FED Cutting Interest Rates Is NOT BullishAs of this week the FED has announced that they will be slashing the FED funds rates by 50bps (0.50%). Contrary to popular belief, this is not necessarily bullish. Actually, the last three times that they did it was an indicator that a bear market was coming.
As seen on the lower chart, once the FED cuts the rates, it has often signaled a stock market crash in the not so distant future.
Do you think a stock market crash is coming? Share your thoughts🙏
Btc-bitcoin
(BTC) bitcoin "BB Trend - long range view"Here is another look at the BollingerBand Trend indicator with a greater reach in view. As seen in the graph with correlated indicator BTC reached a red zone at the time when the price was at its highest this year before falling and as the price fell the indicator began to rise once more. Being in a red, or under 0, with the BBTrend indicator right now and what does it mean is a good question to try to answer. There are too many indicators and all of them cannot be laid on top of one another to see one giant indicator mess while trying to discover the hidden gem of the chart.
(BTC) bitcoin "miners make less money -- work harder"Due to the halving, the miners make less money. This means the miners have to work twice as hard to make the same amount of money. Historically, a miner earns on transactional process. When that money is conceived into a usage case scenario the money as BTC is spendable, or capable of being saved for later. Right now and since April 19/20th 2024 the newest halving should mean miners make less money and therefore have to work harder to make the same amount of money they were making the four years previously. Miners have to adapt and adjust to the new progress sheets earning less money for the same amount of work as before.
The graph chart indicator appears to show the blue line rising over all over moving average lines. This is a good sign that needs to happen to allocate all moving average lines into an order to represent the pattern where Bitcoin's price increases strongly from retail traders interests. The blue line rose above the other MA lines in July but did not commit and failed to see a complete flip of all MA lines. The line formation is tighter now so it is possible the strength is better this time around despite the price slowly falling month to month since the halving.
My Bollinger Band trend graph indicator shows BTC still in the red based on slower incremental movements.
Bitcoin - Time to buy again!BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin price is in the ascending Triangle with means the bitcoin price can react to this situation and breaks the triangle and will go up. and the most important resistance for Btc is currently 61k if the price breaks this resistance, Bitcoin can reach the top of the megaphone.
Analysis Summary:
Current Situation:
Bitcoin is struggling to break the important $61,000 level. This level is crucial for further upward movement.
Potential Scenarios:
If Bitcoin successfully surpasses the $61,000 level, it could indicate a bullish trend continuation.
Failure to break this level might lead to a consolidation phase or a potential bearish reversal, especially if it falls below the support level at $51K.
Conclusion:
The chart combines multiple technical analysis tools to provide a comprehensive view of Bitcoin’s potential price movements. Traders will be watching the $61,000 level closely, as breaking it could signal a strong bullish trend, while failing to do so might lead to a bearish scenario.
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Bitcoin can continue to decline inside range to 54800 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago entered to triangle, where it at once started to decline from the resistance line and soon fell below the 61200 level, breaking it. Then the price dropped more and broke the 53300 level, reaching the support line of the triangle, after which it turned around and started to grow. In a short time price rose to a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, breaking the 53300 level one more time. BTC some time traded near the resistance level and then fell to the support line of the triangle and then quickly rose to the resistance line of this pattern, breaking the resistance level. But then the price made impulse down, thereby exiting from the triangle pattern and breaking the 61200 level too. Also, BTC started to trades inside the range, where it declined to support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and at once rebounded up. A not long time ago price reached a resistance level and soon rolled down, and now it declining. So, for this case, I think that the price can rise to the resistance level and then continue to fall to almost the support level. That's why I set my TP at 54800 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin Analysis==>> Pump to $59,000==> Short termBitcoin is currently moving in the Support zone($55,780-$54,550) near the Support lines and 100_SMA(4H-TF) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin is completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least $59,000 after breaking the Resistance line .
Note: We can expect more dumps if Bitcoin breaks the Support zone($55,780-$54,550).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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HelenP. I Bitcoin can decline a little more and then start growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. A not long time ago price rebounded from the support level and tried to grow, but after it rose a little higher than the resistance zone, it dropped below the 58300 level, breaking it. Then BTC made a retest of this level and continued to decline to the trend line. After the price fell to this line, it turned around and started to grow inside the upward channel, where it some time rose near the trend line, which support line of the channel and later rebounded up. Bitcoin almost reached the 58300 support level, but then made correction, after which continued to move up. When the price reached the 58300 level, it at once broke it and rose to the resistance line of the channel. But recently price rebounded and made a correction movement to the support level. And now it continues to trades near this level inside the resistance area in an upward channel. In my mind, BTCUSDT will fall to the trend line and then rebound and start to grow to the resistance line of the channel. That's why I set my goal at 60800 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
ETH Extreme Weakness - A Warning SignSince my last update on this chart, Ethereum has broken its long term uptrend and dropped almost 40% in value. This was back in May of this year:
Zoomed out, you can see the failed long term trendline. Obviously, a break back above it would be a bullish sign, but there's a long way to go, as it's currently around $4,000.
Right now, it rests on its 200 and 100 weekly moving averages (teal and yellow on my chart). There really isn't much support below here at all until previous bear market lows, near $1,000. In contrast, Bitcoin has a long way to fall before arriving in the same position. This is not unlike the previous cycle, where ETH bled significantly on its ratio against Bitcoin. For crypto bulls, this may be a good sign. However, there is still plenty to fall on the ETH/BTC ratio after making a macro lower high:
There is no support on the ETH/BTC chart until lows not seen since 2020. It doesn't bode well for the #2 cryptocurrency, as it was unable to make a new high against Bitcoin. This means it is unlikely to outperform again on longer timeframes. This isn't a great look either, given the new ETH ETF's. I have no intention of buying ETH again, after making significant profit from 2018-2021 (buying around $100 and selling near $3,000). Can't complain about those gains at all, especially as its price hasn't managed to really hold above that price point this time around. On the bullish side (in the short term) if price continues to hold here, there could be a corrective wave up towards the 50 week MA near $2,800 (red).
As for Bitcoin itself, the 200 week MA is a little below $40k at present. Let's see if price can break down from the current support at the 50 week MA (red). If support continues to be held here, it is likely to hold for ETH as well.
Now, what about this rate cut tomorrow from the U.S. Federal Reserve? Given retail sales and the apparent strength of the economy, it seems fairly likely that 25 bps will be the decision. Now, investors and other market participants are quire wary of other economic data, which could easily signify a recession. Markets have been volatile in recent weeks. The Fed must tread carefully. If they cut by 50, it could signal to investors that they tightened too far, and are taking greater steps to curtail a recession. This might spook the market. My guess is that even with the 25 expected bps, the market will have the same lackluster reaction, particularly as it's not a meaningful rate reduction. Either way, I don't think the market will be pleasantly surprised enough to cause a significant bump up, essentially making tomorrow a "sell the news" event.
We'll see though! Perhaps it really is that simple: rate cuts=more liquidity for a pump.
This is meant for speculation only! Thanks for reading.
-Victor Cobra
BTC Forecast 17-Sep-24Bitcoin Support & Resistance- 17-Sep-24
Further to my post last week 09-Sep-24 & on 03-Sep-24,
BTC: 61000
The supports are working fine as proposed on 03-Sep-24 at 52650-52750 ( Previous Feb 24 high) and Fib Support 51750, further downside 44736 ( Fib support) to watch out.
Supports provided with clear mark up in the chart.
Currently BTC broke the SMA 50 and near 61000. The SMA 200 is at 61400 level and also Fib retracement 0.618 is scheduled at 61400 as shown in chart.
If this resistance is crossed decisively, high likely BTC will inch towards the all time high 73750 levels.
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Bearish Harmonic Patterns==>>Crab & SharkBitcoin moved as I expected in yesterday's post .
Bitcoin is currently moving in the Resistance zone($60,080-$59,400) , near the Resistance lines and the 50_SMA(Daily) .
It also seems that Bitcoin can potentially form the Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern and Bearish Shark Harmonic Pattern .
After breaking the small Support zone , I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support zone($58,000-$56,600) again.
Note: We can expect more pumps if Bitcoin breaks the Resistance line (over $61,000).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC updateBTC latest analysis update:
This complex scenario will make both bull and bear suffer if they don't play it out phase by phase.
I tried to keep it as simple as much possible, once you see the chart you will understand.
Invalidation point: If it close 1day above 63k
Imagine what people will post once BTC break 48k support! they will call 38k and 42k, it will be fake wick breaking support then head towards 70k zone then final low to 38k not before. But I might be wrong because again this is a complex structure. However, thinking as market maker this will be the perfect scenario to hit both bull and bear.
What you guys think?
BITCOIN → The fall will continue after a pullbackBINANCE:BTCUSDT is strengthening after a false breakdown of the 54.5K - 55K support. Fundamentally and technically, there is no buyer motivation. Traders have moved into the waiting or selling phase...
Now BTC is accumulated mainly by wallets with balance < 1BTC... Larger wallets are not doing much. Also, judging by the statistics of various services it can be seen that the trading activity of large investors has decreased, and whales have stopped actively accumulating since August. Traders doubt the current rebound in BTC and continue to actively short it.
Technically, the coin shows negative, bearish dynamics, forming gradually declining highs without the possibility to approach the retest of local peaks.
For the last one and a half or two months a tight sideways range has been formed and MM continues to keep the price inside the flat, it is also worth paying attention to the descending resistance, which also prevents the market from going up, putting pressure together with SMA-200.
Resistance Levels: SMA200, 59600, Trend Line
Support levels: 57736, 56K, 54500
At the moment the price is consolidating in the bullish zone, which indicates a possible chance to rise to 59600. The situation may end with a short-squeeze and further decline after liquidity capture. The pressure from sellers continues and buyers are not ready yet
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
MicroStrategy’s Bold Bitcoin Play: $700 Mln in BTC AcquisitionIn a move that highlights its unwavering commitment to Bitcoin, MicroStrategy, led by its CEO Michael Saylor, has announced a fresh $700 million debt offering to acquire more Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ). This marks the second such offering in just one month as the company aggressively expands its Bitcoin holdings. Known for its bullish stance on Bitcoin, MicroStrategy has now accumulated a staggering 244,800 BTC as part of its Treasury Reserve Asset (TRA) strategy.
The Latest Debt Offering
The newly proposed $700 million debt offering comes in the form of Convertible Senior Notes, which will be available only to qualified institutional investors. MicroStrategy plans to use the proceeds from this offering to redeem $500 million of its 6.125% Senior Secured Notes due 2028. After settling these debts, the remaining funds will be directed toward acquiring additional Bitcoin and other general corporate purposes.
This is not MicroStrategy's first foray into issuing convertible notes to fund its Bitcoin strategy. The company has previously conducted similar offerings, raising billions of dollars to support its growing Bitcoin portfolio. In June of this year, it made an $800 million offering, followed by a $1.1 billion Bitcoin purchase, which added 18,300 BTC to its reserves.
MicroStrategy’s Unstoppable Bitcoin Streak
MicroStrategy began its Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) acquisition spree in August 2020, becoming one of the first publicly traded companies to adopt Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) as a primary reserve asset. Over the years, the company has consistently used debt to bolster its Bitcoin reserves, reinforcing its belief in Bitcoin as a long-term store of value.
This strategy has often paid off for the company, especially in times of Bitcoin price appreciation. Most notably, MicroStrategy’s stock (MSTR) has soared as a direct result of its Bitcoin investments. After recent acquisitions, MSTR’s stock price surged by 18.74%, outpacing the broader market and gaining value even when other stocks faced volatility.
Bitcoin’s Current Market Dynamics
Despite MicroStrategy's massive Bitcoin purchase plans, the cryptocurrency itself has experienced some downward pressure. At the time of writing, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is down 2% after showing strength in previous weeks. This pullback is intriguing as it comes amid positive sentiment surrounding Bitcoin's recent performance and broader adoption.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 48, indicating a potential for a bullish reversal. The key pivot point for Bitcoin remains at $70,000, a level that traders and analysts are closely watching. If Bitcoin can break through this resistance, it could set off another significant rally, supported by the increasing institutional interest exemplified by companies like MicroStrategy.
Institutional Impact and MSTR Stock
MicroStrategy’s continued commitment to Bitcoin reflects a growing trend of institutional adoption of the cryptocurrency. With its relentless accumulation of Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ), MicroStrategy is making a bold bet on the long-term potential of the digital asset. As more institutions and corporations follow suit, Bitcoin could further cement its status as a mainstream financial asset.
For MicroStrategy, its aggressive Bitcoin strategy has not only bolstered its stock but also differentiated the company from its peers. MSTR has consistently outperformed other tech stocks, thanks in large part to its Bitcoin holdings. As the company continues to issue convertible debt and acquire more Bitcoin, investors will keep a close eye on both the price of Bitcoin and the value of MSTR stock.
Conclusion
MicroStrategy's latest $700 million debt offering underscores its confidence in Bitcoin’s future. With 244,800 CRYPTOCAP:BTC already in its reserves and plans to accumulate more, the company is betting on Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) as a core part of its corporate strategy. While Bitcoin faces near-term volatility, the long-term outlook remains promising, especially with institutional players like MicroStrategy continuing to lead the charge. If Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) can breach the $70,000 pivot, MicroStrategy’s bullish strategy could prove even more lucrative for both the company and its investors.
You might be too optimistic about #BTC!Investors are hopeful that risk assets like Bitcoin could see strong gains if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 50 basis points instead of the previously anticipated 25 basis points.
However, Bank of America (BofA) urges caution. They recommend not overreacting to any initial market reaction after the Federal Reserve's September meeting. According to BofA, the real focus should be on the Fed’s dot plot, which could have a bigger impact than the actual rate cut.
BofA expects the Fed’s dot plot to show higher interest rate expectations than what the market is currently predicting. Despite this, they believe Fed Chair Jerome Powell will maintain a more cautious, or "dovish," tone in his comments.
What is the dot plot?
The dot plot is a chart that shows where each Federal Reserve member thinks interest rates will be in the coming years. Each dot represents one member’s view. It's a useful guide for understanding where the Fed members sees interest rates in the future.
BTC Fractal suggests bottom is in, with a flagpole to $90k+
In this chart, we are looking at a clear fractal pattern, which has been unfolding in a bullish structure. After a significant rally post the April 2024 halving, Bitcoin entered a consolidation phase, which is visually highlighted by the yellow channel on the right side of the chart.
Key Observations:
1. Bullish Flag Formation: We see a clear bullish flag structure following the sharp rise. Bitcoin has moved within this flag (marked by the yellow lines), indicating a healthy consolidation after the rapid ascent. This kind of price action often signals a continuation of the previous trend, which in this case is bullish.
2. Historical Fractal Patterns: Similar consolidation patterns (circled in purple) occurred in previous cycles, as seen in 2023 and prior. Each of these consolidation zones eventually broke to the upside, leading to the next leg higher. The current price action mirrors these past structures, suggesting that BTC could break out soon.
3. Volume Contraction: As we approach the end of the flag, volume has contracted, which is typical before a breakout. This is a classic sign of accumulation as sellers lose momentum and buyers prepare for the next move.
4. Breakout Potential: If BTC breaks above the upper boundary of the flag, we could see a swift move toward the $80K range, with the possibility of even higher targets beyond that in the next leg up.
Next Steps:
• Watch for Breakout Confirmation: A breakout above the upper yellow line with increasing volume would provide a strong signal that Bitcoin is ready for its next rally.
• Target: Once confirmed, the price projection based on the flag pattern would suggest a target around $90K+.
• Risk Management: In the event of a downside break, the lower boundary of the flag and the GETTEX:52K support level will be key areas to watch.
Bitcoin’s price continues to follow the 2016-2017 fractal pattern closely, and based on this historic model, the next few weeks could offer substantial gains for the bulls.
BITCOIN BULLISH TO $77,000 (4H VIEW)Yesterday I showed you all I am bullish on BTC on the Weekly TF. Here's a 4H view showing that price is dipping into my POI. This is a Wave 2 corrective move, of the OVERALL Wave 5 bullish move. As price touches my grey supply zone, I will look to open buy positions & target new high's🚀
Invalidation zone below previous Wave 4.
Bitcoin Dominance Keeps Rising: Alts Will Keep Getting Rekt!Most altcoins have been underperforming BTC by quite a big margin over the last ~2 years. If you look at most alts, they are edging around the bear-market lows or trading slightly above it. A far cry from BTC's ~4x above the bear market low.
The result of BTC's overperformance is the sharp rise in Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D).
As of last week, BTC.D has made a new high this cycle. With the risk of a recession increasing, there's a high probability that Bitcoin is going to be the investment of choice for crypto holders (apart from stablecoins).
My assumption is that the BTC.D will continue to rise towards the yellow area, potentially even higher if the recession actually hits.
Alts are prone to lose against BTC, and are likely to keep losing value against BTC for the foreseeable future. On the other hand, if the BTC.D keeps rising it will also come down at some point and cause a massive alt season.
Patience is key.
Bitcoin can grow to 63K points exiting a pennant patternHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago started to grow inside the upward channel, where it in a short time rose to a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone. Soon, BTC broke this level and rose to the resistance line of the channel, thereby later exiting from it and then turning around and starting to decline inside the pennant. In this pattern, BTC at once fell to the 61000 level, broke it again, and later continued to decline next to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Later, the price broke this level and fell to the support line of the pennant pattern, after which at once started to move up and soon broke the 56100 level one more time. Next, the price continued to grow and reached the resistance line of the pennant, but recently it rolled down a little below and now trades near this line. So, in my opinion, BTC can correct to support line of pennant and then start to grow to a resistance level, thereby leaving this pattern. When the price reaches the 61000 level, it can break it and then continue to move up. For this case, I set my TP at 63000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin ! BREAKOUT IS THE KEY, BUT IT STILL HAS SOME WAY TO GOBitcoin is stationed in an inefficiency zone but with a lot of strength. It undoubtedly had a bullish week, and naturally, after a bullish run, the price needs to take a pause or rest. What better place than our historical zone, which we've marked as an inefficiency zone on the 1-day chart.
Yes, Bitcoin still has a bit more to climb to see the breakout that I've been anticipating.
As we can see, Bitcoin has been in a bearish sequence channel, and from the technical analysis within the channel, I'm aiming for Bitcoin to at least reach 64k this week so we can see a bit more price action.
THE BREAKOUT IS THE KEY, BUT IT STILL HAS SOME WAY TO GO!
So, until Bitcoin breaks my channel or at least reaches 64k, all I can do is wait.
Thank you for supporting my analysis.
Best regards.