Never HODL at the highest point even if the profit is small
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I used TradingView's INDEX chart to see the overall flow of BTC.
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Let's take a look at the section that showed a big movement.
(1M chart)
- 13888.32
- 57789.06
- 71320.68
The three points above are where the BW(100) line was created.
The fact that the BW(100) line was created means that a high point section has been formed, so there is a high possibility of a decline.
Therefore, based on the previous two experiences and looking at the current movement, we can see how important the 71320.68 point is as a support and resistance point.
Therefore, we should sell when it falls below 71320.68 in order not to HODL in the high range.
In the big picture, the stop loss point has been confirmed.
-
(1W chart)
From the 1W chart, we can see that the 68376.06 point is an important stop loss point.
Therefore, we should decide to sell depending on whether there is support in the 68376.06-71320.68 range.
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If the BW(0) line is created after the price falls, then it is a strong buying period.
Therefore, we should check whether there is support and see if we can buy.
The reason is that after buying at the 37929.90 point, there is a possibility that it will fail to rise above the MS-Signal indicator and continue to decline.
Therefore, you should not forget that you need to cut your loss when it falls below 37929.90 after buying.
If you have a lot of cash left after distributing your investment weight well, you can buy more when the next BW(0) line is created to lower the average purchase price.
However, since it is a 1W chart, such a transaction is not easy, so I think it is better to buy again after cutting your loss.
-
(1D chart)
Since BW(0) and BW(100) lines are often created on the 1D chart, it is recommended to use the BW(0) and BW(100) lines created at the current price position for trading.
As mentioned earlier or in the chart, you can see that the BW(100) and BW(0) lines appear after the arrows are created, and there is a decline and rise.
Therefore, since the arrows are created near the current price, you can see that the BW(100) line is likely to be created soon.
Therefore, if you are trying to make a new purchase now, I think it would be better to lower the investment ratio or not to make a transaction at all.
In any case, when the BW(100) line is created, you have to stop the transaction in progress or sell some of it.
-
It is not much, but I think it can be a good reference for trading.
If you look at the StErr Line, HA-High, HA-Low, BW(0), and BW(50) indicators together to make this judgment, I think it will be a great help in your trading strategy.
Since these indicators can be used on all time frame charts, I think they can help you get an eye for selecting support and resistance points.
If you use too many indicators, you can trade incorrectly.
Therefore, you should think about how to use the indicators, which indicators to apply to which trading strategy, and think about how to use them accordingly.
I hope that this time, you will trade without HODLing at the high point.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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Btc!
BTC - Bullish Phase Confirmed!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard.
🗒 Do you remember this post from 2023?
and this post from last month?
📌 It is confirmed. Pattern 1 Activated after breaking above the red channel and 70k.
❗️N.B. Always remember, nothing moves in a straight line, so we might see a correction (in the form of a higher low) along the way.
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
🗒 All strategies are good, if managed properly!
~Rich
Bitcoin is both a bullish flag and a cup-and-handleBitcoin is currently displaying both a bullish flag pattern and a cup-and-handle pattern, signaling a strong confirmation of a bullish trend. These patterns, especially when seen together, often indicate solid upward momentum and are widely recognized as bullish reversal signals. With Bitcoin entering its 4-year cycle phase, traditionally marked by significant price growth, the technical indicators align favorably for potential long-term gains.
Additionally, recent news and market developments are reinforcing the positive outlook, supporting the upward trend. This combination of technical signals and external factors could attract more investors, sparking renewed confidence in Bitcoin’s next major rally. As anticipation builds, these signals may well mark the beginning of a substantial growth phase, capturing attention from both seasoned investors and new entrants looking to capitalize on this momentum.
$BTC In Price Discovery ModeCRYPTOCAP:BTC marked another all-time high at 76.8k
It was a significant day for CRYPTOCAP:BTC ETFs, with record-breaking net inflows. BlackRock saw its largest inflow ever, adding 14,588 #Bitcoin.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is now in price discovery mode.
On the hourly timeframe, Bitcoin is currently stalling, waiting for the next move.
I've added EMAs to the chart for context
- If we test and hold the ema50, which sits around 75k to 74.6k, I'm expecting a move toward 79.8k to 81.5k zone.
- The ema200 at 72.4k could be a solid long entry if it holds.
COIN BASE, LIKE A REAL BASE? OF COINS? CHARTTrends are marked, as are price targets and guidelines—though the latter shouldn't be followed, they do project a significant move to maintain COIN's bullish trend over a longer period. Major resistance lines are noted; however, be vigilant for a trend break, which could signal an exit if you're trading. The maximum I foresee is around 525, but if the crypto market surges, those numbers could climb higher. Currently, if you're skeptical about a 'squeeze,' safer numbers are provided. I've attempted to include both bearish and bullish targets, both of which have the potential to exceed expectations. The yellow circle indicates a potential "breakout zone," but as this extends over time, it could also present significant resistance, so it's a matter of risk levels and what you're comfortable investing at that point.
For the daring traders, I personally view an upward move as more probable. This isn't to say I'm endorsing a reckless approach, but it represents the more extreme side of the bullish projection. Otherwise, adhere to the established price targets and trends. A bullish long-term trend, at least, offers the opportunity to hold for the long term if a trade doesn't pan out as expected—once again, the level of risk is crucial.
For those who are not fond of crypto, just consider how often you've heard the phrase, "if only I had bought BTC in 2016."
What is the Bitcoin plan?Given the recent pump by US election news, the dual scenario is more correct for Bitcoin.
As you know, the market is probabilities and we only predict and follow probabilities, because the nature of the financial market is uncertainty.
It seems that the first part of this double was a diametric that ended and then we had an X wave and now for the second part of this double we can look for rebuy in the flip range.
We can consider the range of 82K - 88K as the peak of this duality.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BITCOIN Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN keeps growing
And we are seeing a
Strong bullish breakout
Of the key level around 74k$
Which reinforces our bullish
Bias and we will be expecting
A further move up
Buy!
Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
FTMUSDT - Inverse Head & Shoulders - A Prime Long Opportunity?1.) Quick Overview
On the FTM/USDT 4-hour chart, an inverse Head & Shoulders pattern is shaping up, often hinting at a bullish reversal. If the pattern completes, this could offer an excellent long setup. The key level to watch is around the mOpen at $0.6555, where the price is expected to dip and complete the “right shoulder,” potentially setting the stage for a strong bounce.
2.) Deep Dive: Chart Analysis
Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern:
- Left Shoulder: Formed near $0.6342.
- Head: A deeper low at $0.4744, marking the low point of the pattern.
- Right Shoulder (In Progress): Expected to complete around mOpen at $0.6555. If the price touches down here and holds, it could serve as an ideal long entry point.
Fibonacci Retracement:
- The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level aligns near $0.6555, supporting the right shoulder as a potential bounce zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
- mOpen at $0.6555: This is our primary entry level, where the right shoulder could find support.
- VAL (Volume Area Low) at $0.6324: Another important support zone where the anchored VWAP also aligns, reinforcing this area as a significant base. If the price dips below mOpen, the VAL may act as a secondary support level.
- VAH (Volume Area High) at $0.7262: Our initial target if the inverse Head & Shoulders completes, with potential for further gains.
Volume Profile:
- Increased volume near the head formation suggests accumulation, supporting a bullish scenario if the right shoulder completes as expected.
3.) Trade Setup
- Entry: Look for a long entry around $0.6555.
- Stop Loss: Place the stop loss just below $0.58 to manage risk if the pattern fails.
- Target: Initial target at $0.7262 with room for more upside if the breakout continues.
- Risk-to-Reward: Favorable setup with solid support and a high-probability bounce area.
4.) Final Thoughts
- With the combination of the inverse Head & Shoulders, support at mOpen, Fibonacci, and anchored VWAP at the VAL, this FTM/USDT setup looks promising for a long position. Watch for confirmation around $0.6555 to see if the right shoulder completes.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be taken as financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk carefully!
Must reserve order at Stop Loss point when trading
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Please click "Boost" as well.
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(USDT.D 1M chart)
I think the conditions for an uptrend have been met as USDT dominance has fallen below 4.97.
(BTC.D 1M chart)
However, it seems that it still takes time for the altcoin uptrend to start.
Well, many altcoins are rising now, but there are only a few altcoins that are showing a full-fledged uptrend, so they have recorded a lot of declines.
I think that for the altcoin bull market to start, BTC dominance needs to fall below 55.01 and maintain or show a downward trend.
If not, altcoins may gradually move sideways or show a strange bull market where only BTC rises, so caution is required.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
When the ATH is renewed, the target point is
1st: 1.618 (76787.43)
2nd: 1.618 (89050.0)
I think it is around the 1st and 2nd points above.
If the price rises above 1.618 (76787.43) and maintains, there are several points that need to be passed to rise to the 1.618 (89050.0) point.
Therefore, when there is a jolt in that area, you should focus on finding the right time to trade by considering whether you can make a split trade or a new entry, and referring to the method explained below.
The point where the current upward trend is likely to turn into a downward trend is the 72344.74 point.
If the BW(100) line is created this time, I will report the price at that time and tell you again.
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Since the ATH has been renewed, it can be seen that it has become more difficult to trade newly.
Well, you can think that a market has been formed where you can make a profit by buying and waiting, but it is also a market where it is not strange for it to fall at any time.
When trading in this market, you must set a stop loss point.
Otherwise, you may end up in a situation where everyone is making a profit but you are the only one suffering a loss.
Therefore, let's take some time to talk about how to start trading and how to set a stop loss point.
-
Since the current ATH is being updated, the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are almost unnecessary.
For most altcoins, you can select a trading point and respond by referring to the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
(1h chart)
Therefore, to start trading, you can start trading on the time frame chart below the 1D chart, that is, the chart that you mainly look at and trade.
Even so, as I always say, the basic chart for trading is the 1D chart, so you must check the trend or support and resistance points on the 1D chart before starting trading.
The most important things to look at when starting trading are the 5EMA on the 1D chart and the M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
This is because there is a high possibility of volatility depending on whether these indicators are touched and the support and resistance points around them are supported.
At the current price position, the support and resistance points drawn on the 1D chart are 75571.99 points.
Therefore, you should prepare to trade based on whether there is support or not based on the 75571.99 point.
Since it is in an upward trend on the 1D chart, it is better to focus on finding the time to buy (LONG).
-
Accordingly, if you have confirmed that it is supported near 75571.99 and are thinking of buying, you should think about where to set the first stop loss point.
You can select the first and second points among the various support and resistance points drawn on the chart as the first stop loss point.
If you do that, you can see that the profit and loss ratio is not right.
Since the loss is this large, it is important to adjust the investment ratio when starting a trade.
That is why you should be more careful when finding the time to buy.
In other words, it should be considered that it is a more advantageous time to conduct a breakout trade.
(For altcoins that do not update the ATH, it is recommended to conduct a transaction depending on whether there is support.)
Therefore, it means that it is better to proceed with a purchase when the 75571.99 point is broken upward from the bottom and receives support and rises.
If the purchase is successful in that way, when the price rises and touches the 3rd point, change the stop loss point by changing the stop loss point to the 1st point or the 75571.99 point and proceed with the transaction.
If you do this, there may be cases where you are sold due to sudden volatility, but it is still recommended to conduct the transaction while setting the stop loss point.
This is because in the past, in 1919 and 2021, when both cases turned downward, you should not fall into a situation where you cannot do anything because you bought it as it was.
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If the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are located at a point where there are no support or resistance points at all, you should trade by looking at the movements of the indicators on the time frame chart you are currently viewing (in this case, the 1h chart).
To do this, you should check the positions of the 5EMA on the 1D chart and the M-Signal indicators on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts that I mentioned earlier.
Since there are no 5EMA on the 1D chart and M-Signal indicators on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts at the current price position, the next indicators to look at are the BW(100), HA-HIgh indicator and the BW(0), HA-Low indicator.
Since the BW(100) and HA-High indicators were created, it means that a high point section has been formed, so you should think that there is a high possibility of a decline.
Therefore, you should buy when it falls and then breaks through the BW(100), HA-High indicators upward to show support.
Therefore, in order to conduct a SHORT transaction, you can start trading depending on whether the BW(100) and HA-High indicators are generated and whether there is support.
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The fact that the BW(0) and HA-Low indicators are generated means that a low point range has been formed.
Therefore, when the BW(0) and HA-Low indicators are generated, you should quickly decide whether you can start trading, thinking that there is a high possibility of an increase.
At this time, it is good to check the movement of the StochRSI indicator as reference material.
Although it sometimes moves in the opposite direction of the price movement, if it shows a pattern of escaping from the overbought or oversold range, it can be used as a good reference material.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale upward trend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The range expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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BTC BEAR CASE📉 BTC/USDT Long-Term Analysis - Bearish Scenario 📉
If BTC loses the $66.7K level, this would serve as a strong bearish confirmation, indicating that the fifth wave is complete. In this case, I would expect a deeper correction with a target zone between $40K and $37K. This correction could last between 6 months to 1.5 years, suggesting a potential long-term trend shift.
So Confirmation: sub 66.7k
TP: 40k - 37k
Invalidation: after incoming correction if hold 0.5-0.7fib level ( 72-71k till 70.8-69.k) and bounce and make ATH. That will be invalidation for this case.
Disclaimer:
⚠️ This is not financial advice! All information provided is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Trading carries a high risk and may result in the loss of capital
BTC BULL CASE 07/11/2024📉 BTC/USDT Update 📉
The current 5-wave upward pattern appears to be complete, and the presence of bearish divergences on the 15-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour timeframes indicates a likely downward correction. Additionally, the declining volume supports this outlook, suggesting potential weakness in the upward momentum.
🔸 Confirmation Level:
A break below $75,600 would confirm the start of a corrective move.
🔸 Target Zones:
Initial Support: $72,000 - $71,700
Deeper Support: 0.61-0.7 Fibonacci levels, around $70,800 - $69,800
If BTC holds these levels, a rebound could take the price toward $82,000 - $85,000, indicating the continuation of the bullish trend. However, a break below $66,000 would mark a bearish shift, opening the door to potential targets in the $44,000 - $37,000 range.
Disclaimer:
⚠️ This is not financial advice! All information provided is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Trading carries a high risk and may result in the loss of capital
$WULF: The Next Leader in the Crypto Mining Sector 🚀⛏️🚧Hello, everyone!
We're excited about NASDAQ:WULF 's prospects among other crypto miners, standing out with its eco-friendly operations, profitability post-halving, and strategy to reduce debt without diluting shareholder value through ATM usage. The company's CEO has reassured investors of this commitment. Moreover, a significant short interest in NASDAQ:WULF could potentially propel its value dramatically.
Currently, the price is at a crucial juncture, testing the hourly support. Should it break below, it might move to test the daily support level. Conversely, rebounding from the hourly support could set the stage for a climb towards the monthly resistance.
Our initial milestone is overcoming the monthly resistance at around $3.70. Surpassing this, we aim for $8 followed by $17 as our subsequent targets.
This outlook would be reconsidered if the hourly or daily indicators fall beneath the weekly, suggesting a need to reassess our stance.
Stay tuned for updates, and best of luck to us all!
Is Trump’s Presidency a Bigger Win for DeFi than Bitcoin? Were decentralized finance (DeFi) assets like Ethereum underestimated leading up to the election?
Ethereum is now outpacing Bitcoin following Donald Trump’s 2024 U.S. presidential win, with Ether (ETH) gaining 4% in the past 24 hours (and 14.1% in the past 5 days). Bitcoin on the other hand is down 0.4% in the past 24 hours)
Analysts suggest that the Republican administration’s expected support for DeFi will play a pivotal role in Ethereum’s growth.
Trump has signaled interest in policies that could nurture blockchain technology, encouraging legislative reform to promote DeFi innovation in the U.S.
Bitcoin may hold its status as a store of wealth (and even a potential alternative reserve for the US treasury), but Ethereum’s recent performance suggests it’s increasingly well-positioned to benefit from the changing policy environment.
BTC INTRADAY POWELL INFLATION
Hello, dear intraday degens where the action is happening right now!
BTC is testing the last intraday high as support, with volume trending in the right direction. There’s plenty of support below if this level breaks.
In other news, the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 25 bps, which should be positive news and may help push the price up.
Still, nothing should be taken for granted in crypto trading—stay safe!
Bitcoin standard in progress..This idea is more of a message than an investment speculation. And a reset of my previous ideas with shitcoins reminding me of where I was.
We need to learn from the past and put it behind us, looking to the future because our actions affect our future, not our past. Much has changed since my first experience with cryptocurrencies (early 18). Yes, it usually starts with cryptocurrencies, rarely bitcoin only. And when bitcoin only, few can resist the lure of shitcoiners, the potential profit. In short, I don't think a bitcoin maxis can grow without proof-of-work, without cutting through the jungle of scammers. But if the individual in question is a thoughtful creature and occasionally examines the arguments for/against, why yes/no, and is not lazy to verify the arguments in question, to read something, they will come to the inevitable conclusion, that's my opinion. My opinion is that we are very lucky that bitcoin was created, we have the hope of freedom, versus the inevitable inflationary, monetary and tax bullying, surveillance by the state. We are fortunate that it came into existence as it did - naturally, anonymously. That is unrepeatable in this day and age. That alone is a bulletproof foundation and a guarantee of my peaceful sleep. I could list dozens more. But I won't prolong it.
Thanks for bitcoin , for the hope of a better future.
Always and forever bullish , there is no ceiling. Dips are discounts, that's all. Volatility is a feature, not a flaw. Welcome volatility , learn to work with it. It's a game for the long term. Forget fiat profits, only increase the stack of bitcoins owned. Use HW wallets for your savings! Once the bull market hits, it's time to reward yourself, enjoy life, send some of that bitcoin back out into the world for some fine goods, services. Bitcoin is money that makes sense to save in. Simple.
Satoshi thank you!
ARTYFACTUSDT - Buying After BTC!
My dear followers,
Time to rebalance our BTC gains and find a good coin for investing.
The one that grabs my attention is ARTYUSDT.
From a technical analysis perspective, all my trusted technical indicators show a strong bullish confluence.
Candlestick analysis indicates a strong buying sentiment as well, with a formation of multiple imbalance bullish candles recently.
Multiple intraday/daily resistances breakouts is one more reliable technical signal.
I also decided to find more info about the project and read some articles about that.
Looks like its managing team is planning a lot of big upcoming milestones and a huge expansion campaign that will bring its current market capitalization (9 million USD) way beyond these figures.
While the bull run was officially confirmed with the Trump election, you have less and less to take advantage of the attractive price.
Include ARTY in your portfolio and good luck to you, my dear traders.
BTC Breakout Incoming? Key Levels You Can’t MissGood morning, trading family! Bitcoin nailed our target, and now it’s decision time. If BTC breaks $75,600, we’re looking at moves to $77K or even $78,500. But if support at $73,600 doesn’t hold, we could see a pullback to $71,500.
Keep it simple—trade the levels, stay chill, and let the market come to you. It’s all about patience and sticking to the plan.
MINDBLOOME TRADING / KRIS
TRADE WHAT YOU SEE
BTCUSDT.P Support prevents the price from falling
Hello, intraday traders! Hope all is well with you.
BTC on the 30-minute chart looks like it’s trying to push the price up after support held for most of the day. Tonight, we have a SEC decision about rate cuts, which will definitely impact the price. All moving averages are pointing upward, and volume is steady.
This is not financial advice—stay safe!
ETH Long Spot Trade (Breakout Opportunity)Market Context: ETH is currently testing a double resistance area (horizontal and diagonal). This setup is ideal for a breakout trade. A clean breakout followed by a throwback would offer a favorable entry point with potential for upside movement.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Around $2,800 (after breakout confirmation and throwback)
Take Profit:
First target: $3,000
Second target: $3,200
Stop Loss: Close below $2,600
This breakout setup aims to capture upward momentum if ETH clears the double resistance zone. #ETH
BTC - 4H fall for nowWhen it comes to market sentiment, a popular saying is, “When everyone is on the same side, it’s time to go the other way.” This concept aligns with the contrarian trading strategy, where savvy traders often position themselves in the opposite direction of the majority. Currently, with widespread excitement and optimism about a potential BTC bull run, it’s possible that we’re setting up for a correction rather than a sustained rally.
Historically, markets tend to pull back when optimism reaches a peak. For example, in 2017, as BINANCE:BTCUSD neared $20,000, the market sentiment was overwhelmingly bullish, yet that’s when BTC took a sharp downturn. Similarly, in early 2021, when Bitcoin was approaching $64,000 with much hype around institutional buying, we saw a significant correction that shook many investors.
In this context, the chart here shows MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN touching a strong resistance zone around the $76,000 level. With sentiment bullish and many expecting a breakout, BINANCE:BTCUSDT may likely trap some of this optimism and head lower first to “clear out” the overly crowded long positions. This potential pullback could lead to a more sustainable rally later after the excess sentiment has cooled.