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BTC-D

BTC Exhaustion Zone Upper Wick Rejection Candle 🔶 (Orange Circle) 🔍 Candle Breakdown | July 14, 2025 • Opened near the lows • Rallied intraday to $123K (ATH) • Closed well off the highs, just above $119K • Long upper wick = rejection of higher prices • Elevated volume = signal is valid, not noise 🧠 Translation: Bulls charged into resistance. Sellers didn’t flinch — absorbed the move and slammed price back down. The result? “Exhaustion Candle.” 📦 Exhaustion Zone (Purple Box) This is the real battlefield. If BTC fails to close above 119.5K by Friday, we likely get Manipulation over the weAkend: 🔄 Chop & Range Behavior • Consolidation between ~115K support and ~120K resistance • Classic pause before either expansion or collapse 🔻 Retrace Scenarios • 21 EMA at $113K • Breakout retest near $111K 💡 If we close the weAk closer to $111K than $125K… gravity’s working in favor of the HIGH powered short Zone again! MMM still sTRONg — but without a decisive breakout above $125K, I might just be dancing with the market makers for once. 🧘‍♂️ Breathe in. Kill the ego. sTAY sHARP. Execute. 100% not financial advice, for edutainment purposes only!
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by TheAlphaView
Need a trading strategy to avoid FOMO Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- 1D chart is the standard chart for all time frame charts. In other words, if you trade according to the trend of the 1D chart, you can make profits while minimizing losses. This can also be seen from the fact that most indicators are created based on the 1D chart. In that sense, the M-Signal indicators of the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are suitable indicators for confirming trends. If the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart, it is highly likely that the upward trend will continue in the medium to long term, so it is recommended to take note of this advantage especially when trading spot. The M-Signal indicator on the 1W, 1D chart shows the medium-term and short-term trends. The M-Signal indicator uses the MACD indicator formula, but it can be seen as a price moving average. You can trade with just the price moving average, but it is difficult to select support and resistance points, and it is not very useful in actual trading because it cannot cope with volatility. However, it is a useful indicator when analyzing charts or checking general trends. Therefore, what we can know with the M-Signal indicator (price moving average) is the interrelationship between the M-Signal indicators. You can predict the trend by checking how far apart and close the M-Signal indicators are, and then checking the direction. - If you have confirmed the trend with the M-Signal indicator, you need support and resistance points for actual trading. Support and resistance points should be drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. The order of the roles of support and resistance points is 1M > 1W > 1D charts. However, the strength of the role of support and resistance points can be seen depending on how long the horizontal line is. Usually, in order to perform the role of support and resistance points, at least 3 candles or more form a horizontal line. Therefore, caution is required when trading when the number of candles is less than 3. The indicators created considering this point are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators. The HA-Low and HA-High indicators are indicators created for trading on the Heikin-Ashi chart and indicate when the Heikin-Ashi candle turns upward or downward. Therefore, the creation of the HA-Low indicator means that there is a high possibility of an upward turn. In other words, if it is supported by the HA-Low indicator, it is a time to buy. However, if it falls from the HA-Low indicator, there is a possibility of a stepwise decline, so you should also consider a countermeasure for this. The fact that the HA-High indicator was created means that there is a high possibility of a downward turn. In other words, if there is resistance from the HA-High indicator, it is a time to sell. However, if it rises from the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility of a stepwise upward turn, so you should also consider a countermeasure for this. This is where a dilemma arises. What I mean is that the fact that the HA-High indicator was created means that there is a high possibility of a downward turn, so you know that there is a high possibility of a downward turn, but if it receives support and rises, you think that you can make a large profit through a stepwise upward turn, so you fall into a dilemma. This is caused by greed that arises from falling into FOMO due to price volatility. The actual purchase time should have been when it showed support near the HA-Low indicator, but when it showed a downward turn, it ended up suffering a large loss due to the psychology of wanting to buy, which became the trigger for leaving the investment. Therefore, if you failed to buy at the purchase time, you should also know how to wait until the purchase time comes. - It seems that you can trade depending on whether the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are supported, but the task of checking whether it is supported is quite difficult and tiring. Therefore, to complement the shortcomings of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, the DOM(60) and DOM(-60) indicators were added. The DOM(-60) indicator indicates the end of the low point. Therefore, if it shows support in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section, it is the purchase time. If it falls below the DOM(-60) indicator, it means that a stepwise downtrend is likely to begin. The DOM(60) indicator indicates the end of the high point. Therefore, if it is supported and rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section, it means that a stepwise uptrend is likely to begin. If it is resisted and falls in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section, it is likely that a downtrend will begin. With this, the basic trading strategy is complete. This is the basic trading strategy of buying when it rises in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section and selling when it falls in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section. For this, the trading method must adopt a split trading method. Although not necessarily, if it falls in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section, it will show a sharp decline, and if it rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section, it will show a sharp rise. Due to this volatility, psychological turmoil causes people to start trading based on the price, which increases their distrust in the investment market and eventually leads them to leave the investment market. - When looking at the movement of the 1D chart, it can be seen that it is not possible to proceed with trading at the moment because it is already showing a stepwise upward trend. However, since there is a SHORT position in futures trading, trading is possible at any time. In any case, it is difficult to select a time to buy because the 1D chart shows a stepwise upward trend. However, looking at the time frame chart below the 1D chart can help you select a time to buy. The basic trading strategy is always the same. Buy when it rises in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section and sell when it falls in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section. Currently, since the 1D chart is continuing a stepwise upward trend, the main position is to eventually proceed with a long position. Therefore, if possible, you should focus on finding the right time to buy. However, if it falls below the HA-High indicator of the 1D chart, the possibility of a downtrend increases, so at that time, you should focus on finding the right time to sell. In other words, since the HA-High indicator of the current 1D chart is generated at the 115845.8 point, you should think of different response methods depending on whether the price is above or below the 115845.8 point. Therefore, when trading futures, increase the investment ratio when trading with the main position (a position that matches the trend of the 1D chart), and decrease the investment ratio when trading with the secondary position (a position that is different from the trend of the 1D chart) and respond quickly and quickly. When trading in the spot market, you have no choice but to trade in the direction of the 1D chart trend, so you should buy and then sell in installments whenever it shows signs of turning downward to secure profits. In other words, buy near the HA-Low indicator on the 30m chart, and if the price rises and the HA-High indicator is created, sell in installments near that area. - You should determine your trading strategy, trading method, and profit realization method by considering these interrelationships, and then trade mechanically accordingly. If you trade only with fragmentary movements, you will likely end up suffering losses. This is because you do not cut your losses. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
Bitcoin harmonic pattern. Back to back Gartley. BTCGOLD ratio.The BTC/GOLD ratio has experienced a significant correction, currently standing at 27 gold ounces per 1 Bitcoin, down from a peak of 41, representing a decline of 34%. Gold, priced at $3,114 in US Federal Reserve notes, is in a sustained bull market. It is reasonable to anticipate that the digital equivalent of gold will gain traction once gold stabilizes at a higher price point. The Gartley pattern is recognized as the most prevalent harmonic chart pattern. Harmonic patterns are based on the idea that Fibonacci sequences can be utilized to create geometric formations, which include price breakouts and retracements. The Gartley pattern illustrated indicates an upward movement from point X to point A, followed by a price reversal at point A. According to Fibonacci ratios, the retracement from point X to point B is expected to be 61.8%. At point B, the price reverses again towards point C, which should reflect a retracement of either 38.2% or 88.6% from point A. From point C, the price then reverses to point D. At point D, the pattern is considered complete, generating buy signals with an upside target that aligns with points C and A, as well as a final price target of a 161.8% increase from point A. Often, point 0 serves as a stop-loss level for the entire trade. While these Fibonacci levels do not have to be precise, greater proximity enhances the reliability of the pattern. Will these consecutive Gartley patterns succeed in bolstering Bitcoin's strength? We will soon discover the answer.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BallaJi
4
ETHUSD: Double Top into A Bearish 5-0 Breakdown (Extended)Updated Commentary: ETH has extended a bit further than projected as the Pattern Completed at the 0.618 but ETH gapped into the 0.786 instead. The gap up aligned with an upside gap fill on the CME futures as well as a gap fill on the grayscale ETH futures ETF $ETHE. The easier move from here to simply add to the ETH shorts and adjust the stop to be above the previous highs while sizing up at the 0.786 and playing off this gap higher as an anomaly. Beyond this, my view on ETH at the current 0.786 retrace remains the same as the original Idea posted as ETH rose into the initial 0.618 PCZ the details of which I will also include once again below as it still remains relevant. ETH for the last 5 years has been developing a Double Topping pattern which has put in a series of lower highs during the most recent 2nd run up. As we've confirmed these lower highs we've broken down below trendline and are finding resistance at the trendline which happens to have confluence with the PCZ of a Bearish 5-0 wave formation near a 0.786 retrace. As we begin to find weakness and Bearish price action begins I suspect price will make it's way towards the neckline of the double top aligning with the $880 price level if ETH breaks below that level there will be no significant support until it reaches the all-time 0.382 retrace down at around $92.10. In short it seems ETH is in the early stages of a macro breakdown which could result in value declines greater than 80%. I also suspect that we will see many of the assets that ran up significantly going into this week to sharply reverse those run-ups as this week comes to a close and the new week begins mainly due to the effects of OpEx, this includes: Bitcoin, MSTR, SOL, XLC, META, and BTBT. Long-dated Put accumulation on these assets at these levels is far easier to manage than naked short positions and that's how I will go about positioning here.
INDEX:ETHUSDShort
by RizeSenpai
BITCOIN Entering Cyclical Profit Zone. Risk should be limited.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has just entered the first level of the Logarithmic Growth Curve (LGC) Resistance Zone, which is the light pink band. The Top of the previous Cycle was priced at the top of the band just above this. In fact every BTC Cycle had this as the 'Profit taking Zone'. The market marginally touched that also within December 2024 - January 2025 but got rejected, almost in similar fashion as January 2021, which was a Double Top approach of the peak formation during the previous Cycle. This Cycle Top is expected to be within October - November 2025, so we call this the 'Profit Taking Zone' for a reason. Risk exposure from now on should be getting more and more limited. Peak range (depending of the nature of aggression of potential Rate Cuts in September) could be anywhere within $140 - 200k. Do you think this is the time to start limiting BTC exposure, perhaps moving some of the huge profits to alts? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
THAT WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT BTC IN 2025Professional Technical Analysis & Trading Plan for BTC/USD (Hypothetical 2025 Data) --- 1. Technical Structure & Key Observations A. Price Context: - **Current Price:** ~84,197 (below SMA 81,998). - **SMA (Simple Moving Average):** 81,998 (likely 200-day SMA, acting as dynamic resistance). - **Volume:** 52K (low volume suggests consolidation; watch for spikes to confirm breaks). C. Key Levels (From Data): - **Resistance:** - Immediate: 81,998 (SMA). - Major: 90,000, 100,000, 130,000 (swing highs). - **Support:** - Near-term: 74,000 (psychological), --- 2. Advanced Indicator Analysis A. Momentum (RSI & MACD):** - **RSI (14):** Likely near 40–45 (neutral-bearish zone). A break below 30 signals oversold; above 55 confirms bullish momentum. - **MACD:** Bearish crossover possible (signal line above MACD line). Watch for reversal above SMA. B. Volume Profile: - **Low Volume (52K):** Indicates weak participation. A surge above 100K on a breakout/breakdown would validate direction. - **Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP):** If price trades above VWAP, bullish bias strengthens. --- 3. Trading Strategies Scenario : Bullish Reversal (30% Probability) - **Trigger:** Daily close above SMA (81,998) with volume >100K. - **Entry:** Long at 74,500 (confirmation of strength). - **Targets:** - TP1: 90,000 (8.5% move). - TP2: 100,000 (19% move). - **Stop Loss:** 71,500 --- 5. Sentiment & Catalyst Watch - **Bullish Catalysts:** Institutional ETF inflows, Fed rate cuts, Bitcoin halving momentum. - **Bearish Risks:** Regulatory crackdowns, exchange hacks, macro recession. -Conclusion BTC/USD is at a critical juncture. *Trade the SMA break/breakdown with volume confirmation*, and prioritize risk-reward ratios. Always cross-verify with real-time data and news. Disclaimer: Hypothetical analysis for educational purposes. Not financial advice.* 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ONE1iMPACT
BTC Bottom & New ATH..... when ?!!! Hello Guys There are some notes of BTC weekly Chart: 1. We have a new ATH every 4 years ( 1428-1477 ) days.. 2. After the ATH we take about ( 52-59 ) weeks to make a new bottom then we go up a little ... 3. Every time we reach a new ATH we drop down in a same angle (-55) before the new bull run starting .... look at my chart ( Red angles and curves ): ****** We dropped from ATH 2013 to Bottom 2015 by an angle ( -55 ) . ****** We dropped from ATH 2017 to Bottom 2018 by an angle ( -55 ) . ****** Same (24 July 2019) we dropped from local top to the local bottom by Angle ( -56 ) . ****** Will we drop from ATH 2021 to Bottom (2022 - 2023) by the same angle ( -55 or -56 )?? 4. In my opinion , I expect we will reach the final bottom between ( 26 December 2022 : 6 march 2023 ). 5. I don't care what will be the price of BTC then , but I care only for when will be the possible bottom !!. But if we can try to expect the price it will be in a range of ( 11900 : 9000$) ... Note:( 10K - 10500$) is very very strong demand area for BTC . ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Finally , I think the new ATH will not be before Nov 2025 ( 150k $ ). It is not a financial advice , I am only share my thoughts with u :) Thank u and good luck.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by KarimMohsen
8
Support and resistance zones: 115854.56-116868.0 Hello, traders. Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) This decline created a new trend line. This added a period of volatility around July 31st. If the HA-High indicator is generated at the 115854.56 point, the key is whether it can be supported and rise around that point. If it falls below the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility of a downward trend. Therefore, it is necessary to look at which support and resistance points the price is maintained at as it passes the volatility period around July 18 (July 17-19). - Since the StochRSI 80 indicator is formed at the 116868.0 point, it is important to be able to maintain the price above 116868.0 if possible. Therefore, assuming that the HA-High indicator will be generated at the 115854.56 point, the key is whether there is support around 115854.56-116868.0. Next, since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is rising above 116696.20, we need to check if it is supported by the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart or around 116696.21. - So far, we have talked about how to maintain an upward trend by breaking through a certain point or section. That is, - The K of the StochRSI indicator should be below the overbought section and should show an upward trend with K > D. - The PVT-MACD oscillator indicator should show an upward trend. (If possible, it should be above the 0 point.) - The OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel should show an upward trend. (If possible, it should be maintained by rising above the High Line.) I said that when the above conditions are met, there is a high possibility that the upward trend will continue. On the other hand, in order to change to a downward trend, - The DOM (60) indicator should be created and show resistance near the DOM (60) indicator. - When the HA-High indicator is generated, it should show resistance near the HA-High indicator. - When the K of the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone, it should switch to a state where K < D and show a downward trend. (However, caution is required as volatility may occur when K reaches around the 50 point.) - The PVT-MACD oscillator indicator should show a downward trend. (If possible, it is better if it is located below the 0 point.) - The OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel should show a downward trend. (However, it should show a downward trend in the state where OBV < OBV EMA is present.) When the above conditions are satisfied, there is a high possibility of a downward trend. Among these, the most intuitive thing to know is whether the DOM (60) indicator and the HA-High indicator are generated. This is because, in order to first switch to a downward trend, a signal that the current price position is a high point must appear. The DOM(60) indicator is an indicator that indicates the end of the high point. Therefore, if the DOM(60) indicator is generated, it is likely to be a high point. However, since it can be supported and rise near the HA-High indicator, you should check whether there is support in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section and respond accordingly. The HA-High indicator is an indicator created for trading on the Heikin-Ashi chart, and if it falls below the HA-High indicator, it is likely to be a point where a downtrend will begin. - Since the same principle applies to any time frame chart you trade, it is easier to understand the chart and determine the timing of the start and end of the transaction. However, the basic trading method must be a split trading method. The reason is that if it rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section, it is likely to show a stepwise upward trend, and if it falls in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section, it is likely to show a stepwise downward trend. This basic trading method, that is, buying near the HA-Low indicator and selling near the HA-High indicator, will eventually make you familiar with day trading, which will have an effective influence on finding a buying point when making mid- to long-term investments. It is wrong to say that you are good at mid- to long-term investments when you are not good at day trading. You were just lucky. Unfortunately, this kind of luck cannot last. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. -------------------------------------------------- - This is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
Bitcoin Struggles Below $120K:Will the CME Gap Pull Price Lower?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has been experiencing a high momentum bullish trend in recent days, which few people expected, especially when it crossed $120,000 . However, in the past 24 hours , Bitcoin has fallen back below $120,000 . Bitcoin is currently trading in the Resistance zone($119,720-$118,240) and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($118,757-$117,829) on the 1-hour time frame . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a main wave 4 . Main wave 4 is likely to have a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support lines and fill the CME Gap($115,060-$114,947) in the next hour. Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $123,087-$120,922 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $116,305-$114,325 Do you think Bitcoin can create a new ATH again? Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $121,000 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
15
HelenP. I Bitcoin will go to a correction after a strong impulseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see that the price has recently made a powerful impulse upward, breaking out of a long consolidation range between 110500 and 102500. This range acted as a strong accumulation zone, where the price bounced multiple times from both support levels. After the breakout, Bitcoin gained momentum and pushed sharply toward the 122000 mark. Now, after this sharp rally, I believe a correction is highly probable. Often, after such strong bullish moves, the market tends to pull back to retest the trend line or previous breakout zones. In this case, the trend line has been respected several times and now aligns with the 117500 area, which also acts as local support. That’s why I consider this zone to be a logical target for the correction. I expect BTCUSD can drop from the current highs and retest the trend line near 117500 points - that is my main goal for this setup. If the trend line holds, buyers may return to the market and push price higher again. Given the strong impulse, the breakout from consolidation, and the importance of the trend line, I remain bearish short-term and expect a drop toward 117500 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by FirstNameHelen
18