BTC – Restabilization after this massive drop?Market Context:
BTC has broken below a key support level, indicating potential for continued downside. Price is currently retracing after a sharp sell-off, but the overall structure remains bearish unless significant levels are reclaimed.
Technical Overview:
- The previous support zone has been broken, turning it into potential resistance.
- Price is now entering a lower Fair Value Gap (FVG), which could serve as a reaction zone.
- A larger FVG higher up, aligning with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement zone, presents a more significant area to watch for a possible reversal.
Scenario:
Price may retrace into the lower FVG and continue pushing up toward the premium FVG zone. This area coincides with the 0.618–0.65 Fib levels, where a shift in momentum or bearish confirmation could trigger a move lower.
Key Points:
- A potential rejection could occur from the premium FVG zone.
- If an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) forms in that area, it would support a short setup.
- Alternatively, if price prints a lower low before reaching the upper FVG, that would also open up short opportunities.
- Patience is key—wait for structure to align or a momentum shift before considering entries.
Outlook:
The bias remains bearish unless the structure is reclaimed decisively. Current price action suggests the retracement is corrective, and the next impulse may resume the downtrend once premium levels are met.
Btc-bitcoin
BTC - has she bottomed? Welp, this is the 1st structural signs of life I have seen in BTC in a long time. There is almost zero chance she can go make a new low any time soon. At worst she goes sideways. At best she works through this blue down channel, and takes a solid rally. Either way. Shorts should be closing. And long positions should be opened. Breaks over $85K become Uber bullish. But we are also right now Uber bullish short term.
Bitcoin’s 80-Day Correction Ending!?(Signs)Today, I want to share with you a mid-term analysis of Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), I hope it will be useful for you.
Please stay with me.
Bitcoin started to fall last week due to the tariffs that Donald Trump imposed on countries around the world. In general, since last week, Bitcoin has become more correlated with US stock market indices (such as FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) than before.
But yesterday, Donald Trump postponed the implementation of tariffs for 90 days , except for China , which caused the US stock market indices to grow rapidly, and Bitcoin did not miss out on this growth. So, for the next 90 days , we should wait for news of bilateral tariffs between China and the US , which is likely to make an agreement between the two countries. What do you think!?
Also, just minutes ago, key U.S. inflation data was released — and it came in softer than expected.
The CPI m/m dropped to -0.1%, and Core CPI m/m slowed to 0.1% , both missing forecasts. This drop in inflation significantly reduces immediate pressure on the Fed to maintain a hawkish stance . With inflation cooling off, the market is now pricing in a more dovish Fed , which has historically been a bullish catalyst for Bitcoin .
Also, in the last 24 hours , another positive news came for Bitcoin: " China and Russia are using Bitcoin to settle energy trades ," which could be effective in increasing the price of Bitcoin .
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Now, based on the above explanation, let's focus on analyzing the Bitcoin chart on the 12-hour time frame .
Bitcoin started to rise quickly after touching the Heavy Support zone($73,780-$59,000) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and 50_SMA(Weekly) . It seems that the Important Uptrend line breakout has NOT been successfully completed. One sign of a return could be the formation of a Morningstar Candlestick Pattern , which has also been accompanied by good volume .
Bitcoin has been moving in a descending channel for the past 80 days since its All-Time High(ATH=$109,588) , so a break of the upper line of this descending channel could be a significant sign of a rebound for Bitcoin .
Bitcoin is trying to break the Resistance zone($84,000-$81,130) . The price that is important for Bitcoin right now is $84,000 ; if Bitcoin can close a candle on the 4-hour time frame above the Resistance zone($84,000-$81,130) and $84,000 , we can hope for a breakout of the descending channel.
In terms of the Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have been in a Double Three Correction(WXY) for the past 80 days. A break of the descending channel could reconfirm the end of this correction.
I expect Bitcoin to fill the CME Gap($85,940-$85,240) after breaking the Resistance zone($84,000-$81,130) in the first step and make the first attack on 50_SMA(Daily) . If the descending channel breaks, the second target could be around $88,000 , where there is an important Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($89,319-$88,375) .
Also, if Bitcoin moves in a range between $90,000 and $85,000 , we can expect an Altseason , given the conditions of BTC.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ). What do you think?
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $77,200, we should expect further declines.
Note: If Bitcoin can break the Heavy Resistance zone($95,000-$88,500), we should expect a new All-Time High(ATH).
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 12-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) – Technical and Fundamental Analysis 1DBTC has formed a falling wedge pattern on the daily chart, indicating a possible bullish breakout. A clean break above the 0.618 Fibonacci level at $86,485 may trigger an impulsive move to the upside. Price is bouncing from wave (4) and challenging the descending trendline. RSI is recovering, suggesting renewed buying momentum, and MACD shows signs of a bullish reversal.
Fundamental Factors
Bitcoin remains supported by strong institutional demand and optimism around crypto ETFs. Expectations of lower interest rates and macroeconomic uncertainty continue to drive interest in BTC as a hedge. Meanwhile, on-chain data reflects accumulation, with exchange outflows increasing in recent sessions.
Scenarios:
Main scenario – breakout above 0.618 targeting $96,595 and $109,474, with a potential extension toward $125,842.
Alternative scenario – pullback toward $79,384. If this level fails to hold, further correction to $72,283 and $63,497 is possible. The $79K level remains a key support for bulls.
BTC Is Going to 85k...
Description:
Timeframe: 15m
Pair: BTC/USD
Bias: Short term Bullish (after liquidity sweep & imbalance fill)
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Analysis:
Price is currently in a distribution phase, targeting sell-side liquidity just below recent consolidation.
We can clearly see:
Liquidity Pool: Multiple equal lows — perfect trap for retail longs.
Imbalance Zone: Price is likely to dip into the imbalance to grab orders.
Expected Move: After the sell-side liquidity is taken and imbalance is filled, a bullish reversal targeting external liquidity at higher levels (~85,000) is expected.
This setup aligns with a typical “Trap the Trapper” scenario — where smart money triggers panic selling, fills long positions, and then aggressively pushes price up.
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Trade Plan (Example):
Entry: After confirmation near imbalance (~82,500 zone)
Stop Loss: Below 82,200
Take Profit: 84,800 / 85,000 zone
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Hashtags:
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #SmartMoney #LiquidityGrab #Imbalance #TrapTheTrapper #PriceAction #Forex #Crypto
BITCOIN Just like 2017 - The $300k prediction is happening!Bitcoin / BTCUSD continues to replicate the 2014-2017 Cycle, giving us a clear perspective of the bullish trend amidst the high volatility since the start of the year.
The different phases since the bottom are identical between the two Cycles and right now we are on Phase 4, supported firmly by the 1week MA50.
Hard to believe but if history continues to repeat itself, BTC may skyrocket as high as $300k by the end of this Cycle.
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ETH Long Term Prediction - Ethereum Game Plan ETH broke the bullish weekly structure and is currently retracing lower. I don’t see any signs of strength on the chart yet.
I expect the price to first hit $1250 and see a rejection there a possible bounce.
However, the real target is $870 (2022 low). That level holds significant liquidity, so I expect it to be taken out, triggering a potential capitulation. I’ll be looking for spot buys and long-term long setups in anticipation of another possible bull run.
1050 days of bull, 380 days of bearPlanning for the afterlife already. Each cycle fits quite neatly into ca. 1050 days of bull market and 375 days of bear. The big bounce should happen just before the summer, then consolidate, and the last leg up should come after, and we peak in late October. Let's try this
Bitcoin will continue to fall inside downward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. If we look at the chart, we can see how the price entered to downward channel, where it once declined to the channel's support line, which coincided with the resistance level and seller zone. Next, the price some time traded inside this area and even little declined below, but then it turned around and in a short time rose to the resistance line of the channel and made a fake breakout, after which it made a correction. Bitcoin long time traded inside seller zone and then broke 82000 level and declined to support level, which coincided with buyer zone. Then it made upward movement, after which it turned around and declined back to 75000 level. Recently, BTC bounced and started to grow, but in my mind, Bitcoin can rise a little more and then continue to decline inside a downward channel. Bitcoin will break the support level and fall to the 71800 support line of the channel, where my TP is located. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin Short-Term Setup: Watch $79K Resistance!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall again ,as I expected in the previous post .
This post is also a short-term analysis and is on the 15-minute time frame .
Bitcoin is moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed a 5-wave downtrend on the 15-minute timeframe.
I expect Bitcoin to continue its upward trend in the coming hours , at least to the Resistance zone($79,350-$78,540) .
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $75,470, we can expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN Are we back in business?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) made a miraculous comeback yesterday as it rebounded with force almost +12% from its session Low, following the 90-day tariff pause news. This rebounded has been performed on both the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been the key long-term Support of this Bull Cycle, but also on the previous High line, which is the trend-line coming from the previous Higher High of the Bull Cycle that has now turned Support.
As you see, during every Bull Cycle correction, this previous High line held both times before and it is doing so this time also. This justifies the incredible symmetry of this Bull Cycle but it doesn't only stop on the uptrend structure but goes back to the downtrend structure of the Bear Cycle. As you see, the extension of those previous High lines intersect the Lower Highs of the Bear Cycle. Symmetry at its very best.
At the same time, back to the current Bull Cycle, we see that the Vortex Indicator (VI) has already diverged, which has been consistent to both previous bottoms.
As far as what the target of this potential rebound/ rally can be, both previous main rallies hit at least the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. That sits now at $175000.
So do you think this Double Support rebound combo is putting BTC back in Bull Cycle business for a rally to $175k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Litecoin LTCUSD Completing Final Leg Down Before LaunchAs you can see Litecoin is forming a very similar pattern. I think the rest of March will be corrective. Litecoin will likely come down and bounce off the trend line which coincidental also is a major support level. April will be slightly bullish, May and June will be majorly bullish which I believe Bitcoin will also fly up to 140k as well in this time. I believe Litecoin will outperform the majority of the market. Major hyperinflation will begin this summer which will be very positive for crypto. Many cryptos will die in this hyperinflation period. Only some will survive. Dollar is going to crash. Get ready for a wild ride into 2026. People calling for a bear market are ill informed and will kick themselves for selling. This is the beginning of the biggest run in some cryptos, we've ever seen. Buckle up. Good luck. Not financial advice.
BTCUSD: Attacking the 2025 Resistance looking for huge breakout!Bitcoin turned neutral on both its 1D (RSI = 47.243, MACD = -1813.400, ADX = 31.557) and 1W (RSI = 45.530) technical outlooks following the 90-day tariff pause. Technically it is going after the LH top of the Falling Wedge from its ATH and the 1D MA50, which has been the main Resistance since February 4th 2025. There is a key Bullish Divergence on the 1D RSI too, being on HL as opposed to the LL of the Falling Wedge. A breakout above the Wedge typically sets a technical target on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which falls just under the ATH Resistance Zone. Be ready to go long if the breakout takes place (TP = 106,000).
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HOW IS CRYPTO SHAPING UP?Trump and tariffs have a firm grip on the economic world as of late, so where does that leave the crypto market?
TOTAL has a clear structure since the beginning of the bull market in 2023, in the last 3 days TOTAL has wicked into the bullish trendline support but sits within a bearish trend channel. This level also coincides with the bullish orderblock that started the leg up post US election so a very strong level of support here.
Do I think this is the end and the bottom is in? The chart would make a very good case for it however I believe that the Geo-politics outweigh Technical Analysis currently, at least in the short term. Everyone is watching for the latest news release/Trump announcement and all the time that is going on the market is very reactionary with less passive orders and more reactionary news based market orders. That taken into account in the short term this is a game of musical chairs with massive volatility swings and liquidations left right and center, a traders dream.
I'm very interested in how the FED will react to this, once we start getting emergency or early interest rate cuts that for me is when BTC will take the next step up and will flip to an investor/buy and hold environment, whether that's from here, lower or higher I'm not sure but but BTC needs a risk-on environment to thrive and Trump is doing his best to force J Powells hand.
[BTC short] Entry: 81.5k, SL: 83.5k, TP: 67kThe backdrop is my prediction of a 2008-style crash, with Bitcoin (BTC) dropping to $26k (see related ideas).
During the crash, I’ll aim to capitalize on short-term moves, targeting clear patterns with high reward-to-risk ratios.
Following a prolonged consolidation—resembling a triangle—an impulsive wave down has begun to form. I now expect the 200-hour moving average (MA200 H1) to act as resistance, pushing the price to a new low and trade accordingly.
Bitcoin Pullback Complete – Bears Gearing Up for Round Two!!!First of all, let me say that the market has been very excited these past few days, so be more careful with your capital management.
Also, these days, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has a high correlation with the US stock market indices , and one of the most important of them is the S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ).
Today, I published the following analysis for the S&P 500 Index , which I used as a result of that analysis for Bitcoin .
Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($81,610-$79,800) , the Yearly Pivot Point , the Daily Pivot Point , the important uptrend line (broken) , and the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($81,500-$79,677).
Overall, it seems that this uptrend in Bitcoin over the past few hours was a pullback to the broken Important uptrend line and the liquidation of short position s. Do you agree with me?
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the uptrend of the last few hours has been in the form of a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) and we should expect another decline .
Based on the above explanation , I expect Bitcoin to resume its downtrend and approach the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) again ( after breaking the support lines ).
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $74,520-$73,244
If you want to see my overall view of Bitcoin on the weekly timeframe and further understand the significance of the Uptrend line(broken) , you can refer to the following idea:
Note: If Bitcoin can completely fill the CME Gap($84,475-$81,450), we should expect further increases.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
[BTC] Crash to $26k: Generational Buying OpportunitySince 2022, Bitcoin has surged in a major bull market, hitting the psychological $100k milestone. However, a triple divergence on the weekly RSI signals an overbought market, pointing to an imminent pullback.
The recent peak likely marked the end of Wave (3). Given that Wave (2) was an expanding flat (verifiable on lower timeframes), Wave (4) should bring a sharp, significant correction.
Wave 4 of (3) formed a running triangle, followed by a short Wave 5—exactly as occurred. Running triangles in Wave 4 paired with a brief Wave 5 often indicate distribution, typically preceding a major move against the trend.
The price action from March 2024 into 2025 resembles classic distribution. Since peaking near $110k, Bitcoin has declined slowly but steadily, suggesting a major crash rather than a typical medium-term pullback.
The $26k–$30k range offers robust support, and it’s unlikely the price will drop much lower. Along the way, the 200-week moving average (MA200 Weekly)—Bitcoin’s strongest historical support—could trigger a significant bounce. However, if this level is decisively breached, full-blown panic could ensue.
Given my expectation of a 2008-style bear market in the S&P 500 (see related ideas), the timing aligns perfectly. A market-wide crash would inevitably impact Bitcoin, as panic drives capital out of all markets to meet margin calls.
The $26k zone should mark the crash’s bottom, potentially presenting a generational Bitcoin-buying opportunity. If the S&P 500 retests its COVID lows while Bitcoin only revisits its 2023 consolidation range, it would underscore BTC’s relative strength. Once panic subsides, capital could flood into Bitcoin from across the globe.
Technically, this would be the bottom of Wave (4). Wave (5) could then propel Bitcoin to $1 million per coin in a powerful uptrend.
1day chart fallingwedge/bullish pennant on bitcoinI just posted a weekly version of this same pennant in the previous idea which I will link below, i wanted to also post the version of it on the 1day timeframe as well because the top trendline of the wedge on the 1day time frame has a different trajectory which lengthens the wedge considerably. With this longer wedge we can see that if it is the more valid for the 2 versions, that we probably wouldn’t be expecting a breakout until June at the earliest. Not quite sure yet which version of this wedge is ore valid so I’m posting both versions for now to keep and eye on them. For the weekly charts pattern to be the more valid of the 2, we will likely need to see the weekly 50ma continue to maintain support. *not financial advice*
BTCUSD. Weekly bull pennantThe daily failing wedge’s top trendline is not as sharp of a trajectory as the the weekly timeframe’s and due to this, the daily time frames wege is noticeably longer, so I thinkI am going to post a follow p idea to this one that shows the longer version of the wedge, not sure which one is more valid yet at this current time. If the weekly 50ma(in orange) can hold support then we should break up from this wedge right around where I have placed the dotted measured move lne, in which case the breakout target would be around 133k, if the longer version of the wedge on the daily time frame is the more valid of the two then we will likely have to correct longer before we see a breakout. Will post the longer version n the very next idea post. *not financial advice*
Bitcoin Technical Breakdown – Bearish Channel in Motionhello guys.
🔻 1. Bearish Channel
Bitcoin is currently respecting a downward-sloping channel with lower highs and lower lows.
Every attempt to break the upper boundary has been met with rejection, confirming bearish pressure.
🔁 2. Retest of Former Trendline
The former ascending trendline (drawn from 2023’s bottom) was broken and recently retested as resistance, failing to flip it back to support.
This retest often signals confirmation of trend reversal.
🧱 3. Critical Support Zone: $62K– FWB:65K
This zone served as a strong accumulation range in the past and aligns with the current downside target.
____________________________
🔮 What’s Next?
Based on this pattern and price behavior:
Bitcoin may continue its bearish descent, following the projected zig-zag pattern in the channel.
The next significant bounce area lies around $64,000, aligning with both volume-based support and previous breakout zones.
The last bullish chance of Bitcoin in mid-term !!BTC is in a Falling Wedge Pattern. This means The Bulls Have Higher Chance To Claim The Trend Than Bears! No Break out Has Happened yet and we shall wait for a Break out But It should Happen Pretty Soon Because there is also a Regular Bullish Divergence On MACD as well! So The Bullish Chance for BTC Is Pretty High and we Shall see a Bullish Movement Up to $100K Pretty Quick!
-BTC is in a Falling wedge Pattern
-No Break out
-(+RD) on MACD
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!