Trading is the realm of response
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It's been a while since I made an indicator and explained it, so I'd like to take the time to introduce and explain something I heard a long time ago.
(Original text)
I made purchases at m-signal 1W in yesterday's fall as I see it rose above ha-low and closed above m-signals. It looks like m-signals can't prevent traps. Now I'm losing money again. I think it's better to make purchases when RSI is below 30. I don't want to feed market makers, somehow it happens over and over.
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Looking at the above, it seems that the purchase (LONG) was made when the price rose above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W, 1D chart and then started to fall.
If we check this on the 30m chart, it is expected that the purchase (LONG) was made near the section indicated by the circle section.
I said that it would have been much better to buy (LONG) when RSI was below 30, but when RSI was below 30, it refers to the section from February 25 to March 1, so I think it's regret due to the loss.
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If you look at what I explained as an idea, I said that you need to get support in the section marked with a circle to continue the upward trend.
And, I said that support is important near the HA-Low indicator when it falls.
Therefore, if it falls in the section marked with a circle, you should enter a sell (SHORT) position.
However, if you do not see a downward trend, you should trade based on whether there is support in the HA-Low indicator.
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To check for support, you need to check the movement for at least 1-3 days.
Therefore, checking for support is a difficult and tedious task.
Since most futures transactions are made on time frame charts below the 1D chart, you cannot check for support for 1-3 days.
Therefore, you need to check the movement at the support and resistance points you want to trade and respond accordingly.
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The coin market is a market where trend trading is good.
Therefore, it is important to know what the current trend is.
It is better to think of the basic trend based on the trend of the 1D chart.
The current trend of the 1D chart is a downtrend.
Therefore, the SHORT position can be said to be the main position.
As mentioned earlier, in order to turn into an uptrend, support must be received within the range indicated by the circle.
If not, it is likely to continue the downtrend again.
Since the HA-Low indicator has been newly formed, the 89253.9 point is the point where a new trading strategy can be created.
If it is not supported by the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to lead to a stepwise downtrend, so you should also think about a countermeasure for this.
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What we want to know through chart analysis is the trading point, that is, the support and resistance points.
You should decide whether to start trading depending on whether there is support at the support and resistance points.
Even if you start trading properly at the support and resistance points you want, you must also think about how to respond to a loss cut.
If you cannot think of a response plan for a loss cut, it is better not to trade at all.
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Indicators are only reference materials for your decisions, not absolute.
- The M-Signal indicator on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts is an indicator for viewing trends,
- The HA-Low and HA-High indicators correspond to points for creating trading strategies.
The creation of the HA-Low indicator means that it has risen from the low range, and if it is supported by the HA-Low indicator, it is the time to buy.
If it does not, and it falls, there is a possibility of a stepwise decline, so you should think about a response plan for this.
The creation of the HA-High indicator means that it has fallen from the high range, and if it is supported by the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility of a full-scale upward trend.
If not, it may fall until it meets the HA-Low indicator, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
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If the price is maintained near the StochRSI 50 indicator on the 1D chart, it is expected to lead to an increase to rise above the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart.
At this time, if it rises above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D and 1W charts, it is likely to lead to an attempt to rise near 94827.9.
If not, it is likely to end as a rebound.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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BTC-D
Cryptocurrency Summit on March 7Bitcoin is still recovering, but the only thing is that it will return to the 100,000 mark on March 7.
Short-term traders suggest that they can enter long positions around 85,000.
Long-term traders suggest that they can continue to hold steady and wait for the halving cycle dividend at 110,000.
BTC Short - Stretch to TP $77kWyckoff scenario planning for possible 2025 top formation.
- Possible Phase B Sign of Weakness incoming in the next few weeks.
Short at $100K with a tp target 1 at $86K. A stretch target 2 at $77K aligns with the bottom of the local channel and intersects with the 4-hour 200 MA.
Presents good Long entry to new ATH at $112k.
Best, Hard Forky
Bitcoin CME Gaps Filled – What’s Next for BTC?Current Market Overview & Potential Moves
Long Wicks:
The daily (1D) and weekly (1W) candles are forming long wicks, but these are simply filling previous wicks on their respective timeframes. This means they aren’t valid imbalances that need to be refilled, so they don’t necessarily signal a further downside.
CME Gaps:
Last weekend’s CME gap was fully closed, while the gap from the prior weekend was partially filled, which is often enough. There’s no technical reason for the price to drop just to complete the fill.
With no downside imbalances left to be filled, there’s no immediate reason to expect further declines. The only factor that could still influence a move down is the 1W 50 EMA, which was nearly tested (approx MIL:1K away).
BITCOIN's PUMPs are Getting LARGER this Bull Market...However, it may take a bit longer to realize those expansionary moves.
If Bitcoin adheres to the established cycle pattern, we can anticipate a minimum surge of 103% that should carry us into the fourth quarter of this year.
Consolidation ----> Fake breakdown ----> then expansion.
Are you ready?
BITCOIN WILL BE AT 50-60K THIS YEARMake it simple, BTC need to relax a little this year before going much higher. If BTC goes around 100k would be nice to take profits and wait for new lows... USA stock market is having alot of volatility with Trump, I wouldn't be surprised if we see a -20% drawdown in S&P 500!!
XRP IS GOING TO 0.00 !!!!!!!!!!!!
Now that I have your attention...
XRP/USD
Aggressive analysis
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If you want to aggressively scale into this asset, then your pool should be distributed around the 1.60 - 2.15 AOI's.
Here are the risk's
- You might get demolished if they do decide to send it to the weekly AOI's I have also shared above
- Your pool that you could have used on the weekly AOI's are now not as strong (unit accumulation) as it could have been had you waited.
- Your ROI is now worse since you accumulated at higher levels
Here are the reward's
- You gained more units if we do decide to fly
- You now have "PLAY TOKENS" which essentially mean tokens you will be selling at certain TP areas (which does not harm the bigger bag)
- You cant go wrong literally buying some right now but you have to accept the fact that youre inside the fluff and you will be taken through the crypto roller coaster.
Regards,
MR.OAZB
BITCOIN Can it really take 1 month to form a bottom??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) quickly invalidated the Crypto Reserve rally by Trump and finds itself again on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the 2nd time in 5 days and 3rd since October 14 2024. The key technically development that we should concentrate at is the failure to break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) during Sunday's rally, as it is the level the price was being rejected throughout the whole February.
Until BTC breaks and closes above the 1D MA50, we can't expect a justifiable recovery. We are also on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the August 05 2024 Low. The last time the price was trading on those parameters was in late August 2023. More specifically, yesterday's 1D MA50 rejection resembles the August 29 2023 one, which came after a vastly oversold 1D RSI on August 18 2023, similar to the oversold RSI of February 26 (last Wednesday).
During this price action, it took Bitcoin exactly 1 month from the RSI bottom to break again above its 1D MA50, starting a rally that initially broke marginally above the -0.5 Fibonacci extension before a new 1D MA50 pull-back.
As you can see, the similarities between the two main phases of since the 2022 bottom are striking. Both started on a Channel Down and after the first Higher Lows formation, formed the Channel Up that was confirmed upon a 1D Golden Cross. It has to be highlighted that the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) has been holding since March 14 2023, it even supported during the August 2023 bottom formation and provided a massive bounce on the August 05 2024 low. With the 1W MA50 currently at 75070 and rising, it is natural to assume that it is the ultimate Support level.
As a result and based on all the above conditions, it is possible to see Bitcoin consolidate sideways in an attempt to cement the bottom for the majority of March. A break above the 1D MA50 either then or earlier, would be a technical bullish break-out confirmation. The rally that will follow can technically reach $160000, which is just below the -0.5 Fibonacci extension.
So what do you think? Is Bitcoin currently forming its new long-term bottom and if yes, will it reach $160k after that? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC Cycles & TA: 3/4/25 Well well well... as I mentioned in one of my last video titles, the stage was set for a drawdown and sure enough, indicators and cycles called it AGAIN!! lol but as an investors, I did not partake in trading this down or shorting.. I am simply looking for re-entry points and we have come coming up soon, real soon.
Trade Setup: XRP Short OpportunityMarket Context:
Following Sunday’s full retrace, XRP appears to have set in a complacency bounce. Price action is weakening into mid-range, suggesting a potential short opportunity after one more push higher.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: $2.70
Take Profit Targets:
$2.10
$1.55
$1.00
Stop Loss: Daily close above $3.10
This setup anticipates further downside once momentum shifts, confirming a clean rejection from resistance. 🔥
Bitcoin 10X Trade-Numbers (1,375% Potential)The low is in and this is the perfect timing for a long-term LONG on Bitcoin (BTCUSDT and other trading pairs).
This is for experienced traders and can end up producing huge profits, great growth, amazing results —great entry timing.
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LONG BTCUSDT
Leverage: 10X
Entry levels:
1) $85,000
2) $83,000
3) $81,000
3) $78,000
Targets:
1) $94,810
2) $98,804
3) $101,058
4) $104,266
5) $108,353
6) $112,859
7) $115,648
8) $120,154
9) $132,643
10) $139,250
11) $158,347
12) $165,345
13) $189,212
14) $200,000
Stop-loss:
Close monthly below $78,000
Potential profits: 1375%
Capital allocation: 5%
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Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
BTC New Update (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
As you can see in this analysis, the demand zone from the previous analysis was slightly hunted, but it is still valid and considered a demand zone.
We have reduced the timeframe slightly (4-hour).
Our expectation for price action is to see a slight bounce upward in this zone with some time consolidation.
After consuming the buy orders in this area and spending some time, Bitcoin may even move toward lower zones.
Let’s see what happens.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BITCOIN UPDATE TODAYHere's the latest update on Bitcoin:
Current Price
The current price of Bitcoin is around $83,780.61, with a daily high of $93,721.37 and a daily low of $82,464.84 .
Market Trends
Bitcoin's price surged 10% after President Trump's Crypto Strategic Reserve announcement, with some analysts predicting a potential breakout past $100,000 ². However, others warn that the rally may be temporary due to regulatory hurdles.
Key Levels
- Resistance: $90,000 - $100,000
- Support: $80,000 - $83,000
News
President Trump's executive order established a Crypto Strategic Reserve, which will initially include Bitcoin (BTC), Solana (SOL), Ripple (XRP), and Cardano (ADA) . This move is seen as a positive development for the cryptocurrency market.
MSTR IS JUST GETTING STARTED - ONLY FOOLS SELL NOW!MSTR and Bitcoin are gearing up for the biggest bull run you've ever seen. Its unbelievable how many people are selling now thinking the bear market is starting and the bull run is over. Its crazy how many bears are flooding X and other platforms. It makes me laugh people calling Saylor a top signal and stupid. Saylor is not stupid and to think that you're smarter than him is just dumb. These rich dudes and hedge funds know whats going on, way better than anyone on here or any other platform. They control the markets, they have the money to make the charts do what they want. Dont be fooled.
None of this is financial advice. Just my opinion. Follow me for more charts and updates.
ETHUSD (Ethereum)A follow up from this:
Looking at the upmove from the $880 bottom in June'22, it's tough to consider an impulsive count. Since ETH has lagged compared to Bitcoin, the so called Alt season may take much longer than expected. Bitcoin completing it's cycle doesn't necessarily mean the Alt season begins simultaneously.
It will be interesting to watch this in the next few months. If this turns out well, I would expect a very sharp fall in the coming weeks (a noticeable quality in Wave c). However, those levels would give amazing opportunities in Eth and the other few good Altcoins.
BTC Bitcoin Dont Panic Here This Is A Perfect Measured MoveI like the line chart because it filters out the noise and only shows the close prices. As you can see Bitcoin plays out these double top measured moves almost to the T perfectly. I can go back further but I dont need to its fairly similar.
Bitcoin will bounce around here for a bit and come dow to close the 5 day at the measured move around 82k then its back to the races. We're not going to crash, its just getting started. It may wick below 82 but on a closing basis on the 5 day, which has been very accurate in its history, 82k is where the measured move is. Dont fall for the bearish we're gonna crash stuff. Bitcoin has a long way to go before any top.
Not financial advice just my opinion.
Bitcoin may rebound up from buyer zone to 94100 resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. A few days ago, the price was moving inside a downward channel, where it reached the support line and immediately bounced back up to the channel’s resistance. After that, BTC continued its decline, testing the resistance level, which aligned with the seller zone. The price briefly dipped below this level but quickly reversed and rebounded. Eventually, Bitcoin exited the channel and moved into a range, reaching its upper boundary before turning downward again. In a short period, the price dropped to the seller zone, where it consolidated for some time. BTC then attempted to push higher but failed and resumed its decline. Breaking below the 94100 resistance level, the price moved further down, fluctuating between support and resistance lines. Bitcoin eventually fell to the support line, breaking through the 83400 support level, which aligned with the buyer zone. However, this breakdown turned out to be a false move, as BTC immediately rebounded and surged back above that level. Currently, BTC is continuing its upward movement. I anticipate that the price may first test the buyer zone before resuming its growth. Additionally, if it manages to break through the resistance line, it could keep climbing higher. With this in mind, my TP is set at the 94100 resistance level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀