Bitcoin is Ready to Pump Again==>>Short-termBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as I expected yesterday.
Bitcoin is moving near the Ascending Channel's lower line , Support lines , and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave 5 .
I expect Bitcoin to rise again from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Support zone($95,000-$93,500) .
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the Support zone($95,000-$93,500), there is a high probability that Bitcoin will go below $90,000.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
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BTC-D
Bitcoin price is on a crossroadHello, Traders!
After reaching a new ATH at $108k, Bitcoin experienced a significant drop following Jerome Powell's speech that the Fed cannot hold Bitcoin and is not seeking to change that, which seems to have caused some uncertainty in the market. As a result, BTC price saw a steep decline, but it recently rebounded, almost touching the $100k level again.
The current focus for Bitcoin is a critical support area at around $91k. This area has held up well in recent price action, and we saw a recovery bounce from this region again. There is a strong chance that BTC could revisit this support area in the coming days, and it could provide another opportunity for a potential rebound. This support area is essential because it represents a significant price range where buyers have stepped in to defend the uptrend.
If Bitcoin does test this zone again and holds above $91k, the probability of a further upward move remains high.
In addition to the immediate price action, there’s a key factor to consider: the monthly candle close. Bitcoin needs to close the current monthly candle above $96k for the market to maintain its bullish sentiment. A green monthly close at this level would provide strong confirmation that the overall trend remains intact and that BTC is on track for further price appreciation.
The next few days are critical for determining whether BTC can sustain momentum to close the month in the green. If Bitcoin can hold above $96k by the end of the month, it would signal that the upward trend is still in play and that a continuation toward higher levels could be on the horizon.
Looking ahead to next week, there are two possible scenarios:
1. Continued Support Test: Bitcoin may dip back towards the $91k support area. If this area holds strong, it could set up another bullish reversal, targeting a move back toward the $100k area or even beyond.
2. Break Below Support: If Bitcoin fails to maintain support in the $91k area, we could see further downside, potentially testing lower levels. In this case, caution is warranted, as the next major support zone would be considerably lower.
Conclusion
The next week could be crucial for Bitcoin’s price action. A monthly candle close above $96k would reinforce the bullish outlook, but if Bitcoin fails to hold support or closes the month in red, we may see more volatility in the near term.
Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
Bitcoin's Bullish Cycle📊 Bitcoin is currently in a bullish cycle on the 4H timeframe.
🔑 The key resistance area is around $99K-$100K, with a potential next target at $107K, while strong supports are identified at $94K and $92K.
✅ A pullback to the Point of Interest (POI) is expected, after which, if buyers demonstrate sufficient volume, Bitcoin could initiate another upward leg toward $102K-$107K.
⚠️ Trading carries risk; ensure proper research and risk management.
HelenP. I Bitcoin can make correction and then continue growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. In the chart, we can see how the price fell to the support level and some time traded near it and later broke this level and continued to decline to the trend line. After this movement, the price turned around and made impulse up, thereby reaching the 99500 level one more time and soon broke it again. Later, the price some time traded near this level and then continued to move up to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. When the price reached this level, it first made the correction and then made an impulse up, breaking the resistance level. After this, the price reached a new ATH (108K points) and then dropped to the trend line, breaking the resistance level again. Soon, BTC broke the trend line and fell to the support level, but a not long time ago it rebounded and started to move up. For this case, I expect that BTCUSDT will make small corrections and then continue to move up to the resistance level. That's why I set my goal at 105000 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Has BITCOIN reached its maximum and is a bear market coming?To make a prediction about Bitcoin’s next rally based on historical patterns, we should first examine the overall trends and how these increases and decreases have evolved in percentage terms.
Data observations:
337,000% increase -> 93% decrease
Massive increase, followed by a steep correction.
61,000% increase -> 86% decrease
Significant increase, but smaller than the first, and the decline was still close in percentage terms.
11,000% increase -> 84% decrease
Smaller increase, the decline remains large, but slightly milder.
2,000% increase -> 77% decrease
Significantly smaller increase compared to previous cycles, and the decline continued to moderate.
Observing a descending pattern:
The increases seem to be getting smaller and smaller with each cycle, and the decreases also tend to be less severe. This shows diminishing returns on increases and a reduction in market volatility.
Estimate for the next increase:
Given this pattern, the next percentage increase could be significantly smaller than the last one (2,000%). If we apply a progressive reduction coefficient, as was the case in previous cycles, the increase could be around:
~300%-500%.
This would mean a maximum increase of 5x from the low of the last cycle, and currently we have an increase of over 600%, that is, 6x. Is this ATH in this bull market?
To estimate the duration of the next Bitcoin uptrend, we can analyze how the duration of these uptrend cycles has evolved over time:
Historical data:
240 days
730 days
850 days
1050 days
Notes:
The increase in duration between cycles is not uniform, but follows a general trend of extending duration.
The duration increase intervals were:
From 240 -> 730: +490 days
From 730 -> 850: +120 days
From 850 -> 1050: +200 days
Analysis:
The duration extension appears to be accelerating moderately, with an irregular but generally increasing trend.
If this pattern continues, the next cycle could add between 200 and 300 days to the previous duration (1050 days).
Estimate:
The duration of the next cycle could be:
~1250-1350 days.
This estimate corresponds to a natural extension of Bitcoin cycles, reflecting wider adoption and lower volatility as the market becomes more mature.
DAY 2 - Daily BTC Update Yesterday's Update
I’ve dropped the chart to a daily timeframe to analyse signals that upward momentum could return. Here's what I’m seeing:
STOCH RSI: The indicator is nearing a cross, historically pointing to a potential bounce.
0.236 Fibonacci Level: The current candle at this level is a Dragonfly Doji, which, if confirmed by the next few candles, is often a signal for reversal.
Many of you have asked why markets dipped despite the 25bps rate cut. Here’s the insight:
Federal Reserve Outlook: The Fed has signalled fewer rate cuts in 2025, tempering market enthusiasm and creating uncertainty in risk assets, including Bitcoin.
BTC Exchange Net Outflows: Over the past 24 hours, 4,169 BTC have been removed from exchanges, continuing a two-day streak of net outflows. This suggests a decreasing supply of Bitcoin on exchanges, a possible sign that holders are moving assets to cold storage or other off-exchange wallets, signalling confidence in holding for the longer term.
Supply and Demand in Bitcoin
Understanding supply and demand is crucial for interpreting Bitcoin’s price movements:
Supply: When the supply of Bitcoin on exchanges decreases, as we’re seeing now, it often indicates that fewer people are willing to sell. Holders moving BTC to cold storage or off-exchange wallets typically signal confidence in Bitcoin’s future value and reduce the immediate availability for trading.
Demand: If demand for Bitcoin remains constant or increases while supply decreases, basic economic principles suggest that prices will likely rise. Conversely, if demand weakens while supply remains limited, the price can stagnate or fall.
Right now, the net outflows from exchanges suggest supply is tightening, setting the stage for potential upward price pressure if demand increases. Now we need to watch and wait for a TETHER print that often happens with increased demand.
Please give me a like if this has helped and see you again tomorrow :)
$BTC correction bottom is $85000All the fanboys—Crypto Rover, Ash Crypto, Satoshi Stacker, Banter, etc.—are singing the same tune: *"We're back!"* They claim CRYPTOCAP:BTC is still in a bullish pattern, that the December 20th -15% crash was just an anomaly, and so on.
As usual, these CRYPTOCAP:BTC enthusiasts are acting like PR agents for Blackrock and Sailor, hyping the market to attract your money.
If you're into altcoins, be cautious—the charts are telling a different story than their optimistic chatter.
Remember June 2024? They were promising rewards if CRYPTOCAP:BTC hit $80K by the end of the week. How generous! And yet, CRYPTOCAP:BTC dropped -31%, with many altcoins plunging -80% over the following three months.
I sent my weekly chart showing bearish divergence to all of them back then. None paid attention, and I was right.
This time, while we're not in an identical scenario (the weekly timeframe still looks bullish), the daily timeframe shows a clear downward trend. Until this plays out, there's no reason to get overly optimistic.
This means we could see selling pressure for the next week, dragging most altcoins down with CRYPTOCAP:BTC as the correction completes. The expected bottom for CRYPTOCAP:BTC is around $85,000, give or take. After that, the bull run should resume—I don’t think we’re heading into a bear market just yet.
As always, DYOR!
Total3 dumping, BTC crash. The untold reason.You'll hear it all over Twitter and YouTube: "The FED scared investors, and they decided to pull their money out, blah blah."
Let's be real—that's utter nonsense.
Investors had no real reason to pull money out of altcoins. Where would they move it to? The real story lies with the whales manipulating CRYPTOCAP:BTC to trap the ones who sold their CRYPTOCAP:BTC too early..
Here’s what really happened: we had a mini altseason, where many CRYPTOCAP:BTC holders took profits and shifted into altcoins. This caused a pump in CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 and a drop in BTC.D.
But then, to punish these moves and siphon off profits, the whales decided to crash CRYPTOCAP:BTC , conveniently using the FOMC as a cover.
If you sold CRYPTOCAP:BTC at, say, 100k and moved into riskier assets like SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:FLOKI , SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:BONK , or CRYPTOCAP:UNI , the whales made you lose 40%-50% of your capital by dumping CRYPTOCAP:BTC just 10%. Where did that lost value go? Straight into their pockets.
I know people who thought they were being clever, saying, "This is the peak; I'm moving to alts for x2 or x3 gains." Now they’ve lost 50% and are kicking themselves, wishing they’d never sold their $BTC.
This isn’t random. It’s not a coincidence. It’s a coordinated play to vacuum up the profits from anyone thinking they could outsmart the system.
DYOR.
NEAR - Primed for Action: Long Setup to $6 NEAR experienced a strong bounce after a significant sell off. The price has now retraced into the golden pocket zone (0.618–0.666 Fibonacci retracement) and appears to be accumulating within this range atm.
Key Observations and Trade Setups:
Accumulation at Golden Pocket:
The formation of a trading range in this area indicates that buyers are stepping in.
Once volume begins to pick up, it could signal the start of an upward move.
Upside Target:
Using the Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension, we project a 1:1 target around $6, which coincides with a key resistance level and another golden pocket zone.
This provides a potential gain of +22% for the long trade over the coming days.
Short Opportunity at Resistance:
The $6 level represents a strong confluence of Fibonacci and resistance, offering an excellent shorting opportunity if the price gets rejected there.
Trade Plan:
Long Setup:
Entry: Current accumulation zone around $5, also a key level to watch
Target: $6 for a possible +22% gain
Stop Loss: Below $4.50
Short Setup:
Entry: Around $6, once rejection is confirmed
Target: Depending on confirmation, potentially back to the golden pocket zone
Bitcoin DominanceMaximum suffering is nearing completion for #alts
While the major correction that occurred in #Bitcoin recently will cause a major upward phase for CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D , it will also be left behind as a healthy RETEST for the supply zone lost on a monthly basis and the rising wedge.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance confirms retest for retracement on monthly basis heikin ashi candles!
Bitcoin | Low Timeframe TradeIf the market breaks below the red line, I will place an order at 98.464$ as shown in the figure. This is a low timeframe trade and please do not take too much risk on it. I usually do my analysis in the high timeframe and take most of my risk there.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
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EIGEN TREND CORRCTION CHANNEL (UPDATE)so in the analysis i made few days ago (or yesterday idk) on BINANCE:EIGENUSDT we we had a channel that wad broken from below and you could"ve opened your position from the channel brakeout or the grenn line i specified though to be honest channel brakeout candle was too big only time frame you could have opened postion was 15 and in my opinion it was too risky with current status of the market but with the green line it was a lot safer to open your position and even better and smaller SL if you managed to open a position on BINANCE:EIGENUSDT i would suggest to close it fully or saving your profits yeah that"s IT i would really be thankful of any of you that supports me if the support is enough i would be more productive thanks to all of you 😘
"Bitcoin to $13M per coin" - Michael SaylorBitcoin annualized performance is 60% on average
Let that sink in
Most traders trading Bitcoin aren't nowhere near that.
1. Introduction to MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Strategy
Michael Saylor began by outlining MicroStrategy’s decision to make CRYPTOCAP:BTC its primary treasury reserve asset.
He explained that the company sees Bitcoin as a superior store of value and an effective hedge against inflation.
Traditional fiat currencies, according to Saylor, are increasingly unreliable due to monetary policies that devalue them over time.
By embracing Bitcoin, MicroStrategy positions itself as a pioneer in the corporate adoption of digital assets.
2. Leveraging Zero-Interest Convertible Bonds
Saylor delved into MicroStrategy’s innovative financing strategies, particularly the issuance of zero-interest convertible bonds.
These bonds, amounting to approximately $3 billion, were issued with a 0% interest rate.
This seemingly advantageous rate is a result of high investor demand, driven by the value of the embedded call options within the bonds.
The volatility of MicroStrategy’s stock, tied closely to Bitcoin’s price movements, makes these options particularly appealing.
NASDAQ:MSTR volatility is about 2X the CRYPTOCAP:BTC volatility.
Additionally, the bonds were issued at a 55% conversion premium, the highest for such instruments at the time, reflecting strong market confidence in the company’s strategy.
Saylor explained that these zero-interest loans allow MicroStrategy to acquire CRYPTOCAP:BTC without the financial burden of servicing interest payments.
This approach enables the company to maximize its exposure to Bitcoin while maintaining financial flexibility.
3. Current Bitcoin Holdings and Financial Impact
Saylor provided an update on MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin holdings.
As of November 2024, the company owns 279,420 bitcoins, purchased for a total cost of $11.9 billion, with an average acquisition price of $42,692 per Bitcoin.
With Bitcoin’s price surpassing $90,000, the company’s holdings are now worth over $25 billion, representing more than a 100% return on investment.
He highlighted how this significant appreciation in Bitcoin’s value has bolstered MicroStrategy’s market capitalization and increased shareholder value.
The company’s bold approach has attracted considerable attention from institutional investors and positioned it as a leader in the corporate adoption of Bitcoin.
4. Future Outlook for Bitcoin
Saylor expressed an extremely bullish outlook for Bitcoin, suggesting that its price could rise to $13 million per coin in the long term.
He emphasized that Bitcoin’s fixed supply and growing adoption make it an inevitable cornerstone of the global financial system.
Saylor believes that Bitcoin’s value will continue to increase as more institutions and individuals recognize its potential as a store of value and an inflation hedge.
He also addressed the regulatory landscape, noting the challenges posed by governments and central banks.
However, Saylor remains optimistic, arguing that the decentralized nature of Bitcoin makes it resilient against such challenges.
5. Critique of Traditional Financial Systems
Saylor criticized the inefficiencies and risks of traditional banking systems and fiat currencies. He explained that central banks’ monetary policies, such as excessive money printing, erode the value of fiat currencies, making them unreliable for long-term wealth preservation.
Bitcoin, on the other hand, offers a decentralized and deflationary alternative that protects against these risks.
He also argued that Bitcoin’s adoption is inevitable as it offers a superior solution for wealth storage in a digital, globalized world.
Saylor positioned Bitcoin as a foundational technology for financial innovation.
6. Strategic Vision and Long-Term Commitment
In closing, Saylor reaffirmed MicroStrategy’s long-term commitment to Bitcoin. He emphasized the importance of maintaining a forward-looking vision, especially during periods of market volatility.
For MicroStrategy, Bitcoin is not merely an investment but a strategic asset that aligns with the company’s core mission of creating and preserving shareholder value.
Saylor ended by encouraging other companies and investors to consider adopting Bitcoin as part of their long-term strategies, arguing that early adoption offers the most significant rewards.
He underscored the transformative potential of Bitcoin, not just for corporations, but for the global financial system as a whole.
7. LONG AND STRONG
Critics of MicroStrategy’s aggressive Bitcoin strategy raise valid concerns, particularly regarding market volatility, regulatory risks, and the company’s reliance on debt to fund its investments.
However, it’s important to understand the rationale behind Michael Saylor’s approach and the broader context of Bitcoin as a financial asset.
Saylor’s strategy reflects an unwavering belief in Bitcoin’s long-term value as a hedge against inflation and a superior store of wealth compared to fiat currencies.
His boldness in using innovative financial instruments, such as zero-interest convertible bonds, demonstrates his deep understanding of both financial markets and the transformative nature of Bitcoin.
Saylor’s intelligence and foresight cannot be underestimated.
He is betting on a paradigm shift in global finance, and institutions like pension funds, BlackRock, and other financial powerhouses are beginning to adopt similar strategies, reinforcing his vision.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is not a speculative, short-term investment; it is a long-term play.
The minimum recommended investment period for Bitcoin should be 10 years, while the optimal strategy is to hold it indefinitely.
Selling Bitcoin prematurely undermines its potential as an asset designed to preserve and grow wealth in an environment where politicians and central banks continue to print money, devaluing traditional currencies.
Betting against Saylor and Bitcoin is betting against a future where decentralized, deflationary assets redefine the financial system.
As Saylor often emphasizes, Bitcoin’s fixed supply and growing global adoption make it an asset poised to appreciate forever, rewarding those with the patience and foresight to hold for the long term.
Thank you for reading
Daveatt
The last bullish chance of BITCOIN in Short term!Bitcoin reached a new high yesterday but then dropped to $92,000 to liquidate positions. This price decline created a bearish scenario. As you can see, Bitcoin is forming a descending wedge. If this pattern breaks, the price could drop to $92,000. However, we cannot say Bitcoin is bearish right now because as long as the wedge does not break, Bitcoin can still be bullish. So, we wait to be sure.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Kava in the floorhello friends
This token, with its modification, is in a good position to buy.
You can buy a step because we are on good support.
If the resistance is broken, we expect the specified targets to move.
Note that you must consider a purchase step in case of further correction of the price.
Be successful and profitable.
Ethereum: A buying opportunity or a trap?Charturday #3: CRYPTOCAP:ETH 🪻
Weekly Analysis:
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-Broke out of bull flag with successful retest
-Sitting on a volume shelf with a lot of room to run!
-Williams CB still forming lower/ better support, if we continue our bounce into this week we will have a better formed Williams CB
🔜🎯$4094🎯$5043
Bull Flag Breakout🎯$5772⏲️Before DEC2025
CupnHandle B/O🎯$6839⏲️Before 2028
Not financial advice.
When and Where this Bull Market Ends / BTC.D and TOTAL3 BehaviorCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
Bitcoin Dominance and Alt Season Trigger:
The chart indicates that when Bitcoin Dominance reaches around 59%-64%, there’s a high chance of an BTC dominance market correction. This level often signals the end of a Bitcoin rally and the start of funds flowing into altcoins.
You can use this dominance level as a timing signal to anticipate the start of the next alt season.
Historical Patterns and Timelines:
Key vertical markers show important dates from past cycles, such as 2018, 2021, and projected points for 2025. These points highlight recurring patterns that can help forecast the end of the current Bitcoin rally.
TOTAL3 Index Trends Relative to BTC:
The TOTAL3 index (all altcoins excluding BTC and ETH) shows that after Bitcoin Dominance declines, TOTAL3 often experiences a sharp rise. This pattern has repeated in previous cycles, hinting at a potential similar move in the upcoming alt season.
Bitcoin Price Rallies and Corrections:
The lower chart shows Bitcoin's bullish and bearish phases, typically lasting between 450 to 550 days. This timeframe can help estimate the remaining duration of the current Bitcoin rally.
Future Predictions:
Based on the chart, Bitcoin Dominance is expected to reach critical levels again in 2025, potentially marking the start of the next major alt season. While this timeline depends on market conditions and investor behavior, it offers a general framework.
BTC/USDT AnalysisBitcoin has broken down from the rising wedge pattern and retested the breakdown zone, encountering strong resistance from both the Ichimoku Cloud and the 200MA.
Key Resistance: The upper green zone is around $98,000–$99,000.
Support Zone: The horizontal black box around $92,000–$94,000 serves as immediate support.
A failure to hold above this support zone could continue the downtrend, potentially targeting the larger beige demand zone near $78,000–$80,000.
Conversely, if BTC reclaims the green resistance zone, it could invalidate the bearish outlook and push higher.
Overall, the bias remains bearish unless BTC reclaims key resistance levels.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
For updates on other coins or personalized insights, feel free to reach out via DM.
DYOR, NFA
@Peter_CSAdmin
BTCUSDT Long - Short SqueezeFunding rate at its lows. I am expecting a short squeeze from the marked area. I'm bearish overall and will short around the marked levels (from 103k) based on the ETF inflows / outflows. Time / speed above 100k will tell which level will have the biggest chance of being the top.
BTC/USDT Analysis:Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Analysis:
The green box marks a crucial support level between $90,000 and $92,500.
Historically, this area has acted as a strong demand zone where buyers have stepped in to increase prices.
The price has broken below the mid-boundary of the ascending channel and is currently trading near the lower boundary.
A retest of the green box is possible if the bearish momentum persists.
The green moving average (possibly 200 EMA or similar) is slightly above the current price. This suggests that the price is losing upward momentum and the moving average could act as resistance on any bounce.
The red arrow on the chart indicates a possible move downwards towards the green support zone.
DYOR, NFA
@Peter_CSAdmin
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Analysis📉 Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Analysis
⏰ Timeframe: 4-Hour
✅ Trend: Currently, Bitcoin is showing a bearish structure in the 4-hour timeframe.
🎯 Expectation: I anticipate further downside movement for Bitcoin, aligning with the arrow drawn in the analysis.
💬 For updates on this signal and access to more profitable setups:
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2️⃣ Send me a private message for additional guidance.
💎 Let’s navigate the market together! 💰