Bitcoin’s Falling Wedge Pattern Breakout—Next Stop: $100K?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall after US indices(Core CPI m/m_CPI m/m_CPI y/y) were announced but rose again. One of the reasons for the rise of Bitcoin in the previous minutes was Trump's speech , which talked about negotiations with Russia ." Trump: Putin and I agreed to have respective teams start negotiations immediately ."= The possibility of the end of wars , in general, can increase investment security.
After several attempts to break the Support zone($96,520-$95,720) , Bitcoin failed to break this zone and created a Fake Break .
Bitcoin is above the Support zone($96,150-$94,760) and near the upper lines of the Falling Wedge Pattern .
Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing the Double Three Correction(WXY) as the main wave X was completed minutes ago .
I expect Bitcoin to break the upper lines of the Falling Wedge Pattern soon and rise to the Targets I specified on the chart.
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $93,800, we have to wait for an attack on the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500), and there is a possibility of a heavy fall in this situation.
Do you think the Falling Wedge Pattern will eventually increase Bitcoin?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Btc-bitcoin
BTC CPI 1H (Jan) CPI (YoY)-
PREVIOUS: 2.9%
FORECAST: 2.9%
ACTUAL: ??
Consumer price index data release rolls around once again, this time the forecast is no change (0.0%) remaining at the same December 2024 level of 2.9%. It is important to note that after this data release there isn't any further news events of note until next month so BTC no planned interference from data releases.
As we go into the data release volatility on the LTF is common and so maybe we'll see a break of this painful trend bitcoin has been stuck in since the sell-off event. With that in mind here are some entry ideas for longs and shorts:
Long:
- The safest option/ highest probability would be a breakout from the bearish downtrend, a retest as new support and begin the move up back towards RANGE HIGH.
- A sweep of the green bullish OB zone with a tag of the lower bearish trend line. A good R:R IMO with the first point of interest being the LOCAL RESISTANCE/ bearish trend high.
Short:
- The bearish scenario would be a loss of the $91K support level that has held for the last 10 weeks in a row and is the daily range low. If price accepts under that level things could get ugly as there is no support until $85K.
Bitcoin Dips to $94K Amid Hotter-Than-Expected US CPI DataThe cryptocurrency market experienced a sharp selloff following the release of the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which came in hotter than expected. Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, fell by 3% to $94,000, reflecting the broader market’s reaction to rising inflation concerns. The January CPI data revealed a 3% year-over-year (YoY) increase, up from December’s 2.9%, while the monthly CPI rose to 0.5%, exceeding market expectations. This unexpected spike has reignited fears of a prolonged hawkish stance by the Federal Reserve, dampening investor sentiment across both traditional and crypto markets.
Inflation Woes and Macroeconomic Pressures
1. Hotter-Than-Expected CPI Data
The US Labor Department reported that the January CPI inflation rose to 3% YoY, surpassing the market consensus of 2.8%. On a monthly basis, inflation increased to 0.5%, up from December’s 0.4%. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, also came in higher than expected at 0.4% monthly and 3.3% YoY. These figures indicate that inflationary pressures remain persistent, complicating the Federal Reserve’s path to rate cuts.
2. Federal Reserve’s Hawkish Stance
The Federal Reserve has maintained a cautious approach to monetary policy, with Chair Jerome Powell emphasizing the need for more evidence of cooling inflation before considering rate cuts. The hotter CPI data has further solidified the Fed’s position, reducing the likelihood of near-term rate cuts. This has weighed heavily on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, as higher interest rates typically reduce liquidity and investor appetite for speculative investments.
3. Impact on Crypto Market Sentiment
The crypto market has been highly sensitive to macroeconomic data, and the latest CPI release has exacerbated existing fears. The global crypto market cap fell by 3.3% to $3.1 trillion, with Bitcoin leading the decline. The US 10-year Treasury yield surged by 2.05% to 4.630%, while the US Dollar Index (DXY) rose by 0.42% to 108.290, adding further pressure on Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
Technical Analysis
1. Immediate Price Reaction
Bitcoin’s price dropped sharply from $96,488 to $94,000 within minutes of the CPI data release. This decline reflects the market’s immediate reaction to the negative macroeconomic news. As of writing, Bitcoin is down 1.23%, trading near the oversold region with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 38.
2. Key Support and Resistance Levels
- Support: If selling pressure persists, Bitcoin could test the $80,000 support level, a critical psychological and technical threshold.
- Resistance: A breakout above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level could reignite bullish momentum, potentially pushing Bitcoin back toward the $100,000 mark.
3. Chart Patterns and Indicators
Bitcoin’s price action is currently hovering near key moving averages, indicating a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The RSI at 38 suggests that Bitcoin is nearing oversold territory, which could attract buyers looking for discounted entry points. However, the overall trend remains bearish in the short term, with the falling RSI and declining price action signaling caution.
4. Market Sentiment and Volume
Trading volume has spiked following the CPI release, indicating heightened market activity. The increased volume during the selloff suggests that investors are reacting strongly to the macroeconomic data, with many opting to take profits or reduce exposure to risk assets.
Conclusion:
The latest US CPI data has underscored the crypto market’s sensitivity to macroeconomic developments, with Bitcoin and other digital assets experiencing significant volatility. While the short-term outlook remains uncertain, the long-term potential of Bitcoin and the broader crypto market remains intact.
MEUSDT Falling Pattern Breakout with 200%-250% Potential GainsMEUSDT has recently broken out of its Falling Pattern, signaling the potential for a strong price rally. A Falling Pattern often sets the stage for a reversal, and with the breakout now complete, MEUSDT is poised to enter a bullish phase. The pattern, which typically consists of lower lows and lower highs, has now formed a solid foundation for the price to move upward. With good volume supporting this breakout, there’s strong market confidence in the project, and traders are anticipating a surge in price. The expected gain range for this move is substantial, with projections of 200% to 250%+, making this a highly attractive opportunity for those looking to capitalize on significant upside potential.
The breakout from the Falling Pattern is a key technical event that signals a shift in market sentiment. As the price pushes higher, the breakout confirms that the bears may have lost control, and the bulls are now taking charge. With volume continuing to support the move, it increases the likelihood that MEUSDT will maintain upward momentum. As more traders and investors take notice of this development, the price could continue to rise, potentially testing previous highs and delivering substantial returns for those who timed their entry correctly.
Investor interest in MEUSDT has been growing, and this breakout has captured the attention of many in the crypto community. The combination of a completed Falling Pattern, solid volume, and growing market sentiment creates a perfect setup for significant gains. If MEUSDT continues to follow the expected bullish trajectory, it could quickly move into a new price range, delivering impressive returns to traders who are quick to act. This could be the beginning of a strong bullish trend for MEUSDT, and those who enter at the right time could see massive profits.
As always, it's important for traders to watch key resistance levels and price action carefully. The next few price movements will determine whether MEUSDT can maintain its bullish trend and reach the expected gains. Given the current breakout and the positive technical indicators, MEUSDT presents an exciting opportunity for traders looking to profit from the next major move in the crypto space. Keeping an eye on volume and support levels will be essential to navigating this setup successfully.
Bitcoin Analysis—Bulls vs Bears—Who Will Win This Battle!?As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) attacked the Support zone($96,520-$95,720) and 100_SMA(Daily) but started to rise again. The increase in the last few hours has NOT been accompanied by high volume so far.
Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) and near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , the upper lines of the Falling Wege Pattern , the Monthly Pivot Point , and 50_SMA(Daily) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have succeeded in completing the Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) near the upper lines of the Falling Wege Pattern . If Bitcoin goes above $99,200 , this wave count will expire .
Educational tip : If you cut the falling wedge pattern exactly in half, you will notice that most of the candles are in the lower half, and whenever Bitcoin hits the upper lines, it starts to fall immediately, which means that the power of sellers is more than buyers. Although the wedge pattern is a bullish pattern, we cannot expect an increase until the upper line is validly broken.
I expect Bitcoin to re-attack the 100_SMA(Daily) and Support zone($96,520-$95,720) in the coming hours, and if it breaks , it will also attack the lower line of the falling wedge pattern .
Note: If Bitcoin breaks the upper lines of the falling wedge pattern in huge volumes, we should most likely wait for the break of the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200). However, the main resistance of Bitcoin is the $107,000 range.
Note: If Bitcoin manages to break the lower line of the falling wedge pattern and 100_SMA(Daily), we should wait for Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) and Support lines.
Which scenario do you think will happen to Bitcoin?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
$BTC Current Decline Analysis - 2/11/2025CRYPTOCAP:BTC Update:
Wave (e) revealed the pattern (wxy), highlighting the complex structures of waves w and x, which looks like a 'distribution' behavior. This leaves us with a fast pace decline in wave y, targeting a projected level that coincides with wave (e) target of $87,222
#BTC #BTCUSD #Bitcoin CRYPTOCAP:BTC
* This is how I see it, just sharing my view!
Cheers!
BITCOIN short term bearish bias#bitcoin #btc price has been declined from 4H Ema ribbons and ichimoku span resistance. In my previous ideas, i said CRYPTOCAP:BTC has entered distribution zone and the last phase (major sign of weakness) hasn't confirmed, yet but it' s proceeding! Only a new ATH (with not fake movement for only taking liquidations) may invalidate Wyckoff' s distribution schematic #btcusd has been in.
CAKEUSDT Falling Pattern Setup with 100%-150% Potential Gains CAKEUSDT has recently formed a Falling Pattern, a chart formation that typically signals a period of consolidation or potential reversal. This pattern is often seen in markets that are in the process of finding a bottom before making a sharp upward move. For CAKEUSDT, the pattern is accompanied by good volume, which indicates that there is solid market interest and a buildup of potential for a breakout. With a projected gain range of 100% to 150% or more, traders are watching this pair closely, hoping to capitalize on what could be a significant upward move once the price breaks out of the pattern's resistance.
The Falling Pattern typically shows a series of lower highs and lower lows, followed by a potential breakout when the price moves through the key resistance level. The increasing volume during this phase suggests that buyers are starting to take control, positioning themselves for a potential rally. Investors are growing more interested in CAKEUSDT as it shows signs of bottoming out and setting up for an explosive upward movement. If this pattern follows through, traders could see substantial returns as the price looks to reclaim its previous highs.
As with all chart patterns, the success of the Falling Pattern in CAKEUSDT depends on several factors, including broader market conditions and the overall sentiment in the crypto space. However, the good volume backing this pattern suggests a higher likelihood of a strong reversal. If CAKEUSDT can break above the resistance formed by the Falling Pattern, the next phase could be a sharp rally, potentially pushing the price higher and providing traders with significant profit opportunities.
Traders should remain cautious and monitor key support and resistance levels to make informed decisions as the price action unfolds. If the market continues to favor bullish momentum, CAKEUSDT could experience a strong breakout that leads to notable gains. Given the current technical setup and investor interest, this pair could be one to watch closely in the coming days or weeks for those looking to capitalize on the next big move.
DOTUSD - Cup and handle filled with green candles tea ?Very simple trade idea ?
my average is around 4.5 and will leave next month probably
for now at very good support (0.236 fib + previous high)
can go more down to test that black trendline for example but at the end the target is 6.5 in a few days/weeks
stop loss depends if btc goes under 95.8
cheers
short 107900 with tp at 100500 sound legit target it will go here easily and i think much more or bit more
but for no risk i take this legit target after the rally he just done its amazing
i not make stop loss in this scenario coz if he go to 110 000 i will had 1 lot and keep my target
if he go 115 000 same...no leverage if u have small balance then apply your RR
BTC (Y25.P1.E1).A few setupsHi Traders,
Returned from a 6 week break and now my thoughts on BTC.
Some time back I stated I would not be surprised if BTC ranges for some time before making new highs.
I still feel that we are in this channel with a corrective pattern of some sort.
The vwap and some levels of significance with fibs tends to make me believe we will sill hit the lows with a potential rejection here (no trade entry). But the wedge structure could make it hit its target at teh 618 fib for a short entry (like a fake out) and then drop.
The blue and red a vwaps from different pivot points.
We look for the response with our 2 methods. SFP or FA.
We go into detail at the time, for a trade entry. At times we miss out because we are not online.
All the best,
S.SAri
.
Bitcoin is mimicking gold: Fractals are bullish!Bitcoin is following gold in its pattern formation. Fractal analysis of gold and Bitcoin reveals similarities in both charts. While gold is slightly ahead of Bitcoin, the same pattern is emerging on Bitcoin’s chart. If Bitcoin follows gold’s performance, it is likely to break out of this widening wedge pattern and reach new all-time highs, aligning with my previous analysis.
Bitcoin is hunting for liquidity, What's next?📊 After attempting to break $100K, Bitcoin faced another rejection.
What’s happening now?
The SMA shows that Bitcoin is still in a short-term downtrend, struggling to gain momentum.
Right now, it’s hovering around $96,400 – $96,500, trying to stabilize.
The key support to watch is $94,400 – $94,600—if it holds, we could see a bounce. If not, things might get shaky.
On the upside, Bitcoin needs to break $100K first before making a real move toward $103K and beyond.
For now, all eyes are on the $94K support.
Will BINANCE:BTCUSDT hold or dip lower? What do you think?
Bitcoin Macro Update: Echoes of 2015-2017 | Gold, M2, and CPI
In this macro update, I dive into Bitcoin’s price action and how it mirrors the 2015-2017 cycle. We analyze key macroeconomic indicators, including Gold, Global M2 money supply, and FRED data, to understand Bitcoin’s positioning in the broader financial landscape. With inflationary pressures and CPI trends shaping liquidity flows, is Bitcoin primed for another parabolic run? lets let the market decide.
Bitcoin’s Fake Breakouts—Bears Taking Control!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) failed to defeat Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) , the 50_SMA(Daily) , and the Monthly Pivot Point for the umpteenth time and even created a Fake Break .
It also seems that Bitcoin has been unable to break the Resistance lines .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in completing the corrective wave so that the structure of the main wave C is the Expanding Ending Diagonal .
I expect Bitcoin to break the Support zone($96,520-$95,720) and touch $95,500 this time, I told you about the importance of this price in the previous post .
Note: If Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) , the 50_SMA(Daily) , and the Monthly Pivot Point , we should expect an increase to Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($103,210-$102,454) .
It doesn't seem reasonable for Bitcoin these days to provide a long-term or even mid-term analysis, and we need to stick to a series of resistance and support levels in order to determine the next targets. Do you agree with me?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Alt season could already be here, only is winter seasonThe Crypto Market at a Crossroads: What’s Could Next for Bitcoin and Altcoins?
The cryptocurrency market is at a critical juncture, and the narratives being pushed by crypto influencers might not be telling the full story. Over the next weeks and months, the altcoin landscape could undergo significant changes, and there are signals emerging that few are discussing. In this post, I’ll analyze Bitcoin, altcoins, and Bitcoin dominance and what I expect in the coming months.
Bitcoin’s Current Position: Are We Near the Top?
When analyzing Bitcoin, it’s crucial to zoom out and assess the bigger picture. On a weekly chart, Bitcoin’s price action suggests that we might be nearing a top. While some argue that the peak has already occurred, the current structure indicates that Bitcoin could enter a sideways/ downward movement like we saw last year.
If Bitcoin continues to move sideways, altcoins are likely to follow suit. However, during these phases, some altcoins may experience brief runs, especially if Bitcoin dominance starts to decline.
But here’s the catch: Bitcoin dominance has been steadily rising since Bitcoin’s bottom, which is unusual. Typically, during the late stages of a cycle, Bitcoin dominance drops as altcoins surge. This time, however, the landscape seems different.
Altcoin Season: A Muted Rally?
The idea of a massive altcoin season, where all altcoins surge simultaneously, might be a thing of the past. While some coins like BINANCE:SOLUSDT have already seen significant runs (from nearly $80 to $300 top in one year), the broader altcoin market has not experienced the same explosive growth. Instead, only a select few altcoins made significant moves.
This doesn’t mean that altcoins are dead. There will still be opportunities, but they will likely be more selective. Coins that have already made substantial gains, like Solana, may have already topped out.
Going forward the key should be to focus on coins that show strong volume breakouts and price action, rather than holding onto underperforming assets.
Bitcoin Dominance and the Changing Landscape
Bitcoin dominance has been on an upward trajectory, which is unusual for this stage of the cycle. Historically, Bitcoin dominance falls as altcoins begin to rally.
However, this time, the dominance chart suggests that the market dynamics are shifting. While a drop in Bitcoin dominance is still possible, it may not be as pronounced as in previous cycles.
This changing landscape could be due to the sheer number of altcoins in the market. With thousands of coins vying for attention, there simply isn’t enough liquidity to pump all of them. This dilution effect means that only a handful of coins will likely see significant gains, while the majority will continue to underperform.
The Role of Meme Coins and Newer Projects
One of the standout trends in this cycle has been the rise of meme coins and newer projects. Coins like BINANCE:SUIUSDT , which launched during this cycle, have already broken their all-time highs. However, even these newer coins may be entering a bear market phase.
The market is saturated, and without a significant influx of liquidity, it’s unlikely that we’ll see another massive altcoin season.
Meme coins, in particular, have been a double-edged sword. While they’ve provided some of the most explosive gains, they’ve also drained liquidity from the broader market.
This extraction of value has made it harder for other altcoins to gain traction, further complicating the market dynamics.
The Bigger Picture: A Potential Bear Market
Looking at the broader market, there’s a growing possibility that we could be entering a bear market.
The sheer number of coins in the market, combined with the lack of liquidity, suggests that the crypto space is due for a significant shakeout.
Coins like BINANCE:DOTUSD , CAPITALCOM:FILUSD and even BINANCE:ADAUSDT , which have been in a bear market since 2021, are a prime example of this trend.
Many altcoins are already down 80-90% from their all-time highs, and the chances of them recovering are slim.
This is why it’s crucial to focus on coins that have already established a bull trend and are hovering around their support zones, as they have a higher probability of breaking out and continuing their upward trajectory.
Key Takeaways and What to Watch For
1. Bitcoin’s Sideways Movement: Bitcoin is likely to move sideways or slightly downward in the coming weeks, which could create opportunities for select altcoins.
2. Selective Altcoin Runs: Not all altcoins will rally. Focus on coins with strong volume breakouts and price action.
3. Bitcoin Dominance: Keep an eye on Bitcoin dominance. A drop could signal a brief altcoin rally, but it may not be as significant as in previous cycles.
4. Meme Coins and Newer Projects: While meme coins and newer projects have seen gains, they may be entering a bear market phase. Be cautious with these assets.
5. Long-Term Bear Market : The crypto market could be entering a bear market. Focus on preserving capital and avoid holding onto underperforming assets.
Final Thoughts:
The crypto market is at a crossroads, and the next few months could be pivotal. While there will still be opportunities, they will likely be more selective and harder to come by.
By focusing on strong projects with solid fundamentals and avoiding the hype, you can navigate this changing landscape more effectively.
Remember, the key to success in crypto is not just about making money—it’s also about avoiding losses.
Best of Luck!
Mihai Iacob
Market3I haven’t been posting much lately simply because there’s nothing particularly interesting to say, the market has been a bit dull.
2025 should be a strong year for altcoins, as they’ve been consistently suppressed. With BTC dominance reaching 64%, which is quite significant, all attention remains on Bitcoin.
On this chart, you can see that $1.17 trillion acted as a rejection level for the crypto market (excluding BTC and ETH). Time will tell, but I anticipate a $4 trillion altcoin bull market before the end of 2025.
Remember, Fibonacci plays a crucial role in long-term market predictions.
Invest wisely and at the right time.
Happy Tr4Ding !