BTC NEXT MOVE?🚀 Bitcoin (BTC) Market Update
We are expecting a small dip in Bitcoin's price, potentially down to the 89,000–90,000 USD zone. From that level, we anticipate a strong rally toward 101,000 USD, as highlighted in the chart.
📈 This move could also lead Bitcoin toward making a new all-time high!
Stay patient and follow the setup carefully.
BTC-D
BITCOIN Monthly RSI Heatmap reveals ultimate Cycle Sell Zone!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has resumed the long-term bullish trend and as of the writing of this analysis, it is about to test the $100k key psychological level. Now that the Bull Cycle is entering its final stage (most likely for the next 6 months at most), it is time to see potential exit levels as close to the expected Top as possible.
There is no better long-term indicator to assist us on this than the 1M RSI, which historically offers a great level to Sell when it enters the 0.786 - 1.0 Fibonacci range of its Channel Down. Currently it is still considerably distanced from that Zone, so the upside potential despite the recent break-out, is huge.
The Sine Waves indicate that in symmetrical terms, the Cycle Top should be priced around November 2025 (previous ones on November 2021, December 2017, December 2013). The closer the 1M RSI is to this date when it enters the 0.786 - 1.0 Fib Zone, the better as the higher the price will most likely be.
Based on this Cycle's Channel Up (blue), a fair Cycle Top range would be $150k - $200k. Would you agree? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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GBPJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPJPY is currently trading near 192.100 and has successfully broken out of a falling wedge pattern on the 12-hour chart. This classic bullish reversal structure indicates that buyers have regained control, with momentum building for a potential move toward the 197.400 target area. The breakout candle is strong and well-formed, confirming upside interest after a period of consolidation and price compression.
Fundamentally, the Japanese yen remains under pressure due to the Bank of Japan’s continued ultra-loose monetary policy, while the pound is gaining support ahead of this week's Bank of England rate decision. Traders are pricing in cautious optimism from the BOE as inflation persists, which adds strength to GBP. The divergence in policy stance between the BOE and BOJ creates a favorable environment for GBPJPY bulls.
Technically, the falling wedge breakout is happening in line with higher lows and sustained buying volume. The 190.000 region served as a strong support base, and the breakout above wedge resistance around 191.800 now turns that area into support. The next key resistance sits at 195.000, with potential extension toward the psychological zone of 197.400.
This setup aligns with a trend continuation following the recent impulsive wave, and the risk-reward profile remains attractive for swing buyers. As long as GBPJPY holds above 190.800, the upside thesis remains valid. Keep an eye on UK rate sentiment and BOJ updates to support this technical play.
102.5K nearest upside target. 110K is the next oneMorning folks,
So, the pullback to 88-89K area that we discussed last time has not happened. Market turns to direct upside continuation. Now it has no big barriers ahead, which means that 110K is the major target for now.
On Intraday charts we have another one - 102.5K which is the nearest one. We consider no shorts by far. For long entry you could use any deep that you would like to. We suggest that 97.50-98K area is quite suitable for this. Deeper retracement will look suspicious.
btc . tue . recapApproaching the cmLow during 2/4pm (utc+2) on tuesday, brought the tiny SFP liquidity and and a NO LOOK BACK push upwards. The SHORT wasn't taken as the the bounce showed no weakness
The intraday LONG turned out to be a runner.
entry . 93454
tp1 . 94854 . +1.5%
- this seems a 'too early tp', correct but: thought as an intraday . securing the daily minimum: PROFIT TAKEN
tp2 . 100477 . +7.5%
tp3 . 103626 . +10.8%
The long entry is now at average 94863 . ish prv tp1
- I was waiting for lower, to add LONG position size
But upon not seeing follow through and strong bounces on lower TFs, I went with a 30% of original trade size addition during wednesday 8/10pm.
Now it's 10:30am, we've just pushed another 1h leg higher. I'll ride this to my next TPs, bigger reactions at this point I see only at higher prices.
This thing is BULLISH
(always hungry for good SHORT trades, but paytient for reactions)
Bitcoin Breaks Heavy Resistance Zone— But Can It Hold?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise yesterday as the S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) opened and it seems like it can break the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500 ) this time, but there are still concerns from a technical analysis , so please stay tuned for this analysis .
Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($100,200-$97,700) and has broken through the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500) with good momentum .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has completed microwave 3 near the Resistance zone($100,200-$97,700) and we should wait for the completion of microwave 4 . The microwave 4 can be considered a pullback to the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500 ).
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $96,000 and is likely to touch the Support zone($95,760-$95,200) and start rising again, since microwave 3 was with high momentum , it is possible that microwave 5 will even be truncated . The targets I have indicated on the chart can be the target of a long position .
If you are looking for a Bitcoin reversal, you can focus on the Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) . The next major pivot will likely be within this time zone .
It seems reasonable to open a Long position near the Support zone($95,760-$95,200) , and it can give us a good Risk-To-Reward . What do you think?
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My concerns for Bitcoin's continued bullish trend:
Because Bitcoin's correlation with US stock market indices , especially the SPX500 , is higher than in previous weeks, my analysis is that there is a re-correction in the SPX500 index , which could prevent Bitcoin from continuing its upward trend .
The Ascending Broadening Wedge pattern is likely to complete, which could cause Bitcoin to fall further if the lower lines of this pattern are broken.
If tensions between Pakistan and India increase, it could prevent Bitcoin from growing further.
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Also, Today, the Federal Funds Rate is scheduled to be announced.
Let’s take a look at how this decision — along with Powell’s speech — might impact Bitcoin . Be cautious with your positions during the announcement and Powell’s remarks, as markets may become volatile.
Holding the rate steady is a signal of monetary policy stability, which could give risk assets like Bitcoin some breathing room in the short term.
Given recent U.S. economic data, markets are mainly focused on Powell’s tone during the press conference. If he adopts a dovish stance (hinting at potential rate cuts), this could support Bitcoin’s upward momentum.
However, if Powell emphasizes that rates will remain elevated for an extended period, we might see a temporary wave of selling pressure in the market.
Stay alert and manage your risk wisely — high-impact events like this can lead to sharp moves in crypto.
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Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $98,511-$97,774
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $95,966-$95,550
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $94,400, we can expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Crypto update for 2025.05.08A quick little technical crypto update for 2025.05.08.
Let us know what you think.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
CRYPTO:BCHUSD
CRYPTO:ETHUSD
CRYPTO:XRPUSD
CRYPTO:DOGEUSD
CRYPTO:DOTUSD
CRYPTO:TRXUSD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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"Bitcoin Analysis" (Update)The price has reached the 0.78 Fibonacci level, and as you can see, there is a low probability that this level will be broken. I expect that, from a technical perspective, the price will form a double top here and then decline to the Fibonacci levels. After reaching the support levels, I anticipate a strong push to GETTEX:98K . Additionally, the tensions from the India-Pakistan conflict could drive the price downward.
Stay Awesome , CobraVanguard
BTC/USD 1D chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC chart for USD, in this situation we can see how the price came out of a strong downward trend, which gave a strong upward movement for the price. Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price:
T1 = 96592 $
T2 = 101878 $
Т3 = 109442 $
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 92363 $
SL2 = 89028 $
SL3 = 83498 $
SL4 = 79350 $
Looking at the RSI indicator, we can see that despite a small price change, the indicator strongly reacted what potentially can give energy to further price increases in the coming weeks.
SUI – Long Trade Setup After Trend ReversalSUI has broken out of its downtrend, hitting all prior upside targets and now pulling back toward a key support area and the 200-day EMA, potentially forming a higher low—an ideal spot for re-entry.
🔹 Entry Zone:
Around $2.80
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $3.40 – $3.60
🥈 $4.00 – $4.20
🥉 $5.00 – $5.20
🛑 Stop Loss:
Daily close below $2.20
📌 Strategy Notes:
Look for bullish confirmation (e.g., wick rejections, bullish engulfing candle) near $2.80
Structure remains intact as long as price holds above $2.20
EMA retests often precede strong continuation if trend strength remains
ADA (Cardano) – Long Spot Trade Setup at SupportCardano has pulled back to a key support zone around $0.66, providing a potential entry opportunity for a long spot position as the broader structure attempts to hold.
🔹 Entry Zone:
$0.66
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $0.80 – $0.84
🥈 $0.98 – $1.02
🛑 Stop Loss:
Just below $0.59 (to protect against deeper breakdowns)
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) – Bullish Continuation SetupBitcoin is showing strong bullish structure on the daily timeframe, having broken out of a key range and now approaching a potential retest zone.
Price is currently hovering around 96,990, and we’re anticipating a possible retracement into the demand zone between 91,856 – 88,533. This area aligns with a previous consolidation and breakout range, offering a high-probability buy zone if price reacts with bullish intent.
📌 Key Technical Highlights:
Break of structure confirms bullish bias
Demand zone identified between 91.8K – 88.5K
Anticipating a retracement for continuation
Bullish targets toward 100K+
We’ll be watching lower timeframes for confirmation (engulfing candles, bullish BOS, or SFPs) before entering long.
Bitcoin Analysis - 7 MayThe price continues to move within the range of $91,700 - $100,400.
In approximately 3 hours, the FED will announce its interest rate decision.
The expectation is for it to remain unchanged.
If it remains unchanged;
there could be a horizontal consolidation between 94,990 – 97,500.
If a breakout occurs, the upward movement will accelerate; otherwise, there could be a pullback to the 91,781 – 94,990 levels.
If the interest rate is reduced;
the psychological resistance at 100,400 USDT may be tested, and if surpassed, the target of 109,605 (ATH) comes into play.
If the interest rate is increased;
the supports at 94,990 USDT and below could be tested quickly.
The levels of 91,781 and 85,085 USDT become potential targets.
With stronger selling, the support zone at the 2024 ATH level of 73,776 USDT may come into play.
Bitcoin is Overbought, but $100,000 Target is Still at HandFenzoFx—Bitcoin is overbought at $97,000, a signal indicated by the Stochastic Oscillator. The price is expected to consolidate before the uptrend resumes. In this scenario, a dip toward $93,565 may provide a favorable entry point into the bull market.
Watch this level, followed by $91,720, for bullish signals such as candlestick patterns.
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EURAUD DETAILED ANALYSIS BULLISH OR BEARISHEURAUD is currently trading around 1.75600, forming a classic falling wedge pattern on the 12-hour timeframe. This structure typically signals a bullish reversal, and with price compressing near the wedge’s apex, the likelihood of a breakout to the upside increases significantly. Momentum is slowing on the downside, while buyers are beginning to show signs of re-entering the market, suggesting the pair is gearing up for a potential bullish surge toward the 1.85600 level.
Fundamentally, the euro is holding firm amid persistent inflation data from the eurozone, increasing speculation that the ECB might remain hawkish longer than expected. On the other hand, the Australian dollar is facing pressure due to softer commodity demand and cautious rhetoric from the RBA. This divergence in central bank outlooks favors euro strength in the near term. Today's minor beat on euro PMI data and lackluster performance in Aussie retail sales reinforces the strength of this directional bias.
Technically, this falling wedge is forming after a strong bullish impulsive leg, which adds further credibility to the reversal setup. Buyers have successfully defended the 1.7500 psychological zone, and a breakout above the wedge resistance could trigger a sharp rally. A move above 1.7600 would likely act as confirmation for bulls, opening the door for a measured move toward the 1.85600 target area.
As long as price holds above the 1.7400 region, this remains a high-probability bullish setup with a strong risk-reward profile. Traders will be closely watching for volume increase and price rejection candles at resistance to confirm the breakout. This is a prime example of a technical and fundamental confluence setup that professional traders look for when positioning for medium-term swing trades.
EURJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSIS ??EURJPY is currently trading around 162.800 and showing clear bullish momentum after a clean bounce off a strong support zone. Price has been consolidating above a well-established demand area, and today's candle confirms renewed buyer interest. The reaction from this level highlights a potential shift back to the upside, with 169.000 marked as the next significant target. The rejection wicks and structure suggest accumulation, with the market gearing up for a bullish continuation.
From a fundamental perspective, the euro is gaining strength on the back of better-than-expected economic data across the eurozone, while the Japanese yen continues to face broad pressure due to the Bank of Japan's dovish stance. The BOJ remains committed to ultra-loose monetary policy, which puts the yen at a disadvantage against stronger currencies like the euro, especially when inflation expectations in Europe remain sticky.
Technically, EURJPY has respected this support zone multiple times, creating a solid base of demand. Each test has been met with higher lows, reinforcing the bullish bias. The price action is forming a classic support-retest continuation pattern, and if this structure holds, we could see a swift move toward 169.000. Volume and momentum indicators are also beginning to align in favor of the bulls.
Looking forward, as long as price holds above the 162.200 area, the path of least resistance remains upward. Traders will be watching for continuation signals and breakouts of minor resistance zones to confirm the move. This setup offers a favorable risk-reward structure, and with market sentiment tilting toward euro strength, EURJPY has the potential to deliver solid gains in the coming sessions.
BITCOIN Mirror fractal from the past calls for massive rally!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) appears to be repeating almost the exact same price action as mid-late 2020 as it has broken above the Pivot trend-line that separates the recent distribution from the 2nd Accumulation phase and has successfully re-tested it while the MA50 (blue trend-line) is holding as Support.
If the latter continues to hold, then it might fuel a massive rally similar to October 2020 - April 2021. As you can see both fractals started of with a 1st Accumulation Phase (blue Rectangle) being supported always by their respective MA200 (orange trend-line), which led to the eventual Distribution Phase (red Arc). Even their RSI sequences are identical.
Is this another pattern supporting that BTC will reach at least $150k next? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Still Stuck in Resistance – Eyes on CME Gaps & USDT.D%Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) touched $92,830(first target) and started to rise as I expected in the previous idea . Overall, Bitcoin has been moving in a range for about 12 days .
Note : In general, trading in a range market is more difficult than in a trending market . If your performance in a range market is not good, it is better not to trade until the trend is clear (this is just a suggestion).
Bitcoin is currently trading at a Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500) and has failed to break through it, and it seems like Bitcoin needs more momentum to break through this zone. Do you think Bitcoin will finally break through the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500)?
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it appears that Bitcoin has completed a five-wave impulsive and we should expect Corrective waves .
The analytical conditions of the Bitcoin chart have been a bit ambiguous in the past few days, so it's better to take a look at the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) chart to increase the accuracy of Bitcoin analysis .
USDT.D% failed to break the Support zone(5.13%-4.95%) after several attacks. It currently appears to be forming an Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern . It appears that USDT.D% needs to complete this pattern to break the support zone, and if this pattern fails , we should expect further increases =Bitcoin crash .
I expect Bitcoin to decline to the Support zone($92,910-$91,414) , 21_SMA(Weekly) and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($93,359-$92,296) and probably fill the CME Gap($92,525-$91,415) this time and then start to rise and prepare to break the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500) and fill the CME Gap($97,680-$96,455) .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $98,989-$97,924
Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the Support zone($92,910-$91,414), we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC New Update (8H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
In the previous scenario, we considered that Bitcoin was in a diametric where wave E had extended. However, after reviewing the charts and analyzing various scenarios, we decided to revise the wave count as shown in this update, since wave E of the previous diametric scenario became overly extended.
You can see the complete wave count of the chart in this update. The correction in Bitcoin started from the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart. This correction was a diametric and ended where the green arrow is placed.
From the point where the green arrow is shown on the chart, Bitcoin's bullish wave has started, which is either wave A or W.
According to this scenario, the expected rejection zone should be between 98K and 103K.
The lowest-risk area for price rejection is the red box.
A daily candle close above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Let’s see what happens.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC - Will history repeat itself?In this description, I will compare the current price action of BTC with the market behavior seen in 2021. Both cycles share notable similarities in their structure.
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2021 bullmarket
During the 2021 bull market, BTC displayed classic topping price action. The chart showed slightly higher highs and higher lows, eventually forming a bearish Head & Shoulders pattern. This signaled a shift in momentum, and BTC subsequently broke down, confirming the bearish outlook.
At the lows later in 2021, Bitcoin’s price action became more corrective, with slightly lower lows and lower highs-often an early indication of a potential trend reversal. That reversal materialized as BTC launched into a strong impulse move to the upside, rallying all the way to the key Golden Pocket Fibonacci level before experiencing a modest retracement.
Following this healthy pullback, BTC gathered enough strength to break through resistance and surge to a new all-time high (ATH), which ultimately marked the peak of that bull cycle.
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This bullmarket
In the current bull market, BTC formed a classic double top pattern, echoing similar setups from previous cycles. After reaching highs near $110k BTC experienced a significant correction, dropping to around $74k. At this level, the price action turned corrective, with a series of slightly lower lows and lower highs-reminiscent of the consolidation seen at the 2021 market bottom.
During this consolidation, BTC established three notable lows, forming a potential base for a reversal. Following this corrective phase, BTC surged upward in a strong impulse move, reaching the critical Golden Pocket-the 61.8% to 65% Fibonacci retracement zone, which is widely regarded as a key area for potential reversals or continuation of trends.
Currently, BTC is consolidating near this Golden Pocket. Traders are watching closely to see if the price will face rejection here, as it did in 2021, or if it can break above and sustain a new uptrend. The outcome at this level will likely determine whether the next major move is a continuation to new highs or a deeper retracement.
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Conclusion
When comparing the corrections following the 2021 and 2025 peaks, the similarities are striking. Both cycles feature a bottom formed through a similar pattern, followed by a strong move up to the Golden Pocket Fibonacci level. The key question now is whether BTC will experience another corrective pullback before making a renewed attempt at the all-time high, or if it will break through resistance and continue its upward momentum. Only time will tell which path the market will choose.
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