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Oct.29-Nov.04(BTC)Weekly market recapLast Friday, the non-farm payroll data fell significantly short of expectations, leading to a substantial increase in interest rate cut anticipations. The price of BTC surged before retreating, with the majority of traders attributing the disappointing data to the impact of the hurricane, as the market response was less than favorable. Currently, the outcome of the U.S. presidential election is pivotal for the mid-term trajectory of BTC, given the differing monetary policy and inflation outlooks of the two candidates. Should Trump be elected, the promised favorable policies may come to fruition, increasing the likelihood of institutional investments in BTC, thereby enhancing its fundamentals as digital gold. Conversely, if Harris takes office, the SEC is expected to maintain its stringent stance on cryptocurrency regulations. Last week, BTC experienced an initial rise followed by a decline, breaking through the resistance level to reach $73,590 on Tuesday. The WTA indicator showed the emergence of blue bars representing whales, but these disappeared after Saturday, indicating a withdrawal of significant capital. The ME indicator remains in a bullish trend. In summary, we anticipate that BTC may experience considerable volatility this week. We have adjusted the resistance level to $74,000 and the support level to $67,000. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sypool
1
#Altcoin run is programmed in the medium term.2025 will be unique for #Alts and #Bitcoin The impact of the elections in the US on financial markets can be significant. A win by #Trump or Harris could have different effects in terms of economic policies and market expectations. If Trump wins, it is possible that prices will rise even more due to high inflation expectations in the markets. If #Harris wins, it is expected that the #Fed will continue with its current monetary policies, so although there will be price fluctuations in the short term, it is possible that the bull run will continue in the long term. It should not be forgotten that the election results are not only related to short-term effects, but also to medium and long-term economic fundamentals and central bank policies. 🤝
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by EtherNasyonaL
1
Bitcoin Falling Again==>>Short-term!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently moving near the Resistance lines and in the Resistance zone($69,580-$68,800) . Regarding Elliott's wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin is still completing Corrective Waves . The Structure of Correction Waves looks like Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect Bitcoin to Go Down at least Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage after breaking the Uptrend line . ⚠️Note: We can expect more pumps if Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($69,580-$68,800) .⚠️ ⚠️Note: The American elections and the tension between Iran and Israel can easily change the scenarios of Bitcoin: if the tension between Iran and Israel increases, we can see the fall of Bitcoin, and if Donald Trump does not succeed in the US presidential election, we can see the fall of Bitcoin. And vice versa.⚠️ Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
19
Bitcoin Faces Rejection at Resistance: Short-Term Downsidehello guys. Failed Breakout: Bitcoin attempted to break above the resistance zone around $69,400–$69,600 but was unable to sustain the move, indicating a potential lack of buying strength at these levels. Broken Trendline: The price has already broken below a key ascending trendline, reinforcing the bearish bias in the short term. Bearish Zone: The shaded pink area represents a strong resistance zone, which Bitcoin struggled to overcome. Sellers defended this zone effectively. Potential Downside Target: With the rejection at resistance, the price may head toward the support area around $67,963–$67,934, as indicated by the green zone. Lower High Formation: The lower high structure suggests that the trend could continue downward if the current pattern holds.
Short
by melikatrader94
12
Bitcoin in the Zone: Major Levels to Watch! Bitcoin’s riding the edge with some serious levels coming up. On the downside, we’ve got key supports at $66,969, $66,054, and $65,000. If $65,000 breaks, a slide to $60,000 is very possible. On the upside, we’re eyeing $69,249 first, and if we break through, we could be aiming for $73,500 and beyond!" Breakdown of Key Levels Current Support Levels First Support: $66,969 This level is Bitcoin’s first line of support. As long as it holds, BTC could stay in a good position to push higher. Second Support: $66,054 If we drop below $66,969, the next stop to watch is $66,054. Losing this level could signal a stronger downside move. Major Support at $65,000 $65,000 is the critical level to keep an eye on. If Bitcoin slips below this, we’re likely looking at a bearish move, with $60,000 as the next realistic target. Upside Targets First Target: $69,249 On the upside, if BTC holds support and gains some momentum, $69,249 is our next target. We might see some resistance here, so it’s a spot to watch for a possible pullback. Second Target: $73,500 If Bitcoin breaks $69,249 with strength, then $73,500 is the next big level in play. Breaking through this could mean BTC is primed for an even bigger push higher. Higher Target: Beyond $73,500 If we reach and hold above $73,500, the path is open for BTC to go for new highs. We could see buyers step in even stronger, and BTC might be setting up for its next major move up. Trading Tip Stay flexible here! BTC’s got some clear levels to watch. If we hold support, we could be heading for a strong upside. But if we lose $65,000, the drop to $60,000 becomes a real possibility. Keep these levels in mind, and let the market show you where it wants to go. if you like this analysis like , follow and boost our posts Mindbloome Trading / Kris Mindbloome Exchange
MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN
by Mindbloome-Trading
Zoom out: Bull Flag Pattern Points to Potential Upside TargetTechnical Overview The COINBASE:BTCUSD weekly chart suggests a bullish setup, with a Bullish Flag pattern and Descending Broadening Triangle playing out. Current price action shows BTC retesting previous resistance as new support around $67,000. Support and Resistance: - Support: The zone at $67,000 serves as immediate support within the flag pattern. - Resistance: Key resistance lies at Bullish Target 1 ($77,750), which aligns with the 0.786 Fibonacci level. Outlook: - Bullish: If BTC holds above $67,000 and breaks through $77,750, a rally towards Bullish Target 2 at $88,000 is plausible, with a long-term target of $112,993. - Bearish: A breakdown below $67,000 may lead to a retracement toward $60,000 or lower. Conclusion: The weekly setup remains bullish if BTC can defend $67,000, with $77,750 and $88,000 as primary upside targets. A decisive breakout could confirm continuation to higher targets.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CryptoFallen
BTC and the previous three US Election DatesThis charts the dates of the previous three US Elections (2012, 2016 and 2020) on a log chart, with price on the horizontal axis at daily candle close. As you can see, once price breaks above (sometimes next day, as in 2020, sometimes a week or more later, as in 2016 and in 2012) price has never returned - ever. Plotted are the time and percentage difference from election date to cycle ATH. On average it's 387 days apart. If things play out this time in a similar fashion we can expect this week into mid next week to be the final time BTC will be in the mid 60k per coin - ever.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Jaekus
2
Check support near 68393.48 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) The key is whether it can quickly rise to the 68393.48 area. The next important support and resistance point is the 65920.71 point. Therefore, if it continues to fall, we need to check support near 65920.71. This volatility period is until November 5th, and the next volatility period is around November 10th (November 9th-11th). - BW indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates MACD, StochRSI, OBV, and ATR indicators. Currently, the BW indicator has touched the 50 point. Therefore, when the BW(50) point is created, you can conduct an aggressive transaction depending on whether there is support near it. - StochRSI indicator has completely entered the oversold zone. In addition, StochRSI EMA appears to have fallen below the 50 point zone. Accordingly, you need to check where the StochRSI indicator is located when it rises in the oversold zone and maintains the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA. - In order to complete the pull back pattern, the uptrend must be maintained. Therefore, the uptrend of the linear regression channel must be maintained. To do so, you can see that the price must be maintained around 65920.71 or higher. - To summarize the above, in order to maintain and continue the uptrend, the price must be maintained above 68393.48. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture The real uptrend is expected to start after rising above 29K. The expected range to touch in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future. We need to check if these points can be broken upward. We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto
Bitcoin Bull Run Ignites: Eyeing New Highs Ahead of ElectionsOverview: Bitcoin (BTC) has recently demonstrated significant bullish momentum, breaking the $68,900 resistance level. This surge is supported by favorable financial news and the anticipation surrounding the U.S. presidential election scheduled for tomorrow. Key Levels: Entry Point: $68,900 Target 1 (T1): $75,146.69 Target 2 (T2): $84,392.46 Target 3 (T3): $92,059.49 Stop Loss: $66,500 Technical Indicators: Moving Averages: The 50-day and 200-day moving averages are trending upwards, indicating sustained bullish momentum. Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 65, suggesting room for further upward movement before reaching overbought territory. Volume: Increased trading volume aligns with the recent price surge, reinforcing the bullish outlook. Fundamental Factors: The upcoming U.S. presidential election has heightened market interest in Bitcoin, with both major candidates expressing favorable views towards cryptocurrency regulation. Additionally, significant inflows into Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have been observed, indicating strong institutional support. Conclusion: The confluence of technical indicators and positive fundamental developments suggests a strong bullish outlook for Bitcoin. Traders should monitor the aforementioned target levels and adjust positions accordingly, keeping an eye on potential resistance as the market reacts to election outcomes. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by insidermike
3
BTC : Riding Asia Open Volume to the Golden Zone TargetOn the 8-hour chart, I’m targeting an entry to capture potential volume influx as the Asian markets open. I plan to take partial profits along the way, with a target to reach the $71,000 zone, which aligns with the golden Fibonacci retracement level. Fundamental Context: This setup is influenced by the buzz around the upcoming U.S. Presidential Election and speculation around Donald Trump’s potential reentry, possibly fueling a “buy the rumor, sell the news” effect. Given the high-impact events surrounding this period, I’m managing risk closely, aiming for strategic exits to maximize profitability within this volatile environment. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Long
by AR33_
2
Like it or not, it really is this simple.Some of you may not appreciate this chart, but we have to trade on facts not wishes. Right now (and it pains me to say this as a technical analyst), you can throw all your technicals out the window. The market is trading U.S. election results. That's it. Trump looks to be winning the popular vote by a large margin. Once the results are official and Trump is declared the winner, the rocket ships will fire up, take off, and may leave many traders in the smoke with FOMO. On the other hand, if there enters any doubt whatsoever that Trump will be the next POTUS, down we'll go.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by stewdamus
5
BITCOIN fully supported targeting $170k after the ATH breaks.Exactly 3 months ago (August 05, see chart below) when the price was on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), having hit it for the first time since the week of March 12 2003, we claimed that this was the last stand for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) if the market wanted to maintain the Bull Cycle, as based on the previous 3 Cycles, it was the absolute supporting trend-line: The 1W MA50 eventually held not once but twice and that gave way to a rally that last week tested the 73800 All Time High (ATH). That is incredibly bullish, especially only two days before the U.S. elections, as from the historic patterns we've shown you before, a Parabolic Rally has started after each election. So according to our August comparison chart, if history is repeated, BTC is looking towards at least the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the ATH, which is roughly a little over $170k. But what do you think? Are you expecting the ATH test to start a massive rally similar to all previous Cycles? And if so, is $170000 a realistic Target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
17
BTC IN UP MOVEMENT + TRADE PLANTrend Identification: Descending Channel: Bitcoin is currently in a descending parallel channel after an uptrend, indicating a potential bullish continuation if it breaks out of this channel. Previous Uptrend: The price came from an uptrend, and descending channels often serve as continuation patterns, suggesting a higher probability of an upward breakout. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: $68,556.87: Major support near the recent low in the channel. $66,333.98: Secondary support zone that could act as a cushion in case of a downside move. $64,591.15: Historical support level providing a safety net if the price dips further. Resistance Levels: $72,198.87: Immediate resistance that BTC needs to overcome for a continued uptrend. $73,655.67: Key resistance area that, if broken, could trigger a strong bullish move. Indicators Analysis: RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is close to the midpoint, indicating a neutral zone. However, an upward movement in RSI could signal increasing bullish momentum. Stochastic RSI: Currently near the overbought zone. It indicates potential upward pressure, but caution is needed as it may signal short-term exhaustion. Volume: Noticeable increase in volume around the support levels, indicating buying interest. Volume confirmation on breakout above the resistance line would strengthen the bullish case. Moving Averages: HMA (Hull Moving Average): Showing a slight upward trend, aligning with the potential breakout from the descending channel. Trading Plan Entry Strategy: Aggressive Entry: Enter a long position upon the breakout of the descending channel, ideally with a confirmed volume increase above $72,198.87. This would signal a possible continuation of the previous uptrend. Conservative Entry: Wait for a confirmed breakout and retest of the $72,198.87 level. If the price holds above this level after retesting, it indicates stronger bullish confirmation. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss slightly below $68,556.87 to limit downside risk. This area aligns with recent support, and a drop below it may indicate invalidation of the breakout pattern. Take Profit Levels: Primary Target: $73,655.67 (first resistance level). Partial profits can be taken here to lock in gains. Secondary Target: $76,000, if Bitcoin gains strong momentum after breaking through the primary target. This level could be achieved in a continued bullish scenario. Final Target: $80,000 as a psychological target, if there is sustained bullish momentum and no major resistance above. Risk Management: Position Size: Limit the position size to manage risk exposure, especially with the potential volatility in cryptocurrency markets. Trailing Stop: Consider using a trailing stop after reaching the first target to lock in profits while allowing for potential upside. Monitoring Indicators: Volume: Continuously monitor the volume as the price approaches resistance zones. Higher-than-average volume would support the breakout, whereas weak volume could lead to a false breakout. RSI and Stochastic: Keep an eye on these momentum indicators. If the RSI and Stochastic enter overbought territory and start to diverge, it could signal a potential reversal. Timeframe: This setup appears on a 4-hour chart, suggesting a medium-term trading perspective. Reassess positions if the breakout fails to materialize within the next few days.
Long
by elfabiiani
1
Bitcoin Faces Critical Week Amid US Presidential ElectionBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is at a pivotal moment, with the cryptocurrency market bracing for heightened volatility as the United States approaches a historic election. The impact of this key event, combined with a possible Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest rate cut, is set to make waves across digital asset markets. At the time of writing, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is trading at $68,749.84, up 0.62% over the last 24 hours, with a daily trading volume of $35 billion and a market cap surpassing $1.35 trillion. Elevated Volatility Expected Traders are bracing for sharp moves in CRYPTOCAP:BTC , as indicated by a 30-day gauge of implied volatility developed by CF Benchmarks. Caroline Mauron, co-founder of Orbit Markets, highlighted a potential swing of 8%, starkly contrasting the usual 2% fluctuation level. This suggests traders are preparing for significant market action, and expectations of volatility are reflected in the crypto options market. Political Uncertainty Looms Large The 2024 US presidential election adds another layer of unpredictability. Both frontrunners, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, have expressed distinct stances on cryptocurrency and blockchain technology, setting the stage for shifts in market sentiment. Trump has boldly positioned himself as the "Crypto President," promising to elevate Bitcoin as a strategic reserve for the United States. His strong pro-Bitcoin rhetoric, coupled with a pledge to fire SEC Chair Gary Gensler—widely seen by the crypto community as an adversary—has fueled optimism among investors. Meanwhile, Kamala Harris's emphasis on tech innovation has kept speculation alive about how her policies might influence the crypto market. The political landscape’s close ties to the crypto industry could be pivotal, especially with the backdrop of regulatory debates involving the SEC and CFTC. Historical Trends and Market Sentiment Historically, Bitcoin’s performance has been closely linked to major political and economic events. Notably, the cryptocurrency has often rallied following US presidential elections, mirroring trends seen in traditional markets like the S&P 500. The Kobeissi Letter's analysis of past elections reveals that 83% of election years have yielded positive returns leading up to Election Day. However, these gains moderated post-election, emphasizing the importance of timing in market strategy. Technical Outlook: Mixed Signals From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s charts reveal mixed but potentially bullish signals. Two critical patterns are forming on the daily chart: 1. Doji Candlestick Pattern: The emergence of a Doji pattern, which indicates indecision among traders, often precedes significant market moves or trend reversals. This formation suggests that market participants are awaiting key news, such as the election results and the FOMC decision, before committing to a direction. 2. Golden Cross Formation: The market is closely monitoring a potential Golden Cross, a bullish indicator that occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average. While this pattern has yet to fully materialize, it is gradually building momentum, signaling possible upside in the coming weeks. Bitcoin’s Dominance and Macro Environment Bitcoin’s dominance remains robust at 59.2%, a testament to its evolution from a peer-to-peer (P2P) technology to a global financial asset. Amid ongoing concerns about inflation and economic uncertainty, CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues to be seen as a hedge against traditional financial risks. The potential for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve this week could further boost bullish sentiment for Bitcoin, making it an attractive asset for risk-on investors. Long-Term Optimism Despite Short-Term Concerns Despite near-term worries about a potential market dip or crash on election day, long-term optimism prevails. Analysts are betting on a strong rebound, with Bitcoin potentially setting a new all-time high if bullish catalysts align. The overall crypto market remains in a consolidation phase, but any positive momentum in Bitcoin could see a cascade effect on top altcoins, setting the stage for a robust market recovery.
Long
by DEXWireNews
Bitcoin: Small Dip to $49k Or Crypto Winter down to $15k?There are two potential options for Bitcoin price. 1) Price will complete ABC correction as we have A-B in place already. The wave C could retest the valley of wave A at GETTEX:49K 2) Large red second leg down could complete a bigger correction. It could retest the bottom of leg 1 around $15k. Only below GETTEX:49K we can see what structure is unfolding. What are your thoughts why such a huge collapse is possible? Media says miners start switching to AI investments to drop cryptos. Please share your thoughts down below
Short
by aibek
BTC: ATH Imminent? U.S. Election Could Be the Catalyst!Hey everyone! If you’re finding value in this analysis, don’t forget to hit that 👍 and follow for more updates! Welcome to this BTC Update! BTC has broken out of the parallel channel on the daily time frame and is currently hovering near the retest area. The market has been unusually quiet lately—this feels like the calm before the storm, and I’m anticipating a major pump from here. It seems the whole market is waiting on the outcome of the U.S. elections. After the election, I expect BTC to break its ATH, aiming for $90k-$100k by year-end. Invalidation: Daily close below the $64.8k level. What’s your take on BTC’s current price action? Are you spotting this bullish setup too? Share your analysis in the comments, and let’s ride this wave together!
Long
by CoreCrypto1