BTC-D
Bitcoin Recovers Much Faster Than ExpectedThree days waiting is not a long time.
Here we are again today and Bitcoin is already recovering. It seems and feel like the end of the world but, truly, nothing really happened.
Last week Bitcoin closed at $96,000. This week Bitcoin starts by moving lower and yes, it feels like it is the end of the world but this is only noise based on the short-term. Bitcoin is already recovering and by the time the week closes we will be back above $90,000 and very likely aiming higher and higher; Bitcoin will move higher and grow long-term.
Let's go back to what I was saying just a few months ago.
1) Bitcoin is super-bullish when it closes weekly above $90,000.
2) Bitcoin remains long-term bullish and really strong if it closes monthly above $80,000.
So far, there hasn't been one single close below 90K. This week is not yet over, the week is only halfway through and you'll see... We will see how it all ends but the most likely scenario is that Bitcoin will be moving back up.
Another thing that was said is that Bitcoin will be bullish in March 2025. Not only Bitcoin but the entire Cryptocurrency market. Marketwide bullish action and the Altcoins will grow.
This is it. It is happening, it is all real.
We are looking at a major and final flush. This happens all the time before a massive bullish wave. Just before the market turns, we tend to see a crash, a sudden crash. As people prepare for lower, lower and forever red; the start of a bear-market, no, a bearish impulse; this is actually the end.
There is no long-term bearish action and there is no more lows. Bitcoin is recovering now and we are bullish in a matter of days. Once the market turns green, we will see and experience long-term growth.
This is certain just as certain as tomorrow morning we will see the sun. That's how strong Bitcoin is. There is no way to put Bitcoin down. Bitcoin only goes down to recover and become stronger than ever before. We are only looking for strength, removing weak hands. Are you sure you want to be part of this incoming bullish phase? If yes, then you have to be able to hold when things get though, this is the test.
The test is over and it only lasted a few days.
Hold strong, because Bitcoin is going up.
You will be happy with the market, with Bitcoin, with the Altcoins and with how fast your profits accumulate and your capital grows. That is, if you are buying now and feel ready to hold.
Namaste.
BTC is still bearish (1D)A resistance flip zone has formed on the chart, we have a bearish CH, and a supply zone has been created.
The common area of the supply and flip zones is a low-risk region for another Bitcoin short.
With these bearish signs, Bitcoin is expected to at least reach the green zone.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
A bit of Hopium - FTX payouts tomorrow. What's next for the mark8 months to the assumed end of the cycle.
ETFs and everything else are already priced in. However, incoming money flows are not yet factored into the price of the cryptocurrency market. This creates a unique opportunity for those who can anticipate where liquidity will flow next.
I think you all have noticed that capital/liquidity from Bitcoin is not moving into altcoins — at least not yet. Bitcoin remains the "safe haven" for institutional investors, while altcoins remain underappreciated. But if ETFs for altcoins are approved, it will be a very different situation. The floodgates could open, and we might see unprecedented inflows into projects like Ethereum, Cardano, and even meme coins like Dogecoin.
FTX payouts are on February 18 — that's tomorrow.
This event is critical. Many creditors have been waiting for years to recover their funds. With Ethereum staking ETFs potentially approved in the second quarter, this could coincide with the next FTX payouts, creating a perfect storm of liquidity entering the market.
Let’s remember the 2020 FTX debt buybacks at $0.3 per dollar, then $0.4, and the last one I heard was at $0.8 per dollar. Someone had a lot of confidence that payouts would be made. And where do you think the $10–15 billion of capital will go? Most likely to altcoins, because Samuel Bankman-Fried was the king of altcoins.
There is an assumption that if something triggers the printing press or quantitative easing, but nobody believes in that now.
Central banks are tightening monetary policy, and inflation is slowly coming under control. However, the crypto market operates differently. It thrives on speculation, innovation, and adoption. All of the top altcoins will be priced significantly higher as new narratives emerge.
The challenge is to hold our portfolios! Volatility is inevitable, but patience will pay off.
If there is a correction in early March, here are the projects with potential ETFs:
ETH staking
LTC
ADA
DOGE
XLM
XRP
HBAR
This is in case there is a drop in March. Corrections are healthy for the market, allowing new buyers to enter at lower prices.
Spring can turn positive very quickly.
The best scenario is a green close of the February candle — momentum on Bitcoin. If BTC holds above key support levels, we could see a bullish Q2.
In the second half of March, we need to get in what we didn’t manage to get in the market, in case there is no drop in early March. Timing is crucial, but so is preparation.
Additional Catalysts to Watch For:
There are many catalysts that I don’t write about, but they could happen:
Introduction of Basic Income
Unexpected ETF bids: Regulatory approvals often come faster than expected.
Countries building reserves of BTC or other altcoins : Nations like El Salvador have already started adopting Bitcoin. Others may follow suit, especially as geopolitical tensions rise.
It’s going to be a super positive year. Stay positive.
The future is very clear, but for some reason, a lot of people are losing faith.
Prices go up — I’m sure of this scenario. Prices go down — I’m sure of this scenario. There’s no point in making a fuss when you know what’s ahead. I don’t know why people lose faith in their beliefs in the moment.
In a market like this, when it’s suddenly not obvious, it’s because you’re competing with a completely different category of players. Believing in your beliefs will be an advantage in this market, especially for people who are not big capital.
Stay strong and focused.
Best regards EXCAVO
BTC/USDT Chart Update !! BTC/USDT price movement over some time from mid-2020 to early 2025.
Price Action: Prices have experienced significant fluctuations, forming a series of peaks and troughs. The recent price has been around 84,618 USDT.
Resistance Level: The highlighted area around 96,500 USDT indicates a potential resistance level that the price may struggle to break.
Technical Pattern: The chart suggests a “cup and handle” formation, indicating a potential bullish trend if the price breaks through the resistance.
Recent Decline: The current decline of around 12.09% suggests a correction or retracement may be in store after the recent rally.
It would be prudent to monitor market news and technical indicators for the latest updates to anticipate future price movements.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Bitcoin Upward WavesSince the previous Bitcoin Impulse wave analysis got very long, here the subsequent analyses for Bitcoin Upward waves will be presented. Anyway, continuing from the last analysis; the correction started when Bitcoin touched the major channel's upper line and the horizontal resistance area (The chart of previous analysis is provided for reference in blow). There are two possible areas for the current Bitcoin't correction wave. The first is the purple triangle, and the second is the orange one. The only difference between these two areas is that if the Bitcoin reaches the orange triangle, the major ascending channel will be invalidated, since Bitcoin has breached the channel's bottom. Let's see what happens.
75k is INEVITABLE.I published my idea on BINANCE:BTCUSDT how it is forming Double Top pattern and indicators are making divergences in late January. Since BTC hit our first take profit point we might expect little bit of pullbacks and see if it is gonna react to 91k area, but Volume is not looking good that means we might see red candles all the way to 75k area. 75k area was major resistance zone which would work as support this time.
Bitcoin trending down amid Trump's policy uncertainty
Investors withdrew over 30.7k BTC, lowering the bitcoin Balance on Exchanges to about 2.725 mln BTC, indicating lower market liquidity. ETF investors continue redeeming for the seventh consecutive day, with a two-day outflow totaling over 1300 mln USD. Reduced liquidity could trigger a sudden price rebound if selling pressure on ETF eases.
BTCUSD broke below 86500 and formed a lower low. The price is below both EMAs, indicating the persistent bearish momentum. If BTCUSD breaks above 86500, the price may retest the following resistance at 91100. Conversely, a retracement before resuming its downtrend to the support at 73200 may prompt a return to the resistance at 86500.
BITCOIN hit the MA200 (1d)! Massive Support, strong rebound veryBTCUSD is trading inside a Channel Down pattern, which almost hit today the MA200 (1d).
The last time Bitcoin traded on this level was October 14th 2024.
Technically, this is not just a short term Channel Down bottom buy signal but also a long term buy opportunity for the remainder of the Bull Cycle.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 99000 (+22.48% rise like the previous bullish wave).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is massively oversold, dipping below 30.00 for the first time since the August 5th 2024 bottom. This is a massive long term buy signal.
Please like, follow and comment!!
$BTC bearish outlook: $2B selling pressure incomingI am bearish on CRYPTOCAP:BTC for the following reasons:
1️⃣ The $Bybit hack resulted in a loss of $1.4B worth of $ETH. To continue trading, Bybit is currently bridging liquidity with Binance. However, this is only a temporary solution. Eventually, they will need to buy back $1.4B in ETH, and the only reserve asset large enough to cover this is Bitcoin. I expect at least SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B of BTC to be sold on the market to acquire the necessary ETH.
2️⃣ The hackers are liquidating their $1.4B in stolen ETH. Since smart contract-based assets can be traced and frozen, their best option is to swap to CRYPTOCAP:BTC , which is harder to track and cannot be frozen.
In total, Bitcoin faces a potential selling pressure of over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B , which is enough to significantly impact its price.
📉 Given that Bitcoin is already in a consolidation phase, this pressure could push the price down to $93K or even $91K.
📊 Expect dead cat bounces, where traders can profit, but be cautious—this selling pressure is real. Bybit needs to resolve its liquidity issues quickly, and the hackers are racing to cash out ASAP.
⚠️ DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
NVDA Earnings - Must Watch EarningsNVDA Earnings Wednesday after market
This is crazy that 1 stock may be the pain or gain for the markets in 2025
Glass Half Full
-NVDA is a revenue monster
-Earnings trend continues to point higher
-Demand for chips remains high (minus DeepSeek scare and uncertainty)
-19% weight on SMH
-7% weight on SPY
-8% weight on QQQ
-NVDA bullish can single handedly lift the markets and renew optimism and risk appetite
Glass Half Empty
-NVDA is overvalued
-NVDA hasn't hit all-time highs since Nov 2024 (with fakeout in Jan 2025)
-NVDA's reign is over and competition is heating up in the chips space and AI arms race
-NVDA bearish can be the wave of risk off that confirms current market concerns and fears
It's a big deal - plan and trade accordingly. Thanks for watching!!!
BTC Weekly Analysis (1W)First and foremost, keep in mind that this is a weekly analysis, and along the way, Bitcoin may experience upward bounces from daily or hourly support levels.
From the point where we placed the green arrow on the chart, Bitcoin started forming a diametric pattern, and with the recent drop, the bullish scenario has strengthened, canceling Bitcoin’s previous triangle formation.
The price has now entered wave F. The green zone is where wave F could potentially complete.
June is the month when this corrective wave (wave F) is expected to end.
Wave G is a bullish wave, and its target could be the red zone.
A weekly candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this outlook and analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC touches $80,500 - and heading lowerBTC has touched $80,500 this morning. For anyone thinking its a buying opportunity, best to let the market sell off. There will be lower prices ahead. $73,500 - $72,500 is my 1st support area, but this is by no means the lowest prices possible. Not by any stretch. We have a lot of time to work off this sell off, and plenty of room for lower prices, and lots of missing support. Murrey Math, Elliotwave, and Kumarwave being used for analysis. Posts, comments, and DM's are always welcome. Good Luck.
$BTC - Bottom In, Time To BuyHello Friends,
For those of you looking to capitalize on Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD you may want to add to your position, or start accumulating for the first time.
I posted 2 days ago saying to wait for $85,000 USD on CRYPTOCAP:BTC
As well back in December 4, 2024 I posted my ideal entry would be $85,000.
We now have our confirmation to Buy/Long
DOGE The Next To Die In This Flush Of Crap Down The ToiletDoge had an amazing run, those who made money and got out I applaud you. Those still holding these bags of coal are about to get wrecked. Memes are dying, no one cares about them anymore. People are beginning to realize that these things have ZERO utility and no future. No ETF will ever get approved, its too inflationary. Take a look at the Grayscale trust thats a great insight to how many institutional investors want this thing. Its Total assets under management are less than $2 million dollars. Thats laughable compared to their other holdings. So even in the slim chance this turd gets an ETF it'll be an epic failure.
Your messiah Elon has abandoned this thing, the onyl real hope you all had for real world utility. Litecoin miners are dumping this as soon as they get it. The meme coin frenzy has died down. In January alone this year there were 600,000 meme coins created thats an all time record for a single month. That meme bubble is about to collapse as people move toward more utility driven cryptos and this space gets wrangled in a bit. Many people including myself have made a bunch of money playing in the meme coin casino, it was fun when it first started. 100x's everywhere. Now its pretty much over. The future for Doge is a slow and steady decline back to NAV under a penny. It was a great pump and dump. Dont marry your investments especially ones that are just memes with no utility they are made to get in and out, make money and rotate into something of value to preserve your wealth.
None of this is financial advice, just my opinion.