Alikze »» FTM | Wave 3 or C super cycle scenario - 2D🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or C super cycle scenario - 2D
- In the analysis presented in the previous post in the weekly time frame, it was mentioned: it is suspicious of a head and shoulders pattern.
- So far, according to the previous analysis, the first target (supply zone) has been touched and it is currently above the target zone.
- In the analysis presented in the 4-hour time frame, it had a zigzag pattern, which is in wave one of three.
- In the daily time frame, it is located in an ascending channel, the previous corrective wave was able to form a reversal pattern in the range of 0.23 fibo.
- Therefore, I expect that it will face demand in the Buyer Zone and continue its growth with the failure of the middle of the channel up to the ceiling of the ascending channel.
In addition, after breaking the ascending channel, it will have the ability to reach the red box area (supply area).
So this bullish wave is wave 3 or big C, which will have the ability to grow up to the indicated ranges.
💎 Alternative scenario: If the Buyer Zone is broken and stabilizes below it, it can touch the 0.23 Fibo range again.
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OKX:FTMUSDT
Btc!
BTC 100k is not enough- Believe it or not.
- There's nothing at 100k.
- the trend would not be respected.
- i was here when BTC broke 10k$ for the first time.
- At that time, most traders called for a top and scared.
- BTC didn't care and went straight up to 20k$..
- i see only 3 Scenarios.
1 : Orange : BTC retrace soon, then it will delay time, then ATH will be 220-240k.
2 : Green : BTC goes to 150k, retrace to 161.8, and make a second Top around 220-240k.
3 : Red : BTC go straight to 150k$ then dip and struggle. ( i doubt on that way ).
- As always, this only my humble prediction and opinion.
- Everything can happens with FA. ( war, crises, stop internet.)
- More it will take time, more up BTC will go.
Stay S4fe
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin Fibo and Time- A bit messy graph.
- Some peoples will get it and some not.
- in matter of time and fibo analysis.
- More will BTC take time to go up.
- More BTC price will go higher.
- in simple words, if u compare the 2015 bullrun and 2018 :
- 2015 was 1055 days ( around..)
- 2018 was 820 Days ( excluding the bouble top)
- Nothing much to deduct from that, but 2 scenarios are still possible :
- 100 000$ is not enough (161.8 FIbo), i still persist on that one, so not a scenario imo.
- 150k$ (261.8 Fibo) possible if BTC goes fast. ( same as 2018).
- 200k$ (361.8 fibo ) or 250k$ (423.6 Fibo ) are both possible if BTC goes slow. (same as 2015 )
- i still believe that " more Bitcoin will take time to go up, more the price will go higher "
- Don't forget this is only TA, not FA, not Economic or World Situation.
- Feel free to share with me your view.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Rally Not Started Yet- Everything in trend, i used MVRV indicator ( Google it if you don't know it).
- Not a price prediction, check my older analysis for some price prediction.
- Not a date prediction, Timeline surely wrong.
- So this a post just to give you an idea of the situation.
What to not do :
- Don't listen some twitter influencers pseudo maestros traders 😂.
- Some are spreading that BTC bull market is finished or won't even happen.
- Don't follow and listen too many peoples at the same time.
- Don't forget that influencers are not traders.
- Don't forget many followers on Twitter or TV mean NOTHING!.
What to do :
- Learn is practice, so practice again and again to learn more and more.
- Teach to your friends about trading, more you teach more you learn and master trading!
- Listen to yourself (don't even listen to me).
- Keep focused.
- Be confident.
Now :
- Real Bull Market not even started.
- Be ready and DCA what you can afford.
- Don't panic for dips, buy more instead, this is crypto.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin Timeline- i always said that this bullrun looks much more as 2015 - 2018.
- 2019 - 2022 BearMarket was disrupted by Covid.
- Double top ATH (end 2021) was combined with a large divergence.
- Consider that the first 2021 ATH was the real one.
- this graphic is not a price prediction but you can consider it as almanac.
- if story repeats next ATH would be before end of 2025.
- 2026 BearMarket will back.
- Check Columns + dates.
- Compare.
- Deduct.
Happy Tr4Ding!
BTC sell???📊 Analysis by AhmadArz:
🔍 Entry:
Breakout Confirmation: $90,700
A breakout from the symmetrical triangle indicates strong momentum, suggesting a downward trend.
🛑 Stop Loss:
Level: $92,563
Place your stop loss above the breakout point to minimize risk.
🎯 Take Profit:
1️⃣ TP1: $88,959 (First support zone)
2️⃣ TP2: $86,250 (Key demand level)
3️⃣ TP3: $83,505 (Strong historical support)
🧠 Analysis Overview:
The symmetrical triangle pattern on the 1-hour BTCUSDT chart is a classic continuation pattern. With a confirmed breakout, this setup presents a great risk-to-reward ratio.
📉 Additional Notes:
Increased volume during the breakout adds validity to this move.
Monitor RSI for signs of overbought/oversold conditions.
Price action near $88,959 will determine if the trend strengthens or consolidates.
🔗 "Stay ahead of the crypto market with AhmadArz!
💡 Join us on TradingView for expert insights backed by five years of market expertise."
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BTC: Next price Halving 📊Analysis by AhmadArz: #BTCUSD
By calculating the price growth in the 4-year halving time frame, we came to the conclusion that with the growth of the Bitcoin market cap, its growth will be halved and we can expect $120,000 from Bitcoin, and it is expected to grow up to 270,000 dollars in halvings.
🔗"Uncover new opportunities in the world of cryptocurrencies with AhmadArz.
💡Join us on TradingView and expand your investment knowledge with our five years of experience in financial markets."
🚀Please boost and💬 comment to share your thoughts with us!
The last bullish chance of BITCOIN in short-term !!The price is currently in an symmetrical triangle, which means that if the triangle breaks on either side, the price can move in that direction. So, wait for the breakout.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
#BTC #Bitcoin #SS2 #Short #Long #Setup 1+2 #Eddy#BTC #Bitcoin #SS2 #Short #Long #Setup 1+2 #Eddy
Welcome to my Bitcoin Scalping Season 2
In the first season of Bitcoin scalping, I was at your service with 15 setups.
This Setups are based on a combination of different styles and based on my personal strategy.
Please don't forget to get entry approval and risk and capital management based on your own strategy.
((This setup has nothing to do with the launch of Big Short and that setup and analysis is valid.))
My Bitcoin Big Short Setup :
BITCOIN ON ITS WAY TO A NEW ALL TIME HIGH! TA + TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USDT)
Price Action:
The chart shows an ascending triangle pattern, which is typically a bullish continuation pattern. It suggests that Bitcoin is likely preparing for an upward breakout. The price has been respecting the support trendline (ascending) while testing the resistance level at around $91,700.
There is strong upward momentum, confirmed by the price movement toward the resistance, with higher lows indicating growing buyer interest.
Indicators:
VMC Cipher B Divergences:
The indicator shows a bullish divergence (green color), which often suggests that the price is likely to break above resistance, supported by buying momentum.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is currently at 61.77, which is in the neutral zone (neither overbought nor oversold). This suggests that Bitcoin still has room for upward movement before becoming overbought.
Stochastic Oscillator:
The Stochastic is at 88.21, indicating a potential overbought condition, suggesting that while there may be an upward push, a pullback could follow soon if the price rises too quickly.
HMA (Hull Moving Average):
The HMA histograms show bullish momentum (green area), which indicates strong upward trends, though the shift to red on lower timeframes suggests caution for short-term corrections.
Money Flow Index (MFI):
MFI is showing a value of 51, indicating balanced buying and selling pressure. This suggests that while the market has potential for an upward move, it is still neutral in terms of volume and money flow.
Volume Analysis:
The volume profile shows a buildup of buying activity with the price consolidating near the resistance zone. Volume is steadily increasing, which is usually a positive sign for a breakout.
There is lower volume in the consolidation area, which could indicate a breakout is imminent.
Trading Plan
Entry Strategy:
Buy Position: If Bitcoin breaks above the resistance level at $92,212 with high volume, consider entering a long position. This breakout could push the price toward the next resistance at $95,000 or higher.
Watch for confirmation with volume spikes and RSI maintaining below 70 to avoid entering when the market is overly extended.
Target Price (Take Profit):
The next immediate resistance levels to target are $95,000 and $102,500. Set partial take profit orders around these levels.
A more aggressive target would be $105,000 (based on the breakout projection).
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss below the support trendline or around $85,000 to mitigate risks in case of a false breakout or price reversal.
For more conservative risk management, a tighter stop loss around $87,500 could be used if the breakout is confirmed with strong volume.
Risk Management:
Use proper risk management, aiming to risk no more than 1-2% of your portfolio on each trade.
Watch for volatility and unexpected moves, especially considering the high stochastic reading, which might indicate a short-term overbought condition.
Alternative Scenario (If Breakout Fails):
If the price fails to break above resistance and falls back into the consolidation zone, consider a short position only if the price breaches the support line.
Watch for bearish divergence in the indicators (such as RSI or MFI) for confirmation of a potential downtrend.
This plan provides a clear strategy for trading Bitcoin, balancing potential profits with careful risk management. Stay alert for market updates, and adjust your strategy accordingly if significant changes occur.
Bitcoin can exit from pennant, after which starts to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price rose inside the upward channel, where it soon reached the buyer zone, which coincided with the support level. Later, BTC broke this level and rose to the resistance line of the channel, but then it turned around and made a correction movement to the buyer zone. In this area, the price rebounded from the support line of the channel and started to grow, so, in a short time it broke the 68800 level again and then exited from the upward channel. Next, BTC continued to move up inside the upward pennant, reaching the support line and rebounding higher. Later, the price reached the current support level (86600) which coincided with the support area, and soon broke this level, after which rose to to resistance line of the pennant. Then it made a correction movement to the support area, after which turned around and rose back to the resistance line of the pennant. Now, the price continues to trades near this line and I think that BTC can exit from this pattern and little grow more. After this, the price can turn around and start to decline to the 86600 support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin - When will Bitcoin go to price correction?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the daily timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. Risk ON sentiment in the US stock market or investing in Bitcoin ETF funds will lead to its continued upward movement. We will look for bitcoin selling positions in the range of the channel ceiling (weekly).
Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. Bitcoin buying positions can be looked for in the two specified demand zones.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important.
US Spot Bitcoin ETFs
• Performance Last Week:
• During the first three trading days, US spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced substantial capital inflows, starting with a $1.11 billion inflow on the first day.
• However, in the last two trading days, the ETFs faced capital outflows of $400 million and $370 million, respectively.
• Weekly Summary:
Overall, the ETFs recorded a net capital inflow of $1.67 billion for the week, marking a positive performance.
Crypto Market Liquidations
• Coinglass Data:
• Over the past 24 hours, due to market volatility, more than 101,000 traders were liquidated, resulting in a total liquidation value of $231 million.
• This significant figure highlights the impact of recent market fluctuations on crypto traders.
Credit Agricole’s Analysis of the US Dollar
• Future of the Dollar:
• Unlike the 2018 rally driven by Trump-era policies, Credit Agricole argues that 2025 will not see a repeat of the same trend.
• Reasons:
• Current economic conditions differ significantly from 2018.
• Monetary policies and the dollar’s current strength indicate that the dynamics driving the dollar’s movements have shifted.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. on Bitcoin
• Bitcoin as the “Currency of Freedom”:
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr., former Secretary of Health under Trump, described Bitcoin as a tool for protecting the middle class from inflation and a solution to counter the devaluation of the dollar.
• He also highlighted Bitcoin’s potential role in addressing America’s crippling national debt, emphasizing its importance in the country’s economic future.
Declining Correlation Between Bitcoin and Gold
• The correlation between Bitcoin and gold has dropped to its lowest point in 11 months.
• James Stanley, Chief Market Strategist at Forex.com:
• Gold has recently reached an overbought status, and its price correction is reasonable.
• Investor Focus on Bitcoin:
As Bitcoin approaches the $100,000 threshold, gold may regain investor appeal, especially near critical support levels.
Keep watching for 99-102KMorning folks,
Since last week BTC has reached a solid target/resistance area together with weekly Overbought (where it still stands) we have considered two scenarios - either immediate downside pullback via H&S pattern, or attempt to touch major 102K target first and then the pullback.
Now it seems that everything goes with the latter scenario. H&S shape on 4H chart is totally ruined. while our 3-Drive stands well and its final part could take the shape of the butterfly.
We see nothing interesting for bears by far. But for bulls, if you will control the riks and 86K lows, which is invalidation point of this bullish scenario - everything could be fine.
What do you think is being shown on BTC Bitcoin BTCUSDT chart ?What do you think is being shown on the OKX:BTCUSDT chart?
(pls vote at comments)
💔 Head and Shoulders - after breaking through and consolidating below 88.K, the price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC will continue to move towards $81.500
🐳 Consolidation in the form of a triangle with an exit upwards and the continuation of the movement of the #Bitcoin price towards $100,000
_____________________
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Bitcoin's Bull Flag Formation Suggests Potential Upside MoveCurrent Setup:
Bitcoin's recent breakout from a descending price channel led to a swift rally, pushing beyond its upside target of $90,000-$92,000.
With established support now between $70,000-$72,000, Bitcoin has created a flagpole formation, hinting at a possible bull flag pattern—a classic continuation setup.
Next Steps:
Consolidation Phase: Bitcoin is likely to consolidate sideways for the next few weeks, allowing time for the market to digest recent gains and build momentum for the next leg up.
Upside Targets: If the bull flag formation plays out as expected, BTC could see an explosive rally toward the $110,000-$112,000 range. With strong buying pressure, an extension to $120,000 is also within reach.
Support Zone:
The critical support remains at $70,000-$72,000. Staying above this level will be key to maintaining the bullish outlook and validating the flag formation.
Outlook:
As long as Bitcoin holds above the $70,000-$72,000 support zone, the bull case remains intact. Watch for a potential breakout from the consolidation phase to signal the next move higher, targeting new all-time highs.
#Bitcoin #BTC #BullishTrend #CryptoTechnicalAnalysis
WAGYUSWAP IS ON THE MOVE - EXPECT UNEXPECTEDChart Overview
Timeframe: 4-hour chart
The price is trading within a square trading channel, indicating a consolidation phase. This could signal the market is in a period of indecision, with potential for either a breakout or breakdown.
The price is currently approaching the lower boundary of the range, indicating that a bounce might be possible or further price testing may occur before any breakout.
Key Levels
Resistance: The price has been rejected multiple times near 0.0015419 and 0.0013976, creating a clear resistance zone.
Support: The price is finding support near 0.0012548, a level it has tested recently and managed to bounce from, showing some strength in the market.
Volume
Volume Trend: The trading volume is currently lower compared to previous spikes, which typically signals lower market participation. This suggests the market is waiting for a catalyst (likely a breakout or a shift in sentiment) before it can decide on the next move.
Indicators
VMC Cipher B Divergences: This indicator shows some divergence between the price and momentum, hinting that the price may be losing some strength in its current trend, which could signal a potential reversal.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently at 55.5, the RSI is neutral, indicating there is no extreme overbought or oversold condition. It is waiting for more price movement to confirm whether the trend will continue or reverse.
Stochastic Oscillator: The stochastic is at 27/71, suggesting a slightly oversold condition. This could indicate a potential buying opportunity if the price tests the support again or breaks higher.
Trading Plan
Scenario 1: Breakout Above Resistance (Bullish)
Entry Point: If the price breaks above 0.0015419 and holds above it, this could indicate the start of an uptrend.
Target: The next resistance zone lies around 0.00166. This could be your first target.
Stop Loss: Place the stop just below the previous support level of 0.0012548 (around 0.0012) to limit risk if the breakout fails.
Scenario 2: Bounce from Support (Bullish Reversal)
Entry Point: A potential entry could be near the 0.0012548 support level if the price shows signs of bouncing off this zone with higher volume or confirmation from the RSI or stochastic oscillators.
Target: The target would be the 0.0013976 resistance level, with a potential continuation towards 0.0015419.
Stop Loss: Place the stop just below 0.0012 to protect from a further breakdown if the support level fails.
Scenario 3: Breakdown Below Support (Bearish)
Entry Point: If the price breaks below 0.0012548 and shows no signs of reversal, this could indicate a continuation of the downtrend.
Target: The next support level lies around 0.001166.
Stop Loss: The stop should be placed just above 0.0013976 resistance level to protect from any unexpected upward movement.
Risk Management
Position Sizing: Adjust your position size based on your risk tolerance and stop loss distance. Never risk more than 2% of your account balance on a single trade.
Monitor Volume: Ensure that any breakout or breakdown is accompanied by an increase in volume, which helps confirm the validity of the price movement.
Additional Considerations
Watch for the broader market trends as cryptocurrency markets can be highly correlated. Look for any major news or events that could affect overall market sentiment.
Keep an eye on the broader trend, using higher timeframes like the daily chart for confirmation.
Bitcoin's Super-cycle PredectionBitcoin is finalizing a motive wave (3) to mark the run's top.
A main corrective wave (4) shall start right after (3) and it shall last till Aug/ Sep of 2025 (a mini bear market).
A last motive wave (5) would happen after (4) that would probably last for another year
to end the 4 years super-cycle that started from Nov 2022.