#DGB/USDT#DGB
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to continue lower.
We have a trend to stabilize below the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, supporting the upward move with a break above it.
We have a resistance area at the upper limit of the channel at 0.00906.
Entry price: 0.00894
First target: 0.00863
Second target: 0.00831
Third target: 0.00797
BTC-D
Bitcoin Faces a "Resistance Lines WALL" – Breakout or Breakdown?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise as I expected in my previous post and hit all targets . Will Bitcoin continue the upward trend of the past two days!?
Please stay with me.
First of all, I have to say that Bitcoin is facing a Wall of Resistance lines ( intersection of at least 4 Resistance lines ). Do you think Bitcoin can easily break these resistance lines with a single attack?
Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($87,520_$85,840) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and a Series of Resistance lines .
In terms of the Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed Corrective waves . The corrective wave structure in the Ascending Channel is a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Bitcoin to drop to $85,000 in the first step in the coming hours. The Second target is $84,333 , and if the Support zone($84,430_$83,170) is broken, we should wait for the CME Gap($80,760_$80,380) to fill.
Do you think Bitcoin can break the wall of the Resistance lines, or will it start declining again?
Note: Donald Trump's speeches over the next hours could also affect the market, so trade a little more cautiously during this hour.
Trump’s Speech & Potential Tariffs
In today’s speech, Trump is expected to discuss new tariffs on imports from China, Mexico, and Canada, possibly ranging from 20-25%. If confirmed, this could impact global markets, strengthen the USD, and increase economic uncertainty.
Note: If Bitcoin touches $89,000, we should most likely expect more pumping.
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
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Bitcoin may continue grow inside upward channel to seller zoneHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at the chart, we can observe how Bitcoin corrected down to the support level, which also aligned with the buyer zone. From there, the price started to rise. It didn’t take long for BTC to reach the resistance level, which matched up with the seller zone. After breaking through that level, the price began consolidating within a range. Throughout this range, Bitcoin tested the upper boundary several times, but on the last attempt, it reversed and began to decline. The drop continued until it broke through the 86500 level, effectively exiting the range and pushing lower toward the next support. Once the price reached that area, it broke below the level and even dipped under the buyer zone, but quickly reversed and started climbing within an ascending channel. Inside this channel, BTC pushed up to the 83500 level, broke through it again, and maintained bullish momentum. At the moment, Bitcoin is trading within the channel, and I anticipate a potential correction back to the lower boundary of the channel, followed by continued growth toward the seller zone and a break of the resistance. For this scenario, my target is set at 87000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Chainlink LongAfter a few months of waiting on the sidelines we are back with a chainlink long after a deep retrace.
Link is showing bullish divergence on the lower timeframes after double bottoming at this crucial support and completing an 886 retracement of an informal Gartley. The support level can be seen across time below.
The only question would be to either wait until the end of the day for this support candle to print or to go in now before confirmation. We will go in with 50% of our ideal position size now and then allocate at the end of the day or tomorrow.
BITCOIN Bollinger squeeze and 1D Death Cross aiming at $150kBitcoin (BTCUSD) will complete today a 1D Death Cross (1D MA50 crossing below the 1D MA200). A technically bearish pattern in theory but in practice it has been one of the greatest buy signals during the 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle.
** Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross, 1W MA50 **
As you can see, since the long-term Channel Up started with the November 21 2022 Bear Cycle bottom, we have had another two 1D Death Crosses. Both took place on the Channel Up bottoms (September 04 2023 and August 05 2024), serving as Higher Lows for the pattern. At the same time, the price had a test (or close) of the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), while the Bollinger Bands (blue cloud) have already started to squeeze.
This squeeze is critical as it was even present during the November 21 2022 Bear market bottom, having started a little earlier on October 31 2022. In fact the squeeze started earlier on all three bottom phases and even on the current price action we are seeing so far a Bollinger Squeeze since March 17 2025, a little after the near test of the 1W MA50.
** The Transition Month **
In typical cyclical manner, each year had one Channel Up bottom. This bottom process (consisting of the Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross and 1W MA50 test) technically appears once a year. We call this month 'Transition Month', which is the necessary phase that BTC spends to go from the bottom to the new Bullish Leg of the Channel Up. In 2022 that month was December, in 2023 it was September and in 2024 August. Since all bottom conditions have been met this time also, we expect April to be the 2025 Transition Month.
** What's next? **
As far as the next leg up in concerned, all 3 previous Bullish Legs rose by at least +100% from the bottom. Since March 10 was the close test of the 1W MA50, we can consider that the bottom from which to measure the +100% leg up. That suggests that BTC will hit at least $150000 on the next top.
But what do you think? Has this Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross, 1W MA50 Triple Combo just priced the new bottom? And if yes, will April be the Transition Month for the new Bullish Leg to $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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$BTC bullish / bearish uptrend trajectory The BTC is completing its 4th #ElliottWave on the weekly timeframe.
The 1W #MA50 still serves as historical #support, with Trump's #tariffs as a drag.
The optimistic scenario extends the 5th point to ~120K, while a pessimistic scenario expects a #retest of the ~55K support zone of the 200 Moving Average.
BTC Weekly Chart Update📉 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Weekly Chart Update
It looks like a double top pattern is clearly forming on the BTC weekly chart — and honestly, doesn't it remind you of a similar structure we’ve seen before? 👀
Patterns like these often signal potential trend reversals, so this is definitely a chart to watch closely.
Do you see the similarity with the previous one? Let me know your thoughts in the comments 👇
🔴 Bearish scenario could continue unless we break above key resistance.
(BTC) bitcoin "the case for bitcoin"Where is bitcoin going to be during this 2025 year. The image shows a blank canvas. The drawing untold, unknown for now? Where will the price move and how long will it take to move through the pattern, bearish? bullish? neutral? fire? ice? greener pastures? The graph showing what is being seen tends to see a rise in price once the price moves past the crossing of the blue lines but the purple and pink dotted lines are facing down with no indication that the price is moving neutrally in a recovery effort.
BITCOIN Do you really want to miss this rally???Bitcoin / BTCUSD remains supported by the 1week MA50 just like it has been through the whole 2020/21 period after the COVID crash.
In spite of the massive bearish pressure of the polical developments (tariffs), the fact that the market is holding the 1week MA50, means that it is respective Bitcoin's Cycles.
In fact this is like the May-June 2021 accumulation on the 1week MA50, following the first Bitcoin Top of April 2021.
Similarly, we've had a peak formation in December 2024- January 2025 and the market corrected.
In addition to that, the 1week RSI is testing the 42.00, which isn't just where the August 2024 and September 2023 bottoms were priced, but more importantly the June 2021 one.
The symmetry between the last two Cycles is uncanny, both trading inside the long term Channel Up, with identical Bear Cycle and (so far) Bull Cycle ranges.
If all ends up repeating themselves, expect a value of at least $160000 by September.
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BTC - Elliott Wave Impulse and Corrective StructureThis chart illustrates an Elliott Wave pattern on BTCUSDT in the 4-hour timeframe. The market initially completed a 5-wave impulse move to the upside, labeled as (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5), signaling a strong bullish trend. Following the completion of Wave (5), a corrective ABC structure has begun, indicating a potential retracement phase.
- The 5-wave impulse structure suggests a completed bullish cycle.
- Wave (A) marks the initial corrective decline, followed by a recovery in Wave (B).
- Wave (C) is in progress, likely targeting lower levels before a potential reversal or continuation of the trend.
Traders should watch key support and resistance levels to identify potential reversal zones or continuation patterns. If BTC finds strong support at a key level, it could indicate a buying opportunity for the next bullish wave. Conversely, a deeper breakdown could confirm extended correction.
Always apply proper risk management and confirm setups with additional technical indicators.
Bitcoin (BTC) on 4-hour timeframe. Current Price: Bitcoin is currently trading around $81,830.
Trend Line: There is a downward trend line indicating bearish sentiment over the observed period.
Support Level: There is a green support area around $78,424 to $80,000. Bitcoin needs to stay above this level to avoid further declines.
Recent Activity: After the decline, Bitcoin has attempted to stabilize near the support but has not made any significant upward move.
Considerations
If the price breaks below the support area, the bearish trend may continue.
Conversely, if Bitcoin breaks above the trend line, it may signal a reversal and potential upward movement.
Feel free to ask for further analysis or specific technical indicators!
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
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DYOR. NFA
BTCUSD: 1D Death Cross can push it to $150k by August.Bitcoin turned bearish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.071, MACD = -1375.000, ADX = 26.965) showcasing the high volatility that yesterday's tariffs announcement inflicted. 1W remains marginally neutral though (RSI = 45.519), highlighting the long term buy opportunity the current levels present.
The market is about to form the first 1D Death Cross, which occurs when the 1D MA50 crosses under the 1D MA200, since August 9th 2024. Even though that's technically a bearish formation, it has worked only as a bottom market during the current Bull Cycle. Both the Aug 9th 2024 and September 11th 2023 1D Death Crosses were formed exactly when BTC bottomed. In symmetric fashion the first two were formed 150 days after the previous high and rose by at least +96.86% by the 1.786 Time Fibonacci extension. Also both bottoms held the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
This time the 1D Death Cross will be formed approximately 109 days after the previous high, which means that this phase is more aggressive than the others and may equally be more aggresive on the bullish wave too. Still, if it 'just' repeats the previous ones, we estimate to reach $150,000 by this August.
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TURBO long-term outlookAfter completing its first cycle TURBO seems to stabilize around the 0.0010-0.0020$ region which marks the last ATH from 2023. What's interesting here is that TURBO follows the DOGE coin pattern levels almost to a T, in speedrun mode. It is absolutely not the same structure but it respects the same trading ranges and shows a lot of similarities, which is quite remarkable.
Watch out for this yearly trendline in the TURBO chart and expect some volatility for the next months. Breaking under 0.0010$ could potentially confirm a longer downtrend if we don't see a big impulsive bounce to the upside in the near future.
BTC - Analyzing monthly momentum shifts with the Stoch RSI!What is the stoch rsi?
The Stochastic RSI (Stoch RSI) is a momentum indicator that applies the stochastic oscillator to the RSI, making it more sensitive to price changes. The Stochastic RSI has two lines:
Blue line = the fast momentum line
Orange line = the slower momentum line
How It Works:
* Helps identify overbought (above 80) and oversold (below 20) conditions.
* Crossing above 20 signals possible bullish momentum.
* Crossing below 80 signals possible bearish momentum.
Why Use It?
* Reacts faster than regular RSI.
* Helps spot momentum shifts and reversals.
* Best used with other indicators for confirmation.
Analyzing the Monthly BTC Chart Through the Lens of Stochastic RSI: A Cycle Comparison
in this discussion, we’ll take a deep dive into the monthly Bitcoin (BTC) chart and examine how the Stochastic RSI aligns with previous market cycles, dating back to 2016. By comparing BTC’s historical price action with Stoch RSI signals, we aim to identify recurring patterns, overbought and oversold conditions, and how momentum shifts have played a role in past bull and bear markets. Understanding these correlations could provide valuable insights into where BTC currently stands in its broader cycle and what to expect next. Let’s break it down.
Let's dive into the bullmarket of 2016/2017:
In 2016 and 2017, the Stochastic RSI on the monthly BTC chart stayed consistently above the 80 level, often fluctuating between 80 and 100. During this period, the blue line occasionally crossed below the orange line, signaling a short-term pullback. When this cross occurred, it was typically followed by a red candle in the next month, indicating a brief dip before the price continued its upward movement. This pattern appeared multiple times throughout the bull market, allowing BTC to make higher highs and pushing the price further up.
However, the key turning point came when both the blue and orange lines crossed below the 80 level. This marked a shift in momentum, often leading to a significant drop in price or even a bear market phase. When the Stochastic RSI fell below 80 and remained there, it indicated that bullish momentum had stalled, and a potential reversal or prolonged downtrend was likely to follow. This was a critical signal for traders to watch during the bull cycle.
What happened in 2019-2021?
In 2019, the Stochastic RSI on the monthly BTC chart quickly moved from the oversold region to the overbought area, reflecting a rapid surge in BTC’s price during that time. This sharp movement in the Stochastic RSI mirrored the fast-paced price increase. However, once the Stochastic RSI entered the overbought zone, the blue line crossed below the orange line, signaling a potential reversal. When this happened, the Stochastic RSI fell below the 80 level, indicating that bullish momentum was weakening.
This crossover was a critical signal of potential downside, suggesting that BTC could experience a correction or even an extended period of bearish pressure. The decline in the Stochastic RSI below 80 marked the beginning of a phase where BTC faced increased downside momentum, leading to a correction in price for months.
Later in the cycle BTC and the Stoch RSI went up to the overbought area ones again. When the Stoch RSI with the blue and orange line crossed below the 80 was the start of a prolonged bear market.
What occured in this cycle?
In the current cycle of Bitcoin (BTC), there have been three notable crosses on the Stochastic RSI, which offer important insights into market conditions. The first cross stayed above the 80 level, which typically signals an overbought condition. When the Stochastic RSI is above 80, it indicates that the market may be experiencing strong bullish momentum, but it's also at risk of becoming overextended, potentially signaling a reversal.
However, the other two crosses occurred as the Stochastic RSI moved below the 80 level, which is generally interpreted as a sign that the bullish momentum is weakening and that further downside could be in play. The fact that these two crosses occurred below the 80 level suggests that the overbought conditions are being worked off, and momentum may be shifting to the downside.
The last cross is still in play. The momentum is quickly turning to the downside while BTC is facing downside pressure
How can we compare this cycle with the last ones?
In the last cycle of BTC, there were two key crosses of the Stochastic RSI below the 80 level, both of which marked important turning points for the market.
The first cross below the 80 level triggered a significant crash of around 70%, which was a sharp correction from the bull market's peak. This steep drop signified a clear shift in market sentiment, with the bearish trend beginning to take hold. The second cross below 80 marked the official start of the bear market, though it wasn’t as dramatic as the first crash.
An interesting aspect of the second cross was that Bitcoin briefly made a slightly higher high before the decline, which might have seemed like a potential sign of recovery or a continuation of the bullish trend. However, this higher high was not sustainable, and the bearish momentum quickly took over, confirming that the market had turned decisively to the downside. This higher high can often be seen as a bull trap, where traders were temporarily lured into thinking the market was rebounding, only for the price to reverse sharply.
In contrast, the cycle before this one was marked by Bitcoin staying consistently above the 80 level for the entire duration of the bull market. The Stochastic RSI remained elevated, reflecting strong bullish momentum and a prolonged uptrend. Once the Stochastic RSI crossed below the 80 level, it signaled the official start of the bear market. This transition from above to below 80 is often seen as a clear indication that the overbought conditions had been worked off, and the market was beginning to lose its bullish steam.
In both cycles, the Stochastic RSI's behavior has been crucial in identifying key points where the market shifted from bullish to bearish. In the most recent cycle, the sharp crash following the first cross below 80 and the subsequent bear market beginning with the second cross below 80 highlight the significance of this indicator in forecasting major market changes. Meanwhile, in the previous cycle, the sustained time spent above 80 helped to keep the bullish momentum intact until the market finally reversed with that pivotal cross below 80.
These patterns suggest that once Bitcoin’s Stochastic RSI starts crossing below the 80 level after an extended period of bullish movement, it’s a strong signal that the market is entering a phase of weakness and may eventually lead to a bear market.
Conclusion:
The current cycle shows similarities to the 2019/2021 cycle, particularly with the second cross down on the Stochastic RSI, which previously marked a local top. There is a strong possibility that this could signal a cycle top.
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BTC 4H Technical & Fundamental AnalysisTRUMP EFFECT & RESISTANCE DENIAL
CRYPTOCAP:BTC 4H Technical & Fundamental Analysis
As we expected, Bitcoin reached the upper band of the falling channel (approximately $88,000), touched the red resistance circle and then experienced a strong rejection. The timing of this technical rejection is no coincidence.
Last night, former US President Donald Trump's announcement that he would impose new customs duties on all countries of the world created a risk-off mood in the markets . In particular, global uncertainty and protectionist policies triggered selling pressure in risk assets such as Bitcoin.
Technically:
🔸RSI still has no obvious negative mismatch.
🔸However, since the price cannot break the upper band of the falling channel, this region continues to work as a selling zone for now.
If this retracement movement deepens, the first major support level of $73.777 , followed by the $69.000 line may come to the agenda.
On the other hand, if the price manages to regain strength and break this zone in volume, there may be a rapid movement to the GETTEX:92K - $95K band.
In short, Technical resistance + Trump news effect combined, we can say that the market has stepped back for now. From now on, volume and news flow will be directional.
#btc #Bitcoin #crypto #cryptocurrency
BTC Ready for PUMP or what ?The BTC will increase 20k and reach to the top of the wedge in the coming DAYS.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
86K for another short sellMorning folks,
So, not occasionally we said in previous 2-3 updates that BTC action doesn't look bullish and we suggest a new nosedive. Now we have bearish engulfing pattern on weekly chart . And consider these two Fib levels for another short entry attempt. Of course, 86K would be just perfect, but it could start earlier. One of the possible shapes we consider a downside butterfly.
In general, re-test of 70-73K area on average fits to our long-term view.
In a case if 86K will be broken, it could mean that market is tending to 93.5K target, based on daily AB=CD pattern . But we consider this scenario as less probable due on overall BTC heavy performance in a recent few weeks.
Thus, for now, if you want to make a scalp long trade, you could try, but better to set initial target not higher than 86K.
Our major scenario is bearish and we consider 84K and 86K Fib levels for accumulation of a bearish position, unless something extraordinary will happen.
Profit to everybody, Peace.
BTC TARIFF TALKAs President Trump steps up on the stage to deliver his tariff plan BTC had a steady price rise going into the talk, a nice HH & HL LTF structure up into range high/ last weeks high, then as the speech began all of the progress made throughout the day wiped in less than 2 hours to reset BTC's price to Tuesdays low.
In the end the news event gave volatility as expected but ultimately the structure remains the same, rangebound. As the Tax year comes to an end it would be a hard ask for this choppy price action to shift bullish when institutions are going to be window dressing their portfolios for the next financial year.
In essence A continued LTF range with an overall HTF bearish trend looks to continue, this is compounded by yet another failed attempt at the 4H 200 EMA which had temporarily been broken but sent back below by the tariff announcements.
The SPX, DJI & NASDAQ Futures pre-market is looks dreadful so a revisit on the range low is probable on the cards at some stage today.
BITCOIN is exactly where it's supposed to be.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is under heavy pressure lately due to the trade tariffs but as long-term investors, we shouldn't let this volatility affect us.
The MVRV has been one of the most consistent cyclical Top (sell high) and Bottom (buy low) indicators giving only a maximum of two optimal signals in each Cycle and it shows that the market is nowhere near a Top.
On the contrary the MVRV has spend the first 3 months of the year correcting from the 0.382 Fibonacci level to the 0.236. This is the exact same score it had i March 2017. Even in the other two Cycles that wasn't this low on Fibonacci levels, it still made a correction, flashing a red signal.
As the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) continues to support, there are far more greater probabilities that the market will recover, turning the recent trade volatility into the best buy opportunity of 2025.
As far as a Cycle Top is concerned, it has always been an excellent exit signal when the MVRV hit the 0.786 Fib.
So do you think that will be the case? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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