HolderStat | BTC bulls leaving the ship?Over the last 3 days, $2.5 billion has been liquidated in the futures market, 83% of which is longs. The BTC price dropped to $96,613 (-4.6% for the week), the fear index dropped 7 points, and outflows from spot ETFs totaled an impressive $680 million.
❌ Is this a signal? No, it's a pattern. Corrections like this “drop off the tourists,” opening up new opportunities for those who know how to act strategically.
Even El Salvador did not flinch under IMF pressure and bought 11 BTC. Their wallet is usually replenished by 1 BTC per day - something is clearly brewing. What have you done?
💡 What to do?
1️⃣ Analyze key support levels.
2️⃣ Watch liquidity: BTC dominance remains high (59%), which confirms interest in the asset.
3️⃣ Evaluate trading volumes on pullbacks.
⚡️ Correction is not a time for panic, but a moment for cold-blooded analysis and precise actions.
_____________________
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Btc-analysis
$BTC Analysis update: What's Next ?** CRYPTOCAP:BTC Analysis: What's Next?**
As you can see, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has completed its previous consolidation phase, which lasted six months. The recent *Trump election pump* coincided with the end of that phase, leading to a new, massive parabolic rally.
However, signs are emerging that the market is overheating:
- **RSI**: Indicates overbought conditions, suggesting a correction is due.
- **MACD**: Overheated and also signaling an impending correction.
On a **weekly timeframe**, history tells us that similar situations have resulted in sideways movement for about six months, with a 30–40% downside, before the next major rally begins.
---
### Will This Trigger an Altseason?
Most likely, yes. During these cooling-off periods, investors often turn their attention to altcoins, which tend to be more active and engaging during such times.
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### MACD Insights
By counting the bars on the MACD, it looks like we might have **two more weeks of upward movement** before an EMA crossover signals the start of consolidation.
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### Looking Ahead
The next major pump could occur around **May**. Let’s see how this unfolds.
**Remember:** Do Your Own Research (DYOR).
#BTCUSDT.P Daily trades//setup 1/5RR LONG X3 LEVERAGE# hello TRADERS , hope you’re doing well
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BTC Next Scenario That Can Play OutThis is the next Scenario that can play out in BTC. I Trust that BTC is now slowly moving towards that box that I marked and then we will expect a good bounce from it !
Disclaimer ✨
Trade at your own risk. I am not liable for any gains or losses. For educational purposes only, not financial advice or I am not a financial advisor.
HTF Markup 12-16 Feb 2024 W7 - XAU, DXY, GBP, JPY, AUD, NAS, BTCThis is a Weekly post for several pairs showing HTF Markup only using Smart Money Concept (SMC) on Weekly, Daily and 4H Time Frames.
Feedback will be highly appreciated.
U.S. Dollar Index TVC:DXY
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Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar OANDA:XAUUSD
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HTF Markup 5-9 Feb 2024 W6 - XAU, DXY, GBP, JPY, AUD, NAS, BTCThis is a Weekly post for several pairs showing HTF Markup only using Smart Money Concept (SMC) on Weekly, Daily and 4H Time Frames.
Feedback will be highly appreciated.
U.S. Dollar Index TVC:DXY
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Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar OANDA:XAUUSD
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British Pound / U.S. Dollar FX:GBPUSD
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U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen FOREXCOM:USDJPY
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BTC Weekly Analysis: Breaking Trendlines & Anticipated Targets A comprehensive examination of Bitcoin's recent performance reveals a noteworthy development: its current valuation stands at $29,700, having breached a significant weekly trendline. This breach suggests a potential trajectory, with the immediate target identified at $31,818, followed by a subsequent level at $34,083. However, it's important to acknowledge the potential for a retracement to $29,038, though such a move is considered less probable at this juncture.
I'm looking for it to complete a Three-Drives-Pattern to the high.
#NFA
Bitcoin's Evolution Through Crucial Events and Historical PriceThe Bitcoin market has witnessed significant price fluctuations, influenced by a series of pivotal events over the past years. The Bitcoin 2022 event showcased its growing global influence, while the Lightning Network's development in 2022 highlighted technological advancements aimed at enhancing transaction efficiency. The price consolidation in 2023, between $26,000 and $28,000, was a reflection of a relatively stable phase, contrasting with the volatility observed in the latter half of 2022. Furthermore, the celebration of Bitcoin's 15th anniversary in 2023 emphasized its lasting impact in the financial sector. These events, combined with the technical indicators from the provided chart, offer a comprehensive understanding of Bitcoin's current market position and potential future trajectories.
Analysis:
Historical Overview & Key Events:
Bitcoin 2022 Event: This event solidified its position as the largest Bitcoin gathering, emphasizing the technological growth, financial empowerment, and Bitcoin's influence on modern counterculture.
Price Dynamics: Throughout 2023, BTC's price showed consolidation between the ranges of $26,000 and $28,000. This performance was comparatively more stable than the latter half of 2022, highlighting a period of relative calmness for the asset.
Bitcoin's 15th Anniversary: The crypto realm marked October 31, 2023, with significant reverence, celebrating 15 years since the release of the Bitcoin whitepaper by Satoshi Nakamoto. This pivotal document has laid the foundation for an entire industry and has spurred myriad innovations.
2021 - The 'Year of Cryptocurrency': The world witnessed a significant tilt towards cryptocurrency adoption in 2021. As the year transitioned to 2022, numerous developments across Bitcoin and other digital assets became the center of financial news and discussions.
Lightning Network's Expansion: 2022 saw a substantial uptick in the development and adoption of Bitcoin's Lightning Network. This scaling solution aims to tackle one of Bitcoin's most discussed challenges – scalability. The growth of the Lightning Network is vital for ensuring that Bitcoin remains efficient as adoption grows.
Technical Analysis:
Bollinger Bands: Bitcoin's current trading range is within the Bollinger Bands, suggesting a balanced sentiment without extreme volatility.
Volume Oscillator: The current divergence between volume and price, as highlighted by a -14.46% reading, might indicate a lack of strong momentum.
Stochastic Oscillator & RSI: The Stochastic Oscillator's %K value is above its %D, suggesting potential bullishness. Meanwhile, the RSI hovers in the neutral territory.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: The cryptocurrency is flirting with the 1 (31804.20) Fibonacci level. Support lies at the 0.236 (26530.16) and 0.382 (27538.02) levels, while the 1.618 (36070.38) level is the next resistance.
Probable Scenario: Given the confluence of the technical indicators and the influence of pivotal historical events, there seems to be a mild bullish inclination. Surpassing the 1 (31804.20) Fibonacci level could set the stage for a rally towards the 1.618 (36070.38) resistance. Conversely, a pullback might test the 0.236 (26530.16) support.
Conclusion: The combination of recent historical events and technical indicators suggests Bitcoin is at a crucial juncture. The aforementioned support and resistance levels will likely play a pivotal role in dictating Bitcoin's short-term movement. Investors and traders should closely monitor these levels for potential breakouts or pullbacks. Additionally, given the ever-evolving nature of the cryptocurrency landscape, staying updated on current events, technological advancements, and regulatory stances can provide a more holistic understanding of potential market movements.
BTC ANALYSISPsychological Analysis: The market is strongly bearish and more and more FUD is loading. For now, FTx uncertainty regarding CRYPTOCAP:SOL is loading as we predicted a few months ago when watched the FTx data. It's not only CRYPTOCAP:SOL that is affected, but the entire Altcoin and BTC sector. We enter into the phase of FUD and fear which has not even started yet. Meanwhile, market makers are fake pumping altcoins to liquidate those shorts from above with sudden fake pumps, just to nuke it afterwards. It gives us hints that market makers know BTC's next move, and want to take out most of altcoin shorts with these fake pumps. At the same time, they send BTC into the boring sideways zone. Indeed, the next BTC leg down will fully nuke the Altcoin sector. You have been warned. For now, I am watching several options we might see for BTC before hitting my final target of $ 23,500. The best short entry for those that missed my call at 31k region is currently at $28.600 region. Pray that the market allows you to visit again if it happens. I would add more to my shorts. I have been mentioning $28.600 for a longer time to retest the breakdown of MA100 which happened on the 17th of August. So far we have not retested the breakdown, and at the same time, a big liquidity pool is perfectly matching in the same region. There are more than enough reasons for market makers to bring it to the $ 28,600 region. This is not a long call! However, general information on what might be the next moves of the market makers. Be prepared for all scenarios. All in all, zoom out, and the final target remains on the downside with a target of $23.500 as we spoke about an incoming sideway movement that took place as expected. This week is more volatile if important numbers released on Wednesday (CPI) and Thursday (PPI) are higher or lower than the expected numbers.
#BTC #BINANCE #FUTURES #TRADING
Navigating the Market: An In-depth Analysis of the 1inch TokenIn the rapidly evolving world of cryptocurrencies, it's crucial to keep a close eye on market dynamics. Today, our focus shifts to the decentralized exchange (DEX) aggregator, 1inch. In this article, we delve into the token's performance, providing a comprehensive analysis based on the 4-hour chart to understand the current state and future potential of the token.
Unpacking the Bollinger Bands
The Bollinger Bands, known for their utility in understanding market volatility, outline an interesting story for 1inch. The upper band stands at $0.5082 and the lower band at $0.3107, marking the confines of market volatility for the token. Meanwhile, the middle band - often considered a crucial moving average line - stands at $0.4095. This key figure could serve as a central pivot for upcoming price movements.
Fibonacci Levels: Reading between the Lines
Turning our focus to the Fibonacci retracement levels, we can glean potential market scenarios. The ceiling, as indicated by the 0 level, stands at $0.5935, hinting at a bullish outcome if 1inch catches upward momentum. On the other hand, the first level or floor is at $0.3135, marking a potential bearish target if the token succumbs to downward pressure. The half level sits at $0.4535 and might act as a short-term resistance level in the token's journey.
Indicators and Oscillators: An Ocean of Signals
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), currently at 44, denotes neutrality, with the token neither overbought nor oversold. However, the stochastic oscillator delves into the oversold zone at 1.78, potentially suggesting an imminent price rebound.
Conversely, the volume oscillator, currently at -33%, signals a decrease in trading volume, which could imply a possible period of consolidation or trend reversal. The OBV (On Balance Volume) stands at 327 million, reflecting reasonable investor interest at the current price levels.
MACD: Gauging Market Momentum
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), showing 0.005, has the MACD line just above the signal line, providing a slightly bearish indication. If the MACD line crosses below the signal line, it might be interpreted as a selling signal, pushing traders to adjust their positions accordingly.
Taking Stock of the Situation
The 1inch token experienced a 10% drop in the last 24 hours. Its current market price, standing at $0.3617, rests between the middle and lower Bollinger Bands and below the half level of the Fibonacci retracement.
Given these market conditions, it's crucial for traders and investors to maintain a vigilant watch on the market and the 1inch token's behavior. Remember, every financial decision should be backed by thorough research and a careful consideration of multiple market factors. Stay informed, stay prepared, and as always, keep navigating the market.
Daily Time Frame Analysis - SOL (Solana):As we delve into the daily chart analysis of Solana (SOL), a high-performance blockchain platform, it's evident that the coin has experienced some significant volatility recently. The current market price stands at $25.37, representing a 6% decrease in the last 24 hours.
A glance at the Bollinger Bands reveals an expanding volatility pattern, with the upper band at $28.5, the middle band at $22, and the lower band at $15.66. The recent price surge has pushed SOL near the upper Bollinger Band, indicating a possible overextension in the buying activity. Meanwhile, the middle band could potentially act as support if the price was to decline.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), standing at 67, is in the upper range of its scale, flirting with the overbought territory. This could be a sign of the strong buying pressure that has characterized the recent price movement.
Interestingly, the volume oscillator is showing a negative 6%, indicating that trading volumes have been shrinking. This might suggest that the upward momentum is losing steam and a period of consolidation or correction could be on the horizon.
The On-Balance Volume (OBV) at 360 million signifies a strong buying pressure. This divergence with the volume oscillator could be due to larger transactions being executed, thus leading to higher OBV despite lower overall trading volumes.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) at 2.30 corroborates the continued bullish trend, with the MACD line situated comfortably above the signal line.
When it comes to the Fibonacci retracement, the levels do not offer much guidance for the current price range, as the price has already moved well beyond the 0 level at $20. This is a common occurrence when the asset experiences a significant price increase in a short period, as is the case with SOL. However, upon switching to a 4-hour time frame, Fibonacci levels provide valuable insight. The zero level is at $29, the half level is at $27, and the first level is at $25, which aligns with the current market price, potentially providing a support level.
The 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) lies at $22, which could serve as a strong support level if the price was to decline. It's often seen that prices return to their long-term EMA after sharp rallies, and the 200-day EMA is widely regarded as a crucial benchmark.
In conclusion, SOL is currently in a strong upward trend, as reflected in the RSI, OBV, and MACD readings. However, with the RSI nearing overbought conditions and the shrinking trading volumes indicated by the volume oscillator, caution is warranted. It would be prudent to closely monitor these indicators and key Fibonacci and EMA support levels in the coming days.
BTC ANALYSIS 7/7/23BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
Goodmorning people, SO to get stuck straight into it BTC today overall in my opinion looks very bearish... although! There is still faith here with some scalping opportunities just because we are coming down on the 4HR chart hard doesn't mean it won't find some support along the way and if you can identify that its simple enough to move down to the 15M to grab some, this takes years of practice. Don't freak out if you can't identify them levels yet it will come. Back to the chart, my next point of interest would be all the way down at the 26-27k mark trust me there would be some beautiful longs of that area. All in all, to wrap it up I wouldn't fuss to much about taking too many trades focus this time more on education instead of just watching the charts wait for the price on anything to come down to your POI and you will win.
BTC ANALYSIS 28/06/23BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
Goodmorning guys I hope everyone has caught some nice entries in the last few days with the move up, make sure to always check up on your trades but not in a needy way just set a time where you genuinely have an educated look through what you have going. For BTC this has just been so good to see although we are testing our last high at the moment, but I still do believe we have more in this swing which will show why I think that in my last BTC analysis. I'm going to stand by my analysis for 35k BUT remember everything is uncertain so we could really swing down from here RIGHT NOW. not too frighten anyone but that is the reality of this game. Play safe.
Thanks guys
BTC In the following daysThe important area for Bitcoin, if the price is confirmed and stabilized inside the yellow box that I specified, we can continue the upward trend and our foothold will be stronger. If this area is tested and the price returns to the bottom, we can expect a correction in lower prices, which is expected to happen.
BTC ANALYSIS 21/06/23BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
WE ARE BACK! with yet another but positive BTC analysis. So yes, that 200EMA and that level of support that we were at was a genuine bottom and we have bounced back for an exciting bullish run (remember everything is uncertain, but there's no problem in pushing your perception with confidence). I think we see a sell off around the 35,000 mark which is an obvious price but before this I think we have a beautiful leg up too that area of resistance. From here over the next few days I would be setting limits and trying to scale down to catch them perfect long positions. It's all up and down just wait until it turns around on a larger TF and bump down to the smaller TF to catch an opportunity.
TRADES I AM IN: CVXUSDT, BNBUSDT
Feel free to ask any questions, thanks guys.
BTC ANALYSIS 16/06/23BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
So btc having a positive reaction to this level if there is good enough buying pressure i can see this going to the 35k mark. but i am most definitely not counting out the sellers! for all we know this could be going back down to the 20700 mark i mean if it was to go back down to that price the buying pressure would be through the roof haha. but anyway lets look at what we are working with today and the next coming days. I would be setting up a limit order from one of your plans incase of a btc spike because everything goes with btc right? dont be mad if your limit order doesnt pick up.. the charts dont sleep.
My next update will be about the trade im in! and the trade i have for a limit buy!
thanks guys.
MTL RESULT!!!BYBIT:MTLUSDT.P
Wow. this trade was everything i expected i am very proud of this outcome i took my patience and held on too watch these playa bottoms form! it was just a matter of time until i took a shot at this one and after the last spike from the 3rd through to the 6th was that sweet swing.. the volume came through and seen that double bottom forming on the 1HR and took my shot! thats all! win or lose it dont matter! im interested in the best setups. Time to reflect with my wife and find the next best trades i got my eye on. ill be sure to go through these ones tomorrow. ROAD2AMILLI
My BTC spot idea.Thesis
Max pain would be filling the gap maybe going
to the CME gap and going ballistic after.
Yellow is not filling the retails buy orders and just going up. People will try to jump on the wave and
power up the upside.
Red filling gap and stopping out a lot of retail. Going up after.
Green is filling all the gaps which I dont think will happen because we will have a lot of buying in the zone there.
And a black one just going down
trying the lows. Which I dont think will happen.
Going for 44k probably. Lows after due to recession. After halving ballistic again.
Not a recommendation. Just my plan.
BTC UNCHANGED; STILL DOWN.BTC after failing to break through the SUPPORT - the D1 candle closed under, but the W1 failed to break through even once - comes back to fight again with RESISTANCE and immediately loses.
The same situation as last time: Breaking through the SUPPORT will mean an attack to the MAIN SUPPORT, and in case of further declines, an attack to the lows.
If the RESISTANCE is finally broken, the price can go after higher levels like 33000 and then 40000.