HelenP. I Bitcoin will decline to trend line, after impulse upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. A few moments ago, the price entered to consolidation, where it first declined to support 2, which coincided with the support zone and then rebounded up. Price started to grow to the top part of the range, which coincided with support 1 with one more support zone, after which BTC made a correction movement to the 2nd support level. Then, the price some time traded near this level, and when it fell to the support zone, where it reached the trend line, the price started to grow. In a short time, the price reached 1st support level and broke it, thereby exiting from consolidation and then rose even higher than the support zone, but later it turned around and made a correction movement to the trend line. After this move, BTC made a strong impulse up, reaching a new ATH (109600 points). But recently price made a small correction movement, so I expect that BTCUSDT will make move up, possibly reach a new ATH, and then continue to fall to the trend line. For this case, I set my goal near this line - at 103K points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTC-D
BITCOIN The March effect is about to kick-inTrump's inauguration took place yesterday and that's perhaps the one event that the markets have been waiting for to kick-start the year without distractions. On today's analysis we go through every January of Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) final year of its Bull Cycles and present to you what we will call from now on 'The March effect'.
As you can see, the price action coming to those January months is fairly similar between that last 4 Cycles. The price finds Support below its 1D MA100 (green trend-line), then breaks above it and with that as its new Support, it rises towards January where it starts the first Consolidation Phase. After a new Low near (or on) the 1D MA100, the market resumes the uptrend and rise towards March where again it starts a second Consolidation Phase.
As a result, January - March during the Bull Cycle's final year deliver this incredibly bullish sequence and we can claim that the phenomenon has already started as January 13 2025 was a close enough test for the 1D MA100. We are expecting a March peak around $130k.
So do you think we will see the 'March effect' unfold once more and if yes is $130k a plausible target in your opinion? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin’s Rollercoaster Ride:Trump Effect or Market Speculation?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has experienced strong ups and downs in the last 48 hours . One of the main reasons could be the inauguration of Donald Trump as the President of the United States , in which people and the crypto community expected Trump to talk about the crypto market in his speech .
In one of the first steps, Donald Trump appoints pro-Bitcoin Mark Uyeda to replace Gary Gensler as Chair of the SEC . But we have to see how Mark Uyeda will behave in reality .
Bitcoin's rise and fall over the past 48 hours created a new All-Time High(ATH) for Bitcoin .
Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($107,200-$105,500) .
The possibility of forming an Ascending Channel for Bitcoin in the 15-minute time frame and the upper line can be a Resistance line .
I expect Bitcoin to fal l to at least Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($107,632-$105,869) .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $100,807-$99,382
Note: If Bitcoin goes above $108,300, we should expect a new All-time High(ATH).
What do you think about the next movements of Bitcoin? Can Bitcoin make a new All-time High(ATH) again?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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KOG CRYPTO - BTCQuick look at BTC as it seems to be top of the headlines at the moment. We had the level of 103k on this which is now completed.
We now have support at the 104.3 region and obviously bullish above. I would however like to see that higher level and Red box may be give us a RIP if targeted!
It will be interesting to see how this plays.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Breakout Potential and Targeted Upsidehello guys!
The Bitcoin (BTC) price chart shows a strong upward trend after breaking out from a key resistance level. The breakout occurred around January 20, 2025, when the price surged through a horizontal resistance zone. The bullish momentum suggests that the price is headed toward the next significant resistance level near $110,000, marked by a potential target zone highlighted on the chart.
what I see:
Breakout Confirmation: BTC has successfully broken out from a consolidation zone, as indicated by the strong upward movement after the breakout.
Bullish Channel: The price is trading within an upward-sloping channel, with the breakout occurring near the middle of the channel. This suggests that the market has significant upward potential.
Potential Resistance: The next critical resistance lies at the $110,000 level, and if the price continues to gain momentum, it could reach $115,000, as seen in the forecasted range.
Support Level: A major support level lies near $99,000, which could provide a strong base for any short-term pullbacks.
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BITCOIN This is what followed Trump's previous inaugurationBitcoin / BTCUSD appears to be repeating almost the exact same pattern of Trump's 2016 election win.
The chart on the right shows that a Bull Flag set the stage for the Nov 8th 2016 elections, after which the price rallied near the 2.0 Fib extension and consolidated until Trump's Jan 20th 2017 inauguration.
What followed after that was an immediate rally a little over the 3.0 Fibonacci.
With the 2024-2025 pattern being almost identical so far, we can expect a similar rally to the 3.0 Fib, which is a little over $150k.
Previous chart:
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Bitcoin Wyckoff Distribution 2025Some very concerning facts which I would like to share with you.
This looks like a perfect Wyckoff Distribution to me and I will also post another chart image below with other things to notice!
I can not post the wyckoff image here but go to this link and look for the SChematic #1 and compare for yourself! www.wyckoffanalytics.com
here the other chart:
Are you waiting for Altcoins to pump?BTC Dominance (BTC.D) hasn't dropped yet, and many of you might be losing patience. But as I see it, we won't see the bull run we're hoping for unless BTC.D falls below 57%. The big question is: how long can it hold at this level?
My advice: wait until it drops closer to 49%. Keep an eye on whether it breaks through this resistance. If it doesn't, expect BTC.D to find support at this level and continue its dominance.
I’ll share one more chart that’s crucial for the upcoming bull run, so make sure to follow me for the updates!
BTC's Situation: What Shall we Expect !!!As I mentioned, the price increased and broke the wedge, but now we are at a very important point that could determine the future of crypto. Tomorrow and the day after, during President Trump's inauguration ceremony, the price might go up a bit more due to excitement. However, we need to pay attention to President Trump's executive orders in the early days of his presidency, as this could have the greatest impact on crypto. So be careful. Hoping for the best.
From a technical perspective, the price may undergo a slight correction and drop to the 0.618 line before rising to $109k dollars.
previous Analysis
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BITCOIN → Correction before further flight to 112-120KBINANCE:BTCUSD surprises everyone again with this week's rally. After retesting the panic and risk zone, when many started selling, the price turned around and flew 18% in a few days....
One week old idea: BITCOIN → Retest of key support. What can happen?
There could be several factors behind the gains that have been forged over the past 3 days:
New reports point to increased activity from major players, including institutional investors,
Trump's upcoming inauguration, the crypto community is expecting the new president to take active steps. And overall, the bullish three-day run is a combination of macroeconomic factors, technical breakdown and fundamental confidence in the future of cryptocurrencies. All of this created a strong bullish momentum that attracted new buyers and increased institutional investor interest.
From a technical perspective, the 100K and 102.5K area plays an important role for me. If the bulls can keep the price above this zone, the growth will continue in the medium term.
Support levels: 102.5K, 100K
Resistance levels: 103.6K, 105.7K, 107.5K
Technically, at the moment, a pre-breakdown situation is forming on H1 against the support at 102.8. Accordingly, bitcoin may form a correction to both 100K and 97.5K. But, if the fall will quickly recover or the bulls will keep the defense above 100-102.5K, then further we can count on growth up to 108-112K.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin can enter to seller zone and then start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see how the price some time traded near the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and then rebounded up, after which it started to trades inside the pennant. In pennant, price at once rebounded from the resistance line and dropped to the support line, but soon BTC turned around and made impulse up. Price rose back, after which made a correction to the buyer zone and then continued to grow. Later, BTC reached the resistance line of the pennant, breaking it, exiting from the pennant pattern, and soon breaking the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone. Next, the price reached new ATH (108K) and then made impulse down inside the wedge, to support line, breaking the 96500 level. But soon, the price turned around and bounced up, so, after this BTC some time traded between support level until it later dropped to the support line of the wedge again and then started to grow. Bitcoin rose to the resistance line of the wedge, breaking the 96500 level, and then corrected the support line of the wedge, where it made a strong impulse up to the resistance level, thereby exiting from the wedge pattern. Now, I think that price can enter to seller zone and then start to decline. For this case, I set my TP at 101K points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin Dominance Makes Its Re-Test Perfect Today!Trading Fam,
Our retest here on the Bitcoin Dominance chart couldn't have gotten any more perfect. Does this mean that the altcoin/memecoin sell-off is finally nearing an end? Me thinks it does. And with Trump releasing his and his family's memecoins just days before his inauguration, this is a clear sign that he supports the market.
Of course, the TRUMP memecoin did suck millions in market cap away from other tokens, as traders arbitraged into the $TRUMP coin. But we could see a bit of a sell-the-news event on this token after his inauguration is complete. Then, traders may sell their profits and move back into older positions again. If you believe this as a possibility, it may be time to start picking up some of your favorite memecoins and alts again.
✌️ Stew
BITCOIN: Just bounced on the former 4 year Resistance.Bitcoin is staging an incredible rebound on the nearly 4 year HH Resistance Zone, while being on a bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 61.575, MACD = 1366.600, ADX = 28.907) and a borderline overbought 1W, which really sets the tone for the rest of the bull market. This turns the former Resistance Zone into a Support, as this is the first test and bounce since it broke in November after the U.S. elections.
Symmetrically, the rally since August 5th 2024 looks like the rejection since November 8th 2021. Like the rejection reached the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, we expect the current bullish wave to do the same thing. A TP = 200,000 can be easily achieved under these conditions.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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GOLD (XAUUSD) Extraordinary SELL ComingGold (XAU/USD) Trading Signal and Analysis
Current Price: 2,743 USD
Sentiment: Bullish momentum continues despite potential volatility linked to macroeconomic factors, including Trump's return and increased demand for safe-haven assets by financial institutions.
Technical Outlook:
The price is currently testing a high zone between 2,743 and 2,751, approaching the upper boundary of its recent bullish range.
A retracement is anticipated, targeting at least 30% of Fibonacci retracement, aligning with a move toward the lower band of the Bollinger Band.
Signal:
Sell Zone: Enter short positions between 2,743 and 2,751.
Target: Aim for a price level near 2,670 on higher timeframes.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss according to your portfolio risk tolerance. Position it slightly above 2,760 to account for potential breakouts.
Analysis and Strategy:
Macro Factors: Bullish pressure is driven by demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. However, retracement is expected due to market corrections and profit-taking.
Technical Indicators:
Anticipated correction aligns with Fibonacci 30% retracement.
Bollinger Bands suggest a possible pullback towards the lower band as price reverts to the mean.
Support:
Support Zones: 2,670, with a minor level at 2,680.
Resistance Zones: 2,751–2,760.
Recommendation: Use position sizing and stop-loss placement that align with your portfolio's risk management strategy. Adjust take-profit targets if momentum extends the retracement.
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Bitcoin - Lofty Promises, Disturbing Results: My Crypto Journey.I make no claim to know where Bitcoin is headed. All I know is my opinion on it, and my feelings about cryptocurrencies in general, especially how they've evolved over the years. My sense continues to tell me that things are very wrong with crypto, and that eventually it's going to fade into the uncomfortable past, a kind of failed experiment. Back in 2022, I thought that if it gets bigger and bigger, it's a general symptom of wealth concentration, exploitation, and mass delusion. I don't think this technology is beneficial to society, as it extracts both attention and resources from its participants. Unless, of course, you can manage to be one of those who profits and then turns their profits into material wealth and/or positive change.
Looking at my own personal timeline for my sentiment about crypto, let's see how I ended up here:
November, 2017 : I am out of college for over a year now. I've been working a tough sales job for a year and I'm beginning to get burned out. I hear about Bitcoin from a friend. "if you buy in at $10K, sell at $20k and double your money." I then learn about Bitcoin and think, well, things are pretty bleak in the world right now. I don't know what I'm doing with my life. What if the banks collapse and I'm left with nothing? Bitcoin seems like a viable alternative. I buy out of fear, around $13.8k. Then, I see my value go up. Greed takes over. I go down a rabbit hole, learning about altcoins such as XRP, XLM, and LTC. Even XRB, which later becomes Nano. What if any of these becomes the next Bitcoin?
January, 2018: I think that I should have just cashed out. I must have bought the top. But, what if it all comes back even stronger? I could be rich. I pull out part of my initial investment and watch the rest continue to spiral downwards. I quit my job out of burnout.
May, 2018: Bitcoin continues to make lower highs. I start working that crazy sales job again part-time, as I need the money while the bear market persists.
December, 2018: All hope seems lost. I quit my sales job, again out of burnout and deciding I don't want to do this the rest of my life. I'm 25 years old. Then, I decide to look for reasons price might go up again, which would also then save me from having to go back to work again. I could just be an artist full time. I get into TA, thinking that it's kind of like art. Instead of working on my actual art or writing as much as I want to, I create all sorts of trendlines and other visual and fundamental reasons crypto could come back even stronger than before. I prepare. I buy ETH around $100. I'm now posting regularly on TradingView. I start figuring out which coins I want to load up on for the next bull run.
April, 2019: The market is back. I'm pretty sure the bottom is in. I'm gonna make it. I continue to post about various cryptocurrencies on tradingview, although I begin to feel worried about altcoins. Will they survive through the next cycle?
October, 2019: The market is volatile. Bitcoin finally hits $10K again, though there's something strange going on. Is price being manipulated?
February, 2020: Things are starting to feel precarious. ETH has done better now, boosting my portfolio back towards break even for the first time. The COVID crash is immanent. I've decided on a career to pursue.
March, 2020: Panic. Markets are screwed. I'm going down with the ship. I'm too scared to buy more because everything feels apocalyptic.
September, 2020: I begin grad school. While working mostly from home and attending classes remotely, I have a lot of time on my hands to post crypto analysis. I want to invest more, but I have very little income as a student. I feel that price is about to explode upwards. However, in grad school I'm also learning a lot about systems and becoming more and more skeptical about whether crypto would bring about any positive change to financial systems.
February, 2021: ETH has broken all-time high. I'm in significant profit. I'm checking my portfolio all the time. Will the altcoins rally soon?
Spring - Summer 2021: There's a huge amount of dumping. What's going on here? Why does Elon Musk have so much influence over this market? I thought it was supposed to be decentralized. Tweets are having a huge effect on the market. Should I sell? No, I think it's just a correction. I'm right, at least for now.
December, 2021: I'm feeling pretty bullish. Bitcoin made a significant new all-time high. But, something is tingling underneath my skin. I can't quite shake it. What's going on with this LUNA coin? A number of things are starting to unravel in my mind. For example, El Salvador recently made Bitcoin legal tender, but the response was very tepid. It's not seeming very practical at all. If it's not a viable currency, then what is it? I think about Elon Musk. I think about Michael Saylor and his defrauding of investors during the dotcom boom. I allow the cognitive dissonance I've been experiencing completely take over.
January - February, 2022: My feelings culminate. I decide to let go of all my crypto, realizing that it's not playing out ideally how I'd hoped. Plus, I'm in significant profit now. The forces that have taken advantage and control in traditional markets and the broader economy have latched themselves onto the cryptocurrency market, where investors are easily exploitable. The Super Bowl happens. Crypto starts to feel more and more like a joke. Who is really profiting from all this? NFT's are also irking me.
May, 2022: I finish grad school. Terra LUNA collapses, shortly after I speculated it would. For the rest of the year, I feel validated in my feelings about crypto. FTX collapses later that year, and although in hindsight it marked the bottom of the bear market, I'm hopeful that people will stay far away from this market in years to come. I am optimistic about my own financial future, as I now have a stable career. Later in the year, I make some money day trading, but I eventually stop since it's distracting me from my work.
July, 2023: I continue with my new career in the mental health field. I'm 30 years old. XRP was deemed not a security when sold to retail investors, but a security when sold to initial institutional investors. I am disappointed in this outcome, as I disagree and believe many altcoins like XRP are clear securities. I'm glad to be paying less attention to the crypto market.
January, 2024: Against my speculation and to my disappointment, Bitcoin ETF's are approved. I stubbornly stay away from the market, believing the ETFs to be another cash grab and an opportunity for existing holders to cash out, particularly those whales who have been on the stablecoin side of things - the orchestrators behind USDD, USDT, etcetera.
August, 2024: Ripple is only fined a tiny fraction of the initial request by the SEC for selling unlicensed securities. This opens the floodgates for money to pour back into altcoins, and for more ETFs to eventually be created.
November, 2024: Bitcoin finally makes a significant new all-time high after Trump is re-elected. It had been consolidating for much of the year, seeming at times that it would break down and not push past its previous high.
January, 2025: Trump is back in office. There's volatility across the market. Many are hopeful that his presidency will bear fruit for crypto holders. Meanwhile, he creates his own meme tokens and profits enormously from them, not unlike the numerous crypto grifters from years past, the grifters that took hold of the market and told me to stay away. I feel upset that price went against my speculation, though also vindicated. Crypto is exactly what I realized it was. My opinion has not changed. It's just another bulky asset, though one where the corruption is far more transparent than it is in the world of traditional finance. Even though it's there for all to see, not much is being done about it. Typical, really, of this current era of deregulation and apathy. Michael Saylor continues to hoard more and more. It's just the plaything of the wealthy now. It's what some people always wanted Bitcoin to become, but the antithesis of what many thought it represented.
I'm happy with my career, and I feel good knowing I invested in myself and did not continue to chase cryptocurrencies. After all, it's better to be able to generate capital myself than wait for someone else to do it for me. It's a more certain future for me, with much less speculation. I'm also able to pay off everything from grad school with my profits from the last bull market.
Bitcoin active addresses have not grown since 2017. studio.glassnode.com
It is hoarding, and hoarding through custodians. Plus, those who were already into it just kept buying. A few left entirely. And a few wealthy players began accumulating.
Now for a little TA:
This is the structure I'm looking at for Bitcoin. Failure to push back above that orange trendline has resulted in a rejection so far. This chart should give an idea as to the various extremes price can take over the coming days/weeks:
This is the longer term BLX chart, showing diminishing returns curved trendlines. If Bitcoin continues to follow this shape, the peak could be limited to $160-170K if reached this year. That is, if it has not already hit the top.
The bottom of this structure is comfortably at a major level - near $30k.
This bullish structure would need to break down to confirm a bearish period:
Right now, the chart LOOKS bullish, but it's important to pay attention to the other signals, the other things going on behind the scenes. Public perception is important as well. The monthly chart appears bullish until the 9 EMA (near $80k now) is lost. The ultimate oscillator continues to show a longer term bearish divergence:
The weekly chart can look like a tweezer top with a failed high if price cannot push back above $108k later this week.
If that push up is successful, I think price can rally up towards $160k before profit taking begins in real earnest again.
Let's see what happens!
Thank you for going on this journey with me, especially if you've followed me since the earlier days. As always, this post represents my personal opinion and is in no way intended as financial advice.
-Victor Cobra
Bitcoin at Resistance: Expanding Triangle Hold=>Last Chance!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving in the Resistance zone($104,700-$101,920) , near the upper lines (resistance role) of the Expanding Triangle Pattern , Monthly Resistance(1) , and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin seems to be moving in an Expanding Triangle Pattern during the last 30 days . If the upper line is validly broken, this pattern will be failed.
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin can move in an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) in the 4-hour time frame . Bitcoin is currently completing microwave 5 of the main wave C . If Bitcoin touches $107,000 , the possibility of this corrective pattern being failed is very high.
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $100,000 .
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $107,000, we can expect BTC to make a new All-time High(ATH).
Note: There is also the possibility of Bulltrap formation.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin - 4H let's understand the where we are!Following the USA election, the crypto market experienced a significant rally, seemingly pricing in expectations around the Inauguration of Donald Trump. As the market has likely anticipated much of the impact from potential upcoming policies, we could see oscillations between sharp rises and falls in the coming days. A downward correction appears more probable as the immediate effects seem baked into current prices.
Technical Analysis: BINANCE:BTCUSDT broke out of a trading range, achieving its target with a ~9% rise, equivalent to the range's height.
The price hunted liquidity above the previous highs, which reinforces the possibility of a fall.
A decline from the current zone is likely, with key support zones highlighted on the chart.
📈 Watch for reaction near $102,600 and $100,100 zones.
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