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Breaking: Bitcoin Crosses $104,000 , Defying Market ExpectationsBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has achieved a significant milestone, breaking through the psychological resistance level of $100,000 and trading as high as $104,000. This 4.27% surge has positioned BTC as the focal point of global financial discussions. However, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicating overbought conditions, traders are left questioning whether the rally can sustain its momentum or if a correction is imminent. Technical Analysis: BTC’s move above the $100,000 resistance level highlights its bullish momentum. However, traders should remain cautious, as overbought signals from the RSI suggest the possibility of a near-term correction. Immediate support lies at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, a critical technical zone that could act as a buffer against potential selling pressure. Should CRYPTOCAP:BTC break below this support, the price may dip toward the one-month low of $90,000. Such a move could trigger a massive sell-off, further intensifying bearish sentiment. Conversely, maintaining the current momentum above $100,000 could pave the way for BTC to explore new all-time highs, fueled by increased institutional and retail interest. Miners Bolster BTC Reserves Recent data underscores the pivotal role of U.S.-based cryptocurrency miners in Bitcoin’s growth trajectory. As of December 2024, miners have doubled their BTC reserves to nearly 100,000 coins, raising over $3.7 billion since November to bolster their holdings. Top players such as Marathon Digital Holdings (40,435 BTC), Riot Platforms (16,728 BTC), and CleanSpark (10,097 BTC) lead the charge. Their "HODL" strategy—holding rather than selling mined Bitcoin—has not only strengthened their balance sheets but also amplified investor confidence. This is reflected in rising stock valuations for these firms, showcasing the synergy between strategic asset accumulation and market sentiment. Key Drivers Behind Miner Resilience 1. Market Conditions: Lower Bitcoin prices in early 2024 allowed miners to acquire BTC at discounted rates. 2. Technological Advancements: The adoption of efficient mining equipment and energy optimization strategies enabled miners to enhance profitability. 3. Price Recovery: The late 2024 Bitcoin rally increased the value of miners’ reserves, positioning them advantageously in the current market landscape. Challenges on the Horizon Despite their impressive growth, U.S.-based miners face mounting challenges. Rising global hash rates, driven by increased competition from international miners, are squeezing profit margins. Furthermore, the upcoming Bitcoin halving in April 2024—which will reduce mining rewards by 50%—poses an additional hurdle. Miners will need to innovate, optimize operations, and explore diversified revenue streams to remain competitive. Market Sentiment and Macroeconomic Factors Bitcoin’s latest surge also aligns with macroeconomic developments. The cryptocurrency has gained 7.85% in the past week, fueled by speculation around the upcoming inauguration of Donald Trump on January 20. Market participants anticipate favorable regulatory policies under the new administration, further boosting confidence in digital assets. Outlook At a market cap exceeding $2 trillion, Bitcoin’s ascent to $104,000 signifies both the resilience of the crypto market and the strategic maneuvers of key industry players. However, the overbought RSI, coupled with potential resistance at higher levels, necessitates vigilance among traders and investors. While the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish, near-term corrections could provide strategic entry points for those seeking to capitalize on its upward trajectory. As miners continue to accumulate reserves and innovate, their role in shaping Bitcoin’s future will be pivotal in navigating the challenges of an evolving crypto ecosystem.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
BITCOIN PREDICTION - BTC GAME PLANI’d like to share my plan for BTC with you guys. We’ve recently broken the bullish trendline that had been supporting the price for a while and maintaining the uptrend. This break occurred with strong momentum, which I consider a bearish signal. However, there’s still a larger bullish daily trendline just below us. I expect a strong momentum push up from that level, so the current situation isn’t a major concern for me. Here’s my outlook: I anticipate a run on the equal lows just below the current price. This move should provide enough energy for the price to push up and retest the recently broken trendline. That retest is likely to confirm the continuation of the bearish trend. If we fail to break above the trendline with momentum, I expect the price to fall below the December 5th wick and then get rejected. This phase may create a ranging environment, potentially building momentum for altcoins. Eventually, I anticipate testing the daily HTF bullish trendline, which should provide a strong rejection and begin the journey to new all-time highs. This is my game plan based on my experience, and I’ll be monitoring the price closely to adapt if needed. Key Notes: I expect early January to bring strong bullish momentum across all crypto markets. For now, we’re in a choppy zone. If BTC breaks back above the trendline we just lost, I’d expect the price to reach $99,500 and likely face rejection there. Breaking above $100K would strongly signal a bullish trend. I’ll then watch closely for any rejection at the marked blue line and purple zone on the chart. This is how I’m approaching the market. Manage your risk accordingly!
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
Bitcoin Pushes Higher: Is $104K the Next Stop?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as I expected in the previous post and even made the correction . Bitcoin is breaking the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,080) , and I expect this zone to be broken soon, and then Bitcoin is ready to attack the Next Resistance zone($104,200-$101,320) . Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing the main wave 5 in the 1-hour time frame . I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the Resistance zone($104,200-$101,320) . Note: If Bitcoin goes below $96,320, we can expect more fall. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
18
BTC - Welcome to Phase 2Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 1️⃣In the previous cycle, BTC broke above its red range during the first parabolic impulse. 2️⃣It then consolidated within a range for a few days before beginning the second impulse. 💡 Can you spot a pattern here? "History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes." ~ Mark Twain 2️⃣If we follow the previous cycle and history follows a similar rhythm, we may currently be setting up for phase 2. 📈Confirmation would come from a breakout above the blue range. 📚Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. And Remember: All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
10
From Bear Trap to Breakout: Bitcoin RoadmapBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise again( with a high momentum ) yesterday after failing to break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) ( Bear Trap formation). Educational Tip: Its quick return after exiting the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) with high volume was one of the signs of a bear trap. Regarding Elliott wave theory , it seems Bitcoin successfully completed a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) yesterday and is currently completing the next five impulsive waves . Likely, Bitcoin is still in correction waves . I expect Bitcoin to start correcting from the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,080) , 50_SMA(Daily) , and Monthly Pivot Point and start to rise again from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and attack the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,080) . ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000), we should expect a fall with high momentum (it is unlikely that another Bear Trap will be created). ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes below the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , there is a high possibility that Bitcoin will break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000). 🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏 Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
21
BTC could dump again if USDT.D chart does same thing againThe last time I posted this was when USDT Dominance chart touched the green trendline on the chart and bounced off the red trendline on the RSI. Will this happen again causing another flash dump or will the bullish scenario I posted in last analysis (see below chart link) come to fruition? As you can see the blue trendline on chart at 91790usd is major support. The RSI pink trendline on left chart shows it is at resistance right now. What just happened was a failed attempt to close a possible head and shoulders pattern, trapping shorts under the support causing this short squeeze in play right now. The question is whether the pump will continue or will it go back down. The USDT.D chart will tell us. Hit the like idea rocket button if you like the idea and analysis.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by Pro_Trader_HTBB
1
BTCUSD: Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern and $100K TargetThe Descending Broadening Wedge pattern has unique characteristics compared to the Falling Wedge or Flag patterns. While the Falling Wedge and Flag patterns feature converging lines that taper to a point, the Descending Broadening Wedge widens from left to right, indicating increasing market volatility over time. This pattern forms when the price moves within an expanding range, creating a downward-sloping resistance line and a support line that also declines at a steeper angle. I have identified an intriguing Descending Broadening Wedge pattern on BTCUSD. The chart clearly depicts this pattern through a series of lower highs, depicted by blue arrows, and lower lows, depicted by black arrows. The price tends to rebound between the support and resistance lines, with these rebounds depicted by orange arrows. To confirm a bullish move, it is crucial to wait for a price breakout above the resistance line of this pattern. A breakout from this resistance will signal a momentum shift and could serve as a strong indicator of a price surge, depicted by the green arrow, with the target for this price surge being the psychological level around $100,000.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DNP-FX
1
HBAR on the Edge: Key Levels You Can't Miss!HBAR has been range-bound for over 40 days, trading between $0.3922 and $0.2341, following a rejection from the golden pocket zone. Let’s dive into the key resistance and support zones to identify potential trade setups. Support Zone Analysis Taking the entire bullish run from November, we observe the 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement at $0.2169, which aligns perfectly with the anchored VWAP from the November lows, providing a strong support confluence. Adding to this, the negative Fibonacci extension of the current downside wave places the -0.666 Fibonacci level at $0.21778, further reinforcing this zone. Additionally, the lows around this area contain significant liquidity, likely targeting long-leverage positions, which increases the conviction for this support zone. The monthly level at $0.2217 also aligns with this area, making $0.217-$0.222 a highly reliable support zone for potential trade setups. Resistance Zone Analysis HBAR has recently broken below the yearly open level at $0.269, which now acts as a resistance. For those who missed the previous short entry, price action near $0.269 presents another opportunity for a short trade if price rises to this level, confirming its resistance. Chart Pattern & Volume Analysis The structure shows an inverted cup and handle pattern. Volume has been in steady decline throughout this trading range, indicating a pause in bullish momentum. Trade Setups Short Trade Entry: Around $0.269 (yearly open and key resistance zone) Stop-Loss: Above $0.285 Target: Support zone at $0.217-$0.222 Long Trade Entry: Around $0.217-$0.222 Stop-Loss: Below $0.210. Target: Retest of the previous lows at $0.235 R:R: 2:1, making it a decent trade.
Short
by SiDec
Bitcoin Inches Closer to Breaking Point: What’s Next?Bitcoin Faces a Decisive Moment: Will It Break Through? Bitcoin is trading at 96,829.3, marking a 10.7% drop from its all-time high of 108,421.6, achieved just 29 days ago. Market indicators paint a mixed picture: RSI14 at 60.2 signals an approach to overbought territory, while MFI remains steady at 54.8, hinting at moderate market momentum. Adding to the tension, a VSA Sell Pattern 2 has emerged, suggesting a potential short-term pullback. The critical levels to watch are 94,568 as support and 100,606 as resistance—key points that could determine the direction of Bitcoin’s next major move. Will the bulls regain control and push Bitcoin beyond its resistance, or will the bears drive a correction toward the lower support levels? The stakes are high, and today could set the stage for weeks to come. Are you ready to navigate this pivotal moment? Bitcoin Pattern Roadmap: Key Moves and What They Mean Understanding Bitcoin’s recent price movements through the lens of patterns provides traders with valuable insights into the market's rhythm. Below is a detailed roadmap based on the sequential analysis of VSA and volume-based patterns. Only the patterns that correctly confirmed their trigger points and main directions are included to give you a focused view of the market’s true behavior. January 13, 2025 – VSA Sell Pattern 2 : This sell pattern emerged with a main direction of downward pressure, starting from an open of 97,150.0 and closing at 96,655.5. The next price action confirmed the bearish sentiment as the market continued to dip, validating this signal. January 13, 2025 – Increased Buy Volumes : Just hours later, buy volumes spiked, signaling potential recovery. The open at 91,080.9 led to a close of 91,784.8, and this bullish momentum carried through the following session, reinforcing confidence in this pattern’s accuracy. January 13, 2025 – Sell Volumes Takeover : Although the main direction suggested bullish activity, this pattern didn’t fully validate, as subsequent candles demonstrated indecision. This indicates it might have been a false signal. January 12, 2025 – VSA Buy Pattern 1 : This key pattern predicted upward momentum with an open at 93,862.8 and a close at 93,973.9. Its main direction played out as expected, with prices climbing steadily in subsequent bars, cementing its effectiveness. January 11, 2025 – VSA Buy Pattern 3 : Marking another bullish signal, this pattern triggered upward movement from 94,024.2 to 94,323.5. The continuation of this trend confirmed it as a reliable forecast for the short term. What Does This Mean for Traders? Each pattern, when validated by subsequent price action, adds to the roadmap of Bitcoin’s trajectory. The market’s consistent respect for key support and resistance levels underscores the reliability of technical patterns. Use this roadmap to position yourself strategically, keeping an eye on similar setups to anticipate the next big move. Are you ready to align with the market’s flow? Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels When it comes to Bitcoin, traders know the game revolves around critical support and resistance zones. These levels act as battle lines between bulls and bears, determining the market’s next big move. Let’s break them down: Support Levels: 94,568 – A short-term safety net; losing this could bring the price closer to bearish territory. Resistance Levels: 100,606 – The immediate hurdle for bulls; cracking this will likely spark another rally. 106,064.7 – A critical zone, closely tied to Bitcoin’s previous highs. Powerful Support Levels: 76,701.7 – A major fallback point for long-term bulls; losing this would signal deeper corrections. 67,838.7 – A heavy-duty level that has historically held strong. 60,295.6 – The last line of defense before bears fully take over. Powerful Resistance Levels: 47,122.4 – A significant cap that has consistently rejected upward momentum in prior moves. 28,696.9 – The line in the sand for lower-range movements. What Happens If Levels Break? In trading, it’s all about respecting the levels. If these supports don’t hold, you can bet they’ll flip to resistance zones, making it harder for bulls to reclaim lost ground. Conversely, breaking through resistance means these levels often become strong floors, giving momentum traders something solid to lean on. Always keep an eye on these key points—they’re your roadmap to understanding where the action will heat up next. Concept of Rays: Precision Trading with Dynamic Levels The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept revolutionizes technical analysis by leveraging Fibonacci-based rays that dynamically adapt to market conditions. Unlike traditional methods, these rays are drawn from the origin of a movement pattern, allowing traders to anticipate price reactions with unmatched precision. Let’s dive into how this works and explore two trading scenarios for Bitcoin using data from the latest analysis. Core Concept: Trading with Rays Price interactions with rays signal high-probability zones for either reversals or continuations. These interactions, combined with moving averages and VSA patterns, create a powerful framework for identifying entry and exit points. The first movement usually extends from one ray to the next, offering defined profit targets at each level. Two Scenarios for Trading Rays Optimistic Scenario: Bitcoin breaks through resistance at 100,606 (MA50 intersection) after interacting with an ascending ray. This move could target the next ray and establish: First target: 106,064.7 (Resistance Level). Second target: A retest of the 108,421.6 all-time high. If momentum sustains, price may form a new trend, requiring recalibration of rays to extend future targets. Pessimistic Scenario: Bitcoin fails to hold support at 94,568 and interacts with a descending ray, initiating a deeper correction. Likely targets: First target: 76,701.7 (Powerful Support Level). Second target: 67,838.7, marking a significant bearish continuation zone. In this case, descending rays will guide the market lower, adjusting with each corrective phase. Trade Opportunities Based on Rays Long Trade : Enter at 94,568 support after confirming interaction with an ascending ray and bullish VSA pattern. First target: 100,606; Second target: 106,064.7. Short Trade : Enter below 94,568 after interaction with a descending ray and bearish VSA confirmation. First target: 76,701.7; Second target: 67,838.7. Breakout Long : Position after a confirmed breakout above 100,606, targeting 106,064.7 as the next ray intersection. Reversal Short : Look for rejection at 106,064.7 and enter a short trade, targeting a return to 100,606. Key Insights for Traders The power of rays lies in their adaptability. Whether in bullish or bearish conditions, rays dynamically update to reflect new patterns. Traders can confidently position themselves after price interaction with these rays, knowing that the movement will likely extend to the next ray. Each target is clearly defined, providing a structured path for managing risk and reward. Combine these strategies with the VSA patterns visible on your charts to sharpen your execution and stay ahead of the market. Are you ready to trade with precision? What’s Next? Let’s Talk and Trade Together If you’ve got questions or want to dive deeper into this analysis, drop them in the comments below—I’m always happy to discuss and share insights. Don’t forget to give this post a Boost and save it to revisit later. Watching how the price respects the rays and levels is one of the best ways to truly understand trading and refine your strategy. My proprietary indicator draws all the rays and levels automatically, but it’s available only privately. If you’re interested in using it, just send me a message—I’ll walk you through how it works. And yes, the same approach applies to any asset, not just Bitcoin. If there’s a particular market you’d like analyzed, let me know! Some analyses I can share openly, while others can be done privately, tailored to your needs. Finally, if you’re curious about how price moves along these rays or want me to chart a specific asset for you, make sure to Boost this idea and share your request in the comments. I’ll do my best to cover as many as possible. Follow me here on TradingView to stay updated—this is where I share my ideas and insights regularly. Let’s trade smarter, together!
Long
by brandlabelden
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Descending Scallop Pattern!!!As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) again attacked the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) . Bitcoin is trying to break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) . What do you think? Can Bitcoin finally break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) or not!? According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be in the next five downward waves after completing the corrective pattern , and these five waves can break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) . From the point of view of Classic Technical Analysis , it seems that Bitcoin is forming a Descending Scallop Pattern to break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) , which can cause the break of this heavy zone . Looking at the chart of USTD.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ), we can see the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern that can cause USTD.D% to increase , which in turn causes Bitcoin and other tokens to decrease . I expect Bitcoin to soon break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) given the above description, and Bitcoin will fall to the Targets I have specified on my chart. My medium-term view of Bitcoin on the chart I shared with you on January 7, 2025. 👇 ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes above $94,500, we can expect more Pumps.⚠️. ⚠️Note: There is a possibility that Bitcoin will drop sharply and make a long shadow.⚠️. 🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏 Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
61
HelenP. I Bitcoin can make small move up and then drop to $90KHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago, the price declined to the resistance 1, which coincided with the support zone, and then at once rebounded and started to grow. BTC in a short time rose to a 2nd resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and then made at once small correction. After this movement, BTC turned around, quickly broke the 97300 level, and even rose slightly higher than the resistance zone. Price so long trades near this area and later made impulse up to trend line. When it reached this line, BTC turned around and started to decline inside the pennant pattern. In this pattern, Bitcoin soon broke the 97300 resistance level, made a retest, and continued to decline to resistance 1. After the price reached the 93200 level, it broke it and fell to low points of the pennant (91185) after which it turned around and quickly rebounded up, breaking the 1st resistance level one more time. Next, the price some time traded near this level and then reached the trend line, after which it dropped back. Recently, the price broke the 93200 level one more time, thereby exiting from the pennant and now I expect that BTCUSDT will make a small movement up and then continue to decline. For this case, I set my goal at 90000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
8
ADAUSD - From this simple chart, whole crypto market bullish?While its not necessary obvious to guess next move on BTC, some alts like ADA can help a lot ADA made a rebound on the weekly 200MA on the 20th of December, that mark was also a support from the previous high made in feb 2024 and another support on feb 2022 as we are talking with big timeframes, chances for the asset to go under 20th December lows are very unlikely (but still possible), making the WHOLE crypto market still very bullish what now ? We can easily revisit ATH at 3, the faster we reach it, the higher we can go next 3 possibilities : February, April or September not financial advice Cheers
Long
by Investwine
ETHUSD - I still believe (on the H&S pattern)While I'm not an hyper fan of H&S pattern but this one forming is already so beautiful that I want it to happens to illustrate my futures arguments, saw a lot of ppl talk about h&s pattern the past days on BTC, the leg would have started on November and bring us to 80k, something like this. Not a pro but I learnt that the pattern has to be kinda well drawn to be called an H&S, forming proper top and lows with proper neckline, and be well timed. that is/was absolutely not the case for BTC and that why I remain bullish for now (yes, I risk it a bit saying that here and now) even in the case where BTC goes under 90k, we can't call this an H&S, by respect of all the real H&S out there. That's also why most of the times it looks like ppl fail using this pattern, they use it on everything BUT in this case for ETH this looking really juicy atm, I don"t have specific target for now I dont think eth will pass above 12K for this year but lets see Cheers, have a good day
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by Investwine
1
Bitcoin update 11 Jan 2025I don't often post bitcoin updates, not because I don't have anything to say, but because I understand what phase of the market we are in. 

 This phase as I said earlier in the posts is called distribution which will last until September 2025. After that I am expecting a correction of 50%+ from the put peak.
I have already made an assumption what reversal formation we will make. 
 Locally, it's January 11, 2025.
It is the beginning of the year, the market has already played Trump's presidency and as a classic “buy on rumors, sell on facts” the inauguration will be very soon, and I think the market will react down in a week. But after the positive news will continue, but we are unlikely to see in this cycle 200k for 1 bitcoin, but for me it will be a surprise. There will be a lot of talk about bitcoin. At the end of the year there should be euphoria with the new head of SEC pouring honey in the ears of crypto holders.
 I'm not listening to anyone, I'm moving forward with my plan. If you're reading me, there hasn't been a post in this series in a long time that I've changed my point of view.
I've actually started trading less cryptocurrency, it's now position trades on cycles. And it got a little boring. 
So I've tapped into the traditional markets. And I'm more actively focused on them. If you're interested in any question, ask in the comments. Best regards EXCAVO
by EXCAVO
50