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BITCOIN Channel Up starting the new Bullish Leg!Four months ago (June 07, see chart below) we published a post on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) calling it an 'Unpopular opinion' as despite a on ongoing rebound in May, we signaled a correction as, based on the long-term Channel Up since November 2022, it was technically possible to see a pull-back below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and then extended consolidation until a potential bottom on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line): Even though the Channel Up had to be readjusted, the price action delivered the exact pattern of the previous 6-month (April 11 - October 16 2023) consolidation and almost tested the 1D MA100, forming a bottom on August 04 2024. The similarities between those two fractals are more evident on their 1D RSI sequences. This shows that right now we could be before a break-out similar on the October 16 2023 candle. Regardless of that, it appears that the new Bullish Leg of the 2-year Channel Up is accelerating and a new High above 66500 would confirm it. We have had 3 major Bullish Legs so far, more or less around the same levels (+92.27% to +101.57%). So a bad case scenario would be to see a +92.27% rally from the August 04 Low, which would still give us a $94500 Target. So what do you think? Is the Channel Up just heating up and can the new Bullish Leg reach 94.5k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
8
Bitcoin 1 000 000$ ❚ Livermore cylinder📣 Hello everyone! I bring to your attention my, I’m not afraid of this word, GLOBAL trading idea for Bitcoin for the decade ahead! ☝️ Now let me, as briefly but informatively as possible, explain to you how, step by step, Bitcoin will most likely come to $1,000,000 dollars, as well as what the two most serious risk factors are today ⚡️ In 1929, Jesse Livermore published this hypothetical chart (bottom right) showing “The Most Important Thing Happening to the Price of A Stock.” At the beginning of this pattern there is an expanding accumulation wedge, an upward “megaphone” (“horn”) formed from two sloping trend support/resistance lines. In the original, according to Livermore, it is necessary to take into account the volume when forming a pattern, but in my opinion, in relation to Bitcoin, it is better to take into account the spread; I removed this turkey from the final chart for the aesthetic reasons of the trading idea, so let’s study it on our own. Having spent quite a lot of time on multiple technical and fundamental analysis of BTC, as well as taking into account trends in the macroeconomics of the United States and the world economy as a whole, I came to the conclusion that a very strong bullish pattern is forming on the Bitcoin chart - the EXPANDING WEDGE OF LIVERMORE ACCUMULATION! This means that from the birth of Bitcoin until 2024, all these bullish and bearish microcycles are a period of accumulation of the asset! 🔹 Now briefly on key points according to the pattern: 1️⃣ All-time Low (ATL) - the minimum price of Bitcoin in its entire history, the birth of an asset! 2️⃣ ATH 2017 – First serious takeoff 🚀 Maximum of the bullish rally that ended in 2017 in the 19-20 k$ zone 3️⃣ Low 2018 – minimum correction after ATN 2017 4️⃣ ATH 2021 – a new absolute historical maximum in the area of ​​69k$, which only a few spoke about in 2019, including me with my trading idea Bitcoin $55 k$ 5️⃣ Correction completed - low 15.4 k$ - Correction to growth to $69,000 completed in November 2022 6️⃣ The end of the bullish rally 2022-2025 - Bitcoin price 115-150 k$ - According to the graphical pattern I am considering, the long-term upward trend will most likely be limited in growth, taking into account the error on the monthly frame, by the zone of 115 - 150 k$ - At the moment, Bitcoin is consolidating above 60 k$. The second inflation wave will force the Fed to return to tightening monetary policy after the US elections, probably closer to the second half of 2025 or even by the end of this year! Bitcoin will set a new ATH before this time and a long-term bearish trend will begin. 7️⃣ In 2027 - low correction ≈ 30 k$, the Fed is forced to give up, the war against inflation is lost. The start of an unprecedented QE... FED Money printer - brrrrr..... - In 2027, the Fed will be forced to surrender, the war against inflation is lost. The United States will solve all its problems in the only possible way - launching a printing press and unprecedented QE. 2027 marks the start of the dollar's descent into hyperinflation. The Bitcoin correction will end at 30 k$ +-10%, this will be the last opportunity to buy before the bull market of the century, the realization of an exit from almost 20 years of accumulation! 8️⃣ The most powerful and fastest bull rally in history! The first wave after exiting accumulation. Hyperinflation in the USA... - The most powerful and fastest increase in the price of Bitcoin in history! The first wave of the bullrun after exiting accumulation, within 1-2 years the mark of 500 k$ per coin will be reached. The United States is plunging into hyperinflation, the dollar is leaving the world stage, and the yuan is taking its place. Digital assets and commodity markets are growing. 9️⃣ ATH is coming soon... The second wave of the bull rally! - Soon there will be ATH in pairs with the dollar... The second wave of the bullish rally! Hyperinflation is growing, the Fed can do nothing more - the phrase “dollar collapse” will sparkle with new colors among skeptics. 1️⃣0️⃣ Bitcoin $1,000,000 + "Bubble Peak" – Bitcoin has crossed the $1,000,000 mark, the peak of the dollar bubble. In 2030-2035, the dollar may cease to exist as a currency in general; trading against the dollar may simply be stopped. The value of BTC will already be measured, for example, against gold in the BTC/GOLD pair, or the Chinese yuan BTC/CNY. _____________________________________ ⚠️ This could have been the end, so to speak, to put an end to this trading idea. Further points make sense only if the dollar still exists, which is unlikely from my point of view. I just don't know what should happen. But I still outlined further points on the original Livermore pattern in this trading idea. ________________________________________ 1️⃣1️⃣ BTC first major sale – the first major sale of Bitcoin, since there is no such thing as eternal growth! Sooner or later there will always be people willing to sell; former bulls begin to sell short! 1️⃣2️⃣ Test 1 000 000$ before selling short! – A round psychological level of one million dollars will be like the 10 k$ level for Bitcoin at one time; the price will interact with it more than once. 1 000 000$ test, followed by a powerful dump. 1️⃣3️⃣ Long-term correction near strong support 500 k$,1M timeframe - Long-term correction - strong support 500 k$, timeframe 1 month. 1️⃣4️⃣ Flat correction – Another flat correction in a bear market, or any other. 1️⃣5️⃣ Strong support 100 k$ - Strong support in the area of ​​100 k$ - the formation of the bottom before a new growth cycle, it will probably already be >10 000 000$ (assuming the dollar exists at all!) 🔹 I note two global risk factors that could make significant adjustments to this global trading idea: 1️⃣ This is the government's fight against Bitcoin. I believe that in 2025-2027 Bitcoin will come under pressure from the US government, when it is already clear that Bitcoin poses a real threat to the dollar. Ultimately, Bitcoin will emerge victorious from this situation and there will be growth. The main trigger for the future bear market phase from my point of view! 2️⃣ The second threat is more significant. Bitcoin depends on electricity and miners in particular. Planet Earth is entering a cycle of natural disasters that will increase exponentially every year. Many areas in the world will become uninhabitable. Sooner or later, large miners will come under attack, what geolocations they will be and who will suffer first - I don’t know for sure! The network may not die completely, provided that the life of humanity and technology on Earth is preserved. But it is impossible to predict what damage will happen to the price of Bitcoin in this case. ⚠️ That's all for today, I wish you good luck in making independent trading decisions and profit. Please analyze the information received from me, always think only with your own head! Goodbye! ✊
BNC:BLXLong
by AnonymousTraderAcademy
1
Bitcoin - Time to buy again!As I mentioned last year, Bitcoin could return to its peak, and it has. Now, as you can see, Bitcoin is in a cup and handle pattern on the weekly timeframe. This can be an incredibly strong signal for a price increase. If the breakout happens, Bitcoin's price could reach $125,000 in the new year, which is not far-fetched, just like the AB=CD pattern. previous Analysis ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard .💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
SLF WYCKOFF WYCKOFF accumulation/distribution pattern on the SLF chart. Could this be the start of a reversal and a move up?? I think it could. My reason is as a fresh new coin this is good for a Bullrun, little to no selling pressure as price rises due to no bag holders selling at break even from previous bull cycles. A rounded bottom structure can provide a base for price to rally from, it proves a growing confidence from buyers, once the top of this mini range gets breached and accepted above it's a great breakout play. ATH is at +156% from current price, and as I stated before there is little to no selling pressure on the way up either which will help this to grow quickly once it gets going. A project that is in its first Bullrun in price discovery is a great combination!
by ProR35
BTC/USDT NEXT 2-3 WEEKS GAME PLAN 30.09.2024Bitcoin/USD Analysis Update 🪙📉 In our previous outlook, we emphasized the importance of waiting for a clear directional move. Today, we witnessed a breakdown of the bullish trendline that had been holding for the last 24 days, signaling a potential start of a larger bearish structure. I took advantage of the initial breakdown with a quick short trade and am now focusing on positioning for the next major wave. Current Market Outlook: Bearish 📉 Based on the Elliott Wave Theory (EW) and additional confirmations, it is evident that the trend is bearish on the swing-term (7 days and beyond). Currently, we are in a mini wave 3 of the first larger wave from the recent top. While it's not yet certain whether this is wave 1 or wave A, the upcoming move should clarify the structure. In either scenario, we can expect a strong wave 3 or wave C to unfold, potentially offering lucrative short opportunities. The accompanying chart outlines my projected path for BTC over the next 14–18 days. The roadmap should help visualize the expected movements, showing key targets where I anticipate the price to reach. Wave Analysis & Strategy: Currently, the price is moving in what appears to be the first wave of a new downtrend. If this scenario holds, the initial target for this wave is set between $62,350 and $61,888, where I expect wave 1 to complete. Once this target zone is hit, I anticipate a pullback to the $64,000–$65,000 range. This pullback will form either wave 2 or wave B, presenting an opportunity to re-enter the short side. My strategy here is to look for short entries around this level, with the invalidation level set at $66,200. If the price reaches this point, it would signal a potential shift in structure, and I would re-evaluate my bearish bias. Projected Outcomes: Wave 3 Scenario: If we are in wave 3, the next major target would be around $59,000 or potentially much lower, depending on the momentum and overall strength of the sell-off. Wave C Scenario: If this structure turns out to be wave C, then the move might not go below $61,000–$60,000. The reaction at this level will be critical for determining whether we are in a corrective wave or a more aggressive decline. Impulsive Move Scenario: In case this is an impulsive move with a 5-wave structure, it could lead to a more extended downtrend. In this scenario, the main target for the entire downward move is between $57,800 and $56,000. After reaching this zone, I expect a 10-day consolidation period before a significant drop towards the $44,000–$40,000 range. This would mark the completion of a larger degree wave, setting up for a potential medium-term recovery. Key Levels to Monitor: Wave 1 Target: $62,350 – $61,888 Wave 2/B Pullback Zone: $64,000 – $65,000 Wave 3 Target: $59,000 Wave C Target: $61,000 – $60,000 Final Impulsive Target: $57,800 – $56,000 Long-term Target: $44,000 – $40,000 Invalidation Level: $66,200 ⚠️ Disclaimer: ⚠️ 🚫 This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly and conduct your own research before making any decisions.🚫
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by RhinoAkaBear
BTC/USDT Daily AnalysisCurrently, we are in a zone of uncertainty ⚠️. If BTC loses the blue horizontal line, it will signal a breakdown and likely lead to a drop into the 58,400 - 57,700 range 📉. 🔸 The main resistance is the light blue diagonal trendline, which has been acting as resistance since the drop from 66,100 USD. If this diagonal trendline is broken, the next target should be between 63,300 - 64,500 , which corresponds to the 0.5 - 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels. 🔝 🔹 The bounce from the bottom (60,164) up to 61,928 USD was supported by a triple bull divergence 🐂📈, and the move was an impulsive wave upwards , indicating that another upward push is likely. However, after reaching 61,928 USD , a bearish divergence formed 🐻🔻, confirming a weakening trend on the lower timeframes. Following this, the light green diagonal trendline was broken, signaling the beginning of a pullback and a move towards a retest for a resistance/support fli p. 🔄 🔸 Currently, the price is undergoing a downward correction and testing the previous resistance to establish a support level. We are waiting for the creation of another bullish divergence on the lower timeframes—specifically a hidden bullish divergence 🔍🟢. This setup would indicate a potential push to at least the 0.5 Fib level , marking the end of the correction before resuming the new bearish trend 📉. ⚠️ Invalidation: If we break above 66,000 USD , it would confirm a reversal of the main trend, indicating that the market is now bullish 🐂💪 and we could be heading towards a new all-time high 📈🚀. ⚠️ Disclaimer: ⚠️ 🚫 This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly and conduct your own research before making any decisions.🚫
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by RhinoAkaBear
BITCOIN → Bearish Pressure !!!Bitcoin failed to go beyond 63.800 so the price may fluctuate around $60.000 In addition, the bearish wedge shown in the chart can be a negative signal. Recently analysis (Daily) And (weekly) and ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard .💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CobraVanguard
3
Analyzing Bitcoin Monthly Candle ClosesA lot of notable traders are calling for Bitcoin to drop to 44k or even to around 20.5-21.5k towards an unfilled daily CME chart gap (see daily CME chart below). Before getting into my thoughts about whether or not we move up or down here, let's remind ourselves of some things: 1.) Bitcoin made its first new ATH back in March 2024, after closing right around the previous Oct 21 ATH in February this year. 2.) Let's also take note of two significant previous monthly ATH candle closes from 2021: March 21 Monthly Close - 58.8k October 21 Monthly Close (Previous Monthly ATH - approx 61.3k Recap of this year Next, a recap of what has happened since March 24's ATH: April's monthly candle closed just below that high, but above the March 21 high, losing the Oct 21 level that was broken in the previous month. Then in May, it reclaimed that Oct 21 high, held it for 2 months, and then lost it again in August with a stronger re-test of the March 21 high, and the strongest wick below it yet... but still closing just above it. Just after August, the September monthly candle yet again reclaims the Oct 21 high, but is now re-testing that area again this year, also in October again and with 21 days left to go until the monthly close. So what happens next? Scenario A - October monthly candle closes above 58.8k, we could still see wicks lower than the one in August, and we could see levels like 44k or even lower prior to close. Remaining above 58.8k still gives Bitcoin a chance to reclaim 61.3k and move up in the months that follow. Scenario B - October monthly candle closes above 61.3k, with a 2nd reclaim of the Oct 21 ATH, we likely move on up to test or even break this year's ATH. Scenario C - October monthly candle closes below 58.8k, if November doesn't quickly reclaim that level or 61.3k, we likely see 44k or lower, and may even revisit the unfilled CME gap on the daily chart. Daily CME Gaps Chart:
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by dudebruhwhoa
1
Breaking the daily resistance at $63,000Bitcoin was precisely rejected from the weekly downtrend at the $66,000 level and moved towards the daily support at $60,000, where we had previously predicted strong support, and this scenario unfolded exactly as expected. Bitcoin found support at this level and has since rebounded upwards. Currently, the price is on the verge of breaking the daily resistance at $63,000. If this level is successfully broken, the previously anticipated target of $72,000 will come into reach. The current resistance level stands at $63,400.
by MonoCoinSignal
Bitcoin ($BTC) to Dip Below $60K Amid Hotter US CPI DataBitcoin’s price could soon slip below the $60,000 mark following the latest U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which showed inflation at 2.4% for September, slightly higher than market expectations of 2.3%. The hotter-than-anticipated inflation report has sparked concerns among investors, weighing on the broader crypto market and pushing Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) into a bearish outlook. Combined with growing macroeconomic uncertainties, including Federal Reserve rate decisions and geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin could face further downside pressure. Impact of US CPI Data The latest inflation data revealed that the US CPI held steady at 0.2% on a monthly basis, while annual inflation cooled to 2.4%, down from the 2.5% recorded in August. Despite this cooling, the figure surpassed market expectations, triggering concern among investors who now anticipate a more hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve. With inflation running higher than anticipated, fears of tighter monetary policy have intensified, particularly as the Fed is widely expected to implement a smaller 25 basis point (bps) rate cut in November, down from an earlier prediction of 50 bps. These developments are contributing to widespread risk aversion in the market, with investors turning cautious ahead of the Fed’s next move. A more restrictive monetary policy could reduce liquidity in the market, further pressuring risk assets like Bitcoin. Adding to this, the release of gloomy U.S. job data and the rising US 10-year bond yield, which hit 4.073%, have intensified negative sentiment. The crypto market has not been immune, with Bitcoin down 1.3% following the CPI data release. BTC briefly crossed below the $61K mark, touching a low of $60,314, and is currently trading at $60,449 as of this writing. Macro Factors at Play: Global Concerns Weigh on Sentiment Bitcoin’s downward trajectory is not just a result of inflationary pressures but also a broader set of macroeconomic uncertainties that continue to weigh on sentiment. Several key factors are contributing to this cautious outlook: 1. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing tensions in the Middle East are creating volatility in global financial markets, which in turn is impacting the crypto market. Any escalation could lead to further risk aversion, potentially dragging Bitcoin lower. 2. US Presidential Election: With the upcoming 2024 presidential election in the United States between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, markets are bracing for increased political volatility. The uncertainty surrounding the election outcome could add another layer of risk for investors, keeping Bitcoin under pressure. 3. Federal Reserve’s Stance: As inflationary concerns remain, the market is now pricing in an 84% probability of a 25 bps rate cut by the Fed in November. Any hawkish surprises from the Fed could exacerbate the already fragile market sentiment, potentially leading to further selloffs in Bitcoin. Technical Outlook On the technical front, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is showing signs of weakness following the CPI data release. The daily chart reveals that Bitcoin is trading within a falling wedge pattern, a bearish formation that could signal further downside unless there is a breakout to the upside. Key Technical Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently in an anomalous zone, indicating that Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) may not yet be oversold, but downward pressure is mounting. Bitcoin is trading within a falling wedge, which often indicates further downside unless there is a strong breakout. A break below $60,000 could send Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) towards the ceiling of the trendline at $50,000 which will be very bad for $BTC. Immediate support lies at the $60,000 psychological level. If broken, the next key support level is the $50,000 mark, which coincides with the lower trendline of the falling wedge. On the upside, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) would need to clear resistance around the $61,500 mark to attempt a reversal. If negative news continues to dominate the macro landscape, such as additional inflationary pressures, escalating geopolitical tensions, or unexpected hawkish moves from the Fed, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) could see a sharper decline, possibly dipping toward the $50,000 level. On the flip side, favorable developments like easing inflation, de-escalation in global conflicts, or a more dovish stance from the Fed could provide Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) with the momentum needed to break out of the falling wedge and move higher. If Bitcoin manages to clear $61,500, it could attempt a surge back toward the $65,000 resistance level.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Risk-To-Reward:4.40Bitcoin started to rise after the UAE exempted cryptocurrency transactions from Value Added Tax (VAT) . The UAE exempts crypto transactions from VAT starting November 15, aiming to attract more investments and solidify its position as a crypto hub. Bitcoin is currently moving near the Resistance zone($67,400-$65,000) , the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and above the ascending channel . Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin has restructured a bit since my previous post . Bitcoin seems to be completing wave C inside the ascending channel. Also, Regular Divergence (RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . I expect Bitcoin to decline to at least the Support zone($62,860-$62,110) again, and because there is still a high possibility of tension between Israel and Iran , it is very likely that Bitcoin will come back below 21_SMA(Weekly) and 200_SMA(Daily) . ⚠️Note: This analysis is valid until Bitcoin does not touch $66,500.⚠️ ------------------------------------------- My position: Of course, I manage this position with price changes. BTCUSDT 🔴Position: Short ✅Entry Point: 64347.0 USDT  (Limit Order) ⛔️Stop Loss: 65283.0 USDT [ You can open a Short position where the Stop Loss(SL) is $66,500 ] 💰Take Profit: 🎯62493.0 USDT ===>>>Risk-To-Reward: 1.98 🎯60229.0 USDT ===>>>Risk-To-Reward: 4.40 Please don't forget to follow capital management ⚠️ Please pay attention to the style of opening the position.⚠️ ------------------------------------------- Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
28
DOGEUSD Are you people ready??We have recently viewed Dogecoin's (DOGEUSD) Cycles and mentioned why we expect it to start rising parabolically soon. What we haven't done but it's what we bring you today is those Cycles compared to the Cycles of the flagship of the crypto world, Bitcoin (BTCUSD). We will keep it simple, because that's what the chart is, no need to complicate what's obvious with added terms and info. As you can see, every time Bitcoin broke above its All Time High (ATH), Dogecoin was on a medium-term correction (though well within its Bull Cycle) under Lower Highs and marginally above the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level. Once Bitcoin broke out, Doge did also only though much more aggressively and within a few weeks it reached its previous ATH. Needless to say, it didn't stop there but went on to peak much higher. Once more, the market finds itself in the exact same position as before in history. Are you ready?? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:DOGEUSDLong
by TradingShot
9
BTC Daily ReviewBTC wicked into daily fair value gap and got rejected there. Now that bullish move is done and failed, next should be bearish response. Nearest liquidity pool is under 61600 and support starts under 61000. Developing Year VWAP 59630 is the border between early bounce and deeper and bloodier correction, where potential target moves to September buy tail EQ around 56k. Reminder that overall chart structure is bullish and will stay that way until BTC cross below 52511. All the dips above that value will form higher low. Higher high at 66450 - only after BTC grow above that value the lower move potential will move up as well. www.tradingview.com Nearest liquidity pools: above - 63115 / 64786 / 65412 / 66120 below - 61600 / 61237 / 60652 / 59961 Lines on the chart: 🔸64601 - July close 🔸63309 - September close 🔸62766 - June close 🔸58942 - August close 🔸57446 - day swing fractal 🔸56000 - September buy tail EQ
by WiseAnalyze