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XRPUSD 📊 Technical Analysis and Trading Signal for XRPUSD by AhmadArz:
🔍 Entry Point:
Breakout Confirmation: $1.132
The breakout from the symmetrical triangle pattern on the 1-hour chart suggests a strong upward momentum, indicating the potential for a 250% profit if the trend continues as forecasted.
🛑 Stop Loss:
Level: $0.9738
Place the stop loss slightly below the breakout zone to minimize risk, ensuring that if the price reverses, losses remain controlled.
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
1️⃣ TP1: $2.200 (Initial resistance level)
2️⃣ TP2: $3.000 (Key psychological resistance)
3️⃣ TP3: $4.000 (Potential extended target for the 250% profit)
🧠 Analysis Overview:
The symmetrical triangle breakout on the XRP/USD chart signifies renewed bullish momentum in the market.
Volume Analysis: The breakout is accompanied by a sharp increase in volume, confirming the strength of the upward move.
RSI: Current RSI levels suggest room for further upside before entering overbought territory.
Trend Strength: With higher highs and higher lows forming, the trend indicates strong bullish market sentiment.
📉 Additional Notes:
Traders should monitor how XRP behaves near the $1.500 level, as this will determine whether the breakout continues.
The upward projection is based on historical support and resistance zones, coupled with a high risk-to-reward ratio.
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BTCUSDT - Altseason Gains Momentum as Dominance Drops!Bitcoin is facing significant psychological resistance in the $100,000 area, with the chart showing signs of consolidation just below this mark, indicating that the market is waiting for a catalyst to break out or pull back.
BTC dominance, which recently fell from 58%, reflects a possible rotation of capital into altcoins, suggesting the beginning of an altseason. During such periods, altcoins tend to see significant gains against BTC, especially if Bitcoin continues to range below resistance.
In the short term, Fibonacci points to levels like $97,000 and $93,000 acting as support, while a break above $100,000 could pave the way for targets like $103,000 and $110,000. The Stochastic RSI is hovering near the overbought region, indicating a possible correction before a new high.
TIA/USDT 4H Celestia is a project that has a lot of potential this Bullrun, we saw an early surge in the beginning of the year once the project was released nearly one year ago. A modular blockchain network, first of its kind is an exciting new technology and we've seen how well new projects do during their first Bullrun often outperforming their older rivals.
I would like to see the bullish pennant formation playing out now. The bearish downtrend breakout caused by a republican victory results in a breakout & retest of the BULLISH OB as new support. Now a bullish pennant has formed midway up the mini range, normally this is a continuation pattern and with the bullish narrative in play I think it's probable we see this pattern play out fully with the resulting rally hitting resistance around the $6 mark (BEARISH OB).
IF deciding to take the trade once the parameters are met a conservative 2.25R trade is in play , once the first TP is hit the larger SL can be moved to Break Even . I do believe that TIA continues to move beyond the $6 mark however there is a lot of resistance there for now. A separate trade outlook will be needed to tackle that area.
The last bullish chance of BITCOIN in short-term !!The price is currently in an symmetrical triangle, which means that if the triangle breaks on either side, the price can move in that direction. So, wait for the breakout.
Give me some energy !!
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Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTC 100k is not enough- Believe it or not.
- There's nothing at 100k.
- the trend would not be respected.
- i was here when BTC broke 10k$ for the first time.
- At that time, most traders called for a top and scared.
- BTC didn't care and went straight up to 20k$..
- i see only 3 Scenarios.
1 : Orange : BTC retrace soon, then it will delay time, then ATH will be 220-240k.
2 : Green : BTC goes to 150k, retrace to 161.8, and make a second Top around 220-240k.
3 : Red : BTC go straight to 150k$ then dip and struggle. ( i doubt on that way ).
- As always, this only my humble prediction and opinion.
- Everything can happens with FA. ( war, crises, stop internet.)
- More it will take time, more up BTC will go.
Stay S4fe
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin 2024-2025 TOPBitcoin’s market behavior follows a cyclical structure that revolves around the halving events. These halvings reduce the mining reward, creating a supply shock that typically leads to higher prices in subsequent bull runs.
Historical Patterns
Halving to Market Top (Bull Run):
Historically, market tops occur within 1-1.5 years after halvings.
Example:
2013 Halving → Peak in late 2013 (approx. 370 days post-halving).
2016 Halving → Peak in late 2017 (525 days post-halving).
2020 Halving → Double top in 2021 (343 days to the first top, 553 days to the second top).
Market Top to Bottom (Bear Market):
The bear market usually lasts around 364 days after the peak.
After this, Bitcoin enters a consolidation phase before starting a new uptrend.
Bottom to Top:
The time from a market bottom to the next top is remarkably consistent at 1057 days across multiple cycles.
Observations:
Bitcoin has shown a repetitive pattern of growth phases followed by corrections.
The length of each cycle (measured in weeks) shows that the timing between major events is relatively stable, making it possible to predict future milestones with some accuracy.
2. Predictions for 2024–2025
The chart provides specific projections for the current Bitcoin cycle based on historical data:
Next Potential Market Top:
First Peak:
Speculated for January 6, 2024, or March 24, 2024.
This mirrors the 2021 double-top cycle, where the first peak occurred ~343 days after the halving.
Second Peak (All-Time High):
Expected on September 15, 2024.
This corresponds to a potential double-top pattern, with the second peak occurring 539 days after the halving (similar to the 2021 cycle).
Price Targets:
While specific price targets aren’t marked on the chart, it seems to imply:
A potential move toward $100,000+ in the first peak (consistent with prior cycle growth rates).
A possible retracement before reaching the second peak (all-time high).
3. Key Timelines
The chart highlights several critical time intervals:
Top-to-Bottom: ~364 days.
Bottom-to-Top: ~1057 days.
Halving-to-Peak: 1–1.5 years (~343–525 days depending on the top).
Current Cycle Timelines:
Bottom: Marked in late 2022 (~$15,000).
Next Halving: Scheduled for April 2024.
Next Top (Bull Cycle Peak):
Estimated for late 2024.
4. Double-Top Scenario
The chart predicts a possible double-top structure in the next cycle:
First Top:
Occurs early in the cycle (Q1 2024).
Price may surge rapidly but face a correction before the second peak.
Second Top:
A new all-time high expected in Q3-Q4 2024.
This mirrors the 2021 cycle where Bitcoin hit ~$65,000 in April, corrected to ~$29,000, and reached ~$69,000 in November.
5. RSI Insights
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) at the bottom indicates Bitcoin’s current momentum:
An RSI above 70 suggests an overbought condition, implying potential short-term corrections.
However, in previous cycles, sustained RSI in the overbought zone often coincided with parabolic price movements during bull runs.
Expect significant pullbacks after major peaks, providing re-entry opportunities.
Conclusion
The chart uses historical consistency in Bitcoin’s price cycles to project future movements. While no prediction is guaranteed, Bitcoin’s cyclical nature and the reliability of its halving-driven supply dynamics provide strong reasoning for these forecasts. If the cycle plays out similarly, 2024-2025 could bring significant opportunities for long-term holders and traders alike.
ETHUSD - Monthly RSI Ready to Extend Ethereum's Monthly RSI compared to BTC's shows a non extended state and I expect the RSI to move up towards the green circle.
I think a lot of money will flow from BTC's large current move into smaller coins, the largest of the smaller ones being ETHUSD.
ETH will lead the altcoin market run.
Bullish
Monthly chart
Cardano ADA - 200D SMA Bull Regime DetectionTo view script:
Understanding the chart
Bullish Regime:
The price is currently above the 200D SMA, indicating a bullish regime and a regime duration of 16 bars.
Strong Momentum:
Large distance from price to both SMAs (119.62% and 141.38%) suggests powerful upward momentum
Historical Price Action
Long Bear Market (2022-2023):
Extended period below 200 SMA
Multiple failed attempts to break above
Declining 200 SMA indicating strong bearish trend
Accumulation Phase (Mid-2023):
Price consolidated around 200 SMA
Reduced volatility
Built base for current move
Recent Breakout:
Clean break above 200D SMA
Sharp increase in volume and momentum
BTC thesis with RAG AI by Titan_KarmaThe current market conditions for Bitcoin (BTC) present a compelling case for entering a long position, especially given the absence of open positions at this time. Recent bullish trends, including Bitcoin's approach to the $100K milestone and a significant increase in hashrate, indicate a strong upward momentum. Additionally, the growing institutional interest in Bitcoin, evidenced by its innovative applications in traditional financing, suggests that BTC is gaining traction across various sectors. As we assess the market over the next four hours, it is crucial to monitor technical indicators and market sentiment closely to identify optimal entry points.
From a financial perspective, BTCUSDT is currently trading at $97,501.40, with a trading volume of 28,787.55. The mixed long-short ratios among traders indicate a cautious sentiment, suggesting that while some traders are bullish, others are hedging against potential downturns. This mixed sentiment reinforces the need for a careful approach, particularly as the market may experience volatility. Setting stop-loss orders is advisable to protect against potential downturns, especially if the price approaches critical resistance levels.
Technical analysis reveals a high daily RSI of 79.29, indicating that BTC may be overbought, which could lead to a price correction. However, the 1-hour and 15-minute charts show lower RSI values (45.73 and 36.09, respectively), suggesting potential for short-term recovery. Resistance levels are identified at $98,924.61 and $100,321.24, while support levels are at $96,626.73 and $95,725.48. Monitoring these levels will be essential for making informed trading decisions.
Historically, BTC has shown strong upward trends, with significant price increases observed over the past few days. The latest data indicates a high of $98,988.00 on November 21, 2024, followed by a slight pullback. Given the overall bullish sentiment and recent price action, entering a long position appears favorable, particularly if the price holds above the support level around $97,000. Volume trends will also provide further confirmation of the strength of this upward movement.
In terms of risk management, it is essential to set appropriate stop-loss orders based on historical performance and volatility. The recent trades indicate that confidence levels of 85% and 87% have previously resulted in no profit trades, necessitating a reassessment of confidence scoring. Implementing a mechanism to penalize no-profit trades will help refine future trade recommendations and improve overall profitability.
In conclusion, the current market conditions for Bitcoin suggest a favorable environment for entering a long position. By closely monitoring technical indicators, market sentiment, and historical performance, traders can make informed decisions to capitalize on potential price movements.
TRADE RECOMMENDATION
json { "OUTCOME": "OPEN_LONG", "STOP_LOSS": "$96,626.73", "TAKE_PROFIT": "$100,321.24", "CONFIDENCE_LEVEL": "80%", "EXIT_POINT": "$98,924.61", "ENTRY_CRITERIA": { "TIMEFRAME": "1h", "RSI": "below 70", "MACD": "above 0, 15m" }, "CURRENT_OPEN_LONG_POSITIONS": 0, "CURRENT_OPEN_SHORT_POSITIONS": 0 }
Technical Analysis of BTC/USDT Charthello guys.
Cup and Handle Pattern: The chart displays a well-formed cup and handle pattern, a classic bullish continuation signal. The handle has broken out, confirming the pattern.
Target Projection: Using the depth of the cup, the target of the pattern is projected around $188,000.
Fibonacci Levels: Price has surpassed the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $113,628, a strong bullish signal, with further resistance near $145,120 (0.5 Fibonacci extension).
Breakout Confirmation:
The breakout from the handle channel confirms bullish momentum.
The price is trading above the psychological level of $90,000, supported by high trading volume.
Trend Outlook: A bullish macro trend is indicated, driven by long-term upward momentum.
BTC The State NowHere’s a quick market update with a timeline and trend analysis :
- As always, it’s as simple as checking the colors and trends in the graphic.
- We’re currently in a phase of solid consolidation.
- The bull run hasn’t started yet, but in time, BTC is expected to go parabolic, as it usually does.
- The current cycle is taking longer to play out.
- The differences between 2020 and 2024 corrections are clear. Back in 2020, BTC was still maturing, not widely accepted, and impacted by the Covid crisis.
- In 2023, BTC has gained more recognition with ETFs, attracted wealthy investors, and is evolving into a true store of value.
- For these reasons, TheKing may be retracing, but it’s doing so with power and resilience.
- Everyone wants a piece of the cake, which is why Bitcoin's price remains elevated.
Just HODL and you'll be rewarded in the long run.
Happy Tr4Ding
Bitcoin: $300k by 2025Long-term Bitcoin analysis using a logarithmic scale. As shown, Bitcoin remains in the long term trend lines set by the top and bottom of the 2014 bear market, if Bitcoin is to remain in these trend lines, it needs to start making an upwards move in early 2019. I have also drawn a few curves that Bitcoin could follow if it is to fall below the trend line.
My first price target is $100k which I expect to be met between mid 2020 and mid 2021. I then anticipate another 12-16 month bear market before finally resuming the bull market and heading towards $300k between 2025 and 2026; I have chosen $300k as that would put Bitcoin on a slightly smaller market cap than gold assuming that 20 million coins had been mined ($6 trillion).
Finally, I have indicated accumulation zones in green, currently between $5.7k and $7k, I expect to move out of this range within the coming few months. Then similarly in the 2022/2023 bear market I expect Bitcoin to fall 60-70% and accumulate between $30k and $40k range.
BTCs Bear Market Bottom in SightA couple of weeks ago, as the Crypto King slid down the slope of investor hope breaking below the 17k price level, it was interesting to see as its sibling in many ways, Ethereum, failed to make a new low to accompany it. This must not be too unsettling as the corrective pattern Bitcoin was exhibiting was largely unresolved, standing in stark contrast to Ethereums corrective pattern which seems to have already found rock bottom at least for the time being.
While BTC is still trending below the long-term EMAs, price is starting to accumulate and the bearish move could be losing momentum. A rise and close above the EMAs will confirm the start of a rising market. HAPPY TRADING:)
$btc Weekly Analysis Historically, price between these green lower level consolidation is a low risk buy for long term hodlers. But as you can clearly see, bitcoin is heading for lower and lower volatility until one day the trend breaks.
If you scroll right you can see the bull band and bear band come to a point.... what will happen then God only knows. If lower band breaks and we retouch the previous resistance at 7k, obviously my statement is void because my trend lines are broke.
Also the whole c0vid-crash is so weird to me, was it a red herring, does the support price achieved (around) 3/18/20 still hold value even though it could be a 'red herring'? I say absolutely it matters and we should incorporate that support price in our charting and calculations.
DISCLAIMER======= ' [ ]
My Log regression is not calculated with anything but the curve tool, please take it with a grain of salt, if i have any algebra friends with knowledge of logarithmic regression please feel free to reach out as your input would be greatly appreciated.
Alikze »»XRP | Wave 3 bullish supercycle scenarioIn the weekly time, a complex behavior and movements are forming in the ascending phase, which, according to the overall structure, is in the form of an ascent from the beginning of the movement. According to the bottom of the 0.10 range, a 5-wave structural correction has been formed and the upward movement has also gone through a complex cycle and completed this correction in the form of a three-wave at the 0.38 fibo of the previous wave. Therefore, according to the movement behavior in the form of a super cycle, it should be in the 3rd wave of its super cycle. The invalidity limit of the analysis is 0.2867, which can lead to correction of this movement structure up to 0.23 Fibo. Therefore, according to the current structure, which is a complex upward movement in the form of 3 waves, and sharpie movements can be seen from it, it will have the ability to grow up to the specified areas and even higher goals up to the limits of 13-18 and 34 dollars. which should be reviewed and updated step by step.
But in the lower time, it will have the ability to grow up to the supply area and then up to the previous major ceiling.
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