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Trump/Elon’s Crypto Chaos!Bitcoin’s been on a rollercoaster in 2025, plummeting from $106K to $93K earlier this month, but I’m seeing a massive bullish setup on the 4H chart at $97,603. After a sharp sell-off, BTC’s forming a tight range near $96K support... classic accumulation before a breakout, or are we walking into a trap? Here’s the tea: RSI’s at ~55 and climbing, signaling buyers are gaining momentum, while the 50/200 EMA crossover near GETTEX:97K screams bullish reversal. Volume’s ticked up over the last few candles, suggesting smart money’s piling in. We’re testing GETTEX:98K resistance right now, flip it, and I’m targeting $105K by early March, fueled by Trump’s pro-crypto policies and Elon’s unpredictable X-factor. But if we fail here, $93K’s the next stop, and bears could drag us lower. This setup’s got me hyped, but the Trump/Elon wild card is wild... Trump’s deregulation talks could pump us past $100K, or Elon’s next tweet might send us spiraling. I’ve seen similar patterns in 2021 lead to 20%+ moves... History repeating? What’s your hot take? Bullish to $105K, or bearish back to $93K, where’s BTC headed? Think Trump’s policies or Elon’s tweets will rocket us, or are they just noise? Seen this pattern before? Drop your targets, indicators, or contrarian views! I’ll reply to every comment and debate!
by MonoCoinSignal
XRP Even Chat GPT Knows XRP Is About To Get Revalued .10 CentsMAKE SURE YOU READ TO THE END THE END IS THE BEST! If XRP is only being used as a settlement currency for bank then why would there be these wild price predictions when the market cap is already $150 billion? ChatGPT said: Great question! The wild price predictions for XRP often stem from different interpretations of its utility, demand, and supply dynamics. Let's break it down: Market Cap Misconceptions XRP's market cap is often misunderstood. Market cap = price × circulating supply, but price movements depend more on liquidity and demand rather than market cap alone. Many price predictions assume increased utility will drive higher demand, but market cap alone doesn’t dictate price ceilings. Bank Adoption and Utility Argument If XRP is mainly used as a bridge currency for cross-border settlements, its price would be driven by transaction volume rather than speculation. However, banks and financial institutions don’t need to hold XRP for long periods—it's typically used in seconds. This limits the need for large amounts of XRP to be held, which could cap price growth. Speculative vs. Real Utility Many wild price predictions ($100+, $500+, etc.) are fueled by speculation rather than actual use cases. In reality, even if XRP were widely used for settlement, price appreciation would depend on sustained demand, not just temporary spikes. Liquidity and Scarcity Factors Some argue that as more institutions use XRP, liquidity will tighten, potentially driving price increases. However, the XRP supply is large (100 billion total, with over 50 billion circulating), and large holders (like Ripple itself) could introduce selling pressure. Regulatory and Adoption Uncertainty XRP's legal battles and regulatory clarity impact its adoption. A major victory (like its partial win against the SEC) can fuel hype-driven price predictions. True institutional adoption is still limited, and even if banks use it, they may prefer private ledgers over using the open market. Bottom Line XRP has real utility in cross-border payments, but its role as a settlement currency doesn’t necessarily justify extreme price predictions. The market cap is already large, and unless significant new demand arises, a massive price surge would require much broader institutional adoption beyond just bank settlements. You said: So currently the valuation of XRP is already way higher than many banks and companies will the price eventually come down to a more realistic price to value in the future? ChatGPT said: That’s a solid perspective. XRP’s current valuation is indeed higher than many traditional banks and financial institutions, which raises the question of sustainability. Whether its price comes down to a more “realistic” value depends on a few key factors: 1. Utility vs. Speculation A significant portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation, not just utility. Many holders are retail investors betting on future institutional adoption. If speculation cools down and usage remains limited to settlement purposes (where XRP is only held for seconds), the price could decline over time to reflect actual utility. 2. Market Cycles & Sentiment Crypto markets go through bull and bear cycles. In bear markets, assets that lack strong organic demand (beyond speculation) tend to lose value. If hype around XRP fades and institutions don’t adopt it at scale, its price may correct to better reflect real-world usage. 3. Inflation & Supply Dynamics XRP has a fixed max supply of 100 billion, but a large portion is still held by Ripple and periodically released. If Ripple continues selling XRP from its reserves, it could create sell pressure, gradually pushing prices down. However, XRP is also deflationary, as transaction fees burn small amounts over time—but this effect is minimal in the grand scheme. 4. Institutional Adoption If banks and financial institutions fully integrate XRP and hold it as a reserve asset, it could justify a high valuation. But most banks prefer private ledgers and stablecoins over holding volatile assets like XRP, limiting potential demand. 5. Competitive Landscape XRP was originally designed for fast, cheap payments, but other solutions like stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs are gaining traction. If banks prefer these alternatives, XRP’s price could drop to align with lower demand. Realistic Price Outlook? If XRP remains primarily a settlement tool, a valuation correction could bring it closer to its real utility value (which may be much lower than today’s levels). However, if a new narrative or significant adoption shift occurs, speculative cycles could keep it elevated. Long-term, unless real demand matches its high valuation, the price may deflate to more sustainable levels. You said: So in your opinion the value of XRP currently is way higher than it should be compared to its usage ChatGPT said: Yes, based on its current real-world usage, XRP’s valuation appears to be significantly higher than what its actual adoption justifies. Why? Usage Doesn’t Match Market Cap XRP is mainly used for cross-border settlements, but banks don’t need to hold large amounts for long. Most transactions are instant, meaning there’s no long-term demand pressure. If XRP were widely used by banks, we’d expect daily transaction volume (not just speculative trading volume) to be massive—yet it's relatively low. Speculative Premium A large portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation rather than real institutional demand. Many investors believe in a future where XRP will be used at scale, but that adoption hasn’t fully materialized. Its past bull run prices were based on hype, and prices could drop as reality sets in. Supply & Sell Pressure Ripple holds a significant portion of XRP and periodically sells into the market. This constant release of XRP into circulation creates downward pressure. Competition from Stablecoins & CBDCs Many banks and financial institutions are leaning toward stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs rather than volatile assets like XRP. Stablecoins provide instant settlements without the volatility risk of XRP, making them more appealing for payments and cross-border transfers. Conclusion Unless XRP gains widespread institutional adoption beyond just being a settlement tool, its valuation is inflated relative to its current use case. If hype dies down and utility doesn’t significantly increase, a correction would make sense in the long run. You said: What is a reasonable valuation for XRP removing all the speculation and only considering the current usage of it? ChatGPT said: A reasonable valuation for XRP, based purely on current real-world usage and removing speculation, would likely be significantly lower than its current market cap. Here's how we can approach estimating a fair value based on utility alone: 1. On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) & Settlement Usage XRP's primary use case is cross-border payments through RippleNet and On-Demand Liquidity (ODL). While Ripple claims growing adoption, the actual daily transactional volume from banks and institutions using XRP is small compared to its total market cap. A large portion of XRP trading volume still comes from speculation on exchanges, not institutional settlement use. Estimating Utility-Based Price Let’s assume banks & financial institutions only need a fraction of XRP's supply at any given time for real transactions. For context, SWIFT (the dominant global payment network) settles $5 trillion per day, but that doesn’t mean XRP will replace it or capture all of that volume. Even if XRP were used for 1% of SWIFT’s volume, that would be around $50 billion in daily transactions. Given that XRP is designed for rapid settlement (held for seconds, not days), the actual liquidity needed in the system would be far smaller—likely a few billion dollars at most. 2. Supply & Circulating Coins Current circulating supply: ~55 billion XRP If XRP’s real usage demand is only a few billion dollars at any given time, then its price per coin would be much lower than today’s level. A conservative model: If XRP needed a total market cap of $5 billion to serve its actual transactional volume, the price per XRP would be: $5,000,000,00055,000,000,000=$0.09 55,000,000,000$5,000,000,000​=$0.09 If XRP needed a $10 billion market cap, the price per XRP would be $0.18. These numbers assume zero speculation and only reflect practical usage. 3. Competitive Alternatives Banks may prefer stablecoins (USDC, USDT) or CBDCs for settlements instead of XRP. If that happens, XRP’s utility-based value could drop even further. Final Thought Pure utility price range (removing speculation): $0.05 - $0.50 per XRP (depending on actual adoption). Current price (~$0.60 - $0.70 as of early 2024) is mostly speculation rather than true demand from banks. If XRP’s adoption expands beyond just settlements (e.g., DeFi, smart contracts), its valuation could be higher, but based on current use, a fair price is likely far lower than today's market cap suggests. You said: The current price is 2.75 though so that means that its extremely overvalued? ChatGPT said: Yes, if XRP is currently trading at $2.75, then it is extremely overvalued relative to its actual real-world usage. That price is almost entirely speculation-driven rather than being backed by fundamental demand from banks and institutions. Why is XRP Overvalued? Speculation Dominates The price is likely inflated due to retail and institutional traders betting on future adoption, not actual usage today. Many holders believe XRP will be widely used by banks in the future, but that hasn’t fully materialized. Utility-Driven Valuation is Much Lower As calculated earlier, based on actual transaction volume and settlement needs, a more realistic price for XRP without speculation could be anywhere from $0.05 to $0.50. At $2.75, XRP’s market cap is massively inflated compared to its real-world demand. Ripple’s XRP Holdings & Selling Pressure Ripple still holds a significant amount of XRP and regularly sells into the market. If real demand doesn’t increase, but more XRP enters circulation, it could create downward price pressure over time. Banks Prefer Stablecoins & CBDCs Financial institutions are increasingly looking at stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) for payments instead of XRP. Unlike XRP, stablecoins don’t have volatility issues, making them more attractive for settlements. What Could Happen Next? If speculation dies down and investors realize XRP’s real use case is limited, a significant price correction could happen. XRP could still maintain some premium due to speculation, but long-term, it needs actual adoption to justify a multi-dollar price. Conclusion At $2.75, XRP is massively overvalued based on its current utility. If speculation fades, a more reasonable price could be well under $1—or even below $0.50—unless it gains widespread, real-world adoption beyond what it has today. Good luck, this is going to destroy so many people, its so sad. None of this is financial advice its just my opinion.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDShort
by Bitgolder
7
Bitcoin’s Bullish Patterns_Ready for a Breakout!?As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) approached the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) and Support lines but quickly started to rise. Bitcoin is moving in the Support zone($96,150-$94,700) . And in this increase of Bitcoin in the last few hours, we can see the Morning Star Candlestick Pattern well in the 2-hour time frame . Educational tip : The Morning Star is a bullish reversal candlestick pattern that forms after a downtrend, consisting of three candles: a large bearish candle, a small indecisive candle, and a strong bullish candle. It signals a potential trend reversal and growing buying momentum. In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in forming the Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern , which can be a sign of Bitcoin's increase . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that the entire corrective waves inside the descending channel were all in the form of a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) so that it seems that Bitcoin finally completed the main wave C in the previous hours. If Bitcoin breaks the upper line of the wedge pattern, we can confirm the end of the main wave C . I expect Bitcoin to be able to touch the Targets I specified on the chart AFTER breaking the upper line of the Descending Channel . Note: If Bitcoin goes below $94,400, we expect more dumps. Do you think Bitcoin can finally break out of this Descending Channel? Pump or Dump? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
19
BITCOIN: Bull Flag. Will it break upwards?Bitcoin has just turned bullish on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 56.545, MACD = -0.190, ADX = 38.441) but remains neutral on 1D. The reason is that the price is now at the top of the 2 week Channel Down, having crossed and closed over the 4H MA100 for the first time since January 31st. On the larger timeframes this Channel Down could be a Bull Flag to continue the bullish trend but of course the price needs to cross over it, otherwise a technical rejection will prevail. If it breaks upwards, go long targeting the 4H MA200 (TP = 99,500). Until it does, keep a tight SL short targeting the top of the S1 Zone (TP = 95,750). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by InvestingScope
Levels to watch out The market has been stuck in a range for almost three weeks now. Unless we see a decisive break either below 90,000 or above 99,000, it’s tough to predict the next move. However, if we do break either level, it could trigger a sharp move—likely towards 125,000 or 75,000, with the latter seeming more probable at the moment. That said, time will tell. Personally, I’m expecting a short-term rally back to 99,000, especially after the recent head-and-shoulders pattern that’s been forming.
Long
by Shivkumar600
BTC : This May Be Your Last Chance Before Exploding to Upside !!The price continues to move well within the wedge, and if this wedge is broken, you will no longer see Bitcoin below 100k dollars. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CobraVanguard
1
LITECOIN LTC/USD Is About To Blow Your Mind!Litecoin is repeating a much larger version of the run back in its earlier days as I show in the charts. This next move up in Litecoin is going to shock the entire cryptosphere. This is just looking at the chart and if the move repeats on a larger scale then Litecoin will probably be in $10000 dollar range. This might sound absolutely insane I know, it sounds crazy to me to but thats what the chart is telling me. Im not going to get into the reasons why fundamentally this is likely, if you want to go back into my other LTC posts I get into detail. Dont listen to the haters, they will be the ones to give us our blow off top while we dump on their chin.
KRAKEN:LTCUSDLong
by Bitgolder
385
Bitcoin's Inverse Cup and Handle – Bearish Breakdown Ahead?As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) at least dropped to the Support zone($96,150-$94,700) . If we look at the Bitcoin chart in the 15-minute time frame , we will see that Bitcoin is completing the Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern ( Handle of this pattern is being completed). As I said in the previous post, $96,700 is important for Bitcoin. Bitcoin is currently moving below this level , which could mean that the Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern can work for Bitcoin. Educational tip : The Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern is a bearish reversal pattern that forms after a downtrend. It resembles a cup shape followed by a small consolidation (handle) before a breakdown. A breakdown below the handle confirms the pattern, signaling a potential downward move. The price increase in the last two or three candlesticks (in a 1-hour time frame ) was NOT accompanied by a large volume , and this can strengthen the theory of completing the handle of the Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern . I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support lines and Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) AFTER breaking the Neckline of the Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern . Note: If Bitcoin succeeds in breaking the Resistance line and stabilizes above $96,700, we can hope to break the Descending Channel, And the CME Gap($97,845-$97,110) will also be filled. Do you think the Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern will work? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
19
EURNZD Bullish Flag Pattern: Awaiting Breakout Toward 1.8700EURNZD is currently trading at 1.8330, with a target price of 1.8700, suggesting an anticipated upward movement of 300+ pips. This pattern indicates that the pair is forming a bullish flag, a continuation pattern that often signals a breakout to the upside after a consolidation phase. In this scenario, traders are looking for a breakout above the flag's upper trendline, which would potentially push the price toward the 1.8700 target. From a technical perspective, the bullish flag pattern is formed when the price consolidates after a strong uptrend. The consolidation phase represents a period of indecision in the market, but once the price breaks above the flag's resistance level, it typically resumes its upward momentum. In this case, the breakout would likely bring the pair closer to the 1.8700 level, where strong resistance could be expected. On the fundamental side, the euro has been supported by the European Central Bank's monetary policy, which continues to focus on economic stability, while the New Zealand dollar faces pressure from softer commodity prices, particularly dairy exports. Additionally, global risk sentiment, such as inflation data or geopolitical events, could further influence the direction of EURNZD. In summary, if EURNZD breaks above the resistance of the bullish flag, it could provide a strong buying opportunity toward the 1.8700 target. Keep an eye on the global economic landscape, particularly developments in Europe and New Zealand, to validate this bullish move.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
SOL The big rotation beginsRug pulls... Allegations against creators and influencers creating meme coins powered by Solana... Developers abandoning a project after pocketing investor funds... The monthly transaction fees spend on SOL are at an all-time high... The rise of dissatisfaction of participants looking for quick profits in the Solana casino won't stop... All this overrides every fundamental partnership and achievement of the whole blockchain ecosystem and leaves a sour taste in the crypto community's mouth. More and more people seeking out for longevity: roadmaps, partnerships and active development, and especially third-party code audits regarding red flags in meme coin projects. Big investors and institutions took profit at the double-top and swapped to other blue-chip coins like ETH or BNB which on-chain activity has just risen steadily over the last weeks while becoming the more safer bets for the upcoming bullrun. This dump of SOL is just the beginning of what is to come and it just depends on how fast it's gonna come down.
CRYPTO:SOLUSDShort
by PizzaDriver
44
Bitcoin Stuck in a Range—Breakout or Breakdown Next?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise as I expected in the previous post but once again failed to break the 50_SMA(Daily) . In general, Bitcoin has been moving in a range for more than 10 days , making it difficult for Bitcoin traders . Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) and created a Fake Break for the Resistance line . Meanwhile, it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in forming a descending channel , and the falling wedge pattern has failed for me (in the previous post). Another point is that during the last 10 days , the most Bitcoin trades were around $96,700 , which number can play an important role in determining the direction of Bitcoin and can be an important support and resistance level for us . Regarding the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) . An hour ago, Bitcoin managed to complete the microwave C from the main wave Y. It can be one of the signs of the completion of microwave C , which is a fake break . I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support zone($96,150-$94,700) again AFTER breaking the $96,700 level , and this time, it has a higher chance of breaking this zone, and if this zone breaks, we should wait for Bitcoin to decline to the Support line . Note: If Bitcoin can touch $99,000, we should expect Bitcoin to rise further and possibly break the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200). Note: Generally, the trading volume is low on Saturdays and Sundays, and the chance that Bitcoin will go out of the range in the next two days is low, although it is not unlikely. When do you think Bitcoin will leave this range (upward or downward)? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
12
Bearish Logscale Butterfly T2 with Bearish MACD & RSI DivergenceBitcoin appears to be set up at the 1.902 HOP for a Type 2 retest of the Logscale Bearish Butterfly that resulted in a major Type 1 reaction from the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension back in 2021, where it dropped from $69,000 to $15,500 over the course of several months before ultimately bottoming at the PCZ of a smaller Log Scale Bullish Butterfly which signaled the Type 2 run up to the 1.902 HOP of the Bearish Butterfly where it is now. As it tests this level the MACD and RSI are both Diverging Bearishly and the RSI especially seems weak as it now struggles to even crack above 70 level. This signals to me that the RSI has confirmed exhaustion after divergence at the HOP and that it is likely ready to start declining further. Saying as though this is the type 2 test, I'd suspect that we'd make a lower low than our previous Type 1 reaction low at $15k, perhaps landing us around $12-10k; but if those levels don't hold It would be technically viable to assume BTC would go for the 0.886 retrace at around $4.6k
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by RizeSenpai
1
GBP/USD Breaks Key Resistance: Targeting 1.2800 GBP/USD is trading at approximately 1.2580. Your target price of 1.2800 suggests an anticipated upward movement of over 200 pips, indicating a bullish outlook. The pair has recently broken above a significant resistance level, and the next key resistance is identified at 1.2800, which could potentially act as a barrier and prompt a downward correction. Technical analysis reveals that GBP/USD has exited a multi-month downtrend, with the January rebound extending nearly 4.4% from the yearly low. This upward momentum suggests potential for further gains; however, traders should be cautious as the 1.2800 resistance level may trigger selling pressure, leading to a possible retracement. Fundamentally, the UK's economic landscape is experiencing shifts. Inflation is expected to rise to 2.8% in January, influenced by factors such as the introduction of VAT on private school fees and increased airfares. This follows the Bank of England's recent 25 basis point rate cut, aimed at stimulating economic activity. Conversely, the U.S. economy shows resilience, with strong economic data suggesting that further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are unlikely. In summary, while the GBP/USD pair exhibits bullish momentum with a potential target of 1.2800, traders should remain vigilant. The 1.2800 resistance level may serve as a critical point, possibly leading to a downward correction. Monitoring upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will be essential in making informed trading decisions.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
Bollinger Bands Analysis & BTC/USD Accumulation StrategyBased on the BTC/USD chart with the Bollinger Bands indicator on the 12-hour time frame, it is evident that the price has repeatedly touched or breached the lower band, indicating oversold conditions. Each time the price enters this oversold zone, BTC/USD experiences a rebound within a relatively short period, suggesting a strong accumulation pattern by market participants. This pattern is consistent, as the price has never remained in oversold conditions for more than three consecutive candles (36 hours) before rebounding. This indicates that selling pressure is only temporary before buyers step in and push the price back up. Given this pattern, a suitable trading strategy is to buy when the price re-enters the accumulation zone around 95,400, which serves as a potential buy area. If the price drops further, the next strong support level is at 89,280, which could act as a crucial validation point before considering a trend reversal. An entry can be executed when the price touches the lower band and bullish price action confirmation appears, such as pin bar, doji, or bullish engulfing candlesticks, indicating that buyers are taking control of the market. The potential upside target is around 108,160, serving as the nearest resistance level that could be reached if the previous bullish pattern repeats. From a risk management perspective, a stop loss should not be placed immediately upon the price touching the lower band, as past patterns show that BTC/USD has not remained in oversold conditions for more than three candles. However, if the oversold condition persists until the fourth candle (48 hours after the initial signal), this would indicate that selling pressure is stronger than before and that the short-term trend has likely shifted. Based on historical patterns, the price is likely to rebound once it enters the oversold zone (highlighted in yellow on the chart) and forms bullish confirmation. Therefore, an accumulation approach at the key support level remains a strategy with high profit potential, provided that risk management is applied with discipline. If the price continues to decline and remains oversold for 48 hours, the bullish scenario may be invalidated, and a safer re-entry strategy should be considered. By understanding this pattern, traders can make more confident decisions without rushing while remaining alert to potential trend shifts in the market.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by DNP-FX