BTC Technical Analysis👀👉 Bitcoin is currently exhibiting an overextended bearish move and has reached a key support level, where we are seeing signs of a retracement. There are three specific resistance levels above the current price that could serve as potential retracement targets. I’m monitoring for a selling opportunity if price moves into one of these zones and shows a structural break to the downside. Until this price action unfolds, there is no active trade setup. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always assess your risk and consult a financial professional before making trading decisions. 📊✅
BTC-D
BTC Bitcoin Technical analysis and Trade Idea👀👉 BTC is showing a solid bullish trend on the higher time frames, and I'm closely watching for a potential buying opportunity based on key conditions outlined in the video. We'll explore the critical price action signals to watch for and how to position yourself effectively to capitalize on the next move. Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 📊✅
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BTC Breakout Watch: Big Move ($80K) Incoming? Hey everyone!
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Bitcoin (BTC) is looking strong here. It’s forming a cup and handle pattern on the 6-hour time frame and also appears to be breaking out of a symmetrical triangle. Right now, BTC is retesting this breakout level, and if it holds and bounces, we could see a powerful upward movement in the coming weeks. 📈
Target: $80K 🚀
Stop Loss (SL): $61.7K
What do you think of BTC's current price action? Are you spotting this bullish setup too? Share your thoughts and analysis in the comments below! Let’s ride this wave together!
Bitcoin is going up, short consolidation phase TA+TRADE PLANBitcoin's price action against USDT on a 1-hour timeframe with several technical indicators and key levels. Here is my technical analysis + trade plan by Blaž Fabjan
Ascending & Descending Trading Channels:
The price is moving between ascending and descending channels. This can indicate phases of higher highs and higher lows (ascending) followed by lower highs and lower lows (descending), which often signals periods of short-term consolidation or corrections.
Resistance Levels:
Multiple resistances are clearly marked on the chart around the price of $68,556.87 and $67,000. The price has struggled to break above these levels multiple times, making it a critical zone to watch for future price action.
Support Levels:
Support is visible around $61,758.48 and $60,301.68, representing strong areas where the price previously rebounded. These levels are essential for managing downside risk.
Consolidation Phase:
The price appears to be consolidating after rejecting the upper resistance line. This phase suggests market indecision or preparation for a breakout.
VMC Cipher_B Divergences:
Divergences in this indicator show potential weakening of the bullish trend, which could signal a pullback. The green and red dots suggest possible points of reversal, important for catching trend changes.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is at 52.96, indicating the market is neutral but slightly leaning toward the bullish side. If RSI breaks above 70, this could signal overbought conditions, while a drop below 30 would indicate oversold.
Stochastic Oscillator:
Currently in the oversold region (18.22), indicating a possible upward reversal soon. This could hint at a short-term bullish move.
HMA (Hull Moving Average) Histogram:
The HMA is showing a mixed trend, but the upward slope hints at mild bullish momentum that needs confirmation from price action or volume spikes.
Trading Plan
Entry Points:
Long Position: Look for a breakout above $67,000 or $68,556.87, especially with strong volume confirming the upward move. You could set a buy stop order slightly above these levels to capture the momentum.
Short Position: If the price rejects resistance and breaks below $64,500 (the recent low), this could indicate a further decline toward support levels around $61,758.48 or lower.
Stop-Loss:
For long trades, place stop-losses just below $64,500 to minimize risk in case of a fake breakout or false bullish signal.
For short trades, place stop-losses above $67,000, as a break above this could invalidate the bearish trend.
Profit Targets:
Upside Targets: First target is around $70,000 (a psychological round number and historical resistance), followed by $71,000.
Downside Targets: The initial target for a short would be $61,758.48. A break below could see prices test $60,301.68, the lower boundary of this channel.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Ensure that any trade maintains a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2. For instance, if you risk $1,000, you should aim for a reward of $2,000.
Additional Confirmation:
Wait for additional signals, such as volume spikes or confirmation from indicators like RSI or Stochastic, before entering a position. The market could continue to consolidate before choosing a direction.
Time Horizon:
Given that this is an hourly chart, these trades are more suited for short-term to medium-term traders. Ensure to adjust your stops and targets as the market evolves, and check for any upcoming fundamental events (like economic news or regulatory updates) that could impact Bitcoin's price.
By following this plan, you can manage your trades effectively, balancing risk and reward while being prepared for both bullish and bearish scenarios.
Chart with trend(MACD), momentum(DMI), and market strength(OBV)
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
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BW+ indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates MACD, DMI, and OBV indicators.
Therefore, knowledge of MACD, DMI, and OBV indicators is required.
I added the existing HA-Low and HA-High indicators to express the section to start trading more clearly.
-
The indicators have changed and been supplemented a lot over the past 6 years of using TradingView.
It was not easy to express my trading method as an indicator.
Because of this, I think there are people who unintentionally interpret my writing differently from what I think.
So, to narrow this gap, I am explaining the indicators used in my article.
Since these indicators are automatically generated by a formula, no one can change them.
Therefore, I think anyone can look at the chart and interpret it from the same perspective.
However, there may be differences in interpretation depending on one's investment style or average purchase price.
However, since everyone talks about the same point, there will be no confusion.
-
When talking to each other in the community, if you talk with the chart tool you drew, you may talk differently and there may be room for misunderstanding.
So, I think the conversation often goes in a strange direction because the conversation ends up talking about whether it is LONG or SHORT right now.
I think that charts drawn with chart tools are not very meaningful because they only show a part of the person's thoughts through chart analysis.
This is because they do not tell you the selection point using the chart tool, so interpretation or understanding is lacking.
Therefore, you cannot apply such content to your own chart.
So, since it can't be used as a trading strategy, I can't help but just say, "Oh, that could be possible."
However, if there is a chart that everyone can see and no one can change, I think it would be easier to talk and reflect each other's thoughts on my trading strategy.
I think that because of that, I can find out what I lacked and supplement it.
Not everyone sees the same thing and thinks the same, but if the basic point of the thought is the same, I think it can help me make other people's thoughts my own.
-
Anyway, I hope that this chart change will help you create a clearer analysis or trading strategy.
-
The MACD indicator added to the chart is an indicator with a modified formula from the existing MACD indicator, but the interpretation method is the same.
That is,
- If MACD > Signal, it is interpreted as an upward trend,
- If MACD < Signal, it is interpreted as a downward trend.
-
The DMI indicator added to the chart simplifies the interpretation of the existing D+, D- indicators by expressing them as lines on the ADX line.
That is,
- The section expressed in Aqua color means a downward section,
- The section expressed in Orange means an upward section.
- When ADX is above 25, it means that the strength of the upward or downward movement is strong,
- When it is below 25, it means that there is a high possibility of forming a box section or sideways section.
-
The OBV indicator added to the chart means an upward trend when each line is broken upward, and a downward trend when it is broken downward.
-
The indicator that expresses the contents explained above is the BW v1.0 indicator.
In order to see this more intuitively, the BW (100), BW (0), and Mid (50) indicators were added so that they can be expressed in the price candle section.
In addition, there are also High (80 Down), Low (20 Up) indicators.
-
It is never easy to interpret each indicator and evaluate it comprehensively.
It is especially difficult when trading in real time.
-
When interpreting the BW v1.0 indicator, it is basically divided into rising and falling based on the 50 point.
Therefore, passing the 50 point increases the possibility of a significant change in the trend.
Therefore, it seems that trading can be done based on whether there is support near the Mid (50) line generated when the BW indicator passes the 50 point, but this is not the case.
The reason is that volatility is likely to occur when a change in trend occurs.
When volatility occurs, your trading point will go up and down, so psychological pressure will increase and you may proceed with an inappropriate trade.
Therefore, a good point to start trading is the BW (0), BW (100) or HA-Low, HA-High point.
Since these indicators are generated at the boundary of the low or high point range, if you start trading based on whether there is support, you are more likely to get good results.
-
In any case, you should think in line with your average purchase price.
Otherwise, if you trade incorrectly due to psychological pressure when you get close to the average purchase price, you may end up with little profit or even a loss.
This means that when you start a new trade, it is better to start near the BW (0), BW (100), HA-Low, and HA-High indicators as mentioned above.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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The Monthly has a bullish pennant with an even higher targetThe same bullflag on the weekly chart that has a 99k breakout target morphs into a bullish pennant with an even longer flagpole on the monthly chart. If the bullish pennant were to confirm a breakout in the zone price action currently resides in, the breakout target for this monthly bullish pennant is around 115.9k! *not financial advice*
A close above the top red trendline would be very bullishShown here on the weekly chart is the weekly bullflag bitcoin has been consolidating in ever since correcting from the all time high we hit earlier this year.. For the first time since then, we now have part of a daily candle body above the top eligible top trendline of the flag and may very well close the current daily candle above that trendline for the first time which would be a very bullish development. It will be even more bullish if we can also manage to close a weekly candle above it as well but we still have another 6 days before anything like that can occur. For now a daily candle close above is still good progress which we have about 40 minutes left before the current daily candle closes (not shown here). If we were to break up from the red bullflag at this exact spot on the chart, there is some excellent bullish confluence here as you can see the measured move breakout target from here would be the exact same target as the much larger Purple bull flag we broke upwards from back in February. Both have a target around 99k. So this would indeed be a great spot for such a breakout to occur. We can also see the weekly 50 moving average(in orange) is holding very strong bounce support and should help to prevent the price action from recentering the flag/channel in the coming months as it climbs higher. *not financial advice*
Start of full-scale uptrend: 64748.70-65920.71
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
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In order to use the BW+ indicator in chart analysis, the existing HA-MS_BW+ indicator has been integrated and modified.
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The key is whether it can rise above the trend line (1).
The StochRSI indicator seems to be entering the overbought zone.
The fact that the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought zone means that the upward strength is strong.
Accordingly, there is a possibility that it will show an upward trend until it falls from the overbought zone, so you should look at the movement at the support and resistance points drawn on the chart.
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We need to check if the price can be maintained above 65618.80, which is the upper point of the HA-HIgh indicator box.
The 65920.71 point is the HA-High indicator point on the 1W chart.
Therefore, if the price is maintained above 65920.71, there is a high possibility that a stepwise uptrend will begin.
However, since the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought zone, it is expected to show a downward trend, so it is expected that support will be important around 65920.71.
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The BW (100) line is currently formed at 73072.41.
If the price rises a little more and a new BW (100) line is created, that area will be the split trading point.
Otherwise, the current BW (100) line position, 73072.41, will be the split trading point.
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If it falls below 64748.70-65920.71, the most important support and resistance point is 61099.25.
However, before that, we need to check whether there is support near 62856.30, the lower point of the HA-HIgh indicator box.
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The point of interest is whether the price can be maintained near the 64748.70-65920.71 range even after the next volatility period, around November 4th.
If not, we need to check whether it is located near 56204.13.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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BTC H4 50/100 SMA Cross Impending50sma is about to cross the 100sma which is very bullish. Price is currently holding over macro descending resistance. I expect a very minor pullback and a lot more bullish action. The daily chart still has a lot of room.
Not financial advice. Do your own DD.
Thanks for looking at the idea.
Bitcoin reached the resistance of 65800, what is the next step?Here , about 1 week ago, I announced that Bitcoin will meet the resistance of 65800 and after that we have to wait for the price reaction.
Now that we have reached here, it can be predicted that if 66,500 is broken, the upward trend will continue and we will see the short-term goals of 77,000 and 95,000.
In case of correction, the support of 59,000 is very important for the continuation of the process.
If you want to know about the future of Bitcoin, don't forget to follow and boost.
Bitcoin - Fakeout? MUST WATCH !!A recent surge in the price of BTC is sparking hope for that final impulse wave UP I've been talking about. However, there's a catch - one KEY thing will need to happen in order to convince me this is not just a fakeout, aimed at liquidating shorts.
The previous BTC update was focused on two scenarios, with the GREEN showing a possibility of realizing:
Reclaiming the moving averages in the daily is a good sign - but again, we've been falling under-and-over for the last few weeks, unable to stay above the 200d MA for longer than a few days:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin will exit from pennant and continue to fall to 59KHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago entered to wedge, where it at once rebounded from the resistance line and fell to the support line, breaking the support level. After this movement, BTC started to grow and soon reached 57600, which coincided with the support area, broke it, and made a retest. Then it a little, after which made a correction to the support level and then made an impulse up to the resistance line of the wedge, which coincided with the 64000 level with the seller zone. Bitcoin some time traded near this level and later broke it, after which even exited from the wedge, but then it started to decline inside the downward pennant. Later price broke the 64000 level and dropped to the support line of the wedge, turned around and in a short time rose to the resistance level, but a not long time ago it turned around and fell to the support line. Now, the price trades near this line and I think it can rise a little and then continue to decline, thereby exiting from the pennant. For this case, I set my TP at 59000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC/USDT - Rejection from Key Level with Bearish Continuationhello guys.
actually, btc surprised me!
Hunting Level Rejection:
Bitcoin has reached the hunting level (around $65,100), showing signs of resistance and potential reversal. The price briefly spiked into this level but faced rejection, signaling exhaustion in buying pressure.
Bearish Engulfing Potential:
If the price fails to hold the current level and shows a bearish engulfing pattern, it will likely initiate a downward move. This move would invalidate further bullish attempts in the short term.
First Target:
The first significant support zone lies around $63,100, which could act as the initial target for any downward momentum.
Final Target:
A stronger bearish continuation could drive the price toward $59,300 (the lower hunting level), aligning with prior accumulation zones and a solid demand area.
Bitcoin can exit from triangle and continue to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see that the price a few moments ago entered a downward pennant, where it soon declined to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and broke it. Then the price dropped to the support level, and even later entered the buyer zone, where it reached the support line and at once turned around and started to grow. In a short time later BTC reached the resistance line of the pennant, exited, and then made the correction. After this, the price rose to the 63300 resistance level, broke it, and even rose higher than the seller zone, but soon turned around and started to decline inside the downward triangle. Price broke the 63300 level and fell to the support level, where some time traded near and later dropped to the support line of the triangle. Soon, BTC turned around and broke the support level one more time and grew to a resistance level, but a not long time ago it turned around and fell to the support line of the triangle. So, in my opinion, BTC can rise a little and then rebound down, thereby exiting from the triangle. Also then it can continue to decline, therefore I set my TP at 61200 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
The Power of Bitcoin: How MicroStrategy’s $MSTR Soared 1,620%MicroStrategy Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSTR ) has experienced a massive surge in its stock price, climbing 15.9% on Friday's market trading and an additional 5% during Monday's premarket session. The stock broke out of a rectangular chart pattern, signaling a bullish move that could potentially lead to new all-time highs. This explosive growth is underpinned by the company’s strategic bet on Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ), which has not only outpaced the cryptocurrency itself but also the broader market, including tech giants like Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), and the S&P 500. Let's dive into both the technical and fundamental factors driving this remarkable surge.
MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Bet
MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSTR ) adopted a Bitcoin-centered strategy in August 2020 under the leadership of its executive chairman, Michael Saylor. This strategic pivot has yielded extraordinary results, with the stock gaining 1,620% since then. In comparison, Bitcoin itself has gained 426% during the same period, while the S&P 500 and the “Magnificent 7” tech giants, including Microsoft, Apple, and Nvidia, have lagged with gains of 73% and 243%, respectively.
As of September 2024, MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSTR ) holds 252,220 bitcoins, making it the largest corporate holder of the cryptocurrency. In a recent acquisition, the company purchased 7,420 BTC for $458.2 million at an average price of $61,750 per coin, further solidifying its bullish stance on Bitcoin.
Michael Saylor has made it clear that he believes Bitcoin is the ultimate asset for long-term wealth generation. His famous quote, “The only thing better than bitcoin is more bitcoin,” encapsulates the company’s philosophy. This bold strategy has clearly paid off, as NASDAQ:MSTR has consistently outperformed both the broader market and even some of the most successful tech companies.
Bitcoin Outperformance & the Broader Market
What makes MicroStrategy's performance particularly notable is its stark outperformance compared to Bitcoin and other major stocks. For example, while Bitcoin’s price has increased 426% since 2020, MicroStrategy’s stock price has skyrocketed 1,620%, leveraging the company's heavy exposure to Bitcoin as a strategic asset. This outperformance can also be attributed to the broader market sentiment toward Bitcoin, which has attracted institutional investors and long-term holders like MicroStrategy. As the company continues to acquire more BTC, it positions itself as a de facto Bitcoin ETF in the eyes of traditional market participants.
In addition, NASDAQ:MSTR has far outpaced Nvidia’s impressive 1,107% increase and Arista Networks' 650% rise over the same period. These gains have positioned MicroStrategy as one of the most successful stocks in the past three years.
Technical Analysis
From a technical standpoint, MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSTR ) has just broken out of a rectangular chart pattern, a significant bullish signal. A rectangle formation is characterized by a period of price consolidation between clearly defined horizontal support and resistance levels. In this case, NASDAQ:MSTR had been trading within a range, reflecting indecision among traders.
However, Friday’s surge confirmed a breakout above the ceiling of the rectangular pattern, signaling that the bulls have regained control. This breakout is particularly significant because it often precedes further upward movement, potentially setting the stage for a new high.
The Bullish Rectangle Pattern Explained
A rectangle formation typically occurs after an asset experiences an uptrend, which then consolidates as traders weigh the next move. In the case of NASDAQ:MSTR , the stock has been consolidating within a tight range as investors digested the company’s continued Bitcoin purchases and broader market conditions. With the breakout above the rectangle, it suggests that traders are once again optimistic, and the stock may be heading toward further gains.
As of Monday morning’s premarket session, NASDAQ:MSTR is up 5%, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
Another key technical indicator supporting NASDAQ:MSTR ’s bullish outlook is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is currently at 76.76. Typically, an RSI above 70 indicates that an asset is overbought, and caution is advised. However, during periods of strong momentum, stocks can remain overbought for extended periods, particularly during significant bullish trends.
Moreover, the stock is exhibiting a gap-up pattern in the price chart, which is a strong indicator of momentum. Gap-ups occur when the price of an asset opens significantly higher than its previous close, often indicating a shift in sentiment or the release of market-moving news. In NASDAQ:MSTR 's case, the gap-up is driven by its breakout from the rectangle pattern, as well as renewed enthusiasm for Bitcoin.
Whale Accumulation and Bitcoin’s Influence
MicroStrategy’s stock is not just benefiting from technical patterns; the underlying Bitcoin market is also providing fundamental support. Recent data shows that whale activity has intensified around Bitcoin, with large holders accumulating 2.07 billion DOGE in a single week. While this specific data pertains to Dogecoin, it underscores a broader trend of renewed interest in cryptocurrencies by large investors, which often correlates with upward price movements in both the crypto market and crypto-exposed stocks like MicroStrategy.
Conclusion:
MicroStrategy’s breakout from the rectangular pattern, combined with its solid fundamental footing in Bitcoin, suggests that the stock could be setting a course for new highs. The company’s Bitcoin strategy has proven to be a game-changer, with the stock significantly outperforming both Bitcoin and the broader market since 2020.
As Bitcoin continues to grow in institutional acceptance and more companies adopt digital assets as part of their strategies, MicroStrategy’s long-term bullish outlook remains intact. Investors will be keenly watching for the next moves in both Bitcoin and NASDAQ:MSTR , as the stock could continue to serve as a leading indicator of market sentiment around the world’s largest cryptocurrency.
Bitcoin Quest- History tends to repeat itself.
- The maximum could reach around 250k.
- The minimum could drop to about 40k.
- Remember, the longer it takes, the higher we could go.
- The graphic is straightforward as usual; just track "colors", "bubbles" and "trends."
- Keep in mind, while the future is uncertain, we can still speculate.
Happy Tr4Ding
70.3K is a nearest targetMorning folks,
So, BTC nows shows good bullish context. Downside action was limited with our AB=CD. Due to couple of bullish grabbers on weekly chart we consider 70.3K Top as the nearest target.
On intraday charts we consider 62-63.5 and 61.15K Fib levels as potentially interesting for entry.
It is just unclear in what manner the pullback happens. Big reverse H&S pattern is more in favor of 61.15K area, while gradual minor retracement could point on 62-63K... Overall context bullish and we do not consider any bearish positions by far.
Dotcom Burst vs Tech Burst- i wanted to make this chart for long but i had to wait some confirmations, because i took an higher TF.
- Right now is really interesting to compare the dot-com bubble burst in 2000 versus the actual situation.
- like always i won't talk too much about FA because everything can happen in our world :
- Aliens destroy us.
- Putin push the red button.
- Meteorite hits earth.
- Jerome H. Powell printers no more electricity.
- let's back to the chart and i will try to make it simple :
- This chart is based on a 3 Months Timeframe, so 1 columns = 3 months.
- This graph is based purely on MACD and his Death Cross ( i will call it "DC" to short it)
The Dotcom Burst :
1/ in 2000, Nasdaq took a violent dip before MACD DC. ( 12 Months before ) ( Red Vertical Line )
2/ after that MACD DC, Nasdaq continued his downtrend but the dip started to be lighter for 15 Months. (Orange Vertical Line)
3/ The Storm was over in 2002 and Nasdaq started a consolidation to prepare his next parabolic move. ( Green Vertical Line )
The Tech Burst :
1/ The real dip happened already 12 months from now (Before MACD DC). ( Red Vertical Line )
2/ The MACD DC happened already 3+ months ago from now. ( Orange Vertical Line )
3 / We are still in a downtrend and not yet entered a recovery phase.
- What we can conclude is simple :
- When MACD Death Cross. The big dip is already behind us.
- Right now nothing is really different from 2000 in matter of TA, only the big numbers are different.
- " Mastering trading is anticipating movements, following the flow in real time means you are already late ".
Happy Tr4Ding !
PS : There's also something different in matter of time if u compare those charts. if you find it.. i will congratulate you !
Bitcoin Needs Correction!!!As I had expected in the ✅ previous post ✅, Bitcoin started to pump after a Bear Trap .
Bitcoin is currently moving in the Resistance zone($63,470-$62,340) and near the upper line of the Descending Channel , and 200_SMA(Daily) .
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least the Support zone($61,840-$61,450) .
⚠️Note: The probability of forming a Bull Trap and breaking fake the descending channel.⚠️
⚠️If Bitcoin can break the Descending Channel and 200_SMA(Daily), we can expect Bitcoin to rise again to at least $66,000.⚠️
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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