BTC BREAKOUTA preliminary look at the ongoing--perhaps engineered--collapse since the Bybit cold wallet fiasco...
The retracement to the $90K range, expected by many, from the ATH of 1/20 finally seems to have broken price action out of the prolonged compression in which has been stuck for over a month now. Where it's far from over, a couple of things stand out.
Presuming price action doesn't continue past the wick to just under GETTEX:87K in the next two days (time of writing: 14:00 UTC on 2/25), we could be looking at an interesting Double Bottom formed with the low of 11/14/24.
Given the loss of GETTEX:92K , we can fairly conclude that BTC has fallen back into a greater volume profile, one I have anchored here at 10/10/24, a prominent Swing Low. Bullish case : price action moves back quickly over the VAL and regains support over the value area POC and VWAP.
Bearish case : Price action is rejected at the VAL and continues to the next level of support. (High 70's? A retracement to $77K would fill the noteworthy CME Gap in that area.)
What ultimately makes or breaks the case for a 2025 Bull Run for BTC and crypto is a resumption of the interest in space that has characterized previous Post-Halving Years. That has been lacking so far in 2025.
BTC-D
$BTC Current Decline Analysis - 2/25/2025Update... 2/25/2025
As projected, Wave (e) has technically been completed.
Does this mean the correction is over? The answer is no, for the following reasons:
If the rebound holds, we can say the current 5-wave decline structure is complete. However, there's a possibility that the structure could evolve into a 7-wave formation. In this case, we need to watch for Wave (f), which could conclude at the $93,200 level (f = 61.8% a) or the $96,67x level (f=a).
Let's see how it plays out!
Cheers!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #BTC
Bitcoin can continue to decline inside downward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. A short while ago, the price started to rise within a pennant and soon reached the resistance level, aligning with the seller's zone. After breaking this level, BTC continued upward, testing the resistance line of the pennant before reversing and beginning a decline. Not long after, Bitcoin dropped, breaking out of the pennant to the downside and even dipping below the 101900 level before quickly recovering. The price then climbed to 106500 points but soon pulled back to the buyer's zone and dropped even lower, breaking through the resistance level once again. Following this move, BTC reversed direction, made a strong impulse up to the resistance level, and then started declining within a downward channel. Inside this channel, the price fell to the buyer's zone and attempted to bounce but failed, rapidly returning to the buyer’s zone, which coincided with the support level. After that, it rebounded, reached the resistance line of the channel, and then corrected downward. At the moment, Bitcoin is still declining inside the channel. I expect a slight rebound before further downside movement toward the support line of the channel, breaking the support level. In this scenario, my target is set at 92200 points, which aligns with this line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin's Unbalanced move with the US electionsThe overall trend is still bullish, but the market needs to rebalance at $86,686 before it can push to new highs. Right now, the price action is not respecting bullish structure and is moving sideways in a consolidation phase.
The market does not move in a straight line. Every strong move needs to be balanced before continuing. The price left behind inefficiencies during the last expansion, and the market seeks to correct these before the next leg up. Liquidity is key. Right now, there is an imbalance that needs to be filled, and resting liquidity below must be taken before the market can resume its upward trend.
Smart money is not buying at current levels. They need better pricing and the market naturally moves to levels where institutional interest is highest. That level is around eighty-six thousand six hundred eighty-six, where a large amount of liquidity is positioned. The market is likely to dip into this level, take out weak-handed buyers, and trap sellers before pushing higher.
A ten percent drop from here would bring the price into that area, where real accumulation can take place. Until then, any short-term rallies are likely to be liquidity grabs rather than true continuation.
Please do not forget that this is a daily chart and we can see more liquidity grabs before reaching the target. This is an idea and nothing in the future is certain. With unexpected news we can see unexpected moves.
COINBASE:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD KRAKEN:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT28H2025
HelenP. I Bitcoin may correct to support level and rebound upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Analyzing the chart, we can observe that the price initially climbed to the trend line before reversing and dropping to the resistance level, which aligned with the resistance zone. After spending some time trading near this level, the price made a corrective move downward, briefly breaking the level before bouncing back up. Following this, BTC once again tested the trend line before falling to the support level, breaking through the resistance level in the process. The price dipped slightly below this area but then made a sharp upward move toward the 101500 resistance level before starting to decline. Bitcoin then dropped to the support level, immediately rebounded, and attempted to rise, but eventually fell back to the 94200 level. After this, the price started to recover, rising close to the trend line before turning downward again. At this point, I anticipate that BTCUSDT will move down to the support level before beginning a new upward push toward the trend line. Therefore, I have set my goal at 98800, which aligns with this trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTCUSDTBTCUSDT is still in an uptrend. There may be a correction at this time. If the price cannot break through the 107279 level, it is expected that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will drop. Consider selling in the red zone.
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Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
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Bitcoin Rejection at Resistance: Potential Drop to 94,825This BTC/USD 1-hour chart highlights a key resistance zone around 96,400, where price has tested and failed to break through. A rejection from this level suggests potential downside movement. If the price confirms rejection at resistance, a bearish move toward the target zone near 94,825 is likely. The overall setup indicates a possible short opportunity if resistance holds.
Resistance : Around 96,400 – 96,600
Target: 94,825
BITCOIN Is this a healthy Bull Cycle pullback or new BEAR CYCLE?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has broken below the $90k barrier, reaching so far today 89000. The market is undeniably bleeding and this is roughly a -19% price decrease from January's All Time High (ATH). Talks about the end of this Bull Cycle have resurfaced again, but is this the start of a new Bear Cycle or simply a usual technical pull-back during a Bull Cycle?
Well we can find the answer by examining the 3 most recent Bull Cycles. As you can see, such declines are common during Bull Cycles, and they've been very well present on the current (2023 - 2025) Bull Cycle as well.
Going back to the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle, we can see four -40% corrections, with an average Cycle decline of -35.28%. The average in the following Bull Cycle (2019 - 2021) declined to -26.12% with many -30% corrections this time. On the current Cycle, the average is so far -23.60% with the vast majority of corrections being around -20%, which is exactly what we are up against at the moment.
As you realize, the corrections have been greater in the past, which is natural as so were the total Cycle gains, so the higher the rallies, the stronger the corrections have been. As Bitcoin started to normalize, become mainstream and adopted, the Cycles returns started to diminish, offering subsequently smaller/ more manageable pull-back phases.
As a result, it is very likely for BTC to be experiencing at the moment a typical Bull Cycle pull-back and equally probable not to diverge much from the -20% mark of the current Cycle standard.
But what do you think? Is this the start of a new Bear Cycle or just a Bull Cycle pull-back? And if it's the latter, will it stop around the current -20% levels? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin(BTC): Sellers Are Dominating / Final Drop Incoming!Finally, we got our breakdown where, after touching 200EMA on the 4-hour timeframe, we had a 10% drop ever since.
This breakdown is not just a liquidity grab, as we can see but a full-scale movement where now our next target is $85K (which is the 200EMA on the 1D timeframe).
Swallow Team
USDT.D UpdateByBit Hack & Tariffs
People blame the news, but the charts always tell the story. I didn’t expect us to break above that macro trendline again, but I was wrong. Many predicted this move—kudos to them (mentioned everyone on X)
I’m still long (bullish) but have both scenarios marked in case there’s weakness in the next relief bounce.
Look at the previous chart for more...
BITCOIN Drops Below Major Support - Is $93,000 the Next Target?COINBASE:BTCUSD has decisively broken below a key support level, signaling a potential shift in momentum. The recent price action shows a rejection at this broken support, now acting as resistance, indicating that sellers are regaining control. This rejection reinforces the bearish outlook, as failed attempts to reclaim the level suggest continued downside pressure.
If bearish momentum persists, BTC could extend its decline toward the $93,000 support zone, a key level where buyers may attempt to step in. However, a sustained move back above the resistance zone would invalidate the bearish setup, signaling a potential shift in momentum. In this scenario, buyers could regain strength, possibly driving the price higher and negating the bearish bias.
Traders should remain cautious and monitor price action around these key levels to confirm directional bias before committing to a position. Risk management remains essential, given the volatility of BTC/USD.
shortI've been cautioning about a possible downturn ever since the market hit 100k last December. The market has been in a coiling phase, trapping many traders in the process. There's a strong chance Bitcoin might close below 90k today. From here, we could either see a sharp drop to around 75k, or a brief pullback to the 93-94k range before ultimately dropping to 74k.
BTC WILL got to 145k+ arround 24 march imo in 2021 we had a 30% drop to support levels as long as we stay above 81k bullmark is still intact
i see btc going to 145k+ end march, this is a big shakeout imo, bottom i dont know can be 89k can be 81k im bullisch mid term dont get shaking out,
things chance if we go below 80k then i think we are in a bearmarkt
btc schould hit 100k arround 3 march after the fake sol fud unlock pump event after imo
Be careful with BTC !!!The price drops to around 93K dollars and then pumps to 97K dollars.
Give me some energy !!
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❗Disclaimer
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTC roadmap in Hourly TimeFrames (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
This structure is not yet complete, and Bitcoin hasn't trapped enough liquidity. Therefore, we can expect it to reach the green zone before moving upward. We still need to wait for this chart to develop. The red zone is a potential area for price rejection to the downside.
Given the time correction that has occurred, we have updated the green zone.
Let's see what happens.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
CYCLE 4 | LOG Trend Lines Chart - For Fun!Quick post looking at how BTC has historically respected 'log trend lines and how they may affect BTC future price action.
Will be fun to see how this model holds up over cycle 4 and future BTC cycles (view on a computer and use the future price action tools to see what happened past todays post date).
Bitcoin Overextended? Key Levels & 15-Min Chart Setup Revealed!📈 Bitcoin seems overextended right now. 🔑 In my opinion, it's testing key support levels. I'm watching for a retrace into the midpoint of the previous price swing for a potential short opportunity. 🎥 In the video, I break down key insights on the trend, market structure, and price action, and show exactly what I'm looking for on the 15-minute chart for an entry. 🚨 Not financial advice! 📉
Bitcoin BTC Breaking Structure? Key Levels & Trade Setup!👀 👉 In this video, we analyze Bitcoin (BTC) and its recent price action. The four-hour chart shows a bearish break of structure, and my short-term bias remains bearish. I'm waiting for a short entry, aiming for previous lows highlighted in the video. This is not financial advice.