BTC - Slight Distribution After Nearly 10xMorning my fellow traders, and happy new year!
I hope you do not have a hangover right now. But if you do, get a tea going, it usually does the trick for me!
I can't deny the possibilities for another rally to take out the highs, but I'm thinking what the market makers are planning is a simple inverted Adam & Eve pattern that will lead us to new opportunities within the next month or so.
Keep in mind that for sometime now Alts have not been giving, and I believe that after this next Alt season (which I believe we will still get), they will keep giving less and less.
I sold near $100k for probably a couple weeks now. Did not get a perfect $108k sale, which is fine. Now I'll focus on a reentry if this plays out.
Trade thirsty, my friends!
BTC-D
AVAX Long OpportunityMarket Context:
AVAX is retracing in line with the broader market, reaching a key support zone that offers a solid entry point for a long spot trade.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: Between $30.50 – $35.00
Take Profit Targets:
$40.00 – $45.00
$52.00 – $55.00
Stop Loss: Just below $28.00
This trade takes advantage of the retracement into support, with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for potential upside momentum. 📈
SOL | Waiting on ETH for NEW ATHSolana has barely made a new ATH - basically topping out at nearly the exact same place as the previous ATH made in Nov 2021.
As Ii said in yesterdays update on ETH, there is no way BTC makes such a dramatic new ATH and ETH (and Solana) stay behind.
We can expect SOL and ETH to increase when BTC continues to trade range above 95k. This could be another multi-month playout, although ETH usually peaks rapidly at the end of the cycle, which is noteworthy from yesterday's analysis.
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BINANCE:SOLUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD
key performance of sentiment cycle indicatorI couldn’t resist sharing this idea again because the performance of the Sentiment Cycle Indicator continues to impress, as demonstrated by the latest chart. This post follows up on the idea I shared yesterday, showcasing the indicator’s ability to identify price manipulation and avoid market traps.
Let me explain: Around midnight on Wednesday (yesterday at 00:00 hours), the market was in a sideways phase. The indicator briefly signaled a buy, followed by a small sell signal, before going sideways again. Later, it gave a sell signal, and after another sideways period, it returned to sell mode. What’s remarkable is how accurately the indicator identifies these phases, guiding you through periods of low volume and reduced market activity.
• The Red and Green Backgrounds: These represent clear buy and sell signals, helping traders act with confidence.
• No green/red background or Plain chart: This signify sideways markets, where no significant signals are detected, helping traders avoid over-trading or entering low-probability trades. (highlighted in blue line border box)
Notice the two marked blue areas—these are prime examples of how the indicator detects manipulative sideways phases, keeping you out of risky trades. It lets you stay disciplined by waiting for confirmed buy or sell signals, avoiding unnecessary losses.
Additionally:
• Stop-Loss Options: The indicator allows you to set your stop-loss either on the same candle or the previous one, giving you flexibility in trade management.
• Small and Precise Signals: The indicator generates accurate signals with minimal noise, helping you enter trades with confidence and tighter risk management.
This is a perfect demonstration of how this tool not only gives high-probability buy and sell signals but also helps you understand market manipulation and avoid common traps. Whether you’re an experienced trader or a beginner, this indicator offers clarity and structure in your decision-making process.
Give it a try—you’ll see how effective it is in helping you trade smarter and avoid over-trading!
HelenP. I Bitcoin will break trend line and rise to $102500Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago price declined to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and then at once made impulse up to the resistance zone. After this movement, BTC turned around and dropped from the resistance zone to 90500 points, after which quickly backed up and then corrected to the support level. Later price started to grow and soon reached the resistance level again and then broke it, after which made a retest and rose to the trend line. After this movement, BTC turned around from the trend line and made an impulse down to the support zone, even a little below, breaking resistance with support levels. Soon, the price rose higher than the support level but later fell back and then finally rose. Next, BTC some time traded near the 94500 support level and later dropped below this level one more time, after which started to grow and rose to the rend line, where at the moment it continues to trades close. In my opinion, BTCUSDT will make the mall correction and then bounce up to the resistance level, breaking the trend line. That's why my goal is the 102500 resistance level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTC/USDT 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a local downtrend channel where the price bounced from the upper border of the channel and quickly started to recover.
Let's now start by defining a stop-loss in case of further declines in the market and you can see how the price rebounded from the first support at the level:
SL1 = $94285
SL2 = $92209
SL3 = $89,541
SL4 = $85,924
Let's now move on to defining the goals for the near future that the price must face:
T1 = $97131
T2 = $100036
T3 = $103179
T4 = $105491
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see that there is still room to continue the recovery, and such a situation could bring the price to around $89,000.
The last bullish chance of BITCOIN in Mid term!Unfortunately, my previous analysis was incorrect. I thought Bitcoin could reach $109,000 after breaking the 0.618 Fibonacci line, but that didn’t happen. Now, Bitcoin is approaching its last chance, which is the 0.382 Fibonacci line. If it fails to stabilize in this price range, it will lose its last chance to rise in the mid term. However, if it holds this line, the price can gradually reach new highs again.
previous analysis
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTC Expectations after the Dump -> Upside ahead!In this video, I’m analyzing Bitcoin’s recent price action and highlighting a key Fibonacci retracement level. Here’s the main idea:
Repeated 0.618 Fib Retracement: BTC has repeatedly pulled back into the 0.618 Fibonacci level, suggesting a strong support zone and healthy correction.
Anticipated Expansion Move:
Given these consistent bounces off the golden pocket, I’m expecting a bullish expansion move. This could take BTC to higher resistance levels in the short to mid term, if price action continues to hold above this critical zone.
Let’s see if the market follows through on this anticipated upward swing!
What's next Bitcoin?In my previous posts, i highlighted: CRYPTOCAP:BTC price is in distribution zone and #btcusd has been having bearish retests. The 3rd bearish retest succeeded with yesterday's dump and clear declination may bring #btc price to major support zones. In the chart, i showed the #btcusdt support zones. The ellipsis zone is the ichimoku span and dEMA100 support. A strong support but in case if maker breaks that support, the next one is red box where dEMA200 support and also CME #bitcoin futures GAP is waiting to be filled. If BTC price reclaims the parallel channel, this supports will wait longer and this will be the "temporary" invalidation. Not financial advice.
BTC/USDT: A Potential Bullish Reversal From Key Demand Zonehello guys!
let's analysis btc
Resistance:
$98,450 (immediate resistance, recent structure level).
$102,800 - $104,000 (strong supply zone and Fibonacci confluence).
Support:
$95,000 (demand zone).
$92,000 (last significant swing low).
Bullish Scenario:
If BTC can hold and reverse from the $94,000 - $95,000 demand zone, a bullish move could potentially retest the $98,450 resistance. A break above this level would pave the way for a rally towards the $102,800 supply zone, with an ultimate target near $104,000.
Bearish Scenario:
Failure to maintain support within the demand zone could lead to a deeper pullback towards $92,000, which is the next major area of interest for buyers. A break below this level might invalidate the bullish outlook and signal further downside.
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Conclusion:
BTC is in a pivotal phase, and the $94,000 - $95,000 zone will be critical for the next move. Watch for bullish price action signals (such as engulfing candles or bullish divergences) in this area before considering any long positions. A bounce from this level could lead to a new attempt to break the $100,000 psychological barrier. Conversely, a failure to hold support might indicate further weakness.
BITCOIN Cycle Top can be as high as $200kBitcoin (BTCUSD) has started 2025 on high volatility amidst geopolitical and economic news input. 2025 is the last year of this Bull Cycle, according to the Cycles Theory which for more than a decade has been very accurate at predicting Cycle Tops and Bottoms.
** LGC, MMB and Pi Cycle *
On today's analysis we present to you this view in more detail by displaying Bitcoin's Logarithmic Growth Channel (LGC) with the addition of the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) and the Pi Cycle trend-lines. From the MMB we use its extremes, the 3SD above (red trend-line), which is the Mayer Top and the 3SD below (black trend-line), which is the Mayer Bottom. From the Pi Cycle we use a tighter range, its top trend-line (orange) and bottom trend-line (green), which form a zone that typically serves as more of a 'Fair Value' before the Bear Cycle's extreme selling and Bull Cycle's extreme buying (Parabolic Rally).
** Current Cycle in 2025 **
As mentioned, BTC has entered the last year of its current Bull Cycle. Based on this cyclical pattern, the 3 previous Tops have been either on a November or December. As a result, we expect the new Cycle Top to start forming by November 2025. The last one was formed above the Pi Cycle Top (never hit the Mayer Top) and on the 2nd LGC Zone from the top.
This suggests that even if the price barely tests the bottom for the LGC 2nd Zone from the Top, by November 2025 we should be close to $200000. Technically the projected Peak Zone should be within the 180k - 200k range. That may still be below the Pi Cycle Top, so technically we can argue that it is a fair scenario to expect and not an overly optimistic.
Unrealistic or not, this is what 3 separate traditional long-term models suggest.
But what do you think? Is a $180-200k Top a realistic expectation within 2025? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin: Head & Shoulders Reversal Pattern In The Making Tradingview offers simply the best instruments for charting.
We have special charting tools to highlight famous Head & Shoulders reversal pattern (in yellow).
I spotted this textbook pattern today and would like to share this educational post with you.
It was shaped by three peaks with the highest (Head) in the middle.
The Right Shoulder reached its climax right at the top of the Left Shoulder.
It makes the pattern more symmetric.
There is a Neckline that intersects both valleys of the Head.
Its a reversal pattern and the trigger is located at the Neckline under the Right Shoulder
around $91.7k.
The target is measured subtracting the height of the Head from the trigger point.
It was highlighted in the chart at $75k.
The collapse could be painful.
This might prove the old traders saying "buy rumors (Tramp promises), sell facts (reality)" for Bitcoin.
BTC NEW UPDATE (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
The price dropped from the red-marked area in the previous analysis, and this supply zone worked well.
The correction for BTC started from the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart.
We expect a downward move toward the green-marked area.
If the price reaches the supply zone, we can look for sell/short positions as scalp trades.
Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will invalidate our bearish outlook.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bullish bounce?BTC/USD is falling towards the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance that has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 95,231.13
1st Support: 93,172.83
1st Resistance: 98,951.90
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Opulous ($OPULUSDT): Awaiting Entry for 100% + Upside in MusicFiI spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more.
**Opulous ( KUCOIN:OPULUSDT ): Awaiting Entry for Promising Upside in MusicFi**
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $0.06486 (Pending Activation)
- Stop-Loss: $0.04369
- **Take-Profit Targets:**
- **TP1:** $0.14686
- **TP2:** $0.24000
**Current Price:** $0.07048
Fundamental Analysis:
Opulous ( KUCOIN:OPULUSDT ) is leading the way in MusicFi by merging decentralized finance (DeFi) with the music industry. Through its platform, artists can mint music as NFTs, allowing fans to directly invest in their music and share in royalty streams. This revolutionary approach is disrupting traditional music rights management and has garnered significant attention from artists and investors alike.
Recent developments, such as new artist partnerships and an increase in platform adoption, underscore Opulous’s potential to drive innovation in the blockchain space.
Tokenomics Overview:
- **Total Supply:** 500 million tokens.
- **Utility:** Facilitates music NFT transactions, staking, and royalty payments.
- **Growth:** Rapid adoption within the MusicFi niche, attracting both artists and investors.
Technical Analysis (4-Hour Timeframe):
- Support Levels: $0.06500 is a strong support zone near the anticipated entry price, aligning with previous price consolidation levels.
- Resistance Levels: $0.07500 is the first key resistance, with further resistance at TP1 ($0.14686).
- Moving Averages:
- 20-EMA: $0.07000
- 50-EMA: $0.06700
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 57, signaling neutral momentum, providing room for further upside.
Market Sentiment:
Interest in MusicFi continues to grow, with Opulous at the forefront of this trend. The unique proposition of allowing fans to invest in music royalties via NFTs is driving increased market interest. Community engagement remains strong, reflecting confidence in the project’s long-term potential.
Risk Management:
The stop-loss at $0.04369 provides protection against significant downside risk, while the take-profit targets offer excellent upside potential. TP1 represents a **126% return**, and TP2 offers a potential **270% gain**, making this trade highly attractive for mid- to long-term investors.
Key Takeaways:
- Opulous is uniquely positioned to capitalize on the growing MusicFi trend, blending blockchain with real-world applications in the music industry.
- Awaiting a pullback to $0.06486 for an optimal entry point into this promising setup.
- The trade offers a compelling risk-to-reward ratio, ideal for swing traders and long-term holders.
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All!
Capital Shifts in Crypto: Liquidity, Corrections, and the FutureOn a growing market, each correction serves as a mechanism for capital redistribution. In the cryptocurrency sector, where the market is relatively small, profit-taking on major assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) has a significantly negative impact on less capitalized altcoins.
Analogy with traditional markets
Traditional financial markets follow similar principles. Here, Bitcoin can be compared to gold, while altcoins are akin to stocks or bonds. When positions in gold are closed, the fluctuations are less noticeable due to the market's greater liquidity and volume. However, stocks, with their lower capitalization, show significant volatility, leading to an equivalent increase in potential dollar gains.
Depth and structure of the crypto market
The crypto market still lacks depth, predominantly involving small-scale investment funds by global standards. Competition among expert traders and investors is limited, leading to low profitability or zero gain on bear markets, where professionals trade against each other, for instance, Wintermute traders against GSR traders. In traditional markets, where both professionals and retail investors participate, professionals have an advantage due to more variables.
Liquidity and spread
Both markets allow for earning on the spread, although currently, spreads are relatively small. The redistribution of liquidity, especially during market downturns, is driven by both psychological factors and the technical aspects of position closing, particularly when comparing futures trading with combined spot and futures trading.
Indexation and synthetic assets
The creation of indexes in the crypto sphere could be the next step. There are already examples like Reserve Rights (RSR), where real-world assets are tokenized to create stablecoins. Forming indexes similar to the S&P500 or US100 could combine crypto assets by similar characteristics, increasing liquidity and opening new investment avenues. However, this could lead to issues similar to those in 2007 in traditional markets, where "packages" included high-risk assets.
Conclusion
Implementing such tools might soften the liquidity redistribution effect for retail investors but could complicate things for funds and market makers, reducing their ability to buy assets at reduced prices. The cryptocurrency market is at the stage of mass adoption, and upon completion of this process, new forms of digital money may emerge.
Written by Alexander Kostenich (WIDECHAR),
Horban Brothers.
Bitcoin tool the elevator down to print a confirmation?BTC took the elevator down today, but it still has a good chance of printing a higher low. An HL will confirm that the trend direction is pivoting. In the meantime, the Daily timeframe has signs of bearishness that need to be resolved. Daily momentum is still pushing down.
Where is the good shopping area?hello friends
This currency has been able to attract the attention of buyers with its good growth.
Now that it is in the correction phase, it is a good opportunity to buy a step.
We have defined the purchase steps for you and we have also defined its goals.
*Trade safely with us*
BTC is looking like more down, but a great buy opportunity Head and shoulders for BTC was invalidated recently leaving a short term play that looks like some more downside than up, for the very short term in any case. It looks like the green trend line was broken of late. Typically when there's a break, the price action comes back down to buffet on it for a short while before taking off agian. Let's see what happens, it looks like a great buying opportunity though. Cycles in green semi circles also pervail to there being more down than up to go. Follow and share for more.
Expect ETHEREUM to start outperforming BITCOINOn this analysis we compare Bitcoin's last two Cycles to Ethereum's.
The recent underperformance of ETH against BTC has got many worried but in our view, there is no reason for concern.
This 'lagging' is something ETH did on its previous Cycle as well. While Bitcoin already broke to a new ATH in December 2020, Ethereum was still significantly under it.
Once the break out happened, ETH outperformed BTC by double the rise to the Cycle's Top (+789% against +337%).
As Ethereum is once more lagging but it is holding its 1week MA50, we expect to start outperforming Bitcoin again, which is leading with a break out.
In our view the time to move to the 'undervalued' Ethereum is now.
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