Bitcoin’s Rally Fades Below Resistances — Bearish Wave Setup!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall as I expected in the previous idea , but failed to break the Heavy Resistance zone($110,000-$105,820) .
Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($107,520-$105,940) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($106,720-$105,948) , and the Resistance lines .
From the perspective of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed a main wave 4 near the Resistance lines. The structure of the main wave 4 was a Double Three Correction(WXY) . One of the signs of the completion of the main wave 4 could be the Evening Star Candlestick Pattern .
I expect Bitcoin to decline to at least Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($103,666-$102,800) AFTER breaking the Support line , and the next target is the Support zone($102,000-$107,120) .
Note: Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine could help drive down Bitcoin.
Note: If Bitcoin touches $107,600, we can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC-D
Bitcoin may break support level and continue to fall in channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Previously, price was moving inside a horizontal range, consolidating between resistance and the buyer zone near 103500 - 102900. The market lacked clear direction, and price repeatedly rebounded within this structure, failing to build strong momentum either way. Eventually, BTC exited the range and began forming a downward channel. This shift introduced a clear bearish bias, with each high being lower than the previous one. Price action started respecting the descending resistance and support lines, confirming the structure. Sellers consistently stepped in from the seller zone near 109000 - 109500, pushing the price downward with each retest. Currently, BTC is hovering around the support level at 103500 points, showing short-term weakness. The latest reaction from this area didn’t generate significant bullish follow-through. In my view, BTC is likely to break through this support and continue falling inside the channel. That’s why I’ve placed my TP at 100600 points, which matches the support line of the channel and offers a logical downside target. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin Looks Set for a Dip Before Its Next Big MoveRight now, Bitcoin is showing signs of cooling off after a solid run-up over the past few weeks. Looking at the chart, it seems like BTC is struggling to break through that descending trendline—it’s been rejected there more than once, and now it's likely heading lower in the short term.
Here’s what seems most likely: price pulls back toward the $99,000 support zone (highlighted in purple on the chart). That area has acted as a solid floor before, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see buyers step in again.
After that? If support holds and we see some momentum return, BTC could start climbing again. the chart suggests a potential breakout to the upside, maybe even pushing toward a new all-time high (ATH) above $114,000.
In simple terms: expect a short-term dip, but keep an eye out for a strong bounce—this could just be a healthy pullback before the next big leg up.
for summary:
Short-term dip likely, targeting ~$99K
Strong support there—watch for a bounce
If it holds, BTC might push toward new highs
Bitcoin Bullish Bias Becomes Stronger —New All-Time High EasyWith every day that passes and Bitcoin doesn't move below 100K the bullish bias becomes stronger. It is a death sentence for the bears. Bitcoin can't never move lower as long as the $100-$102,000 mega support barrier continues intact. And it hasn't been tested yet.
Good afternoon my fellow Cryptocurrency genius, how are you feeling today?
The market gives, the market also takes.
When looking at Bitcoin with a short-term mindset, everything is possible, it is hard to predict what will happen next but, when we focus on the actual price action, no doubt remains. Let me explain.
It doesn't matter if a candle is big or small...
It doesn't matter if Michael Saylor and the ETFs are buying or selling Bitcoin, what matters most is resistance and support.
Bitcoin's strong long-term mega-support remains intact and that is $102,000. Bitcoin is hyper-bullish above $100,000 and this is obvious. We are near the all-time high and the closer the action happens to resistance, the stronger the market. As Bitcoin moves sideways, consolidation, the altcoins will grow.
The altcoins cannot grow if Bitcoin is going to crash and yet the altcoins are starting to recover and some are looking great. I will continue to share more and the more I share the more convinced you will become that the next major move is up. We are set to experience growth long-term.
Aim higher, we are now-already in the 2025 bull market.
Never short Bitcoin within a bull market.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Turns Bullish, What To Expect—$200,000 New All-Time HighWe have good news here. Bitcoin continues trading above $100,000-$102,000, in fact, this range hasn't been tested as support so far and this is a bullish development. Not moving below 100K can lead to a new all-time high in the coming months.
What to expect short-term.
The action is bullish now and we see some rising volume. Very little volume but still rising with two green candles. We have multiple levels to consider.
1) The $106,000-$107,000 price range. This is the zone labeled "local resistance" on the chart. If Bitcoin manages to move and close above this level on a daily basis, we can say the bulls are back in. While Bitcoin trades below this level, market conditions remain bearish and you can expect lower prices. Right now it is still bearish.
2) Once this local resistance is broken the next resistance to consider sits around $110,000. As soon as Bitcoin breaks this level it is hyper-bullish and we can aim for 200K.
Let's visit the all-time high potential in late 2025.
» If Bitcoin crashes below 100K and reaches the low 90Ks or lower, then the 200K target for a new ath later this year becomes less likely.
» If Bitcoin never moves below 100K then 200K becomes a high probability target, makes sense?
Right now conditions are still bearish because Bitcoin trades below "local resistance." The small green candles are not enough and it is still too early to say. Market conditions remain the same.
A good scenario would be consolidation, sideways, before additional growth. This would produce the best possible conditions for the altcoins market to thrive and grow.
Namaste.
BITCOIN Is this even a possibility?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently on a short-term pull-back, following the impressive rally to new All Time Highs (ATH) from the April 07 bottom. This first 'serious' short-term relief correction has stopped on the former Lower Highs trend-line, which previous acted as a Resistance and is now holding the price from further downfall, acting potentially as Support.
This is the exact same price action that BTC had during its break-out from the previous Lower Highs trend-line last October. The symmetry between the two fractals is remarkable as not only did they both form their 1D Death Cross patterns on their bottoms and their 1D Golden Cross patterns on the Lower Highs break-out but also their Phase 1 rallies (1st Bullish Leg) have been exactly the same: +49.58%.
As a result, as long as the Pivot holds, there is a good chance we see a strong rebound, which if it holds the same total symmetry of the previous fractal, it should peak at +120%, which gives a $164000 Target.
Do you think that's even a possibility? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Bitcoin: $333,333 New ATH? The Bears Are Gone!Let's start with a question: How can Bitcoin be bearish while trading above $100,000? Please answer. How is that even possible?
How can Bitcoin be bearish when the price is $105,000+ at any point in time. How? It makes absolutely no sense. Think about it.
What is it that defines Bitcoin as either bearish or bullish? It's price.
What is Bitcoin's current price?
If you were ready to sell Bitcoin at $105,000 does that mean that the bull market is over for Bitcoin? Or does it mean that you expect for Bitcoin to recover after a correction or retrace?
If it is going to recover, then how long would such an imagined correction last?
How far down would that correction go?
You know the problem with answering all those questions don't you?
The problem is that they are all in your head, based on imagination, because Bitcoin is not going down instead it has been going up now for almost two months. Straight up.
The fact that Bitcoin remains trading above 100K, safely, opens the doors for 200K. 200K means 100% growth left in the coming months and this is guaranteed based on the state of the altcoins market. We are all one.
Before you give up on Bitcoin remember the easiest of all cycles, the halving. Bull market year happens the year after the halving. Bitcoin's block reward is cut in half. Less Bitcoins, increasing demand = higher price.
It is going up. There is still so much room left for growth that you would be surprised to know, this is only the start.
Bitcoin might be preparing for the bull market of its life, 10 years growing straight up non-stop.
There is no bear-market. There is no correction. There is no retrace, there is no pause.
The data is already in, the bears are gone.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Daily: It Will Go Lower, I Will Explain WhyIt is hard to make these predictions because there are so many different points of view, so many opinions. There is so much data available that one can easily become confused. We can write an entire book about Bitcoin's next move and still not know what will happen next. I will keep it simple and straight forward and you will be able to understand and appreciate how easy it is when we focus on the chart only. Bitcoin is breaking below 100K.
Bitcoin is already trading at support. The mid-May consolidation range. From this range Bitcoin produced an advance and hit a new all-time high. The all-time high is a triple-top when we take the highs from January 2025 and December 2024. The fact that the action happens below this level now is bearish and this range has been confirmed as resistance.
The market will look for strength and this simply means lower.
Since resistance has been confirmed after a 50% rise, it is normal to see a retrace, can be medium-sized to balance out the strong-long bullish wave. Bullish action was present between 7-April until 22-May, 45 days.
The current retrace can take only a few weeks, think about 15-21 June as a rough estimate but nothing more (can end much sooner).
If you are unprepared and don't have map of the bigger picture, this can become terrifying and even lead to poor decisions at some point. If you know that this is only a retrace and the market will continue growing after a test above 90K, you can rest easy or even take advantage of this situation.
Now, what Bitcoin does is not the entire market. In a bull market, when Bitcoin moves down, money flows to the Altcoins. When Bitcoin goes sideways, the Altcoins grow. So dynamics will be much, much different now compared to what you saw in 2024, 2023 and 2022. The way the market will behave it is basically new for most participants.
The conclusion is that all is good and the chart is pointing lower short-term. After a short-term retrace, we get additional growth. Simple isn't it? It is...
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
BTC NewUpdate (2H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
As we had identified in the previous analysis, the price could have reversed to the upside from either the upper or lower green zone. It seems that the orders in the upper green zone were sufficient.
Given the break of the trigger line, the area marked by the yellow circle is now a key zone for us. If the price pulls back to this yellow circled area, it could move toward the red zone. And if the red zone is broken, we might witness a new all-time high (ATH).
The closure of a 4-hour candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC - Will BTC fill the 4H inbalance at $107.400Bitcoin (BTC) is currently exhibiting a clear downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe. During the most recent downward move, it left behind an imbalance, specifically, a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), which the price is now retracing toward. This area represents a potential zone of interest for entering a short position, given the prevailing bearish structure.
At the same time, BTC is approaching the golden pocket of the Fibonacci retracement, a level often watched by traders for potential reversals. This zone coincides with a former support level that provided multiple bounces in the past, but has now flipped into a potential resistance. The confluence of these factors could add significant selling pressure.
It’s important to note that BTC does not necessarily need to reach the imbalance zone to resume its downward movement. However, the presence of that FVG remains a relevant detail to monitor in case price action does continue higher before reversing.
Thanks for your support.
- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!
- Drop a like and leave a comment!
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) - Price Testing 26EMA and 12EMA - Daily ChartBitcoin (BTCUSDT) price is currently testing the 26EMA and 12EMA price levels on the Daily chart.
Bitcoin price has been in a medium-term uptrend since April and May 2025.
However, a short-term downtrend pullback has occurred and the price recently bounced up from the 26EMA zone ($104,000).
A morning star candle price pattern printed above the 26 EMA support line.
Large buyer volume could confirm the price candle pattern and Bitcoin price could rally up above 12EMA resistance ($106,000).
If price continues to reject and fall below $106,000 the downtrend would likely continue into June 2025.
Breaking news and stock market correlations could affect the price of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies.
Tariff news and trade deals are supposed to occur throughout June and July 2025.
Explanation of indicators indicating high points
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
If it falls below the finger point indicated by the OBV indicator, it can be interpreted that the channel consisting of the High Line ~ Low Line is likely to turn into a downward channel.
And, if it falls to the point indicated by the arrow, it is expected that the channel consisting of the High Line ~ Low Line will turn into a downward channel.
Therefore, if it is maintained above the point indicated by the finger, I think it is likely to show a movement to rise above the High Line.
In this situation, the price is located near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, so its importance increases.
To say that it has turned into a short-term uptrend, the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
In that sense, the 106133.74 point is an important support and resistance point.
(1W chart)
The HA-High indicator is showing signs of being created at the 99705.62 point.
The fact that the HA-High indicator has been created means that it has fallen from the high point range.
However, since the HA-High indicator receives the value of the Heikin-Ashi chart, it indicates the middle point.
In other words, the value of Heikin-Ashi's Close = (Open + High + Low + Close) / 4 is received.
Since the HA-High indicator has not been created yet, we will be able to know for sure whether it has been created next week.
In any case, it seems to be about to be created, and if it maintains the downward candle, the HA-High indicator will eventually be created anew.
Therefore, I think it is important to be able to maintain the price by rising above the right Fibonacci ratio 2 (106178.85).
Indicators that indicate high points include DOM (60), StochRSI 80, OBV High, and HA-High indicators.
Indicators that indicate these high points are likely to eventually play the role of resistance points.
Therefore,
1st high point range: 104463.99-104984.57
2nd high point range: 99705.62-100732.01
You should consider a response plan depending on whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
The basic trading strategy is to buy at the HA-Low indicator and sell at the HA-High indicator.
However, if it is supported and rises in the HA-High indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise rise, and if it is resisted and falls in the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise decline.
Therefore, the basic trading method should utilize the split trading method.
Other indicators besides the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are auxiliary indicators.
Therefore, the trading strategy in the big picture should be created around the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, and the detailed response strategy can be carried out by referring to other indicators according to the price movement.
In that sense, if we interpret the current chart, it should be interpreted that it is likely to show a stepwise rise since it has risen above the HA-High indicator.
However, you can choose whether to respond depending on whether there is support from other indicators that indicate the high point.
On the other hand, indicators that indicate the low point include the DOM (-60), StochRSI 20, OBV Low, and HA-Low indicators.
These indicators pointing to lows are likely to eventually serve as support points.
I will explain this again when the point pointing to the lows has fallen.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
BTC Scalping / Intraday Signal – Entry, Stop & Target Ready!🕒 Timeframe: 15min / 5min
⚠️ Note: Manage your risk — intraday volatility is high.
This is a short-term opportunity, not a long hold.
Disclaimer: This is our personal analysis and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.
💬 What’s your take on this? Drop your thoughts in the comments and feel free to share this with your friends! ❤️
AAVEUSDT → A false breakdown provokes a change of characterBINANCE:AAVEUSDT.P maintains a bullish market structure. The coin is consolidating, with bulls trying to hold their ground above the key support line.
Against the backdrop of a correction, the price is testing liquidity, with a false breakdown of support provoking a change in character to bullish within the local timeframe. Bulls are trying to maintain the bullish structure.
The price is breaking through the resistance of local consolidation, forming a change in character, but before growth, the market may close the gestalt in the form of an order block or liquidity located in the 249.5 zone.
Support levels: 249.11, 240.0
Resistance levels: 274.27, 280.47
Technically, the coin looks quite good and promising overall. If the bulls hold their ground in the 249-250 zone, then in the short to medium term, we could see good movement with the possibility of new highs...
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTC/USDT CHART UPDATE !!Chart Pattern: Inverted Head and Shoulders (iH&S)
The chart shows a classic reversal pattern of the head and shoulders formation.
Left Shoulder: Late January 2025
Head: April 2025
Right Shoulder: Potentially forming near current levels (~$100K–$102K)
This bullish reversal pattern often leads to a strong bounce if the neckline is respected.
Support Zones:
$98,000 – $100,000: 50 EMA (red) and retest of the area near the neckline
$94,500 – $95,000: 200 EMA (green), last resort support
Resistance Levels:
$108,000 (horizontal neckline resistance)
$112,000 and $125,000 (bullish breakout targets)
Scenario Outlook
Bullish Case: If BTC maintains the $100K area and breaks above $108K with volume → rally towards $115K–$125 K.
Bearish Case: Breakdown below $94K invalidates the iH&S structure.
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
BTCUSD: This part may be the most exciting of all.Bitcoin is on an excellent bullish 1W technical outlook (RSI = 65.366, MACD = 6742.800, ADX = 33.478) unphazed by the recent short term pullback. This is because the Cycle is only now starting is strongest phase, at least based on the historic price action of the former Cycles. After the U.S. elections in November 2024, we've crossed above the Bear Cycle neckline and on all previous Cycles, that is where the parabolic rally started. How high it can go is anybody's guess and depends largely on fundamentals (adoption, ETF, Rate Cuts) but we can agree that we will see at least 150,000 before this Cycle ends.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
BTCUSD: Neutral but long term still intact.Bitcoin has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.968, MACD = 1795.700, ADX = 23.670) a direct consequence of last week's correction. That correction is though just a pullback on the 1W timeframe, which is more bullish than ever as it's coming off a May 1W MACD Bullish Cross. Since the 1W MA50 supported April's bottom and produced the current rebound (even ATH has been made) that also respected the powerful P1 trendline, this is a bullish wave similar to all prior since the late 2022 Bear Cycle bottom. As all 3 rallied by +100%, we can stay bullish aiming for 150,000 towards the end of the year.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
BTCUSDT – Ready for the next downward move🚀 Trade Setup Details:
🕯 #BTC/USDT 🔽 Sell | Short 🔽
⌛️ TimeFrame: 15m
--------------------
🛡 Risk Management:
🛡 If Your Account Balance: $1000
🛡 If Your Loss-Limit: 1%
🛡 Then Your Signal Margin: $1369.86
--------------------
☄️ En1: 104838.38 (Amount: $136.99)
☄️ En2: 105096.3 (Amount: $479.45)
☄️ En3: 105280.29 (Amount: $616.44)
☄️ En4: 105464.61 (Amount: $136.99)
--------------------
☄️ If All Entries Are Activated, Then:
☄️ Average.En: 105190.14 ($1369.86)
--------------------
☑️ TP1: 104215.87 (+0.93%) (RR:1.27)
☑️ TP2: 103752.49 (+1.37%) (RR:1.88)
☑️ TP3: 103166.5 (+1.92%) (RR:2.63)
☑️ TP4: 102425.86 (+2.63%) (RR:3.6)
☑️ TP5: 101614.34 (+3.4%) (RR:4.66)
--------------------
❌ SL: 105957.69 (-0.73%) (-$10)
--------------------
💯 Maximum.Lev: 75X
⌛️ Trading Type: Swing Trading
‼️ Signal Risk: ⚠️ High-Risk! ⚠️
🔎 Technical Analysis Breakdown:
This technical analysis is based on Price Action, Elliott waves, SMC (Smart Money Concepts), and ICT (Inner Circle Trader) concepts. All entry points, Target Points, and Stop Losses are calculated using professional mathematical formulas. As a result, you can have an optimal trade setup based on great risk management.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Trading involves significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your research and trade responsibly.
💡 Stay Updated:
Like this technical analysis? Follow me for more in-depth insights, technical setups, and market updates. Let's trade smarter together!
GBPJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPJPY is currently respecting a clean ascending triangle formation on the 4H chart, with the 193.00 area acting as a strong support zone and higher lows continuing to form. This structure signals bullish pressure building up, and a breakout above the key resistance near 196.50 could trigger the next impulsive leg toward the 198.00 target. Price action is compressing along a clear trendline, and bulls are steadily stepping in on each dip—showing a textbook bullish continuation setup.
From a macro perspective, the yen remains fundamentally weak as the Bank of Japan maintains its ultra-loose monetary stance despite global tightening cycles. In contrast, the British pound is drawing strength from resilient UK economic data and expectations of at least one more rate hike from the Bank of England due to sticky core inflation. The widening yield differential between UK gilts and Japanese bonds continues to support GBPJPY upside, which is also visible in the broader risk-on market sentiment as equities hold firm globally.
Technically, GBPJPY has consistently respected trendline support and is coiling tightly under a known resistance zone, signaling that momentum is building for a significant move. Once the pair clears the 196.50 liquidity area, price is likely to surge quickly toward 198.00 as buy stops get activated. The 191.70–192.00 region remains the key invalidation level for this bullish outlook, and as long as that support holds, this setup remains highly favorable for bulls.
This pair is showing strong confluence of technical structure and fundamental drivers. A breakout above the triangle’s upper boundary could present a high-probability long opportunity with minimal drawdown. With momentum aligning and market sentiment supporting GBP strength, this could be a prime move to capture in the coming sessions.
BITCOIN Can the 4H MA200 hold and kickstart the next rally? Bitcoin (BTCUSD) almost hit on Saturday its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been holding since April 16, and immediately rebounded. So far the bullish reaction is moderate as the price action is still being restricted below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), which is now acting as the short-term Resistance.
The blue Arc pattern that BTC has formed in the past 3 weeks, resembles the last two peak formations and pull-backs since the early April bottom. On top of all this, the 4H RSI got oversold (30.00) actually for the first time since the April 07 bottom.
With the weakest rally of this long-term Bullish Leg being +16.06%, if the 4H MA200 holds and a 4H MA50 break-out confirms it, we can expect a minimum short-term rise of almost $120k (+16.06%).
Do you think that's what's coming next? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
HelenP. I Bitcoin can exit break trend line and continue to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After looking at the chart, we can see how the price declined and broke support 2, which coincided with the support zone. Then the price rose to the support zone but turned around and dropped to the trend line. After this movement, BTC started to grow inside an upward channel, where it soon rose to support 2, which soon broke it and continued to move up. In the channel, price rose to support 1 and some time traded near this level. Later, BTC broke it and rose to the resistance line of the channel and turned around, and dropped to support 1. And at the moment, it traded inside the resistance zone, which coincided with the support level. So, I expect that BTCUSDT will break the support level, which coincides with the trend line, and continue to decline, thereby exiting from upward channel. That's why I set my goal at 96000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bitcoin's Battle: $107K Resistance or $100K Support?Bitcoin is currently trading at $106,522, showing a consolidation pattern after a recent rally. The price has been moving between $103,000 and $107,000, with $107,000 acting as a strong resistance level. This ceiling has been tested several times but hasn’t been convincingly broken yet. On the flip side, $100,000 has proven to be a solid support, with buyers stepping in whenever the price dips near this key psychological level. If BTC breaks above $107,000, it could target $110,000 or higher; however, a drop below $100,000 might see it test $97,000 or lower.
From a technical standpoint, the 4H chart shows a short-term bullish trend line around $105,800, which has been holding the price up during small pullbacks. That said, there are signs of weakening momentum, the 30-day Rate of Change (ROC) is flashing a bearish divergence, hinting that the upward push might be losing steam. On the daily chart, the MACD has turned negative, which could signal a broader trend shift. For now, traders should keep an eye on whether BTC can push past $107,000 or if it falls below $100,000, as these breaks will likely dictate the next big move.
Looking at the bigger picture, Bitcoin’s price is being shaped by several external factors. Recent news, like the SEC dropping its lawsuit against Binance and a new crypto market structure bill in Congress, could bring more regulatory clarity and lift investor confidence. Economic uncertainty and tariff relief are also driving some to see BTC as a hedge, much like gold. Stablecoin market caps have hit all-time highs, suggesting more liquidity in the crypto space. But there’s a flip side: China’s heavy gold buying and the US-China tariff war could throw a wrench into BTC’s trajectory.
Analyst sentiment is split. Som e see a bearish flag pattern pointing to a potential drop to $97,000, while others are betting on a bullish surge to new highs, maybe $120,000 or even as far as $325,000. This consolidation phase could be the calm before a major breakout, either up or down. Keep an eye on volume and those key levels ($107,000 and $100,000) for hints about what’s next. As always, stay sharp, manage your risk, and keep up with the latest market updates!