Bitcoin's Fate: Harris or Trump? / 19Days left for BTCBINANCE:BTCUSDT
COINBASE:BTCUSD
Hello Traders.
With the 2024 election around the corner, Bitcoin's future is uncertain.
If Kamala Harris wins, expect tougher regulations, potentially slowing down crypto growth.
Meanwhile, a Trump win could bring a looser regulatory stance, possibly spurring Bitcoin's rise despite his personal dislike for it. As the U.S. prepares to choose its next leader, Bitcoin investors are left wondering: which path will shape crypto's destiny?
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(If there is just one SL on the chart, I suggest, low risk status)
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. Also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
74,320
80,750
89,423
🔴SL:
54,384
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilize against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
Btc-bitcoin
What reaction does the market have to the elections?The price managed to break the wedge in the one-hour time frame, and this is very good. The price can rise again to 71k dollars or even more with a little correction. Now we have to wait for the results of the US elections, which have a significant impact on this market.
In the current scenario, with the US elections being so close, there's a lot of uncertainty, which can lead to increased market volatility. Investors are closely watching the candidates' stances on key issues like trade policies, taxes, and regulation, as these will have significant implications for various sectors.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Trump is another name for #bitcoin's parabolic movements!🟢#Trump’s influence, especially in 2016, created a huge shift in the political arena, and this increased people’s interest in alternative financial systems like #Bitcoin.
🟢2016 was a time when Bitcoin started to be noticed by the wider public.
🟢Now, with Trump’s return, there will be a similar wave of excitement in CRYPTOCAP:BTC and the crypto markets.
🟢Interest in assets like #BTC will increase, especially when there is a lack of trust in traditional economic systems or a search for alternative solutions.
BTC Poised for a Breakout: Will Bulls or Bears Take Control?hello guys.
let's analyze BTC
Ascending Channel: BTC is trending within an upward channel, with a broken resistance line acting as support, indicating a bullish trend.
Scenarios Outlined:
Scenario 1 (Bullish): BTC could continue its upward movement, aiming for $74,000 and potentially $76,000 if momentum holds. This scenario suggests a strong rally after breaking through resistance levels.
Scenario 2 (Pullback): BTC may pull back to retest the $66,000–$67,000 range, which would be a healthy correction within the trend. This level could provide a solid support base before the next upward move.
Key Support and Resistance Zones:
Support Zone: Around $66,000, where Scenario 2 will likely play out if a correction occurs.
Resistance Zone: Between $74,000 and $76,000, a potential target for a bullish continuation.
In summary, BTC is currently at a decision point. A breakout above the $74,000–$76,000 zone could lead to a sustained rally, while a retest of the $66,000 support could provide a better entry for bulls. Watch closely for price action at these levels!
ICPUSDT - BUY OPPORTUNITYThis one is a low risk - high reward potential for a long-term, equity growth investment.
Considering the future of Ai within the crypto space & blockchain and in general, market growth of Ai to reach trillions of $$$ in the next few years or sooner, the overall growth and future potential integration of Ai within the ecosystem of ICP can help elevate the overall price of ICP - already its implementing Ai introduction within its blockchain and many more applications to follow through in near future. given the reasons, the potential Ai bull run can be explosive for Ai coins and ICP has the greatest potential to overcome its past performance and gain huge growth from here!
My overall investment in this coin is long term hold to potential STP target - I can see this coin to do exponentially well in near future! I will HODL this coin until Ai bull run fully peaks!!!
Pls DYOR and risk only what you can afford to lose! Crypto is extremely volatile and you can lose your entire capital!
Trade Safe Habibis! Good luck to ICP HODLrs LFG!
Bitcoin is volatile#bitcoin #btc is trying to break the falling channel just before the elections results. CRYPTOCAP:BTC price has tested 4H ichimoku span resistance zone and for now just declined there. Further declinations will weaken the structure. Very volatile few days we' ll see. Avoid high leverage positions and take care for your funds. Just a friendly reminder.
Mt. Gox Moves $2.2 Billion in Bitcoin Amid Repayment DelaysMt. Gox, the once-dominant but now-defunct Bitcoin exchange, made waves by transferring 32,371 CRYPTOCAP:BTC —valued at approximately $2.2 billion—to unmarked wallets. The timing of these movements is critical, given the already volatile landscape surrounding Bitcoin and ongoing uncertainties related to the upcoming U.S. presidential election.
Mt. Gox Transfers 32,371 BTC to Unmarked Wallets
Blockchain analytics firm Arkham reports that Mt. Gox has executed a massive transaction, moving 32,371 BTC to two unidentified wallet addresses. This event stands as the largest transfer from Mt. Gox in recent months. Specifically, 30,371 BTC went to a wallet labeled “1FG2C…Rveoy,” while the remaining 2,000 BTC was directed to a separate wallet named “1Jbez…LAPs6.” Additionally, an internal movement of 2,000 BTC between cold wallets suggests ongoing asset reorganization, likely in preparation for creditor repayments.
This is not the first time that Mt. Gox has moved funds, as smaller transfers were observed last week. However, this latest transfer's scale has piqued market watchers' interest, sparking questions about its timing and the potential impact on the Bitcoin market.
Repayment Delays Extended to 2025
The transfer comes on the heels of Mt. Gox announcing a delay in its repayment schedule. Initially set for October 31, 2024, the deadline has been postponed to October 31, 2025, following approval by a Japanese court. This extension gives the Mt. Gox Rehabilitation Trustee more time to sort out repayment plans, which many investors see as a temporary relief. However, there is lingering concern about the eventual release of a large volume of Bitcoin into the market, which could exert significant downward pressure on CRYPTOCAP:BTC prices if creditors decide to sell their holdings en masse.
Market analysts are wary of how these delays and large-scale transfers could impact the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem, especially as repayment announcements from Mt. Gox have historically triggered market volatility.
Market Reaction and Election Uncertainty
The market's response to Mt. Gox's Bitcoin movements has been mixed. Some investors fear that the impending distribution to creditors could lead to substantial sell-offs, pressuring Bitcoin's price downward. These concerns come amid broader geopolitical and economic uncertainty, compounded by fluctuations in the U.S. presidential race.
Bitcoin’s price has already experienced a 7% dip last week, largely attributed to uncertainties surrounding the U.S. election. Speculation is rife about potential regulatory changes, with some traders anxious about a Kamala Harris presidency, given her largely undefined stance on cryptocurrencies. Conversely, a more crypto-friendly administration could spur optimism among investors.
Technical Outlook
Despite these concerns, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has shown signs of resilience. As of now, BTC is trading up 1.53%, with an RSI of 54.82, signaling moderate bullish momentum. The daily price chart also indicates a bullish engulfing pattern forming, which is often a precursor to upward movement. Furthermore, a golden cross—a bullish technical signal where the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average—is slowly materializing.
Bitcoin’s immediate support lies between the $64,000 to $65,000 pivot range, and a short-term correction could be on the horizon. However, we are eyeing a potential surge to $75,000, with optimistic projections even stretching to $100,000, assuming bullish catalysts materialize. These factors include institutional inflows, market sentiment shifts, and broader acceptance of Bitcoin as a store of value amid economic uncertainty.
What Lies Ahead
Bitcoin’s trajectory is shaped by both macroeconomic elements and crypto-specific news. The Mt. Gox repayment delay has provided a reprieve, albeit temporary, preventing a massive influx of CRYPTOCAP:BTC into the market. Additionally, geopolitical events, such as the U.S. presidential election and looming concerns about regulatory shifts, add layers of complexity to Bitcoin’s outlook.
Investors should also consider Bitcoin’s role as a hedge against inflation and geopolitical instability. As traditional markets brace for election-related volatility, Bitcoin’s status as "digital gold" may attract more attention, driving up prices. However, this is contingent upon market sentiment remaining favorable and no significant sell-off events—such as a large-scale release from Mt. Gox creditors—materializing.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s road ahead is fraught with both challenges and opportunities. The Mt. Gox transfers and repayment delays have introduced another layer of complexity, while the upcoming U.S. presidential election adds to the uncertainty. Yet, technical indicators suggest that a bullish trend could be on the horizon, provided the market can weather short-term corrections and external shocks.
As always, the crypto landscape is ever-changing, requiring both patience and mental fortitude from investors. The coming weeks will be pivotal in determining Bitcoin’s trajectory, and all eyes will be on key resistance and support levels as the market digests these developments
Run it back turbo #Bitcoin CRYPTOCAP:BTC price action in 2024 is in some ways reminiscent of the 2016-2017 rally.
At that time, the price of #btc began to rise after the block reward halving in 2016 and peaked at the end of 2017.
Similarly, market expectations have risen again after the 2024 halving.
There is a similar momentum cyclically; prices tend to move upwards due to supply constraints and increased demand after the halving.
#Altcoin run is programmed in the medium term.2025 will be unique for #Alts and #Bitcoin
The impact of the elections in the US on financial markets can be significant. A win by #Trump or Harris could have different effects in terms of economic policies and market expectations. If Trump wins, it is possible that prices will rise even more due to high inflation expectations in the markets. If #Harris wins, it is expected that the #Fed will continue with its current monetary policies, so although there will be price fluctuations in the short term, it is possible that the bull run will continue in the long term.
It should not be forgotten that the election results are not only related to short-term effects, but also to medium and long-term economic fundamentals and central bank policies. 🤝
$BTC - Possible 3-tap-setup CME gap at 66.8k has been filled and we swept below imbalances (poor low/singleprint)
If we can hold 67.4k (pwLow ), then will consider it as a valid swing point retest for a three-tap setup
67.4k - swing point
66.8k - deviation
67.4k - swing point retest
Looking for 70.3k (FriOpen) as initial target, next is around 71.8k (FriHigh/singleprint)
Invalidation is a break of local low 66.8k
Tick.. Tock.. $BTC #Bitcoin, instead of stressing over small corrections that occur in a short period of time, looking at it from a broader perspective often yields healthier results.
Zooming out to see long-term trends can help you see the general trend more clearly by ignoring daily fluctuations in the market.
In this way, you can stay calmer when making investment decisions and avoid panic sales. 🤝
BTC : Riding Asia Open Volume to the Golden Zone TargetOn the 8-hour chart, I’m targeting an entry to capture potential volume influx as the Asian markets open. I plan to take partial profits along the way, with a target to reach the $71,000 zone, which aligns with the golden Fibonacci retracement level.
Fundamental Context:
This setup is influenced by the buzz around the upcoming U.S. Presidential Election and speculation around Donald Trump’s potential reentry, possibly fueling a “buy the rumor, sell the news” effect. Given the high-impact events surrounding this period, I’m managing risk closely, aiming for strategic exits to maximize profitability within this volatile environment.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
BTC IN UP MOVEMENT + TRADE PLANTrend Identification:
Descending Channel: Bitcoin is currently in a descending parallel channel after an uptrend, indicating a potential bullish continuation if it breaks out of this channel.
Previous Uptrend: The price came from an uptrend, and descending channels often serve as continuation patterns, suggesting a higher probability of an upward breakout.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels:
$68,556.87: Major support near the recent low in the channel.
$66,333.98: Secondary support zone that could act as a cushion in case of a downside move.
$64,591.15: Historical support level providing a safety net if the price dips further.
Resistance Levels:
$72,198.87: Immediate resistance that BTC needs to overcome for a continued uptrend.
$73,655.67: Key resistance area that, if broken, could trigger a strong bullish move.
Indicators Analysis:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is close to the midpoint, indicating a neutral zone. However, an upward movement in RSI could signal increasing bullish momentum.
Stochastic RSI: Currently near the overbought zone. It indicates potential upward pressure, but caution is needed as it may signal short-term exhaustion.
Volume: Noticeable increase in volume around the support levels, indicating buying interest. Volume confirmation on breakout above the resistance line would strengthen the bullish case.
Moving Averages:
HMA (Hull Moving Average): Showing a slight upward trend, aligning with the potential breakout from the descending channel.
Trading Plan
Entry Strategy:
Aggressive Entry: Enter a long position upon the breakout of the descending channel, ideally with a confirmed volume increase above $72,198.87. This would signal a possible continuation of the previous uptrend.
Conservative Entry: Wait for a confirmed breakout and retest of the $72,198.87 level. If the price holds above this level after retesting, it indicates stronger bullish confirmation.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss slightly below $68,556.87 to limit downside risk. This area aligns with recent support, and a drop below it may indicate invalidation of the breakout pattern.
Take Profit Levels:
Primary Target: $73,655.67 (first resistance level). Partial profits can be taken here to lock in gains.
Secondary Target: $76,000, if Bitcoin gains strong momentum after breaking through the primary target. This level could be achieved in a continued bullish scenario.
Final Target: $80,000 as a psychological target, if there is sustained bullish momentum and no major resistance above.
Risk Management:
Position Size: Limit the position size to manage risk exposure, especially with the potential volatility in cryptocurrency markets.
Trailing Stop: Consider using a trailing stop after reaching the first target to lock in profits while allowing for potential upside.
Monitoring Indicators:
Volume: Continuously monitor the volume as the price approaches resistance zones. Higher-than-average volume would support the breakout, whereas weak volume could lead to a false breakout.
RSI and Stochastic: Keep an eye on these momentum indicators. If the RSI and Stochastic enter overbought territory and start to diverge, it could signal a potential reversal.
Timeframe:
This setup appears on a 4-hour chart, suggesting a medium-term trading perspective. Reassess positions if the breakout fails to materialize within the next few days.
Bitcoin Faces Critical Week Amid US Presidential ElectionBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is at a pivotal moment, with the cryptocurrency market bracing for heightened volatility as the United States approaches a historic election. The impact of this key event, combined with a possible Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest rate cut, is set to make waves across digital asset markets. At the time of writing, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is trading at $68,749.84, up 0.62% over the last 24 hours, with a daily trading volume of $35 billion and a market cap surpassing $1.35 trillion.
Elevated Volatility Expected
Traders are bracing for sharp moves in CRYPTOCAP:BTC , as indicated by a 30-day gauge of implied volatility developed by CF Benchmarks. Caroline Mauron, co-founder of Orbit Markets, highlighted a potential swing of 8%, starkly contrasting the usual 2% fluctuation level. This suggests traders are preparing for significant market action, and expectations of volatility are reflected in the crypto options market.
Political Uncertainty Looms Large
The 2024 US presidential election adds another layer of unpredictability. Both frontrunners, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, have expressed distinct stances on cryptocurrency and blockchain technology, setting the stage for shifts in market sentiment. Trump has boldly positioned himself as the "Crypto President," promising to elevate Bitcoin as a strategic reserve for the United States. His strong pro-Bitcoin rhetoric, coupled with a pledge to fire SEC Chair Gary Gensler—widely seen by the crypto community as an adversary—has fueled optimism among investors.
Meanwhile, Kamala Harris's emphasis on tech innovation has kept speculation alive about how her policies might influence the crypto market. The political landscape’s close ties to the crypto industry could be pivotal, especially with the backdrop of regulatory debates involving the SEC and CFTC.
Historical Trends and Market Sentiment
Historically, Bitcoin’s performance has been closely linked to major political and economic events. Notably, the cryptocurrency has often rallied following US presidential elections, mirroring trends seen in traditional markets like the S&P 500. The Kobeissi Letter's analysis of past elections reveals that 83% of election years have yielded positive returns leading up to Election Day. However, these gains moderated post-election, emphasizing the importance of timing in market strategy.
Technical Outlook: Mixed Signals
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s charts reveal mixed but potentially bullish signals. Two critical patterns are forming on the daily chart:
1. Doji Candlestick Pattern: The emergence of a Doji pattern, which indicates indecision among traders, often precedes significant market moves or trend reversals. This formation suggests that market participants are awaiting key news, such as the election results and the FOMC decision, before committing to a direction.
2. Golden Cross Formation: The market is closely monitoring a potential Golden Cross, a bullish indicator that occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average. While this pattern has yet to fully materialize, it is gradually building momentum, signaling possible upside in the coming weeks.
Bitcoin’s Dominance and Macro Environment
Bitcoin’s dominance remains robust at 59.2%, a testament to its evolution from a peer-to-peer (P2P) technology to a global financial asset. Amid ongoing concerns about inflation and economic uncertainty, CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues to be seen as a hedge against traditional financial risks. The potential for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve this week could further boost bullish sentiment for Bitcoin, making it an attractive asset for risk-on investors.
Long-Term Optimism Despite Short-Term Concerns
Despite near-term worries about a potential market dip or crash on election day, long-term optimism prevails. Analysts are betting on a strong rebound, with Bitcoin potentially setting a new all-time high if bullish catalysts align. The overall crypto market remains in a consolidation phase, but any positive momentum in Bitcoin could see a cascade effect on top altcoins, setting the stage for a robust market recovery.
Bitcoin: Small Dip to $49k Or Crypto Winter down to $15k?There are two potential options for Bitcoin price.
1) Price will complete ABC correction as we have A-B in place already.
The wave C could retest the valley of wave A at GETTEX:49K
2) Large red second leg down could complete a bigger correction.
It could retest the bottom of leg 1 around $15k.
Only below GETTEX:49K we can see what structure is unfolding.
What are your thoughts why such a huge collapse is possible?
Media says miners start switching to AI investments to drop cryptos.
Please share your thoughts down below
Bitcoin Roadmap==>Short term!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) touched the 🎯 Targets 🎯 as I expected in the previous post ✅.
Bitcoin started to rise well from the Support zone($67,620-$67,000) and the Support line again ( the start was accompanied by good momentum ).
Regarding Elliott's wave theory , wave 5 seems to be completed .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the Support zone after breaking the Resistance lines .
⚠️Note: The American elections and the tension between Iran and Israel can easily change the scenarios of Bitcoin: if the tension between Iran and Israel increases, we can see the fall of Bitcoin, and if Donald Trump does not succeed in the US presidential election, we can see the fall of Bitcoin. And vice versa.⚠️
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Analysis==>>DUMP==>>Filling GapsBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently moving in the Support zone ($70,100-$68,420) and near the Support line .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin was able to complete main wave 4 ( although with a little irregular movement ).
I expect Bitcoin will break the Support line soon , and the main wave 5 can be finished in one of the Potential Reversal Zones(PRZs) and filling the CME Gaps one by one .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.