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Btc!

Bitcoin is Ready to Fall Below $90,000!!!Reasons!!!As I expected in the last few posts, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) seems to have started a major correction . Please be with me. First, let's take a look at the weekly chart analysis that I shared with you on November 12, 2024 , which almost gave you an All-Time High(ATH) in both time and price . Let's examine the Bitcoin chart on the 4-hour time frame in terms of Classic Technical Analysis . Bitcoin seems to be forming the right shoulder of the Head and Shoulders Pattern . So that in terms of the validity of this pattern , the following two points can be pointed out: 1- During the time when the right shoulder reached $104,000, it was 8 days and 4 hours that the right shoulder was not able to reach $104,000 during this period, and this shows the weakness of buyers or the strength of sellers along the path of the right shoulder. 2- Regular Divergence(RD-) between the right and left shoulders between the price and the volume indicator. In terms of Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin, over the past 18 days , seems to be forming an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) corrective pattern, with the main wave C ending at $102,725 . ( I mentioned this in the update of yesterday's post ). If we look at the chart of USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ), as I said in the update of yesterday's post , we should have waited for the increase of USDT.D% (due to the sensitive position it was in). I expect USDT.D% to attack the upper line of the descending channel soon . I expect Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) and the neckline of the Head and Shoulders Pattern soon, and if it breaks, we should expect Bitcoin to drop to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Support line s and 100_SMA(Daily) and then Bitcoin can fill the CME Gap($80,670-$77,100) . 🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏 Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
50
BTC - Slight Distribution After Nearly 10xMorning my fellow traders, and happy new year! I hope you do not have a hangover right now. But if you do, get a tea going, it usually does the trick for me! I can't deny the possibilities for another rally to take out the highs, but I'm thinking what the market makers are planning is a simple inverted Adam & Eve pattern that will lead us to new opportunities within the next month or so. Keep in mind that for sometime now Alts have not been giving, and I believe that after this next Alt season (which I believe we will still get), they will keep giving less and less. I sold near $100k for probably a couple weeks now. Did not get a perfect $108k sale, which is fine. Now I'll focus on a reentry if this plays out. Trade thirsty, my friends!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by mr_willmedina
SOL | Waiting on ETH for NEW ATHSolana has barely made a new ATH - basically topping out at nearly the exact same place as the previous ATH made in Nov 2021. As Ii said in yesterdays update on ETH, there is no way BTC makes such a dramatic new ATH and ETH (and Solana) stay behind. We can expect SOL and ETH to increase when BTC continues to trade range above 95k. This could be another multi-month playout, although ETH usually peaks rapidly at the end of the cycle, which is noteworthy from yesterday's analysis. ___________________ BINANCE:SOLUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD
Long
by CryptoCheck-
key performance of sentiment cycle indicatorI couldn’t resist sharing this idea again because the performance of the Sentiment Cycle Indicator continues to impress, as demonstrated by the latest chart. This post follows up on the idea I shared yesterday, showcasing the indicator’s ability to identify price manipulation and avoid market traps. Let me explain: Around midnight on Wednesday (yesterday at 00:00 hours), the market was in a sideways phase. The indicator briefly signaled a buy, followed by a small sell signal, before going sideways again. Later, it gave a sell signal, and after another sideways period, it returned to sell mode. What’s remarkable is how accurately the indicator identifies these phases, guiding you through periods of low volume and reduced market activity. • The Red and Green Backgrounds: These represent clear buy and sell signals, helping traders act with confidence. • No green/red background or Plain chart: This signify sideways markets, where no significant signals are detected, helping traders avoid over-trading or entering low-probability trades. (highlighted in blue line border box) Notice the two marked blue areas—these are prime examples of how the indicator detects manipulative sideways phases, keeping you out of risky trades. It lets you stay disciplined by waiting for confirmed buy or sell signals, avoiding unnecessary losses. Additionally: • Stop-Loss Options: The indicator allows you to set your stop-loss either on the same candle or the previous one, giving you flexibility in trade management. • Small and Precise Signals: The indicator generates accurate signals with minimal noise, helping you enter trades with confidence and tighter risk management. This is a perfect demonstration of how this tool not only gives high-probability buy and sell signals but also helps you understand market manipulation and avoid common traps. Whether you’re an experienced trader or a beginner, this indicator offers clarity and structure in your decision-making process. Give it a try—you’ll see how effective it is in helping you trade smarter and avoid over-trading!
by TradeTechanalysis
HelenP. I Bitcoin will break trend line and rise to $102500Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago price declined to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and then at once made impulse up to the resistance zone. After this movement, BTC turned around and dropped from the resistance zone to 90500 points, after which quickly backed up and then corrected to the support level. Later price started to grow and soon reached the resistance level again and then broke it, after which made a retest and rose to the trend line. After this movement, BTC turned around from the trend line and made an impulse down to the support zone, even a little below, breaking resistance with support levels. Soon, the price rose higher than the support level but later fell back and then finally rose. Next, BTC some time traded near the 94500 support level and later dropped below this level one more time, after which started to grow and rose to the rend line, where at the moment it continues to trades close. In my opinion, BTCUSDT will make the mall correction and then bounce up to the resistance level, breaking the trend line. That's why my goal is the 102500 resistance level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
10
BTC/USDT 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a local downtrend channel where the price bounced from the upper border of the channel and quickly started to recover. Let's now start by defining a stop-loss in case of further declines in the market and you can see how the price rebounded from the first support at the level: SL1 = $94285 SL2 = $92209 SL3 = $89,541 SL4 = $85,924 Let's now move on to defining the goals for the near future that the price must face: T1 = $97131 T2 = $100036 T3 = $103179 T4 = $105491 Looking at the RSI indicator, we see that there is still room to continue the recovery, and such a situation could bring the price to around $89,000.
by cryptodailyuk
The last bullish chance of BITCOIN in Mid term!Unfortunately, my previous analysis was incorrect. I thought Bitcoin could reach $109,000 after breaking the 0.618 Fibonacci line, but that didn’t happen. Now, Bitcoin is approaching its last chance, which is the 0.382 Fibonacci line. If it fails to stabilize in this price range, it will lose its last chance to rise in the mid term. However, if it holds this line, the price can gradually reach new highs again. previous analysis Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
by CobraVanguard
4
#BTC. NEW TOP BTC FORECAST! BRILLIANT REVIEW FROM 08.01.25BINANCE:BTCUSD 12H Hi lovelies! 🌸 Currently, #BTC is in a sideways range. After reaching its ATH at $108,353, the price entered a correction and moved toward the lower boundary of the range at $91,879. Since then, the price has started moving upward, signaling a bullish trend 📈 I expect the upward movement to continue toward the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci levels. These levels are often used by traders, including myself, to identify potential entry and exit points However, before that, we could see a pullback to the mirror level (previously broken resistance, now acting as support) for a retest and confirmation of structure around $97,500 This week, there are also important economic events that could impact the crypto market: January 10: Nonfarm Payrolls and unemployment rate data in the US for December. These reports could significantly affect financial markets, especially risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Personally, I expect a positive labor market report on Friday, which could have a positive impact on the crypto market 🚀 To put it simply and clearly: I’m expecting #BTC to reach $102,000 - $104,000, with a potential correction to $97,500 The scenario of a correction to $89,000 - $88,000 is still relevant, but for now, I’m focusing on the current week’s perspective for #BTC Stay tuned and trade smart, my loves! 💕 Your crypto girl
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Kate_Trade_Only
BTC Expectations after the Dump -> Upside ahead!In this video, I’m analyzing Bitcoin’s recent price action and highlighting a key Fibonacci retracement level. Here’s the main idea: Repeated 0.618 Fib Retracement: BTC has repeatedly pulled back into the 0.618 Fibonacci level, suggesting a strong support zone and healthy correction. Anticipated Expansion Move: Given these consistent bounces off the golden pocket, I’m expecting a bullish expansion move. This could take BTC to higher resistance levels in the short to mid term, if price action continues to hold above this critical zone. Let’s see if the market follows through on this anticipated upward swing!
Long
by SerenityEquity
What's next Bitcoin?In my previous posts, i highlighted: CRYPTOCAP:BTC price is in distribution zone and #btcusd has been having bearish retests. The 3rd bearish retest succeeded with yesterday's dump and clear declination may bring #btc price to major support zones. In the chart, i showed the #btcusdt support zones. The ellipsis zone is the ichimoku span and dEMA100 support. A strong support but in case if maker breaks that support, the next one is red box where dEMA200 support and also CME #bitcoin futures GAP is waiting to be filled. If BTC price reclaims the parallel channel, this supports will wait longer and this will be the "temporary" invalidation. Not financial advice.
Short
by naphyse
1
BTC/USDT: A Potential Bullish Reversal From Key Demand Zonehello guys! let's analysis btc Resistance: $98,450 (immediate resistance, recent structure level). $102,800 - $104,000 (strong supply zone and Fibonacci confluence). Support: $95,000 (demand zone). $92,000 (last significant swing low). Bullish Scenario: If BTC can hold and reverse from the $94,000 - $95,000 demand zone, a bullish move could potentially retest the $98,450 resistance. A break above this level would pave the way for a rally towards the $102,800 supply zone, with an ultimate target near $104,000. Bearish Scenario: Failure to maintain support within the demand zone could lead to a deeper pullback towards $92,000, which is the next major area of interest for buyers. A break below this level might invalidate the bullish outlook and signal further downside. ____________________________________ Conclusion: BTC is in a pivotal phase, and the $94,000 - $95,000 zone will be critical for the next move. Watch for bullish price action signals (such as engulfing candles or bullish divergences) in this area before considering any long positions. A bounce from this level could lead to a new attempt to break the $100,000 psychological barrier. Conversely, a failure to hold support might indicate further weakness.
by melikatrader94
14
$BTC.D: this is how they are cancelling any attempt at altseaonsSomeone is canceling the altseasons. Every time the altcoin market starts to gain momentum, a sudden CRYPTOCAP:BTC correction halts its progress. Altcoins are inherently riskier assets, and when fear enters the market, investors sell alts first. Now that ETF providers hold significant amounts of CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH , they appear to be manipulating the market to maximize their Bitcoin profits. By triggering strategic crashes in CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH , they effectively prevent an altseason from taking off. Each crash leads to massive corrections in altcoins. Today’s events are a smoking gun. The correlation with CRYPTOCAP:BTC allows ETF providers to instill fear and drive altcoin holders to sell, favoring Bitcoin. Yesterday, all altcoins looked poised for a breakout. The MACD signaled a daily crossover, indicating sustained growth for the next two months. I even posted that CRYPTOCAP:ETH was likely to hit $3800 within a week—*unless* CRYPTOCAP:BTC crashed. Guess what happened? CRYPTOCAP:ETH dropped 10% today—entirely due to manipulation. There’s absolutely no reason for CRYPTOCAP:ETH to decline, except for psychological manipulation tied to its correlation with $BTC. If altcoin holders don’t realize they’re being played by Bitcoin’s puppet masters, altcoins will continue to lose their appeal. Investors hate losing money, right? ETF providers aim to redirect the crypto market’s wealth into their “new baby”—Bitcoin. The result? - BTC.D’s drop was reversed, driven by fear, as more altcoin investors panic-sell. - USD.D increased as liquidated investors exited the market. Where will that money go? Some will inevitably flow back into CRYPTOCAP:BTC because: - Bitcoin has limited downside. - Bitcoin is strong. - Bitcoin is proven technology. - Bitcoin isn’t a scam. - Bitcoin is the most recognized and trusted crypto asset. This marketing strategy is working. It’s been more than four years since we’ve seen a proper altseason.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by CryptoNikkoid
11
BITCOIN Cycle Top can be as high as $200kBitcoin (BTCUSD) has started 2025 on high volatility amidst geopolitical and economic news input. 2025 is the last year of this Bull Cycle, according to the Cycles Theory which for more than a decade has been very accurate at predicting Cycle Tops and Bottoms. ** LGC, MMB and Pi Cycle * On today's analysis we present to you this view in more detail by displaying Bitcoin's Logarithmic Growth Channel (LGC) with the addition of the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) and the Pi Cycle trend-lines. From the MMB we use its extremes, the 3SD above (red trend-line), which is the Mayer Top and the 3SD below (black trend-line), which is the Mayer Bottom. From the Pi Cycle we use a tighter range, its top trend-line (orange) and bottom trend-line (green), which form a zone that typically serves as more of a 'Fair Value' before the Bear Cycle's extreme selling and Bull Cycle's extreme buying (Parabolic Rally). ** Current Cycle in 2025 ** As mentioned, BTC has entered the last year of its current Bull Cycle. Based on this cyclical pattern, the 3 previous Tops have been either on a November or December. As a result, we expect the new Cycle Top to start forming by November 2025. The last one was formed above the Pi Cycle Top (never hit the Mayer Top) and on the 2nd LGC Zone from the top. This suggests that even if the price barely tests the bottom for the LGC 2nd Zone from the Top, by November 2025 we should be close to $200000. Technically the projected Peak Zone should be within the 180k - 200k range. That may still be below the Pi Cycle Top, so technically we can argue that it is a fair scenario to expect and not an overly optimistic. Unrealistic or not, this is what 3 separate traditional long-term models suggest. But what do you think? Is a $180-200k Top a realistic expectation within 2025? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
25
$DOGEUSDT: From Meme to Market Mover?1/ BINANCE:DOGEUSDT : From Meme to Market Mover? 📈 Let's dive into why Dogecoin might be more than just internet fun - exploring its potential and pitfalls. 🐕 2/ Current Market Data 📊 Price: As of now, DOGE sits at $0.3507 USD, with a 24-hour trading volume of $5.35 billion USD. Market Cap: Around $51.74 billion, placing DOGE at #7. Whale Activity: Recent X posts indicate significant whale accumulation, hinting at a potential bullish trend, though always with a grain of salt. 🐳 3/ Strengths 💪 Community Power: Dogecoin has one of the most passionate and active communities, driven by memes and celebrity endorsements like from #ElonMusk. This can lead to viral growth. 🌐💬 Liquidity King: With high trading volumes, CRYPTOCAP:DOGE ranks among the top cryptocurrencies, making it easy for investors to trade. 💧 Low Cost Transactions: Dogecoin's low fees make it excellent for tipping or small transactions, fostering a micro-transaction culture. 💸✨ 4/ Weaknesses ⚠️ Utility Question: Unlike CRYPTOCAP:BTC or CRYPTOCAP:ETH , DOGE lacks intrinsic value or widespread use cases beyond speculation. It doesn't support smart contracts or have a clear business model. ❓ Wild Price Swings: The price of DOGE can be extremely volatile, often influenced by social media rather than economic fundamentals. This can be both an opportunity and a risk. 🎢 Centralization Concerns: A significant amount of Dogecoin is held by a few large wallets, potentially allowing these "whales" to manipulate market movements. 5/ Opportunities 🌱 Sentiment Driven: Positive sentiment, especially from influential figures or community events, can propel DOGE's price. It's a coin that thrives on the news cycle. 📣 Adoption Potential: If more businesses start accepting DOGE, its utility could grow, potentially stabilizing its value and usage. 🛒 Regulatory Tailwinds: Clear crypto regulations could encourage more institutional investors to consider DOGE, enhancing its legitimacy. 📜 6/ Threats 🌩️ Regulatory Headwinds: Conversely, stringent regulations could stifle growth, or in the worst case, lead to bans or restrictions. 🚫 Meme Coin Competition: Dogecoin isn't alone in the meme coin space; new entrants might steal the spotlight or dilute the market. 🥊 Market Downturn: In broader economic downturns, speculative investments like Dogecoin could see significant declines. 📉 7/ Investment Strategy 📝 Diversification: Consider DOGE as a small part of a broader crypto portfolio for its speculative appeal. Short-Term Plays: The volatility can be leveraged for quick trades, but it requires a solid understanding of market sentiment. Hedge: Think of DOGE as a speculative hedge, not a core holding, given its unique market dynamics. Remember, while Dogecoin can offer quick gains, it comes with high risk. Always manage your risk. And for the best tools and insights, check out dcalpha.net - where our trading room and resources can help you navigate these waters. 🧭 Poll: What's your stance on DOGE? Invest for the community and potential 🚀 Too risky, not for me 🚫 Watch and wait for the right moment 👀 Already in, holding for the long haul 🔒 8/ Dogecoin's Philanthropic Side ❤️ Jamaican Bobsled Team: Community efforts funded their Winter Olympics journey in 2014. 🇯🇲🏂 Clean Water: Raised funds for water projects in Kenya via Doge4Water. 💧🌍 NASCAR: Community donations sponsored a car, showing collective power. 🏎️ Education: The Dogecoin Foundation supports blockchain education. 📚🔗 Animal Welfare: Even coffee sales contribute to animal rescue. ☕️🐕 9/ Community Impact 🌐 Charity Platforms: Initiatives like XÐ Charity use social media for micro-donations, making philanthropy fun and accessible. 💬💕 Cultural Influence: Dogecoin has shown how a meme can create real-world impact, from sports to global charity. 🗳️🌟 Good Vibes: It fosters a crypto community that's about more than just making money - it's about spreading joy and helping others. 😊 10/ Final Thoughts 🍀 Dogecoin represents a unique blend of community, speculation, and altruism. While its investment merits are debated, its cultural and charitable footprint is undeniable. Approach with caution, but enjoy the ride - make the most of it. Dogecoin might just take you to the moon. 🌕🚀
Long
by DCAChampion
2
Bitcoin: Head & Shoulders Reversal Pattern In The Making Tradingview offers simply the best instruments for charting. We have special charting tools to highlight famous Head & Shoulders reversal pattern (in yellow). I spotted this textbook pattern today and would like to share this educational post with you. It was shaped by three peaks with the highest (Head) in the middle. The Right Shoulder reached its climax right at the top of the Left Shoulder. It makes the pattern more symmetric. There is a Neckline that intersects both valleys of the Head. Its a reversal pattern and the trigger is located at the Neckline under the Right Shoulder around $91.7k. The target is measured subtracting the height of the Head from the trigger point. It was highlighted in the chart at $75k. The collapse could be painful. This might prove the old traders saying "buy rumors (Tramp promises), sell facts (reality)" for Bitcoin.
Education
by aibek
4
BTC NEW UPDATE (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section The price dropped from the red-marked area in the previous analysis, and this supply zone worked well. The correction for BTC started from the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart. We expect a downward move toward the green-marked area. If the price reaches the supply zone, we can look for sell/short positions as scalp trades. Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will invalidate our bearish outlook. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
Bullish bounce?BTC/USD is falling towards the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance that has been identified as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 95,231.13 1st Support: 93,172.83 1st Resistance: 98,951.90 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by ICmarkets
Opulous ($OPULUSDT): Awaiting Entry for 100% + Upside in MusicFiI spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more. **Opulous ( KUCOIN:OPULUSDT ): Awaiting Entry for Promising Upside in MusicFi** Trade Setup: - Entry Price: $0.06486 (Pending Activation) - Stop-Loss: $0.04369 - **Take-Profit Targets:** - **TP1:** $0.14686 - **TP2:** $0.24000 **Current Price:** $0.07048 Fundamental Analysis: Opulous ( KUCOIN:OPULUSDT ) is leading the way in MusicFi by merging decentralized finance (DeFi) with the music industry. Through its platform, artists can mint music as NFTs, allowing fans to directly invest in their music and share in royalty streams. This revolutionary approach is disrupting traditional music rights management and has garnered significant attention from artists and investors alike. Recent developments, such as new artist partnerships and an increase in platform adoption, underscore Opulous’s potential to drive innovation in the blockchain space. Tokenomics Overview: - **Total Supply:** 500 million tokens. - **Utility:** Facilitates music NFT transactions, staking, and royalty payments. - **Growth:** Rapid adoption within the MusicFi niche, attracting both artists and investors. Technical Analysis (4-Hour Timeframe): - Support Levels: $0.06500 is a strong support zone near the anticipated entry price, aligning with previous price consolidation levels. - Resistance Levels: $0.07500 is the first key resistance, with further resistance at TP1 ($0.14686). - Moving Averages: - 20-EMA: $0.07000 - 50-EMA: $0.06700 - Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 57, signaling neutral momentum, providing room for further upside. Market Sentiment: Interest in MusicFi continues to grow, with Opulous at the forefront of this trend. The unique proposition of allowing fans to invest in music royalties via NFTs is driving increased market interest. Community engagement remains strong, reflecting confidence in the project’s long-term potential. Risk Management: The stop-loss at $0.04369 provides protection against significant downside risk, while the take-profit targets offer excellent upside potential. TP1 represents a **126% return**, and TP2 offers a potential **270% gain**, making this trade highly attractive for mid- to long-term investors. Key Takeaways: - Opulous is uniquely positioned to capitalize on the growing MusicFi trend, blending blockchain with real-world applications in the music industry. - Awaiting a pullback to $0.06486 for an optimal entry point into this promising setup. - The trade offers a compelling risk-to-reward ratio, ideal for swing traders and long-term holders. When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All!
Long
by SiriusTrading
Capital Shifts in Crypto: Liquidity, Corrections, and the FutureOn a growing market, each correction serves as a mechanism for capital redistribution. In the cryptocurrency sector, where the market is relatively small, profit-taking on major assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) has a significantly negative impact on less capitalized altcoins. Analogy with traditional markets Traditional financial markets follow similar principles. Here, Bitcoin can be compared to gold, while altcoins are akin to stocks or bonds. When positions in gold are closed, the fluctuations are less noticeable due to the market's greater liquidity and volume. However, stocks, with their lower capitalization, show significant volatility, leading to an equivalent increase in potential dollar gains. Depth and structure of the crypto market The crypto market still lacks depth, predominantly involving small-scale investment funds by global standards. Competition among expert traders and investors is limited, leading to low profitability or zero gain on bear markets, where professionals trade against each other, for instance, Wintermute traders against GSR traders. In traditional markets, where both professionals and retail investors participate, professionals have an advantage due to more variables. Liquidity and spread Both markets allow for earning on the spread, although currently, spreads are relatively small. The redistribution of liquidity, especially during market downturns, is driven by both psychological factors and the technical aspects of position closing, particularly when comparing futures trading with combined spot and futures trading. Indexation and synthetic assets The creation of indexes in the crypto sphere could be the next step. There are already examples like Reserve Rights (RSR), where real-world assets are tokenized to create stablecoins. Forming indexes similar to the S&P500 or US100 could combine crypto assets by similar characteristics, increasing liquidity and opening new investment avenues. However, this could lead to issues similar to those in 2007 in traditional markets, where "packages" included high-risk assets. Conclusion Implementing such tools might soften the liquidity redistribution effect for retail investors but could complicate things for funds and market makers, reducing their ability to buy assets at reduced prices. The cryptocurrency market is at the stage of mass adoption, and upon completion of this process, new forms of digital money may emerge. Written by Alexander Kostenich (WIDECHAR), Horban Brothers.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DLong
by horbanbrothers