This could be a bitter end for BTC or an opportunity !!!Do you think this will happen, or do you see Bitcoin below $50K in the future?
Give me some energy !!
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Btc!
BITCOIN Money Supply, Dollar and Bonds pushing for MEGA RALLY!This is not the first time we publish a Bitcoin (BTCUSD) analysis in relation to the U.S. Dollar Index (green trend-line) or Chinese Bonds (red trend-line) and Global Liquidity (blue trend-line). In fact we have been doing this since the late 2022 bands in China and like the highly bearish sentiment that was in the market then, we decided to dive into this cross-asset analysis yet again in order to put the current sentiment in perspective.
Well it couldn't be more relevant. What we discovered is that all the financial assets mentioned above have yet again aligned to offer the strongest bullish confirmation for BTC since the November 2022 Bear Cycle bottom!
More specifically, we are a little past the point where the DXY peaks and declines aggressively, Global Liquidity bottoms and starts rising, while Chinese bonds (our CN02Y/CN20Y ratio) bottom and rise aggressively. In the past 10 years this combination of events has happened 6 times, 2 times during each Cycle: one at the bottom of the Cycle and the other when the final, most aggressive rally starts.
Notice also that (naturally) this is where the stock market (SPX, black trend-line) also bottoms and starts rising aggressively.
As a result, the above market conditions are an indication that despite the recent monthly correction and turbulence due to a number geopolitical and other trade fundamental reasons, the macro-economic parameters remain intact for the wider picture of this Cycle. Truthfully, this is where an announcement next week of future Fed Rate Cuts would come very handy.
So what do you think of this analysis above? Are you fearful that a new Bear Cycle is starting or more confident that the market will soon recover and price a new High? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Selling?Morning folks,
So, Monday's plan has worked perfect, we're at 85K. Today we have to keep an eye on daily chart, where bearish grabber pattern might be formed and trigger downside action.
In general upside action is rather slow, so bearish context stands intact. We see only one risk for it - non-market driving factors, such as a D. Trump flood on X. But, this is out of our control.
That's why we keep everything as it is - 85K is considered for short entry. If we get daily bearish grabber also - all the better.
Next target stands around 74K
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which had been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 85,769.28
1st Support: 80,188.79
1st Resistance: 88,718.07
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Disclaimer:
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Skeptic | Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis: Navigating the ChaosWelcome back, guys! 👋I'm Skeptic , and today we’re diving into Bitcoin (BTC/USD) after a series of intense market moves driven by Trump's tariff decisions, rising inflation concerns, and persistent interest rates. Let’s break it down and see where we stand.
🔮 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis
Bitcoin recently faced some heavy volatility, but as I mentioned in previous analyses, we have a strong PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) between $80,000 - $82,000 . This zone has managed to hold weekly candles above it, maintaining the major uptrend on the weekly chart. However, on lower time frames, the downtrend is still prominent, so it’s crucial to stay cautious with short positions for now.
Having a balanced perspective on the market always helps, so while the long-term trend remains bullish, we should be mindful of short-term bearish momentum and avoid being overly biased.
📉 Short Setup
The previous short trigger at 88,322.42 worked out well, giving us a solid downward move. Currently, the situation has become more complex with heightened volatility and uncertainty. Therefore, it’s wise to reduce risk for now.
Our primary short trigger is a break below 79,083.93 . Once this level gives way, the next support target would be 76,616.28 , which could also serve as a safe spot to secure some profit.
📈 Long Setup
For long positions, I’d prefer waiting for a break above 83,818.74 . However, rather than jumping in right away, I’d like to see a confirmed higher high and higher low , allowing us to enter with a tighter stop loss and a better risk/reward ratio . This approach increases our confidence and reduces exposure.
Let me know your thoughts on BTC/USD ! 💬 Got any questions? Drop them in the comments, and I’ll be happy to discuss. Let’s grow together, not alone! 🔥
Bitcoin Daily Bullish DivergenceAs the bitcoin price made a LL but the RSI on daily TF made a HL, which gives it a very bullish divergence, but as the price still is below the 200 daily MA , it can goes fall to about 76k but Im not expecting the RSI make a LL, which gives us another bullish divergence.
#BTC TO CONTINUE LOWER FOR NOWThe recent 'pump' due to Trump's announcement disappointingly only created a pullback to the previous area where a downtrend had already been triggered.
Looks like BTC will continue with the correction down to our next support level which sits at $67,792.
Once BTC gets to this level, we will either see a nice bounce off this support and we can continue higher or it's a possibility that we may continue even lower but will provide an update once we touch the next target.
We've currently down 23% from the top, let's be reminded that we've seen corrections as deep as -51% last cycle which are a healthy for the market!
Bitcoin in a falling wedge / bull pennant It’s hard to say where it will. Break up from ths pennant, I put the dotted measured line in an arbitrary spot which will almost certainly have to be readjusted and most likely further down than where I placed it but if it were to somehow break up from the wedge by then and confirm that breakout the target would be in the 145k zone. *not financial advice*
Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding Top 10 (CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS)The Total Market Cap of altcoins (excluding top 10) is showing a promising setup at 171.08B. Here’s the breakdown:
Price has bounced off a long-term ascending trendline (red) that’s been in play since 2017 – a historically strong support.
We’re currently testing a key resistance around 171B (blue line), with a recent volume spike supporting the move.
A break above 171B could open the door for a push toward the next major resistance at 217.88B in the coming months.
On the downside, if this level rejects, watch for a retest of the trendline around 148B.
💡 Trading Idea: Look for a weekly close above 171B to confirm bullish momentum. Volume will be key – sustained buying pressure could signal a breakout.
BTCUSD - If it is a Similar Situation to 2017If we are experiencing a similar run to 2017 we would be 847days into the bull run
I have shown the bars pattern for where price could go with the rest of the time left, which shows a 3500% gain this bull market. This is compared to the 2017 run which was a 9000% gain to the top.
We have some bull time left is the take away if the runs are comparable.
Weekly chart.
Bitcoin - The Uptrend Remains 100% Valid!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) can create a textbook break and retest:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of weeks we have only been seeing a consolidation on all cryptocurrencies, governed by the slow movement on Bitcoin. With today's drop Bitcoin is now approaching the previous all time highs, which are now acting as a major support, pushing price much higher.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BTCUSD: Last 1W MA50 rebound to the top of the CycleBitcoin remains bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.004, MACD = -3484.800, ADX = 36.461) but today we see the first recovery attempt. The technical reasoning behind it is that the market is testing its 1W MA50 and in due time it will price the new HL of the Bull Cycle and form the bottom that will hold for the rest of the year until the cycle's very top. This is no different than the last two Cycles, the 1W RSI is even rebounding on its S1 level. Based on that pattern we are looking at a potential Cycle peak between 150k - 200k.
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VANRYUSDT Approaching a Breakout from Falling Wedge VANRYUSDT is currently forming a falling wedge pattern, a bullish technical setup that traders are closely watching. This pattern often signals a potential breakout, and with strong volume backing the movement, the chances of a significant price surge are increasing. As the price consolidates within the wedge, buyers are gradually stepping in, indicating growing investor confidence in this project.
The market sentiment around VANRYUSDT remains positive, with investors showing increased interest in its potential. A breakout from this pattern could trigger an explosive rally, with expected gains ranging between 250% to 300%. If the price successfully breaches the resistance, it could initiate a strong uptrend, attracting even more market participants and pushing VANRYUSDT toward higher levels.
With strong volume supporting the price action, traders should keep a close watch on the key resistance level. A confirmed breakout with sustained buying pressure could validate the bullish outlook. As the crypto market remains volatile, proper risk management and technical confirmation are essential before entering a position in this promising setup.
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Univers Of signals | HBARUSDT Better Condition Than the Market!👋 Welcome to the Univers Of signals channel!
Let's go together and examine one of the popular coins in the market that has experienced less correction recently and is in better condition than other altcoins!
📊 Weekly Timeframe
We go to the weekly time frame and see that hbar's condition is much better than other altcoins, and this is precisely due to the entry of momentum and Bitcoin's bullishness!
After we broke through the support at 0.04339 and engulfed the previous weekly candle, it was a bullish sign, and after the trigger at 0.06219 was activated, we broke this resistance and momentum entered this coin!
If you made your purchase in the spot section from this level, the situation is okay for now, but you can save profit or withdraw the principal capital. If you want to re-enter, you can make your purchase after the 0.33056 break.
📈 Daily Timeframe
In the daily time frame, we have higher levels and a better situation than the rest of the coins, and in a situation where most altcoins are forming lower bottoms, this has not even lost its main level.
After the 0.06470 and daily box break, we experienced a movement of about 500%, and if we draw a Fibonacci, we are currently at the 0.382 level, and this in itself increases the importance of this level! If the 0.37350 ceiling is broken, it shows us that we are going to experience a new movement!
This daily candle can be a good trigger to buy again, and the reason is that we are rising from a good support level and it is also a good Fibonacci level, but this trigger is risky and after the break of 0.26486 it will be a better trigger to welcome, and for a temporary exit, you can also temporarily exit with a break of 0.18653.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
univers Of Signals | TWT: Navigating Trust Wallet's Market Moves👋 Welcome to univers Of Signals !
In this analysis, I'll be reviewing the TWT coin, a part of the Trust Wallet project, which is currently ranked 126th on CoinMarketCap with a market cap of $358 million.
📅 Daily Timeframe
As you can see in the daily timeframe, we're observing a very large range box from 0.7832 to 1.5725, where the price is currently near the bottom of this box.
✅ The floor of this box is a significant support range from 0.7832 to 0.8321 and is acting as a demand zone for the price.
🔽 Currently, the price has reached the 0.8321 area, tested it once with a shadow, and received support from it. If this area breaks, we'll enter the support zone, and we'll need to see how the price reacts to this zone.
📊 The market volume is very low, and for now, it seems there isn't enough strength and momentum in the market to break this area, but if a selling volume enters the market and the RSI goes into oversell, the likelihood of breaking this area increases. In this case, the next support will be at 0.6215.
🛒 For buying this coin, I recommend waiting until it exits the range box it has created, as this would indicate upward momentum entering the market. Currently, there is no momentum in the market. Thus, the best trigger from my perspective is the breakout at 1.5725.
📈 However, for a long position or a risky spot purchase, you could enter upon the breakout of 1.0556. I mainly consider this trigger for futures, and for spot purchases, I would wait until the main resistance is broken.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
In the 4-hour timeframe, as you see, we had a box between 0.9395 to 1.0556, which has been cleanly broken from below, and you could open a short position with price consolidation below this area.
💥 Currently, the price has reached the next support at 0.8321 and has shown some reaction. The RSI is currently in oversell, and if it receives support from this area, it could return to the normal range.
📉 For short positions, the triggers at 0.8321 and 0.7832 are suitable. The 0.8321 trigger is riskier, and I suggest waiting until the 0.7832 support is lost before opening a more secure position.
🔼 For long positions, there's a very suitable ceiling at 1.0556, and breaking this area could lead to opening a long position.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
WHY GBPJPY BULLISH, DETAILED ANALYSIS GBPJPY is currently trading at 192.200 after successfully breaking out of a falling wedge pattern, a strong bullish reversal signal. This technical breakout suggests the pair is set for a significant upside move, with a potential target of 195.000 and beyond. The falling wedge is known for its bullish implications, indicating that sellers are losing control while buyers are stepping in with increased demand. If momentum continues, we could see a gain of over 500 pips in the coming sessions.
From a technical perspective, GBPJPY has cleared key resistance levels and is now forming a strong bullish structure. A retest of the breakout zone around 191.500-192.000 has already provided support, reinforcing the likelihood of further upward movement. The next major resistance lies at 194.000, followed by 195.000, which aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels and previous price action zones. If buyers maintain control, a push towards 196.000 and beyond is also possible.
Fundamentally, GBPJPY remains bullish due to the policy divergence between the Bank of England (BoE) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). The BoE's firm stance on interest rates, coupled with the BoJ’s continued ultra-loose monetary policy, favors a stronger GBP against the JPY. Additionally, risk sentiment plays a crucial role in GBPJPY's movements, and with equity markets showing strength, the yen's safe-haven appeal weakens, further boosting the bullish case for this pair.
With both technical and fundamental factors aligning, GBPJPY presents a strong buying opportunity. Traders should watch for a sustained move above 193.000 for confirmation of further gains, with the potential to reach 195.000 and beyond. A breakout continuation could trigger even stronger bullish momentum, making this a high-probability setup for traders looking to capitalize on the trend.