Bitcoin (BTC) Market AnalysisCurrent Range & Price Action:
Bitcoin is consolidating within a well-defined range between $92,000 and $108,000, following a strong upward trend that has maintained bullish market sentiment.
Despite recent sell-offs, BTC holding above the $90,000 level suggests strong underlying demand and resilience from buyers.
Decreasing Volatility & Breakout Potential:
The market is experiencing declining volatility, a common precursor to significant price moves. This coiling effect suggests that a major breakout may be imminent.
Conditions currently favor an upward breakout, as Bitcoin remains in a long-term bullish trend and is supported by strong market demand.
Key Resistance & Support Levels:
A break above the $108,000 resistance level could trigger a rally to $124,000, based on the rectangle pattern’s measured move.
Conversely, a break below the $92,000 support would challenge the bullish structure and may lead to a reassessment of the market outlook.
Outlook:
As long as BTC remains within this range and holds above the critical $90,000 level, the setup points to a potential continuation of the uptrend.
Traders should closely monitor price action around $108,000 for signs of a breakout, as well as the $92,000 level to manage downside risk.
Conclusion:
With Bitcoin consolidating and holding key support levels, the technical setup favors potential upside. A decisive move above $108,000 would likely lead to a continuation of the broader bullish trend, targeting $124,000 in the near term. Conversely, a break below $92,000 would signal caution and could lead to a broader market correction.
Btc!
A bit of Hopium - FTX payouts tomorrow. What's next for the mark8 months to the assumed end of the cycle.
ETFs and everything else are already priced in. However, incoming money flows are not yet factored into the price of the cryptocurrency market. This creates a unique opportunity for those who can anticipate where liquidity will flow next.
I think you all have noticed that capital/liquidity from Bitcoin is not moving into altcoins — at least not yet. Bitcoin remains the "safe haven" for institutional investors, while altcoins remain underappreciated. But if ETFs for altcoins are approved, it will be a very different situation. The floodgates could open, and we might see unprecedented inflows into projects like Ethereum, Cardano, and even meme coins like Dogecoin.
FTX payouts are on February 18 — that's tomorrow.
This event is critical. Many creditors have been waiting for years to recover their funds. With Ethereum staking ETFs potentially approved in the second quarter, this could coincide with the next FTX payouts, creating a perfect storm of liquidity entering the market.
Let’s remember the 2020 FTX debt buybacks at $0.3 per dollar, then $0.4, and the last one I heard was at $0.8 per dollar. Someone had a lot of confidence that payouts would be made. And where do you think the $10–15 billion of capital will go? Most likely to altcoins, because Samuel Bankman-Fried was the king of altcoins.
There is an assumption that if something triggers the printing press or quantitative easing, but nobody believes in that now.
Central banks are tightening monetary policy, and inflation is slowly coming under control. However, the crypto market operates differently. It thrives on speculation, innovation, and adoption. All of the top altcoins will be priced significantly higher as new narratives emerge.
The challenge is to hold our portfolios! Volatility is inevitable, but patience will pay off.
If there is a correction in early March, here are the projects with potential ETFs:
ETH staking
LTC
ADA
DOGE
XLM
XRP
HBAR
This is in case there is a drop in March. Corrections are healthy for the market, allowing new buyers to enter at lower prices.
Spring can turn positive very quickly.
The best scenario is a green close of the February candle — momentum on Bitcoin. If BTC holds above key support levels, we could see a bullish Q2.
In the second half of March, we need to get in what we didn’t manage to get in the market, in case there is no drop in early March. Timing is crucial, but so is preparation.
Additional Catalysts to Watch For:
There are many catalysts that I don’t write about, but they could happen:
Introduction of Basic Income
Unexpected ETF bids: Regulatory approvals often come faster than expected.
Countries building reserves of BTC or other altcoins : Nations like El Salvador have already started adopting Bitcoin. Others may follow suit, especially as geopolitical tensions rise.
It’s going to be a super positive year. Stay positive.
The future is very clear, but for some reason, a lot of people are losing faith.
Prices go up — I’m sure of this scenario. Prices go down — I’m sure of this scenario. There’s no point in making a fuss when you know what’s ahead. I don’t know why people lose faith in their beliefs in the moment.
In a market like this, when it’s suddenly not obvious, it’s because you’re competing with a completely different category of players. Believing in your beliefs will be an advantage in this market, especially for people who are not big capital.
Stay strong and focused.
Best regards EXCAVO
BTC to $90K-$92K Range?I have to concur with those calling for BTC, fundamentals notwithstanding, to retest the order block formed by the wick down on 1/13.
The 100d SMA, price action has closed beneath that.
Anchor a VWAP to the 12/17 HH, price action has closed beneath that. (The order block in question is 2 standard deviations south.)
Anchor a volume profile to the 12/17 HH, price action has closed beneath the POC, though it has broken back above repeatedly.
Momentum has stalled, though BTC remains oversold--and both volume and money flow are weak.
Is this worth a short??? We are talking about a 5% drop?
I myself am inclined to eschew shorts in an oversold environment. And BTC has been fickle as #eff so far in 2025.
The best play for those who want to trade the move is to wait for confirmation of a bottom in the lower 90's and long what might well result in a short squeeze.
Thought?
$BTC 3 Black Crows Falls Below WSMA9Another tough week for CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Closed the Week below the SMA9
With its 3rd consecutive bearish candle,
also known as 3 Black Crows.
This could mean that we have another bloody week ahead.
$94-91k is still very much in play.
Worth noting that Alts have been outperforming BTC this week, which is reflected in TOTAL and BTC.D
Bitcoin: Range Break Out This Week?Bitcoin is stuck in a tight consolidation that can be very confusing and costly IF you get too wrapped up in opinions and typical internet propaganda. To participate effectively in this you either play the range levels on small times frames (see my previous week's analysis) or just stay out completely until a decisive break unfolds. When and which way it breaks is ANY ONE'S guess.
The range support is in the 94 to 93K area. Use time frames like the 5 minute or 15 minute to confirm bullish reversals here and look for small bites. The coming week is the same story as the previous week. The 99K AREA is the range resistance and should be used as a reference point to gauge profit potential for swing trade longs or to anticipate sell signals for aggressive shorts. That is the game plan for the week UNTIL Bitcoin clears one of these price points.
The anticipated move (illustration on chart) is the same as the week before. Please keep in mind this market is sensitive to a variety of catalysts and has a tendency to be affected by the Nasdaq on a intraday basis. Unexpected news can come out of no where and throw off any analysis, especially longer term. This is why it is so important to stay opinion free while focusing on potential opportunities around predetermined price locations, Either the market delivers or it does not.
Part of being a savvy trader/investor is knowing when to simply stay out. Consolidations offer opportunities at the range boundaries, while the WORST place to take action is around the mid point which is the most RANDOM area. There is not much more to say than that. When the market breaks one way or the other, new profit and risk expectations can be adjusted for only then.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
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BNB ANALYSIS ( UPDATE ) 📊 #BNB Analysis : Update
✅As we said earlier, #BNB performed same. Now we can see that #BNB is trading around a major support area and following a trendline. We could expect around 10% bullish move if it sustain its major support area
👀Current Price: $673
🚀 Target Price: $745
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #BNB price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#BNB #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
BTC roadmap in Hourly TimeFrames (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
This structure is not yet complete, and Bitcoin hasn't trapped enough liquidity. Therefore, we can expect it to reach the green zone before moving upward. We still need to wait for this chart to develop. The red zone is a potential area for price rejection to the downside.
Given the time correction that has occurred, we have updated the green zone.
Let's see what happens.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bearish Logscale Butterfly T2 with Bearish MACD & RSI DivergenceBitcoin appears to be set up at the 1.902 HOP for a Type 2 retest of the Logscale Bearish Butterfly that resulted in a major Type 1 reaction from the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension back in 2021, where it dropped from $69,000 to $15,500 over the course of several months before ultimately bottoming at the PCZ of a smaller Log Scale Bullish Butterfly which signaled the Type 2 run up to the 1.902 HOP of the Bearish Butterfly where it is now. As it tests this level the MACD and RSI are both Diverging Bearishly and the RSI especially seems weak as it now struggles to even crack above 70 level. This signals to me that the RSI has confirmed exhaustion after divergence at the HOP and that it is likely ready to start declining further.
Saying as though this is the type 2 test, I'd suspect that we'd make a lower low than our previous Type 1 reaction low at $15k, perhaps landing us around $12-10k; but if those levels don't hold It would be technically viable to assume BTC would go for the 0.886 retrace at around $4.6k
GBP/USD Breaks Key Resistance: Targeting 1.2800 GBP/USD is trading at approximately 1.2580. Your target price of 1.2800 suggests an anticipated upward movement of over 200 pips, indicating a bullish outlook. The pair has recently broken above a significant resistance level, and the next key resistance is identified at 1.2800, which could potentially act as a barrier and prompt a downward correction.
Technical analysis reveals that GBP/USD has exited a multi-month downtrend, with the January rebound extending nearly 4.4% from the yearly low. This upward momentum suggests potential for further gains; however, traders should be cautious as the 1.2800 resistance level may trigger selling pressure, leading to a possible retracement.
Fundamentally, the UK's economic landscape is experiencing shifts. Inflation is expected to rise to 2.8% in January, influenced by factors such as the introduction of VAT on private school fees and increased airfares. This follows the Bank of England's recent 25 basis point rate cut, aimed at stimulating economic activity. Conversely, the U.S. economy shows resilience, with strong economic data suggesting that further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are unlikely.
In summary, while the GBP/USD pair exhibits bullish momentum with a potential target of 1.2800, traders should remain vigilant. The 1.2800 resistance level may serve as a critical point, possibly leading to a downward correction. Monitoring upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will be essential in making informed trading decisions.
BITCOIN - Price can correct again and then start grow to $101KHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago, prices bounced from $93600 level, rose to $102500, and then started to decline in a triangle.
In this pattern, price turned around and made an upward impulse from support line to $102500 level and broke it.
Next, BTC exited from triangle and started to decline inside pennant, where it soon broke $102500 level one more time.
After this, price dropped to support area and even a little below, reaching support line pennant and then bouncing up.
Bitcoin rose to $102500 level, after which in a short time, it declined to support line of pennant and now it rising.
In my mind, BTC can correct to support line again and then start to grow to $101K.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
GLUSDT 50%-77% Gains – Bullish Momentum Set to Surge!GLUSDT has recently broken out of a Falling Wedge Pattern, a technical formation that typically signals the end of a downtrend and the potential for significant price action upward. The Falling Wedge is characterized by converging trendlines, with the price action tightening as buyers and sellers reach an equilibrium before one side gains control. With a solid breakout now in play, GLUSDT is poised for a strong bullish move. The volume accompanying the breakout is good, indicating strong market participation and confirming that the move has the potential to continue. Traders are anticipating gains ranging from 50% to 77%+ as the price continues to push higher, potentially testing key resistance levels.
The breakout from the Falling Wedge pattern is a key event for GLUSDT, and with good volume supporting this move, it increases the likelihood that the price will continue its upward trajectory. Falling Wedges typically indicate that buying pressure is starting to build, and once the resistance level is cleared, the price often experiences a surge. The breakout has already set the stage for a potential rally, and traders are now looking for confirmation of the next resistance levels to determine how far the price might go. With strong technical backing and good investor interest, GLUSDT is well-positioned for substantial price gains in the near term.
Investors are taking increasing interest in GLUSDT, as the breakout from the Falling Wedge marks a key shift in sentiment. The good volume confirms that this pattern is not a false breakout, and with many traders eyeing the potential for higher returns, this project is gaining momentum. As the market shifts from a bearish to a bullish outlook, GLUSDT could see a sharp rise, testing higher price levels and delivering the anticipated 50% to 77%+ gains. The rising interest and positive market sentiment around GLUSDT further solidify its status as a potential high-reward opportunity.
Traders should closely monitor key support and resistance levels as the price action unfolds. If GLUSDT can maintain its momentum and push through further resistance, the rally could extend toward the projected gain levels. As always, it’s important to track volume and market conditions to confirm the strength of the breakout. With the current setup and positive technical indicators, GLUSDT is one of the more promising crypto pairs to watch for potential substantial gains.
Bollinger Bands Analysis & BTC/USD Accumulation StrategyBased on the BTC/USD chart with the Bollinger Bands indicator on the 12-hour time frame, it is evident that the price has repeatedly touched or breached the lower band, indicating oversold conditions. Each time the price enters this oversold zone, BTC/USD experiences a rebound within a relatively short period, suggesting a strong accumulation pattern by market participants. This pattern is consistent, as the price has never remained in oversold conditions for more than three consecutive candles (36 hours) before rebounding. This indicates that selling pressure is only temporary before buyers step in and push the price back up.
Given this pattern, a suitable trading strategy is to buy when the price re-enters the accumulation zone around 95,400, which serves as a potential buy area. If the price drops further, the next strong support level is at 89,280, which could act as a crucial validation point before considering a trend reversal. An entry can be executed when the price touches the lower band and bullish price action confirmation appears, such as pin bar, doji, or bullish engulfing candlesticks, indicating that buyers are taking control of the market. The potential upside target is around 108,160, serving as the nearest resistance level that could be reached if the previous bullish pattern repeats.
From a risk management perspective, a stop loss should not be placed immediately upon the price touching the lower band, as past patterns show that BTC/USD has not remained in oversold conditions for more than three candles. However, if the oversold condition persists until the fourth candle (48 hours after the initial signal), this would indicate that selling pressure is stronger than before and that the short-term trend has likely shifted.
Based on historical patterns, the price is likely to rebound once it enters the oversold zone (highlighted in yellow on the chart) and forms bullish confirmation. Therefore, an accumulation approach at the key support level remains a strategy with high profit potential, provided that risk management is applied with discipline. If the price continues to decline and remains oversold for 48 hours, the bullish scenario may be invalidated, and a safer re-entry strategy should be considered. By understanding this pattern, traders can make more confident decisions without rushing while remaining alert to potential trend shifts in the market.
BTCUSDT Correction time?I can see in this weekly chart that if BTC didn't respects it's Support level 93k-91k, it might show 75k as a retest performing double Top pattern, then we can start going Bullish if it don't break 75k... After that market may show 120k to 125k. But if market don't respect 75k, it might go further down.
BTC correction time?I can see in this weekly chart that if BTC didn't respects it's Support level 93k-91k, it might show 75k as a retest performing double Top pattern, then we can start going Bullish if it don't break 75k... After that market may show 120k to 125k. But if market don't respect 75k, it might go further down.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) – Ascending Triangle Breakout Incoming?Bitcoin is forming an ascending triangle on the 4-hour chart, signaling a potential breakout. The price is making higher lows, showing strong buying pressure, while resistance remains near $98,000.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
📈 Breakout Target : If BTC breaks above $98,000, we could see a move toward $100,763, with further upside potential toward $102,600.
📉 Support Levels : The lower trendline and $97,000 act as key supports. A breakdown could lead to a retest of $92,247.
A decisive move in either direction will set the tone for BTC’s next big move.
💬 What’s your take breakout or rejection? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
BTC LONG 4HAfter the sweep to the lows that reached 91K without having reached the minimum, BTC is now ready for a new ATH since:
- Still has a bullish bias and uptrend on a weekly basis.
- The bearish moment on the daily has already ceased, its an bullish wave moment.
- It is forming what is known as a rounded floor in the 94-99K area.
It must be taken into account that this BTC cycle is not the same as all the previous ones, no cycle is ever the same, it can be seen that ETH is in a cycle prior to BTC and is doing something similar to what BTC did in its 2020 cycle, therefore my speculation, although subjective and does not have a reliable basis since no one knows what the price will do in the short term and that is obvious, its appears of going to liquidate all the shorts from 109K with a great bullish momentum, and then do what everyone is waiting for at this moment, which is to fall sharply to 75-80K, I think that the top of this BTC cycle is approximately 200K and as we are already seeing it is not a vertical rise as before, but it is being consistent.
Bitcoin in its history in a bullish cycle only falls very violently from a high point, so being in the low part of a daily range, I see evidently a bullish wave in the first instance, the subsequent fall is more speculative since it is something more future that will have to be analyzed again but that has all the earmarks at this moment.
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Tras la barrida a mínimos que llegó a 91K sin haber llegado al mínimo, BTC ya está listo para un nuevo ATH ya que:
- Todavía tiene un sesgo alcista y tendencia alcista en semanal.
- El momento bearish en diario ya cesó, le toca una onda alcista.
- Está formando lo que se conoce como un suelo redondeado en la zona de 94-99K.
Hay que tener en cuenta que este ciclo de BTC no es igual que todos los anteriores, nunca un ciclo es igual, se puede apreciar que ETH está en un ciclo anterior a BTC y está haciendo algo parecido a lo que BTC hizo en su ciclo de 2020, por lo tanto mi especulación auque sea subjetiva y no tenga una base fiable ya que nadie sabe lo que hará el precio a corto plazo y eso es obvio, tiene toda la pinta de ir a barrer todos los shorts desde los 109K con un gran impulso alcista, y posteriormente hacer lo que todo el mundo está esperando en éste momento, que es caer fuertemente hasta los 75-80K, pienso que el tope de éste ciclo de BTC está aproximadamente por los 200K y como ya estamos viendo no está siendo una subida vertical como anteriormente, pero está siendo consistente.
Bitcoin en su historia en un ciclo alcista sólo cae de forma muy violenta desde una parte alta, entonces estando en la parte baja de un rango diario, veo evidente una onda alcista en primera instancia, la posterior caída es más especulativo ya que es algo más futuro que tocará volver a analizar pero que tiene toda la pinta en este momento.