my idea about btc in secound half of 2025Dear followers,
I’ve analyzed BTC’s recent price movements and on-chain indicators, and I’d like to share my outlook for the second half of 2025. Based on my technical and macroeconomic assessment, I anticipate a significant correction before a strong rebound later in the year.
Key Highlights:
Sell Zone: I expect BTC to reach around $108,000 during a bullish run, where I recommend taking profits and initiating a short position.
Correction Phase: Following the peak, I foresee a correction bringing BTC down to approximately $69,000. This presents a deep buy opportunity for those looking to accumulate at lower levels.
Target for Rebound: Post-correction, I project a strong rally towards $140,000, driven by renewed institutional interest and market fundamentals.
Trading Strategy:
Consider selling or reducing holdings near the $108K level.
Be prepared to accumulate during the dip around $69K.
Aim for the $140K target on the rebound, aligned with overall bullish momentum.
Please note that all trading involves risk, and it's essential to manage your positions carefully. Stay tuned for updates, and always do your own research before making trading decisions.
Let me know your thoughts or if you'd like a deeper analysis!
BTC-D
BTC - Bullish SOON!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
BTC has been in a correction phase, and it feels like it's taking forever! ⏳
As long as the blue trendline holds, the overall bias remains bullish. 📈
As BTC approaches the blue trendline—perfectly aligning with a demand zone and support—we'll be watching for trend-following longs to catch the next big impulse move upward. 🚀
For now, we wait! ⏳
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Bitcoin Chart Pattern Signals Possible Dip Before Pump!🚀 Hey Traders! 👋
If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver! 💹🔥
📉 #BTC – Potential Inverse Head & Shoulders in Play
Bitcoin is showing signs of a classic inverse head and shoulders formation on the daily chart. However, it's facing heavy resistance near the neckline around the $106,000 zone.
🧠 Possible Scenario:
A correction toward the GETTEX:92K –$93K range could complete the right shoulder before a potential breakout. If we see a clean bounce from that level, bulls might reclaim momentum.
⚠️ Invalidation:
A daily close above $106,000 would invalidate the structure and signal early continuation.
💬 What do you think of this setup? Drop your views and analysis in the comments below!
Very Bullish with a a clear Pullback incoming BINANCE:SOLUSDM2025
From the weekly chart we can clearly see that SOL has recovered quite nicely from the tariff scares the world markets have experienced in the last 2-3 months. We do have lowering Bullish volume over the last few weeks and we are approaching a weekly OB- (ICT Concepts) that was formed in the late February. I fully expect SOL price to spike into it, reverse for a good pullback to enter more longs and long term holdings and then continue higher from we clear $180.58 on the SOL/USD Binance chart 📈. Once that final level is cleared there is no stopping SOL until maybe the $250. If Bitcoin and the rest of the overall crypto markets remain Bullish for the rest of 2025 into January 2026 (seasonal tendency) SOL price could push to ALL Time Highs.
+$30K Unrealized | Still Long, Is ATH Next?Even after the strong rally that pushed Bitcoin past the 100K level, the price continues to hold critical support zones without breaking recent lows. We're seeing a steady, stair-step climb ("grinding higher")—absorbing previous supply through sideways consolidation while still making higher highs.
After forming a local high near 105,000, we’ve seen some pullback—but so far, there’s been no breakdown of major support, especially on lower timeframes. The structure still favors continuation to the upside, and the broader uptrend from the 74K–83K zone remains intact.
That said, we haven’t seen any major correction yet. With the market now testing the final supply zone before all-time highs, failure to break out could trigger a wave of profit-taking. This could lead to short-term selling from traders who bought lower, anticipating new highs.
We're now in a zone where volatility can spike in both directions, making it a tough area for clean entries. Long positions may feel risky due to the high level, and shorting too early might get squeezed out by another high. But this environment also presents great short-term opportunities—as long as you're quick and manage risk tightly.
If the current bounce fails to break above 105K, it may signal a larger corrective move. The first support zone to watch is 103K, followed by 99K. Even if price pulls back to these levels, the overall trend may still be valid—these are key zones where the uptrend could resume.
At this point, we must observe whether this bounce leads to further continuation or becomes a “trap” before a larger move down. If price holds the previous supply zones as support, we could see another leg up. If not, a deeper retracement may unfold.
This is also a zone where many traders may FOMO in, expecting an immediate breakout, only to get caught in a fakeout or shakeout. Personally, I think the market is more likely to test this final supply zone with increased volatility and a deeper correction before making a real move to new all-time highs. Risk management is crucial here.
We’ve had a strong rally with no significant retracements, and while the uptrend may continue, failure to break out soon—or if profit-taking kicks in—could lead to meaningful corrections. Be prepared.
To summarize, we are in a very important decision zone:
Will price continue holding the lows and grind higher to new ATHs,
or will it reject from supply and trigger a larger retracement?
Whatever happens next, don't rush into a position out of fear of missing out.
Wait for structure, wait for confirmation, and remember: entering one step later at a better level is far better than entering too soon and getting stopped out.
Update! $BTC range Bound... Consolidation? Breakout? Breakdown? CRYPTOCAP:BTC appears to have formed a range: between approximately between 76800 and 104,300
Current price: 104300
Here are the key observations:
Key resistance zone is around 104300 - Price has tested this level multiple times but failed to close above it decisively.
Clear to say that A break above which will lead to All time highs possibly up to 135k
If #BTC Bitcoin continues to reject this level then expect these layers of support to be tested:
97700 and then 91100
CRYPTOCAP:BTC remains bullish if prices remains above 91100. Further break down will lead to bottom of range 84100 and 76800 (coinciding with 200 EMA )
Trading Implications:
For Longs: Avoid new positions unless there's a breakout with volume above $105,000.
For Shorts: This is a possible scalp opportunity near the top of the range, with a stop slightly above $105,000.
Not financial Advice!
(BTC) Technical Outlook: Imminent ATH ReversalBitcoin’s rejection at ~$105 000 completes a classic A–B–C corrective pattern in a low-liquidity zone. Failure to hold $90 000–$85 000 will likely trigger a rapid decline toward the primary support at $32000. Only a weekly close above $105 000 on strong volume would invalidate this bearish outlook.
MSTR (Strategy) coming up to $395, the smaller resistance levelNASDAQ:MSTR has rebounded from the bottom fairly fast compared to other stocks and indexes. It's even performed better than Bitcoin itself. However it should be hitting heavy resistance now near 395-400 and above is only heavier resistance. It's time for a pullback and a breather for MSTR. Target is the Point of Control near $350, before going higher. However we could turn bullish again before reaching $350
I personally know someone who played with fire by buying MSTR options calls while it was dropping before, meaning he was trying to catch a falling knife and got burnt finally. He lost nearly $500,000 because of it. So I don't mess with options personally, however I will margin trade with stocks and trade futures, forex and leverage trade cryptocurrencies.
$BTC Looking Bullish CRYPTOCAP:BTC $104,987 resistance testing, as expected some struggle here at given key resistance area. $103,093 support tested and holding as of now, Bullish engulfing on last 1D close, need to see if it gets follow thru Today. RSI on 1D in oversold region, 4H RSI looking good, 18H left to close current weekly, looking bullish as MACD turns green, $99,361 remains key support, current support range $103,093-$102,280.
BTC in 17 April 2025Potential Major Move on Thursday, April 17, 2025 📍
📊 Based on an analysis of historical Bitcoin chart averages and similar patterns, there is a likelihood of a significant price movement on this date.
This analysis is conducted using technical analysis and a detailed examination of Bitcoin’s movement averages. It suggests that approximately every 150 days after the start of a neutral trend, we can expect a sharp upward or downward move that sets the stage for the main trend in the future.
📅 As of the current date, March 29, 2025, there are about 18 days left until this significant event.
You can follow the results of this analysis and the conducted review on TradingView on the specified date.
$BTC probability still favors new lowBTC has had a strong rally back into the prior resistance and unless we can break above the prior highs, I still think probability still favors more downside (and I think we see a new low).
I've marked off support levels and resistance levels as I think this will largely be the range over the next year.
My base case as of now, is that we see one more low down in the $69k-$62k region before we start a new run to the highs above ($122k+). Another possibility is that we sweep the lows and bounce at $72k, then move up towards the highs.
That said, the reason I think lower is due to the massive imbalance on the chart that needs to get resolved.
Overall I still think we're in a bullish trend, but that we continue to pullback before the final move higher.
BTCUSD – Multi-TF Bearish SFP & Fib Retrace Before ATH Rebound
Bearish SFP printed on 4H / 8H / 12H / 1D at $103 345 – $104 985 after a parabolic ~$94 k → $104 k run and multiple rejections at $104 k–$106 k resistance.
Trump tariff-cut announcement sparked a sharp spike into resistance that was quickly sold off, confirming heavy supply at $104 k – $106 k.
Baseline plan: drop to 0.786 Fib ~$102 586, then 0.618 Fib ~$100 613, before a push toward the ATH ~$109 588.
Trade Setups
Short – SFP Breakdown
Trigger: 4H close below $103 345
Entry: ≈ $103 300 on retest
SL: $105 500 (above swing high)
TP1: 0.786 Fib ≈ $102 586 RR ≈ 0.7
TP2: 0.618 Fib ≈ $100 613 RR ≈ 2.6
Long – Fib Rebound
Trigger: Bullish reversal at 0.618 Fib / FVG cluster ≈ $100 613
SL: $99 300 (below FVG)
TP1: SFP top / range high ≈ $104 145 RR ≈ 2.7
TP2: ATH ≈ $109 588 RR ≈ 6.8
BTC Approaches All-Time High — But Signs of Weakness Emerge!BTC is once again approaching its all-time high (ATH) on the daily timeframe, generating excitement across the market. However, a closer look at the lower timeframes reveals signs of potential exhaustion as BTC encounters strong resistance. This suggests a pullback could occur before any continuation higher.
On the 4-hour and 1-hour charts, BTC is currently trading within a rising channel, which is often considered a bearish continuation pattern, especially when it forms directly below a key resistance level like the ATH. Price action within this structure is starting to lose momentum, and the presence of bearish divergences and decreasing volume further supports the likelihood of a near-term correction.
Where Could We Buy the Dip?
A pullback may offer a strategic entry opportunity for traders looking to ride the next leg up. Notably, two fair value gaps (FVGs) were created during the recent upward move. The first FVG could provide a minor bounce, but the second one is more compelling for a higher-probability long setup.
This second FVG aligns with a well-established support zone and coincides with the Golden Pocket of the Fibonacci retracement (between the 0.618 and 0.65 levels). This confluence of technical factors makes it a strong area of interest for bulls, and a potential springboard for price to retest, and possibly break, the ATH.
In summary, while BTC is showing strength on the higher timeframes, lower timeframe patterns suggest that a healthy correction is likely. Patience and proper level selection will be key. Watching how price reacts around the second FVG and the Golden Pocket zone may present one of the best opportunities for re-entry.
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CYCLE 4 | Pull back complete!Hi team,
The purpose of this post is to close out our thoughts posted back in December 2024 with the suggestion of a possible 30-40% correction scenario we envisioned BTC might look to complete over the upcoming months, and what we wanted to see the bulls achieve in order for Cycle 4 to move into its final phase. Using this set up we can look towards where BTC may look towards from here.
These steps were outlined in the below two posts:
CYCLE 4 | CME GAP: Bull Cycle Period First Major Pull Back (Dec 20 - 2024)
CYCLE 4 | UPDATE - BTC Possible Next Move into Sell Zone (Feb 14 - 2025)
REVIEWING WHAT HAPPENED
In these posts we suggested
1) BTC will likely pull back and look for opportunities for support
2) We outlined the following levels
* Demand Zone and bottom of our defined Price Channel (92-90K)
* Daily Order Block (OB) (88.5-87.9k)
* CME GAP - down as far as ~77K and suggested a wick on the weekly down to our March 2024 high would not be out of the question
These levels all were taken out with our worst-case forecast achieved. Bulls then successfully preceded to complete the requirements we set out in these posts:
1) Uptrend Channel: No Open / Close weekly candle outside of, push back within and HOLD as support / HOLD and remain inside of our cycle uptrend channel (keep BTCs relationship with this trend line intact).
2) Daily OB: Flip and hold as support (BTC first attempt was rejected, held as resistance and allow a more bullish double bottom to be formed).
3) 20W SMA / 21W EMA: Flip and hold these moving averages
4) Price Channel: Push back inside and hold with a least two weekly candle closes.
WHERE TO FROM HERE
We are now at this point where BTC is now poised to look at a new ATH. BULLs are looking for BTC to finish off this cycle, and the set up aligns perfectly with our 'Sell Zone' box time frame we have put in place to help us navigate this cycle. Our 'MA OSCILLATOR RISK METRIC' (see charts in below posts for updates) has swung back into our RL level of 7 and moving back towards out cycle peak risk levels.
To achieve a 'proper' finishing ATH bulls are looking for in this zone we would want to see BTC start to making aggressive moves from here in Q3 & Q4 of 2025.
The biggest concerns for BULLs and the upcoming case for bears is the weekly bearish divergences BTC has put in place with our prior ATHs this cycle. This is most notable in the RSI shown in this posts original chart. From here there are 3 likely scenarios BTC could take based on rejects of our RSI dark black tend line and in place weekly bearish divergences. These Scenarios are marked 1, 2 and 3.
Scenario 1
BTC moves aggressively out of this price channel to new ATHs. There is a chance Bears could push price into a lower high here or put in a 'SFP' (Swing Failure Pattern) and sweep our prior high.
Scenario 1a
This would play out scenario 1a which bulls would want to see a retest and hold of the 20W SMA / 21W EMA before heading back up to attack high levels. We would expect our RSI moving Advertage to provide support in this level (see point 1a in the RSI chart). Failure to hold would strongly support the suggestion of cycle 5s bear market beginning IMO.
Scenario 2
A HOLD and bounce off the 20W SMA / 21W EMA again would give bears another chance to put bearish divergence with the weekly RSI. Watch for a higher high in price (likely a SFP or sweep of our current ATH) and a lower high closed in our Weekly RSI. This would be a scary scenario for the bulls.
BULLISH SCENARIO | BREAKING THE RSI BEARISH DIVERGENCE DOWN TREND LINE
The most bullish move BTC Bulls could achieve in all the above scenarios is to breaking above the RSI Bearish Divergence Down Trend Line (shown as green up trend arrows in the RSI). This will invalidate current bearish divergences and sent bulls focus on the more speculative upper targets for this cycle.
Hope you have found this post series an interesting watch as I have.
BTC - NEW ATH COMING W MORE DETAILS Adding more detail to the current forecast. I originally had this a short opportunity at or near $104,500 or so. But I have modified that to safer played as a sell - $105,000 - $106,400 and then stand to the side, and buy back lower , near $96,400 - $95,900 for what then becomes an ATH. This could be risky for home gamers, so handle your own dreams accordingly. In the end, this resolves higher, not lower and below $83,000 as I had originally thought. Murrey Math, Elliot Wave, and Gonzalez wave systems being employed. Comments and Dms always welcome. Good luck!
$BTC Post Death Cross PA Has NOT Confirmed 200DMA - Must Read!Throughout Bitcoin's history it has had 11 Death Crosses (50DMA crossing under 200DMA), and 10 of those times price has retested the 200DMA within ~3 months (with 1 outlier).
Do you know what time it did NOT retest the 200DMA? You might have guessed it… this most recent death cross ☠️
The only outlier that price did not retest the 200DMA within ~3 months was in 2015, where it took nearly a year to retest.
In that time, CRYPTOCAP:BTC ripped 200% just 75 days later, which marked the start of the PARABOLA.
This is why I have been so adamant with sticking to my base case for Bitcoin’s next move.
Is this time different? 🥸
Will it take nearly a year to retest the 200DMA?
An interesting observation I found was that if we take 90D from the most recent death cross, it brings us out to July 6th, which is right around when the 90-day pause of tariffs is lifted 🧐
Having said all that, if PA confidently breaks above and confirms previous ATH (~$110k), I will lean towards the 2015 outlier for the 200DMA retest, which would put us into late Q1 2026.
That would line up nicely with a suspected top of the cycle 🥲
Bitcoin @$100,000 | Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (Session 6)Good morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, what a wonderful day.
Bitcoin is now on its fifth consecutive green week and challenging $100,000 as resistance today.
The last barrier was a price range between $94,000 and $98,000. This barrier is now gone. Bitcoin continues to move higher day by day yet trading volume is still low. What does this means? It means that we are yet to experience the real bull market wave, bullish momentum will only grow and reach astronomical proportions late this month.
We are going up.
As Bitcoin hits $100,000 for the first time after the correction phase, the Altcoins market is sure to follow and we will see an explosion of projects breaking up and reaching new heights. Timing is still great for many pairs. Not early, but definitely not late.
Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (Session 6)
Leave a comment with your favorite Altcoin trading pair I will do a full analysis for you. I will switch between publishing in my profile and answering in the comments section.
You have to visit @MasterAnanda to find your analysis when I reply to you as new publications cannot be shared in the comments.
I will do mainly one pair per person/username/supporter.
The Altcoins are hot now... It is not too late, we still have to experience the entire 2025 bull market bullish cycle and bull run phase. The bull market might extend beyond 2025 but the main date for a new All-Time High is around November. Can be December 2025 just as it can be October, there will be strong variations between projects and pairs.
Definitely, many projects will continue growing into 2026. Overall, the next bear market should very small in duration, and then once more maximum growth. The bear market this time around will look like a simply correction and there won't be 2-3 years of consolidation, not anymore. This time around, we are going to see real-true long-term growth. An entire decade of growth.
Leave a comment to show your support —boost and follow!
Namaste.
SELL BTC - $99,400 BTC has arrived as forecasted into its next resistance zone. That should be abundantly clear from 150 colored lines I have on my super straight forward chart. ( sike ) I could go into great detail as to why I lean toward this is another local high, but why? I never do that. Just check out the results. We'll see how it goes. Comments and DM's always welcome Happy Trading. GO Murry, GO Gann, GO Elliot GO Kumar.
BTC - NOT DONE YET - $132,000 Well, in a somewhat interesting turn of events, I can see my Stop loss at $105,300 is going to get hit, and BTC will push higher. Its pre-emptive, as we have yet to touch $105,300. But the micro wave structure looks clear to me. So in a somewhat sensational way , the new target is an all time high plus about $22,000 more.
Happy Trading.
Lets hope this does not turn into a bad case of the whiplash.