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BTC - FVG + Golden Pocket Confluence = Short SetupA strategic high-timeframe imbalance meeting Fibonacci retracement, setting up a potential bearish reaction. --- 1. FVG + Golden Pocket — High-Value Supply Zone The red shaded area defines a significant confluence: - Fair Value Gap (FVG): Left behind by an aggressive drop, representing inefficiency where price is likely to react. - Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65): High-probability Fibonacci retracement level, often acting as a magnet for liquidity before continuation. This zone is primed to act as strong supply if price retraces into it. --- 2. 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci Retracement — Prime Rejection Zone This Fib pocket offers: - A technical level where aggressive buyers previously failed to hold ground. - A common area where institutional players offload positions, triggering sell-offs. A reaction inside this range aligns with broader bearish continuation expectations. --- 3. FVG Rebalance — Liquidity Collection As price fills the inefficiency: - It completes the rebalancing process, removing the incentive for further upward movement. - Typically, liquidity grabs inside the FVG precede a sharp move back toward lower liquidity zones. This supports the short bias post-rebalancing. --- 4. Expected Price Behavior — Liquidity Trap Mechanics The projected move mirrors classical smart money behavior: - Step 1: Induce late buyers into the FVG + Golden Pocket area. - Step 2: Trigger a quick rejection after liquidity collection. - Step 3: Resume downward pressure as imbalance is resolved. The entire flow is designed to punish inefficient entries and reward patience. --- 5. Market Context Alignment - FVG and Golden Pocket together strengthen the case for a precise, controlled rejection. - Emphasis on liquidity-driven movements keeps the focus sharp on execution and timing. --- 6. Summary: - FVG + Golden Pocket = Strong Supply Confluence - High-Probability Short Setup Based on Rebalancing and Liquidity Collection - Structured, Smart Money-Driven Price Behavior Expected Tactically clean setup following liquidity engineering and imbalance theories.
Short
by Louigi_24
24
Will BTC Correct Before Breaking $96K? CME Gap Still Open!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as it did in the previous post , I hope it was useful for everyone. Bitcoin is still moving in the upper areas of the Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) , this type of movement does NOT seem to be enough to break Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) , so I still expect a correction . The volume of Bitcoin's price rebound to the previous high does NOT seem to be sufficient, and even Regular Divergence(RD-) is evident. According to Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has completed its 5 impulse waves and we should expect another decline . Of course, there is still a possibility that the main wave 4 will be an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) . But both scenarios can bring us a decline in Bitcoin price . I expect Bitcoin will NOT be able to break the Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) before the CME Gap($92,525-$91,415) is filled, This is just my analysis of course, considering the above explanation. What do you think? Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $96,000-$95,095 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $93,350-$92,551 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $90,276-$89,160 Note: If Bitcoin goes over $96,100, we can expect more pumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
44
GBPJPY NEXT WEEK BULLISH OR BEARISH ??GBPJPY is setting up for a major breakout on the weekly timeframe. After weeks of consolidation under a clear descending trendline, price action is now approaching a decisive point where a bullish breakout could trigger a strong rally. With the current price holding firm at 191.00 and clear resistance overhead, a successful breakout could open the doors for a powerful bullish wave targeting 205.000 and beyond. Fundamentally, the yen remains weak due to continued Bank of Japan dovishness and ongoing yield curve control policies. Meanwhile, the British pound is finding strength as the Bank of England maintains a relatively hawkish stance with the possibility of delaying rate cuts compared to other major central banks. This fundamental divergence between GBP and JPY heavily favors bullish momentum for GBPJPY. Technically, the pair has formed a solid base of support and is squeezing toward the apex of a descending triangle. If the breakout confirms with strong bullish volume, GBPJPY could enter a fresh bullish cycle, offering a great risk-reward setup for medium to long-term traders aiming for the 205.000 area. Overall, GBPJPY remains one of the hottest pairs on watch right now with excellent bullish potential. Traders should watch for a clean breakout above the trendline with strong candlestick confirmation to ride the wave higher. Staying patient and disciplined around this breakout zone could deliver highly profitable results.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
3
BTC - Golden Pocket Confluence + FVG Sweep = Long SetupA highly refined scenario blending Fibonacci confluence with liquidity principles, setting up a controlled bullish play. --- 1. Golden Pocket + FVG Confluence — Critical Demand Zone The blue highlighted area represents a strong confluence: - FVG (Fair Value Gap): Imbalance left by aggressive price movement, likely to attract price for rebalancing. - Golden Pocket: The 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement zone, statistically favored for deep retracements and high-probability reversals. Expecting strong buying interest once price taps into this confluence. --- 2. 0.618-0.65 Fib Range — Key Reversal Territory The Fibonacci zone offers the perfect environment for engineered liquidity sweeps and smart money accumulation. - This range often acts as a trap for retail shorts while institutions accumulate. - A clean entry opportunity arises as price dips into this critical golden zone before expansion. --- 3. FVG Resistance Above — Initial Reaction Zone A notable FVG resistance area is marked around 94,400–94,500: - Upon reaching this zone, price may face initial selling pressure or short-term consolidation. - Observing how price interacts here can further confirm bullish strength and continuation. --- 4. Smart Money Liquidity Play The setup suggests a classic liquidity engineering move: - Induce shorts through a pullback into the Golden Pocket. - Absorb liquidity inside the FVG. - Trigger a sharp bullish reversal aligned with institutional footprints. This layered setup is clean, logical, and methodical. --- 5. Projected Price Flow Anticipated price action structure: - Step 1: Dip into the Golden Pocket + FVG demand zone. - Step 2: Reversal toward the FVG resistance. - Step 3: Breakout continuation upon reclaiming resistance, leading to further bullish expansion. Each leg is mapped to follow high-probability liquidity behavior. --- 6. Summary: - Golden Pocket + FVG = Prime Reversal Confluence - Efficient Liquidity Sweep Mechanics - Structured Bullish Progression Based on Smart Money Concepts This plan is framed to capitalize on precision entries and liquidity dynamics without chasing price.
Long
by Louigi_24
61
BTC Is Still Bullish (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section Bitcoin is still struggling with the supply zone we identified in the previous analysis. It has not yet been able to establish itself above this supply area. A slight correction is expected, with support anticipated from the green box. The closing of a 4-hour candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
4
This Low Cap Alt will 20-50x (CULT DAO)This crypto cycle has been brutal for alts. There have been massive shakeouts over and over, a relentless onslaught of rug pulls and scams, and the "Pump.fun" casino on Solana that’s drained billions of retail liquidity and transferred it to the few. The few always seem to win, and the many always seem to lose. Today, if you’re reading this, it might all change. CULT DAO could easily 20-50x from now until October 2025. Let’s take a look at the MACD divergence. ### Technical Divergence For 750 days, this bullish divergence has been forming on the histogram MACD. Every new low on price has formed a higher low on the MACD. Let’s take a look at a case study of what happens when we get this form of divergence. I traded this exact same pattern in 2022 that resulted in a nearly 425% move. The play function doesn’t work because they rebranded, and that ticker is no longer valid, but you can scroll to the bottom in my comments on that TA and see the move. I’ll post it under this as well. As you can see, we got that 425% move. Currently, CULT DAO is showing exactly the same histogram divergence. Here are some examples of zigzag impulses on low-cap alts. You tend not to get 5 waves; instead, you get this zigzag pattern. This is what I predict CULT DAO will do since it’s only a 5 million market cap. We can also see in the chart that the 0.618 time Fibonacci level hits at the end of October 2025, which is exactly where I think the altcoin market will top. Check out previous TA on that. This is only scratching the surface of what is to come for CULT DAO. I have presented to you the technical reason why a big move is stirring and why, at the apex of these divergences, the stars align, and you have the catalyst present itself, and boom—the explosive move comes all at once, and it will be extremely volatile because of its low market cap. ### Let’s Start with the Tokenomics Every time someone sells or buys CULT DAO on Uniswap, there is a 0.40% tax that goes to a treasury. The top 50 stakers get to pass proposals that fund projects/investments. The idea is to remove the centralized component of funding a project. 121 projects have been funded over the last three years with 3 million dollars. - Total CULT Funded: 479,751,081,214 CULT - Total ETH Funded: 1,573 ETH - Proposals Funded: 121 - Total USD Funded: $3,289,596 - Total ETH Burned: 303 ETH Allocating these funds has been a learning process over the last three years, but every failure has been necessary in preparing the DAO for what’s to come next. ### The Big Catalyst The creator of CULT DAO has been working on a blockchain that will function on a custom gas token—that’s right, and that custom token will be CULT DAO. You heard correctly. Every transaction, every deployment on the blockchain will require the CULT DAO token as gas to execute. The implications are massive. There are multiple dApps that are currently being constructed on the Modulus blockchain. A privacy-first zkEVM blockchain like Modulus means a scalable, Ethereum-compatible blockchain that prioritizes user privacy through zero-knowledge proofs, allowing optional private transactions while maintaining decentralization. Modulus is a privacy-first zkEVM blockchain and is scheduled to release this year between April and August 2025. I hope now you’re starting to see the picture. ### CULT DAO and ETH Liquidity Pools So, why does the price of CULT go down if there is currently very little volume? Well, CULT DAO and ETH liquidity pools are tied together, so if the ETH price goes down, so does CULT. In turn, if ETH goes up, so does CULT. You can see that CULT is nearly at a 1:1 ratio with ETH for now, coming in at a 0.91 ratio. In other words, if my thesis is correct about ETH and it goes to 15,000 dollars, the price of CULT would be as follows: - ETH at $10,000: CULT Price: $0.000005008 (4x increase). Market Cap: $21.38M (4x increase). - ETH at $15,000: CULT Price: $0.000007512 (6x increase). Market Cap: $32.08M (6x increase). That’s right—if nobody even bought CULT, not one dollar, the base liquidity increase of ETH would bring the market cap to possibly 32 million, in other words, if you were thinking of buying ETH, why don’t you just buy CULT DAO? You can buy ETH now; from this price, 15,000 is 7x, or you can buy CULT DAO, get 6x plus whatever extra volume is coming in. It seems like a logical play, really. Everything you’ve seen so far is why I believe this MACD histogram divergence has been forming for 750 days. As I said, the stars will align at the apex, and the explosion will come. ### Unruggable and No Whales Controlling Supply As you can see from the bubble map, the largest wallet that is not an exchange has a cluster total of 0.7%. The rest of the clusters you see in the image are basically exchange wallets, which are the red and dark green circles mostly. Liquidity is also locked for over 200 years. - Burned Supply = 1.29664T - Circulating Supply (including staked) = 4.27T - Staked Supply = 1.07599T - Remaining Tradable Supply (excluding burned and staked) = 4.27T - 1.29664T - 1.07599T ≈ 1.89737T So, no whales, and it’s not possible to rug because liquidity is locked. ### Modulus Blockchain Liquidity Injection The average liquidity injection for DAOs in ZK would be anything from 200,000 to 10 million. Let’s assume it’s a $1M injection that is split 50/50 between CULT and ETH, a common practice for Uniswap-style pools. - CULT Amount in Pool: At the current price of $0.000001252, $500,000 buys ~399.36B CULT ($500,000 ÷ $0.000001252). It would increase the price to a 10 million market cap overnight. ### Conclusion - Liquidity is locked for 200 years - No whales - Not possible to rug - Mainnet launching this year - ETH pools tied to CULT - MACD histogram divergence The target I have for CULT is just based on Fibonacci levels. Honestly, it’s unpredictable what will happen, how high it will go, or the impact the Modulus chain will have. 120 million is my low-end estimate; the macro Fibonacci is much higher. The last extension puts it at a 1.4 billion market cap and 266x from where we are now. This is where you want to be for the upcoming alt season—right here, down 98% with this massive divergence and all these factors that come into play. Just the mainnet launch and ETH going to 10,000 basically sends this to a 30-50 million market cap. Cult DAO and Satoshi Nakamoto share a common ethos of decentralization and anti-centralization. We need to embrace this notion and bring back the power to the many. If CULT DAO hits 1.4 billion dollars, the treasury funds would be in the millions; we fund our own future. moduluszk.io cultdao.io cultdao.io coinmarketcap.com
UNISWAP:CULTWETH_5281E3.USDLong
by Sporia
BTC Potential Breakout, Daily DivergenceBTC on the daily has the opportunity to expand way upwards over the next month - a divergence on the daily evidently takes longer to play out but RSI could easily reach 80 off the back of the structure. I have been shorting, confidently, for a good few weeks now, with longs in between, but I'm starting to feel like I should flip long. Solana is also trying to reclaim the daily/weekly range - things to think about for sure. Good luck out there!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by hokblake
1
Bitcoin: Will Bitcoin reach $100,000?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. The continuation of Bitcoin's upward movement towards the supply zone will provide us with its next selling position with an appropriate reward to risk. In case of Bitcoin's downward movement towards the specified demand zone, we can look for its next buying positions. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range. During the recent trading week, from April 21 to April 25, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded over $3 billion in capital inflows. This figure marks the second-largest weekly inflow in the history of these ETFs, following the $3.4 billion inflow recorded in November 2024. Thanks to this momentum, Bitcoin managed to climb above the $95,000 mark for the first time since February. Data reveals a notable increase in market participants’ optimism, with bullish posts on social media reaching their highest level since the night of Trump’s election victory on November 5, 2024. More than 7,000 Bitcoins, worth over $500 million, were withdrawn from the Coinbase exchange. This trend could signal institutional accumulation and reflect a strongly bullish sentiment in the market. During the 2018 trade tariff war, Bitcoin experienced a sharp 84.5% collapse, plunging from around $19,400 in December 2017 to approximately $3,000 by December 2018. This price decline coincided with intensifying global trade tensions. However, Bitcoin’s price later rebounded following the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts and an improvement in liquidity conditions. The attached price chart clearly illustrates Bitcoin’s steep decline between December 2017 and December 2018. According to data released in March 2025, major global corporations have significantly strengthened their presence in the digital asset market. At the top of the list stands MicroStrategy, holding over 500,000 BTC — far surpassing other companies. Following MicroStrategy, companies such as Marathon, Galaxy Digital, Tesla, Coinbase Global, Hut 8 Mining, Riot Platforms, Block, CleanSpark, and Metaplanet respectively hold the largest Bitcoin reserves. This group of key players from technology, mining, and financial services sectors view Bitcoin as a critical part of their long-term strategies.Moreover, between April 7 and April 13, MicroStrategy purchased 3,459 Bitcoins at an average price of $82,618 per coin, totaling $285.8 million.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Ali_PSND
28/04/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $95,778.66 Last weeks low: $84,688.21 Midpoint: $90,233.44 Last week Bitcoin ETFs recorded their second highest net inflows ever, $3.06B between April 21st-25th. The result of this buyside volume is evident on the chart as BTC breaks up into the mid $90k's, and in doing so is now back at the level in which BTC fell from originally to hit $74,500. As a result it is fair to say this area will be a big resistance level, but where is new support after this rally? The aggressive nature of last weeks move up has left a number of areas of imbalance that the market does tend to revisit. Just below midpoint we have the $89,000-$90,000 area just below a key S/R level at $91,000. Dipping below this area into the FWB:88K 's briefly to sweep the demand and reclaiming $91,000 would be ideal for the bulls and very healthy for the next rally. A less appealing area of imbalance for the bulls would be towards weekly low of $85,300-$86,300, that would be very painful for anyone longing a retest of the $91,000 area and from a HTF perspective would be a lower high and a SFP of the range midpoint, both bearish signals. The 4H 200 EMA is currently around that area at $87,000 too which would mean losing the level after just climbing back above it. This week I'm looking at that first imbalance area to be a level of support for the next leg up, that's the ideal bullish scenario in my mind. A move below midpoint with acceptance is a red flag on this move and would start to look like a lower high bearish continuation. Good luck this week!
by ProR35
btc . wOpen . SHORT weakwOpen with a run down to current range volume profile LOW + minor SFP low (liquidity grab) - Stop out LONGS - Catch late retail SHORTS - squeeze them to top range + higher the friday SHORT was good, but didn't catch momentum looking to move TP1 to cW 0.5 retrace level @ 93.809 i see this pump higher . though cautios, because these levels are late LONG entries only looking for LONGS around 93.777 - 92.782 tp1 . 95.843 tp2 . 99.490 if we see a down momentum shift, act accordingly - i believe this to come towards wednesday
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by Dartagnones
1
Bitcoin Trading and Investment Strategy (April 2025)Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around the mid-$90,000s after rebounding ~25% in April, with market sentiment shifting to greed​. BTC’s dominance is high (~64%) as capital concentrates in Bitcoin over altcoins​. On-chain data shows large holders (“whales”) aggressively accumulating, even as short-term traders turn optimistic​. Below is an actionable strategy. BTC broke out of a multi-month falling wedge pattern, signaling a potential bullish reversal​. On the 1H/4H charts, momentum is bullish: a textbook double-bottom formed on the daily with a neckline around $87,600 was breached, confirming upside targets near $100,600​. A bull pennant consolidation is visible on the 1H after the sharp rally, hinting at another leg up (measured move target ≈ $100,900 on breakout). Short-term EMAs (20/50) on 1H/4H have turned upward and are stacked bullishly, aligning with the daily 50 and 200 EMAs which have flipped into support​. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in bullish territory without extreme overbought readings, leaving room for further upside​. Volume has been steady to rising on upward moves​, indicating buyers remain in control. Immediate support lies at the breakout zone of GETTEX:87K –$90K (prior resistance now turned support). This area includes the daily double-bottom neckline (~$87.6K) and coincides with the top of the earlier consolidation range. Bulls want to see this zone hold on any pullback. Below that, secondary support is around $84K and roughly the 4H 200 EMA area. Resistance is clustered at $94K–$95K (recent local high region). A 4H close above $95K with strong volume would likely trigger momentum buyers. Beyond there, $100K is a major psychological level and the short-term target from multiple patterns – importantly, a dense cluster of short seller liquidation levels sits around $100K, making it a “liquidity magnet” for market makers. Expect heavy order flow and possible volatility as BTC approaches six figures. Above $100K, minor resistance could appear near ~$102K (projected wedge target)​, then prior ATH ~$108K–$109K. For longs, scale out profits in layers as BTC advances. First TP around $100K – just before the round number – to avoid slippage if a wave of selling hits there. If momentum is very strong, hold a portion for a possible extension to $102K–$105K (wedge target zone)​. A stretch goal for bulls would be the $108–$110K area (all-time high region)​, but tighten stops well before this level as profit-taking is expected near ATH. If BTC falls back under the GETTEX:87K neckline after having broken out, it would negate the double-bottom breakout and likely accelerate downward​. Thus, stop-losses for longs can be placed just below GETTEX:87K (e.g. $86K) to cap risk. The breakout from the wedge/base was accompanied by a surge in volume​, confirming institutional participation. Volume has not dried up on this rally – a positive sign that the trend could sustain​. Overall, the daily chart structure sets the stage for a potential run back to five-figure territory (100K+), provided key support levels are defended. Any dips into the high-$80Ks are buy-the-dip opportunities as long as BTC quickly reclaims $90K. Below GETTEX:87K , the next critical support is $80K–$84K. $84K was highlighted as a crucial level – failure to hold 84K during the last pullback would have signaled capitulation. It held then, so watch it on any retest. Stop Loss: Short-Term: 5–10% below entry ($90,000 for $92,500 entry). Mid-Term: 10–15% below entry ($85,000 for $91,000 entry). Long-Term: Monitor support ($80,000) but hold unless fundamentals deteriorate. Position Sizing: Short-Term: 1–2% of portfolio per trade. Mid-Term: 5% of portfolio. Long-Term: Up to 10% of portfolio. Risk/Reward: Target 2R for short-term, 3R for mid-term, and let long-term investments ride based on fundamentals. Not a financial advice. DYOR.
by CryptoBreakers
$BTC - Weekend OutlookBitcoin just tapped into the major overhead supply zone 95k, which corresponds to the breakdown origin of the previous range. Notably, we observed the highest Coinbase premium in recent sessions, signaling aggressive spot-driven demand. However, a sell wall is starting to build around 95k and 97k, suggesting that short-term sellers are positioning here. Key support to watch : the 88k–86k range, which marks the recent breakout base and vwap. Holding this zone would validate the breakout structure and set the stage for further continuation to the upside. Failure to hold likely triggers a deeper retest toward mid-range levels. Expect volatility over the weekend as price oscillates between overhead supply and this critical breakout support.
by Tealstreet