Attempting to predict bottom $BTCNothing to be taken seriously - I'm no expert.
30% down after breaking 200 MA on the weekly. This particular percentage downward has occurred twice before, after breaking 200 MA.
Using a trend based fib extension the 1.618 mark is not far of from above mentioned bottom target.
Leaving potential buy zones between 17900 and 15500.
We shall wait and see what the mark has to offer.
Btc-bottom
Bitcoin surprise moveIt might not make much sense in the current mood because the majority of market participants expect either more downside or sideways price action for the next 12/18 months, but I feel the real surprise would be an upside move.
A strong move, forcing the many in disbelief to rush in mid-to-late on the way to an early top somewhere in the low 6 figures range.
I give this idea a 60% confidence rate.
Bitcoin where is bottom? - Levels to watch for BTCTook while to publish new idea because of some private stuff and very busy with with making better improvement with @HeWhoMustNotBeNamed on our scripts for Harmonic patterns.
Couple is reason why I post here and now is just to publish again on TV some public TA. Maybe I'm wrong this time, maybe bottom is far away or BTC already make bottom (it's in zone what I publish and talked with some of my friends year ago). But this is some levels and possible EW what I looking atm.
Back in January 2022 when most "influencers" post moon charts here and on social media I replay to some of tweets that I not agree with new ATH before we see good correction.
On screenshoot above that is tweet when I tweeted with some friends.
First I want to share here monthly chart and level what is interesting to me. That is 13880 (on Bitstamp exchange). Back in December 2017 that is level where candle close (January 2018 open or yearly open). We can see after 547 days or 17 months or almost year and half, we tested that level to tick and get hard rejected (almost tested last low (drop to 3850 and most mention bottom was 3122.28). Later Oct' - Nov' 2020 when finally Bitcoin reached again that level and broke BULL run started.
Like I mention on Tweeter (like you see on first screenshoot) I was wondering what can be Elliott Wave for this scenario if we get there and broke under last bull run (19666 back in 17 September 2017). This is what I guess atm is possible EW count.
I have two possible scenario for diagonal ending (because of some important levels (little bit more zoom on last part of diagonal ending and levels to watch).
One very important thing is what I'm not very positive for this TA is rest of market (looks to me still alts need to go more down, BTC dominance is low, need to go more high) but maybe for sake of bulls I'm right and soon we'll see some push up. Be careful.
REMEMBER
▶ You don't need to catch bottom, you can always wait for confirmation (if this is bottom will be nice bull run and you can buy on pull back)
▶If you are holder (not trader) always is good idea to add in your portfolio on some specific levels instead to buy all in just one level (keep in mind to have Stop where is your idea invalid or you can be bag holder, what I tweets a lots of time on top for ALTS, they are now 70 -95% drop).
Stay safe and good hunting
BTCUSDT LONG TERM LONG IDEAWhat happened in the past does not have to happen in the future. but I have a lot of reasons to think that btc is at the bottom. I think that it will rise up to 25000 levels without making new bottoms and giving a buying opportunity, similar to the past. This does not mean that a big rally is starting. I just think the market is too pessimistic right now. if btc makes a new low i will give up on this idea.
BTC Break downOn the 2 weed LOG chart you can see how the pattern falls over, Its getting to the point where it breaks down according to the 4 year :\"bare bottom" cycle
On some major trend lines it has already broken down but you cant see it on the daily chart.
Channel pattern below represents the price structure on how it normally flows.
S2F BTC 2WHaving kept a close eye this last 2 years on the Stock to Flow for BTC, I had noticed each time the S2F spiked on the 2W chart, a large move in price action shortly follows.
As BTC broke the recent 17.5 bottom and formed a lower bottom at 15.5, there was a significant spike in the S2F data as shown on the chart.
Awaiting more data with the S2F Model Value to spike as it has many times previously.
This could be seen as some relief and good news for the miners.
Happy Trading!
BE CAREFUL !!! BTC Might Still Go Down1. Daily Close at $15.6K with no long wick indicates overwhelming selling pressure while buying demand stays the same/diminishes
2. All Ichimoku Indicators pointing a big bearish movement on Daily, alongside 2 big bearish candlesticks (strong bearish momentum)
3. R:R of 1:2 | Entry/TP/SL; that is widely used for this indicator on Daily Time Frame, is shown above
4. All of these indicate that BTC might still have one more big move down, before a potential true bottom
5. Best scenario would be a daily close at $12K zone with a long wick to $10K zone with a big volume (possibly touching $9,8K)
The safest way to invest is still by DCAing your best coin (make sure you do an extensive research)
Trading in future market right now is very risky, only do this if you are confident in your R:R TP/SL and your analysis
All eyes on Binance and FTX/Alameda deal now (which has gone sour)
Should FTX deliver a good news/FTT go up (which is very unlikely), crypto market might recover
Should FTX be the 2nd LUNA, expect a market capitulation
THIS IS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE
Where is the bottom?!Well, first support area is located at 19800 - 17200 Dollars but I don't think this is the bottom (because of macroeconomics situation) so it will break.
Second support area is located at 14000 - 12000 Dollars. I think it will be the real bottom of BTC.
Don't fight with the trend, if you do that you will be destroy.
Good Luck <3
We bottom around 9k in December 2022? Please see chart.A minor run to 21k then a dump to 13k probably, sideways, then another dump to 9k where we bottom out. I am not going to trade it to 21k, too risky.
Well, this supports the four year cycle theory. People call for 2023 bearish and 5k target, but I believe that we will go sideways from 9k, for half a year, then have a new bull run, I don't know how high we might get - I suppose the 21-22k region will be met with harsh resistance, since it is the ATH of previous cycle + the entire three bull run support line. 2018 till 2019 we went from 3000 to 13000, which is around 4x roughly. A 2x isn't all that bad to be honest. I do think we will break it in 2024 but we will never truly see a new all time high. Because this bull run was supported by the intense money printing that was unprecedented.
BTC - Finding the BottomSo i have made out my chart, ive kept it simple and done simple time analysis as well
im expecting that by the end of the year (somewhere between october and mid jan) we should see btc somewhere around 8.2k
Personally, u should start ladder buying from 12k onwards
The green box represents the buying zone for btc
P.S. This will take time to play out since this is on the weekly timeframe
BTCUSD Potential Bottom, Longterm Monthly Outlook & DCA StratJudging by the Volume, I am quite confident a potential bottom might be in.
Unfortunately, i do expect a painfully boring and long consolidation phase after this.
During these months / years, i will try to DCA as much as possible.
good luck!