BTC-D
The Road to The Mooni like to make some graphs like that when peoples are in Dispair mode.
- i used a modified ADX indicator with a Monthly Timeframe ( thanks to the creator by the way )
- Look at the Mountains and tell me when in past bullruns we stopped at 100 ? - Never -
- The Highest Point is 160+
That said my advice for now is : " You don't really care if TheKing will back to 20k, what you have to care is the Highest point TheKing will reach! "
- Don't Think it's the end of this bullrun
- Don't Listen Fuders
- Use indicators for the Long Term
- Believe in Trends and cycles movements
- Believe in the future of cryptos
- Believe in TheKing because Theking cannot die.
Happy Tr4Ding !
BTC SHORT TP:82,300 17-04-2025🚨 Time to go Short! The targets are set between 82,000 and 82,500, with the 4-hour and 8-hour timeframes indicating a bearish trend.
We anticipate this downward movement to unfold within the next 2 days. It’s crucial to enter at the right moment and consider averaging down to maximize your potential gains.
Keep an eye on market updates to adjust your strategy accordingly. Following me will ensure you stay informed about any changes and the latest insights. Let’s navigate this market together and aim for those profits! 📉💰
BTC Dominance – Are We Near the true Altseason?BTC Dominance – Are We Near the Altseason?
BTC dominance has been rising recently, and many believe the real altseason will begin once BTC.D reaches 71%, just like in the previous cycle.
However, it might happen sooner than expected.
On the 1W timeframe, several signs are flashing:
RSI is showing a bearish divergence that’s about to play out.
Since January 2023, the MACD has been in overbought territory.
Each time RSI peaked above 70%, we saw a rejection of 8–10%. It's currently at 68% and nearing that level again.
On December 2nd, 2024, the structure was broken, but it has since re-entered its rising channel.
🔗
On the Daily chart:
BTC.D is approaching its cycle peak around 65%, which should act as a resistance and potential reversal point.
Since the structure was already broken once, another downside break is highly probable.
🔗
On the Monthly chart, it’s pretty clear we’re nearing the end of the BTC dominance cycle, and a rotation of capital is likely to follow soon.
Now, there are 2 possible scenarios:
Altseason starts at 65% in this cycle.
Altseason starts again at 71%, mirroring the previous cycle.
When you look at the Monthly chart, it’s easy to see that this cycle is different. With an overbought RSI, and a potential break of structure, a long-awaited MACD correction could be the trigger for the real altseason.
🚨 DYOR (Do Your Own Research) 🚨
Bitcoin are you Worried ?Everything is in chart.
- Like i said many times, more you look from far, more it's easy to predict the future.
- This Monthly Chart combinated with indicators show you how BTC moved in 2016-2017 BullRun so keep eyes open and you will find the way for 2020-2021.
- We cannot compare a Bullrun from 400$ to 20,000$ with a Bullrun From 4000$ to 3XX,XXX+$, the chart will be exponential. We are now playing with big numbers.
- imo right now we are in fake bear market stage, this stage happened also in 2016-2017 pre-bullrun ( but Numbers were smallers...), whales are just trying to create fear and remove retails investors.
- Actual stage could be a Consolidation Phase, if Whales see there's a lack of interest, they will push BTC up, or we could get a quick fast Trap to 20,000$ if Whales feel Retails not fear enough (Not sell their BTC).
- 100 000$ Target is still very preservative, past this stage it will be the FOMO Stage to go Higher!
TheKing is dead??? Long live TheKing!! :D
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin: The Grand Ascension Blueprint - Ready for Lift-Off!
The Most Important Bitcoin Chart You'll See This Year.. As we said before in pervious idea for enrty in 74,500
and that what happen in one month
Looking at this daily BTC/USD chart, we're witnessing the formation of a powerful technical setup that could define the rest of 2025. This isn't just another prediction—it's a strategic roadmap based on key technical levels that smart money is watching.
📊 What The Chart Is Revealing:
🔷 Perfect Channel Formation
* Bitcoin has established a massive ascending channel (gray boundaries) with textbook precision
* Current price ($77,626) testing the critical lower boundary support
* Previous touch points have all resulted in significant bounces
🔷 Triple Target Trajectory
* TP1: $82,400 - Initial relief target (conservative)
* TP2: $85,700 - Mid-channel equilibrium zone
* TP3: $89,100 - Upper resistance test before potential breakout
🔷 Historical Context Matters
* We're constructively holding above the December 2023 breakout level
* Current consolidation mirrors the pre-pump phase from late 2023
* Blue trendline break served as the first warning of trend change
Why This Pattern Has MASSIVE Implications
⚡ The Timing Effect:
The current position at channel support presents a rare low-risk, high-reward opportunity with clear invalidation points. The pattern suggests accumulation before a potential explosive move toward $130,000 by August-September.
⚡ Macro Alignment:
This technical setup coincides perfectly with post-halving supply dynamics and institutional capital flow patterns. The projected move higher follows the historical post-halving performance cycles.
⚡ Risk Management Precision:
* Invalidation point: Clear break below $74,000 with volume
* Ideal entry zone: $74,800-$75,500
* Risk:reward ratio at current levels: approximately 1:5
he Hidden Message Most Traders Are Missing
This isn't just about price targets—this formation suggests Bitcoin is preparing for its largest percentage gain phase of this cycle. The projected path (purple forecast line) indicates a potential 68% move from current levels in just 90-120 days.
Institutional positioning data supports this view. The methodical stair-stepping pattern in the forecast line suggests strategic accumulation phases between aggressive price advancement.
📊 SEE YOU AFTER 3-4 MONTHS .. FOLLOW ME FOR MORE DETAILS 📊
Bitcoin is currently trading around 85,269.35 USDT. Bitcoin is currently trading around 85,269.35 USDT.
Support Zone: A crucial support zone marked in green suggests strong buying interest between 80,000 and 81,000 USDT.
Resistance: The upper trend line indicates resistance; if Bitcoin can break it, it could target levels close to 88,000 USDT.
Bullish Case: A breakout above the upper trend line could lead to an upward rally towards 88,000 USDT or above.
Bearish Case: If the price breaks below the support zone, a downward move towards 75,000 USDT can be expected.
Monitor the trade closely to see how it reacts around these crucial levels. Adjust your strategy accordingly based on the price action. If you have further questions or need analysis on specific indicators, feel free to ask!
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Bullish rise?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 81,863.58
1st Support: 76,689.89
1st Resistance: 94,753.96
Risk Warning:
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Next Volatility Period: Around April 25-29
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near the OBV Line indicator (84349.94) on the 1M chart and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
-
(1D chart)
(Movement in a wide range)
If you look at the lines drawn with multiple lines, you can see that it is currently moving sideways within the section that the fingers are pointing to.
It may seem a bit complicated, but the key is in which direction the finger points out.
(Narrow range movement)
After the volatility period of around April 14-17, there is a possibility that the short-term trend will change.
The next volatility period is expected to be around April 25-29 (up to April 24-30).
Therefore, the point of interest is whether it will fall below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart and show a downward trend, or rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and show an upward trend.
In other words, you need to look at whether it will rise along the trend line (2) or fall along the trend line (4).
-
As I said before, if the StochRSI indicator is above 50, it is better to focus on finding a selling point.
The reason is that even if it rises, the upward trend is likely to be limited.
If the trading volume increases explosively when it shows support at a certain support and resistance point or section, it is possible that it will lead to a large increase, but it is a rare case, so it is better to refrain from expecting it.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
I rewrote it to update the previous chart while touching the Fibonacci ratio section of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have maintained an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Skeptic | Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis: Why 85850 is Critical!The breakout above 85,850 could push Bitcoin into a new uptrend phase, potentially driving price toward 90K, 95K, and even 105K in the coming weeks. That’s why this zone is so important. But let me explain why in more detail.
⭐Let’s start with the daily timeframe. After breaking out of its descending trendline, BTC entered a range between 82,800 and 85,850 . Looking at the bigger picture, you’ll see that 88,500 is a key resistance level — and breaking above it could act as a strong trigger.
But if you’re not a breakout trader and prefer reactive entries, the 80K–82K zone is a major PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) based on RSI, Fibonacci, and Pivot Points — meaning it could offer a decent spot-buying opportunity.
Just keep in mind: we’re not officially in a daily uptrend yet, so if you’re thinking about spot buying, it’s better to wait for a confirmed higher low and higher high on the daily chart.
The long-term target for the next uptrend is around 140K , based on long-term Fibonacci extensions, pivot points, and trend channels.
🔮 Now let’s drop to the 4H timeframe to find some long and short triggers.
As you can see, we’ve got a range box between 83,055 and 85,853.89.
A long trigger activates after a clean breakout above 85,853.89.
A short trigger activates after a breakdown below 83,055.
It’s better to use stop buy/sell orders rather than entering at market price, since price may move sharply after staying in this box for quite a while.
You can also use this box to set your stop losses.
If you’re a reaction-based trader, you could:
Short around 85,853 when price reacts there,
Or go long around 83,055, depending on your personal strategy.
Just remember: crypto markets often fake breakouts, especially during low-volume periods like now.
Indicators like RSI, Volume, and SMA can help confirm moves.
Understanding momentum — when it’s present and when it’s not — can save you from taking unnecessary trades.
Also, the candlestick itself matters a lot:
How long is the shadow?
What’s the body size and color?
Are we getting strong bullish or bearish confirmations?
If you want a tutorial on identifying real vs. fake breakouts, let me know in the comments — I’ll make one soon.
If you enjoyed the analysis, hit that Boost
By the way, I’m Skeptic.
Could this be beginning of 5th wave up in Bitcoin?Being cautiously optimistic - I can see a potential leading diagonal formation followed by 3-3 legs which could be legs w-x of w-x-y or w-x-y-x-z .
Only time will tell if this is what I think it is o it evolves into another corrective rise followed by further downside.
Inverted Head & Shoulders Pattern for BTC??!!!??!Bitcoin appears to be trading in an inverted h&s pattern.
Which coincides with a bullish breach of a Bullish Expanding Triangle highlighted in red to the upside!!
A double bottom is where the head of the inverted triangle can be formed, the space between the two bottoms forms the apex of the head of triangle.
First upside target of $90k USD
Second upside target is $260k USD
BTCUSDT hitting daily resistance but eying weekly resisatnce 98kBTCUSDT has bounced well from weekly support WS1 and currently heading towards daily resistance DR1 around 87k-88k zone. Once it breaks this, the next target would be weekly resistance WR1 which is the next resistance on its way. This resistance is sitting around 95k-98k zone. I think, the price is eying that zone and in coming days and week we will see the price trading there. However, this WR1 zone would definitely make the price push back on firts hit. But the price will definitely make another go there before either breaking of giving up for a while again. The resistance WR1 will be the only obstacle before the price can hit all time high and beyond again. Therefore, this weekly resistance will not give the way easy as this will be a strong supply zone. But I would not worry much once the price reaches there. This will evnetually signal that we are going beyond ATH and further higher. It would be just a bit of struggle there and some consolidation and some boring price action for a while, and then there will be clear sky.
BTCUSDT – System-Based Long Signal (3D Timeframe)
📅 April 19, 2025
Yesterday’s 3D candle closed with a clear PSAR flip, shifting from bearish to bullish — an early signal of potential trend reversal.
In addition, price is now trading above the 200 MA, which confirms a return into long-term bullish territory.
🟢 Based on these two system signals, we have a valid long entry setup forming.
However, the system is not fully aligned yet:
⚠️ MLR < BB Center < SMA
This suggests the internal momentum structure is still weak.
We are above 200MA and have a PSAR trigger, but the trend metrics aren't in full confluence.
📌 Strategy suggestion:
- Consider a partial spot entry only
- Avoid leverage until full confirmation
- Wait for MLR to flip above BB Center for added strength
This is a trigger-before-confirmation type of setup — and in such cases, discipline > excitement.
levels to watch The market has formed a W pattern and is currently trading above the neckline. The measured move from this pattern points to a target of 91,300.
What’s particularly interesting is that 91,300 also coincides with the neckline of a previous top, which could act as a significant resistance level — likely sparking a strong battle between buyers and sellers at that point.
If the market manages to reclaim and hold above 91,300, we could see a continuation toward the 108,000 and 125,000 levels.
I’m currently long on BTC from 78,000. My plan is to take partial profits around 88,130 and close the remainder at 91,300. From there, I’ll reassess based on the market’s reaction and look for the next directional cue.
Global M2 MONEY SUPPLY VS GLOBAL LIQUIDITYWhich is the best to track ₿itcoin price action?
Lots of macro gurus have been arguing over the two.
For comparison, I have indexes for both metrics on a 12-Week Lead, tracking the 4 largest central banks:
The Federal Reserve (including TGA & RRP), People’s Bank of China, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan.
Let’s start by defining each.
Global M2 Money Supply covers physical cash in circulation and cash equivalents such as checking and savings deposits, as well as money market securities.
Global Liquidity covers a broader measure of liquid assets driven by central bank balance sheets, private sector financial activity (e.g., lending, corporate cash), and cross-border capital flows.
Historically, both move closely in lock-step and act as a great leading indicator for ₿itcoin, however we can see that Global Liquidity can have more drastic fluctuations.
We saw a large divergence in CRYPTOCAP:BTC PA with both metrics when the Blackrock iShares ₿itcoin ETF appeared on the DTCC list, a procedural step signaling progress toward potential approval.
When you look at the charts of all three, you can see there are points where either metric might follow CRYPTOCAP:BTC PA a bit closer, so in the end I would say it’s best to track both to find confluence in the signal.
BITCOIN's secret catalyst. The Gold-to-Crypto Rotation Is ComingBitcoin (BTCUSD) is attempting to form a new medium-term bottom here, following the Tariffs-led sell-off of the past 2 months. While the crypto market is consolidating and accumulating, the Gold market is smashing every historic All Time High (ATH) after the other.
This is not the first time we see this divergence between Gold and BTC and this is what historically delivers what we call 'Gold-to-Crypto Rotation'. This happens when Gold peaks, making its Bull Cycle Top, initiating a capital transition to BTC, hence starting the final rally of its Bull Cycle.
This has already taken place 3 times in its short history and Gold's sheer ferocity of the 2025 rally, indicates that we may possibly be about to repeat another one.
So what do you think is Gold about to top and offer a mass exodus a capital to Bitcoin, hence kickstarting a massive rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN - Time to buy again!I might be wrong and this might never happen, but it might come true From a technical perspective!!!
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
NEIROUSDT → Countertrend momentum. Is the reversal close?BINANCE:NEIROUSDT.P is one of not many coins that is growing. But the only disadvantage is that the coin is at the bottom. Most likely it is forming a set of liquidity before continuing to fall.
NEIRO is strengthening and heading towards the resistance of the range while bitcoin continues its correction.
Strong resistance and liquidity zone at 0.187 is ahead. Strong gains could be stopped by a false breakout and reversal
Just because a coin is at the bottom doesn't mean it has nowhere to fall. Yes, there is.
At the moment the price is in the range on the background of a strong downtrend, within which the price does not show signs of life. The previous buyback ended with a strong sell-off.
Resistance levels: 0.000187, 0.0002045.
Support levels: 0.000169, 0.000154
In the short term, we should expect a false breakout, reversal and price drop to the support of the range.
I do not rule out a prolonged struggle in the resistance zone, within which the price may go higher and test the 0.00020 liquidity zone before continuing to fall, within which it may renew the bottom.
Regards R. Linda!