Bottom Still Not in, Drop could hit low 70kBTC is falling due to markets and investor fear. The Bottom still hasn't travelled the length of the the FVG on the Weekly Chart that will be attractive to smart money and institutional investors
When looking at the Historical Data it shows that the price had a pullback and found resistance at the Weekly 21 day RMA .
Currently that looks like a point where Resistance once again will be established when combined with the FVG on the Weekly, Price will likely fall below and recover to hold the 21d RMA
BTC-D
Dead Cat Bounce BTCUSDT🚨 High-Risk Analysis 🚨
This setup isn’t for the faint-hearted. It’s like trying to catch falling knives while blindfolded. But for those who thrive on risk—here’s the analysis.
📉 We've reached the second bottom.
(No one truly knows how deep the rabbit hole can go…)
Despite the uncertainty, we take control of our trade, set a strict stop-loss, and see if our cat still has one more jump left.
🔥 Factors in Favor of a Bounce:
✅ Deviation from the sloping trendline
✅ Formation of a second bottom
✅ Reversion to the mean price
✅ Approach to a major level, allowing for a tight stop-loss and an optimal risk-reward setup
✅ Candle wicks signaling potential price movement
⚠️ Bearish Risks:
Strong trend pressure could push lower
Lack of volume may fail to drive momentum
Final Thoughts:
This remains a high-risk trade, but with a strong profit potential, as long as stop-loss discipline is maintained.
🎯 Good luck to those taking the risk. Victory will be ours! 🚀🔥
Possible top for BTC for this cycle?Trying to see what the bullish outlook is for #BTC, however I am finding a lot more bearish arguments at this stage then bullish.
Looking at the Daily, Weekly and Monthly Chart:
- RSI printing Bearish Divergences
- Failing to break above the heavy pitch-fork channel formed since 2017 Highs through to the highs in 2021.
Daily:
- 50MA is approaching closer and looks to roll back around.
- Super Guppy band is starting to tighten and turn neutral.
- 5th Wave of Elliot has finished, with a truncated top.
- Double top pattern
- Wyckoff Distribution looks to be in play
Of course if we can break out of this massive channel, this bearishness is no longer valid.
What case for Bullishness can you give me for BTC?
$BTC: Key Levels to Watch in the MarketKey Levels to Watch in the Market
📉 Bybit hack aftermath:
Destroyed market sentiment
Shook institutional confidence
Killed the national reserve idea (US states considering Bitcoin reserves have now canceled their votes)
🚀 The last push to $99K was all Michael Saylor, spending SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B alone.
Is he insane? Buying at the top of the market?
Painful Consolidation Ahead?
We’re sitting at $91K—a crucial support. If Bitcoin fails to hold this level, expect a freefall to $85K, then possibly $81K (major support zones).
From there, Bitcoin can either:
✅ Bounce into a relief rally
❌ Break down into a full bear market if it falls below Support 3
Tough Times for Crypto
Meme coin frenzy scared off retail investors after massive losses.
Presidents rugging people doesn’t help trust in the industry.
Trump’s tariff policies could push inflation up, forcing the FED to hike interest rates.
Any Good News? Nope.
📉 SPX500 is also dropping.
🔍 TruthLabs warns that if a bear market starts, most exchanges and DeFi protocols won’t survive —they aren’t backed 1:1. This could trigger the worst bear market ever.
(See their warning here: x.com)
Final Thoughts
⚠️ Watch $91K—if it breaks, exit the market and wait. No need to get rekt in this toxic environment.
And pray that Tether has enough liquidity to handle the mass exodus. Put your funds on Binance or another reputable exchange.
🔍 DYOR
BITCOIN Great Investment Opportunity! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN keeps falling down
In a strong correction move
But the coin will soon hit a
Massive key horizontal
Demand level of 72,500$
From where a bullish
Rebound and a move up
Is likely to happen
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Biggest support at ETHBTC, the end of the fall? Will Ethereum end its downtrend? Ethereum has been quite weak for a long time and is currently at an important support level. If it breaks down further, a sharp decline may continue, but if it holds the support, the upcoming period could be more positive.
2018 and 2021 crypto rally started from this support. Will be again?
Many cryptocurrency dominance charts, as well as Nasdaq and stock charts too, showing the same pattern. Is the reversal starting?
We’ll see.
This is not investment advice. Please do your own research.
Wishing you best.
-YusufDeli
OTHERS.D at important support, crypto rally coming?Upcoming period could be more positive?
Many cryptocurrency dominance charts, as well as Nasdaq and stock charts too, showing the same pattern. Is the reversal starting? Check my other analysis too.
We’ll see.
This is not investment advice. Please do your own research.
Wishing you best.
-YusufDeli
TOTAL Marketcap at important support?Upcoming period could be more positive?
Many cryptocurrency dominance charts, as well as Nasdaq and stock charts too, showing the same pattern. Is the reversal starting?
We’ll see.
This is not investment advice. Please do your own research.
Wishing you best.
-YusufDeli
BTC trend support?Will BTC end its downtrend? Bitcoin coming to an important support level. If it breaks down further, a sharp decline may continue to other support, but if it holds at support (77500), the upcoming period could be more positive.
Many cryptocurrency dominance charts, as well as Nasdaq and stock charts too, showing the same pattern. Is the reversal starting?
We’ll see.
This is not investment advice. Please do your own research.
Wishing you best.
-YusufDeli
Positive days coming? ETH Crypto MarketWill Ethereum end its downtrend? Ethereum has been quite weak for a long time and is currently at an important support level. If it breaks down further, a sharp decline may continue, but if it holds the support, the upcoming period could be more positive.
Many cryptocurrency dominance charts, as well as Nasdaq and stock charts too, showing the same pattern. Is the reversal starting?
We’ll see.
This is not investment advice. Please do your own research.
Wishing you best.
-YusufDeli
Double Top Breakdown & Key Support Level📊 $BTC/USDT Market Update – Double Top Breakdown & Key Support Level
Welcome to today’s analysis! Let’s break down the Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) chart, focusing on the double top pattern and key levels.
⸻
🌐 Overview: Double Top Formation & Breakdown
📉 CRYPTOCAP:BTC has formed a double top pattern and has broken the neckline (yellow level).
🔄 Current Scenario:
• The double top pattern suggests a bearish move, with a projected target at the green support level.
• The green support zone aligns with the previous ATH from the last bull run, making it a key area for potential price stabilization.
• If buyers step in at this support, we could see a bounce and possible bullish reversal.
⸻
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🟡 Neckline (Broken Support): Confirmed breakdown, acting as new resistance.
🟢 Support Zone: Green Level (Previous ATH, potential stabilization area).
⸻
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📌 Bullish Scenario (Support Holds & Price Bounces Up)
• If CRYPTOCAP:BTC stabilizes at the green support, buyers may step in, leading to a potential recovery move.
• Confirmation of bullish strength could come from a higher low formation at this level.
📌 Bearish Scenario (Break Below Green Support)
• If CRYPTOCAP:BTC fails to hold the green support zone, further downside could occur, potentially testing lower support areas.
• A confirmed breakdown below this level would signal continued bearish momentum.
⸻
📌 Conclusion
CRYPTOCAP:BTC has broken the neckline of a double top pattern, and its projected target aligns with the green support zone (previous ATH level). This area is critical for potential price stabilization—if buyers defend it, we could see a rebound and bullish continuation. However, if it breaks down, further losses may follow.
BTC Accumulation Zone: Technicals & Cyclical Entry StrategiesBitcoin’s long-term macro structure does not currently align with bear market conditions as defined by sustained price decay below key moving averages or a violation of multi-year structural support. Presently, the market exhibits characteristics of a consolidation phase within a broader uptrend, presenting asymmetric opportunities across micro, medium, and macro timeframes for participants who anchor decisions to quantifiable support/resistance zones, Fibonacci retracements, and volume-weighted price anchors. The current price regime between $70,000 and $80,000 represents a high-probability accumulation zone, validated by the incomplete Wave 5 extension (post-election rally), which implies unresolved cyclical momentum, historical fractal patterns suggesting Wave 5 extensions often retrace 38.2–50% of Wave 3, on-chain metrics such as dormant supply accumulation (declining exchange reserves) and rising HODLer net positions signaling smart money redistribution, and risk-reward asymmetry tied to the 78,000–73,000 zone’s alignment with the 2024 realized price (~$69,000) and the 200-day moving average. Position management should prioritize a dollar-cost averaging strategy within the 70,000–80,000 zone, weighted toward Fibonacci retracement levels (78.6%, 61.8%), and volatility-adjusted sizing using the Average True Range to align risk per trade with portfolio volatility targets. Behavioral risks such as retail panic (measured by Fear & Greed Index extremes) and media-driven FUD create liquidity voids exploitable by informed participants, while Bitcoin’s cyclical patterns (halving-driven supply shocks, four-year cycles) mirror 2013–2017 fractals, underscoring the asset’s asymmetric return profile. Disciplined investors recognize that volatility is the premium paid for non-correlated alpha, and Bitcoin’s current structure—anchored by on-chain fundamentals and cyclical tailwinds—rewards systematic, mathematically rigorous strategies focused on position sizing, risk management, and predefined triggers. Markets oscillate between fear and greed, and the 70,000–80,000 zone represents where capital is deployed by those who understand that risk is managed, not avoided, and that asymmetric opportunities arise from preparation rather than prediction. Ignoring noise and trusting data-driven analysis remains critical to navigating this phase.
Alex Kostenich,
Horban Brothers.
BTC Time to FLY.As of now according to weekly chart i can see that the Market is on that resistance level of its channel, so what i think here is that the Market will goes according to its history, probability is market will retest 50 MA and will show the new high, after that it will move towards channel's support level.
So According to me, its the best time to be Bullish, or have some spot in portfolio.
BTC Warning Time .As of now according to weekly chart i can see that the Market is on that resistance level of its channel, so what i think here is that the Market will goes according to its history, probability is market will retest 50 MA and will show the new high, after that it will move towards channel's support level.
So According to me, its the best time to be Bullish, or have some spot in portfolio.
ONDObeen looking at this for a while... a strong and must to be added on spot portfolio
structures across most of alts are invalidated... BTC and ETH are taking their key levels and we are in the final stage of capitulation
will reupdate all the charts (I'm holding) after the dust settles
Bull Run isn't over... wait for consolidation and we can have our alts rally in a few weeks
Secure profits of SHORTBitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis – March 10, 2025
Chart Overview & Key Insights
This is a daily timeframe BTC/USDT chart on Bybit, showcasing a confluence of indicators including the BitcoinMF PRO signals, standard error bands (not Bollinger Bands!), Fibonacci levels, and support/resistance zones. Below, the Fisher Transform indicator is displayed for trend confirmation.
🔍 Current BTC Price Action & Key Observations
Price: $79,404 (-1.60%)
BitcoinMF PRO last short signal hit take profit (TP) → This often results in buy pressure as shorts take profits and exit, creating demand.
A new short signal is forming, but it’s in a riskier position:
Shorting too late into a move can be dangerous, as the market tends to reverse to hunt late shorts.
Price is already near key support zones (~$80,133 and lower at $73,240).
Linear Regression (LR) Channel: Price is currently testing the lower boundary, which often acts as support.
Volume Analysis: Increasing red bars show strong selling pressure, but potential buyer defense near key levels.
📉 Fibonacci & Support/Resistance Levels
🔻 Key Supports:
$80,133 (Short-term support)
$73,240 (Stronger support)
$65,485 (Major support)
🔺 Resistance Levels:
$86,163 (First target if price rebounds)
$92,957 (Major resistance)
🛠 Fisher Transform Indicator (Bottom Panel)
The Fisher Transform is deep in the oversold zone, which historically indicates a high probability of reversal.
If the blue line starts turning upward, it can indicate a bounce incoming.
Right now, Fisher is at extreme levels, meaning that while more downside is possible, a reversal could be forming soon.
📉 CME Gap Around $70K – What It Means
CME gaps occur when Bitcoin futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) close for the weekend and reopen at a different price.
A well-known market phenomenon is that Bitcoin tends to "fill" these gaps over time.
There is a gap in the $70K region, meaning Bitcoin may be magnetized toward that level before a major reversal.
🔍 How This Affects the Current Market?
Current BTC Price: $79,404
CME Gap Zone: $70,000–$72,000
Major Support Zones: $73,240, then $65,485
🛠 Possible Scenarios
1️⃣ BTC moves down toward $70K to fill the CME gap before bouncing.
This is a logical move, especially as Bitcoin is already in a downtrend.
Traders should be cautious of a liquidity grab below $73K.
2️⃣ If BTC doesn’t drop immediately, a short squeeze could come first.
Many late shorts have entered the market (as seen in open interest data).
A squeeze up to $86K– GETTEX:92K could trap them before Bitcoin eventually moves down.
📊 CME Gap Probability in the Current Context
🔹 Likelihood of BTC filling the $70K CME gap: 8/10
🔹 Before that, BTC could see a bounce (short squeeze): 7/10
🧠 What’s the Next Most Probable Move?
📊 Probability Scale (1-10)
Next Move Probability: 7/10 for a bounce before further downside
📉 While BTC is in a downtrend, several factors indicate that shorting now is riskier than before:
Last BitcoinMF PRO short hit TP → Buy pressure from short profit-taking.
Extreme oversold Fisher Transform.
Price sitting near critical support ($80K zone).
🔹 Possible Scenario:
Short squeeze to $86K before any further drop.
If $86K gets rejected → A continued downtrend to FWB:73K or lower.
📢 Conclusion & Trading Strategy
If you are short: Secure profits or set a tight stop-loss in case of a short squeeze.
If you are long: Look for signs of Fisher Transform turning up before entering.
Shorting here is riskier as the market may hunt late shorts before going lower.
⚡ Watch for a relief bounce! While more downside is possible, liquidity grabs often happen before continuation moves. Be strategic with stops and TP zones.
📜 Ancient Wisdom – Patience & Timing in Trading
There’s an old Jewish saying:
"Gam zu l'tovah" – "This too is for the best."
A great trader, much like a wise man, waits for the right moment instead of rushing into moves impulsively. If the market is preparing a short squeeze, traders who chase shorts too late may find themselves trapped. Timing is everything.
🔹 BitcoinMF PRO users caught this downtrend early – consider using it for future trades!
🚀 Get it on TradingView today! 🚀
Will BTC drop to further supports?Hello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC. When we enter the one-day interval, we can see how the BTC price is moving under the local downtrend line. What's more, we can see here how we broke the uptrend line at the bottom, but we are still above the main uptrend line.
Currently, we can see how the price is based on support at $ 79,339, but if we leave this support at the bottom, we still have strong support at $ 72,294, which is located at the golden FIB point 0.618, under it we can see the main trend line passing and then support at $ 62,217.
Looking the other way, in a situation when the trend reverses, we can expect resistance at $ 85,562, then resistance is visible at $ 90,843, the next significant resistance is at $ 97,888, behind which we already have a very strong resistance zone from $ 103,060 to $ 109,481.
On the MACD indicator, we can observe the continuation of the ongoing downward trend, in which at the moment there is no signal for the price to return. However, it is worth looking at the EMA Cross 50/200 indicator here, which, despite a strong decline, still maintains an upward trend, which may have a positive impact on the price in the coming weeks.
A new ATH is waiting for Bitcoin (2D)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
This analysis is still valid.
When everyone is discouraged and caught up in emotions, the BehDark team relies on the chart to publish analyses.
We have also added a new target to the chart. Based on recent candles in the multi-timeframe, there is a possibility of reaching 120K.
We are still waiting for the green zone and looking for buy/long positions within it.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC HALVING APRIL 2024! 479497$As we approach the impending halving event in 2024, slated to commence in a month, speculation arises regarding its potential outcomes. Historical data provides insights into recurring patterns, yet uncertainty looms regarding whether past scenarios will manifest once again.
We invite your insights:
Do you foresee growth or a departure from traditional trends towards decline?
Your perspectives are welcomed and valued.
4-hour Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) chart. Some key points to consider:Descending Triangle Formation: The price action appears to be forming a descending triangle, with lower highs represented by the upper trendline and potential support levels represented by the lower trendline.
Support Level: The green horizontal line around $78,254 acts as a crucial support area. A break below this level could signal further bearish moves.
Resistance Level: The resistance level at $91,205 indicates that the price may face challenges moving higher.
Current Price: The most recent price is around $80,023, indicating some volatility and the possibility of an upward movement or a test of support.
The chart shows the projection of the potential price movement, indicating potential upward movement after bouncing off the support before facing resistance.
Watch for breakouts: Keep an eye on support and resistance levels. A breakout above resistance could lead to a bullish trend, while a breakdown below support could lead to further declines.
Use volume indicators: Consider looking at trading volume for confirmation of price action, especially during key levels.
Stay updated: It is important to monitor market news or important events that impact Bitcoin prices.
If you have specific questions or need further analysis, feel free to ask!
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA