BTC-D
Swing BTC thesis by Titan_KarmaPrediction( investment_thesis="**Market Sentiment Analysis:** The current market sentiment for BTCUSDT is cautiously bullish. Despite the absence of recent news, the financial data indicates a slight leaning towards long positions, particularly in the 4-hour and 1-hour intervals. This suggests that traders are optimistic about Bitcoin's short-term price movements. However, the lack of news necessitates vigilance for any sudden market changes. **Technical Analysis:** The technical indicators across various time frames suggest a bullish sentiment. The RSI values are neutral to slightly bullish, and the price remains above key moving averages (EMA20 and SMA20) across all time frames. The MACD indicates mild bullish momentum, especially in the 4-hour and 1-hour charts. However, the low ADX values in shorter time frames suggest weak trends, warranting caution. Key support is around $90,000, with resistance at $96,000. **Fundamental Analysis:** The fundamental outlook is stable, with no recent news impacting Bitcoin's price. The financial metrics show a strong upward trend over the past few months, with the price consolidating around $96,000. This consolidation suggests potential resistance, but the overall trend remains positive. The increase in long positions among top traders further supports a bullish outlook. **Risk Management Strategy:** Given the bullish sentiment but weak trend signals, a cautious approach is recommended. Set a stop-loss below the $90,000 support level to protect against potential downturns. A take-profit target can be set around $100,000, considering the current resistance and potential for further upside. Regularly monitor technical indicators and market news to adjust positions as needed. OUTCOME: HOLD_BUY STOP_LOSS: $89,500.00 TAKE_PROFIT: $100,000.00 CONFIDENCE LEVEL: 78% EXIT_POINT: $96,000.00 CURRENT PRICE: $96,386.84 ENTRY CRITERIA: - **TIMEFRAME**: 4h - **RSI**: below 70 - **MACD**: Bullish crossover - **MA20**: Above - **ATR**: Moderate volatility - **Bollinger Bands**: Middle band - **Stochastic Oscillator**: Neutral - **News Impact**: Neutral - **Historical Data**: Support at $90,000, Resistance at $96,000 CURRENT OPEN LONG POSITIONS: 0 CURRENT OPEN SHORT POSITIONS: 0" )
Dogecoin $DOGE/USDT - 200D SMA Bull Regime DetectionThis indicator helps traders identify market regimes using the powerful combination of 50 and 200 SMAs. It provides clear visual signals and detailed metrics for trend-following strategies.
We've just had our bull regime print and are trading 43 days of bull regime duration.
Key Features:
- Dual SMA System (50/200) for regime identification
- Colour-coded candles for easy trend visualisation
- Metrics dashboard
Core Signals:
- Bullish Regime: Price > 200 SMA
- Bearish Regime: Price < 200 SMA
- Additional confirmation: 50 SMA Cross-over or Cross-under (golden cross or death cross)
ETH 1h Brief analyseHi Traders,
There is still unmitigation zone at 1D.
I believe that it seem to be a destination for me where ETH will be heading to.
You see the wave a-b-c at 1h and trend line written at 4h.
Hopefully, this confluence works.
Just remember it can do down further to 0.681 level as good retracement level.
Make sure double check the confirmation then start place the position with stop loss.
3 rules
Buy
Sell
Wait
Bitcoin tends to falter the day after ThanksgivingThe 124k target remains in play overall, but for now I suspect the shakeout from its 100k milestone has more to offer bears. And while bitcoin prices are showing a nice breakout from a flag pattern on the 1-hour chart, bulls should take note that today (the day after Thanksgiving) tends to be a bearish day on average. And that could make any moves towards 100k tempting for bears to fade into over the near term.
MS
BITCOIN about to do things!Possible cup and handle breakout coming. Need volume. Neckline is either here or at 97k. We are breaking through the 1hr triangle at this point though. Already have broken the golden area. 103k target if momentum continues. Posting chart just so I can look back at this and see how this plays out.
BTCUSDElliott wave analysis of BTCUSD.
Played nicely so far - both up and down. I Suspect that there are few more gyrations before we move in to $129-133k for a termination.
The pattern is starting to look full, the remaining squiggles should see us to the high's mentioned above.
I expect the drop to be quite sharp and fast.
BITCOIN TARGETING ALL TIME HIGHS - BTC LONG IDEAI projected and shared the idea that Bitcoin would reach $70,000 and potentially $73,000 within a few days. It happened in just two days! I hope you took the trade and made some profits, as I did.
Now, I’m preparing to position myself with the expectation that we’ll reach all-time highs within a week or two.
We recently broke a massive bearish trendline that has held since March 2024. Just before that, a daily demand zone formed, which helped break the trendline, making it a key area for me. Additionally, the equilibrium level of the bullish leg aligns perfectly with my point of interest.
I expect the price to retrace to the daily demand zone, hit the discount Fibonacci area, test the trendline, and take off from there toward new all-time highs.
Of course, I’ll be looking for lower time-frame confirmations before initiating a long position.
SUI LONG OPPURTUNITY - SUI NETWORK BULLISH TREND ALERTSUI is one of the most popular altcoins in the crypto market right now. It has strong fundamentals, a solid team, and a growing community. I personally hold a spot position in this coin, and I expect to see SUI among the top 10 most valuable crypto assets soon.
Technical Analysis: SUI ran the daily swing liquidity and reached the daily demand zone responsible for the previous all-time highs. The price couldn't close below the daily swing and showed a strong rejection there.
After that, SUI broke the diagonal trendline that had maintained the lower time-frame bearish trend. The breakout was strong, with a close above, indicating to me that SUI has broken the bearish lower time-frame structure and is now targeting new highs.
I expect a small retracement to the green zone marked as the "4H Demand Zone," aligning with the Fibonacci equilibrium level. I’ll be looking to open a position there, aiming for new all-time highs.
#Bitcoin and the Trump effect! CRYPTOCAP:BTC , which was $701 on the day Donald Trump won the US elections on November 8, 2016, rose parabolically to $1140 in 57 days, followed by a correction of 33.90%, and went parabolic after Trump took office on January 20. It continued its rise and reached 19.6 thousand dollars in December 2017, reaching its peak.
2024, #btc which started with 67k on November 5, followed a parabolic run after Donald Trump won the US elections and reached almost $100k. If we compare it with 2016, I expect the rise to $110k to continue and a healthy correction to occur before Trump officially takes office on January 20, after which the parabolic run will continue harshly.
It should definitely be noted that Bitcoin is in a bull run and such corrections will not be permanent and will serve as fuel for a major rise.
I would also like to point out that this comparison is just an opinion and does not contain financial advice.
$BTC BTC BITCOIN I'm calling for a pullback to approx. 56,000If you take a look at a monthly chart, to expect bitcoin to come back some 40-50% wouldn't be a surprise to many as it has given up as much as 80% of past bull rallies. It would be a great opportunity for the market makers to create themselves a whale of an opportunity. I would approach this market with caution and setting stops. Not financial advice.
BTCUSD targeting 108000 on the next leg up.Bitcoin is trading inside a Channel Up, having just rebounded on the MA100 (4h).
In the last 2 months, it accumulates on the same pattern, a Falling Resistance bottoms on an Arc and when it breaks, a rally delivers a new High.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 108000 (dashed trendline).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) gives a very clear buy signal when it breaks 35.00. Currently that shows that we've already bottomed.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Notes:
Past trading plan:
BTC's Accumulation Phase: Identifying Cycles and Support ZonesH ello,
BTC has been in accumulation since spring this year. The white dotted lines show the accumulation curves. There are multiple cycles, each with a pump and a dump arm. The cycles might be different in size, but they share the green bottom support zone where large investors prefer to buy.
Bitcoin has a bullish cross signal from the MACD indicator at the bottom. However, the current price is far above EMA 20/50/100/200. Thus, a dip might manifest to correct the price per the EMAs. There's a high probability that players will buy the dip, though and the bull run can continue.
I wouldn't buy now because of the potential dip and because the price's at the falling trendline resistance. I aim for long positions, but I'd wait for a correction first and closely monitor how the price reacts around the falling resistance.
Regards,
Ely
Bitcoin: Is the Psychological Barrier of $100,000 Within Reach?Bitcoin: Is the Psychological Barrier of $100,000 Within Reach?
Bitcoin continues its impressive rally toward the psychological barrier of $100,000, driven by both fundamental and psychological factors. The rise in its value is supported by growing adoption, institutional investments, positive market sentiment, and key developments within the cryptocurrency ecosystem.
Adoption and Acceptance
Bitcoin’s growing acceptance by businesses, financial institutions, and individual users is increasing its utility and value. As more entities begin to accept bitcoin as a form of payment, demand naturally rises, solidifying its position as a viable medium of exchange.
Institutional Investments
One of the primary drivers of bitcoin’s growth is the involvement of large institutional investors such as hedge funds, investment firms, and corporations. Their entry into the market significantly boosts liquidity and builds confidence in the cryptocurrency, attracting smaller retail investors in the process.
Planned Regulatory Changes and Strategic Reserves
Future President Donald Trump’s proposals to establish strategic reserves in bitcoin and introduce cryptocurrency-friendly regulations could be game-changing for the market. Such measures are likely to attract new market participants, driving demand and increasing bitcoin’s value.
Media and Market Sentiment
Positive media coverage, endorsements from influential figures, and expert analyses play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment. Media narratives have a substantial impact on perception and can amplify investor interest, fueling price increases.
Technological Improvements
Advancements in blockchain technology and updates to the bitcoin network are improving its efficiency, security, and scalability. These innovations make bitcoin more appealing as an investment asset, contributing to its rising value.
Macroeconomic Factors
Global economic uncertainty, inflation, and the weakening of traditional fiat currencies are pushing investors toward alternative assets. Often referred to as “digital gold,” bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a hedge against currency devaluation and a reliable store of value.
The 2024 Halving
This year, bitcoin underwent another halving – the process that reduces the reward for mining new blocks by half. This reduction in new supply, coupled with sustained or growing demand, has historically led to price increases, and the current cycle appears to be following a similar trajectory.
Infrastructure Growth and ETFs
The cryptocurrency market’s infrastructure is rapidly evolving, making bitcoin more accessible than ever. The growth of exchanges, cryptocurrency wallets, and inflows into bitcoin-based ETFs are driving demand and strengthening the market.
Seasonality and an Unstoppable Trend
Seasonality is also working in bitcoin’s favor. Historically, the final months of the year often see strong performance in the cryptocurrency market. The current upward trend seems difficult to halt, and breaking through the $100,000 level appears to be only a matter of time.
Conclusion
Bitcoin remains one of the most dynamic assets on the market, drawing interest from institutional and retail investors alike. The combination of fundamental, technological, and macroeconomic factors suggests that the rally toward $100,000 could not only materialize but also set the stage for further gains.
Will bitcoin surpass this symbolic threshold, or are there still hurdles ahead? Share your thoughts in the comments.
Is it time for alts?When secondary trendline us briken it is nice to see change of structure. Last time (red lines) it failed. This time we are close to break new secondary trendline. I can se two tops to overcome (yellow horizontal). I don't like this one higher because alts can run really hard really fast. So this one feel late to the party. I will use the lower one to change a bit of BTC into high/medium caps.
the midwit perspectiveThe +4std and the -2std iq crowd are currently shaking hands in agreement that the cycle is right translated and will top in Nov-Dec 2025.
These people are most probably correct, however...
Here's the +1std iq (midwit) take:
last top to bottom was left translated by over a year
117 months from Dec 2017 top to Mar 2020 bottom
52 months from Nov 2021 top to Nov 2022 bottom
last bottom to top was left translated by 35 weeks
122 months from Aug 2015 bottom to Dec 2017 top
87 months from the Mar 2020 bottom to the Nov 2021 cycle top
If we were to see the same type of left translation of 35-60 months after the Nov 2022 bottom, we would have seen the top already between Jul 2024 and Dec 2024 meaning either:
December 2024 could still be the December of dreams
or
$99.9k was the left translated top in Nov 2024 and we're about to enter the downtrend part of the cycle..
..OR..
it's right translated and is going to top next Nov.
p.s. just to validate my credentials here as a midwit, I meant to use the btcusd coinbase chart but accidentally used bitfinex and didn't want to redraw all the lines.
Happy Thanksgiving
ETH breakout, short term pullback, long term runThere was more than 6 months of pullback for ETH but there was a clear descending resistance for the last 6 months, every time ETH hit it, it pulled back. We had a double tap and failure to penetrate in October and early November and then 24.Nov we broke through resistance and started to run. This still seems to be early on in the run. We have seen days where ETH outperformed BTC and in fact we are trying to break down the support for BTC Dominance. You can see its clear trend up and how we are testing that support line now. If it breaks down we will likely see ETH run and the stage may be set for a flippening.
I think more likely is that support holds and BTC dominance will start to rise again around this point.
BTC Dominance:
There are many reasons BTC dominance will run but one that is common is that BTC pulls back and the rest of the market pulls back a lot harder. If BTC loses 5% a lot of alts will lose 20% often. Another way BTC dominance runs is if it breaks out and runs for big gains, already having a near a $2T marketcap now, a 5% run would add $100B of market cap for BTC.
BTC tried to break out and it rejected, there is a possiblity that we could trace this all the way back to $68-$70k here depending on the speed of descent. Also though, BTC has been strong and bullish, there is very much a chance that we consolidate and build up here and break out, so this line is really significant, its probably the difference on whether BTC dominance runs because of BTC pulling back or running hard.
BTC Chart:
ETH on the other hand, looks like it has broken out of recent multi-month resistance and seems to just be getting started, but this channel it has assumed is already showing us were we should see support and resistance as it continues to run. This looks like its early on in the breakout really but does look likely that we will pull back more here. If you see this price break top of channel, expect another run and if it breaks bottom of channel, be prepared for a noticeable pullback. In the meantime, as long as it is assuming the channel, it is ascending and bullish.
Keep an eye on BTC, we know if its not happy, generally the whole market suffers. Its hard to find profits on other assets while BTC is dumping so even if you are not trading BTC, you should be watching it.
Bitcoin can little correct and then start to grow to 100KHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some days ago entered to upward channel, where it at once fell to the support line and then continued to grow. In a short time, BTC reached the 66800 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and broke it, after which some time traded near and later rebounded to the resistance line of the channel. Then price made a correction to the support level and then made an impulse, exiting from the upward channel. Next, BTC continued to grow inside the upward pennant, where it rebounded from the support line and rose to the current support level, which coincided with the support area. Bitcoin some time traded inside the support area and later broke it, after which rose to the resistance line and then turned around. Price declined to support line of this pattern, which coincided with the 91500 current support level. But a not long time ago, it started to grow, so, now I think that BTC can little correct, to support level, and then start to grow to 100K. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
ADA Long Spot Trade (Support Zone Retest)Market Context:
ADA has retraced to a major support zone, presenting a solid opportunity for a long position. The current levels align with historical price action, suggesting a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone:
Primary: $0.89 - $0.96
Secondary: $0.70 - $0.79
Take Profit Targets:
Target 1: $1.05 - $1.16
Target 2: $1.50 - $1.60
Stop Loss:
Level: Just below $0.60
Rationale:
Support Zone: ADA is consolidating at a robust support area, where price action suggests potential for a reversal.
Risk Management: A stop loss just below $0.60 ensures protection against downside risks while allowing room for market fluctuations.
Potential Upside: The targets align with prior resistance levels and psychological barriers, providing a clear roadmap for profit-taking.
BTC Bullish pain scenarioI've been finding BTC has been following more traditional movements with the higher volumes currently being traded.
Would like to see something where we have a sustained amount of sideways accumulation allowing some more money to flow into altcoins causing mini cycles in sectors.
Would also then expect stops to be wiped out on both sides before BTC continues its move.
Hoping we make it to the 115k-120k region before cooling off.
Lets see whats to come...