Bitcoin’s entire history is just a series of bullflag fractalsOn the entire bitcoin history index monthly logarithmic chart we can see how Bitcoin is nothing but bullflags. The second bullflag we broke up from took 2 bull runs to hit its full breakout target. The first one however because of how insanely long its pole is, has still yet to hit its full breakout target. It is now the 4th consecutive bull market since it broke out of the first flag though so perhaps it will reach that target this bull market, if not this market I’m confident the 1st flag will finally reach its full target next bull market. The second bull flag in the fractal series was able to hit its full target within 2 bull markets which is typically about the pace the huge macro patterns on the logarithmic chart tend to take. The other Flags since that second flag also are yet to hit their full targets but if the next flag in the series is also able to hit its full breakout target within a 2 bull market timeframe, the flags after it will also have to hit their targets as well on the way yo hitting that 3rd flags breakout target. We can see each flag seems to be getting progressively smaller as the fractal continues so odds are good the time it takes each flag to reach its full breakout target should also be getting progressively smaller as well so that would make sense. Anyways I just wanted to post a new version of the entire bitcoin history’s bullflag fractal so i could easily reference t and follow its progress for the current bull run *not financial advice*
BTC-D
Is Bitcoin on the Verge of a Major Crash? Warning Signs Ahead!👀👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has recently surged to all-time highs, but is the rally about to reverse? On the 1M monthly timeframe, a key horizontal resistance level is flashing warning signals. BTC appears heavily overbought, and the trend shows clear signs of overextension.
📉 Using advanced trading concepts like Wyckoff theory and ICT methodology, this video breaks down:
- How historical price action reveals similar overextended moves that led to significant pullbacks.
- Why the Fibonacci tool suggests a potential retracement to equilibrium after a parabolic price swing.
- The lack of smart money accumulation since the last major price breakout, signaling potential vulnerabilities.
🔍 We’ll examine two key scenarios:
1. Bearish Opportunity: If price action breaks structure and takes out existing range lows, it could signal a deeper correction.
2. Bullish Opportunity: If BTC trades into a discounted zone below equilibrium, this could present a strong buy opportunity for longer-term positioning.
📊 This analysis is for educational purposes only and highlights the importance of managing risk in a market known for its volatility. Past performance is no guarantee of future results—trade wisely and always assess your risk tolerance!
👉 Don’t miss this critical breakdown. Learn how to read the charts like a pro and prepare for what’s next in Bitcoin’s journey!📊
Getting closer and closer to the bullflag targetsTwo of the biggest patterns bitcoin has broken upwards from this year are both bull flags and they both have a bullish confluence measured move breakout target of around $99,999. The first one that’s been forming the longest from we actually broke upwards from all the way back n February or March, and here is what it looks like: it was all the way back then I knew we would eventually reach this target and it’s extremely satisfying to click play and watch price action go directly to the target. You can see the price target for that one shown at the chart on the top of this page at the top of the dotted purple line. The other big bull flag of this year we only just recently broke upwards from in October, and it has also had beautiful priceaction unfold perfectly shown here: Clicking play on this chart also is amazing to watch it seemingly go up and hit the exact target with the dotted red line acting as a magnet. That same dotted red line can be seen on the chart image above on this current chart idea. Even though on both of those charts it looks like we have already hit the exact target, when you zoom n on the daily time frame here you can see that we came within a whisker of hitting the $99999 target but still have only gotten just below it. IN the process recently we have been consolidating in a rising wedge (as indicated by the diagonal pink trendline) and a rising channel (the ascending red trendline + the dotted red trendline). The rising wedge also can qualify as a bullish pennant and when you factor in the pink flagpole to where price has broken above the top trendline of the wedge, the measured move target for a breakout of such a pennant is around $116k. Rising wedges default mode is to break down instead of up, but in a parabolic bull phase many of them can consecutively break upwards, I do believe at the very least price action will finally reach both the dotted red and dotted purple targets. However, since that was the full target for two of the most pivotal bullish chart patterns of the year that may actually be a good time for it to make a solid correction. We also have the psychological resistance of 100k where many people would likely take profit at which could add to the liklihood of a correction in that range. Usually once price gets this close to a psychological level it tends to hit it so it would not surprise me at all if we hit 100k before the correction, there’s also a chance we could hit the little pennants 16k breakout target before the correction too but if we correct right after 100k, right after the 115-116k target zone, or just above that at the next big resistance area around 120-130k which is the top green trendline of this series of channels on the log chart: My belief is the correction will go down to fill the gap that was created in the CME bitcoin futures chart shown here: . I think it could likely retest that zone right around the 1day 50ma (in orange) rises up to meet that zone. My goal is to wait for a pullback back around there or back to the neckline (in yellow) of the big cup and handle we broke up from just recently, I will look for those levels as potential zones to make any additional entries into the market. The cup and handle has been by far the absolute biggest chart pattern of the entire year, however the channel of the red bullflag is also the handle of the cup and handle. Will be interesting to see how much of the above plays out how I anticipate it will. *not financial advice*
$BTC Daily Update#BTC CRYPTOCAP:BTC Nicely holding given support area $95,878, resistance at $99,361, more expected resistance areas could be $100,334, $103,093, $107,461, & $112,255. As it climbs to new ATH(s), we shall discover new S/R areas. Previous 4H close showing strength to bulls, so does previous 1D close! On 1D $97,780 holds good support, current sideways movement is a very good sign for more ATH(s) to come!
Bullish momentum to extend for the Bitcoin?The price is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 91,689.26
1st Support: 86,579.45
1st Resistance: 99,638.15
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BTCUSD to $115K EOYUsing the Magic Linear Regression Channel by @mwrightinc, we can create a channel on the weekly chart that shows that BTC has broken out of the channel. Using the Outer Fibonacci band from the indicator, we can see where this channel break could lead to. By using a start time from a 2018 pivot low, we can see a price target of $115K with a prior retracement to the top of the channel at around $92K. With a closer pivot low start time from November of 2022, we can see that the outer fibonacci channel calls for a bounce down from around $102K, with a retracement back to GETTEX:92K at the top of the channel before heading back up.
Support near the HA-High indicator is the point of observation
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The HA-High indicator is showing signs of being created at the 94264.99 point.
Accordingly, if the HA-High indicator is newly created, whether there is support near it is the key.
Since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators touched the indicators most of the time when they were newly created, it is expected that the HA-High indicator will be touched this time.
Therefore, the price is expected to fall.
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What we need to look at is whether it can rise when it touches the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator.
If it doesn't rise, it can lead to a decline until it meets the M-Signal indicator or the HA-Low indicator on the 1W chart.
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Since the BW(100) indicator is currently created at 98892.0, it will eventually have to rise above this point to continue the upward trend.
Therefore, for now, the picture that touches the HA-High indicator and rises above the BW(100) indicator is the best picture.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
An updated look at BTCUSD’s pi cycle If I was a betting man, it seems to me like the top white line of the pi cycle indicator (350ma) is very likely to reach the full breakout target price of the cup and handle pattern bitcoin has broken up from (at $133282) long before the lower yellow line of the pi cycle (111ma) has a chance to catch back up to it and cross above it for the pi cycle top. In fact I have a feeling we won’t even be close to the yellow one even being near the white line by the time the white line reaches that level, suggesting that we have far more upside left to go in this bull cycle. In the past most if not all pi cycle tops have happened after price action gets above the white line, so if that trend should continue we can look at whatever the white lines price action is and know theres a high probability that that means the top price bitcoin reaches this bull run wll be even higher. *not financial advice*
Why FARM Could Be the Next Big Opportunity in the MarketFARM is an asset worth paying attention to. With approximately 672,183 tokens in circulation and a market cap of around $34 million, the conditions are set for significant movement. Its low supply and potential for expansion make FARM a rare opportunity. Looking at the history of similar assets, the potential for appreciation in a scenario like this cannot be overlooked. This is an exciting moment for those looking to closely follow the growth of its market cap. BINANCE:DOTUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSD COINBASE:ETHUSD
BTCUSD - A Realistic Target? Showing a run that is very alike the 2017 one, which was an 8000% move from the low.
A move towards the top of the channel from the 2023 low is 4600% putting the price at over 770K
The blue area is just the 200MA which shows consistent support
Is this realistic? Leave comments below
Bitcoin: 100K Psych Barrier To Low 90s?Bitcoin 99,860: missed 100K by less than 200 points so far (on Coinbase). 100K is going to most likely serve as a psychological barrier which should be considered when evaluating RISK. My previous week's scenario failed to play out because the momentum from the election results is still driving order flow. Price has YET to REALLY exhibit a healthy retrace (while maintaining overall strength). The purpose of these weekly observations is NOT to forecast the future, but instead to identify the RISK and evaluate a higher probability scenario to anticipate. From there Bitcoin either delivers the attractive scenario or it does NOT. I don't control the market, I control RISK.
The arrow on the chart points to the bearish inside bar that has established a new leg of bearish momentum. Realize that this retrace has not violated any major supports and can reverse at any moment. It is also important to realize that IF this retrace persists, the 95K to 92K area is the NEXT support. IF that is cleared this week, that will open the possibility of retesting the 85 to 82K support. Such a retrace can take a week or two to unfold, all while the broader bullish structure would still be intact.
I don't have the wave counts on this chart, but from a quick glance, the recent surge appears to be a Wave 3 of a broader 5. This is inline with a greater chance of retrace (Wave 4), even if its minor before one more test of high which can test or break the 100K level at least briefly. Once a broad Wave 5 is complete, the chances of a sustained corrective cycle increase. Such a move can take a year or more to complete. This is a tendency, NOT a forecast and I don't bet on wave counts or structures, I bet on CONFIRMATIONS.
A key point to take away from this is: I look to gauge risk and evaluate how a situation can be capitalized on. I will always highlight ELEVATED risk at highs, especially all time highs when it comes to investing or swing trades. Make no mistake, I am not bearish, I am simply cautious. Low risk high probability opportunities are RARE and also relevant to the time horizon of choice. If you can't handle the possibility of Bitcoin retracing 10 to 15K points, you either need to adjust your position size or avoid altogether and wait until a higher quality opportunity appears.
My decision making process and strategies are based on typical repetitive behaviors that I have observed over years of playing this game. Outliers look glamorous BUT they cultivate bad habits. You may win this time because you bought at 95K, but over time, that same rational will cost you. Even if you leave some money on the table, it is cheaper to learn this lesson from me than it is to learn it from the market.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Alikze »» ENJ | Descending channel - 4H🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or C bullish scenario - 4H
- In the 4-hour time frame, according to the previous analysis , after the support in the range of 0.1465, it faced demand, which was able to grow to the middle of the channel.
- It faced selling pressure in the middle of the channel, which led to a zigzag correction to the 0.122 range.
- It is currently moving in a descending channel, which is at the ceiling of the channel and there is also a supply zone.
- Therefore, in case of selling pressure, it can face support in the specified limits or green box and lead to a price growth up to the specified supply area.
💎 In addition, it should be noted that if the green box is broken, the bullish scenario is validated and can have another corrective leg.
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BINANCE:ENJUSDT
$BTC Analysis update: What's Next ?** CRYPTOCAP:BTC Analysis: What's Next?**
As you can see, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has completed its previous consolidation phase, which lasted six months. The recent *Trump election pump* coincided with the end of that phase, leading to a new, massive parabolic rally.
However, signs are emerging that the market is overheating:
- **RSI**: Indicates overbought conditions, suggesting a correction is due.
- **MACD**: Overheated and also signaling an impending correction.
On a **weekly timeframe**, history tells us that similar situations have resulted in sideways movement for about six months, with a 30–40% downside, before the next major rally begins.
---
### Will This Trigger an Altseason?
Most likely, yes. During these cooling-off periods, investors often turn their attention to altcoins, which tend to be more active and engaging during such times.
---
### MACD Insights
By counting the bars on the MACD, it looks like we might have **two more weeks of upward movement** before an EMA crossover signals the start of consolidation.
---
### Looking Ahead
The next major pump could occur around **May**. Let’s see how this unfolds.
**Remember:** Do Your Own Research (DYOR).
BTCUSDT: Predicting Movements with Advanced Indicators - Bitcoin◳◱ On the $BTC/ CRYPTOCAP:USDT chart, the Bband Breakout pattern suggests an upcoming trend shift. Traders might observe resistance around 95342.42 | 100828.84 | 113878.47 and support near 82292.79 | 74729.58 | 61679.95. Entering trades at 96291.99 could be strategic, aiming for the next resistance level.
◰◲ General info :
▣ Name: Bitcoin
▣ Rank: 1
▣ Exchanges: Binance, Kucoin, Huobipro, Gateio, Mexc, Kraken
▣ Category/Sector: Payments - Currencies
▣ Overview: Bitcoin is the first distributed consensus-based, censorship-resistant, permissionless, peer-to-peer payment settlement network with a provably scarce, programmable, native currency. Bitcoin (BTC), the native asset of the Bitcoin blockchain, is the world's first digital currency without a central bank or administrator. The Bitcoin network is an emergent decentralized monetary institution that exists through the interplay between full nodes, miners, and developers. It is set by a social contract that is created and opted into by the users of the network and hardened through game theory and cryptography. Bitcoin is the first, oldest, and largest cryptocurrency in the world.
◰◲ Technical Metrics :
▣ Mrkt Price: 96291.99 ₮
▣ 24HVol: 2,814,665,178.233 ₮
▣ 24H Chng: -1.146%
▣ 7-Days Chng: 7.07%
▣ 1-Month Chng: 41.60%
▣ 3-Months Chng: 49.76%
◲◰ Pivot Points - Levels :
◥ Resistance: 95342.42 | 100828.84 | 113878.47
◢ Support: 82292.79 | 74729.58 | 61679.95
◱◳ Indicators recommendation :
▣ Oscillators: BUY
▣ Moving Averages: SELL
◰◲ Technical Indicators Summary : NEUTRAL
◲◰ Sharpe Ratios :
▣ Last 30D: 7.09
▣ Last 90D: 3.46
▣ Last 1-Y: 1.92
▣ Last 3-Y: 0.57
◲◰ Volatility :
▣ Last 30D: 0.59
▣ Last 90D: 0.48
▣ Last 1-Y: 0.53
▣ Last 3-Y: 0.55
◳◰ Market Sentiment Index :
▣ News sentiment score is N/A
▣ Twitter sentiment score is N/A
▣ Reddit sentiment score is N/A
▣ In-depth BTCUSDT technical analysis on Tradingview TA page
▣ What do you think of this analysis? Share your insights and let's discuss in the comments below. Your like, follow and support would be greatly appreciated!
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Please note that the information and publications provided are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, trading, or any other type of advice or recommendation. We encourage you to conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. The use of the information provided is solely at your own risk.
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Bitcoin : A Classic Trendline Play in ActionA pullback is anticipated next week due to technical factors that suggest a period of consolidation or correction. First, the 4H 50 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) is heavily overextended, indicating that the price has moved too far, too fast, away from its mean. In such scenarios, market behavior often drives prices back towards the EMA to realign with the average, creating a contraction phase. This overextension highlights that the market may be entering a temporary overbought condition, increasing the probability of a short-term reversal or slowdown.
Additionally, this setup aligns with a classic trendline dynamic. Prices have shown a slow and steady climb through the trendline, followed by a sharp upward leg, which typically signifies an overreaction or a climax move. Following such moves, it’s common for prices to retrace and test the trendline from above, acting as a support level. This behavior reflects the natural ebb and flow of markets, where breakout levels often need to be confirmed by a retest before the trend can sustainably continue.