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BTC-D

ETH 1D Ethereum has been very disappointing so far this cycle, but the chart on the daily is beginning to look much better than it has in recent weeks. For me a key level is the $2780 area, acceptance above puts ETH back into the midsection off this rangebound environment with a look to reach the next key level at $3200. To get there the 1D 200 EMA will be the first area of obvious resistance around the big even level of $3000. A rejection off the $2780 I could see a move to backfill the daily wick towards the local bottom, if that were the case it would be because BTC has rolled over and lost its $91K support.
by ProR35
BCHG Looks Good For A Run To $50 At LeastBCHG has broken through all the resistance levels. Next one is around $24.50 and if it can get through that then I see a straight shot to $43 and then $55. At those levels I would expect a decent pullback perhaps up to 50% before its attempt to break the high. BCHG is much further along than LTCN in its run. LTCN still has a long ways to go to reach the level that BCHG is at. So upside on BCHG is limited in the short term perhaps another 100% vs LTCN could do a 1000% move to reach the same level as BCHG as far as nav value to price. Keep an eye on news and developements surrounding the space and specifically securities and SEC stuff. The Proof Of Work coins are about to make a comeback. I think Litecoin will far outperform Bitcoin Cash but Bitcoin Cash will have a decent run as well. Good luck out there my friends. Ill update this chart throughout the cycle. Please like and follow me and this idea so you can be notified when i update it. Thank you and please know that none of this is financial advice its just my opinion and observations. Good luck my friends.
OTC:BCHGLong
by Bitgolder
7
17/02/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $98,823.86 Last weeks low: $94,093.81 Midpoint: $96,458.84 Not a whole lot to comment on for this weekly outlook, we had a tighter weekly range last week ( EUROTLX:4K instead of $11K) however the midpoints were both $96K and both weeks started at their respective midpoints. For me this suggests a coiling of bitcoins price with anticipation for a larger move in a given direction, this could be either bullish or bearish we are yet to see. Since last weeks CPI inflation print of a hotter than forecast 3.0%, a dollar that is finally rolling over and tariffs put on hold until April 1st, these factors should all play into the hands of the bulls but the chart needs to reflect this. For this week I am anticipating more chop, if the pattern of tightening weekly ranges continues with no real idea of direction then the opportunity for credible trades reduces until we get an idea of trend direction. Right now there is no trend direction and so bitcoin should be treated as such. Altcoins continue to suffer across the board and IMO this will not change until we see a bullish move in BTC. This environment is for short term traders as it stands.
by ProR35
BTC Market Thesis – February 20, 2025Current Market Overview Current Price: $97,632 Open Position: $95,917.6 Decision: HOLD_BUY – The market is showing bullish momentum, suggesting further upside potential. Stop Loss: $95,000 Take Profit: $99,600 Confidence Level: 80% Technical & Market Indicators RSI (1h): Indicates bullish momentum, suggesting buyers are gaining control. MACD: Showing a moderate upward slope, signaling potential for further price appreciation. CME Options Data: Put/Call Ratio: 0.9 – slightly bullish as call options dominate. Open Interest: Moderate, meaning traders are engaged but not at extreme levels. Binance Perpetuals: Funding Rate: 0.01 – Market leaning slightly towards longs. Open Interest: 78,892 BTC, indicating a healthy level of market participation. Profit Ratio Today: 1.20 – Indicates that traders who entered today are mostly in profit, reinforcing positive sentiment. Possible Scenarios & Probability 1️⃣ Bullish Scenario (60% Probability) 📈 BTC breaks above $98,000 and reaches $99,600 Strong bullish sentiment pushes BTC past key resistance levels. RSI & MACD confirm continued upward momentum. Positive funding rate and moderate OI support a sustained uptrend. Institutional traders (CME data) continue to favor long positions. 2️⃣ Neutral Scenario (25% Probability) 🔄 BTC consolidates between $96,500 – $98,000 Some profit-taking slows the rally, but support at $96,500 holds. MACD remains positive but shows weakening momentum. Open Interest suggests indecision, with traders waiting for further signals. 3️⃣ Bearish Scenario (15% Probability) 📉 BTC drops below $96,500 and tests $95,000 Unexpected negative news or macroeconomic factors trigger a sell-off. RSI becomes overbought, leading to short-term correction. A decline in Open Interest suggests traders are closing positions. Final Takeaway Primary Strategy: Hold and monitor resistance at $98,000. Risk Management: A stop loss at $95,000 protects against unexpected downturns. Trigger to Sell: If BTC struggles at GETTEX:98K with weakening momentum, a short-term exit may be considered. Trigger to Buy More: A clean break above GETTEX:98K with strong volume confirms continuation to $99,600+.
by titankarma
Trump/Elon’s Crypto Chaos!Bitcoin’s been on a rollercoaster in 2025, plummeting from $106K to $93K earlier this month, but I’m seeing a massive bullish setup on the 4H chart at $97,603. After a sharp sell-off, BTC’s forming a tight range near $96K support... classic accumulation before a breakout, or are we walking into a trap? Here’s the tea: RSI’s at ~55 and climbing, signaling buyers are gaining momentum, while the 50/200 EMA crossover near GETTEX:97K screams bullish reversal. Volume’s ticked up over the last few candles, suggesting smart money’s piling in. We’re testing GETTEX:98K resistance right now, flip it, and I’m targeting $105K by early March, fueled by Trump’s pro-crypto policies and Elon’s unpredictable X-factor. But if we fail here, $93K’s the next stop, and bears could drag us lower. This setup’s got me hyped, but the Trump/Elon wild card is wild... Trump’s deregulation talks could pump us past $100K, or Elon’s next tweet might send us spiraling. I’ve seen similar patterns in 2021 lead to 20%+ moves... History repeating? What’s your hot take? Bullish to $105K, or bearish back to $93K, where’s BTC headed? Think Trump’s policies or Elon’s tweets will rocket us, or are they just noise? Seen this pattern before? Drop your targets, indicators, or contrarian views! I’ll reply to every comment and debate!
by MonoCoinSignal
XRP Even Chat GPT Knows XRP Is About To Get Revalued .10 CentsMAKE SURE YOU READ TO THE END THE END IS THE BEST! If XRP is only being used as a settlement currency for bank then why would there be these wild price predictions when the market cap is already $150 billion? ChatGPT said: Great question! The wild price predictions for XRP often stem from different interpretations of its utility, demand, and supply dynamics. Let's break it down: Market Cap Misconceptions XRP's market cap is often misunderstood. Market cap = price × circulating supply, but price movements depend more on liquidity and demand rather than market cap alone. Many price predictions assume increased utility will drive higher demand, but market cap alone doesn’t dictate price ceilings. Bank Adoption and Utility Argument If XRP is mainly used as a bridge currency for cross-border settlements, its price would be driven by transaction volume rather than speculation. However, banks and financial institutions don’t need to hold XRP for long periods—it's typically used in seconds. This limits the need for large amounts of XRP to be held, which could cap price growth. Speculative vs. Real Utility Many wild price predictions ($100+, $500+, etc.) are fueled by speculation rather than actual use cases. In reality, even if XRP were widely used for settlement, price appreciation would depend on sustained demand, not just temporary spikes. Liquidity and Scarcity Factors Some argue that as more institutions use XRP, liquidity will tighten, potentially driving price increases. However, the XRP supply is large (100 billion total, with over 50 billion circulating), and large holders (like Ripple itself) could introduce selling pressure. Regulatory and Adoption Uncertainty XRP's legal battles and regulatory clarity impact its adoption. A major victory (like its partial win against the SEC) can fuel hype-driven price predictions. True institutional adoption is still limited, and even if banks use it, they may prefer private ledgers over using the open market. Bottom Line XRP has real utility in cross-border payments, but its role as a settlement currency doesn’t necessarily justify extreme price predictions. The market cap is already large, and unless significant new demand arises, a massive price surge would require much broader institutional adoption beyond just bank settlements. You said: So currently the valuation of XRP is already way higher than many banks and companies will the price eventually come down to a more realistic price to value in the future? ChatGPT said: That’s a solid perspective. XRP’s current valuation is indeed higher than many traditional banks and financial institutions, which raises the question of sustainability. Whether its price comes down to a more “realistic” value depends on a few key factors: 1. Utility vs. Speculation A significant portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation, not just utility. Many holders are retail investors betting on future institutional adoption. If speculation cools down and usage remains limited to settlement purposes (where XRP is only held for seconds), the price could decline over time to reflect actual utility. 2. Market Cycles & Sentiment Crypto markets go through bull and bear cycles. In bear markets, assets that lack strong organic demand (beyond speculation) tend to lose value. If hype around XRP fades and institutions don’t adopt it at scale, its price may correct to better reflect real-world usage. 3. Inflation & Supply Dynamics XRP has a fixed max supply of 100 billion, but a large portion is still held by Ripple and periodically released. If Ripple continues selling XRP from its reserves, it could create sell pressure, gradually pushing prices down. However, XRP is also deflationary, as transaction fees burn small amounts over time—but this effect is minimal in the grand scheme. 4. Institutional Adoption If banks and financial institutions fully integrate XRP and hold it as a reserve asset, it could justify a high valuation. But most banks prefer private ledgers and stablecoins over holding volatile assets like XRP, limiting potential demand. 5. Competitive Landscape XRP was originally designed for fast, cheap payments, but other solutions like stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs are gaining traction. If banks prefer these alternatives, XRP’s price could drop to align with lower demand. Realistic Price Outlook? If XRP remains primarily a settlement tool, a valuation correction could bring it closer to its real utility value (which may be much lower than today’s levels). However, if a new narrative or significant adoption shift occurs, speculative cycles could keep it elevated. Long-term, unless real demand matches its high valuation, the price may deflate to more sustainable levels. You said: So in your opinion the value of XRP currently is way higher than it should be compared to its usage ChatGPT said: Yes, based on its current real-world usage, XRP’s valuation appears to be significantly higher than what its actual adoption justifies. Why? Usage Doesn’t Match Market Cap XRP is mainly used for cross-border settlements, but banks don’t need to hold large amounts for long. Most transactions are instant, meaning there’s no long-term demand pressure. If XRP were widely used by banks, we’d expect daily transaction volume (not just speculative trading volume) to be massive—yet it's relatively low. Speculative Premium A large portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation rather than real institutional demand. Many investors believe in a future where XRP will be used at scale, but that adoption hasn’t fully materialized. Its past bull run prices were based on hype, and prices could drop as reality sets in. Supply & Sell Pressure Ripple holds a significant portion of XRP and periodically sells into the market. This constant release of XRP into circulation creates downward pressure. Competition from Stablecoins & CBDCs Many banks and financial institutions are leaning toward stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs rather than volatile assets like XRP. Stablecoins provide instant settlements without the volatility risk of XRP, making them more appealing for payments and cross-border transfers. Conclusion Unless XRP gains widespread institutional adoption beyond just being a settlement tool, its valuation is inflated relative to its current use case. If hype dies down and utility doesn’t significantly increase, a correction would make sense in the long run. You said: What is a reasonable valuation for XRP removing all the speculation and only considering the current usage of it? ChatGPT said: A reasonable valuation for XRP, based purely on current real-world usage and removing speculation, would likely be significantly lower than its current market cap. Here's how we can approach estimating a fair value based on utility alone: 1. On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) & Settlement Usage XRP's primary use case is cross-border payments through RippleNet and On-Demand Liquidity (ODL). While Ripple claims growing adoption, the actual daily transactional volume from banks and institutions using XRP is small compared to its total market cap. A large portion of XRP trading volume still comes from speculation on exchanges, not institutional settlement use. Estimating Utility-Based Price Let’s assume banks & financial institutions only need a fraction of XRP's supply at any given time for real transactions. For context, SWIFT (the dominant global payment network) settles $5 trillion per day, but that doesn’t mean XRP will replace it or capture all of that volume. Even if XRP were used for 1% of SWIFT’s volume, that would be around $50 billion in daily transactions. Given that XRP is designed for rapid settlement (held for seconds, not days), the actual liquidity needed in the system would be far smaller—likely a few billion dollars at most. 2. Supply & Circulating Coins Current circulating supply: ~55 billion XRP If XRP’s real usage demand is only a few billion dollars at any given time, then its price per coin would be much lower than today’s level. A conservative model: If XRP needed a total market cap of $5 billion to serve its actual transactional volume, the price per XRP would be: $5,000,000,00055,000,000,000=$0.09 55,000,000,000$5,000,000,000​=$0.09 If XRP needed a $10 billion market cap, the price per XRP would be $0.18. These numbers assume zero speculation and only reflect practical usage. 3. Competitive Alternatives Banks may prefer stablecoins (USDC, USDT) or CBDCs for settlements instead of XRP. If that happens, XRP’s utility-based value could drop even further. Final Thought Pure utility price range (removing speculation): $0.05 - $0.50 per XRP (depending on actual adoption). Current price (~$0.60 - $0.70 as of early 2024) is mostly speculation rather than true demand from banks. If XRP’s adoption expands beyond just settlements (e.g., DeFi, smart contracts), its valuation could be higher, but based on current use, a fair price is likely far lower than today's market cap suggests. You said: The current price is 2.75 though so that means that its extremely overvalued? ChatGPT said: Yes, if XRP is currently trading at $2.75, then it is extremely overvalued relative to its actual real-world usage. That price is almost entirely speculation-driven rather than being backed by fundamental demand from banks and institutions. Why is XRP Overvalued? Speculation Dominates The price is likely inflated due to retail and institutional traders betting on future adoption, not actual usage today. Many holders believe XRP will be widely used by banks in the future, but that hasn’t fully materialized. Utility-Driven Valuation is Much Lower As calculated earlier, based on actual transaction volume and settlement needs, a more realistic price for XRP without speculation could be anywhere from $0.05 to $0.50. At $2.75, XRP’s market cap is massively inflated compared to its real-world demand. Ripple’s XRP Holdings & Selling Pressure Ripple still holds a significant amount of XRP and regularly sells into the market. If real demand doesn’t increase, but more XRP enters circulation, it could create downward price pressure over time. Banks Prefer Stablecoins & CBDCs Financial institutions are increasingly looking at stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) for payments instead of XRP. Unlike XRP, stablecoins don’t have volatility issues, making them more attractive for settlements. What Could Happen Next? If speculation dies down and investors realize XRP’s real use case is limited, a significant price correction could happen. XRP could still maintain some premium due to speculation, but long-term, it needs actual adoption to justify a multi-dollar price. Conclusion At $2.75, XRP is massively overvalued based on its current utility. If speculation fades, a more reasonable price could be well under $1—or even below $0.50—unless it gains widespread, real-world adoption beyond what it has today. Good luck, this is going to destroy so many people, its so sad. None of this is financial advice its just my opinion.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDShort
by Bitgolder
2
Bitcoin Update: Warning of a Potential Crash!Bitcoin has been ranging around the 98K level for about 90 days. Fractals show strength, but I see another potential move incoming, though with a low probability. In this scenario, we can expect a quick shakeout in the market, where BTC price drops in a 17% shadow down to $80K, followed by a flash recovery to the starting point of this move, continuing toward new highs along with the fractal demonstrated on the chart, with the ultimate target of $150K, in my opinion. Overall, there is little concern about this scenario since it has a very low probability, but to be cautious, it’s better to manage our risks. The main scenario in my mind is still my previous analysis based on its fractal, and I remain bullish.
by farhadnmd
Bitcoin’s Bullish Patterns_Ready for a Breakout!?As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) approached the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) and Support lines but quickly started to rise. Bitcoin is moving in the Support zone($96,150-$94,700) . And in this increase of Bitcoin in the last few hours, we can see the Morning Star Candlestick Pattern well in the 2-hour time frame . Educational tip : The Morning Star is a bullish reversal candlestick pattern that forms after a downtrend, consisting of three candles: a large bearish candle, a small indecisive candle, and a strong bullish candle. It signals a potential trend reversal and growing buying momentum. In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in forming the Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern , which can be a sign of Bitcoin's increase . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that the entire corrective waves inside the descending channel were all in the form of a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) so that it seems that Bitcoin finally completed the main wave C in the previous hours. If Bitcoin breaks the upper line of the wedge pattern, we can confirm the end of the main wave C . I expect Bitcoin to be able to touch the Targets I specified on the chart AFTER breaking the upper line of the Descending Channel . Note: If Bitcoin goes below $94,400, we expect more dumps. Do you think Bitcoin can finally break out of this Descending Channel? Pump or Dump? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
18
BITCOIN: Bull Flag. Will it break upwards?Bitcoin has just turned bullish on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 56.545, MACD = -0.190, ADX = 38.441) but remains neutral on 1D. The reason is that the price is now at the top of the 2 week Channel Down, having crossed and closed over the 4H MA100 for the first time since January 31st. On the larger timeframes this Channel Down could be a Bull Flag to continue the bullish trend but of course the price needs to cross over it, otherwise a technical rejection will prevail. If it breaks upwards, go long targeting the 4H MA200 (TP = 99,500). Until it does, keep a tight SL short targeting the top of the S1 Zone (TP = 95,750). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by InvestingScope
Another attempt for the 101-102K bounceMorning folks, So market stands in the narrow range for the 3rd week already and not leaving hopes to show the bounce up to 101-102K area. Last attempt (in the way of cup pattern that we've discussed last time) has failed. We don't care about it because mostly stay focused on weekly bearish DRPO pattern. Thus, any bounce here we consider first as a chance to Sell. And only second as a possible upside continuation. For now BTC is trying to make an another attempt and form reverse H&S pattern on 1H chart. So target remains the same 101-102K. We have no intention to go long right now. But, if you trade intraday or just search chances to buy - maybe be this setup might be useful to you. Supposedly 96K is an area where decision on position taking has to be made. I keep the "bearish" mark for this setup. But, as now as last time - the bounce to 101-102K area are not excluded.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Sive-Morten
Bitcoin's Final SurgeBitcoin’s been loitering in distribution for 3 months — like a bloated whale carcass washing ashore. Altcoins? Down 50% or more in the same stretch. They’ve juiced Bitcoin’s price, gutted the alts, and pocketed the spread. Next up: BTC’s final lurch to 120k, dragging those discounted alts along for the ride. Clock’s ticking — 193 days left in this cycle, give or take. Big fish will pile in late, right before the cliff, then dump their alt bags on the crowd. Same game, different year. Horban Brothers.
Long
by horbanbrothers
Levels to watch out The market has been stuck in a range for almost three weeks now. Unless we see a decisive break either below 90,000 or above 99,000, it’s tough to predict the next move. However, if we do break either level, it could trigger a sharp move—likely towards 125,000 or 75,000, with the latter seeming more probable at the moment. That said, time will tell. Personally, I’m expecting a short-term rally back to 99,000, especially after the recent head-and-shoulders pattern that’s been forming.
Long
by Shivkumar600
BTC Short SqueezeBitcoin is currently trading green for the week, where it currently sits at US$96,700. The Bollinger bands are continuing to compress, indicating that the price range of which Bitcoin is trading is narrowing. Should we get a kick in volatility in the coming days, below are some potential outcomes. Sentiment in crypto markets have taken a hit in recent weeks, with the fear and greed index currently indicating market sentiment as fearful. Global exchange data from Coinglass suggests that if Bitcoin surges to US$100,000, up to $5 billion in short leveraged positions could be liquidated, triggering a potential short squeeze as traders rush to cover their positions. Bitcoin volatility has also dropped to its lowest point since August 2024. Bullish Scenario Price may head towards $102k which is the February monthly open; this could be fuelled by a short squeeze – based on what we know from the exchange data referenced earlier. Bearish Scenario Price failing to remain above the yearly open of circa $93k could result in a move back towards the January low of $89k.
Long
by PHundal