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BTC Bitcoin Technical Rebound Despite Whale Short Position !If you haven`t sold this recent top on BTC: Now Bitcoin (BTC) has recently pulled back, but signs are emerging that a technical rebound could be imminent. A large crypto investor, or whale, has reportedly opened a 40x leveraged short position for over 4,442 BTC (valued at over $368 million), effectively betting on a near-term price drop. However, this appears to be more of a short-term, low-volume trade rather than a sustained bearish position. Given the high leverage involved, the whale will likely seek to close the position soon with a modest profit rather than holding it as a long-term directional bet. Weekend trading volumes tend to be lower, which could contribute to short-term price weakness — but once the position is closed, buying pressure could return, fueling a recovery. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is currently near key support levels, with momentum indicators like the RSI signaling oversold conditions. Historically, similar setups have led to sharp rebounds as short covering and renewed bullish sentiment drive prices higher. My price target for Bitcoin is $97,500 by the end of the year, which would represent a recovery of approximately 15-20% from current levels. If the whale closes the short position and broader market sentiment stabilizes, Bitcoin could quickly regain upward momentum toward this target.
Long
by TopgOptions
2
BTC/USDT weekly chart shows a classic technical analysis patternThe BTC/USDT weekly chart shows a classic technical analysis pattern Support and resistance levels: There is clear horizontal resistance around $83,000, represented by the green line. The potential support level is marked around $78,000. The chart shows a “cup and handle” structure, which could indicate bullish potential if the price breaks above the resistance. An upward trend line is also present, reinforcing bullish sentiment as long as the price remains above it. Currently trading around $83,436, noticeable price action reflects market sentiment towards potential future highs. Keep an eye on breakouts above resistance for bullish signals or declines below support levels for potential bearish sentiment. Always consider market volatility and use risk management strategies when trading. If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters! Thanks for your support! DYOR. NFA
by CryptoSanders9563
1
Bitcoin’s Battlefield: Support, Resistance and Trade SetupsBitcoin’s price has been showing signs of a sustained downtrend after forming a double top pattern. The recent action, combined with low volume and failure to breach key resistance zones, points to a likely retest of lower levels. Over the weekend, the price couldn’t break past the 85K resistance, and the low trading volume around this level suggests that buyer interest is waning. 6H TF Chart: Big Picture vs. Short-Term Action On a higher timeframe (6H), my indicator neatly outlines the bear market of 2022 and the bull market that started in early 2023—when the “cloud” turned green, signaling a shift in momentum. The cloud's lower boundary is currently at $73,364, which is key. Imo, holding above 70K is critical for keeping that bullish vibe alive. 1H TF Chart: Switching over to the 1H chart, the picture shows a bearish structure. The upper resistance around 95K (which aligns with the yearly open near $93,455.85) is proving a solid resistance. The anchored VWAP from the all-time high also sits right at this level, adding more weight to the resistance. Bulls need to clear this yearly open to signal a true recovery. Key Levels & Confluence Zones 1.) Upper Resistance – 93K to 95K: The 95K zone aligns closely with the yearly open ($93,455.85) and the anchored VWAP from the all-time high, both acting as resistance. Daily moving averages (62 EMA at ~$91,316 and 62 SMA at ~$94,900) provide further confluence. Additional resistance between 85K-86K. 2.) Critical Support – 73K to 70K Zone: The lower edge of the cloud on the 6H timeframe sits around 73K. The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement (from the low at $15,473.78 to the all-time high at $109,354) is at $73,492, while the 0.618 retracement (from $49,217 to the all-time high) is around $72,205. Moving Averages on Weekly Chart: The weekly 62 EMA ($72,919) and 62 SMA ($71,590) align well with this support region. Additional Support: A bullish monthly order block at $71,320 adds another layer of confluence. Psychological Importance: A hold above 70K is critical to maintaining bullish momentum. 3.) Monthly Open – $83,385.74: This level serves as a pivot: price is currently hovering below it. A reclaim by bulls would be a positive sign for higher price action, while a rejection reinforces the bearish setup. Trade Setups Long Trade Setup: Entry: Consider laddering in between 75K and 70K as the price retests support. Take Profit: Aim for the monthly open (~84K) initially, and if support holds and flips, a move toward 90K could be considered. Stop Loss: Set below 70K to protect against a further downturn. Short Trade Setup: Entry: A short setup can start at the monthly open, using a laddering approach between 84K and about 86.9K. Take Profit: Target the previous low or 74K. Stop Loss: Place just above 87K to keep risk in check. Thank you for taking the time to read through this technical analysis. I hope it provides valuable insights for your trading decisions. Happy trading!
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by SiDec
9
Dead Cat Bounce BTCUSDT🚨 High-Risk Analysis 🚨 This setup isn’t for the faint-hearted. It’s like trying to catch falling knives while blindfolded. But for those who thrive on risk—here’s the analysis. 📉 We've reached the second bottom. (No one truly knows how deep the rabbit hole can go…) Despite the uncertainty, we take control of our trade, set a strict stop-loss, and see if our cat still has one more jump left. 🔥 Factors in Favor of a Bounce: ✅ Deviation from the sloping trendline ✅ Formation of a second bottom ✅ Reversion to the mean price ✅ Approach to a major level, allowing for a tight stop-loss and an optimal risk-reward setup ✅ Candle wicks signaling potential price movement ⚠️ Bearish Risks: Strong trend pressure could push lower Lack of volume may fail to drive momentum Final Thoughts: This remains a high-risk trade, but with a strong profit potential, as long as stop-loss discipline is maintained. 🎯 Good luck to those taking the risk. Victory will be ours! 🚀🔥
Long
by chernyshev.ilia
1
$QQQ WARNING! April Fool's Market a Joke this year at SUB $400Is this happening? I'm going to have to bet my money on yes. I have been doing this for a long time. Pattern Chart Trading . This has a high probability of happening imo. Is it absolute? Of course not. Is it better to be prepared? Absolutely. Now for the technicals of it.. I'm trying to do better with this... If we take a bearish perspective on the fib from the previous high in December , and the most previous lower low mid January , we have ourselves at the 1.61 Golden Pocket below. I have a Bullish perspective if we hold here and move above the 1.00 Fib Level, mid January Lows at $499.70 . Last defense would be a 50% retracement to the .786 FIB at the $508 area. Currently, I expect a rally to the 50 day SMA for a retest, then a SLAM to $380s in April . This is the possibility. Take it with a Grain of Salt. The possibility is there. I have one Bullish outlook.. I will post after this...
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by TazmanianTrader
Bitcoin's left translated cycle - new lowsLet’s analyze both Cycle Market theories separately: 60-Day Cycle Status Bitcoin printed a new cycle low on February 28. While many expected a rebound, it carved another low a week later, leading into a left-translated cycle (price trends downward for over half the cycle). We’re now on day 16, hovering just above the $78,000 low. Further downside is likely in coming weeks. Multi-Timeframe Cycle Breakdown 2-Week Cycle: Will dip below 20 by Monday’s close, marking the start of accumulation (long-term oversold conditions). 1-Week Cycle: Broken below 20 and stuck there for two months – a reversal is imminent, signaling mid-term upside. 3-Day Cycle: Also below 20, confirming short-term bullish momentum. 1-Day Cycle: Topping above 80, hinting at a brief pullback soon. Consensus : Both theories suggest a rally toward the 60-Day Cycle high (days 20-30), aligning with the 3-Day Cycle peak. However, we may see one final dip when the 3-Day Cycle resets to 20 before the bull run resumes.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TheStrategyMaster
1
BTC | USD - The Crypto Rodeo with PipGuardBTC | USD - The Crypto Rodeo with PipGuard Hello, fellow financial misfits! Already regretting not closing your trade when you were in profit? Don’t worry, you’re in excellent company. Before we dive in, let’s get one thing straight: if my analysis is saving you from ending up like FTX , then do yourself a favor— drop a boost, follow me, and leave a comment! 🚀 LET’S GO: - Analysis to compare with the previous one that gave us a sweet 6K move, from 82K to 76K. Well done, colleagues! No Ferraris this time either, but at least you won’t have to sell your cat to cover your margin call. 🐱💸 CURRENT SITUATION: THE MARKET CIRCUS Here we are, fresh update just for you, because I know that without my guidance, you’re staring at your charts like a confused goldfish. 🐟 Meanwhile, while Bitcoin figures out whether to go up, down, or just mess with us all, the real world keeps delivering its fair share of nonsense. Trump (a.k.a. the blond guy with a ramen wig) 🍜 is still keeping us entertained, while geopolitics is tangled up like a pair of earphones in your pocket. And now, get this: Russia is using Bitcoin to trade oil with China and India. 🔹 Mother Russia’s Trick: 1. China and India pay for oil in yuan or rupees. 2. Everything gets converted into Bitcoin and other cryptos. 3. Russia cashes in and smirks while sipping vodka. 🍷😏 Meanwhile, we’re stuck dealing with KYC, banks blocking our withdrawals, and regulations changing every five minutes, while Putin is out here trading like a Wall Street shark. And us? Just trying not to get wrecked by the market. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - BITCOIN’S MAZE 📈 General trend: Still bullish, but with the emotional stability of a trader on 50x leverage in a pump & dump. 🎢 📌 Current price: 83K 📌 Key level: 84K, possible bearish rejection. 📌 Warning! It might push up to 87-86K to grab liquidity before pulling a textbook dump. 📌 Fun fact: If it closes above 87K on a higher timeframe, we could see a bullish reversal signal. Otherwise, grab your helmet, because we’re going down. 🪂 PRICE TARGETS 📉 Bearish targets: 1. 80.140K 2. 76.600K 3. 74.000K 4. 70.000K 5. 66.000K (if we hit this, light a candle for crypto) 🔥 📈 Bullish targets: 1. 86.700K 2. 89.000K 3. 92.000K 4. 95.000K 5. 102.000K (if we get there, big party and we all buy a Lambo… toy version) 🚗 If you enjoyed this analysis, support PipGuard , because financial information served with sarcasm and expertise is the only kind worth reading. Follow, boost, and comment, or I’ll send you a chart with invisible candles on a white background. 🎭 Until next time, may volatility be with you! PipGuard 🚀
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by PipGuard
6
Bitcoin: 80K For Higher Low Long This Week.Bitcoin has retraced off the of the 76K to 78K AREA and established a double bottom formation (see arrows). I specifically mentioned this in my previous article and talked about it further during my most recent stream. While a bear flag formation IS now present, which implies weakness on the horizon, I anticipate a higher low support around the 80K area this week (see illustration). If it breaks, then 76K should be watched for another double bottom or failed low formation which offers attractive price points for swing trade long opportunities. This is a wild environment because we have tons of unexpected news constantly affecting the market while at the same time the highest seasonal volume (compared to August). This means moves will be BIG on both sides of the market, people will OVER react AND opinions will be more costly than usual. The first step to navigating such an environment effectively as a swing trader is to FOCUS on LEVELS and NOT news. No matter what the news is, either a level is going to be respected or its not. By focusing on what the herd is not, you can gain an advantage on the market, even if its brief. Along with that, if you understand how to use dollar cost averaging effectively in this environment, you can start a position slightly earlier while waiting for confirmation before you add. An example of this is while watching for test of 80K, you buy a small position which you can take pain on, which means a much wider than usual stop. IF confirmation appears, you add. While it is possible that after the add the market goes against you, the PROBABILITY of the location and formation FAVORS a positive outcome more. In cases like this it is worth the risk. If 80K breaks without any confirmation, you are still small and you lose less than you normally would because of the adjusted size. When market sentiment reaches extremes, THIS is when you want to pay CLOSE attention, especially during BEARISH extremes. In order for a market to reach attractive prices, mews typically needs to be negative. During such times, traders tend to avoid the market because the market looks "bad" yet, these same traders buy aggressively at the WORST prices, typically the highs when everything looks "great". One of my long time followers during my stream mentioned he was interested in buying, but only taking small bites because things looked so bearish. My response was that I usually suggest small bites at highs, and right now we are no where near the highs, so slightly greater risk can be justified at these prices for swing trades and investing. Assuming risk requires confidence. What gives me such confidence is being able to gauge potential risk through analyzing price structure and levels. Wave counts are very helpful in this regard and help me shape reasonable expectations. In this context, Bitcoin at 76K MAY be the Wave 4 bottom. As long as 65K is not touched, a Wave 4 bottom can otherwise be established somewhere between 76K and 66K if 76K breaks. This will go against ALL of the bearish sentiment required to push prices to such levels. Navigating this effectively means you will have to put your contrarian hat on. Pay attention to the levels and confirmations, not what people are saying. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
7
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Potential Bullish BreakoutCurrent Market Overview: Price: $83,295 24h Change: -1.24% (-$1,043.43) Exchange: Binance (2-Day Timeframe) Technical Breakdown: Support Levels: 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement: ~$77,262 – This level has acted as a significant support area. Trendline Support: Bitcoin is currently bouncing off a key ascending trendline that has been respected since mid-2023. Major Fibonacci Support: Lower retracement levels at $67,346 (50%), $57,430 (61.8%), and $50,539 (70%) indicate potential deeper corrections if the trendline breaks. Resistance Levels: Key Resistance at $106,183 - $109,588: A breakout above this zone could trigger a rally toward new all-time highs. Psychological Level at $100,000: A critical milestone for BTC that could act as temporary resistance. Bullish Scenario: If Bitcoin maintains support above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and trendline, a potential breakout above $109,588 could push prices toward $130,000. The upward projection aligns with historical price action and Fibonacci extensions. Bearish Scenario: A break below $77,262 could lead to further downside, with possible retracements to $67,346 (50%) or lower levels like $50,539 (70%). The long-term trendline breakdown would be a major bearish signal. Conclusion & Strategy: Short-Term: Look for confirmation of support at $77,262 before entering long positions. Mid-Term: If BTC breaks $109,588 with volume confirmation, a bullish rally toward $130,000 is likely. Risk Management: A drop below $77,000 could invalidate the bullish setup, prompting caution. 🚀 Bullish Outlook Above $109,588 | ⚠️ Caution Below $77,000
by ultreosforex
1
BCH: Current SituationYou asked, and we delivered. Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is trading at $331, a pivotal level that’s acting as a battleground between buyers and sellers. This price sits near a critical support zone, and recent price action shows BCH struggling to push higher amid broader crypto market weakness. The total crypto market cap has dropped by 4.4% in the last 24 hours, putting pressure on altcoins like BCH and fostering a cautious sentiment. Social media buzz, especially on platforms like X, has flagged $330 as a make-or-break level, holding here could spark optimism, while a breakdown might fuel bearish momentum. That said, take these posts with a grain of salt; they’re often speculative and lack the full technical or fundamental picture. Technical Breakdown: What the Charts Are Saying Short-Term (1-Hour and Daily Charts) Support Levels: Immediate: $330 – A close below this could signal trouble. Next: $315.58 – A deeper drop might test this level if selling picks up. Resistance Levels: Immediate: $339 – A hurdle to watch for any upside push. Next: $350 – A tougher ceiling that’s rejected recent rallies. Indicators: MACD: Bearish crossover, suggesting short-term weakness. RSI: At 46.40, it’s neutral but leaning bearish, room to fall or bounce. Moving Averages: Price is below the 20-period MA on the 1-hour chart, a sign of near-term softness. Pattern: A falling wedge is forming, a setup that could hint at a bullish reversal if BCH breaks above the upper trendline with solid volume. Long-Term (Weekly and Monthly Charts) Support Levels: Key: $300 – A major floor to hold for bulls. Next: $263 – A deeper correction could target this if $300 fails. Resistance Levels: Key: $536 – A 50% Fibonacci retracement level and a big hurdle. Next: $800 – A long-term target if momentum flips bullish. Indicators: 200-Day MA: Trending down, reflecting prolonged bearish pressure. RSI/MACD: Neutral on weekly, with no extreme signals yet. Pattern: A double-bottom around $300 is worth watching, confirmation could spark a reversal, while a drop below $263 would sour the outlook. Potential Scenarios: What Could Happen Next? Short-Term Scenarios Bullish Case: If BCH holds $330 and punches through $339 with strong volume, it could climb to $350. A break above $350 might target $380, especially if MACD flips bullish. Look for a volume surge to confirm this move. Bearish Case: A close below $330 could trigger a slide to $315.58, or even $300 if selling accelerates. High volume on the drop would lock in bearish control, watch this closely. Long-Term Scenarios Bullish Case: Holding $300 and breaking $536 could kick off a new uptrend, with $800 or higher in sight by 2026. This depends on a crypto market rebound and growing BCH adoption for payments. Bearish Case: A sustained fall below $300 might drag BCH to $263 or lower, especially if altcoins stay weak. This would kill the double-bottom setup and point to a longer downtrend. Broader Context: What’s Driving BCH? Market Sentiment: BCH’s identity as a scalable, low-fee payment option (thanks to bigger block sizes) keeps it in the game, but it faces stiff competition from other coins and regulatory uncertainty. Adoption is key, more real-world use could lift its value. Tech Developments: Network upgrades enhancing scalability could boost BCH’s appeal. Watch for news on this front. External Factors: Crypto prices often dance to macro tunes, think regulatory shifts, US economic data (like inflation), or Bitcoin’s moves. These could sway BCH in either direction. Practical Tips for Traders and Investors Risk Management: Crypto’s wild, set tight stop-losses and don’t over-leverage. A stop below $330 for shorts or $315 for longs could save your bacon. Volume is King: Breakouts or breakdowns without volume are suspect. Wait for confirmation. Stay Flexible: Markets shift fast, keep an eye on news and adjust your plan as needed.
by MonoCoinSignal
DOGE RUN IS OVER! TAKE PROFITS OR HOLD YOUR BAGS TILL 2025!Its clear that the doge run is pretty much over. DOGE is headed back down to $.05 and possibly lower over the next few years to maybe below 1 cent, till the next potential crypto run around 2025. These little pumps from Elon and friends is all just a joke so they can empty their bags and have the liquidity to do it while everyone else is buying in to these hypes. I said this weeks ago if you look at my other chart that this thing needs years to consolidate and correct. It outpaced the market in its run and went straight up and in this market anything that goes straight up comes straight down. Also there is no use case and DOGE is not being used, this is all a hype run and a get rich quick pump and dump. Once the rest of the market starts the next run up DOGE may have a bounce but only in dollar value as everything is pegged to Bitcoin but its BTC/DOGE ration will fall. If you believe in the tech then hold your bags and stop looking at the price. If you are just trying to make some money then this may be the time to get out and take profits if you haven't already or cut your losses if you bought in at the top. Good Luck. If you have any questions or just appreciate this idea then leave me a comment. Follow me for frequent updates as well and if you have a chart you would like me to look at then let me know. Thank you all and good luck. NOT FINANCIAL OR TRADING ADVICE JUST MY OPINION.
BITTREX:DOGEUSDShort
by Bitgolder
46
LUNC Luna Classic Is About To DieA lot of these tokens in the next couple years are going to bleed out to zero. With the new Bitcoin ETFs and big money in the space they arent buying Luna, or BNB, or name your coin. They are buying what regulators have allowed them to buy. So far thats only Bitcoin,Ethereum, Litecoin, and Bitcoin Cash. This next bullrun will be utility, and regulatory based for the big players. People holding these tokens like LUNC are going to eventually dump. Luna will never go to even a penny never mind a dollar. Its looking extremely bearish to me. Maybe one more dead cat bounce before Luna falls into the shadow realms. LUNA wont be the only one suffering this fate either. This next bullrun and after is going to delete most of the crap out there. You'll always have the casino where people play hot potato with the meme coins that come out every minute of the day. Real money is not going into this stuff though. Good luck and I wish you all the best, hate to see LUNA get rugged a second time, that would be some serious salt in the wounds. Not financial advice. Descending triangle and Stoch RSI pointed straight down.
KRAKEN:LUNAUSDShort
by Bitgolder
9
BTC shows signs of Downward trend with truncated wave5Bitcoins price uptrend from its recent lows appears to be out of gas. This can be shown using the elliot wave theory on the recent impulse wave where BTC price has produced a truncated wave 5 A truncated fifth wave signals exhaustion in the prevailing trend and warns of an imminent reversal. This pattern demonstrates that buyers (in an uptrend) or sellers (in a downtrend) lack conviction to push prices to new extremes. Truncations precede significant corrections or reversals. The strength of Wave B (reaching higher than the truncated Wave 5) suggests significant countertrend momentum. This often occurs in flat corrections. Typically, C waves extend to specific Fibonacci levels: 100% of A wave - This would target approximately $78,500 1.618 of A wave - (common C wave extension) - This would target around $76,000-$77,000 2.618 × A wave - (extended C wave) - This could reach as low as $73,000-$74,000 This seems to coincide with what I've been saying these past 3 months that the 74k level needs to be reached and the liquidity that price wants to take advantage of will need to be confronted before BTC will be able to reach this market cycles ATH.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by dasBoot
EURUSD UPDATED Strategic Outlook 2025: 0.9000 PT BEARS 📉 **EUR/USD Weekly Outlook Update** 🔹 **Downtrend Intact**: The **EUR/USD** downtrend has been well-defined since **2009**, and a recent **strong rejection** after a period of distribution confirms bearish momentum. 🔹 **Technical Target 🎯**: - **Short-term Outlook**: EUR/USD is set to hit **0.95** by **summer 2025**. - **Year-End Projection**: Expected to end **2025 at 0.9000**. - **Upside Cap**: Limited to **1.13** at most in 2025. 🔹 **Key Reasons for Further Decline** 📉: - **Strong USD (DXY Strength) 💪** - **Firm U.S. Political Leadership 🇺🇸** vs. **Weak EU Leadership 🇪🇺** - **Fragile Eurozone Economy 🏦** ## 📊 **Why the Eurozone is Set for Further Decline** 🔻 **Slow Economic Growth ⏳** - The **Eurozone's economy** is growing at a sluggish pace compared to other regions. - **Weak domestic demand**, **low productivity growth**, and **high export dependency** on slower-growing markets (e.g., China 🇨🇳) weigh on investor confidence and euro demand. 🔻 **Demographic Challenges 👴📉** - Aging populations in **Germany, Italy, and Spain** reduce the labor force. - Higher pressure on **social services & pension systems** slows long-term growth potential. 🔻 **High Energy Prices & Inflation 🔥📊** - The **energy crisis** (exacerbated by the Russia-Ukraine war 🇷🇺🇺🇦) raises business costs. - **Inflation remains high**, limiting the **ECB’s ability** to stimulate growth without worsening price pressures. 🔻 **Geopolitical Tensions & Economic Risks ⚠️🌍** - The **Ukraine war & energy disruptions** hit Europe harder than other regions. - **Reliance on Russian energy** led to severe **supply shocks**, further weakening the eurozone economy. 🔻 **Eurozone Structural Issues 🏗️❌** - Economic **imbalances between member states** (Germany & France strong, Italy & Greece weak). - **Common monetary policy** limits individual governments’ ability to react to crises. - **High debt burdens** in weaker economies drag down overall performance. 🔻 **Tight Fiscal Policies 💰🚫** - **EU fiscal rules** restrict deficit spending, limiting government stimulus efforts. - **Lack of fiscal unity** prevents stronger coordinated responses to economic downturns. 📌 **Bottom Line for EUR/USD Traders** ✅ The **downtrend remains dominant** 📉. ✅ **Technical & fundamental** factors favor a **weaker euro**. ✅ Expect further declines **toward 0.95 by summer & 0.90 by year-end**. ✅ Limited upside beyond **1.05** in 2025. 🚀 **Stay updated & trade wisely!** 💹
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
24
Weekly Market Analysis - 16th March 2025 (DXY, NZD, ES, BTC)This is weekly market analysis of a few pairs (DXY, NZD, ES, BTC). I haven't done one of these in a while, but here it is! I would have done more pairs but the video was already 30 minutes long and I went into more teaching rather than pure analysis. I hope you found it insightful to your own trading, because what I teach is the truth of the market regardless of whatever specific strategy you use for trading. Anything can make money in the markets, but of course, risk management and discipline rule all. - R2F Trading
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Road_2_Funded
Bitcoin Reversal or Dead Cat Bounce? Here's My Trading Plan! Analyzing BTC on the higher timeframe, we observe a clear structural shift in the prevailing trend 📊. Dropping down to the 4-hour chart, there is a decisive bullish break 📈, leaving behind an imbalance following the initial move—an area that could serve as a retracement target 🎯. Notably, this imbalance aligns with a Fibonacci retracement into equilibrium 📐, adding confluence to the setup. I am considering a long position 💰, but only if the key conditions outlined in the video materialize ✅. If those conditions fail to align, I will discard this trade idea ❌. ⚠️ Not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSD
by fxtraderanthony
$BTC MACD on weekly show a bearish trend. Read.You can see on the chart that in May 2024 I issued a warning, and look at what happened over the next five months. The same pattern is repeating now, and there’s a high probability we’ll see a similar result. Back in May 2024, the usual crowd—MMCrypto, That Martini Guy, Ash, Crypto Rover, etc.—were all saying things like, “We’re going to 110k,” “To the moon,” or “A huge bullish breakout is coming.” What did we actually get? Five months of consolidation and an -80% drop for most altcoins. So consider this a warning. The MACD on the weekly chart is a reliable indicator of the trend. Exchanges aren’t going to go against the trend. Even if there’s a ton of liquidity at 107k, they won’t risk buying billions worth of Bitcoin just to get wrecked by the prevailing trend and be forced to sell at a lower price than they purchased. Those pointing to the liquidity map at 107k are missing the point. Exchanges take the easier path. Going from 97k to 107k is plausible in an uptrend, but in a downtrend? No chance. What to Expect Now? Since this chart is on the weekly timeframe, there will be daily bounces. Some altcoins may see 10-20% gains if you time the bottom and top correctly. However, for holders, this is not a good time to hold. Is Invalidation Possible? Yes, but consider this: they’ve tried to break the trend five times and failed. The chance of a reversal now is about 1 in 9. It’s possible, but unlikely. Key Support Levels Support levels to watch are 95k, 91k, 85k, and 70k. While we might not drop as low as 70k, it’s better to be prepared. What’s Next? By May 2025, we’ll likely reach the end of this bearish trend, followed by a one-month altseason and a big BTC pump. However, starting in July 2025, we’re likely to face another five months of bearish consolidation. The introduction of ETFs has shifted the crypto cycle into a new paradigm of five months of consolidation followed by one month of pumping. As always, DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
by CryptoNikkoid
17