Bitcoin has reached the Top by mid-March. What is Next!?The United States spot Bitcoin BTC exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recently achieved a new milestone after attracting more than $1 billion in net inflows for the first time on March 12.
Investments into spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to soar as daily inflows breached $11.1 billion over the last 13 days. On March 12, Bitcoin ETFs saw their biggest-ever daily inflow of $1.045 billion, chiefly contributed to by BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin ETF (IBIT).
Too many excited ppl, isn't it?!
Technical graph indicates on 2-years long upside channel, where near 73K per BTC is the Top, and near 55K is the middle.
Technically, BTC can retrace to mentioned above level.
Btc-bitcoin
Time to Consider an Even Bigger Double-TopLose 56.5 by tomorrow's close (3 daily chart), or the weekly close, and we could target at least 45k and possible weekly support (green box starting at ~44k), or even a dip below weekly support to just below ~40k.
Good luck, this idea is invalidated if we bounce off of 56.5k or higher and move back above 67.2k
Bitcoin Roadmap==>>(Update)Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($63,450_$62,100) and close to the 21_SMA(Weekly) .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave 4 . (The Maximum of wave 4 can be up to $65,080 , and the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) can continue.)
Before the better result, let's take a look at Market Cap BTC Dominance% (BTC.D%) and Market Cap USDT Dominance% (USDT.D%) .
It seems that BTC.D% has managed to complete 5 impulse waves in the Heavy Resistance zone(60%_57%) , and we should expect BTC.D% to fall in the coming days and weeks.
USDT.D% has managed to break the Important Downtrend line , and this indicates the increase of USDT.D% and possibly the break of the Resistance zone(5.54%_4.97%) in the following days, which also confirms the fall of Bitcoin .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Support zone($61,100_$58,700) again after the completion of wave 4 , and then Bitcoin will fall and at least fill the CME Gap($62,085_$60,400) .
Note: If Bitcoin can touch $65,580, the scenario will change.
Note: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin RoadmapBitcoin started to fall for the umpteenth time with the news that the Mt.Gox exchange would return Bitcoins to the losers , as if the Mt. Gox exchange would start refunding BINANCE:BTCUSDT and BINANCE:BCHUSDT from the beginning of July 2024 (almost 6 more days).
After a few months, the Fear and Greed index entered the " Fear " range again. But I think it will also enter the " Extreme Fear " range.
Bitcoin is currently moving near the Resistance zone($63,450_$62,100) , the 21_SMA(Weekly) , and the lower line of the Failed Falling Wedge Pattern . ( pullback is probably being completed )
Note: Bitcoin has come below the 21_SMA(Weekly) after almost 250 days.
Note: When a reversal pattern fails, it will play a continuation role.
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be completing the microwave 4 of the main wave 3 . If the Heavy Support zone($61,100_$58,700) breaks, we can confirm the end of wave 4.
Before concluding, let's take a look at the Market Cap USDT Dominance% (USDT.D%) chart.
USDT.D% has managed to break the Important Downtrend line , and this indicates the increase of USDT.D% and possibly the break of the Resistance zone(5.54%_4.97%) in the following days, which also confirms the fall of Bitcoin .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Support zone($61,100_$58,700) again after the completion of the microwave 4 of the main wave 3, and the break of the Heavy Support zone can coincide with the news of the refund of the Mt.Gox exchange .
Note: If Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($63,450_$62,100), the scenario will change.
Note: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Technical Analysis of Harmony ONE/USDTTechnical Analysis of Harmony ONE/USDT
Chart Patterns:
Falling Wedge: There is a prominent falling wedge pattern indicating a potential reversal. The price is nearing the apex of the wedge, suggesting an impending breakout.
Rectangle and Triangle: Within the larger pattern, there are smaller formations like a rectangle and a triangle that hint at periods of consolidation and breakout opportunities.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Support: Around 0.00863 USDT, as marked on the chart.
Immediate Resistance: Approximately at 0.01000 USDT.
Target Zones: Multiple target zones are marked, indicating potential price levels to watch for after a breakout. These zones range from 0.015 to 0.035 USDT.
Indicators:
VWMC Cipher B Divergences: Suggests potential bullish divergence, indicating a possible upward movement.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently around 22.23, which is in the oversold territory, suggesting a potential upward correction.
Stochastic RSI: Also in the oversold territory, reinforcing the RSI signal.
Trading Plans
Intraday Trading
Entry Point: Look for a breakout above the immediate resistance at 0.01000 USDT. Confirm this with increasing volume.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss just below the support level at 0.00863 USDT.
Target: Initial target at 0.015 USDT. Adjust stops to break even once the price reaches halfway to the target to secure profits.
Scalping
Entry Point: Enter trades at small retracements within the larger patterns. For example, when the price dips towards the lower boundary of the triangle or rectangle.
Stop Loss: Tight stop loss around 1-2% below the entry point to minimize losses.
Target: Small gains around 2-3% per trade. Exit positions quickly to lock in profits, considering the high volatility of scalping.
Swing Trading
Entry Point: Enter long positions at the lower boundary of the falling wedge pattern or on confirmation of a breakout above the wedge.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the recent swing low, which is around 0.00863 USDT.
Target: Longer-term targets based on the marked target zones, aiming for 0.020 USDT and 0.025 USDT. Trail stops to protect profits as the price moves in favor.
Conclusion and Advice for Long Position
Given the current technical setup, Harmony ONE/USDT appears to be at a critical juncture. The falling wedge pattern combined with oversold indicators (RSI and Stochastic RSI) suggests a high probability of a bullish breakout.
Advice:
Patience is Key: Wait for confirmation of a breakout above 0.01000 USDT with strong volume before entering a long position.
Risk Management: Always use stop losses to protect against unexpected market moves.
Monitor Indicators: Keep an eye on RSI and Stochastic RSI for potential overbought signals as the price moves higher, indicating potential exit points.
Long-Term Position:
Consider building a long-term position if the price breaks and holds above 0.01000 USDT with significant volume, targeting higher resistance levels as marked on the chart.
This analysis provides a comprehensive approach to trading Harmony ONE/USDT across different strategies. Always adapt your trading plan based on real-time market conditions and updates.
Technical Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) with trade plan
Technical Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT)
Overview:
The chart indicates that Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has formed a falling wedge pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal pattern. The price has recently hit a second bottom within the wedge and is showing signs of a potential breakout.
Key Levels:
Support Levels:
Immediate support around $58,000.
Stronger support at the lower boundary of the wedge around $55,000.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance around $60,000.
Major resistance at $62,500.
Target resistance levels at $67,500 and $72,500 after a confirmed breakout.
Indicators:
Volume:
Volume is relatively steady, with potential for an increase during breakout attempts.
Market Cipher B (MCB):
The MCB indicator shows a potential divergence and has bottomed out, suggesting a potential reversal.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
RSI is currently around 29.65, indicating oversold conditions and a potential for upward movement.
Stochastic RSI:
Stochastic RSI is showing a bullish crossover, indicating a potential for upward price movement.
Trading Plan:
Intraday Trading:
Entry:
Look for a bounce from the immediate support around $58,000 or a confirmed break above $60,000.
Stop-Loss:
Place a stop-loss slightly below the support at $57,500.
Targets:
First target at $60,000.
Second target at $62,500.
Scalping:
Entry:
Enter long positions on small pullbacks or breakouts above key resistance levels (e.g., $58,500 and $60,000).
Stop-Loss:
Tight stop-loss around $57,800.
Targets:
First target at $59,500.
Second target at $60,500.
Exit positions quickly if momentum slows.
Swing Trading:
Entry:
Wait for a confirmed breakout above the falling wedge, ideally above $60,000.
Stop-Loss:
Place a stop-loss below the recent swing low at $55,000.
Targets:
First target at $67,500 (mid-term resistance).
Second target at $72,500 (long-term resistance).
Conclusion:
The current technical setup for Bitcoin suggests a potential bullish reversal with a possible breakout from the falling wedge pattern. Intraday and scalping strategies should focus on key support and resistance levels with tight stop-losses. Swing trading offers a more significant upside potential if the breakout above $60,000 is confirmed. Monitoring volume and price action closely around these levels will be crucial for making informed trading decisions.
Advice for Long Position:
Confirmation: Ensure a confirmed breakout above $60,000 before entering long positions.
Risk Management: Use appropriate stop-losses to manage risk effectively.
Targets: Aim for targets at $67,500 and $72,500 for swing trades, adjusting stops as the trade progresses.
By following this plan and keeping an eye on market conditions, traders can capitalize on the potential bullish reversal in Bitcoin.
Bitcoin Bearish MACD Cross: Is The Cycle OVER?In this analysis I want to shed some light on the fact that the 2-week Bitcoin MACD is likely going to make a bearish cross soon.
Historically, a bearish MACD cross has ALWAYS signaled the end of the bull market (first two cycles are not on the chart, you can scroll back and look for yourself). I'm aware that 2021 was an outlier, but don't forget that all technicals peaked in 2020.
I've been bullish in the short- and mid-term, but there's more and more long-term indicators that are flashing red at the moment, this being one of them.
Not calling for a huge drop yet, but this signal is definitely one for the bearish.
Interested to hear your thoughts about this!
XRP → Rally to 0.730 ↑ The fundamental denouement is comingBINANCE:XRPUSDT is approaching a possible decoupling, both technically and fundamentally. Positive signs of life could lead to a rally, first stop could be around 0.73.
On W1, the coin is trying to live, but there is a huge fundamental reason that keeps the price from going beyond resistance and flat: The SEC v. Ripple litigation.
The Ripple vs. SEC case is a pivotal moment for cryptocurrency regulation, as a final victory would be a strong green sign for the entire cryptocurrency community amidst the SEC getting a number of restrictions on its activities lately due to overstepping its authority.
Ripple's CEO believes that the final verdict could come at the end of the summer. Everyone is counting on a positive outcome for XRP:
The court found that Ripple violated federal securities laws by making institutional sales of XRP, but dismissed other charges brought by the SEC.
Ripple Labs opposed the SEC's proposal to fine the company nearly $2 billion.
Ripple Labs said the court should impose a civil penalty of no more than $10 million
Technically:
Price continues to test the wedge resistance with the aim of breaking it, volatility decreases and consolidation continues. Below 0.4637 buyers are not letting the price in yet, which may lead to another retest of the resistance, which will only increase the chances of a breakout.
Price consolidation above 0.4962 will be the root cause of market character change and possible rally to 0.6265 - 0.73.
Support levels: 0.4637
Resistance levels: 0.4962, 0.5720
I expect that the buyers will still be able to break through the resistance of the bearish figure in the near future and ride the rally to the mentioned targets.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Oi increase by 600m during last 2 day big move is comiBitcoin - Oi increase by 600m during last 2 day big move is coming
In a video i share my previus plan where i told to take LONG in a case of SL hunt at VAL
Price did it with trapped open interest
at this moment chances to take SL of sellers are HUGE
also in a video i shared in waht case we should consider short trades
UNFI → Resistance Retest. Ready for a breakthroughBINANCE:UNFIUSDT is showing positive dynamics amid the red cryptocurrency market. The coin is approaching strong resistance and we have the potential to catch a breakout with subsequent growth.
On the weekly timeframe, the coin is still in consolidation (range 16.0 - 2.5). But, against the background of the general neutral trend we have a downward resistance, which is once again being retested. A pre-breakout consolidation is formed against the wedge resistance, due to which an attempt to break the line and further strengthening can be formed. An initial test of resistance may lead to a small bounce, but a quick retest will increase the chances of a breakout.
Support levels: 3.281
Resistance levels: 5.716
I expect the formation of a local consolidation with a gradual push to the resistance of the wedge and further breakout.
Regards R. Linda!
$BTC range bound, 6 month period almost overGood Morning!!!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is still in a range.
It is currently higher from repurchase but not it is not going up in strength, trading this portion unless we see a change.
What is needed to turn fully bullish on #BTC?
RSI over 50, which is the orange arrow.
$ flow positive trend, which is the grey arrow.
#Bitcoin has 2 more weeks before the 6 month, 2nd phase, is up.
Spot BTC bleh too.
Bitcoin is currently in a strong downtrendBitcoin is currently in a strong downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe, consistently declining over the mid-term. It's positioned within a robust and long-term descending channel, continuing its downward movement. As long as Bitcoin stays within this channel without breaking upwards, the market sentiment remains bearish. A trend reversal is only likely if Bitcoin breaks out above this channel.
Currently, Bitcoin is near the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting a potential drop towards the lower boundary. After hitting the bottom, there might be an opportunity for an upward move.
Bitcoin's Inverse Head & Shoulders Playing Out As ForecastedFive weeks ago I made my first analysis on this pattern where I argued that the dotted purple support was my ideal target for an inverse H&S reversal pattern.
Once we were there it was a moment of truth for the bulls. My initial trade had a stop that was too tight. Nevertheless the overall idea was a success since we've now successfully reversed from my purple support area.
The daily RSI hitting oversold for the first time in almost a year was a great entry signal for crypto as a whole.
I'm expecting the bullish trend to continue at least for the next few weeks towards the top resistance (neckline) of the H&S.
Keep in mind, the inverse H&S is not completed yet. Once we hit the neckline (and ideally break through it) we can see a new all-time high coming soon.
Are you bullish or bearish? Share your thoughts.
SOLANA Bull-Flag Pattern: Massive Move Incoming?SOLANA has been trading inside this pennant for nearly 4 months at this point. Since the pennant is being formed at the end of a strong bullish trend, I'm treating this as a bull-flag pattern.
My anticipation is that SOL (and many other tokens) are currently preparing for their next leg up. See signal on the chart.
Short-term Bitcoin Analysis - Don't looking for long-term!!!Hello friends,
I always provide short-term analysis in my trades and the analyses I conduct because market conditions are variable and can change rapidly. The longer the analysis timeframe, the fewer factors and conditions it incorporates for potential changes. So Don't looking for long-term analysis!
Let's start with the Bitcoin analysis:
After hitting a new high, the price experienced a drop, but we cannot call this drop the end of the bull run or a trend reversal. We are simply observing the formation of a base. This base could potentially rally on the weekly timeframe, or maybe not.
As long as Bitcoin remains above the 58,200 to 59,100 level (the green zone from which the price bounced back), it can continue its upward movement. However, if this support zone is broken, the price could drop to a lower green level.
If you are a holder, you might consider lightening your portfolio if there is a sustained break below the support zone.
Keep your trading simple.
Short-term Bitcoin Analysis - Don't looking for long-term!!!Hello friends,
I always provide short-term analysis in my trades and the analyses I conduct because market conditions are variable and can change rapidly. The longer the analysis timeframe, the fewer factors and conditions it incorporates for potential changes. So Don't looking for long-term analysis!
Let's start with the Bitcoin analysis:
After hitting a new high, the price experienced a drop, but we cannot call this drop the end of the bull run or a trend reversal. We are simply observing the formation of a base. This base could potentially rally on the weekly timeframe, or maybe not.
As long as Bitcoin remains above the 58,200 to 59,100 level (the green zone from which the price bounced back), it can continue its upward movement. However, if this support zone is broken, the price could drop to a lower green level.
If you are a holder, you might consider lightening your portfolio if there is a sustained break below the support zone.
Keep your trading simple.
So...Against popular belief, it is what it is.
unfortunately, it's not where people want it to be.
People want to think I am anti Bitcoin, or negative to the cause. Again, this could not be further from the truth. I'm just one of the lucky ones in early and care very little what it does at the moment.
It's clear people try to find bullish narratives especially when gone all in, but you have to remain a realist to make good money. Well at least over and over again.
I've shared various posts and stream over these last couple of years and still not likely to win popularity contests or crypto influencer of the year when you don't have rhyme nor reason to scream for 100k with a silly face on each thumbnail.
COT data still shows a negative LF sentiment - this is not big boys getting REKT, it's big players profiting at a premium (whose selling to the retail crowd?).
I have spoken to some level headed players in the space; one of which was Ryan at Uncomplication and we spoke about why the options would be good or bad for the short-term. Kind of kike an "if this, then that outcome".
As you can see from these options; option 1 and the preferred move would have been an extended accumulation phase. Thus giving enough fuel to take a real shot at the moon.
I also shared posts about the interesting movements down low, prior to this move up.
Now the issue for option 2 or 3 playing out was the limitations to the upside without a run on lower liquidity. So again, not needing to visit 12k or 9k - just to grab stops and cause serious doubt is enough in situations like this.
You might have already seen the Wall Street Cheat Sheet;
These things are as old as time.
As option 1 didn't play itself (we did not accumulate enough) the move up has all the hallmarks of a larger degree corrective.
Hence, in the ideal scenario; we would have seen a pullback allowing "fair value" to be accumulated, instead the CVD showed an existing positive position meaning profit taking up high. Thank you by the way.
This move would have been on the cards & the chances are we could be. However, the concern and issue is this caps the upside on a colossal scale to a little over 100k before a very, very long term corrective kicks in.
Still waiting on $135k as every influencer and their dog screamed for. Yup, still waiting from Nov 21, 22, 23 and nearing 24.
The question you need to ask, is after 12 ETF approvals and retail screaming MASSIVE Net-inflows, we just had a halving and of course the golden price multiplier. So the question is; what's pinning it down? where is the lead balloon?
Option 2 we talked about was if the price had created a classic ZIG-ZAG corrective move; 48-52k would have been optimal. The reason this was worse than option 1 was it means a longer time in limbo.
Now option 3 paints a combo of the two as you technically have either a weak move impulsive up leading to a long corrective or a corrective B giving a running flat B hence another slow burner down before some real momentum can be had.
I covered every major move over the last couple of years, now it's becoming more institutional it's only time. Just because retail wants 100k tomorrow, doesn't mean it has to play ball - especially not in the timeframe majority of retail want it to happen.
I think the move needs a natural play both ways here; now we have massive liquidity sitting lower and of course a lot of eager, anxious buyers higher. COT is a big telltale sign for me.
I also covered and published the move options in the book'
So when I say, nothing has changed. It means since talking about this the first time - we are still playing out the worst of the 3 options so it seems.
I'll finish with - 12 ETF's x Price Multiplier + Halving = WHY NOT $1 million yet?
Take it easy and see you on the next post.
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Bitcoin Dominance at key levelBitcoing dominance at a critical level now. If BTC.D break upper line with weekly candle, BTC will pump more and BTC will make a new ATH in 2024.
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Ethereum Waiting For A Great EntryAs seen on the chart, ETH has been trading alongside two strong bullish supports over the course of the last two years.
Personally, I'm waiting for a better entry before considering a near-term long swing entry, trade is on the chart.
These supports have historically held strong, so chances are that they will continue to do so. Keeping the TP close to reduce risk.
A riskier bet would be to put the TP at 5.000, higher risk and also higher reward.