get these on HTF, we should expect continuation of the downside movement for 4 - 6 bars. Which means next 7-10 days we will be dealing with a potential downward pressure. Be prepared.
If we break the neck line of the potential H&S pattern that is forming, our target on the down side is early 80k. If we mirror the pattern we took to go up to 107k level to the down side as a measured move, as you can see on the chart our measured move take us down to SD 3 level of 76-77k. This will also fill the CME gap.
What am I doing with my leveraged trading? I'm waiting in cash with limit orders for altcoins to take advantage of any significant moves to the down side. I have set up chart set ups similar to this bitcoin chart.
On the BTC macro front, some important news just came out. And these usually lead us to major bottoms.
Exact quoted news:
“According to DB, the US government has been granted permission to liquidate 69,000 Bitcoins (worth $6.5 billion) seized from Silk Road, an official confirmed to DB News today.
Notably, this comes less than two weeks after the new administration took office, which had promised not to sell the Bitcoins.
The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) can sell 69,370 bitcoins seized from the Silk Road darknet marketplace, a federal judge ruled Dec. 30.
The DOJ cited bitcoin’s price volatility as a reason for pushing for permission to sell the assets."
DoJ is required to sell any cleared assets to cash, and transfer that cash to treasury once sold.
USMS (US Marshal Service) has certain financial reporting processes that restrict withdrawals from its exchange account near the end of each month.
This is why you usually see DOJ deposits to Coinbase prime earlier in the month.
On top of that, liquidations are supposed to occur within 5 business
days. So they’re supposed to do it quick after forfeiture, and 5 business days after notice to CB, but they’ve taken longer in the past. Point is window is closing quickly if it hasn’t already. That is, if they’re following their own rules.