BTC Rejection from QML Zone: Towards on 113,600 SupportHello guys!
This chart shows a QML (Quasimodo Level) setup in play on Bitcoin. After price created a new high and engulfed the previous structure, it returned to the QML zone (around $119K–$121K) and reacted exactly as expected: strong rejection.
The sharp selloff from the QML area confirms a bearish shift in structure, and now the momentum is tilted to the downside.
The next key level to watch is the 113,600 demand zone, where the price may either bounce or consolidate.
As long as the price stays below the QML zone, bears have control.
You should consider that the main trend is bullish, and the stop loss may be hit, so please manage your risk!
BTC-D
HelenP. I Bitcoin will correct to trend line and then start riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. The price has been trading in a strong bullish structure, clearly respecting the ascending trend line since the rebound from the 107500 level. Each time the price touched the trend line, it formed a higher low and continued the upward movement. After breaking through the important Support 1 zone (115500–116500), BTC made a strong impulse upward and reached a local high above 122000 points. Currently, the price is making a pullback and moving closer to the trend line again. This area has previously acted as a major point of interest for buyers, and now it's expected to play a key role once more. The support zone and trend line are converging, which makes this level critical for the next move. I believe BTCUSD will bounce from this area and continue its bullish momentum. My goal is set at 123000 points. Given the market structure, higher lows, and strong reaction from the support zones, I remain bullish and expect further growth from current levels. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
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XRP → ATH retest. Reversal or continued growth?BINANCE:XRPUSDT.P is rallying and ready to test the resistance zone - ATH. Against this backdrop, Bitcoin is consolidating after a bull run. The liquidity pool may hold back growth.
Fundamentally, there is excitement across the entire cryptocurrency market. Altcoins are rallying after Bitcoin hit a new high and entered consolidation. The BTC.D index is declining, which generally provides a good opportunity for altcoins to grow. However, the index is approaching technical support, which may affect market sentiment overall...
As for XRP, there is a fairly strong liquidity pool ahead — the ATH resistance zone. The price is in a distribution phase after a change in character and a breakout of the downtrend resistance in the 2.33 zone. The momentum may exhaust its potential to break through the 3.35-3.34 zone, and growth may be halted for correction or reversal (in correlation with Bitcoin's dominance in the market).
Resistance levels: 3.35-3.40
Support levels: 3.0, 2.64
A breakout of resistance without the possibility of further growth, a return of the price below the level (i.e., inside the global flat) will confirm the fact of a false breakout of resistance, which may trigger a correction or even a reversal.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bitcoin may exit of pennant and then rebound up of support areaHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Earlier, the price was moving inside an upward channel, respecting both the resistance and support boundaries. After reaching the buyer zone (110200–109500 points), BTC made a strong impulse up, breaking out of the channel and entering a new phase of growth. This breakout led to the formation of a bullish pennant, which often signals a continuation of the uptrend. Right now, the price is testing the support area between 117000 and 117800, which previously acted as a breakout zone and now serves as a current support level (117000). The structure shows that this level has already worked as a rebound zone multiple times. In my opinion, BTC may continue the correction toward this support area, potentially exiting the pennant to the downside for a short-term pull-back. After that, I expect a new upward movement, targeting the next local high. That’s why I set my TP at 122500 points, which is just below the recent ATH. Given the impulse move, strong support zone, breakout from the channel, and the bullish pennant pattern, I remain bullish and expect BTC to resume its upward trend soon. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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When will Altseason start?So with ETH.D sweeping its all time low I feel very confident that eth has made the low for this cycle as well as BTC.D retracing providing further confluence that this is the case and we will see eth start to outperform bitcoin but I begun to question where altcoins stand currently stand and when we will start to see them outperform both BTC and ETH as they currently bleed to them as Both ETH and BTC make higher lows while altcoin pairs are making lower lows. I feel like until we see a run above this trend line above the .82 lvl we will see altcoins bleed against ETH and BTC.
Market Trends from 2020 to 2025How Bitcoin, NASDAQ, Gold, and Silver Really Performed Since 2020
It’s been a wild few years in the markets. From early 2020 to mid-2025, investors have had to navigate uncertainty, changing interest rates, tech booms, and the rise of digital assets. Looking back, it’s clear that some assets took off while others just quietly held their ground.
So, what happened if you had invested in Bitcoin, the NASDAQ, gold, or silver five years ago?
Bitcoin (BTC): +1,297.87%
No surprise here. Bitcoin absolutely stole the show. Despite all the ups and downs (and there were plenty), BTC ended up with nearly 1,300% gains. It had a huge surge in late 2020 and 2021, crashed hard, and then climbed even higher starting in 2023.
This kind of return doesn’t come without risk. Bitcoin was by far the most volatile of the group. But for those who held on, the reward was massive. It also marked a big shift in how people think about money and investing.
"Crypto is no longer just a fringe idea."
NASDAQ: +175.26%
Tech stocks had a strong run, too. The NASDAQ gained around 175%, driven by innovation, digital expansion, and eventually, the AI boom. While there were some bumps along the way (especially when interest rates went up), the general trend was up and to the right.
Unlike Bitcoin, the NASDAQ was more predictable, less explosive.
Gold: +127.39%
Gold did what gold usually does. It held its value and slowly moved higher. Over five years, it returned about 127%, which is pretty solid for a “safe haven” asset. It didn’t grab headlines like crypto or tech stocks, but it stayed reliable through the chaos.
Silver: +124.50%
Silver had a similar story to gold, but with a bit more fluctuation. It benefited from both investor demand and industrial use, and it ended up with just over 124% in gains. Not bad for a metal that often gets overshadowed by its shinier cousin ;).
What It All Means
If you were in Bitcoin, you saw huge gains, but also had to stomach major volatility. Tech investors did well too, especially those who stayed in through the dips. Meanwhile, gold and silver offered steadier, more defensive returns.
One big takeaway: the investment landscape is changing. Traditional assets still matter, but new ones like crypto are reshaping what portfolios can look like.
In the end, it’s about balancing risk and reward!
and figuring out what kind of investor you are.
BTC – Final Push Before the Top? Here's What I’m WatchingBeen getting a lot of questions recently about where I think BTC tops this cycle, so I figured it’s time to lay out what I’m seeing on the higher timeframes and what could be coming next.
First off, I want to stress this again — USDT.D will be the key chart for spotting the top. It’s been one of the most accurate indicators across the board for understanding tops and bottoms. But it’s even more powerful when used alongside broader structure and confluence, which is what I’m doing here.
Looking at BTC’s high timeframe structure, I’ve been tracking this ascending trend channel since 2023 — and we’ve remained within its bounds beautifully. Every leg up has been met with a reaction near the channel highs, while each major correction has tapped into the lower channel support or just below midline before continuing the trend.
Right now, price is pushing back up toward that upper channel resistance, and if it behaves like it has previously, I’d expect it to act as a major magnet again. That aligns with a projected range of $140,000 to $160,000, depending how deep the wick runs or how extended this move gets from the channel midline.
On top of that, fib extensions from the previous high to low give us another layer of confidence. We’ve already seen a reaction at the 1.272 level, which paused price temporarily. The next big fib? The 1.618 — which sits right around $138k — adding confluence with the top of this HTF trend channel.
What makes this even more interesting is that this move is aligning near-perfectly with the 4-year cycle structure, which suggests a potential cycle top around September 2025. That’s roughly two months away, and it fits the pattern of previous cycles where BTC tops approximately 18–20 months post-halving.
As we approach this zone, I’ll be watching for the usual signs: slowing momentum, bearish divergence, volume anomalies, and rejection candles into resistance. But I won’t just be relying on the BTC chart alone. I’ll be stacking confluences from other key indicators too — USDT.D, BTC.D, macro risk indicators, and stablecoin flows — to confirm if this is truly the top or if there’s one more leg left in the tank.
Once the top does form, whether it's $138k or $160k or somewhere in between, I think we move into the distribution phase that begins the next macro downtrend. The next few years will be about preservation and accumulation again, and I’m already eyeing zones like $49k and below as potential long-term HTF demand levels when that time comes.
For now, we’re in what I believe is the final bullish leg of this cycle. I’m positioned, prepared, and watching closely for signs of exhaustion as we move into this zone of confluence.
Let the market do its thing — just make sure you’ve got a plan for when the music stops.
ETHBTC shows that Ethereum will outperform Bitcoin MASSIVELY!The ETHBTC pair has been rebounding hyper aggressively after the April 21 2025 Low on the 6-year Support Zone, and is now facing it's most important test, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
This trend-line has been its Resistance since basically March 13 2023, so if broken, it will be a massive bullish break-out signal.
In fact during the 2020 - 2021 Bullish Leg, once the price broke above the 1W MA50, the market got the final confirmation of the upcoming long-term rally.
We expect Ethereum to outperform Bitcoin for the rest of the year at least.
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LTC/USD LITECOIN Adam & Eve Pattern On WeeklyThe Adam and Eve pattern is quite effective and usually signals a trend change to bullish. Once this pattern breaks the neckline I think its straight to $200 before any sort of pullback.
Haven't done a chart in a while cause its been the same old stuff, sideways. We are starting to ignite now. Silver is running which means something is breaking in the background financial system. I see the biggest blow off top you've ever seen coming, its the only way out of this, print print print until it doesn't work anymore.
Also I was reading that Bitcoin is removing its cap for spam in each block in October? This could spell disaster for fees and congestion. Litecoin will skyrocket during that time I believe because the fees will be so high it will price out the little guy trying to send a grand or two. I see an influx of people coming to Litecoin. Good luck , none of this is financial advice just my opinion
BTC - Calling the Start of the Bearish SeasonHello Watchers ☕
This was my previous Bitcoin update where I had a target of $116K, and also then closed all open positions at $122K:
I'm calling the top here mainly because of the way the chart looks, it really is classic Wyckoff if you look at the duration of the current bullish cycle, which has lasted a whole 973 Days with a 564% increase. What goes up, must come down!
Just for interest sake, the previous bullish cycle ran for 600 days with a 700% increase.
LTC Targets 400$ + 1900$ Litcoin LTC Targets for the next run are atm +290% is a realistic szenario. The addvanced targets at 1900$ are very impressiv but remember there are only 21 Mio. Coins too, like BTC because it is the fork and think about an alternative payment methode like btc, would be a reason for 1900$ pro LTC. So in Crypto is nothing unreal if you could imagine, but first of all approx. 400$ are a good direction. GM
BITCOIN Should we still trust the Stock to Flow model??It sure worked perfectly during Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) first Cycles, but the Stock-to-Flow model has greatly diverged from the current price action since March 2024.
Right now the model sits at around $750000, which is vastly above the current market price of $119000. It's been trading sideways actually since June 2024 and all of the times that it was ranging, Bitcoin eventually caught up and closed the gap.
It has always been a 'story' of divergence and convergence but it sure seems unrealistic to catch up this time, especially during if this Cycle continues to follow the 4-year model.
So what do you think? Should we still trust what seems more and more like an 'obsolete' model as mass adoption kicks in? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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120K is the Key.Morning folks,
Our last plan worked perfect - market re-tested 117K support and jumped out. If you have longs - you could keep it.
We consider now two alternative scenarios, although we think that this one with triangle is more probable, we do not exclude the H&S shape on 1H chart that could lead BTC down to 112-113K support area.
So, if you do not know how to deal with this - keep an eye on the 120K area and top of the right arm. Upside breakout will confirm H&S failure and triangle scenario. Otherwise, until market stands under 120K - consider H&S as a basic scenario, just for safety.
Take care, S.
BITCOIN NEXT TARGET 1205001. Professional & Direct:
BTC Long in Play – Eyes on 120,500 🔥
Momentum building strong. Stay in the trend — next target: 120.5K.
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2. TradingView Style (Engaging):
Bitcoin Bulls Gaining Strength 🚀
Long position active. Targeting next major level at $120,500 — hold tight!
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3. VIP Signal Tone:
BTC BUY Signal Active ✅
We’re riding the wave to $120,500. Strong confirmation on higher timeframes.
Bitcoin and Upcoming TrendBitcoin’s trend has been growing from strength to strength — and it’s likely to stay that way. Why?
This trend isn’t driven purely by speculation; it’s supported by strong fundamental reasons.
One of the most widely debated topics in finance today is the comparison between Bitcoin and gold. While both are viewed as stores of value, their long-term roles may diverge significantly.
Yet, they’ve been moving in near-perfect synchronization, with potential resistance ahead, but their trend still remain intact — and here’s why.
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Bitcoin: New All-Time High — What’s Next?Bitcoin had an incredible run, breaking the old all-time high ($111,980) with strong bullish momentum and setting a fresh ATH at $123,218 (Binance). We just witnessed the first major corrective move of ~6% and a decent bounce so far — but the big question is:
What’s next? Will Bitcoin break higher over the summer or form a trading range here?
Let’s dive into the technicals.
🧩 Higher Timeframe Structure
May–June Range:
BTC was stuck between $110K–$100K, forming an ABC corrective pattern. Using trend-based Fib extension (TBFE) from A–B–C:
✅ C wave completed at $98,922 (1.0 TBFE)
✅ Upside target hit at $122,137 (-1 TBFE)
Full Bull Market TBFE:
➡️ 1.0 → $107,301 → previously rejected
➡️ 1.272 → $123,158 → recent rejection zone
Pitchfork (log scale):
➡️ Tapped the upper resistance edge before rejecting.
Previous Bear Market Fib Extension:
➡️ 2.0 extension at $122,524 hit.
2018–2022 Cycle TBFE:
➡️ 1.618 at $122,011 tapped.
Macro Fibonacci Channel:
➡️ Connecting 2018 low ($3,782), 2021 ATH ($69K), 2022 low ($15,476) →
1.618–1.666 resistance band: $121K–$123.5K.
✅ Conclusion: Multiple fib confluences mark the $122K–$123K zone as critical resistance.
Daily Timeframe
➡️ FVG / Imbalance:
Big daily Fair Value Gap between the prior ATH and $115,222 swing low.
BTC broke the prior ATH (pATH) without retest → a pullback to this zone is likely.
Lower Timeframe / Short-Term Outlook
We likely saw a completed 5-wave impulse up → now correcting.
The -6% move was probably wave A, current bounce = wave B, next leg = wave C.
➡ Wave B short zone: $120K–$121K
➡ Wave C target (1.0 TBFE projection): ~$113,326
➡ Confluence at mid-FVG + nPOC
Trade Setups
🔴 Short Setup:
Entry: $120,300–$121,000
Stop: Above current ATH (~$123,300)
Target: $113,500
R:R ≈ 1:2.3
🟢 Long Setup:
Entry: Between Prior ATH and $113,000
Stop: Below anchored VWAP (~$110,500)
Target: Higher, depending on bounce confirmation.
🧠 Educational Insight: Why Fibs Matter at Market Extremes
When markets push into new all-time highs, most classic support/resistance levels disappear — there’s simply no historical price action to lean on. That’s where Fibonacci extensions, channels, and projections become powerful tools.
Here’s why:
➡ Fibonacci extensions (like the 1.272, 1.618, 2.0) help estimate where trend exhaustion or profit-taking zones may appear. They are based on the psychology of crowd behavior, as traders anchor expectations to proportional moves from previous swings.
➡ Trend-Based Fib Extensions (TBFE) project potential reversal or continuation zones using not just price levels, but also the symmetry of prior wave moves.
➡ Fibonacci channels align trend angles across multiple market cycles, giving macro context — like how the 2018 low, 2021 ATH, and 2022 low project the current 1.618–1.666 resistance zone.
In short:
When you don’t have left-hand price history, you lean on right-hand geometry.
That’s why the $122K–123K zone wasn’t just random — it’s a convergence of multiple fib levels, cycle projections, and technical structures across timeframes.
⚡ Final Thoughts
Bitcoin faces major resistance around $122K–$123K backed by multiple fib and structural levels. A retest of the prior ATH zone (~$112K–$113K) looks probable before the next big directional move. Watch lower timeframe structure for signs of completion in this corrective phase.
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Check support at 115854.56-119086.64
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
On the 1W chart, the DOM(60) indicator was created at the 119086.64 point.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported near 119086.64.
The meaning of the DOM(60) indicator is to show the end of the high point.
In other words, if it rises above HA-High ~ DOM(60), it means that there is a high possibility of a stepwise upward trend.
On the other hand, if it fails to rise above DOM(60), it is likely to turn into a downtrend.
The basic chart for chart analysis is the 1D chart.
Therefore, if possible, check the trend of the 1D chart first.
The DOM(60) indicator of the 1D chart is currently formed at the 111696.21 point.
And, the HA-High indicator was created at the 115854.56 point.
Therefore, since it cannot be said that the DOM(60) indicator of the 1D chart has been created yet, if the price is maintained near the HA-High indicator, it seems likely to rise until the DOM(60) indicator is created.
We need to look at whether the DOM(60) indicator will be created while moving sideways at the current price position or if the DOM(60) indicator will be created when the price rises.
If the price falls and falls below 111696.21, and the HA-High indicator is generated, the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section is formed, so whether there is support in that section is the key.
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Since the DOM(60) indicator on the 1W chart was generated, if it fails to rise above the DOM(60) indicator, it is highly likely that the HA-High indicator will be newly generated as it eventually falls.
Therefore, you should also look at where the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is generated when the price falls.
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The next volatility period is around July 18 (July 17-19).
Therefore, you should look at which direction it deviates from the 115854.56-119086.64 section after this volatility period.
Since the K of the StochRSI indicator fell from the overbought section and changed to a state where K < D, it seems likely that the rise will be limited.
However, since the PVT-MACD oscillator indicator is above 0 and the OBV indicator is OBV > OBV EMA, it is expected that the support around 115845.56 will be important.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
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UNI Long Setup – Breakout Retest into High-Confluence SupportUniswap (UNI) has broken out of resistance and is now pulling back into a high-confluence zone, forming a strong bullish structure. The $7.13–$7.73 area presents a favorable entry on the retest.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone Around: $7.13 – $7.73
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $10.50 – $12.85
• Stop Loss: Daily close below $6.50
Bitcoin Dominance BTC.D analysisCurrently, the maximum of BTC.D was 65.38% and the absolute maximum is very close, and then the capital will start flowing into altcoins.
We will have to keep a close eye on where the capital will go: only to highly liquid altcoins, or to a certain industry, or to a narrative, as it was before: “defi”, “memecoin”, and so on...
Do you have any ideas where the capital can go? Write in the comments!
❗️ Also, it is worth noting that such a popular term as "alt-season" lasts less and less, and you have to wait longer and longer for it!
It seems that this time the "alt-season" has every chance to last until the end of 2025, and then... it will be seen. Perhaps the market will gain capital and new powerful players who will set a new vector and new rules by 2028....
But first... we have to live to see it!)
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BRIEFING Week #29-30 : BTC stalling, ETH & then Alts ?Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Comparing BTC 2024 with ETH 2025 - Perfect Match- If compare the chart pattern of BTC from 2024 with the current 2025 ETH pattern, wee see exactly similar chart patterns being formed here.
- Price started consolidating then it had fake breakout towards both the sides and finally the real breakout.
- BTC breakout push the price towards the new all time high above 69K, if we ETH follows similar trend then we can expect new all time high on ETH.
Let's see how it plays out.
Stay tuned for more updates.
Cheers
GreenCrypto