BITCOIN - Price can bounce from support area to $73800 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price rose inside rising channel, where it broke $61100 level and then reached resistance line of channel.
Then price continued to grow near this line, after it reached $66350 points, price turned around and started to decline.
In a short time, BTC exited from channel, fell to support area, and started trades inside wedge.
In wedge, price fell to support line, after which made upward impulse to $69000 level, made correction, and continued to grow.
Soon, price broke $69000 level and reached resistance line of wedge, but recently fell to one more support area.
Possibly, BTC can bounce up from support area to $73800 resistance line of wedge.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Btc!
BTC Dominance Chart - BITCOIN DOMINANCEBTC Dominance is the most important chart to follow to understand whether the crypto market is in an altcoin or Bitcoin season.
Currently, Bitcoin Dominance is in a strong bullish trend and has reached the 60% level. This means that Bitcoin alone holds 60% of the total crypto market value. In other words, the entire altcoin market, including ETH and other large-cap coins, represents only 40% of the market. Considering the crypto market has over 2,500 different coins/assets, it’s notable that all of them combined only account for 40% of the total market value, while Bitcoin alone makes up the other 60%.
In previous bull market cycles, this chart typically shows initial bullishness, followed by a strong reversal to the downside after a few months, which brings the largest returns in the altcoin market.
A bullish trend in BTC Dominance indicates that Bitcoin will outperform altcoins, whereas a bearish trend suggests the opposite.
Currently, BTC Dominance is moving within a parallel channel driving its bullish movement. It has reached the weekly supply level and is now approaching the monthly supply level. I expect BTC Dominance to hit this monthly supply level at the top of the channel, experience rejection, and start moving lower. Eventually, I anticipate it will break below the entire channel, signaling a large influx of capital into altcoins. This shift has the potential to create significant returns for altcoin investors.
I believe this scenario is likely during the 2025 bull cycle, so be prepared to build generational wealth.
Bitcoin Faces Uncertainty Amid Mt. Gox BTC TransferMt. Gox BTC Movement Raises Concerns
Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) markets were rattled by news on November 1 that $35 million worth of Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) associated with the infamous Mt. Gox exchange had been transferred to unmarked addresses. Blockchain intelligence firm Arkham disclosed that the defunct exchange moved a total of 500 CRYPTOCAP:BTC , split into two transactions of 31.78 BTC and 468.24 BTC. This transfer is notable as it marks the first significant movement from Mt. Gox-associated wallets in over a month.
Currently, approximately 44,905 BTC, worth around $3.1 billion, remains in wallets flagged as Mt. Gox-associated, adding to market anxieties about a potential liquidation. The broader context deepens concerns: in early August, Mt. Gox moved 12,000 CRYPTOCAP:BTC worth $700 million, a signal that the pace of transfers is quickening.
The repayment process for Mt. Gox creditors has been fraught with complications. In an official statement earlier this month, Mt. Gox extended the deadline for repayments by another year, pushing it to October 31, 2025. The delay is attributed to “system issues” and unresolved procedural steps by rehabilitation creditors, with the trustee even acknowledging incidents of double payments that required refunds. As these issues unfold, market participants remain wary of the potential impact of Mt. Gox-related liquidations on Bitcoin's price.
Historical Context and Broader Market Fears
Mt. Gox was one of the world’s first and largest Bitcoin exchanges, responsible for handling 70% of global BTC transactions at its peak before a series of hacks led to its infamous collapse in 2014. Since then, the repayment of creditors has been a lingering issue, casting a shadow over the market. The prospect of sudden, large-scale Bitcoin sales tied to Mt. Gox funds creates a cloud of uncertainty that traders and investors have come to dread.
Technical Analysis
From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin’s recent rally to $73,600 between October 26 and October 29 brought it within a hair’s breadth of its all-time high of $73,808. This surge, representing a 10% increase over just a few days, was followed by a sharp 5.5% correction. As of early trading on November 1, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) fell below $69,000, but this pullback commenced hours before the news of the Mt. Gox transfer, suggesting that broader market forces were already at play.
Currently, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is attempting to stabilize, trading at $68,000 to $69,000, with its RSI (Relative Strength Index) reading at 56. Indicating that CRYPTOCAP:BTC is maintaining support at the $70,000 level, albeit tentatively. The RSI suggests that selling pressure could persist, threatening a drop to the $65,000 support level if bulls fail to regain control. Conversely, if Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) can hold above the $70,000 mark and selling pressure subsides, it may pave the way for a more robust rally.
Overheated Market Conditions
Market sentiment data adds another layer of complexity. According to CryptoQuant, over 99% of Bitcoin’s supply was in profit when the asset traded at $72,323 on October 31. Such an elevated level of profitability indicates potential overheating, as more investors might be tempted to lock in gains, adding downward pressure on prices. Profit-taking could exacerbate the current correction, with key support zones under threat.
Outlook: The Road Ahead
The immediate future for Bitcoin remains a tug-of-war between bullish and bearish forces. The $73,000 mark serves as a pivotal point, acting either as a short-term resistance or the springboard for a new leg higher. Should Bitcoin break above this level convincingly, we could see fresh all-time highs, with projections ranging from $90,000 to $100,000. Such a move might be catalyzed by major market events, such as the upcoming U.S. presidential election.
However, a failure to defend the $70,000 support could invite a steeper correction toward $65,000. Traders should watch for renewed selling pressure, particularly if profit-taking intensifies or if further Mt. Gox-related news emerges. The interplay of technical indicators, fundamental developments, and market sentiment will likely dictate Bitcoin’s direction in the weeks ahead.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's market remains on edge as concerns over Mt. Gox fund movements and the potential for profit-taking weigh heavily. The coming days will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can weather this storm or if a deeper correction is imminent. As always, traders and investors must stay vigilant, keeping a close eye on key support and resistance levels.
BTC 4 Seasons CycleWhat I came up with is that in the bullphase Bitcoin tops out in Winter/Spring 🟦/🟩
Last cycle we had a double top but you would only miss out on 4-8% while saving yourself the headache of a 50% drop in summer 🟥
In the bearphase we bottom usually in Fall/Winter 🟧/🟦
I dont know how people can call for 48-55k or something else it would take us another year then until Winter to get back up and top out and to drop in 4-6 Months in Summer to the bottom its not usual for Bitcoin to do that.
It takes Bitcoin around 350 to 400 Days to hit the bottom you can see it in the picture below
BTC $83k-$86k top, then down below $30k?I sold all of my crypto between May - July thinking we'd see a large correction. We did pull back to the GETTEX:48K level, but we didn't see continuation below that level. Now price is within MIL:1K of where I sold it and I now think we'll see the last move higher. So I'm starting to build exposure again.
If we look at the chart, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has been consolidating right below resistance.
I think we'll see one final move to FWB:83K -$86k, then we'll see the larger correction that I was anticipating below $30k.
Still don't think we see $100k BTC anytime soon. I think that doesn't come until 2026-2028.
I've started building exposure to CRYPTOCAP:BTC again and certain alts, specifically CRYPTOCAP:DOGE incase Trump wins as I think that'll be a catalyst to send price higher. I
I think alts will see one last move higher into early December before the whole market starts to correct.
Let's see what happens.
Bitcoin vs Halving vs US Election DatesLook at the history. Bitcoin bull cycle start after Halving event & US election. So accumulation period is prior to halving event and we can sell bitcoin after 1 year from the date of US election. As of historical data, the best time to sell bitcoin will be around November, December 2025.
Disclaimer : The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
$BTC - Deviation or Continuation?Bitcoin retraces to the previous value area.
On the daily chart, price deviated above our VWAP and is now retesting its upper band.
Currently, price is retesting the previous range high. If this level holds, a complacency bounce is likely.
Immediate resistance to break is around 70.7k ( pdPOC) . A rejection at this level could drive price down to 68k (pwVAH) and potentially further to 66.4k (pwVAL) , sweeping through imbalances (single print/poor low) .
Potential bullish bounce?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 69,503.31
1st Support: 68,287.05
1st Resistance: 71,376.35
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The point of interest is whether it can create a pull back
(Title) The point of interest is whether it can create a pull back pattern
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
With this decline, the BW (100) line was created at the 72344.74 point.
Therefore, the key is whether it can rise above 72344.74.
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The price is passing the StErr Line around 71280.01, and the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is passing around 68393.48.
Therefore, if it is supported and rises between the M-Signal and StErr Line on the 1D chart, a short-term pullback will form.
If not, and it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is highly likely that it will show a short-term downtrend.
For this reason, as I mentioned yesterday, if it is supported between the M-Signal and 70148.34 on the 1D chart, it is time to buy more.
However, in order to buy more like this, a split sale must have been made before.
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If not, and you need to buy new,
1. When it is supported around 67414.39-68393.48,
2. When it breaks through 72344.74,
there are two methods above.
The prerequisite for buying new is that the StochRSI indicator is below 50 and shows an upward trend.
If not, and the StochRSI indicator is above 50 or showing a downward trend, it is better not to buy.
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(1h chart)
The linear regression channel indicator has set the length to 50, so the channel moves over time.
The channel is showing a change from an uptrend to a downtrend.
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Back to the main story, the point of observation is whether the price can be maintained by rising above the 5EMA of the 1D chart and whether it can rise above the middle line of the channel.
If it fails to rise, volatility is expected to occur while touching the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart.
Accordingly, as I mentioned on the 1D chart, we can see that the points 68393.48, 70148.34, and 71280.01 are important support and resistance points.
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If you bought below 68393.48, you can see that the area around 68393.48 is the last selling point.
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If the StochRSI indicator is above 50, it is better to find a time to sell, and if the StochRSI indicator is below 50, it is better to find a time to buy.
However, this is only when you are trying to make a new trade.
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I am currently holding a long position.
And, since I thought it would create a pull back pattern and rise, I gave you an example of additional buying in the idea yesterday.
So, I didn't mention SHORT this time.
I think this SHORT position is likely to end sooner than expected.
USDC is volatile, so it can show a gap down at any time.
However, since USDT is continuously showing a gap uptrend, it can be seen that the coin market is likely to continue its upward trend.
And, because BTC dominance is on the rise.
The rise in BTC dominance also means that funds are concentrated on BTC.
Therefore, when BTC dominance is on the rise, it can be seen that it is more advantageous to trade BTC than altcoins.
If USDT dominance falls below 4.97 and is maintained or shows a downward trend, I think the coin market is likely to start an uptrend.
In order for this uptrend to lead to an altcoin uptrend, BTC dominance must fall below 55.01 and be maintained or show a downward trend.
If not, there is a possibility that it will become a strange uptrend where only BTC rises, so be careful when trading altcoins.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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The latest bull attack this monthTo date, the market is clearly working out according to the planned plan. We are still collecting work-outs, but it is worth being on the alert as we approach the end of the month. As the middle of the month progressed, we expected to see a wave of growth to consolidate the monthly bullish candle. As I wrote in the last review, as we approach the end of the month, we should expect a second wave of growth to finally consolidate the month bullish on the tops. Against this background, a new wave of growth began with the flips of monthly candlesticks and altos.
As always, the opening level of the new month will be of great importance. The opening levels of the half-year and quarter still technically support growth, but there is an extremely negative picture with a growing dollar and falling oil, which puts a lot of pressure on the crypt and increases the activity of sellers, which is why we have already seen a stronger correction from the 2750 ether test than expected. The 2500 level was broken again, which indicates a breakdown of the bullish trend and gives a signal for a new attempt to go to 2000 in the future. The next month is the central one in the quarter and the final direction for the end of the year and the five-year plan will be chosen, which can lead to a very strong increase in volatility and new large drawdowns for the altos. Given this picture, after collecting the latest developments this week, it is worth carefully weighing money management and reducing positions in the work before determining the direction of the new month.
Most of the coins that I have taken into work show good dynamics and are in the top of growth, troy has shown itself most well. Most of the goals were taken, so far I'm not considering it anymore. Among the coins without a monitoring tag, only vib remained the most attractive, with a likely increase by a retest of 0.125-150 and above. The weekly candle opened quite negatively on the ast. Unpleasant signals were also left for a new local fracture. Today, it was not possible to gain a foothold above 0.1 and give a local overshoot of the previous momentum. In addition, the ast was delisted with okx, which is an additional negative signal and a reason for a local fracture. In this regard, I reduced my position on the 0.1 test. For now, there is a possibility of a higher breakdown in the coming days when fixing above 0.1, but with a lower probability in my opinion than for vib.
In addition to vib, among the coins of binance, only coins with the monitoring tag remained in the most oversold position. Such assets are often the last to grow and may show good momentum in the coming days. OAX still has the top potential among them, with the nearest targets at a retest of the range 0.20-25 and an exit to the test of 0.35 in an optimistic scenario. Secondly, I am again considering the work of pros, a partnership with which was announced last week by Metalpha. The immediate goal for him, while maintaining the current emission, is a retest of the 0.50-75 range and a test of 1.0 under an optimistic scenario. Also, waves of growth up to 30-50% can still show vite and hard. When choosing the position size, do not forget that coins with the monitoring tag, although they have the greatest growth potential, still retain the probability of delisting.
To save funds in the medium term, gft looks the most interesting so far due to its high liquidity.
BITCOIN TARGETING ALL TIME HIGHS - BTC LONG IDEAI projected and shared the idea that Bitcoin would reach $70,000 and potentially $73,000 within a few days. It happened in just two days! I hope you took the trade and made some profits, as I did.
Now, I’m preparing to position myself with the expectation that we’ll reach all-time highs within a week or two.
We recently broke a massive bearish trendline that has held since March 2024. Just before that, a daily demand zone formed, which helped break the trendline, making it a key area for me. Additionally, the equilibrium level of the bullish leg aligns perfectly with my point of interest.
I expect the price to retrace to the daily demand zone, hit the discount Fibonacci area, test the trendline, and take off from there toward new all-time highs.
Of course, I’ll be looking for lower time-frame confirmations before initiating a long position.
BITCOIN Closed 2 straight green 1M candles after 7 months!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is closing today the monthly (1M) candle and unless it drops by 7000 in a few hours, it will close the month of October in green. That will be the 2nd straight green 1M candle since March!
This 7 month consolidation period is no stranger to BTC as such patterns, where there are no straight green 1M candles, are standard Accumulation Phases that we see during Bull Cycles. So far on the current one we've had three (including March 2024) and once the market closed 2 straight green 1M candles, it rallied.
The 2019 - 2021 Bull Cycle had three such straight green candle occasions and a very clear Accumulation Phase, while the 2015 - 2018 Cycle had numerous. One thing is clear based on this multi-year chart. When the market closes two straight green 1M candles, it is always a good signal to buy.
But what do you think? Do you find this indicator reliable? Are you buying based on this? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Btc otw for new highBitcoin Hits My Buy Zone
BTC has reached my buy zone, located between the 0.382 and 1.618 Fibonacci levels from wave A. My targeted buy range was $70,800 - $70,150. Now, I expect it to gradually start moving upward. I have three targets for this move:
TP 1: $74,100
TP 2: $74,500
TP 3: $75,000
Disclaimer:
⚠️ This is not financial advice! All information provided is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Trading carries a high risk and may result in the loss of capital.
Bitcoin Analysis==>>New All-Time High(ATH) is Loading!!!For a better view of Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), I suggest you read yesterday's post first.👇
As I expected, Bitcoin corrected to the Support zone($72,000-$70,820) and is currently moving in a descending channel(small) .
According to Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin has completed wave 4 and we should wait for wave 5 .
I expect Bitcoin will touch New All-Time High(ATH) soon. (After breaking the upper line of the ascending channel).
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin falls below the Support zone($72,000-$70,820), it may fall further.⚠️
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BTC - Bearish Pressure Soon?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 As per my last analysis, attached on the chart, BTC rejected the red structure and traded higher creating a new short-term structure marked in orange.
However, BTC is currently hovering around the upper bound of the channel and all-time high $74,000.
🏹For the bulls to remain in control long-term , a weekly candle close above $74,000 is needed.
📉In parallel, if the last minor low at $71,000 is broken downward, a bearish correction towards the lower blue trendline would be expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
ETHEREUM is 1.1 TRILLION DOLLARS less valuable than BITCOINor -78%
The flippening was a common narrative.
ETH as hard money was also a narrative - in reality only when gas is exorbitant.
ETH as a world computer was the early narrative.
Bitcoin deserves it entry on to the world stage cycle.
ETH can become a 1 Trillion dollar + network.
Sharding and splintering of the network effects of the mainet clearly is not value creating. Splitting of communities and economic energy was the result.
Solana flippening is a good narrative that we are following this cycle.
Coins are the product of these smart contract platforms.
At the moment the best coin factory is SOL.
BTC is scarce. No coins are allowed to be created on it's. The Bitcoin forks had the stink of a founder, a human attached to it's network ... not what capital allocators.
They wanted a autonomous network that runs by itself and ossificatoin of the code. A complicated spaghetti bowl of code that the core dev team refuse to tinker with.
The results is clear at this point in time.
Bitcoin- Consolidation before ATH, but what next?At this moment, a new all-time high for BINANCE:BTCUSD seems likely, especially given the consolidation just below the previous ATH and the technical target from the small symmetrical triangle, which could push BTC above 75k soon.
However, I think the broader push everyone anticipates may not materialize.
Even if BTC briefly surpasses 80k, a 10-15% gain might not mean much in the grand scheme.
The media frenzy and crypto influencers projecting Bitcoin to pass 100k by year-end raise some caution for me.
I anticipate a peak around 80k or so, followed by a pullback into the familiar 50k–70k range, rather than a sustained breakout.
In summary, while I may buy in the short term, I’ll be closely watching for signs of weakness.
If these appear, I’ll switch to a short position, as I believe a false breakout from this flag pattern is a realistic scenario.