BTC/USDT: Correction to H1 Demand Zone? Multi-Timeframe Strategy🔹 H1 Context (Bullish):
- Demand zone (green) below Fib 0.5: Key support.
- Breakout (BOS) suggests bullish continuation *after possible correction*.
🔹 M5/M15 Situation (Short-Term):
- Price rejecting red zones (immediate resistance).
- Scenario 1 (Bearish):
→ If price respects red zones: Correction toward H1 demand ($103K).
→ Action: Short trades in M5/M15 targeting green zone.
- Scenario 2 (Bullish):
→ If red zones break: Confirmation of strength (new highs target).
🔹 Risk Management:
- Short entries: Rejection at M5/M15 red zones + M1 confirmation.
- TP: M15 lows ($103.5K) or H1 demand zone ($103K).
- SL: Close above red zones.
🔹 Technical Key:
- H2 Order Block as dynamic support: If respected, prevents drop to H1.
- Confluence: H1 demand + Fib 0.5 = High-probability area.
#BTC #Bitcoin #Trading #Crypto #H1 #M15 #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci
Btc-bitcoin
Maybe your biggest risk is your biggest chance !!!The price is currently forming the second corrective wave, and a slight price drop to reach higher levels is normal.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Market3I haven’t been posting much lately simply because there’s nothing particularly interesting to say, the market has been a bit dull.
2025 should be a strong year for altcoins, as they’ve been consistently suppressed. With BTC dominance reaching 64%, which is quite significant, all attention remains on Bitcoin.
On this chart, you can see that $1.17 trillion acted as a rejection level for the crypto market (excluding BTC and ETH). Time will tell, but I anticipate a $4 trillion altcoin bull market before the end of 2025.
Remember, Fibonacci plays a crucial role in long-term market predictions.
Invest wisely and at the right time.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Altcoins The Moon AwaitsLike always, everything is clearly outlined on the charts :
- As a trader, it's crucial to follow logic and technical analysis. If you get caught up in the news and listen to everyone on Twitter, you won't last long.
- The first major altcoin rally was in 2018, pushing the market to $300 billion. This level later acted as a key support throughout the 2022–2023 bear market.
- The last all-time high for the crypto market (excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum) reached $1.15 trillion in 2021. ( blue doted vertical line )
- This all-time high was retested in December 2024, with this ATH acting as strong resistance. ( second blue doted vertical line )
- The next move could be a breakout above this resistance. According to Fibonacci projections, the altcoin market has the potential to reach $4 trillion.
While the spotlight remains on Bitcoin and ETFs, altcoins could catch up with a sudden and powerful surge, so make sure you’re not left behind.
Hodl!
Happy Tr4Ding !
$BTC.D Dominance forecast: update May 2025📉 BTC Dominance (%BTC.D) Update – At Resistance, Altseason in the Balance
Back on April 5th, I published a forecast highlighting the critical 65% resistance level on BTC Dominance. That analysis still holds: BTC.D reached 65% and got rejected, pulling back to 62% as of now.
⚔️ What’s Happening?
Bitcoin dominance is compressing, and we're approaching a make-or-break moment:
🔹 Resistance confirmed at 65%
🔹 We bounced down to 62% — not up
🔹 Market is hesitating, and the next move will shape the short-term direction for alts
🔍 The Bigger Picture
Bitcoin pumped hard recently, mostly due to:
MACD reversal on the weekly
Oversold conditions now turning bullish
Renewed institutional interest in risk-on assets
But let’s be clear:
🚫 We’re not in a full altseason yet.
What we’re seeing is cautious altcoin rotation, not a blow-off alt rally.
📊 Tech Indicators
MACD: Overheated
RSI: Still has room to move up
So technically, BTC.D could still break out above 65% — but it hasn’t yet.
⚠️ What to Watch:
If BTC.D breaks out above 65%, expect:
➡️ Altcoin bloodbath
➡️ BTC.D could head toward 70%, crushing the mini-altseason
But if BTC.D continues to drop from here?
➡️ Altseason starts to heat up
🔮 Outlook
A true altseason might not arrive until September/October. For now, the market is stuck in a range of uncertainty.
Keep your eyes on:
BTC.D reaction at 62%–65%
TradFi stress (bond markets, macro fears)
Bitcoin strength and ETH/BTC ratio
🧠 Take profits when you can. Protect your capital.
📌 Follow me for future updates—and don’t forget to DYOR.
📎 Original forecast:
Bitcoin is bearish | stay cautious (1H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
We have been warning about a potential Bitcoin correction for some time. It appears that wave G has ended, and key levels have been lost. If the price reaches the red box, it is expected to be rejected downward.
The green zone is a relatively strong support area for Bitcoin, and we should closely watch this level.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC shell fall!!!?This is how i am looking at market...
I can see a bearish triangle pattern in 4hr chart, which shows that btc may go 109,000-109,800 to complete third spike, then it might fall, main Support level will be 107,000-106,890, if market breaks it successfully then BTC may show 102,000 or if btc respect it's support level, then market may touch all time high 114,000!!!.
Bitcoin is correcting to support. Possible growth to 110.000Bitcoin failed to hold above 110000, but at the same time the price is forming a flat. The support has not been tested yet (the cascade of orders below the level has not been touched) and within the uptrend the area of 106700 plays an important role.
Based on bitcoin is inside the flat you can consider trading between its boundaries.
Scenario: Within the current movement, the price is likely to form a retest of the 106700 support with the aim of liquidation and accumulation inside the flat. False break of support may attract buyers and in this case bitcoin may test 110000 again.
BTC OUT OF STEAM - $84.5 K Updating the BTC coverage. Was hoping to push thru directly to $132k, that did not happen. It looks more likely BTC will drop back to $84,500 before a resumption of trend can continue. There is a chance she can hold at $95,600 but currently not the best odds for that. A full dip looks to be coming. Take profits on BTC now.
BTCUSD: 1M turned overbought and that's not alarming at all! Bitcoin has turned bullish even on its 1M technical outlook (RSI = 70.030, MACD = 16,156.720, ADX = 38.100) but that's not a reason to expect any strong corrections as this is the part were it technically rises more during Bull Cycles. The basic structure of the Cycle is an Ascending Triangle which breaks when the parabolic rallies begin. Based on the ratio of the last two Cycles, the new rally should be around +130% from the top of the Ascending Triandle. That gives a $160,000 fair estimate as far as the Cycle top is concerned.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
BTC Trap & Reverse: The Power of SFPs in ActionBTC continues to chop in a tight range near its previous all-time high. While price action may appear messy at first glance, traders using a combination of structure, Fibonacci levels, and order flow tools are spotting clean opportunities — especially through Swing Failure Patterns (SFPs).
🔍 What Just Happened?
Bitcoin recently rejected from the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level — a classic reaction zone. What made this move powerful was the SFP that formed at that level. Price swept above a prior high, triggering breakout buys, only to reverse. This type of move traps late longs and offers an ideal short entry.
🧠 Educational Insight: Why SFPs Are One of the Best Setups
SFPs (Swing Failure Patterns) are some of the highest-probability trades you can take for a few key reasons:
1️⃣ Liquidity-driven: They form where stop losses cluster — above highs or below lows — creating a magnet for price.
2️⃣ Clean invalidation: The wick high/low gives a natural stop-loss level, keeping risk tight.
3️⃣ Fast reaction: Once trapped traders are forced to exit, price often reverses sharply — giving you strong follow-through.
4️⃣ Confirmable with order flow: Using tools like Exocharts, you can see aggressive longs/shorts piling in just before the reversal. This adds conviction to the setup.
📏 Current Confluence:
Rejection from the 0.786 Fib retracement
SFP confirmed on high volume
1:1 trend-based Fib extension sits at ~$105,410
That level also lines up with the 0.666 Fib retracement
Anchored VWAP around $105K
Liquidity pool right at that zone too — a likely magnet
🎯 Trade Idea:
Short triggered at the SFP wick, stop just above it. First target: the 1:1 extension near $105.4K. Risk-reward is excellent with high probability if price continues to unwind late longs.
✅ Key Takeaway:
In ranges like this, you don’t need to guess direction — you need to react to structure. SFPs give you that edge. When paired with real-time tools like Exocharts and anchored VWAPs, these trades become sniper entries rather than coin flips.
Let the market show its hand — and trade the reaction, not the prediction.
📌 Summary:
This is how you avoid overtrading in chop: wait for key levels, watch how price reacts, and let trapped traders create the move. If BTC revisits the $105K region, it’s a major area to watch for reaction — or to take partials if you’re in a short.
The best trades come from patience + precision.
_________________________________
If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Is the momentum in Bitcoin EXHAUSTED? Or not yet?In recent days, Bitcoin has been actively updating its ATH almost daily. Everyone is already predicting $150,000 by the end of the month.
🔥 But is everything really so rosy? Let's take a closer look!
During the powerful growth over the past month, two gaps have formed below us. The first is at $97,368–102,867. The second is at $85,158–93,232. And as we know, in 99% of cases, gaps close sooner or later.
📊 Technical:
Liquidity zones - as we know, the price moves from liquidity to liquidity, which pushes it in one direction or another. Right now, there is practically no liquidity above us; it is all concentrated below. Only a move to $99,000 can now liquidate more than a billion dollars in longs.
I think short sellers' stops are much higher, at $120,000 and above. There is no point in placing them here when there is still no confirmation of a trend reversal.
⚙️ Metrics and indicators:
Volume - as I say in every review - is not a new growth impulse. It is a technical rebound. It has been moving at reduced volumes all along, which have only continued to decline.
MACD - has already given a bearish crossover , but this is certainly not the best indicator on such a TF. However, in combination with other indicators, it can predict a trend reversal at the right time.
DSRZ - shows the volume of interest at certain levels, and now we see that the first block of interest is concentrated in the $106,000–104,000 zone. These are the first support levels, from which I will expect the first rebound if the correction continues.
Liquidation Levels - as I said, all liquidity is now concentrated at the bottom. Bitcoin is very overheated and it's time to cool it down. Many think that it will be overheated when, as in the previous cycle, funding will be 0.2 and above.
But this is a different cycle, a different time, different traders, and different rules. This has already been proven more than once in this cycle.
📌 Conclusion:
I have said many times that we should not expect much from this momentum and that it is purely a technical rebound. And if something does not push us sharply upward now to bring in retail, we can definitely not expect it before the fall.
Summer is coming, investors and traders will close their positions and go on vacation. The market will be quiet.
So, personally, I am leaning back in my chair, expecting a price of at least $85,000, and watching what happens next. 🥃
NZDCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSIS ??NZDCHF is currently consolidating in a textbook bullish flag pattern after a sharp recovery from the recent lows near 0.4680. Price action is compressing just below a key supply zone around 0.4950–0.4980, signaling a potential breakout setup as momentum builds. This flag is forming after a clear impulse move, and with the structure respecting higher lows, I’m preparing for a bullish continuation toward the 0.5100–0.5150 target zone.
Fundamentally, the New Zealand dollar is gaining strength supported by the RBNZ's firm hold on tight monetary policy, as inflation remains sticky in services and housing. Governor Orr’s latest comments reaffirmed that the central bank is not ready to pivot until they see a clear disinflationary trend. On the other hand, the Swiss franc is showing signs of weakness, as the SNB remains one of the most dovish central banks in the G10 space, with real interest rates still negative and inflation pressures easing significantly.
Technically, we’re in a bullish structure with key demand holding strong at the 0.4840–0.4860 range. Price is now coiling just under resistance, and a clean breakout above the 0.4950 level could ignite the next impulsive leg toward 0.5100. If the breakout confirms with increased volume and market sentiment aligns, this setup presents a high probability long opportunity with a favorable R\:R.
NZDCHF remains on my radar as a breakout trade backed by both technical structure and macro fundamentals. With capital flows favoring the Kiwi and risk appetite rotating back into higher-yielding currencies, this pair offers a solid bullish continuation setup for the coming weeks. Stay patient, let the breakout confirm, and ride the momentum higher.
Bitcoin - Waiting for a clear breakout!About an hour ago, Bitcoin (BTC) managed to fully fill the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). After touching the upper boundary of this gap, the price reacted sharply and quickly reversed, which resulted in the formation of a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP).
What is a SFP?
A Swing Failure Pattern, or SFP, occurs when the price briefly moves above a previous high but fails to sustain that move. In this scenario, the price only sweeps above the previous high with a wick, but the candle does not close above it. This often signals that buyers could not maintain control, and it can lead to a reversal or a loss of momentum.
Narrow range
Currently, BTC is trading within a narrow range between 106,600 and 110,600. Within this range, the price is moving up and down without breaking out in either direction. On the 1-hour chart, BTC respected the FVG a few hours ago, which suggests that bullish momentum might still have a chance to develop.
Bullish breakout
For a bullish breakout, we would want to see BTC break above 111,000 with strong buying momentum. If this happens, the price could turn the current resistance into new support and potentially make a move toward the all-time high (ATH).
Bearish breakout
On the other hand, a bearish breakout would require the price to close below 106,600 with significant volume. If BTC closes below this level, the support could turn into resistance, and a drop toward 100,000 would become a real possibility.
Conclusion
In my view, BTC showed strength by holding the 1-hour FVG, but after the latest move upward, it failed to break through resistance and instead formed a SFP. Because of this, I expect a pullback toward 108,000 or even 106,000. At this stage, it’s best to be patient and wait for a clear breakout in either direction before making any major trading decisions. If you want to protect your capital, it’s wise to wait for confirmation before entering a new position.
Thanks for your support.
- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!
- Drop a like and leave a comment!
HolderStat┆BTCUSD stairway to New ATHCRYPTOCAP:BTC — Price action grinds up a steep ascending trendline, printing serial consolidation flags that keep bullish momentum intact. Holding 108-109 k support leaves room for a thrust toward the 115-118 k liquidity / new-ATH zone highlighted above. Breakout continuation, higher-highs narrative alive while the wedge floor protects the move.
Bitcoin Bounce on Trump Tariff Delay – Short Setup Still Valid!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall as I expected in the previous idea , and declined near the Support lines .
Bitcoin started pumping after the news that " US President Trump agreed to postpone 50% EU tariffs until July 9th ." Do you think this pumping of Bitcoin will continue?
Bitcoin is trading in a Heavy Resistance zone($110,000-$105,800) near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
From the Elliott Wave theory perspective , Bitcoin appears to be in corrective waves , which is why I am labeling this idea as a ''Short''. The corrective waves structure is of the Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) type.
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support lines once again, and if these lines are broken, it will decline to the Targets I have indicated on the chart.
Notes :
MicroStrategy bought another 4,020 Bitcoins, but it didn't have much of an impact on the market.
If the Bitcoin price falls back below $109,000, about $185 million in long Bitcoin positions will be liquidated . = Attractive for exchanges
Bitcoin 2025 Conference to be Held in Las Vegas, Tuesday-Thursday = Could Cause Market Excitement .
Note: If Bitcoin touches $112,080, we should expect more pumping.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GBPUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPUSD has played out exactly as forecasted, completing a clean bullish leg from the Fibonacci confluence zones and breaking through the key 1.3430 resistance level. The structure remains strongly bullish, and after this minor retest, I’m anticipating another impulsive wave to the upside, with the next target sitting firmly at the 1.3900 level. The pair continues to respect both structure and momentum, showing consistent demand on dips.
Fundamentally, the British pound continues to gain strength backed by sticky inflation data and hawkish tone from the Bank of England. With UK CPI remaining elevated and core services inflation running hot, the BoE is being forced to hold its tightening bias. This contrasts sharply with the Federal Reserve, where recent data shows signs of softening labor markets and cooling price pressure, bringing rate cut expectations back on the table for the second half of 2025.
Technically, GBPUSD has cleanly respected all key fib levels from the previous correction. The breakout above 1.3430 has flipped structure into bullish continuation, and the market has already begun forming higher highs and higher lows on both daily and 4H timeframes. As long as price holds above the 1.3430–1.3450 retest zone, the bullish outlook remains intact with high-probability momentum toward 1.3900.
In current market sentiment, GBPUSD remains one of the strongest trending pairs, with institutions adding to long exposure as the dollar index weakens. As a professional trader, I remain long-biased and look to scale in on lower timeframe retracements. This is a textbook continuation play backed by both technicals and macro momentum. Let the trend work—bulls remain in full control.