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BTC DECEMBER FOMC Going into FOMC the consensus is we'll see a 25bps cut from the FED (95% chance), this would take interest rates from 4.75% to 4.5%. Because the expectation of a cut is so certain, we can assume that the markets have priced this in so baring any craziness in the form of a different result we should see market sentiment remain the same, bullish. A FED pause,(although unlikely according to data) would be very bearish in the the short term in terms of volatility. I would expect to see price revisit the $98-99K mark where the 4H 200EMA would roughly be. In a bullmarket the 4H 200EMA can be used as a great support level often bouncing off of it. For a 25bps cut which is the expected outcome, we have two paths IMO. The bullish path is consolidation under the ATH then a break above, retest and off we go towards $110,000. The bearish path is a loss of this key S/R level after a consolidation above support and break under with a confirmed retest of new resistance. I know it's typical "could go up, could go down", however it's the context that matters here. Alts have taken a back seat for the last week or so, BTC.D at a key level and a rejection off this level would mean alts can play catch-up while as BTC consolidates. We very rarely see BTC drop and altcoins pump so this is the most likely outcome to me baring no upsets in FOMC.
by ProR35
Weakness Prevails Below Key LevelsChainlink continues to show bearish momentum after losing key support levels. Key Observations: dVAL and pdVAL Lost – LINK has dropped below the daily value area low (dVAL) and remains weak with no significant new volume coming in, indicating a lack of buying interest. Swing Low Taken Out – LINK has taken out the swing low at $28, but the volume remains low, showing weak follow-through and limited buying activity. pdVAL and pdPoC Resistance – The previous daily value area low (pdVAL) and the previous daily point of control (pdPoC) are both situated at $29, now acting as a strong resistance level. Bulls must reclaim this area to regain strength. Lack of Bullish Defense – Bulls are failing to defend key levels, further signaling weakness. Below Key Levels – LINK remains below the weekly open (wOpen) and the daily open (dOpen), confirming a bearish bias. Target Levels: Bearish Targets: pwOpen (previous weekly open) coincides with the daily level at 26.09, making this a significant confluence area for potential support. The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at 25.61 strengthens this zone as a next key downside target. Next Major Zone: The green support area below 26.09 remains a potential demand zone if selling pressure persists. Summary: With LINK taking out the swing low at $28 on low volume, remaining below dVAL, pdVAL, dOpen, and wOpen, the bearish momentum remains intact. The pdVAL and pdPoC at $29 now serve as strong resistance. The next major downside target lies at 26.09, where confluence with the pwOpen and daily level strengthens the support zone.
Short
by SiDec
$BTC to 120k-130kBitcoin sell-side liquidity has been slowly eaten away by buying pressure. The order book isn't as tilted towards sellers as it was last month, it's getting more balanced. Buyers are still gobbling up what's left of the supply, liquidity was being eroded. With less supply, it's easier for buyers to push the price up. Buyers keep chowing down on the supply that's slowly disappearing. There's not much big supply until we hit 110k, the trend is still strong. On this vertical accumulation, if we can stay above 104k to 102k (weekly rvwap) , I'm expecting a rally towards 120k-130k zone, before we move in range again. Coinbase had a negative premium all the way up to 106k, which is weird because spot trading was mostly at a premium (which is a good sign). We're in one of those moments where Bitcoin is just soaking up all the liquidity. The altcoins are looking pretty weak while Bitcoin hits all-time highs. This isn't unusual when Bitcoin starts figuring out its price. Just be patient; the market will cycle back around.
by Tealstreet
2
Bitcoin Hits New All-Time High of $107k — Is $150K Next? Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has once again shattered expectations, climbing to a record-breaking $107,000. This milestone follows a 3.68% surge over the weekend, with bullish sentiment fueled by a surprising announcement from President-elect Donald Trump. Bitcoin Price Today Bitcoin’s recent rally can be attributed to President-elect Donald Trump’s pledge to establish the U.S. as the global center for Bitcoin and cryptocurrency innovation. During a CNBC interview on Sunday, Trump unveiled plans for a U.S. Bitcoin reserve, emphasizing the need for the country to lead in digital assets. This announcement sparked a surge in buying activity, propelling Bitcoin to its new all-time high of $106,727. The market’s reaction underscores the growing influence of policy decisions on crypto prices. Trump’s pro-Bitcoin stance has injected optimism into the market, with investors viewing it as a step toward broader institutional adoption and regulatory clarity. Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is currently trading at $106,893, slightly off its daily high of $107,080. The recent breakout above the psychological $100,000 level signals strong bullish momentum. Key technical indicators suggest further upside potential: 1. Relative Strength Index (RSI): While the RSI stands at 71, indicating overbought conditions, historical patterns show that Bitcoin can remain overbought during strong uptrends. 2. Support Levels: In the event of a local correction, support ranges are identified at $97,500–$99,500 and $94,100. These levels could provide buying opportunities for traders looking to enter the market. 3. Resistance Levels: Bitcoin faces minimal resistance in uncharted territory. The next significant psychological level is $110,000, followed by the ambitious $150,000 target predicted by analysts. Market Dynamics Bitcoin’s 24-hour trading volume stands at $110.4 billion, with Binance leading the charge. The exchange’s perpetual and spot trading volumes contribute significantly to Bitcoin’s liquidity. This robust trading activity underscores the market’s resilience and readiness to absorb high volumes. Outlook: Can Bitcoin Reach $150,000? The path to $150,000 hinges on several factors: 1. Macroeconomic Environment: Continued pro-crypto policies from global leaders could drive institutional inflows and bolster market confidence. 2. Technical Breakouts: A sustained move above $110,000 would validate the bullish continuation pattern and set the stage for a run toward $150,000. 3. Market Sentiment: Despite overbought conditions, Bitcoin’s historical performance during Q4 and Q1 suggests strong potential for further gains. However, traders should remain cautious. The RSI’s overbought reading and the potential for profit-taking at key levels could trigger short-term corrections. Risk management is crucial, as the market navigates these uncharted waters. Conclusion Bitcoin’s new all-time high of $107,000 marks a significant milestone, driven by both fundamental and technical factors. President-elect Trump’s pro-Bitcoin stance has ignited fresh optimism, while technical indicators and on-chain metrics point to continued bullish momentum. With $150,000 as the next ambitious target, the crypto market is buzzing with excitement. Will Bitcoin continue its ascent, or will a correction provide a breather before the next leg up? Only time will tell, but for now, the flagship cryptocurrency is firmly in the spotlight.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
16/12/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $106,649.88 Last weeks low: $94,177.33 Midpoint: $100,413.61 A new ATH for BTC last week as we saw $106K for the first time, truly amazing price action since the Trump election win. NASDAQ:MSTR , IBIT and other massive institutions are continuing to buy with more companies having rumoured to add BTC to their balance sheet, demand is strong and does not seem to be going away as we go into the end of the quarter/year. This week we have many different data releases from the UK, US & ECB. Naturally volatility is expected around these events, it also makes traders a little tentative to enter into trades, I would say this is more accurate during bear markets/ choppy conditions. Right now we're in a strong Bullrun and therefor the momentum is less news data driven and more a race for institutional buying, It's a given at this point that we're in a period of rate cuts and so that is factored into price. Altcoins have seen a recent pullback despite BTC pushing higher, this is as a result of the BTC.D chart tanking when alts took the liquidity from BTC profits and so dominance did see a correction. This latest BTC move up while alts are down is just a continuation of BTC.D continuing its surge as it always does in the Bullrun before the true altseason where alts outpace BTC after a blow-off top. This week I'd like to see BTC come through data events unscathed with altcoins bouncing off the 4H 200EMAs and starting the next leg up going into year end.
by ProR35
Chainlink LINK/USDT: SHORT, Bearish Divergence Detected.Leveraging our Adapted RSI w/ Regime Detection we can easily identify this bearish divergence alongside the weekly rsi signal suggesting Sell. Whilst higher timeframe orderflow is still bullish upon retest of $22-$23 - I would keep a close eye on intraday order flow heading into early this week as we have important economic data, notably BOJ policy rates decision later in the week, which implies increased volatility and likely, manipulation.
Short
by igreycrypto
Bitcoin Analysis ==>>Ready for Correction!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving in the Resistance zone($102,280-$101,000) . (We saw the fake break ). According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in completing 5 impulsive waves , and we should wait for corrective waves . Signs of the completion of the main wave 5 in the one-hour time frame: 1-BTC broke the Uptrend lines . 2- Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern formation 3- Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks. I expect Bitcoin to fall to at least the Support zone($99,600-$98,000) in the coming hours . ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes above $102,540, we should expect a new All-Time High(ATH).⚠️ ⚠️Note: If the Support zone($99,600-$98,000) is broken, we should wait for Bitcoin to fall at least to $96,500.⚠️ Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
37
BTC Miner "Valuation" ChartThis is not advice on who to invest in, or what, do your own due diligence in checking through the total overall hashrate, the future plans of these companies and how diversified they are in their business operations. IE do they outsource some compute for data centers etc. Hint: Data center usage will be gigantic since it's already built and ready to plug and play so to say. This is just a super simple analysis of the YTD of some miners I think are pretty decent. This is an incredibly risky "sector" but the larger guys with tons of built or in process of being built Megawatts available are not only positioned to benefit from the rise of bitcoin, and the potential for larger companies to scoop them up for their own ai / data center needs. Just my two cents. As always feel free to reach out for questions or leave a question in the comments. GL
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ajx1124
Luna ($LUNAUSDT): 8-Hour Analysis for Strategic Trade SetupI spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more. Luna ( BINANCE:LUNAUSDT ): 8-Hour Chart Analysis for Strategic Trade Setup Trade Setup: - Entry Price: $0.5451 - Stop-Loss: $0.3728 - Take-Profit Targets: - TP1: $0.9479 - TP2: $1.3018 Fundamental Analysis: Luna ( BINANCE:LUNAUSDT ) continues to be a significant player in the DeFi ecosystem despite its historical challenges. The network's commitment to rebuilding its ecosystem and expanding partnerships has drawn attention back to the token. The recent upgrades to its Terra blockchain aim to enhance scalability and adoption among developers. Technical Analysis (8-Hour Chart): - Current Price: $0.5525 - Moving Averages: - 50-EMA: $0.5000 - 200-EMA: $0.4800 - Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 60, indicating growing bullish momentum. - Support and Resistance Levels: - Immediate Support: $0.5000 - Resistance: $0.6000 The 8-hour chart reveals a breakout from a descending triangle pattern, signalling potential for a strong upward movement. The take-profit targets align with Fibonacci extensions, providing logical levels for scaling out of the position. Market Sentiment: LUNA has seen increasing trading volumes, reflecting renewed interest in the project. Recent announcements around ecosystem developments and strategic partnerships have boosted confidence among traders. Risk Management: A stop-loss at $0.3728 ensures limited downside risk, while TP1 and TP2 offer impressive reward potentials of approximately 73% and 139%, respectively. Discipline in executing this trade is crucial, given the token's volatility. Key Takeaways: - LUNA’s breakout signals a potential bullish continuation. - Strong risk-to-reward ratio for both scalpers and swing traders. - Strict adherence to stop-loss and target levels is necessary. When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All! *Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
Long
by SiriusTrading
4
TOTAL3 2H: Bull Flag Formation - 1.6T TargetThe TOTAL3 index, representing the total cryptocurrency market capitalization excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum, is displaying a bullish continuation pattern in the form of a bull flag. The market has established a strong uptrend, followed by a consolidation period that appears to be setting up for another leg higher. Key Technical Observations: The primary trend is decisively bullish, with price action showing a steep ascent from around 600B to 1.14T market cap. The recent consolidation has formed a flag pattern, with parallel downward-sloping lines containing the price action. This type of consolidation after a strong move is typically a continuation pattern, suggesting the bullish momentum may resume. The volume profile during the consolidation appears to be diminishing, which is characteristic of flag patterns and supports the continuation thesis. Price Targets: Based on the measured move technique for flag patterns, taking the flagpole's height and projecting it from the breakout point, the primary target extends to approximately 1.6T. This projection aligns with the principle that crypto markets often extend previous moves after corrections. The target represents a significant psychological level that could act as a major resistance zone. Trading Setup: - Entry Conditions: Look for a decisive break above the upper flag boundary at approximately 1.14T, preferably with increased volume - Initial Stop Loss: Place below the lower flag boundary around 1.07T - Take Profit Levels: Primary target at 1.6T, with potential intermediate resistance at 1.3T and 1.4T Risk Management: - Stop Loss Placement: The tight consolidation pattern allows for a relatively close stop loss, improving the risk-reward ratio - Market Conditions to Watch: Monitor Bitcoin and Ethereum's price action as they can influence the broader market sentiment Additional Considerations: The current consolidation is occurring at all-time high levels for TOTAL3, suggesting strong underlying strength in the altcoin market. The clean technical pattern, combined with the strategic location of the consolidation, provides a favorable setup for continuation. Trade Validation: - Bullish Case: A high-volume breakout above 1.14T would confirm the pattern - Invalidation: A decisive break below 1.07T would negate the immediate bullish setup Market Context: The altcoin market has shown significant strength relative to Bitcoin and Ethereum, indicating growing interest in the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem. This suggests potential capital rotation into alternative cryptocurrencies, which could support the bullish thesis.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by Achilly
1
CHZ/USDT 1H: Descending Wedge Pattern - Bullish Breakout SetupCHZ is currently forming a descending wedge pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal pattern when formed in a downtrend. The price has been making lower highs and lower lows within the wedge, but the convergence of the trendlines suggests a potential breakout is approaching. Key Technical Observations: The primary trend shows a strong upward movement followed by a corrective phase within the descending wedge. The upper trendline connects multiple lower highs, while the lower trendline connects the lower lows, creating a clear convergence. The pattern started forming after reaching a local high, and the price has been consolidating with decreasing volatility, which often precedes a significant move. Price Targets: Given the height of the wedge and volatility principles: 1. Initial target: 0.14000 (previous resistance level) 2. Secondary target: 0.16000 (based on previous swing high) 3. Extended target: 0.18996 (projection based on the full previous move) Trading Setup: - Entry Conditions: Wait for a decisive breakout above the upper trendline (currently around 0.12000) with increased volume - Initial Stop Loss: Place below the most recent swing low at 0.10500 - Take Profit Levels: 1. First TP at 0.14000 2. Second TP at 0.16000 3. Final TP at 0.18996 Risk Management: - Stop Loss Placement: Below the wedge's lower trendline to maintain pattern validity - Position Scaling: Consider entering 50% position on initial breakout, add 25% on first retest of breakout level, final 25% after confirmation - Market Conditions to Watch: Overall crypto market sentiment, Bitcoin's price action, and trading volume Additional Considerations: The decreasing volume within the wedge supports the pattern's validity. A sudden increase in volume during breakout would provide additional confirmation of the setup. Trade Validation: - Bullish case: Break above 0.12000 with strong volume - Invalidation: Break below the lower trendline or 0.10000 support level - Pattern timing: Expect resolution within the next 24-48 hours based on wedge convergence
Long
by Achilly
Breaking: Riot Platforms' $500M BTC Buy Sparks Rally to $101KIn a landmark move, Bitcoin mining giant Riot Platforms has catalyzed a fresh surge in Bitcoin’s price by purchasing over $500 million worth of CRYPTOCAP:BTC within two days. This acquisition underscores the growing trend of institutional Bitcoin adoption, as more firms strategically bolster their reserves to capitalize on the cryptocurrency’s potential. Riot’s Bold Bet on Bitcoin Between December 10 and 12, Riot Platforms acquired 5,117 BTC at an average price of $99,669 per coin. This significant purchase was funded through the proceeds of a $525 million convertible bond offering. With this addition, Riot’s total Bitcoin holdings have soared to 16,728 BTC, valued at approximately $1.68 billion at current market prices. This purchase aligns with Riot’s broader strategy to lead the institutional charge into Bitcoin accumulation, a move reminiscent of MicroStrategy’s long-term commitment to $BTC. Riot’s CEO, Jason Les, emphasized that this initiative bolsters their position as a key player in the Bitcoin ecosystem while highlighting its strategic importance in managing long-term value. Wall Street’s Quiet Bitcoin Race Riot Platforms isn’t alone in this institutional push. MARA Holdings recently invested $1.1 billion to acquire 11,774 BTC, while Australia’s AMP Pension Fund allocated $27 million to Bitcoin as part of its diversified portfolio strategy. These moves signal a subtle competition among institutions to secure Bitcoin, further solidifying its position as a hedge and a valuable reserve asset. Even at the state level, Bitcoin is gaining traction. In Texas, a proposed bill to establish a Bitcoin reserve could pave the way for government-backed cryptocurrency holdings, potentially reshaping fiscal strategies in the U.S. Technical Analysis At the time of writing, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is trading at $101,000, up 1.49% over the past 24 hours. The technical indicators suggest room for further growth: - Relative Strength Index (RSI): At 58, the RSI indicates a balanced market, with CRYPTOCAP:BTC neither overbought nor oversold, signaling potential for further upward movement. - Moving Averages: Bitcoin is trading above key moving averages, reinforcing its bullish momentum. - Support Levels: In the event of a correction, the 65% Fibonacci retracement level provides a critical support zone, offering stability for further consolidation. Fundamental Impact This aggressive Bitcoin acquisition by Riot and other firms reflects a paradigm shift in institutional attitudes toward Bitcoin. Riot’s purchase highlights confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value and its ability to serve as a hedge against economic uncertainties. As more firms follow suit, Bitcoin’s status as a mainstream financial asset continues to strengthen. With the $101,000 milestone reclaimed, the question remains: can Bitcoin maintain its momentum and push toward new highs? Conclusion Riot Platforms’ latest acquisition not only reinforces Bitcoin’s narrative as “digital gold” but also showcases the rising institutional interest that underpins its price trajectory. With technical indicators favoring further gains and institutional players driving demand, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is poised for an exciting phase in its journey to redefine the financial landscape. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your research before making investment decisions.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews