Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis: Navigating Key Levels Amid Market News🔍Bitcoin (BTC) is responding to significant market events. Here's a detailed analysis to guide your trading decisions.
📆Coin of the Day: Bitcoin (BTC)
About the Project:
Bitcoin is the first and most widely recognized cryptocurrency, often referred to as digital gold. It operates on a decentralized network without a central authority, using blockchain technology to facilitate secure and transparent transactions.
🧩Technical Analysis
4-Hour Timeframe
This analysis focuses on shorter-term trends, identifying critical levels and potential scenarios.
📉Support and Resistance:
Key Supports:
66,208.06
64,616.89
62,450.00
Key Resistances:
70,108.93
73,305.41 (Major Supply Zone)
📈Bullish Scenario:
Supply Zone Test: BTC is currently within a significant supply zone (70,108.93 to 73,305.41). A break above this zone could indicate strong bullish momentum.
Targets: Key resistance levels to watch are 70,108.93 and 73,305.41. Breaking above 73,305.41 could signal a continuation of the uptrend.
📉Bearish Scenario:
Break Below Key Support: If BTC fails to hold above 66,208.06, it could signal a bearish reversal.
Targets: The next support levels are at 64,616.89 and 62,450.00.
📊Volume and RSI:
Volume Analysis: Recent volume spikes suggest increasing interest, which is critical for sustaining upward momentum.
RSI Analysis:
Current RSI: 41.09, indicating neutral momentum. Key RSI levels to watch are 55.29 for resistance and 41.09 for support.
💡Key Triggers:
For Long Positions:
Entry Trigger: Break and hold above 70,108.93.
Strategy: Open a position on the hold of this level, targeting 73,305.41. Use tight stop-loss orders to manage risk.
For Short Positions:
Entry Trigger: Break and retest below 66,208.06.
Strategy: Open a position if the price confirms a break below this level, targeting 64,616.89 and 62,450.00. Adjust stop-loss orders accordingly.
📉Market News Impact
Upcoming News: The U.S. interest rate and inflation data are expected today. These macroeconomic factors can have a significant impact on Bitcoin's price.
Interest Rate Decision: A higher interest rate might lead to a stronger USD and potential bearish pressure on BTC.
Inflation Data: Higher inflation rates could increase demand for Bitcoin as a hedge, potentially driving the price up.
👨💻Trading Positions
Long Position
Entry Trigger: Hold above 70,108.93 with confirmation from RSI and volume.
Strategy: Open a position on the hold of this level, targeting 73,305.41. Use tight stop-loss orders to manage risk.
Short Position
Entry Trigger: Break and retest below 66,208.06.
Strategy: Open a position if the price confirms a break below this level, targeting 64,616.89 and 62,450.00. Adjust stop-loss orders accordingly.
📝Bitcoin is currently navigating key levels amidst significant macroeconomic news. Traders should closely monitor these levels and the impact of the U.S. interest rate and inflation data. Volume and RSI trends will provide additional insights into momentum shifts.
🧠💼Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
🫶If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
Btc-bitcoin
$BTC price hours before FEDAfter forming Wyckoff's distribution pattern, #bitcoin price lost the trend support and now likely to test the trendline resistance zone (formerly support). There' ll be 2 powerful technical analysis scenario:
1- This dump to 66 - 67K will be remembered just a deviation, CPI and inflation rate will be positive and #btc will reclaim the trendline. So, distribution pattern will be longed or even invalidated later. Reclaiming 69.3K will be very important.
2- #btcusdt will have a bearish retest, price declination will make the distribution pattern fully play out and #btcusdt discover a price deeper low.
Not financial advice. DYOR.
BTCUSDT#BTC #Bitcoin Chart Update: We've reached an important support level and are poised to move upwards from here. There's no reason to panic sell at a loss. When looking at Bitcoin liquidations over 3-day, 7-day, and 1-month periods, we see significant amounts of liquidity, amounting to billions of dollars, accumulating around the 71k level. Almost all indicators and data point to an upward trend. We can position ourselves accordingly.
Bitcoin On-Chain: Is The Cycle Over Already?In this analysis I want to discuss a (most likely) unpopular view on the market. Namely, that the "cycle" is already over and that the peak is in for now.
Preface
This is not my most likely outcome for the markets. You can find my most likely outcome below:
Still, it's always advised to keep an open mind and explore different potential outcomes.
Overview
When we look at the last 7-8 years of Bitcoin's newly created addresses we can see that this value follows a clear boom-and-bust pattern. It peaks (green) during mania when everyone wants to step into the market and it declines after the market has topped (red).
For the people who are wondering about the November 2021 peak: on-chain data peaked in Q1-2021.
What this chart suggests is that the "mania" phase of the market cycle is over and that the top is either in or very close. Once the mania phase is over, crazy gains are more rare and trading is more difficult.
I'm interested to hear your thoughts on this idea. Like I said, it's not my most likely outcome, but it's possible that we've topped after the ETF mania.
HelenP. I Bitcoin can rebound up higher than trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. A not long time ago price rebounded from the trend line and reached the support level, which coincided with the support zone and even rose higher than this level, but soon it turned around and fell back to the trend line. After this movement, BTC made a strong impulse up from the trend line, thereby breaking 66800 and 71100 levels, after which turned around and started to decline inside the triangle. Soon, the price broke the 71100 level one more time and fell to the support level, after which rebounded and rose to the resistance line of a triangle pattern. But soon, Bitcoin fell to the trend line and then made impulse up to the resistance zone, exiting from the triangle and breaking the resistance level again. Then price some time traded in the resistance zone, after which turned around and dropped to the trend line first, and recently broke this line and fell to the support level. For this case, I expect that BTCUSDT will turn around and start to grow to the trend line. When the price reaches this line, BTC can break it, make a retest, and continue to move up, therefore I set my goal at 69600 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTC: Bullish market structure. Support retest before the rally Bitcoin is declining as localized negative sentiment prevails in the market.
A small shakeout and liquidation will allow the big player to gather liquidity faster before further growth
I'm keeping an eye on areas such as:
Rising support line
Support 64589
Support 66500
Strong moves are much easier to stop than if price approaches support slowly. Accordingly, the most probable scenario is a rebound in the form of a false breakdown
These zones are a pool of huge liquidity and a false breakdown could be formed at the low before price heads towards 71566 with a view to breakout and further rise towards 80K
(BTC) bitcoinnot sure what I created here; the indicator line shows slope information that leads before the price increases in the future. may have something to do with the halving and reduction in BTC. the green line decreases as the price grows in the same way a previous chart prices look smaller as the price reaches higher. the only difference here is that the graph lines are happening before the price of BTC peaks, odd. ...now I have to wait to see if the indicator line changes dramatically ahead of the price of BTC...
NOT → "DUMP" and 0.015 or false breakdown and 0.04?BINANCE:NOTUSDT looks strong both fundamentally and technically, but the hourly timeframe is forming the preconditions for a “Dump” of the coin before a possible further rise.
Since the opening (not counting the listing day), the coin has strengthened quite strongly without much pullbacks, which has created a rather large imbalance. In addition, there is a clear “Dump” scenario, where first the coin was pumped up to 450% and now it can be dumped in order to collect liquidity at the expense of traders who caught up with the outgoing train.
At the moment all the attention is on the area of 0.02-0.0199. There are two possible scenarios regarding the level and everything depends on the market reaction and traders' behavior. Either it will be a breakout and liquidation, or a false breakdown with the subsequent continuation of growth to the liquidity zones.
Support levels: 0.0199, 0.185
Resistance levels: 0.023, 0.0253
Volumes, investments are growing, but the coin cannot grow all the time. The market needs energy and whales may eat some buyers in order to form long positions at more favorable prices. We are watching the specified zone of 0.0199.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin is still holding at the daily support levelBitcoin is still holding at the daily support level, indicating strong buying interest and stability at this price point. We expect it to move upwards with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, suggesting that the potential gains outweigh the risks involved. The key level to watch is the daily resistance at $70,500, which Bitcoin aims to break.
-------------------------------------------
This week is a crucial one for Bitcoin.
Wednesday: CPI index will be released.
Thursday: Federal fund rate announcement.
A significant volume of trades is awaiting these decisions.
Currently, the price is moving close to the 2020 ATH (All-Time High). If the news is positive, the price could reach the high liquidity zone of $74,000 and potentially $80,000, where a substantial amount of liquidity ($10 billion) has accumulated.
Bitcoin 2020 vs 2024Hello, me dear-dear friends! Today, I have prepared a comparison chart of Bitcoin's price formation in 2020 and 2024 for You.
We can see a very interesting pattern on the chart! Specifically, after forming a triangle, the price broke upwards and then halted its ascent, starting to accumulate right at the support level.
That's an excellent signal, in my opinion.🚀
In the near future, we might see either reduced volatility in the market or a sharp upward surge, depending on market sentiment!🤞
Yesterday's chart is also useful, and I highly recommend You check it out :)
Thanks for Your attention and interest in my work🫶
Sincerely Yours, Kateryna
Navigating Crypto Bull Run 2024-2025Hello, Skyrexians!
While Bitcoin is locked inside the price range between 60k and 70k, altcoins look dead. While we saw fantastic rally for Bitcoin, Ethereum, Binance coin and other largest altcoins, most of crypto assets are still testing the bottom. This price actions can disappoint even best crypto traders. People usually trading cryptocurrency for profit, but now even if you bought altcoins at the bottom you have a very small profit.
In March 2024 most of crypto trading strategies predicted the further pump, but instead of this we can see -60% drop for most of crypto coins. Even most of trading bot strategies faced with huge losses during last 3 month. During the bullish phase the best decision is to use grid trading bot, but this time price went out from the grid bot trading range, therefore even automated trading bots faced with losses.
In our opinion such shakeout was needed because of excessive optimism on the crypto market. People needs to be disappointed and sell their crypto before the true bull run. Now it’s happening, we will show you our thoughts about crypto market and will try to analyze what is coming next.
Bitcoin analysis
As it usually happens Bitcoin started moving up first. It’s bull run started at the beginning of 2023. We will analyze 1W time frame. Awesome Oscillator and Alligator showing us that Bitcoin is still in global wave 3 because of it’s maximum value. Moreover AO still has not crossed zero line. It means that there are a lot of time before bull market will be finished.
We predict the wave 3 finish in the upcoming 1-2 months with the price target approximately at $80k. Let’s use this target to predict the further scenario. We have the super confident target for the wave 4. It’s inside the range between 0.38 and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement for the wave 3. It’s inside the range $54-61k. Moreover, lower degree wave 4 has been finished there. When price will reach this zone, for bullish reversal bar and AO crosses zero line, it can be the strong sign that global wave 4 is finished.
Assuming that wave 4 will be finished in this zone we can predict the target for the wave 5. We have to take the distance from wave 1 bottom the wave 3 top and measure it from wave 4 bottom. This is the maximum target for the wave 5 and the entire bull run, at $115k. The minimal target is 0.61 from this distance, approximately at $92k. Anyway, this wave shall be printed in conjunction with the AO bearish divergence to kill this bull trend.
Taking into account that wave 4 can be very long in terms of time this bull run will be finished in the middle of 2025.
Bitcoin Dominance
Bitcoin is moving clear, but what with altcoins? The key chart for altcoins is the BTC Dominance chart. Every time we see huge drop on it, massive alt seasons happen.
You can say that this is not a real asset and it’s impossible to predict it’s value, but all these movements is the trader’s psychology. Therefore we can use classical TA tools here. BTC Dominance now is inside the target area 0.5-0.61 Fibonacci. There is a high chance that massive dump will start from here. This time it can break 40% and finally reach 24%. We believe that this time this decrease can be on the real Bitcoin’s dump. Large players have a huge gains on Bitcoin and they need to distribute liquidity to take profit, that’s why alt seasons usually happens. We predict the altseason start in the upcoming 2 months.
Cardano (ADA) analysis
Let’s move on to altcoins analysis and start with the old assets ADA. It has enough history to make a price prediction. Previous bear market bottom was at $0.02, this time it has reached $0.2. You can say it’s 10x from the bottom, how it will go up?
We can conclude that ADA is the uptrend crypto asset because it’s making higher lows from cycle to cycle. Therefore the previous bull run could be just the wave 1. Global wave 2 finished with the bullish divergence with AO on the weekly time frame and after that we have seen this local rally. This rally is just the wave 1 of the new bull run and current dump is just a correction to it. For sure we need more disappointment, that’s why we expect more sideways in the current range. When everybody will be disappointed the huge wave 3 starts. It has two targets: $3.3 and $5.2 if this bull run will be extended.
Cosmos (ATOM) analysis
The main question of the day is why such fundamentally strong asset like ATOM is still at the bottom, while meme coins made 10x. For sure it was a huge mistake, but as we can see now people hate such assets like ATOM. They want to buy Solana or PEPE instead and it’s good sign for ATOM holders. We make our predictions based only on charts and this chart is also telling us about bull run is coming.
ATOM is also making higher lows from cycle to cycle. The main difference with ADA is that Cosmos has printed shortened wave 5. First bullish wave finished in March and now price is finishing wave 2. Wave 3 will start suddenly when nobody believe it that. We suppose in September will be huge gains on fundamental projects. Minimal target is $49, maximum one is $77 according to 1 and 1.61 Fibonacci extensions.
Polkadot (DOT) analysis
The last crypto asset for today is DOT. It has almost the same pattern like previous two assets. Wave 5 of bear market was not shortened here that’s why we have seen rally more than for ATOM.
Previous bear market bottom has been reached much lower that in the current cycle. In our opinion the first wave of the new bull run has been already printed ad current disappointing wave 2 is trying to persuade people to sell their assets.
After 1-2 month of consolidation and may be making lower lows locally we will see the huge push the the upside. The minimal target is $56, maximum equals $89.
Conclusion
Most of altcoins are in the huge accumulation which lasts for almost two years. In the previous bear market was almost the same time before significant gains. For sure this time can be different and may be it’s time to die for altcoins, but Elliott Waves analysis reflects perfectly the crowd’s mood. If now we can see still a lot of optimism, if price will continue sideways they disappoint.
Overall, we can see now two groups of traders. The first one is still bullish, the second one is waiting for new lows below the current consolidation to enter the market. We suppose that both major groups shall be fooled, market maker will not allow assets to dump that much, but at the same time he will not pump it before most of bulls sell their assets.
Best regards,
Skyrex Team
Bitcoin #BTC Current Phase Targets ]In the name of Allah, the Most Gracious, the Most Merciful,
📈 **Bitcoin #BTC**
🎯 **Current Phase Objectives**
🔑 **Condition:** A **breakthrough at $72,558** is required before the dates of **16~28 / Jun**
📊 **Phase Target:** By God's will, aiming for an upward trend to **$90,594**
🔍 The targets are clear and defined. The outlook changes from bullish to bearish if these dates are reached before the breakthrough or if a drop below **$56,522** occurs.
💖 May success be granted by Allah
FILUSDT → Waiting for the Rally. Potential target 11.8BINANCE:FILUSDT may move from the consolidation phase to the realization phase. The coin has 70% potential, which in general may give a chance to renew ATH. The bullish trend may get its continuation.
On D1 a break through the resistance of consolidation is formed. Bulls are starting to realize their scenario. The focus is on 6.808. The break of the resistance and price fixation above this area may provoke a large volume of purchases, which will only strengthen the rally. At the same time, bitcoin is saving up to continue its growth on the background of increasing interest in the cryptocurrency market. If bitcoin starts to kick off, it could generally favor the coin, which already (locally) looks stronger)
Resistance levels: 6.808, 8.120
Support levels: 5.666, trend support
I expect a retest of 6.808 followed by a breakout, which will only strengthen buying. If this scenario is followed, we can reach interesting targets, such as 9.34 - 11.8.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin Timeline- i always said that this bullrun looks much more as 2015 - 2018.
- 2019 - 2022 BearMarket was disrupted by Covid.
- Double top ATH (end 2021) was combined with a large divergence.
- Consider that the first 2021 ATH was the real one.
- this graphic is not a price prediction but you can consider it as almanac.
- if story repeats next ATH would be before end of 2025.
- 2026 BearMarket will back.
- Check Columns + dates.
- Compare.
- Deduct.
Happy Tr4Ding!
$BTC looks bearish#btc #bitcoin price didn't cross the major resistance area at 72K and then heavily dumped. Thus, a bearish double top has been formed. Short term bounces may be necessary but the continuation is bearish. In lower time frame, #btcusd is moving in the ascending channel.
By the way #gold and #silver heavily dumped, too. It seems rumors have been sold and the news will arrive.
Not financial advice.