Technical Analysis – HBAR/USDT + TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis – HBAR/USDT (Daily Chart as of June 4, 2025)
Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish)
The chart indicates a classic falling wedge pattern, often interpreted as a bullish reversal signal.
This pattern is marked by descending converging trendlines, suggesting declining volatility and potential breakout.
Breakout point is illustrated just above the wedge’s resistance line, with a bullish breakout expected.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Support Zone: $0.1625 – $0.1723 (blue zone)
Primary Resistance Targets:
Short-term: $0.1849 (top of Bollinger Band)
Mid-term: $0.2070 – $0.2200
Long-term: $0.3400 (strong historical resistance)
Indicators Summary
Bollinger Bands: Price near the lower band, indicating potential upside volatility.
Volume Profile: Slightly increasing near wedge apex, often a precursor to a breakout.
VMC Cipher_B: Multiple green dots signal bullish divergence; momentum may be reversing upward.
RSI (14): Currently recovering from oversold territory (~39.5), suggesting bullish momentum building.
Money Flow Index (ArTy): Moving back into the green, indicating capital inflow and potential accumulation.
Stochastic RSI: Crossed upward from oversold zone (currently ~23), a common signal for trend reversal.
Trading Plan
Long Position Setup (Swing Trade)
Entry Zone:
$0.1650 – $0.1725 (upon retest of breakout from wedge or candle close above wedge resistance)
Stop-Loss:
$0.1580 (below wedge support and key structure low)
Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: $0.1850 (Bollinger Band and resistance zone)
TP2: $0.2070 (resistance from March 2025)
TP3: $0.2200 – $0.2400 (target zone for full wedge breakout)
TP4: $0.3400 (macro-level resistance, if rally continues)
Risk-to-Reward:
Minimum R:R of 1:2.5 to 1:5 depending on TP level.
⚠️ Risk Management & Strategy Notes
Wait for confirmation breakout candle with strong volume above wedge resistance before entering.
Scale in gradually between $0.1650–$0.1725 if confirmed.
Trail stop-loss after reaching TP1 to lock in profits.
Monitor Bitcoin price trend and overall market sentiment—HBAR tends to follow macro market structure.
The combination of the falling wedge, bullish divergence, and oversold momentum indicators supports a strong potential for bullish continuation. However, conservative confirmation is essential before committing capital.
Outlook: Bullish bias, pending confirmation breakout above the wedge resistance.
BTC-D
AUDCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDCHF is currently breaking out of a textbook falling wedge pattern on the 4H chart, signaling a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. Price action has been consolidating within this structure for several weeks, creating lower highs and lower lows, but with clear bullish divergence beginning to show up in recent sessions. The breakout around the 0.53300 zone marks a significant technical confirmation that bulls are taking control, with eyes now on the 0.54400 target.
From a fundamental standpoint, the Australian dollar is gaining strength backed by hawkish sentiment from the RBA. Despite global uncertainties, the RBA’s firm stance on managing inflation is keeping the Aussie resilient. On the flip side, the Swiss franc has been showing signs of relative weakness due to softer inflation readings and safe-haven outflows as global risk sentiment improves. This macro backdrop is creating favorable conditions for AUDCHF to rally.
Technically, this breakout aligns with strong market structure and volume support, making this a high-conviction bullish setup. The breakout candle is closing above resistance with momentum, and as long as price holds above the 0.53250–0.53000 zone, bulls are likely to maintain control. With the falling wedge breakout and favorable risk-reward setup, the upside move toward 0.54400 looks increasingly probable.
This is a clean price action play with fundamental alignment. The breakout not only confirms the end of the previous downtrend, but also opens up space for a bullish wave to unfold. Momentum traders and swing traders will want to watch this closely as AUDCHF transitions from accumulation to a potential bullish expansion phase.
Bitcoin's Battle: $107K Resistance or $100K Support?Bitcoin is currently trading at $106,522, showing a consolidation pattern after a recent rally. The price has been moving between $103,000 and $107,000, with $107,000 acting as a strong resistance level. This ceiling has been tested several times but hasn’t been convincingly broken yet. On the flip side, $100,000 has proven to be a solid support, with buyers stepping in whenever the price dips near this key psychological level. If BTC breaks above $107,000, it could target $110,000 or higher; however, a drop below $100,000 might see it test $97,000 or lower.
From a technical standpoint, the 4H chart shows a short-term bullish trend line around $105,800, which has been holding the price up during small pullbacks. That said, there are signs of weakening momentum, the 30-day Rate of Change (ROC) is flashing a bearish divergence, hinting that the upward push might be losing steam. On the daily chart, the MACD has turned negative, which could signal a broader trend shift. For now, traders should keep an eye on whether BTC can push past $107,000 or if it falls below $100,000, as these breaks will likely dictate the next big move.
Looking at the bigger picture, Bitcoin’s price is being shaped by several external factors. Recent news, like the SEC dropping its lawsuit against Binance and a new crypto market structure bill in Congress, could bring more regulatory clarity and lift investor confidence. Economic uncertainty and tariff relief are also driving some to see BTC as a hedge, much like gold. Stablecoin market caps have hit all-time highs, suggesting more liquidity in the crypto space. But there’s a flip side: China’s heavy gold buying and the US-China tariff war could throw a wrench into BTC’s trajectory.
Analyst sentiment is split. Som e see a bearish flag pattern pointing to a potential drop to $97,000, while others are betting on a bullish surge to new highs, maybe $120,000 or even as far as $325,000. This consolidation phase could be the calm before a major breakout, either up or down. Keep an eye on volume and those key levels ($107,000 and $100,000) for hints about what’s next. As always, stay sharp, manage your risk, and keep up with the latest market updates!
Check support near 106775
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(MBT1! 1D chart)
The prerequisite for the previous ATH to rise above is that the OBV must rise above the High Line and remain there.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported and rise near 106775.
If it fails to rise, it is likely to fall to the 96600-101495 area.
The 96600-101495 area is an important support and resistance area for continuing the uptrend.
Therefore, if it falls in the 96600-101495 area, it is likely to fall sharply.
If it falls,
1st: Around 89745
2nd: M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart or 74105-79025
You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd areas above.
Therefore, the 96600-101495 area can be seen as an important support and resistance area.
-
(30m chart)
It played the role of support and resistance by touching the area around 105385 several times.
It is expected to determine the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
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BTCUSD: This part may be the most exciting of all.Bitcoin is on an excellent bullish 1W technical outlook (RSI = 65.366, MACD = 6742.800, ADX = 33.478) unphazed by the recent short term pullback. This is because the Cycle is only now starting is strongest phase, at least based on the historic price action of the former Cycles. After the U.S. elections in November 2024, we've crossed above the Bear Cycle neckline and on all previous Cycles, that is where the parabolic rally started. How high it can go is anybody's guess and depends largely on fundamentals (adoption, ETF, Rate Cuts) but we can agree that we will see at least 150,000 before this Cycle ends.
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Raoul Pal's Big Banana. $100 Trillion dollars Crypto market.And how on earth do we reach that point?
Is Raoul's thesis regarding the exponential age accurate, suggesting we have until 2030 to invest and reap the benefits; so "don't F@ck this up!"
As a charting enthusiast, I am eager to see if there exists a technical foundation that could allow us to teleport to those levels and estimate how many years it might take.
Let's examine the entire crypto market, which includes everything from stable coins to tangible real world assets like Gold.
We can distinctly identify three significant consolidation patterns.
Rising wedge #1
a sideways pennant
rising pennant #2
Now, considering this is a logarithmic chart.
It provides us with logarithmic amplitudes and projections.
An amplitude is a calculated move based on the boundaries of the consolidation pattern.
Essentially, it involves taking the top and bottom width and applying it to the breakout point for a rising pattern.
In a #HVF, we utilise the midline of the funnel to forecast targets.
The projections illustrated on this chart pertain to the sideways pennant, employing the flagpole to establish our target.
It is this sideways pennant pole projection that leads us to 100 trillion dollars and beyond. Test it out for yourself if you find it hard to believe these figures could become a reality :)
So there we have it; yes, 100 trillion dollars may appear excessively optimistic and fantastical, especially since we are currently at 3.28 trillion dollars.
However, the charts indicate that Crypto could indeed be the sector where the majority of financial transactions take place in the forthcoming exponential future.
BTC - UPDATE - $84,500 target BTC appears to reluctantly be topping, with a while probability of having already topped at $112,000. My best estimate of the next on boarding price for BTC is in the $84,500 area. Prices above $108,632 indicate I was wrong. Pros could consider shorting to the same number. This is just conversation. And not trading advice. Murrey Math, Elliot Wave , Kumar Wave being employed. See past charts for how we got to here.
PENDLE – Bullish Continuation Setup from Key Support ZonePENDLE remains one of the standout performers in the crypto space, maintaining its bullish market structure even amid broader market uncertainty. With price currently holding well above key support, this presents a favorable opportunity for a swing long position, especially if the broader market stabilizes.
📥 Entry Zone:
$3.50 – $4.30
🔹 Confluence with previous resistance turned support
🔹 Demand zone within bullish structure
🔹 Ideal for scaling in
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $5.45
🥈 $6.30
🥉 $6.85
🛑 Stop Loss:
Daily close below $3.00
Structure breakdown
RNDR (Render) – Higher Low Setup for Potential Upside ExpansionRENDER is holding strong above the $3.50–$4.00 support zone, forming what appears to be a higher low — a classic sign of potential trend continuation. This setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio with clearly defined invalidation and upside targets.
📥 Entry Zone:
$3.50 – $4.00
🔸 Holding above demand
🔸 Prior resistance now acting as support
🔸 Potential higher low setup
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $6.00 – Previous local top / liquidity pocket
🥈 $8.00 – Major resistance zone from prior cycle
🥉 $10.00 – Psychological round number + HTF extension target
🛑 Stop Loss:
Daily close below $2.50
Clears invalidation of the structure
Below HTF support base
Bitcoin Brewing - A large move is coming!Bitcoin has been under pressure over the last few trading sessions.
Despite the equity markets going higher this asset is stuck in a holding pattern.
We are currently forming a wedge pattern that has given us a directional bias to trade.
Price action is at a 50/50 in terms of falling lower or rallying higher.
Being the fact that the bulls have been forming higher lows & higher highs, we have to give them due respect.
However understand this BTC is showing some distribution signs and is likely going to have a decent selloff within the next 15-45days. We may have 1 more spike higher but we may not.
1 note of interest is the 7day & 20 day moving average just signaled a bearish crossover which is something you need to monitor closely.
I do think the upside is limited to about 115K if we have 1 more move higher.
BTC 12H – Slightly Different Picture
The 12H chart tells a slightly different story.
From the PSAR point of view, price has tapped it twice, but that’s not enough for confirmation.
From the system perspective, price is trading above the BB center, with both MLR and SMA also above it—this could justify small scaling.
From the S/R view, price is currently testing weekly resistance and the dotted line marking the daily close. That’s a strong reason to apply proper risk management.
Let’s see how this unfolds.
Scaling in may be a valid option for those considering long exposure—if risk is managed properly.
Feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments—good or bad, all engagement is appreciated.
Take profits. Manage risk. Stay sharp.
BTC Daily – Mixed Signals, Patience Required
From the PSAR perspective, BTC remains in a bearish phase. We need to wait for a PSAR flip to green before considering new long entries.
From the second system view, we’re also still in bearish territory. The setup will shift once MLR crosses above the SMA and BB centre. Currently, price is holding the SMA as support and has paused at the BB centre.
Looking at S/R levels, we’ve seen a solid bounce from the 3D + 5D support and are now holding at the weekly support zone.
Let’s see how this unfolds.
Scaling in may be a valid option for those considering long exposure—if risk is managed properly.
Feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments—good or bad, all engagement is appreciated.
Take profits. Manage risk. Stay sharp.
#BTC/USDT: Head & Shoulders Breakdown – $95K Incoming?Hey Traders!
If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver!
Bitcoin just broke below the neckline of a clear Head & Shoulders pattern on the 4H timeframe — a classic bearish signal.
As long as price stays below the neckline and fails to reclaim the $106.5K zone, we could be heading for a deeper correction toward the $95K–$98K support range.
Key Levels:
Breakdown Zone: ~$103.9K
Downside Target: $95K–$98K
Invalidation: Reclaim above $106.5K
Market is showing consistent weakness — small bounces are quickly sold off.
Let the pattern play out and manage your risk accordingly.
What do you think — short-term dip or deeper breakdown loading?
Bitcoin's Structure Breaks — PRZ May Trigger a BounceBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has finally continued its downward trend , as I expected in my previous idea .
Do you think this downward trend will continue or not?
Bitcoin has now managed to break the Support zone($104,180-$103,670) and the lower line of the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave C of the main wave Y of the Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Bitcoin to continue to decline to the Support zone($102,000-$107,120) and the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and then start to rise again.
I choose to label this idea as ''Long''.
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $100,200, we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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LINK Long Setup – Retrace to Key Support After Strong RallyLINK saw a strong rally from April to mid-May, and is now undergoing a healthy retracement. Price is approaching the $13.00–$13.50 support zone, offering a potential long spot entry as the market cools.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $13.00 – $13.50
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $15.00 – $16.00
o 🥈 $17.00 – $18.00
• Stop Loss: Daily close below $12.00
$BTC 2025: The road to $444,000As predicted by @JoshMandell6 on X earlier this year, this chart is an entirely theoretical exercise (a pure hopium mind-burp if you will) to explore the remote possibility that a CRYPTOCAP:BTC price of $444K might even be achievable in any scenario. I simply drew a line from the Pi Cycle top in 2017/18, to the top in March 2021 and projected on to now (June 2025). I then marked off the $444K prediction made earlier this year by @JoshMandell6 (the yellow horizontal, dashed line). I then checked prior BTC cycles to see there are any examples where BTC was able to climb this distance within 2 monthly candles. Interestingly, if you take the last 2 monthly candles from the 2017/18 cycle (before and including the topping candle), it does line up pretty well. This suggests it is theoretically possible for BTC to reach $444k by August 1st 2025 - I know this is highly unlikely of course; but interesting all the same.
For additional context to this theory: the specific post I'm referring to was made by Josh Mandell (@JoshMandell6) on X (formerly Twitter) on November 5, 2024. In this post, Mandell presented a poetic prediction stating that Bitcoin would reach $84,000 on March 14, 2025, and subsequently surge to approximately $444,000. The prediction included symbolic phrases like “three four, times a thousand,” suggesting a target price of $444,000.
Mandell's forecast gained significant attention when Bitcoin indeed closed near $84,000 on March 14, 2025, aligning with his prediction. This accuracy bolstered his reputation, especially considering his background as a former trader at Salomon Brothers and Caxton Associates. He has also been transparent about his trading activities, publicly sharing his portfolio, which reportedly grew from $2.1 million to over $22 million by March 2025.
en.bitcoinsistemi.com
For a more in-depth understanding of Mandell's prediction and its implications, you might find this video insightful: youtu.be
$BTC UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC $104,987 support in effect, previous weekly closed with bearish engulfing, 4h closed with bullish engulfing - current 4H trying to follow thru. $107,461 support needed to push for $110,423 resistance, and then the new ATH. $103,093 current support, $99,361 key support from here. Watch given S/R