$BTC not finished yetHey!
I'm still me, just a quick rebranding honoring my father.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC cycle is far from over. Not saying we bottomed yet. I think prices bewteen 96 - 102k could be reached on the upcoming days.
Althought this bearish momentum, we should encounter a goooood support level which would lead us to a great short absortion. If price holds those levels this week (maybe next too) there is a high chance we will see a new leg above the ATH level.
Im long here. Stay tuned
BTC-D
Bitcoin Daily: It Will Go Lower, I Will Explain WhyIt is hard to make these predictions because there are so many different points of view, so many opinions. There is so much data available that one can easily become confused. We can write an entire book about Bitcoin's next move and still not know what will happen next. I will keep it simple and straight forward and you will be able to understand and appreciate how easy it is when we focus on the chart only. Bitcoin is breaking below 100K.
Bitcoin is already trading at support. The mid-May consolidation range. From this range Bitcoin produced an advance and hit a new all-time high. The all-time high is a triple-top when we take the highs from January 2025 and December 2024. The fact that the action happens below this level now is bearish and this range has been confirmed as resistance.
The market will look for strength and this simply means lower.
Since resistance has been confirmed after a 50% rise, it is normal to see a retrace, can be medium-sized to balance out the strong-long bullish wave. Bullish action was present between 7-April until 22-May, 45 days.
The current retrace can take only a few weeks, think about 15-21 June as a rough estimate but nothing more (can end much sooner).
If you are unprepared and don't have map of the bigger picture, this can become terrifying and even lead to poor decisions at some point. If you know that this is only a retrace and the market will continue growing after a test above 90K, you can rest easy or even take advantage of this situation.
Now, what Bitcoin does is not the entire market. In a bull market, when Bitcoin moves down, money flows to the Altcoins. When Bitcoin goes sideways, the Altcoins grow. So dynamics will be much, much different now compared to what you saw in 2024, 2023 and 2022. The way the market will behave it is basically new for most participants.
The conclusion is that all is good and the chart is pointing lower short-term. After a short-term retrace, we get additional growth. Simple isn't it? It is...
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
HelenP. I Bitcoin can exit break trend line and continue to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After looking at the chart, we can see how the price declined and broke support 2, which coincided with the support zone. Then the price rose to the support zone but turned around and dropped to the trend line. After this movement, BTC started to grow inside an upward channel, where it soon rose to support 2, which soon broke it and continued to move up. In the channel, price rose to support 1 and some time traded near this level. Later, BTC broke it and rose to the resistance line of the channel and turned around, and dropped to support 1. And at the moment, it traded inside the resistance zone, which coincided with the support level. So, I expect that BTCUSDT will break the support level, which coincides with the trend line, and continue to decline, thereby exiting from upward channel. That's why I set my goal at 96000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTC/USDT🔔 New Month Kicks Off — Caution with Futures
I wouldn’t rush into aggressive futures trading right now.
Key long zones to watch:
• Liquidity sweep near 100,700
• Entry into the weekly FVG zone
That’s where I’ll be monitoring closely for potential position building.
🧠 The logic is simple:
For a solid entry point, the market needs to define the monthly and weekly lows.
This reduces the risk of getting chopped in volatility and offers a cleaner market structure.
☀️ Seasonal Context:
Summer is here — market dynamics shift.
Don’t expect explosive volatility; a prolonged sideways phase is on the table.
📉 If BTC sweeps the lows from current levels — we can consider a continuation of the long setup.
Otherwise, it’s best to wait for confirmation before entering.
02/06/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $110,718.68
Last weeks low: $103,065.74
Midpoint: $106,892.21
As we approach the middle of the year, Bitcoin is back above $100,000 despite pulling back from a new ATH of $112,000. In the month of MAY BlackRocks ETF had record inflows of over $6B propelling prices 11% higher.
Last week we saw as the month closed and with that it's natural to have a window dressing period that usually leads to de-risking slightly. BTC stayed within the previous weeks range and maintains the pattern of:
Chop/consolidation --> expansion to the upside --> chop/consolidation...
However in this case the consolidation week had a much larger range than in the past which is a sign to me that the rally is exhausted for now. It's because of this I feel we may see a weekly low break for the first time in a month and get a more meaningful pullback than we've seen since early April. My target would be around the $97,000 area.
The case for the bulls is still a convincing one despite some red flags. Record ETF inflows continue to pour, M2 money supply continues to grow and a general shift to risk-on assets is clear. However these are longer term factors and just for this weeks outlook the momentum is with the bears briefly.
BTC (Post Weekly Close Update)CRYPTOCAP:BTC (Post Weekly Close Update)
We’ve confirmed a weekly SFP and observed a bearish engulfing weekly close, signaling caution at the very least. Whether the price corrects to our target, BOs here, or reaches a new ATH remains uncertain, so we’ll play it level by level. Imo, subtle signs of bullish exhaustion are worth noting.
That said, I don’t expect a collapse to 70K, though anything is possible. I anticipate a drop below the key 100K level, targeting the 18H HOB and weekly FVG around 98K. We could even see a wick into the CME gap, YO, and VRVP support observed at 94K. This move may spark fear, traders anticipating lower, with some calling for a bear market. However, I expect the price to reverse, reclaim key levels, and resume the uptrend.
On LTF/MTF - charts, we’re trading level by level. A range may form, allowing the market to gather liquidity to sustain the trend, especially since we missed liquidity at 72K. As long as the price remains below 107K, scalping makes more sense than swing trading in the short term. A break above 107K could target 110K or a new ATH. However, if the price reaches 107K - around 107800 - I’d consider shorting. A daily close above 107K might trap retail traders into opening longs, only for the price to retrace and head lower (keep this scenario in mind).
VELO data:
Market dynamics are stable. Spot is flat or selling, while perps are driving pric. OI has dropped from dangerous levels, and funding rates remain slightly positive. Overall, nothing significant is occurring, which aligns with the current range-bound market.
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin reach $120,000?!Bitcoin is in its short-term descending channel on the four-hour timeframe, between the EMA50 and EMA200. Personally, I would look to sell Bitcoin at a target of $100,000. Either from the channel ceiling or after an invalid breakout of the specified channel. If this corrective move occurs, Bitcoin buying opportunities can be sought within the demand zone.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market, and capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range.
The Bitcoin 2025 Conference, widely regarded as the largest global event dedicated to Bitcoin and blockchain technology, took place from May 27 to 29 at the Venetian Convention Center in Las Vegas, Nevada. First launched in 2019 and held annually since, the conference has become the central meeting point for Bitcoin enthusiasts and professionals, offering a platform for knowledge exchange, ideation, and innovation within the Bitcoin ecosystem. With over 30,000 attendees, 400 speakers, and participation from around 5,000 companies, this year’s event played a significant role in advancing the global adoption of Bitcoin—often referred to as “hyperbitcoinization.”
The 2025 edition covered not only technical subjects such as Layer 2 scaling solutions and privacy enhancements, but also broader themes like institutional adoption, strategic Bitcoin reserves, and its implications for financial freedom on a global scale.From an economic perspective, there was a strong emphasis on Bitcoin’s role as a store of value amid inflationary pressures and unstable monetary policies. Forecasts presented by key figures such as Michael Saylor and Paolo Ardoino pointed to Bitcoin’s potential to emerge as a foundational asset within global financial systems. These projections were further supported by the expansion of the M2 money supply in 2024 and expectations for continued growth into 2025.
In addition to highlighting opportunities, the event also addressed the challenges facing Bitcoin. One major concern was the lack of clear legal and regulatory frameworks in certain countries—a topic addressed by Caitlin Long and other speakers. Such regulatory uncertainty could hinder broader Bitcoin adoption. Moreover, Bitcoin’s price volatility—highlighted by a 3.4% decline in the weeks leading up to the conference—raised questions about the market’s long-term stability.
Meanwhile, Coinbase reported that the repayment of debts related to the bankrupt FTX exchange could act as a $5 billion liquidity injection into the crypto market. This development is expected to boost capital inflows and potentially draw major institutional players back into the space.
According to Coinbase, as of May 30, the “FTX Recovery Trust” has begun its second phase of repayments, distributing over $5 billion in stablecoins to creditors. These payouts are being processed over three days via the BitGo and Kraken platforms. Unlike the first round in February, this phase involves only stablecoin disbursements rather than a mix of crypto and cash—enabling recipients to reinvest their funds more quickly and efficiently.
Additionally, U.S.-based companies currently hold 94.8% of all Bitcoin owned by publicly traded firms. The U.S. also commands 36% of the global Bitcoin hash rate, underscoring its dominance in mining activities. So far, 36 U.S. states have enacted pro-Bitcoin legislation, signaling a growing legal endorsement of the cryptocurrency across the country. This level of concentration—in ownership, regulatory leadership, and mining capacity—could position the U.S. to play a more decisive role in shaping future global Bitcoin regulations.
BITCOIN Can the 4H MA200 hold and kickstart the next rally? Bitcoin (BTCUSD) almost hit on Saturday its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been holding since April 16, and immediately rebounded. So far the bullish reaction is moderate as the price action is still being restricted below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), which is now acting as the short-term Resistance.
The blue Arc pattern that BTC has formed in the past 3 weeks, resembles the last two peak formations and pull-backs since the early April bottom. On top of all this, the 4H RSI got oversold (30.00) actually for the first time since the April 07 bottom.
With the weakest rally of this long-term Bullish Leg being +16.06%, if the 4H MA200 holds and a 4H MA50 break-out confirms it, we can expect a minimum short-term rise of almost $120k (+16.06%).
Do you think that's what's coming next? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Daily Technical Overview (BTC/USD)Currently, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is trading around $104,800. Up slightly but still digesting a sharp reversal that rattled short-term bulls.
Recent Price Action: Rejection From $112K
Back on 22nd May, Bitcoin surged to a new high near $112,000, fueled by bullish momentum, institutional flows, and strong on-chain accumulation. However, that breakout was swiftly rejected, and BTC fell as low as $103,400.
This kind of "bull trap" reversal highlights a few key dynamics:
1) Overextended sentiment: The rally above $110K was not supported by volume or follow-through, suggesting exhaustion.
2) Profit-taking by large holders or institutions likely triggered a cascade of stop-losses, accelerating the decline.
3) Liquidation clusters in leveraged long positions likely exacerbated the drop.
Bitcoin is now attempting to reclaim stability around the $104K–$105K range.
🔍 Technical Snapshot
- Support Zones at $103,000 and $93,200
- Resistance Levels at $112,000 (ATH)
Price is still above the 50 & 200-day SMAs, which could be a bullish longer-term signal.
In addition, the price remains above the upper band of the cloud, but momentum is stalling. A decisive bounce off the cloud could reignite bullish sentiment. Or falling into the cloud could trigger more uncertainty and downside.
Macro tailwinds: Concerns over U.S. fiscal stability and potential Fed rate cuts could keep Bitcoin attractive as a non-sovereign asset.
📈 Projection Scenarios
Bullish Case:
If BTC consolidates above $107K, we could see another attempt and retest of $112K.
Bearish Case:
Failure to hold above $103K could see Bitcoin revisit $100K, and if that breaks, downside opens toward the $93K level.
🧭 Insight & Takeaway
The current reversal serves as a healthy reminder that no trend goes up in a straight line. Especially not in crypto.
It likely shook out overleveraged longs, reset sentiment, and may give the market room to breathe before the next leg up.
The long-term trend remains intact, but expect more volatility before any clean break to new highs.
Always DYOR and DYODD and manage your risk.
$ETH Analysis — Correction Incoming?Summary:
After a strong ~100% rally in ETH, price hit a major resistance zone near $2734.78, triggering a significant sell-off, likely driven by algorithmic profit-taking. Now, the market is poised for a healthy correction before another potential leg up.
📉 What's Next for Ethereum?
🔍 Expecting a Correction of 7% to 25%
Based on technical structure and indicator behavior, ETH is likely to retrace to one of the two key zones:
✅ Primary Buy Zone ("Most Likely"): $2297.20
This zone aligns with previous structure support.
It’s where the price may form a higher low and resume its upward trend.
Ideal for opening a swing long with a tight risk-reward ratio.
🔥 Deeper Correction Opportunity: $1779.58
While less likely, a drop to this level would be a major long opportunity.
Aligns with historical demand and long-term support levels.
Also intersects with the yellow trendlines suggesting trend-based support zones.
📊 Why This Correction Makes Sense:
Weekly Money Flow Index (MFI) is Dropping:
MFI divergence suggests money is flowing out, weakening bullish momentum.
A trigger wave is forming, often preceding price corrections.
Algo Profit-Taking is Done:
Smart money likely exited around $2734.78 (highlighted in chart).
They’ll need to accumulate again at lower levels before the next rally.
📈 Potential Upside Targets:
If ETH respects the structure and finds support around $2297 or deeper, we could see a rally toward $3296.85 — a key Fibonacci extension and psychological level.
🧘♂️ Reminder:
No emotional entries. Let the price come to you. Trust the setup and stick to your plan.
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just a breakdown of my trading thesis. Always manage your risk.
98-101KMorning folks,
Last time BTC was not able to provide the direction as it was standing in triangle and we prepared "neutral" update, waiting for triangle breakout.
Now we see that this has happened to the downside and market just stands slightly above XOP target. So we consider 98-101K area as the nearest target.
Second, once (and if) this action will be over - take look at H&S, and it could trigger stronger downside retracement. This it turn might be quite welcome for weekly reverse H&S pattern .
That's being said, the first step that we're watching - is down to the potential neckline around 98-101K. Then we decided for to do next.
XAUUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH ------ DETAILED ANALYSISXAUUSD is currently forming a classic bullish flag pattern on the 12-hour timeframe after a strong impulsive rally from the 3145 demand zone. The consolidation is tight and orderly, holding above the key structure zone and forming lower highs and lower lows within the flag. This setup indicates a continuation pattern, and with price stabilizing around 3315, a breakout to the upside is increasingly likely. A clean breakout from the flag will likely ignite the next bullish wave toward the 3500 level.
From a fundamental perspective, gold remains supported amid renewed market concerns around inflation persistence and global macro uncertainty. The latest US economic data, including slower job growth and declining consumer sentiment, is increasing speculation that the Federal Reserve might be nearing the end of its tightening cycle. This is weakening the US dollar and boosting safe-haven demand for gold. Additionally, central banks, particularly from China and emerging markets, continue to increase gold reserves—adding to long-term bullish sentiment.
Technically, XAUUSD has already respected a strong demand zone around 3145 multiple times, which reinforces that institutional buyers are defending this area. The market structure remains bullish, and higher lows continue to form, aligning with a potential trend continuation. If price breaks above the flag resistance around 3325–3330 with volume confirmation, the bullish target of 3500 could be reached swiftly.
As long as gold holds above the 3270–3280 support zone, the risk-reward setup remains favorable for long positions. With a confluence of strong fundamentals and a high-probability technical pattern, XAUUSD is setting up for a potential breakout rally. Traders should watch closely for breakout confirmation to ride the momentum toward new highs in this evolving bullish trend.
Correlation between USDT.D and BTC.D
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(USDT.D 1M chart)
If USDT dominance is maintained below 4.97 or continues to decline, the coin market is likely to be on the rise.
The maximum decline is expected to be around 2.84-3.42.
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(BTC.D 1M chart)
However, in order for the altcoin bull market to begin, BTC dominance is expected to fall below 55.01 and remain there or show a downward trend.
Therefore, we need to see if it falls below the 55.01-62.47 range.
The maximum rise range is expected to be around 73.63-77.07.
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In summary of the above, since funds are currently concentrated in BTC, it is likely that BTC will show an upward trend, and altcoins are likely to show a sideways or downward trend as they fail to follow the rise of BTC.
The major bear market in the coin market is expected to begin in 2026.
For the basis, please refer to the explanation of the big picture below.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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LRC, LOOPRING, HOW MANY LOOPRINGS DO YOU THINK SONIC COULD EAT?Something is going on with this coin on the technical side.
There is literally no downside target that I can see right now, so I just labeled in MASSIVE SUPPORT TREND.
It looks like it is really close to making a move to the upside.
Somewhere around .8
Then it will likely hit some resistance there, but has a lot of potential to keep building support and climbing.
This coin looks incredibly bullish right now.
Things can change fast and if they do it will likely be a break of this trend (green).
The run up can take it to .45 and maybe a little higher, but the buy the dip price looks to be around .245. which would then take price higher to over 1 and beyond.
I'm gonna go with 3684 looprings for sonic.
What even is a loopring?
I'll attach more crypto TA to this idea.
oh and don't follow the guideline, pay more attention to the trends and price zones.
BTC - Block Out The NoiseThere is a lot of talk going on surrounding all the markets and eveb BTC, of course.
I saw a tweet come across my feed that had a user claiming an incoming crash of BTC and I couldn't help myself in laughing a bit for seeing through and identifying that he really had no idea wtf is going on.
We are currently set to close the week above the consolidation box that BTC has produced and punched over. We are holding above the top of the box at about $104,450 for the third consecutive week. If we really were to crash or retest levels below, we'd first have to have a weekly candle close under $104,450 and then we could see cost basis, or the median, of the consolidation box retested at about $$99,000.
Long story short, because we are holding above the top of the box, I think we'll be more likely to continue consolidating on a lower time frame and trying to continue breaking new highs.
Most people have no idea what's going on and are just guessing. I am no different in that respect. I do use the potterbox strategy to help me sift through the noise and ultimately make sense of what price is doing relative to the structures it has created before. Per the PBS, we're okay and on a lower 24HR timeframe, we've actually done a great job in bouncing. For now, I don't see a meltdown coming. We simply retested a level and created empty space above us on a 24HR timeframe to, hopefully go back up. I'm hoping we see $120K this year and, maybe, with enough momentum we could really see a rally big enough to break this channel we are in.
Bearish reversal?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 107,412.53
1st Support: 102,164.07
1st Resistance: 111,566.95
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$BTC 12-Week Lead Correlation w/ Global Liquidity, M2, GOLD, DXYHere’s a look at Bitcoin's price action against Global Liquidity, Global M2, GOLD and DXY - all with a 12-Week Lead.
Notice GOLD has a bit more of a deviation from the BTC price than the others.
This is because GOLD is used as a store of value asset, whereas the others are predicated on Central Banks expanding and contracting their money supply and balance sheets.
The key here is to smooth out the signal and ignore the noise.
Notice the convergence between these metrics the past couple months.
Bitcoin: Bear Flag Formation Implies Weakness.Bitcoin has retraced as anticipated in my previous article (see Wave 5). So much for all the nonsense hype at the Bitcoin conference. Bitcoin has tested the 103K area and found some support but is developing a mini bear flag (see arrow). IF the 103,500K level is broken, that confirms the corrective structure is still in play and a test of 102 to 100K can still be the dominant scenario for the coming week (NFP this week). This means for swing traders on this time frame, it is likely too early for longs.
The 102 to 100K area is still the major support that I anticipate. A long signal here can look like a pin bar on this time frame, or a double bottom formation on a 4h or 1h chart. It often pays to wait for these scenarios but there is always a risk of missing the move if price confirms a reversal pattern sooner.
IF the current candle closes much higher (above 106K) then it will invalidate the bear flag. This means the bullish continuation would be in play. In my opinion this is a lower probability, but you have to be open to it. In the bullish scenario a test of 110 to 112 servers as a profit objective. While a breakout beyond 112 can happen, the more you expect, the more RISK you must be exposed to. A test of high is more probable than a new high. Along with that, I suspect current price action is more likely to consolidate rather than continue high over the short term because 5 waves are clearly in place. That usually means a corrective structure is likely to follow, and that is what we are currently in.
The bullish candles are too early to buy into. If the bear flag plays out, there will be more attractive prices to wait for reversal formations. Otherwise, work smaller time frames, look for small bites going either way and keep the size small. This is not an easy environment.
CADJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISCADJPY has successfully broken out of a well-defined falling wedge pattern, confirming a bullish reversal setup on the daily timeframe. Price action has not only cleared the descending trendline but has also completed a clean retest of the breakout zone near 104.000–104.500. This retest held firmly, showing strong buyer interest, and the pair is now poised for a continuation toward the next key resistance level around 110.000. The technical structure is now favoring bulls, with momentum shifting upward after a prolonged corrective phase.
Fundamentally, the Canadian dollar is gaining strength supported by rising crude oil prices and stronger-than-expected economic data from Canada. The Bank of Canada’s recent tone remains relatively hawkish compared to other central banks, which adds further support to CAD. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen continues to remain under pressure due to the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy stance. With Japan’s inflation struggling to sustain above target, the BOJ is showing no urgency to tighten, which keeps JPY weak against higher-yielding currencies like CAD.
The breakout from the falling wedge is also being supported by volume and bullish daily candles, suggesting a solid shift in market sentiment. The pair has formed a higher low and higher high, officially transitioning into a bullish structure. With the retest of the breakout structure now complete, there’s a high probability for continuation toward 108.000 initially and a full extension to 110.000 in the coming weeks.
Traders should closely monitor any dips as potential buying opportunities as long as CADJPY holds above 103.500–104.000 support. The reward-to-risk ratio remains favorable for swing traders aiming for medium-term targets. With strong technical confirmation, supportive fundamentals, and risk appetite returning to markets, CADJPY is setting up for a potentially profitable bullish wave.