Next Volatility Period: Around April 5 (April 4-6)
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
A new candle has been created as a new month begins.
The StochRSI indicator has fallen below the midpoint, and OBV has been hunting since around October 1, 2024.
As I mentioned before, the StochRSI indicator must fall to the oversold zone and then rise to create a peak in order to draw a trend line between the lows.
Therefore, the point to watch next month is whether the StochRSI indicator can enter the oversold zone.
The key is whether the price can be maintained above 73499.86.
-
(1D chart)
If the current StochRSI indicator creates a peak in the oversold zone, that is, if it closes up, the uptrend line (2) will be completed.
If that happens, we should see whether it can maintain the price by rising above the Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (83646.12) around April 5th.
If not, it is highly likely that it will eventually fall again.
In the explanation of the 1M chart, I said that the StochRSI indicator should enter the oversold zone.
You may think that the price should fall because of this, but you should not necessarily think that the price will fall because the StochRSI indicator may show a downward trend even if the price rises.
In such an ambiguous situation, rather than predicting whether it will rise or fall, you should check whether the current price position is supported or falling and think about whether to respond.
As I said earlier, you should respond depending on whether there is support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart where the arrow is pointing.
This time, you should check in which direction it deviates from the Fibonacci ratio range of 2 (80999.68) ~ 2.24 (83646.12) and think about a response plan.
This movement is expected to appear after the next volatility period, April 4-6.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
To check the entire range of BTC, I used TradingView's INDEX chart.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point of interest is whether they can be supported and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio of 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
BTC-D
Do you think I'm joking ???Now that Bitcoin is returning to the cup-and-handle support, one can expect a strong pump up to 130k . it might happen.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
89542.51 or higher, the key is whether the price can be maintain
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a good day today.
-------------------------------------
The April TradingView competition is sponsored by PEPPERSTONE.
Accordingly, we will look at the coins (tokens) and items that can be traded in the competition.
Today, we will talk about the BTCUSD chart for the first time.
-
(BTCUSD 1D chart)
If the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it can be interpreted that it is in an upward trend in the medium to long term.
Currently, it is showing a short-term uptrend as it rises above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, but it is highly likely that it will continue to rise only if it rises above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Therefore, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising to around 89542.51.
-
We need to see if the OBV is maintained above the middle line and can break through the upper line.
Since the StochRSI indicator is currently in the overbought zone, if there is no increase in trading volume, it is likely to eventually show a downtrend.
If it shows a downtrend, it is expected that it will eventually meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and determine the trend again.
At this time, we need to check whether there is support near 73589.43.
-
The competition starts on April 1.
As I mentioned in the Binance BTCUSDT chart description, the next volatility period is expected to be around April 5 (April 4-6).
Therefore, we need to check whether the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart or above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and decide the position.
In other words, I think it is good to decide the position depending on whether there is support near the original section marked on the 30m chart.
-
It is expected that the key point of this competition will be whether the trading volume can increase and whether the price can be maintained by rising above 89542.51.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (44234.54) is not expected to fall again.
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Looking at the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
------------------------------------------------------
BTC - 1H Clean Liquidity Hunt & Bearish Continuation BINANCE:BTCUSDT - 1H Update
Bitcoin remains in a bearish trend on the 4H and daily timeframes. After hunting the liquidity above the resistance zone, price began to drop exactly from our shared short entry at 83,700—and it's now on the move toward deeper targets.
🔹 Key Insights:
BTC grabbed liquidity just above resistance before reversing.
Price is now likely heading toward the liquidation zone below the support, aligning with the broader downtrend.
This setup offered a perfect short opportunity from $83,700, with clearly defined targets and risk.
🎯 Last Target: 80,200
💡 Congrats to all who followed our signal! The move is unfolding as expected.
📊 Stay locked in for the next big setups—follow for precise, real-time trade ideas! 🔔
86K for another short sellMorning folks,
So, not occasionally we said in previous 2-3 updates that BTC action doesn't look bullish and we suggest a new nosedive. Now we have bearish engulfing pattern on weekly chart . And consider these two Fib levels for another short entry attempt. Of course, 86K would be just perfect, but it could start earlier. One of the possible shapes we consider a downside butterfly.
In general, re-test of 70-73K area on average fits to our long-term view.
In a case if 86K will be broken, it could mean that market is tending to 93.5K target, based on daily AB=CD pattern . But we consider this scenario as less probable due on overall BTC heavy performance in a recent few weeks.
Thus, for now, if you want to make a scalp long trade, you could try, but better to set initial target not higher than 86K.
Our major scenario is bearish and we consider 84K and 86K Fib levels for accumulation of a bearish position, unless something extraordinary will happen.
Profit to everybody, Peace.
THAT WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT BTC IN 2025Professional Technical Analysis & Trading Plan for BTC/USD (Hypothetical 2025 Data)
---
1. Technical Structure & Key Observations
A. Price Context:
- **Current Price:** ~84,197 (below SMA 81,998).
- **SMA (Simple Moving Average):** 81,998 (likely 200-day SMA, acting as dynamic resistance).
- **Volume:** 52K (low volume suggests consolidation; watch for spikes to confirm breaks).
C. Key Levels (From Data):
- **Resistance:**
- Immediate: 81,998 (SMA).
- Major: 90,000, 100,000, 130,000 (swing highs).
- **Support:**
- Near-term: 74,000 (psychological),
---
2. Advanced Indicator Analysis
A. Momentum (RSI & MACD):**
- **RSI (14):** Likely near 40–45 (neutral-bearish zone). A break below 30 signals oversold; above 55 confirms bullish momentum.
- **MACD:** Bearish crossover possible (signal line above MACD line). Watch for reversal above SMA.
B. Volume Profile:
- **Low Volume (52K):** Indicates weak participation. A surge above 100K on a breakout/breakdown would validate direction.
- **Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP):** If price trades above VWAP, bullish bias strengthens.
---
3. Trading Strategies
Scenario : Bullish Reversal (30% Probability)
- **Trigger:** Daily close above SMA (81,998) with volume >100K.
- **Entry:** Long at 74,500 (confirmation of strength).
- **Targets:**
- TP1: 90,000 (8.5% move).
- TP2: 100,000 (19% move).
- **Stop Loss:** 71,500
---
5. Sentiment & Catalyst Watch
- **Bullish Catalysts:** Institutional ETF inflows, Fed rate cuts, Bitcoin halving momentum.
- **Bearish Risks:** Regulatory crackdowns, exchange hacks, macro recession.
-Conclusion
BTC/USD is at a critical juncture. *Trade the SMA break/breakdown with volume confirmation*, and prioritize risk-reward ratios. Always cross-verify with real-time data and news.
Disclaimer: Hypothetical analysis for educational purposes. Not financial advice.* 🚀
BTC/USDT: Range-Bound Movement with Rebound Potential from Key SThe BTC/USDT market recently tested last week’s high but pulled back after encountering resistance near the 89,000 level. On the daily timeframe, the latest candle formed a doji, signaling weakening selling pressure.
The price has reached the two-week low, where underlying liquidity may trigger a bounce—especially around the psychological 80,000 level. With the market consolidating after recent sell-offs, a move toward the 85,000 area is possible. A monthly doji close is also anticipated, reflecting the broader indecision. The next upside target is the resistance zone around 84,000
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Sell Limit Trade IdeaTRADENATION:BTCUSD Bitcoin has formed a double top pattern, confirmed by a breakdown below 89,199, signalling potential for further downside. Additionally, a bearish flag breakdown in recent sessions suggests continuation lower.
This morning’s gap down highlights market weakness, but a fill of this gap at $83,543 may offer an ideal entry for short positions.
Trade Details
Entry (Sell Limit): 83,543
Stop Loss: 87,992
Take Profit: 70,613
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.9:1
Key Levels
Resistance:
R1: $83,543 (Entry Point)
R2: $85,819
R3: $88,767
Support:
S1 : 76,590
S2: 70,531
S3: 63,411
Technical & Fundamental Factors
✅ Double Top Formation – Breakdown below 89,199 confirms bearish momentum.
✅ Bearish Flag Breakdown – Indicates continuation of the current downtrend.
✅ Gap Lower – Signals further weakness; gap fill at 83,543 offers a selling opportunity.
⚠️ Smart Money Not Buying – Commercial participants are selling Bitcoin, suggesting a lack of institutional support.
Summary
This setup offers a high-probability short opportunity at 83,543, targeting a move down to 70,613, with a stop at 87,992. The combination of technical breakdowns and weak institutional demand supports a bearish outlook.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Déjà Vu, BTC's Historical Pattern EncoreIt is possible the pattern that shaped in late 2020 and 2021 might repeat again.
Everything just looks like the previous main high which is selected with the red square in the left of chart.
There is no guarantee even if it happens - movement and ratios of movement can be different.
Déjà vu on the charts isn't by chance.
BITCOIN This is where the most aggressive part begins.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has turned sideways amidst the tariffs implementation today and on the longer picture (1W time-frame) it remains supported just above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). On this chart we display our Parabolic Growth Channel (PGC), which is the long-term Zone where BTC is a buy opportunity.
Throughout the market's historic Cycles, the time when BTC was supported above the 1W MA50 but still within its PGC was known as an Accumulation Phase (blue ellipse) before the final parabolic rally of the Cycle and its eventual Top (green Arc).
Based on this model, so far we haven't seen any such rally, despite the undoubtedly strong rallies of October 2023 - March 2024 and October 2024 - December 2024. Only the March 2024 and then the recent Tops can be counted as marginal breaches above the PGC and it's been no surprise that the market corrected back inside the Buy Zone but remained supported by the 1W MA50.
As long as it does, the probabilities of that final, most aggressive Cycle rally get stronger. On the last Cycle the peak was priced just above the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. That is currently a little below $170k and that is why our final Target is just below at $160000. Also right now we are marginally below the 0.618 Cycle top-to-top Fib, which is in line to where all previous final Cycle parabolic rallies started.
So do you think the 1W MA50 will now push BTC to its final Cycle rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BTC Dominance Breaks Out Altcoins Set to Bleed, Be CautiousHey everyone, let’s dive into this BTC Dominance chart on the 4H timeframe. As you can see, BTC Dominance has just broken out to the upside from a descending triangle pattern, which is a bullish signal for dominance. Currently sitting at 62.633%, it’s testing a key resistance zone around 62.71% (the recent high). If this level holds as support, we could see BTC Dominance push higher toward the next resistance around 64-65%, a zone that aligns with the upper trendline of the longer-term ascending channel.
What does this mean for altcoins ?
When BTC Dominance rises, it typically signals that Bitcoin is outperforming altcoins, often leading to altcoins bleeding in value relative to BTC. The breakout suggests capital is flowing into Bitcoin, likely due to market uncertainty or a flight to safety within crypto. Altcoins could face downward pressure in the short term, especially if BTC Dominance confirms this breakout with a strong close above 62.71%.
Key Levels to Watch
Support: 62.62% (recent breakout level) – if this fails, we might see a retest of 61.5%.
Resistance: 64-65% – a break above this could accelerate altcoin underperformance.
Invalidation: A drop below 61.5% would negate the bullish setup for BTC Dominance and could signal a potential altcoin rally.
Altcoin Outlook
Altcoins are likely to struggle in the near term as BTC sucks up market liquidity. However, keep an eye on major altcoins like ETH, BNB, or SOL for relative strength – if they hold key support levels despite this dominance move, they might be the first to recover when BTC Dominance cools off.
Final Thoughts
This BTC Dominance breakout is a warning sign for altcoin holders. Consider tightening stops on altcoin positions or hedging with BTC exposure. Also don't forget this is NFP Week as well. Let’s see how this plays out over the next few days – stay nimble and trade safe!
EOSUSDT Breakout with Strong Volume: Bullish Momentum BuildingEOSUSDT has recently completed a breakout, demonstrating strong bullish momentum with significant volume backing the move. The breakout from the previous resistance level indicates a potential trend reversal, and with the volume surge, it confirms that investors are actively participating in this rally. Market sentiment appears positive, and the pair is well-positioned to capitalize on this momentum.
With the current bullish outlook, EOSUSDT shows promising potential for gains ranging from 90% to 100% or more. The increasing interest from investors further supports the likelihood of continued upward movement. If the buying pressure sustains, we may witness a robust rally that could attract more attention from the trading community.
Technical analysis highlights that the successful breakout combined with consistent volume influx may serve as a solid foundation for future growth. Traders should keep an eye on key support and resistance levels to make the most of potential price surges. As the momentum builds, managing risk effectively and staying updated with market conditions will be crucial.
✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and
✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin)
Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
BTC/USDT 15-Minute Chart Analysis🚀 BTC/USDT 15-Minute Chart Analysis 🏆
🔍 Market Overview:
The chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) price action on a 15-minute timeframe with key resistance & support levels, along with potential trade triggers.
📌 Key Observations:
📈 Strong Resistance (🚧 85,339.85 USDT)
🔥 Major hurdle for buyers! A breakout above this could ignite a rally.
🚀 If BTC closes above this level with volume, we might see a strong uptrend.
🛑 Important Support (🔵 84,727.22 - 84,912.40 USDT)
🛡️ Holding this zone is crucial for bulls to maintain momentum.
❌ Losing this support could trigger a bearish move.
📊 Moving Averages (7, 25, 99 SMA):
🟡 Short-Term SMA (7): Price is testing this moving average.
🔵 Medium-Term SMA (25): Acting as dynamic support.
🟢 Long-Term SMA (99): Still bullish, showing an uptrend bias.
⚡ Trade Triggers:
✅ Long Trigger (📈💰) - If BTC breaks 85,339.85 USDT with volume → 🚀 BUY Opportunity!
❌ Short Trigger (📉🔻) - If BTC drops below 84,727.22 USDT → 🏴☠️ Short setup possible!
📢 Trading Strategy:
💎 Bullish Plan: Watch for a breakout above 85,339.85 USDT with strong volume → 🎯 Targets: 85,500+ USDT.
⚠️ Bearish Plan: If BTC breaks below 84,727.22 USDT, look for a drop to 84,498.52 USDT or lower.
🔥 Final Thoughts:
Bitcoin is in a critical decision zone! 🎯 Breakout = Bullish Rally! ❌ Breakdown = Bearish Move!
📢 Stay Alert! Volume Confirmation is Key! 🎯
Can it hit 89,000 again?The price trend of BTC has once again become the focus of global investors' attention.
Previously, BTC experienced a period of consolidation, during which the bulls and bears engaged in repeated games. Now, the bulls of BTC have risen strongly, unleashing powerful upward momentum.
With a swift and fierce move, it has broken through the key resistance level of 85,000 at one stroke. This breakthrough is like a fuse igniting the market, and the upward trend has spread rapidly. It is expected that it will further challenge the range of 87,000-89,000 in the future.
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
Mochi on Basewe are still in accumulation zone. last pump on january was for exit liquidity, some whales sold it and forget for the project and on another side come new whale who was DCA that downside pullback. Or just simple shakeout of weak hands who can't wait time)
I can show you any patern such as imbalance or order block / support level but in global we are still on same prices more than one year and i haven't seen any distribution yet.
By the way, Mochi is the oldest meme on Base network after Toshi, received grant from coinbase and named after CEO CB cat
BTC Breakout or Breakdown: 83K to 87K or Bust to 73K?BTC’s standing at a fork in the road, and it’s itching to make a move! If it pushes past 83,121, we’re looking at a smooth jump to 84,600—like a quick win you can almost taste. Keep the good vibes going, and 87,000 might just be the big payoff. But hold up—if it stumbles below 81,300, things could get messy. The bears might crash the party, pulling us down to 80K, then 79,900. And if the slide keeps going? We’re talking 74,700, maybe even a rough landing between 73,600 and 73,000.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
Bitcoin - Where will Bitcoin go?!Bitcoin is trading below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. The continuation of Bitcoin’s downward trend and its placement in the demand zone will provide us with the opportunity to buy it again.
The continued rise of Bitcoin will also lead to testing of selling transactions from the supply zone. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range.
Since March 14, inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have maintained a positive trend. For seven consecutive days, these ETFs have recorded net capital inflows without any outflows. This marks the first instance in 2025 of such a consistent streak of inflows into Bitcoin ETFs.
The assets under management (AUM) of actively managed ETFs in the United States have surged over the past two years, surpassing $1 trillion—a more than threefold increase. This remarkable growth indicates a rising investor interest in strategies beyond index-based funds.
Bitcoin had an overall positive week, whereas the S&P 500 and global equity markets suffered declines due to ongoing concerns over tariffs and persistent inflation. The S&P 500 closed the week lower, dropping to $5,580—just 1.2% above its recent low from March 13. Meanwhile, despite experiencing pullbacks, Bitcoin remains 9.3% above its previous low of $77,000, recorded on March 10.
Strategy, following its latest acquisition, now holds 2.41% of the total global Bitcoin supply.Given that a significant portion of Bitcoin has either been lost or remains dormant in wallets, this stake represents nearly 4% of the actively circulating supply.
About a month and a half ago, Eric Trump, son of former President Donald Trump, tweeted that it was the perfect time to buy Ethereum. Since that tweet, however, Ethereum’s price has dropped by approximately 35%. This highlights the risk of making investment decisions solely based on endorsements from well-known individuals.
Trump Media & Technology Group, owned by U.S. President Donald Trump, has announced a partnership with the cryptocurrency exchange Crypto.com to launch a range of exchange-traded products (ETPs) and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). This includes a multi-crypto ETF (the first of its kind) and ETPs comprising digital assets and securities from various sectors, including the energy industry. Crypto.com will provide the underlying technology, custodial solutions, and crypto asset management services.
In the second half of March, the cryptocurrency market experienced a significant rebound, reigniting optimism among traders. However, historical analysis suggests that the crypto market often moves contrary to mainstream expectations. When bullish sentiment—such as the phrase “To the Moon”—becomes widespread on social media, it may signal an impending price drop. Conversely, when negative sentiments like “Crypto is dead” or “Bitcoin is a scam” become dominant, this could indicate a potential price surge.
Therefore, investors should pay close attention to market sentiment and exercise caution in their decision-making. Recognizing that markets may move against the prevailing consensus can help in formulating more strategic investment approaches.
BTC - Post Weekly Closure UpdateAgain, not an awful lot has changed since last week’s update. We’ve now closed a weekly candle yet again in no man’s land; in fact, one could argue it’s a bearish engulfing candle that closed below the previous week’s level, solidifying further bearish sentiment and likely continuation until key SH has been reclaimed.
Like I mentioned in last week’s update - for now, we’re waiting for 65K–72K, a break of ATH, or at least a reclamation of HTF 🗝️ swings (95K minimum) to jump back into HTF trades. Until then, I’m exploiting LTF/MTF moves.
Another thing to note: Everyone is so fixated on 72K being the potential bottom (if reached). It makes me wonder: will 72K happen soon (it will eventually), and if it does, will it hold? I personally think we’ll see a deeper pullback into the 2W demand at 68K, or potentially the 1W PHOB at 65K, which I’ve mentioned several times.
On LTF/MTF - I’ve been updating every trade, and they’ve been playing out quite well so far. We failed to hold the 23H HOB at 83K, thereby breaking below the MTF SL at 83130, and now the same level is acting as an obstacle to higher prices. If accepted above, I expect 84K, potentially 86K, before a possible downward continuation.
For us to see higher prices on MTF, we need to reclaim 88744, SH, to target 96K - potentially the 2D OB at 100K, which is also a psychological level and confluent with the volume drop in VRVP, as shown in the image above. If 88744 is reclaimed, followed by a pullback into newly formed liquidity or BB, I’d then look for a long to the above-mentioned levels.
As long as we’re below 88,744, downward pressure remains.